COT Metals Speculators raised their Copper bullish bets for 1st time in 10 weeks

January 3, 2022

By InvestMacro | COT | Data Tables | COT Leaders | Downloads | COT Newsletter

Here are the latest charts and statistics for the Commitment of Traders (COT) data published by the Commodities Futures Trading Commission (CFTC). The latest release was delayed by the CFTC due to the New Year’s holiday.

The latest COT data is updated through Tuesday December 28th 2021 and shows a quick view of how large traders (for-profit speculators and commercial entities) were positioned in the futures markets.

Highlighting the COT metals data is the positioning in the Copper futures. The speculative net position in the Copper futures rebounded strongly last week following nine consecutive weekly declines in speculator bets. The recent weakness had brought the overall net position in Copper futures to the lowest standing in the previous eighty-one weeks. Last week’s rise marked the largest one-week gain of the past ten weeks and pushed the overall net position to a six-week high.

Joining Copper (9,946 contracts) with gains on the week were Gold (7,345 contracts), Silver (5,532 contracts), Platinum (3,201 contracts) and Palladium (530 contracts).


Data Snapshot of Commodity Market Traders | Columns Legend
Dec-28-2021 OI OI-Index Spec-Net Spec-Index Com-Net COM-Index Smalls-Net Smalls-Index
WTI Crude 1,867,339 0 338,429 20 -373,092 71 34,663 64
Gold 508,912 22 213,156 56 -245,664 43 32,508 56
Silver 141,246 8 26,458 49 -41,928 58 15,470 30
Copper 180,736 13 14,383 53 -19,679 46 5,296 56
Palladium 9,403 13 -3,109 4 3,230 95 -121 38
Platinum 60,353 22 4,469 9 -10,655 94 6,186 48
Natural Gas 1,110,532 0 -146,217 35 115,610 67 30,607 56
Brent 215,921 52 -20,716 84 17,594 18 3,122 52
Heating Oil 302,721 3 4,897 50 -21,060 49 16,163 54
Soybeans 647,225 9 125,285 61 -93,079 44 -32,206 18
Corn 1,522,692 25 458,176 89 -411,793 13 -46,383 16
Coffee 261,263 30 55,265 89 -58,015 14 2,750 7
Sugar 864,262 9 184,686 75 -209,011 29 24,325 38
Wheat 357,381 11 9,132 55 -1,601 39 -7,531 66

 


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Gold Comex Futures:

The Gold Comex Futures large speculator standing this week recorded a net position of 213,156 contracts in the data reported through Tuesday. This was a weekly gain of 7,345 contracts from the previous week which had a total of 205,811 net contracts.

This week’s current strength score (the trader positioning range over the past three years, measured from 0 to 100) shows the speculators are currently Bullish with a score of 55.6 percent. The commercials are Bearish with a score of 42.6 percent and the small traders (not shown in chart) are Bullish with a score of 56.5 percent.

Gold Futures Statistics SPECULATORS COMMERCIALS SMALL TRADERS
– Percent of Open Interest Longs: 59.7 20.3 10.0
– Percent of Open Interest Shorts: 17.8 68.5 3.7
– Net Position: 213,156 -245,664 32,508
– Gross Longs: 303,879 103,172 51,121
– Gross Shorts: 90,723 348,836 18,613
– Long to Short Ratio: 3.3 to 1 0.3 to 1 2.7 to 1
NET POSITION TREND:
– Strength Index Score (3 Year Range Pct): 55.6 42.6 56.5
– Strength Index Reading (3 Year Range): Bullish Bearish Bullish
NET POSITION MOVEMENT INDEX:
– 6-Week Change in Strength Index: -14.7 12.8 13.5

 


Silver Comex Futures:

The Silver Comex Futures large speculator standing this week recorded a net position of 26,458 contracts in the data reported through Tuesday. This was a weekly increase of 5,532 contracts from the previous week which had a total of 20,926 net contracts.

This week’s current strength score (the trader positioning range over the past three years, measured from 0 to 100) shows the speculators are currently Bearish with a score of 48.7 percent. The commercials are Bullish with a score of 57.8 percent and the small traders (not shown in chart) are Bearish with a score of 30.5 percent.

Silver Futures Statistics SPECULATORS COMMERCIALS SMALL TRADERS
– Percent of Open Interest Longs: 45.2 29.3 19.0
– Percent of Open Interest Shorts: 26.5 59.0 8.1
– Net Position: 26,458 -41,928 15,470
– Gross Longs: 63,873 41,386 26,850
– Gross Shorts: 37,415 83,314 11,380
– Long to Short Ratio: 1.7 to 1 0.5 to 1 2.4 to 1
NET POSITION TREND:
– Strength Index Score (3 Year Range Pct): 48.7 57.8 30.5
– Strength Index Reading (3 Year Range): Bearish Bullish Bearish
NET POSITION MOVEMENT INDEX:
– 6-Week Change in Strength Index: -19.1 23.8 -30.5

 


Copper Grade #1 Futures:

The Copper Grade #1 Futures large speculator standing this week recorded a net position of 14,383 contracts in the data reported through Tuesday. This was a weekly lift of 9,946 contracts from the previous week which had a total of 4,437 net contracts.

This week’s current strength score (the trader positioning range over the past three years, measured from 0 to 100) shows the speculators are currently Bullish with a score of 52.7 percent. The commercials are Bearish with a score of 45.9 percent and the small traders (not shown in chart) are Bullish with a score of 55.9 percent.

Copper Futures Statistics SPECULATORS COMMERCIALS SMALL TRADERS
– Percent of Open Interest Longs: 39.3 42.6 9.2
– Percent of Open Interest Shorts: 31.3 53.5 6.3
– Net Position: 14,383 -19,679 5,296
– Gross Longs: 70,980 77,057 16,594
– Gross Shorts: 56,597 96,736 11,298
– Long to Short Ratio: 1.3 to 1 0.8 to 1 1.5 to 1
NET POSITION TREND:
– Strength Index Score (3 Year Range Pct): 52.7 45.9 55.9
– Strength Index Reading (3 Year Range): Bullish Bearish Bullish
NET POSITION MOVEMENT INDEX:
– 6-Week Change in Strength Index: -4.3 7.6 -29.9

 


Platinum Futures:

The Platinum Futures large speculator standing this week recorded a net position of 4,469 contracts in the data reported through Tuesday. This was a weekly rise of 3,201 contracts from the previous week which had a total of 1,268 net contracts.

This week’s current strength score (the trader positioning range over the past three years, measured from 0 to 100) shows the speculators are currently Bearish-Extreme with a score of 8.8 percent. The commercials are Bullish-Extreme with a score of 93.8 percent and the small traders (not shown in chart) are Bearish with a score of 48.3 percent.

Platinum Futures Statistics SPECULATORS COMMERCIALS SMALL TRADERS
– Percent of Open Interest Longs: 45.0 35.9 15.9
– Percent of Open Interest Shorts: 37.6 53.5 5.6
– Net Position: 4,469 -10,655 6,186
– Gross Longs: 27,133 21,661 9,568
– Gross Shorts: 22,664 32,316 3,382
– Long to Short Ratio: 1.2 to 1 0.7 to 1 2.8 to 1
NET POSITION TREND:
– Strength Index Score (3 Year Range Pct): 8.8 93.8 48.3
– Strength Index Reading (3 Year Range): Bearish-Extreme Bullish-Extreme Bearish
NET POSITION MOVEMENT INDEX:
– 6-Week Change in Strength Index: -23.9 25.2 -14.3

 


Palladium Futures:

The Palladium Futures large speculator standing this week recorded a net position of -3,109 contracts in the data reported through Tuesday. This was a weekly increase of 530 contracts from the previous week which had a total of -3,639 net contracts.

This week’s current strength score (the trader positioning range over the past three years, measured from 0 to 100) shows the speculators are currently Bearish-Extreme with a score of 3.6 percent. The commercials are Bullish-Extreme with a score of 95.3 percent and the small traders (not shown in chart) are Bearish with a score of 37.5 percent.

Palladium Futures Statistics SPECULATORS COMMERCIALS SMALL TRADERS
– Percent of Open Interest Longs: 28.4 57.3 12.9
– Percent of Open Interest Shorts: 61.5 23.0 14.2
– Net Position: -3,109 3,230 -121
– Gross Longs: 2,670 5,390 1,214
– Gross Shorts: 5,779 2,160 1,335
– Long to Short Ratio: 0.5 to 1 2.5 to 1 0.9 to 1
NET POSITION TREND:
– Strength Index Score (3 Year Range Pct): 3.6 95.3 37.5
– Strength Index Reading (3 Year Range): Bearish-Extreme Bullish-Extreme Bearish
NET POSITION MOVEMENT INDEX:
– 6-Week Change in Strength Index: -5.8 6.6 -10.8

 


Article By InvestMacroReceive our weekly COT Reports by Email

*COT Report: The COT data, released weekly to the public each Friday, is updated through the most recent Tuesday (data is 3 days old) and shows a quick view of how large speculators or non-commercials (for-profit traders) were positioned in the futures markets.

The CFTC categorizes trader positions according to commercial hedgers (traders who use futures contracts for hedging as part of the business), non-commercials (large traders who speculate to realize trading profits) and nonreportable traders (usually small traders/speculators) as well as their open interest (contracts open in the market at time of reporting).See CFTC criteria here.

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