COT Metals Speculators boosted their Copper bullish bets to 15-week high

February 19, 2022

By InvestMacro | COT | Data Tables | COT Leaders | Downloads | COT Newsletter

Here are the latest charts and statistics for the Commitment of Traders (COT) data published by the Commodities Futures Trading Commission (CFTC).

The latest COT data is updated through Tuesday February 15th and shows a quick view of how large traders (for-profit speculators and commercial entities) were positioned in the futures markets.

Highlighting the COT metals data is the gains in the Copper futures bets. The speculative net position in the Copper futures rose this week by the largest one-week amount of the past seventeen weeks. Copper speculator positions have risen now for two straight weeks and in four out of the past five weeks as well. Spec bullish bets had previously fallen to an eighty-one week low for Copper on December 21st but have rebounded since then with gains in six out of the next eight weeks. This positive sentiment has helped push the speculator positioning to this week to the highest bullish level of the past fifteen weeks.

Joining Copper (11,837 contracts) with rising positions this week were Gold (26,907 contracts), Silver (4,257 contracts) and Palladium (230 contracts) while Platinum (-1,627 contracts) saw lower speculator net contracts for the week.


Data Snapshot of Commodity Market Traders | Columns Legend
Feb-15-2022 OI OI-Index Spec-Net Spec-Index Com-Net COM-Index Smalls-Net Smalls-Index
WTI Crude 2,122,758 39 348,093 8 -392,000 80 43,907 77
Gold 558,645 35 213,613 56 -238,875 45 25,262 36
Silver 156,968 23 23,556 46 -36,348 63 12,792 17
Copper 210,089 34 30,692 64 -39,421 32 8,729 76
Palladium 8,358 9 -1,000 15 903 83 97 50
Platinum 59,897 22 10,132 16 -16,020 86 5,888 44
Natural Gas 1,098,101 0 -131,424 39 99,903 62 31,521 59
Brent 214,404 51 -26,325 73 22,279 27 4,046 64
Heating Oil 349,618 31 6,455 52 -32,434 37 25,979 88
Soybeans 856,917 58 216,732 84 -186,438 22 -30,294 20
Corn 1,607,591 39 414,492 83 -374,969 19 -39,523 20
Coffee 254,992 25 70,425 100 -75,230 1 4,805 22
Sugar 871,213 11 74,563 52 -90,388 51 15,825 27
Wheat 402,232 35 -5,846 42 10,013 51 -4,167 82

 


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Gold Comex Futures:

The Gold Comex Futures large speculator standing this week recorded a net position of 213,613 contracts in the data reported through Tuesday. This was a weekly advance of 26,907 contracts from the previous week which had a total of 186,706 net contracts.

This week’s current strength score (the trader positioning range over the past three years, measured from 0 to 100) shows the speculators are currently Bullish with a score of 55.7 percent. The commercials are Bearish with a score of 44.7 percent and the small traders (not shown in chart) are Bearish with a score of 35.9 percent.

Gold Futures Statistics SPECULATORS COMMERCIALS SMALL TRADERS
– Percent of Open Interest Longs: 56.1 22.7 8.4
– Percent of Open Interest Shorts: 17.8 65.5 3.8
– Net Position: 213,613 -238,875 25,262
– Gross Longs: 313,269 126,837 46,689
– Gross Shorts: 99,656 365,712 21,427
– Long to Short Ratio: 3.1 to 1 0.3 to 1 2.2 to 1
NET POSITION TREND:
– Strength Index Score (3 Year Range Pct): 55.7 44.7 35.9
– Strength Index Reading (3 Year Range): Bullish Bearish Bearish
NET POSITION MOVEMENT INDEX:
– 6-Week Change in Strength Index: 0.7 -0.4 -2.4

 


Silver Comex Futures:

The Silver Comex Futures large speculator standing this week recorded a net position of 23,556 contracts in the data reported through Tuesday. This was a weekly rise of 4,257 contracts from the previous week which had a total of 19,299 net contracts.

This week’s current strength score (the trader positioning range over the past three years, measured from 0 to 100) shows the speculators are currently Bearish with a score of 45.8 percent. The commercials are Bullish with a score of 63.2 percent and the small traders (not shown in chart) are Bearish-Extreme with a score of 17.4 percent.

Silver Futures Statistics SPECULATORS COMMERCIALS SMALL TRADERS
– Percent of Open Interest Longs: 36.3 35.9 16.0
– Percent of Open Interest Shorts: 21.2 59.1 7.8
– Net Position: 23,556 -36,348 12,792
– Gross Longs: 56,911 56,394 25,107
– Gross Shorts: 33,355 92,742 12,315
– Long to Short Ratio: 1.7 to 1 0.6 to 1 2.0 to 1
NET POSITION TREND:
– Strength Index Score (3 Year Range Pct): 45.8 63.2 17.4
– Strength Index Reading (3 Year Range): Bearish Bullish Bearish-Extreme
NET POSITION MOVEMENT INDEX:
– 6-Week Change in Strength Index: -7.3 7.5 -1.5

 


Copper Grade #1 Futures:

The Copper Grade #1 Futures large speculator standing this week recorded a net position of 30,692 contracts in the data reported through Tuesday. This was a weekly lift of 11,837 contracts from the previous week which had a total of 18,855 net contracts.

This week’s current strength score (the trader positioning range over the past three years, measured from 0 to 100) shows the speculators are currently Bullish with a score of 64.5 percent. The commercials are Bearish with a score of 32.4 percent and the small traders (not shown in chart) are Bullish with a score of 75.8 percent.

Copper Futures Statistics SPECULATORS COMMERCIALS SMALL TRADERS
– Percent of Open Interest Longs: 40.2 38.6 9.6
– Percent of Open Interest Shorts: 25.6 57.3 5.5
– Net Position: 30,692 -39,421 8,729
– Gross Longs: 84,415 81,004 20,249
– Gross Shorts: 53,723 120,425 11,520
– Long to Short Ratio: 1.6 to 1 0.7 to 1 1.8 to 1
NET POSITION TREND:
– Strength Index Score (3 Year Range Pct): 64.5 32.4 75.8
– Strength Index Reading (3 Year Range): Bullish Bearish Bullish
NET POSITION MOVEMENT INDEX:
– 6-Week Change in Strength Index: 7.9 -10.0 21.1

 


Platinum Futures:

The Platinum Futures large speculator standing this week recorded a net position of 10,132 contracts in the data reported through Tuesday. This was a weekly fall of -1,627 contracts from the previous week which had a total of 11,759 net contracts.

This week’s current strength score (the trader positioning range over the past three years, measured from 0 to 100) shows the speculators are currently Bearish-Extreme with a score of 16.3 percent. The commercials are Bullish-Extreme with a score of 86.1 percent and the small traders (not shown in chart) are Bearish with a score of 44.1 percent.

Platinum Futures Statistics SPECULATORS COMMERCIALS SMALL TRADERS
– Percent of Open Interest Longs: 47.1 35.4 14.5
– Percent of Open Interest Shorts: 30.2 62.1 4.6
– Net Position: 10,132 -16,020 5,888
– Gross Longs: 28,217 21,179 8,661
– Gross Shorts: 18,085 37,199 2,773
– Long to Short Ratio: 1.6 to 1 0.6 to 1 3.1 to 1
NET POSITION TREND:
– Strength Index Score (3 Year Range Pct): 16.3 86.1 44.1
– Strength Index Reading (3 Year Range): Bearish-Extreme Bullish-Extreme Bearish
NET POSITION MOVEMENT INDEX:
– 6-Week Change in Strength Index: 4.9 -5.5 6.5

 


Palladium Futures:

The Palladium Futures large speculator standing this week recorded a net position of -1,000 contracts in the data reported through Tuesday. This was a weekly boost of 230 contracts from the previous week which had a total of -1,230 net contracts.

This week’s current strength score (the trader positioning range over the past three years, measured from 0 to 100) shows the speculators are currently Bearish-Extreme with a score of 15.4 percent. The commercials are Bullish-Extreme with a score of 82.6 percent and the small traders (not shown in chart) are Bullish with a score of 50.4 percent.

Palladium Futures Statistics SPECULATORS COMMERCIALS SMALL TRADERS
– Percent of Open Interest Longs: 25.0 48.1 17.1
– Percent of Open Interest Shorts: 36.9 37.3 16.0
– Net Position: -1,000 903 97
– Gross Longs: 2,086 4,018 1,432
– Gross Shorts: 3,086 3,115 1,335
– Long to Short Ratio: 0.7 to 1 1.3 to 1 1.1 to 1
NET POSITION TREND:
– Strength Index Score (3 Year Range Pct): 15.4 82.6 50.4
– Strength Index Reading (3 Year Range): Bearish-Extreme Bullish-Extreme Bullish
NET POSITION MOVEMENT INDEX:
– 6-Week Change in Strength Index: 12.2 -13.2 14.7

 


Article By InvestMacroReceive our weekly COT Reports by Email

*COT Report: The COT data, released weekly to the public each Friday, is updated through the most recent Tuesday (data is 3 days old) and shows a quick view of how large speculators or non-commercials (for-profit traders) were positioned in the futures markets.

The CFTC categorizes trader positions according to commercial hedgers (traders who use futures contracts for hedging as part of the business), non-commercials (large traders who speculate to realize trading profits) and nonreportable traders (usually small traders/speculators) as well as their open interest (contracts open in the market at time of reporting).See CFTC criteria here.

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