The Analytical Overview of the Main Currency Pairs on 2022.10.11

By JustForex

The EUR/USD currency pair

Technical indicators of the currency pair:
  • Prev Open: 0.9727
  • Prev Close: 0.9697
  • % chg. over the last day: -0.31 %

The US dollar strengthened sharply on Monday after Russia launched a series of missile attacks on critical infrastructure in Ukraine and on ordinary residential areas, including the capital Kyiv. Analysts believe the US dollar could make a move to new yearly highs as inflation data to be released this week will likely point to a rise in core inflation, confirming the prospect of another massive rate hike at the next meeting. According to the rate monitoring tool, 81% of traders expect the Fed to raise rates by 75 basis points at the next meeting. Thus, the fundamental picture now favors a rise in the dollar. On the other hand, if this week’s inflation data shows a slowdown in consumer price growth, the markets may see a sharp strengthening of risky currencies such as the euro and the pound.

Trading recommendations
  • Support levels: 0.9667, 0.9601.
  • Resistance levels: 0.9856, 0.9962, 1.0058, 1.0111, 1.0162, 1.0230

From the technical point of view, the trend on the EUR/USD currency pair on the hourly time frame is bullish. The MACD is in the negative zone, but there is a divergence, indicating the weakness of the sellers. Buy trades should be considered from the support level of 0.9667, but with additional confirmation in the form of reverse initiative. Sell deals can be considered from the resistance level of 0.9856, but only with confirmation.

Alternative scenario: if the price breaks down through the support level of 0.9666 and fixes below it, the downtrend will likely resume.

EUR/USD
News feed for 2022.10.11:
  • – US FOMC member Mester Speaks at 19:00 (GMT+3).

The GBP/USD currency pair

Technical indicators of the currency pair:
  • Prev Open: 1.1082
  • Prev Close: 1.1054
  • % chg. over the last day: -0.25 %

On September 28, amid an unprecedented revaluation of British assets, the Bank of England announced a temporary and targeted intervention to restore the functioning of the long-term government bond market and reduce risks associated with the spread of credit conditions for British households and businesses. To avoid dysfunction in major funding markets, these operations aim to allow investment funds to address risks associated with their resilience to volatility in the long-term securities market. The Bank of England plans to complete these operations and stop all bond purchases on Friday, October 14. Thus, after October 14, the British pound will lose some of its government support.

Trading recommendations
  • Support levels: 1.0915, 1.0816, 1.0711, 1.03
  • Resistance levels: 1.1181, 1.1248, 1.1478, 1.1693, 1.1816, 1.1901

From the technical point of view, the trend on the GBP/USD currency pair on the hourly time frame is bullish. The MACD indicator is in the negative zone, but there is a divergence, which indicates the weakness of the sellers. Under such market conditions, buy trades can be considered from the support level of 1.0915, but only with confirmation. Sell trades are best to look for on intraday time frames, the nearest resistance level is 1.1181, but also better with confirmation.

Alternative scenario: if the price breaks down of the 1.0915 support level and fixes below it, the downtrend will likely resume.

GBP/USD
News feed for 2022.10.11:
  • – UK Average Earnings Index (m/m) at 09:00 (GMT+3);
  • – UK Claimant Count Change (m/m) at 09:00 (GMT+3);
  • – UK Unemployment Rate (m/m) at 09:00 (GMT+3);
  • – UK BoE Gov Bailey Speaks at 21:35 (GMT+3).

The USD/JPY currency pair

Technical indicators of the currency pair:
  • Prev Open: 145.26
  • Prev Close: 145.73
  • % chg. over the last day: +0.32 %

Japan’s current account surplus shrank to its lowest level in August, with rising energy import prices outpacing rising export prices and depleting national wealth, Treasury Department data showed Tuesday. The deteriorating trade balance has caused the surplus to shrink for four consecutive fiscal years. While the cost of imports is rising as the yen weakens, the accompanying rise in exports, which are becoming cheaper for foreign buyers, has not been as significant because firms are moving production overseas. Policymakers are also increasingly concerned that the weak yen is driving up import bills and household living costs because of the heavy reliance on fuel and food imports.

Trading recommendations
  • Support levels: 145.40, 144.91, 144.16, 143.00, 140.60, 139.61, 138.78, 137.65
  • Resistance levels: 145.90

From the technical point of view, the medium-term trend on the currency pair USD/JPY is bullish. The MACD indicator has become positive. The price is trading above the moving levels again. Under such market conditions, buy trades can be searched for on the intraday time frames from the support level of 144.91, but with confirmation. Sell deals can be searched from the resistance level of 145.90, but only with an additional confirmation in the form of a false breakout.

Alternative scenario: If the price fixes below 140.60, the downtrend will likely resume.

USD/JPY
There is no news feed for today.

The USD/CAD currency pair

Technical indicators of the currency pair:
  • Prev Open: 1.3517
  • Prev Close: 1.3780
  • % chg. over the last day: +0.38 %

The Canadian dollar is a commodity currency and depends not only on the monetary policy of the Bank of Canada but also on the dollar Index and oil prices. Oil prices were down yesterday as fears of recession outweigh the prospect of tight supply. But fundamentally, oil prices are now trending higher due to OPEC+ production cuts, so once the US Fed’s hawkish background begins to change to a more dovish one, the Canadian dollar will be the first currency to begin to strengthen.

Trading recommendations
  • Support levels: 1.3675, 1.3619, 1.3583, 1.3535, 1.3454
  • Resistance levels: 1.3755, 1.3858, 1.3968

From the point of view of technical analysis, the trend on the USD/CAD currency pair has changed to bullish again. The price is trading above the moving lines again and is breaking through all the resistance lines. The MACD indicator has become positive, but there is a divergence. Under such market conditions, buy trades should be considered on the lower time frames from the support level of 1.3675, but with confirmation. For sell deals, it is better to consider the resistance level of 1.3858, but only after the additional confirmation.

Alternative scenario: if the price breaks down and consolidates below the support level of 1.3583, the downtrend will likely resume.

USD/CAD
There is no news feed for today.

By JustForex

 

This article reflects a personal opinion and should not be interpreted as an investment advice, and/or offer, and/or a persistent request for carrying out financial transactions, and/or a guarantee, and/or a forecast of future events.

Russia shells Ukrainian civilians. The White House imposes export restrictions on China

By JustForex

The US Federal Reserve Vice Chair Lael Brainard hinted that the US Central Bank would continue its mission to reduce inflation despite the worsening growth outlook. The policymaker predicts that the recovery in the year’s second half will be limited. A 75 basis point hike in November and a peak rate of 4.60-4.70% is now the main target, but additional hawkish comments could spur additional panic amid a longer tightening cycle. The White House also added fuel to the fire after it unveiled new export restrictions on US companies selling semiconductor chips and other manufacturing equipment to China, which led to the fall of tech companies. As the stock market closed Monday, the Dow Jones Index (US30) decreased by 0.32%, and the S&P 500 Index (US500) fell by 0.75%. The Technology Index NASDAQ (US100) lost 1.04%.

Equity markets in Europe were mostly down on Monday. German DAX (DE30) declined by 0.01%, French CAC 40 (FR40) fell by 0.45%, Spanish IBEX 35 (ES35) was 0.31% lower, British FTSE 100 (UK100) closed yesterday with 0.45% loss.

British government bond prices fell on Monday, indicating that investors have yet to be persuaded by Finance Minister Kwasi Kwarteng’s desire to bolster confidence in the budget. Also, on Monday, the Bank of England expanded the scope of its emergency intervention. But strategists at JPMorgan said they believe long-term British yields will continue to rise, keeping the pound from falling.

The US dollar strengthened sharply in early trading on Monday after Russia launched a series of missile strikes on critical infrastructure in Ukraine and on ordinary residential areas, including the capital Kyiv. A total of 85 missiles and more than 20 kamikaze drones were fired at Ukraine. 43 missiles and 8 drones were shot down. Eight regions of Ukraine were temporarily left without power supply, 19 civilians were killed, and approximately 105 were injured, including children. Nothing strategic, nothing tactical, nothing meaningful, just one-sided terrorism by the Russian Federation. Having suffered serious losses on the front, all Russia has to do is simply shoot at civilians to somehow compensate for its despair and agony.

After the massive missile attack on Ukraine, protests against the war and in support of Ukraine began in European capitals. Estonia is officially considering recognizing Russia as a sponsor of terrorism.

Oil prices fell by 2% yesterday as the dollar index continues to strengthen, and investors are concerned that COVID will reduce demand in China. A strong dollar reduces demand for oil, making it more expensive for buyers using other currencies. Analysts added that the consistent zero COVID-19 policy in China ahead of the Communist Party Congress doesn’t help demand. But it is worth realizing that the fundamental backdrop points to rising oil prices, as OPEC+ last week decided to lower its production target by 2 million barrels per day. At the same time, investors should not forget that the EU sanctions on Russian oil and oil products will come into effect in December and February, respectively.

Asian markets traded lower yesterday. Japan’s Nikkei 225 (JP225) lost 0.71% over the day, Hong Kong’s Hang Seng (HK50) fell by 2.95%, while Australia’s S&P/ASX 200 (AU200) dropped 1.40%.

Shares of chipmakers Anji Microelectronics Tech Co Ltd and Chengdu Xuguang Electronics Co Ltd fell about 20% after the White House unveiled export controls barring Chinese companies from certain semiconductor chips made with US equipment. Technology heavyweights Alibaba Group Holding Ltd, Baidu Inc, and Tencent Holdings Ltd lost 2% to 4%. The US actions threaten to worsen trade ties between the world’s two largest economies and could have deeper economic consequences if China retaliates.

Also in the spotlight, this week is the 20th Congress of the Chinese Communist Party, which is expected to determine government policy for the next five years.

S&P 500 (F) (US500) 3,612.39 −27.27 (−0.75%)

Dow Jones (US30) 29,202.88 −93.91 (−0.32%)

DAX (DE40) 12,272.94 −0.060 (−0.01%)

FTSE 100 (UK100) 6,959.31 −31.78 (−0.45%)

USD Index 112.75 +0.49 (+0.44%)

Important events for today:
  • – Australia NAB Business Confidence (m/m) at 03:30 (GMT+3);
  • – UK Average Earnings Index (m/m) at 09:00 (GMT+3);
  • – UK Claimant Count Change (m/m) at 09:00 (GMT+3);
  • – UK Unemployment Rate (m/m) at 09:00 (GMT+3);
  • – US FOMC member Mester Speaks at 19:00 (GMT+3);
  • – Switzerland SNB Chairman Jordan Speaks at 19:45 (GMT+3);
  • – UK BoE Gov Bailey Speaks at 21:35 (GMT+3).

By JustForex

 

This article reflects a personal opinion and should not be interpreted as an investment advice, and/or offer, and/or a persistent request for carrying out financial transactions, and/or a guarantee, and/or a forecast of future events.

Market Mood Fragile Ahead Of US CPI

By ForexTime 

A sense of deep unease rippled through financial markets on Tuesday as concerns over the global growth outlook and geopolitical threats left investors on edge.

European stocks were painted red this morning amid fears around untamed inflation pushing interest rates higher at the expense of economic growth. US stock futures are pointing to a lower open with the negative momentum and risk-off sentiment infiltrating Wall Street. In the currency space, king dollar continues to draw power from aggressive rate hike bets while sterling remains shaky despite efforts from the Bank of England to support the currency and the vulnerable UK bond market. Oil is weaker thanks to a strong dollar and an outbreak of Covid-19 cases in China, while gold is selling off for a fifth day in a row as traders await Thursday’s US CPI report.

It may be wise to fasten your seatbelts tightly because this will be another busy week for markets. Investors will be served a platter of key economic reports and speeches from various financial heavyweights. Most importantly, all eyes will be on the latest US inflation figures which is now the biggest risk event on the calendar. Later today, the International Monetary Fund (IMF) publishes its World Economic Outlook and will almost certainly revise global growth lower. ECB Chief Economist Philip Lane, Bank of England Governor Andrew Bailey, and Cleveland Fed President Loretta Mester will be under their separate spotlights. Given how financial markets remain highly sensitive to anything relating to inflation or monetary policy, any fresh insight offered by these central bank officials could translate into market volatility.

All eyes on the US inflation report

Most attention will be directed toward the US inflation report on Thursday with investors watching to see if prices are rising again or perhaps finally peaking. According to Bloomberg, the headline print for September is projected at 8.1% from 8.3%, while the core is expected to rise to 6.5% from 6.3% in August. A higher-than-expected CPI figure may reinforce expectations around the Fed unleashing another monetary bazooka in November to tame inflation. This could inject dollar bulls with fresh momentum to steamroll G10 and other currencies. It’s worth keeping in mind that the greenback has had a phenomenal trading year, appreciating against every single major currency. Alternatively, a softer print could reduce aggressive rate hike bets and feed the “dovish pivot” narrative ultimately hitting the dollar. Traders are currently pricing in an 80% probability of a 75-basis point rate hike next month.

Currency spotlight – GBPUSD

Sterling has struggled for direction so far on Tuesday despite the upbeat jobs report soothing concerns over the UK economy. Unemployment hit a fresh multi-decade low at 3.5% in the three months to August from 3.6% in the previous period. This was the lowest level witnessed since February 1947. However, the fall in unemployment was the result of a sharp rise in the number of adults within working age labelled as economically inactive. The focus now shifts toward the BoE Governor Bailey’s speech later today. If he mentions anything relating to inflation, monetary policy, and the ructions in the gilt market, this could translate into pound volatility.

Focusing on the technical picture, GBP is under pressure on the daily charts. An appreciating dollar could drag prices back toward 1.0850 support. Weakness below this point may trigger a selloff towards 1.0520. Alternatively, a break back above 1.1100 has the potential to spark a rally towards 1.1300.

Commodity spotlight – Gold

Where gold concludes this week will most likely be influenced by the US inflation data on Thursday.

A red-hot CPI report will almost certainly reinforce aggressive rate hike bets, ultimately boosting the dollar and Treasury yields at gold’s peril. Such a development may drag the precious metal towards $1655, $1615, and $1600. Alternatively, an inflation report that misses expectations could offer space for gold bulls to fight back, opening a path back toward the psychological $1700 level.


Forex-Time-LogoArticle by ForexTime

ForexTime Ltd (FXTM) is an award winning international online forex broker regulated by CySEC 185/12 www.forextime.com

RoboMarkets Is Once Again Chosen as the Best Global MT5 Broker

The Global Forex Awards – Retail 2022 has named RoboMarkets the “Best MT5 Broker – Global”.

The Global Forex Awards – Retail 2022 commends the achievements of the world’s leading brokers on a global and regional scale. The awards are presented to companies that are worthy of worldwide excellence recognition, having demonstrated outstanding results in carrying out their projects in such areas as hi-tech solutions, comprehensive market analysis, effective educational programmes, and the provision of quality services in the financial markets.

Denis Golomedov, Chief Marketing Officer at RoboMarkets says: “We’re very delighted to receive yet another award from Global Forex Awards. The “Best MT5 Broker – Global” accolade was confirmed for RoboMarkets this year, and we are indeed very happy to have achieved it. This award is the result of our team’s thorough and hard work, aimed at providing RoboMarkets clients with investment services of the highest standards, thereby allowing them to enjoy a top-class trading experience”.

About RoboMarkets

RoboMarkets is an investment company with the CySEC license No. 191/13. RoboMarkets offers investment services in many European countries by providing traders, who work on financial market, with access to its proprietary trading platforms. More detailed information about the Company’s products and activities can be found on the official website at www.robomarkets.com.

RoboForex Receives Two Industry Awards from Global Forex Awards 2022

RoboForex, the company that provides brokerage services for trading in global financial markets, was recognised as the “Best Affiliate Programme – Global” and the “Most Reliable Broker – LatAm» at the annual industrial event “Global Forex Awards – Retail 2022”.

It’s been the fifth straight Global Forex Awards ceremony. Every year, the event organisers choose the best companies that demonstrate outstanding results in trading and investments in global financial markets. Open voting decided the winners in 59 categories, both global and regional, including Africa, Asia, Europe, and the Middle East.

“These are some of the most comprehensive awards for this sector, that offer both a transparent and trustworthy judgement of the global forex retail industry,” explains Mike Boydell, Director of Holiston Media. “The public voting process took place throughout July 2022, and as has been the trend in previous years, there were very high engagement levels. We received tens of thousands of votes from right across the global forex trading communities and each of the winners has been voted for by their peers and customers and chosen for their world-class service. Winning an award is a sign of trust and success in this highly competitive industry.”

Robert Stephenson, Chief Business Officer at RoboForex: “We’d like to thank everyone who voted for us. This year, we received two accolades, the “Best Affiliate Programme – Global” and the “Most Reliable Broker – LatAm”, and we’re very happy to get both global and regional awards. It’s another proof that RoboForex truly is an international company and provides quality services in all regions of presence”.

About RoboForex

RoboForex is a company which delivers brokerage services. The company provides traders who work on financial markets with access to its proprietary trading platforms. RoboForex Ltd has the brokerage licence FSC 000138/333. More detailed information about the Company’s products and activities can be found on the official website at roboforex.com.

Nobel-winning quantum weirdness undergirds an emerging high-tech industry, promising better ways of encrypting communications and imaging your body

By Nicholas Peters, University of Tennessee 

Unhackable communications devices, high-precision GPS and high-resolution medical imaging all have something in common. These technologies – some under development and some already on the market all rely on the non-intuitive quantum phenomenon of entanglement.

Two quantum particles, like pairs of atoms or photons, can become entangled. That means a property of one particle is linked to a property of the other, and a change to one particle instantly affects the other particle, regardless of how far apart they are. This correlation is a key resource in quantum information technologies.

For the most part, quantum entanglement is still a subject of physics research, but it’s also a component of commercially available technologies, and it plays a starring role in the emerging quantum information processing industry.

Devices like this experimental apparatus can produce pairs of photons that are linked, or ‘entangled’.
Carlos Jones/ORNL, U.S. Dept. of Energy

Pioneers

The 2022 Nobel Prize in Physics recognized the profound legacy of Alain Aspect of France, John F. Clauser of the U.S. and Austrian Anton Zeilinger’s experimental work with quantum entanglement, which has personally touched me since the start of my graduate school career as a physicist. Anton Zeilinger was a mentor of my Ph.D. mentor, Paul Kwiat, which heavily influenced my dissertation on experimentally understanding decoherence in photonic entanglement.

Decoherence occurs when the environment interacts with a quantum object – in this case a photon – to knock it out of the quantum state of superposition. In superposition, a quantum object is isolated from the environment and exists in a strange blend of two opposite states at the same time, like a coin toss landing as both heads and tails. Superposition is necessary for two or more quantum objects to become entangled.

Entanglement goes the distance

Quantum entanglement is a critical element of quantum information processing, and photonic entanglement of the type pioneered by the Nobel laureates is crucial for transmitting quantum information. Quantum entanglement can be used to build large-scale quantum communications networks.

On a path toward long-distance quantum networks, Jian-Wei Pan, one of Zeilinger’s former students, and colleagues demonstrated entanglement distribution to two locations separated by 764 miles (1,203 km) on Earth via satellite transmission. However, direct transmission rates of quantum information are limited due to loss, meaning too many photons get absorbed by matter in transit so not enough reach the destination.

Entanglement is critical for solving this roadblock, through the nascent technology of quantum repeaters. An important milestone for early quantum repeaters, called entanglement swapping, was demonstrated by Zeilinger and colleagues in 1998. Entanglement swapping links one each of two pairs of entangled photons, thereby entangling the two initially independent photons, which can be far apart from each other.

Quantum protection

Perhaps the most well known quantum communications application is Quantum Key Distribution (QKD), which allows someone to securely distribute encryption keys. If those keys are stored properly, they will be secure, even from future powerful, code-breaking quantum computers.

How quantum encryption keeps secrets safe.

While the first proposal for QKD did not explicitly require entanglement, an entanglement-based version was subsequently proposed. Shortly after this proposal came the first demonstration of the technique, through the air over a short distance on a table-top. The first demonstrations of entangement-based QKD were published by research groups led by Zeilinger, Kwiat and Nicolas Gisin were published in the same issue of Physical Review Letters in May 2000.

These entanglement-based distributed keys can be used to dramatically improve the security of communications. A first important demonstration along these lines was from the Zeilinger group, which conducted a bank wire transfer in Vienna, Austria, in 2004. In this case, the two halves of the QKD system were located at the headquarters of a large bank and the Vienna City Hall. The optical fibers that carried the photons were installed in the Vienna sewer system and spanned nine-tenths of a mile (1.45 km).

Entanglement for sale

Today, there are a handful of companies that have commercialized quantum key distribution technology, including my group’s collaborator Qubitekk, which focuses on an entanglement-based approach to QKD. With a more recent commercial Qubitekk system, my colleagues and I demonstrated secure smart grid communications in Chattanooga, Tennessee.

Quantum communications, computing and sensing technologies are of great interest to the military and intelligence communities. Quantum entanglement also promises to boost medical imaging through optical sensing and high-resolution radio frequency detection, which could also improve GPS positioning. There’s even a company gearing up to offer entanglement-as-a-service by providing customers with network access to entangled qubits for secure communications.

There are many other quantum applications that have been proposed and have yet to be invented that will be enabled by future entangled quantum networks. Quantum computers will perhaps have the most direct impact on society by enabling direct simulation of problems that do not scale well on conventional digital computers. In general, quantum computers produce complex entangled networks when they are operating. These computers could have huge impacts on society, ranging from reducing energy consumption to developing personally tailored medicine.

Finally, entangled quantum sensor networks promise the capability to measure theorized phenomena, such as dark matter, that cannot be seen with today’s conventional technology. The strangeness of quantum mechanics, elucidated through decades of fundamental experimental and theoretical work, has given rise to a new burgeoning global quantum industry.The Conversation

About the Author:

Nicholas Peters, Joint Faculty, University of Tennessee

This article is republished from The Conversation under a Creative Commons license. Read the original article.

How to steer money for drinking water and sewer upgrades to the communities that need it most

By Andrian Lee, University of Wisconsin-Milwaukee and Melissa Scanlan, University of Wisconsin-Milwaukee 

When storms like Hurricane Ian strike, many people have to cope afterward with losing water service. Power outages mean that pumps can’t process and treat drinking water or sewage, and heavy stormwater flows can damage water mains.

Ian’s effects echoed a similar disaster in Jackson, Mississippi, where rising river water overwhelmed pumps at the main water treatment plant on Aug. 29, 2022, following record-setting rain. The city had little to no running water for a week, and more than 180,000 residents were forced to find bottled water for drinking and cooking. Even after water pressure returned, many Jackson residents continued to boil their water, questioning whether it was really safe to drink.

Jackson had already been under a boil-water notice for more than a month before the crisis, which arrived like a slow-motion bullet to the city’s long-decaying infrastructure. Now, Jackson and its contractors face lawsuits and a federal investigation.

This 2021 episode of ‘60 Minutes’ explores Jackson, Mississippi, residents’ frustration with their city’s long-running water problems.

We study water policy with a focus on providing equitable access to clean water. Our research shows that disadvantaged communities have suffered disproportionately from underinvestment in clean and affordable water.

However, a historic increase in federal water infrastructure funding is coming over the next five years, thanks to the Infrastructure Investment and Jobs Act that was enacted in 2021.

If this funding is managed smartly, we believe it can start to right these wrongs.

A complex funding mix

Water infrastructure has two parts. Drinking water systems bring people clean water that has been purified for drinking and other uses. Wastewater systems carry away sewage and treat it before returning it to rivers, lakes or the ocean.

Money to build and maintain these systems comes from a mix of federal, state and local sources. Over the past 50 years, policymakers have debated how much each level of government should contribute, and what fraction should come from the most prized source: federal money that does not need to be repaid.

The 1972 Clean Water Act created a federal grant program, managed by the Environmental Protection Agency, to help states and municipalities build wastewater treatment plants. Under the program, federal subsidies initially covered 75% of project costs.

Aerial view of water treatment tanks and gas digesters on a peninsula surrounded by ocean
The Deer Island water treatment plant in Boston began operation in 1995. It treats wastewater from towns across greater Boston and discharges cleaned effluent into the Atlantic Ocean.
Doc Searls/Wikipedia, CC BY

In the 1980s, the Reagan Administration challenged this arrangement. Conservatives argued that the grant program’s main purpose – addressing the need for more municipal wastewater treatment – had been fulfilled.

In 1987, Congress replaced wastewater grants with a loan program called the Clean Water State Revolving Fund, which still operates today. The EPA uses the fund to provide seed money to states, which offer low-interest loans to local governments to build and maintain wastewater treatment plants. Congress created a corresponding program, the Drinking Water State Revolving Fund, in 1996 to fund drinking water infrastructure.

As a result, U.S. water infrastructure now is funded by a mix of loans that must be repaid, principal forgiveness awards and grants that do not require repayment, and fees paid by local users. The larger the share that can be shifted into grants and principal forgiveness, the less pressure on local ratepayers to foot the bill for long-term infrastructure investments.

What’s in the infrastructure law

The Infrastructure Investment and Jobs Act authorizes more than US$50 billion for water infrastructure over the next five years. This won’t close the gap in funding needs, which the EPA has estimated at $472.6 billion from 2015 through 2034 just for drinking water systems. But it could support tangible improvements.

When water systems that serve low-income communities borrow money from state programs, even at low interest rates, they have to pay the loans off by raising rates on customers who already struggle to pay their bills. To reduce this burden, federal law allows state programs to provide “disadvantaged communities” additional subsidies in the form of principal forgiveness and grants. However, states have broad discretion in determining who qualifies.

The infrastructure law requires that 49% of federal funding for both drinking water and wastewater infrastructure must be awarded as additional subsidies to disadvantaged communities. In other words, almost half the money that states receive in federal funds must be awarded as principal forgiveness or outright grants to disadvantaged communities.

Who counts as ‘disadvantaged’?

In March 2022, the EPA released a memorandum that calls the infrastructure law a “unique opportunity” to “invest in communities that have too often been left behind – from rural towns to struggling cities.” The agency pledged to work with states, tribes and territories to ensure the promised 49% of supplemental funding reaches communities where the need is greatest.

This is an issue where the devil truly is in the details.

For example, under Mississippi’s definition of “disadvantaged community,” Jackson’s 2021 award for principal forgiveness was capped at 25% of the original principal. In its March 2022 memorandum, the EPA identified such caps as obstacles for under-resourced communities.

Mississippi appears to have responded by using a new standard for funds coming from the infrastructure law. Beginning this year, communities whose median household income is lower than the state median household income – including Jackson – will be awarded 100% principal forgiveness, which makes the funding effectively a grant.

Additionally, the EPA discourages using population as a factor to define “disadvantaged communities.” Communities with smaller populations struggle to cover water systems’ operating costs, so that challenge is important to consider. But using population as a determining factor penalizes larger cities that may otherwise be disadvantaged.

For example, in 2021, when determining principal forgiveness, Wisconsin awarded a higher financial need score to communities with populations below 10,000. This penalized Milwaukee, the state’s largest city, with almost a quarter of its people experiencing poverty.

In September 2022, Wisconsin updated its definition to consider additional factors, such as county unemployment rate and family poverty percentage. With these changes, Milwaukee now qualifies for the maximum principal forgiveness.

Mississippi and Wisconsin previously relied on factors too narrow to reach many disadvantaged communities. We hope the steps they have taken to update their programs will inspire similar actions from other states.

Getting the word out

In our view, the Infrastructure Investment and Jobs Act is a once-in-a-generation opportunity to correct decades of underinvestment in disadvantaged communities, especially with the EPA pushing the states to do so.

Historically under-resourced communities may not be aware of these state program funds, or know how to apply for them, or carry out infrastructure improvements. We believe the EPA should direct states that receive federal funds to help under-resourced communities apply for and use the money.

Recent events in Jackson and Florida show how natural disasters can overwhelm water systems, especially older networks that have been declining for years. As climate change amplifies storms and flooding, we see investing in water systems as a priority for public health and environmental justice across the U.S.The Conversation

About the Author:

Andrian Lee, Water Policy Specialist, University of Wisconsin-Milwaukee and Melissa Scanlan, Professor and Lynde B. Uihlein Endowed Chair in Water Policy, UW-Milwaukee School of Freshwater Sciences; Director of the Center for Water Policy; Affiliate Faculty, University of Wisconsin Law School, University of Wisconsin-Milwaukee

This article is republished from The Conversation under a Creative Commons license. Read the original article.

Japanese Candlesticks Analysis 10.10.2022 (USDCAD, AUDUSD, USDCHF)

Article By RoboForex.com

USDCAD, “US Dollar vs Canadian Dollar”

As we can see in the H4 chart, after forming a Shooting Star reversal pattern close to the resistance level, USDCAD may reverse in the form of a new descending wave. In this case, the downside correctional target may be at 1.3665. Later, the market may rebound from the support area and resume trading upwards. However, an alternative scenario implies that the asset may continue growing to reach 1.3850 without any pullbacks.

USDCAD
Risk Warning: the result of previous trading operations do not guarantee the same results in the future

AUDUSD, “Australian Dollar vs US Dollar”

As we can see in the H4 chart, AUDUSD has formed an Engulfing reversal pattern near the resistance area. At the moment, the asset is reversing in the form of a new descending structure. In this case, the downside target may be the support level at 0.6255. After testing the level, the price may break it and continue the descending wave. At the same time, the opposite scenario implies that the price may correct to reach 0.6380 first and then resume the downtrend.

AUDUSD
Risk Warning: the result of previous trading operations do not guarantee the same results in the future

USDCHF, “US Dollar vs Swiss Franc”

As we can see in the H4 chart, the pair has formed a Hanging Man reversal pattern not far from the resistance area. At the moment, USDCHF may reverse in the form of a new descending wave. In this case, the downside correctional target may be the support level at 0.9890. After testing this level, the price may rebound from it and resume trading upwards. Still, there might be an alternative scenario, in which the asset may continue growing to reach 1.0025 without any pullbacks.

USDCHF

Article By RoboForex.com

Attention!
Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex LP bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews.

The cryptocurrency market digest (BTC). Overview for 10.10.2022

Article By RoboForex.com

The BTC is declining smoothly. On Monday, it is balancing near 19,427 USD.

On Monday, the leading crypto is very restrained. It is a day off in the US today, so a part of investors will be away from the market. This can cause a decline in the volatility.

There are still very few chances for the BTC to grow. To rise higher, it needs to step over the key resistance level of 21,500 USD. For now, the crypto is most likely to stay inside a sideways channel between 19,000 and 20,000 USD.

Capitalisation of the crypto market has dropped to 904.12 billion USD. The BTC takes up 41.2% of it, the ETH — 17.91%, and the USDT — 7.55%. Curiously enough, the part taken by the XRP has grown noticeably over a week, now reaching 2.92%.

Over last week, the one token that has grown the most is the CSPR (+25.26%). Number two is the ENS (+24.06%). Both coins has entered the Top 100 list of the crypto market.

BTC hashrate has grown noticeably

The BTC hashrate has reached 10.8%, which is the new all-time high. This is good for both the safety and efficacy of the network. The complexity of the hashrate is though to be based on the computing power of the network. When the hashrate grows, it must be some powerful equipment joining the network that lets miners get coins and reward with fewer expenses.

Salvador criticizes those who doubt

President of Salvador confirmed that his decision to include the BTC in the country’s financial system was correct. Simultaneously, he criticized those who was against crypto as payment units. The leader of Salvador thinks that if the experiment succeeds, other countries may join in.

DeFi startup attracts financing

The Arch decentralised startup attracted 5 million USD during the first round of financing. The idea of the startup includes buying a smart contract that users can store on their own.

Article By RoboForex.com

Attention!
Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex LP bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews.

The Analytical Overview of the Main Currency Pairs on 2022.10.07

By JustForex

The EUR/USD currency pair

Technical indicators of the currency pair:
  • Prev Open: 0.9871
  • Prev Close: 0.9790
  • % chg. over the last day: -0.82 %

The report on the ECB’s September 7, 8 monetary policy meeting released yesterday showed that many Governing Council representatives approved a 75 basis point rate hike. The report also indicated that in the medium term, a 50 basis point hike would be part of a sustainable path towards more neutral rate levels, and such a dynamic would be enough to alleviate inflationary pressures and not “drop” the economy deep into recession. But all inflation forecasts for 2023 and 2024 have been revised upward.

Trading recommendations
  • Support levels: 0.9782, 0.9748, 0.9666
  • Resistance levels: 0.9856, 0.9962, 1.0058, 1.0111, 1.0162, 1.0230

From the technical point of view, the trend on the EUR/USD currency pair on the hourly time frame is bullish. But the MACD indicator became negative, the price is trading below the moving averages, and the sellers’ pressure is increasing again. Buy trades should be considered from the support level of 0.9782. Sell deals may be considered from the resistance level of 0.9856, but only with confirmation.

Alternative scenario: if the price breaks down through the support level of 0.9666 and fixes below it, the downtrend will likely resume.

EUR/USD
News feed for 2022.10.07:
  • – US FOMC Member Waller Speaks (m/m) at 00:00 (GMT+3);
  • – US FOMC Member Mester Speaks (m/m) at 01:30 (GMT+3);
  • – German Industrial Production (m/m) at 09:00 (GMT+3);
  • – US Nonfarm Payrolls (m/m) at 15:30 (GMT+3);
  • – US Unemployment Rate (m/m) at 15:30 (GMT+3);
  • – US FOMC Member Williams Speaks (m/m) at 17:00 (GMT+3).

The GBP/USD currency pair

Technical indicators of the currency pair:
  • Prev Open: 1.1324
  • Prev Close: 1.1158
  • % chg. over the last day: -1.49 %

The UK construction companies reported a moderate increase in business activity in September, marking a return to growth after two months of declining output. Nevertheless, subdued demand persists, as evidenced by the weakest new orders since the economic recovery began in June 2020. Confidence in business prospects fell to its lowest level in two years in September, reflecting fears of higher interest rates and a downturn in the UK economy as a whole. On a more positive note, the supply deficit narrowed in September, and delivery delays were the least common since February 2020.

Trading recommendations
  • Support levels: 1.1121, 1.0915, 1.0816, 1.0711, 1.03
  • Resistance levels: 1.1248, 1.1478, 1.1693, 1.1816, 1.1901

From the technical point of view, the GBP/USD currency pair trend on the hourly time frame is bullish. But the MACD indicator became negative, the price is trading below the moving averages, and the sellers’ pressure is increasing again. Under such market conditions, buy trades can be considered from the support level of 1.1121, but only with confirmation. Sell trades are best to look for on intraday time frames. The nearest resistance level is 1.1248, but also better with confirmation.

Alternative scenario: if the price breaks down from the 1.0915 support level and fixes below it, the downtrend will likely resume.

GBP/USD
There is no news feed for today.

The USD/JPY currency pair

Technical indicators of the currency pair:
  • Prev Open: 144.58
  • Prev Close: 145.13
  • % chg. over the last day: +0.38 %

The USD/JPY quotes are slowly increasing again. Analysts are confident that it is not worth expecting another currency intervention from the Japanese government, as it is costly and has a temporary effect. Secondly, the Bank of Japan does not have enough funds to stop the yen’s fall. Japan has $1.3 trillion in reserves, but only about $135.5 billion is in the form of deposits. The rest is held in US Treasury bills. To stop the yen from falling, the Bank of Japan needs to shift the narrative from a soft monetary policy to a neutral one. However, since the Bank of Japan has no plans to change anything in its policy until the end of the year, and the US Federal Reserve continues to aggressively raise rates, USD/JPY quotes will be inclined to rise.

Trading recommendations
  • Support levels: 144.16, 143.00, 140.60, 139.61, 138.78, 137.65, 136.80, 135.20
  • Resistance levels: 145.35

From the technical point of view, the medium-term trend on the currency pair USD/JPY is bullish. The MACD indicator has become positive, and the price trades above the moving levels again. Under such market conditions, buy trades can be searched for on the intraday time frames from the support level of 144.16, but with confirmation. Sell deals can be searched from the resistance level of 145.35, but only with an additional confirmation in the form of a false breakout, since the level has already been tested.

Alternative scenario: If the price fixes below 140.60, the downtrend will likely resume.

USD/JPY
There is no news feed for today.

The USD/CAD currency pair

Technical indicators of the currency pair:
  • Prev Open: 1.3615
  • Prev Close: 1.3746
  • % chg. over the last day: +0.96 %

Despite falling consumer prices in Canada, Bank of Canada Governor Tiff Macklem said he is firmly on a path to raise interest rates because policymakers are concerned about heightened domestic price pressures and rising inflationary expectations. Canada’s two-year bond yield reached its highest level since 2007, rising more than five basis points to 3.98%. Traders increased the odds of a 50 basis point rate hike at the next policy decision on October 26. Analysts are predicting that the Bank of Canada will stop at 4% in its rate hike cycle. The rate is currently at 3.25%.

Trading recommendations
  • Support levels: 1.3675, 1.3619, 1.3583, 1.3535, 1.3454
  • Resistance levels: 1.3755, 1.3858, 1.3968

From the point of view of technical analysis, the trend on the USD/CAD currency pair is bearish. But the price is trading above the moving lines again. The MACD indicator has become positive, and the buyer’s pressure is increasing. Under such market conditions, buy trades should be considered on the lower time frames from the support level of 1.3675 or 1.3619, but with confirmation. For sell deals, it is better to consider the resistance level of 1.3756, but only after the additional confirmation.

Alternative scenario: if the price breaks out through and consolidates above the resistance level of 1.3756, the uptrend will likely resume.

USD/CAD
News feed for 2022.10.07:
  • – Canada Unemployment Rate (m/m) at 15:30 (GMT+3).

By JustForex

 

This article reflects a personal opinion and should not be interpreted as an investment advice, and/or offer, and/or a persistent request for carrying out financial transactions, and/or a guarantee, and/or a forecast of future events.