Archive for Metals – Page 36

Silver Co. Posts Record Production in Q3; Raises FY Guidance

Source: Streetwise Reports  (10/13/22)

Shares of Gatos Silver Inc. traded 29% higher yesterday after the company reported it achieved record levels of production at its Cerro Los Gatos mine during Q3/22. The firm raised its FY/22 production guidance while lowering its operating cost estimates.

After U.S. markets closed Tuesday, silver explorer, developer, and producer Gatos Silver Inc. (GATO:TSX; GATO:NYSE) announced “record production results from its 70%-owned Cerro Los Gatos (CLG) mine for the quarter and nine months ended September 30, 2022.”

The company highlighted that in Q3/22, silver production at GLG increased by 59% to 2.7 Moz Ag (million ounces silver), compared to 1.7 Moz Ag in Q3/21.

The firm advised that due to the positive results it achieved in Q3/22, it is raising its FY/22 production guidance and, at the same time, is lowering its FY/22 cost guidance.

Gatos Silver’s CEO Dale Andres stated, “Our continued strong operating performance at CLG during the quarter reflects planned production sequencing, with mill throughput exceeding design capacity by 15% and with higher ore grades compared with a year earlier.”

Gatos Silver raised its forward silver production guidance at the CLG mine by 9.2% over its previous estimates and advised that for FY/22, it expects the mine to produce 9.35-9.65 Moz Ag (silver), compared to its prior projections of 8.50-9.0 Moz Ag.

“Our priority exploration and definition drilling objectives are to extend our mine life by converting the higher-grade portion of our current Mineral Resource into Reserves and to follow up on the mineralization recently discovered at depth in the new South-East Deeps zone while assessing its potential implications for the entire Los Gatos district, Andres added.”

In addition to the record silver production mentioned above, during Q3/22, the GLG mine also registered record production of both lead and zinc. Zinc production increased by 32% year-over-year to 17.8 Mlb (million pounds), and lead production rose 13% y-o-y to 12.2 Mlb.

The company explained that the gains in production were attributed to record amounts of higher-grade material processed at the mill, which averaged 2,862 tpd (tonnes per day). The firm stated that it expects to process the same volumes but of somewhat lower-grade ore in Q4/22 as the highest-grade sections of the orebody were milled in Q3/22.

The company said that in Q3/22, it completed a fourth lift of the tailings dam and indicated that the construction of its paste plant is nearly finished. These events are expected to increase productivity and lower operating costs beginning in Q4/22.

Gatos Silver raised its forward silver production guidance at the CLG mine by 9.2% over its previous estimates and advised that for FY/22, it expects the mine to produce 9.35-9.65 Moz Ag (silver), compared to its prior projections of 8.50-9.0 Moz Ag.

The company added that it is also raising its estimates for gold (Au), lead (Pb), and zinc (Zn) concentrates production by even higher per percentages and stated that for FY/22, it expects to produce 5.0-5.3 Koz Au (thousand ounces gold), 43-45 Mlb Pb (million pounds lead), and 58-61 Mlb Zn.

The firm pointed out that while it is increasing production, it is now incurring lower total operating expenses and now expects FY/22 all-in-sustaining costs (AISC) to decrease by about 14% compared to prior forecasts. The company said that for FY/22, it expects AISC on a co-product basis of $15.50-16.50 per Ag eq oz. Gatos added that AISC for payable silver ounces produced is expected to be even lower at $11.50 -12.50 per Ag eq oz.

The firm advised that it estimates that for FY/22, it will have total sustaining capital expenditures in the amount of $75 million.

Gatos Silver mentioned that after it finishes construction of its paste plant in Q4/22, it expects that all-in –sustaining costs (AISC) will fall substantially throughout FY/23. In addition, there are no large expenses projected for tailings dam construction in FY/23, which will also lower overall expenses.

The company noted that, as it previously announced, it is proceeding with its plans to move its executive offices to Vancouver, B.C., from Denver, Colo., and expects to complete the transition in Q4/22.

The firm indicated that as of September 30, 2022, the Los Gatos Joint Venture (LGJV) had a cash balance of $39 million, compared to $40 million on June 30, 2022. In addition, the company advised that because of the CLG mine’s strong operating performance in Q3/22, it received its second quarterly dividend from the LGJV in the amount of $10 million.

The company stated that last week “it announced an updated CLG Mineral Reserve Estimate, Mineral Resource Estimate and Life of Mine plan and expects to produce a new technical report at the end of October 2022.”

Gatos Silver reiterated that, as it advised in a prior news release, it is presently working to find a licensed auditor in B.C., Canada, to perform an audit and complete a review of its financial statements. The firm indicated that it anticipates that at least one material issue may exist and will take the necessary steps to remedy any items discovered in the audit process as soon as practicable.

Specifically, the company advised that “it anticipates completing an impairment assessment based on the 2022 Mineral Reserve in Q4/22 and is working towards completing all outstanding SEC and OSC filings as soon as practicable.”

Gatos Silver is focused on exploration, development, and production at the Cerro Los Gatos deposit in the State of Chihuahua, Mexico, in which it owns a 70% interest through a joint venture. The property encompasses about 103,087 ha and is highly prospective for mining silver, zinc, lead, and some gold.

Gatos Silver started yesterday with a market cap of around $178.4 million, with approximately 69.1 million shares outstanding and a short interest of about 2.4%. GATO shares opened 8% higher yesterday at $2.79 (+$0.21, +8.14%) over the previous day’s $2.58 closing price. The stock traded between $2.78 and $3.43 per share and closed for trading at $3.33 (+$0.78, +29.07%).

Disclosures:
1) Stephen Hytha wrote this article for Streetwise Reports LLC and provides services to Streetwise Reports as an independent contractor. He or members of his household own securities of the following companies mentioned in the article: None. He or members of his household are paid by the following companies mentioned in this article: None.

2) The following companies mentioned in this article are billboard sponsors of Streetwise Reports: None. Click here for important disclosures about sponsor fees.

3) Comments and opinions expressed are those of the specific experts and not of Streetwise Reports or its officers. The information provided above is for informational purposes only and is not a recommendation to buy or sell any security.

4) The article does not constitute investment advice. Each reader is encouraged to consult with his or her individual financial professional and any action a reader takes as a result of information presented here is his or her own responsibility. By opening this page, each reader accepts and agrees to Streetwise Reports’ terms of use and full legal disclaimer. This article is not a solicitation for investment. Streetwise Reports does not render general or specific investment advice and the information on Streetwise Reports should not be considered a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Streetwise Reports does not endorse or recommend the business, products, services or securities of any company mentioned on Streetwise Reports.

5) From time to time, Streetwise Reports LLC and its directors, officers, employees or members of their families, as well as persons interviewed for articles and interviews on the site, may have a long or short position in securities mentioned. Directors, officers, employees or members of their immediate families are prohibited from making purchases and/or sales of those securities in the open market or otherwise from the time of the decision to publish an article until three business days after the publication of the article. The foregoing prohibition does not apply to articles that in substance only restate previously published company releases.

Rare Earths Co. Sees Big Results at British Columbia Project

Source: Streetwise Reports  (10/12/22)

Two core drill holes are showing broad mineralization at Defense Metals Corp.’s Wicheeda rare earth element deposit.

Defense Metals Corp. (DEFN:TSX.V; DFMTF:OTCQB; 35D:FSE) on Tuesday released results from two core drill holes showing broad mineralization at its 100%-owned Wicheeda rare earth element (REE) deposit in British Columbia.

The deepest hole drilled so far on the site at 395 meters, WI22-68, intersected 3.58% total rare earth oxide (TREO) over 124 meters, including 6.7% TREO over 18 meters and one 3-meter sample of 8.58% TREO.

Last month, Noble Capital Markets Senior Research Analyst Mark Reichman issued a note continuing to rate the company Outperform with a target of CA$0.90.

Just last week, analyst Michael Gray of Agentis Capital initiated coverage on Defense Metals, saying Wicheeda was well-located with access to key infrastructure and “could become a globally significant producer” of REEs.

“We are initiating coverage with a high conviction that DEFN is a best-of-breed North American REE developer that is well-positioned to its leverage growing global REE demand and government support to become part of a North American REE critical metals supply chain,” Gray wrote on October 3, 2022, when he set a 12-month valuation of CA$3.50 for the stock.

On Tuesday, he issued a note reaffirming his valuation, saying the hole “outperformed the deposit average.”

“We think the REE-enriched carbonatite unit could be larger than Defense anticipated, with coarse-grained mineralization encountered at depth in hole 68,” Gray wrote.

A second hole released this week, WI22-63, returned 2.29% TREO over 39 meters, including 5.08% TREO over 9 meters.

Last month, Noble Capital Markets Senior Research Analyst Mark Reichman issued a note continuing to rate the company Outperform with a target of CA$0.90.

The Catalyst

Gray said it’s an “excellent time to enter the REE space.” REEs are in high demand in the new green economy for purifying water, MRIs, fertilizers, weapons, research, wind turbines, computers, and permanent magnet motors for electric vehicles (EVs).

Defense Metals hopes to produce as much as 10% of the world’s light REEs to compete with China, which has about 85% of the world’s REE processing capacity. Political issues between the United States, China, and Taiwan put that vital supply at risk.

Given those needs, the company said it is moving as quickly as possible with the project.

Gray with Agentis said industries that use the elements are set to expand.

“We have taken our deposit from a bulk sample to pre-feasibility in four years,” Defense Metals Chief Executive Officer and Director Craig Taylor said. “I don’t think there is another rare earth deposit I can think of that has advanced this quickly.”

A preliminary economic assessment (PEA) for Wicheeda in 2021 showed an after-tax net present value of CA$512 million. Its 43-101 technical report showed a 5 million tonne indicated resource at 2.95% total rare earth oxides (TREO) and a 29.5 million tonne inferred resource averaging 1.83% TREO.

About 5,000 meters ended up being drilled this year over 15 holes. Results from 11 holes are still outstanding. The company is expecting to begin a preliminary feasibility study (PFS) before the end of 2022.

Industries Set to Expand

Realizing the importance of REEs, the U.S. government in February announced a US$35 million grant to MP Materials Corp. to process the elements at its California facility. The company has agreed to invest US$700 million to create more than 350 jobs in the permanent magnet sector by 2024.

Gray with Agentis said industries that use the elements are set to expand.

“The fundamentals for REE demand growth (are) very positive,” he wrote. “Demand is high, and forecasts suggest it will continue to grow, vis a vis the markets for EVs, wind turbines, and defense technologies.”

Currently, the analyst covering Defense Metals Corp. include Mark Reichman of Noble Capital Markets and Michael Gray of Agentis Capital. You can see all the analyst and newsletter coverage by clicking “See More Live Data” in the data box above.

Defense Metals recently also entered into a Mineral Exploration Agreement with the McLeod Lake Indian Band for Wicheeda that creates a framework for communication and cooperation between the company and the group as they move forward.

The company is also testing an acid bake extraction process for the REEs that could lower capital and operating costs. High-temperature concentrated sulfuric acid is used to convert the REEs to water-soluble sulfates, which can then dissolve during a water leach. A precipitation process is then used to recover the REEs.

The process is expected to allow for a more than 95% recovery rate for the REEs, compared to less than 90% with the alternative caustic cracking process. Testing for the new process will likely be finished soon.

Ownership, Analyst Coverage, and Share Structure.

Three money managers — Marquest Asset Management, U.S. Global Investors, and Probity/Qwest Funds — own a small percentage of the company. The rest is retail.

Currently, the analyst covering Defense Metals Corp. include Mark Reichman of Noble Capital Markets and Michael Gray of Agentis Capital. You can see all the analyst and newsletter coverage by clicking “See More Live Data” in the data box above.

Defense Metals has a market cap of CA$46.76 million with 183.4 million shares outstanding, 140.3 million of them free floating. It trades in a 52-week range of CA$0.36 and CA$0.17.

Disclosures:

1) Steve Sobek wrote this article for Streetwise Reports LLC. He or members of his household own securities of the following companies mentioned in the article: None. He and members of his household are paid by the following companies mentioned in this article: None.

2) The following companies mentioned in this article are billboard sponsors of Streetwise Reports: Defense Metals Corp. Click here for important disclosures about sponsor fees. As of the date of this article, an affiliate of Streetwise Reports has a consulting relationship with Defense Metals Corp. Please click here for more information. The information provided above is for informational purposes only and is not a recommendation to buy or sell any security.

3) The article does not constitute investment advice. Each reader is encouraged to consult with his or her individual financial professional and any action a reader takes as a result of information presented here is his or her own responsibility. By opening this page, each reader accepts and agrees to Streetwise Reports’ terms of use and full legal disclaimer. This article is not a solicitation for investment. Streetwise Reports does not render general or specific investment advice and the information on Streetwise Reports should not be considered a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Streetwise Reports does not endorse or recommend the business, products, services or securities of any company mentioned on Streetwise Reports.

4) From time to time, Streetwise Reports LLC and its directors, officers, employees, or members of their families, as well as persons interviewed for articles and interviews on the site, may have a long or short position in securities mentioned. Directors, officers, employees or members of their immediate families are prohibited from making purchases and/or sales of those securities in the open market or otherwise from the time of the decision to publish an article until three business days after the publication of the article. The foregoing prohibition does not apply to articles that in substance only restate previously published company releases. As of the date of this article, officers and/or employees of Streetwise Reports LLC (including members of their household) own securities of Defense Metals Corp., a company mentioned in this article.

 

Trade Of The Week: Are Gold Bears Back In Town?

By ForexTime 

– The past few days have been rocky for gold.

After briefly punching above the 50-day Simple Moving Average early last week, bear hijacked the driving seat as multiple fundamental forces dimmed the metal’s allure. Despite gaining over 1% since the start of October, prices are back below the psychological $1700 level with the path of least resistance pointing south.

Last Friday’s strong US jobs numbers coupled with hawkish speeches by Fed officials made life hard for zero-yielding gold with rising Treasury yields adding insult to injury.

The US economy added 263,000 new jobs in September, beating market expectations of 250,000. Despite the marginal beat, the figure raised concerns that the US labour market may be starting to cool. Nevertheless, market expectations remain elevated over the Federal Reserve unleashing more monetary bazookas against the inflation menace.

With the greenback drawing fresh strength from the US jobs report and rising Treasury yields, gold could be exposed to fresh downside risks.

The low down…

It has been a rough year for gold.

The precious metal is down over 8% year-to-date thanks to an appreciating dollar, rising Treasury yields, and expectations for aggressive interest rates enforced by central banks. Although geopolitical risks, periods of dollar weakness and global growth concerns have somewhat limited downside losses – bears are currently winning this war. According to Bloomberg, traders are pricing in a 92% of a 75-basis point rate hike at the next FOMC meeting in November. If such becomes reality, gold could be instore for more pain as 2022 slowly comes to an end.

Taking a brief look at the monthly chart, every single monthly candle has closed negative since April 2022.

The week ahead…

It may be wise to fasten your seatbelts because the next few days promise to be eventful for gold. Investors will be served a platter of key economic reports and speeches from numerous financial heavyweights. To top things up, all eyes will be on the latest US inflation which is arguably now the biggest data point on the risk calendar.

Thursday sees the release of the US inflation report with investors watching to see if prices are rising again or perhaps if we are finally peaking. According to Bloomberg, the headline print for September is expected to drop 8.1% from 8.3% while the core is expected to jump 6.5% from the shock of 6.3% in August. A higher-than-expected CPI figure may reinforce expectations around the Fed unleashing more monetary bazookas to tame the inflation beast. This could see gold prices tumble lower as the dollar and Treasury yields rise. Alternatively, a lower-than-expected inflation report could reduce rate hike bets and feed the “dovish pivot” narrative – ultimately providing room for gold bulls to fight back.

Gold ETFs favour bears

According to an automated report from Bloomberg, gold ETFs cut 95,021 troy ounces of gold from their holdings last Friday, bringing this year’s net sales to 1.01 million ounces. This was the fourth straight day of declines.

The outflows may be the result of last Friday’s strong jobs data which bolstered bets over the Fed moving ahead with a 75-basis point rate hike next month. It’s worth keeping in mind that a gold ETF provides investors exposure to the precious metal without owning the physical asset. Outflows from ETFs are generally seen as bearish for the underlying asset.

Gold ready for a steep selloff?

Gold remains dominated by bears on the daily and weekly timeframes. After breaking back below $1700, this could open doors towards $1655, $1615, and $1600. Given how the precious metal remains in a fierce battle against a stronger dollar and aggressive rate hike bets among other themes, bears remain in control. The pending inflation report may set the tone for gold for the rest of this month. Should prices push back above $1700, this could open a path back toward $1724, $1752, and $1770.


Forex-Time-LogoArticle by ForexTime

ForexTime Ltd (FXTM) is an award winning international online forex broker regulated by CySEC 185/12 www.forextime.com

Silver Speculator bets rise for 4th week, climb to highest since June

By InvestMacro

Here are the latest charts and statistics for the Commitment of Traders (COT) reports data published by the Commodities Futures Trading Commission (CFTC).

The latest COT data is updated through Tuesday October 4th and shows a quick view of how large traders (for-profit speculators and commercial entities) were positioned in the futures markets.

Weekly Speculator Changes

The COT precious metals speculator bets were higher this week all across the board as all five of the metals markets we cover saw stronger sentiment and increased positioning.

Leading the gains for the precious metals markets was Gold (36,304 contracts) with Copper (9,505 contracts), Silver (7,950 contracts), Platinum (3,120 contracts) and Palladium (235 contracts) also showing a positive week.

Highlighting the COT Metals this week is the gains in the Silver speculator positions. Silver speculators boosted their bets this week for a fourth straight week and have now pushed their bets higher by +21,492 contracts over that time-frame. This recent turnaround in sentiment brought the overall net position back out of bearish territory after spending five straight weeks there from August 23rd to September 20th. This week’s total net position of +8,708 contracts is the best level for Silver since June 28th. The Silver price closed this week above the $20.25 level and managed to touch its highest level since June above $21 before closing lower.


Data Snapshot of Commodity Market Traders | Columns Legend
Oct-04-2022OIOI-IndexSpec-NetSpec-IndexCom-NetCOM-IndexSmalls-NetSmalls-Index
WTI Crude1,495,5382241,9998-260,8549418,85531
Gold437,065088,38512-96,548898,1630
Silver129,52408,70824-17,617798,90913
Copper166,1617-18,2512318,0237922827
Palladium7,0805-596203647723257
Platinum55,682143,28113-7,137873,85620
Natural Gas967,1264-159,09631126,0467133,05058
Brent162,76210-39,8204438,106571,71432
Heating Oil282,9882815,75566-32,1033716,34855
Soybeans677,1782266,75734-40,08374-26,67426
Corn1,365,62214304,96269-239,95938-65,0036
Coffee184,698042,15175-44,264292,11319
Sugar687,018047,08746-63,3545616,26728
Wheat291,61435,624261,90162-7,52571

 


Strength Scores show Silver and Copper rise

Strength scores (a measure of the 3-Year range of Speculator positions, from 0 to 100 where above 80 is extreme bullish and below 20 is extreme bearish) showed that the Silver (23.7 percent) and Copper (22.8 percent) are leading the metals category currently. Both of these markets have now seen there strength scores improve and are above the 20 percent level and out of a bearish extreme position.

On the downside, Gold (12.0 percent), Platinum (13.5 percent) and Palladium (19.9 percent) continue to be at the lowest strength levels currently and in bearish extreme positions (below 20 percent).


Strength Statistics:
Gold (12.0 percent) vs Gold previous week (0.0 percent)
Silver (23.7 percent) vs Silver previous week (14.9 percent)
Copper (22.8 percent) vs Copper previous week (15.3 percent)
Platinum (13.5 percent) vs Platinum previous week (9.3 percent)
Palladium (19.9 percent) vs Palladium previous week (18.6 percent)

Silver leads the Strength Trends

Strength Score Trends (or move index, calculates the 6-week changes in strength scores) show that Silver (14.6 percent) leads the past six weeks trends for metals this week. Palladium (6.9 percent), Platinum (5.2 percent) and Copper (0.6 percent) are all seeing positive moves for the past 6-weeks in the latest trends data.

Gold (-12.4 percent) is the only market this week with lower trend scores.

 


Move Statistics:
Gold (-12.4 percent) vs Gold previous week (-29.5 percent)
Silver (14.6 percent) vs Silver previous week (-3.0 percent)
Copper (0.6 percent) vs Copper previous week (0.4 percent)
Platinum (5.2 percent) vs Platinum previous week (-3.7 percent)
Palladium (6.9 percent) vs Palladium previous week (4.4 percent)


Individual Markets:

Gold Comex Futures:

Gold Futures COT ChartThe Gold Comex Futures large speculator standing this week came in at a net position of 88,385 contracts in the data reported through Tuesday. This was a weekly boost of 36,304 contracts from the previous week which had a total of 52,081 net contracts.

This week’s current strength score (the trader positioning range over the past three years, measured from 0 to 100) shows the speculators are currently Bearish-Extreme with a score of 12.0 percent. The commercials are Bullish-Extreme with a score of 89.4 percent and the small traders (not shown in chart) are Bearish-Extreme with a score of 0.0 percent.

Gold Futures StatisticsSPECULATORSCOMMERCIALSSMALL TRADERS
– Percent of Open Interest Longs:49.426.68.4
– Percent of Open Interest Shorts:29.248.76.5
– Net Position:88,385-96,5488,163
– Gross Longs:215,964116,45136,704
– Gross Shorts:127,579212,99928,541
– Long to Short Ratio:1.7 to 10.5 to 11.3 to 1
NET POSITION TREND:
– Strength Index Score (3 Year Range Pct):12.089.40.0
– Strength Index Reading (3 Year Range):Bearish-ExtremeBullish-ExtremeBearish-Extreme
NET POSITION MOVEMENT INDEX:
– 6-Week Change in Strength Index:-12.412.8-10.2

 


Silver Comex Futures:

Silver Futures COT ChartThe Silver Comex Futures large speculator standing this week came in at a net position of 8,708 contracts in the data reported through Tuesday. This was a weekly boost of 7,950 contracts from the previous week which had a total of 758 net contracts.

This week’s current strength score (the trader positioning range over the past three years, measured from 0 to 100) shows the speculators are currently Bearish with a score of 23.7 percent. The commercials are Bullish with a score of 78.6 percent and the small traders (not shown in chart) are Bearish-Extreme with a score of 13.4 percent.

Silver Futures StatisticsSPECULATORSCOMMERCIALSSMALL TRADERS
– Percent of Open Interest Longs:40.136.917.0
– Percent of Open Interest Shorts:33.450.510.1
– Net Position:8,708-17,6178,909
– Gross Longs:51,92647,75522,040
– Gross Shorts:43,21865,37213,131
– Long to Short Ratio:1.2 to 10.7 to 11.7 to 1
NET POSITION TREND:
– Strength Index Score (3 Year Range Pct):23.778.613.4
– Strength Index Reading (3 Year Range):BearishBullishBearish-Extreme
NET POSITION MOVEMENT INDEX:
– 6-Week Change in Strength Index:14.6-12.60.4

 


Copper Grade #1 Futures:

Copper Futures COT ChartThe Copper Grade #1 Futures large speculator standing this week came in at a net position of -18,251 contracts in the data reported through Tuesday. This was a weekly boost of 9,505 contracts from the previous week which had a total of -27,756 net contracts.

This week’s current strength score (the trader positioning range over the past three years, measured from 0 to 100) shows the speculators are currently Bearish with a score of 22.8 percent. The commercials are Bullish with a score of 79.0 percent and the small traders (not shown in chart) are Bearish with a score of 26.6 percent.

Copper Futures StatisticsSPECULATORSCOMMERCIALSSMALL TRADERS
– Percent of Open Interest Longs:30.447.48.7
– Percent of Open Interest Shorts:41.436.68.6
– Net Position:-18,25118,023228
– Gross Longs:50,47078,81714,537
– Gross Shorts:68,72160,79414,309
– Long to Short Ratio:0.7 to 11.3 to 11.0 to 1
NET POSITION TREND:
– Strength Index Score (3 Year Range Pct):22.879.026.6
– Strength Index Reading (3 Year Range):BearishBullishBearish
NET POSITION MOVEMENT INDEX:
– 6-Week Change in Strength Index:0.6-2.414.3

 


Platinum Futures:

Platinum Futures COT ChartThe Platinum Futures large speculator standing this week came in at a net position of 3,281 contracts in the data reported through Tuesday. This was a weekly advance of 3,120 contracts from the previous week which had a total of 161 net contracts.

This week’s current strength score (the trader positioning range over the past three years, measured from 0 to 100) shows the speculators are currently Bearish-Extreme with a score of 13.5 percent. The commercials are Bullish-Extreme with a score of 87.0 percent and the small traders (not shown in chart) are Bearish-Extreme with a score of 19.8 percent.

Platinum Futures StatisticsSPECULATORSCOMMERCIALSSMALL TRADERS
– Percent of Open Interest Longs:46.037.912.9
– Percent of Open Interest Shorts:40.150.76.0
– Net Position:3,281-7,1373,856
– Gross Longs:25,61021,1167,197
– Gross Shorts:22,32928,2533,341
– Long to Short Ratio:1.1 to 10.7 to 12.2 to 1
NET POSITION TREND:
– Strength Index Score (3 Year Range Pct):13.587.019.8
– Strength Index Reading (3 Year Range):Bearish-ExtremeBullish-ExtremeBearish-Extreme
NET POSITION MOVEMENT INDEX:
– 6-Week Change in Strength Index:5.2-5.23.1

 


Palladium Futures:

Palladium Futures COT ChartThe Palladium Futures large speculator standing this week came in at a net position of -596 contracts in the data reported through Tuesday. This was a weekly lift of 235 contracts from the previous week which had a total of -831 net contracts.

This week’s current strength score (the trader positioning range over the past three years, measured from 0 to 100) shows the speculators are currently Bearish-Extreme with a score of 19.9 percent. The commercials are Bullish with a score of 76.6 percent and the small traders (not shown in chart) are Bullish with a score of 57.3 percent.

Palladium Futures StatisticsSPECULATORSCOMMERCIALSSMALL TRADERS
– Percent of Open Interest Longs:30.948.119.1
– Percent of Open Interest Shorts:39.443.015.8
– Net Position:-596364232
– Gross Longs:2,1913,4091,352
– Gross Shorts:2,7873,0451,120
– Long to Short Ratio:0.8 to 11.1 to 11.2 to 1
NET POSITION TREND:
– Strength Index Score (3 Year Range Pct):19.976.657.3
– Strength Index Reading (3 Year Range):Bearish-ExtremeBullishBullish
NET POSITION MOVEMENT INDEX:
– 6-Week Change in Strength Index:6.9-9.931.8

 


Article By InvestMacroReceive our weekly COT Newsletter

*COT Report: The COT data, released weekly to the public each Friday, is updated through the most recent Tuesday (data is 3 days old) and shows a quick view of how large speculators or non-commercials (for-profit traders) were positioned in the futures markets.

The CFTC categorizes trader positions according to commercial hedgers (traders who use futures contracts for hedging as part of the business), non-commercials (large traders who speculate to realize trading profits) and nonreportable traders (usually small traders/speculators) as well as their open interest (contracts open in the market at time of reporting). See CFTC criteria here.

Charts for Lithium Co. Show It’s ‘Heading Higher’

Source: Clive Maund  (10/4/22)

In light of yesterday’s lithium results from Argentina Lithium & Energy Corp., expert Clive Maund takes a look at the 10-year, 15-month, and 6-month charts for the natural resource company to tell you his outlook.

Regardless of how many electric vehicles spontaneously combust in the near future, the charts for Argentina Lithium & Energy Corp. (LIT:TSX.V; PNXLF:OTC; OAY3:FSE) suggest that it is headed higher, possibly much higher, perhaps for reasons of its own such as (this added later) the company coming out with positive lithium results yesterday from its second drill hole at Rincon West.

We’ll start by looking at the long-term 10-year chart to get a “big picture” perspective on what’s going on with the stock.

Argentina Lithium & Energy Corp is therefore rated an immediate speculative Buy here.

On this chart, we can see that, following a massive spike higher in 2016 and a lesser spike higher in 2017, it went into a bearmarket that did more than erase all of the prior gains — it became almost worthless, dropping to about CA$0.04 at the lows of the giant Cup & Handle base that is delineated on the chart.

A year ago, it spiked dramatically higher to complete the right side of the Cup before slumping back to slowly complete the Handle part of the pattern, which price / volumen action just over the past couple of weeks suggests that it may now have done.

The 15-month chart enables us to examine in much more detail the entire Handle part of the pattern that formed following the spike a year ago.

As we can see, this Handle has taken the form of an orderly downtrend, and in recent months, it has become clear that a base pattern has been forming at the support above its lower boundary that we will now proceed to look at in more detail on the 6-month chart.

The 6-month chart looks most encouraging. First off, we can see that a fine Double Bottom has formed from early August along a line of support at the 20-cent level.

Next, we can see the persistent heavy buying that started to kick in about two weeks ago that has driven the Accumulation line strongly higher.

Lastly, we can see that, after declining steeply for months, the 50-day moving average has started to turn up and thus converge with the falling 200-day, which of course, makes a rally more likely.

The advance late in September brought it up to a band of significant resistance in the CA$0.26 to CA$0.28 zone, where it was entitled to pause, which is what it has done, but the positive price/volume action of the past couple of weeks with largish white candles and strong upside volume suggest that “something is going on” with this stock and that it won’t be long before it succeeds in breaking above this resistance which should lead to a larger move.

Argentina Lithium & Energy Corp is therefore rated an immediate speculative Buy here. The stock trades in good volumes on the US OTC market, where there has been a big increase in upside volume in recent weeks.

Argentina Lithium & Energy Corp.’s website.

Argentina Lithium & Energy Corp. closed at CA$0.27, $0.189 on September 30, 2022.

CliveMaund.com Disclosures

The above represents the opinion and analysis of Mr. Maund, based on data available to him, at the time of writing. Mr. Maund’s opinions are his own, and are not a recommendation or an offer to buy or sell securities. Mr. Maund is an independent analyst who receives no compensation of any kind from any groups, individuals or corporations mentioned in his reports. As trading and investing in any financial markets may involve serious risk of loss, Mr. Maund recommends that you consult with a qualified investment advisor, one licensed by appropriate regulatory agencies in your legal jurisdiction and do your own due diligence and research when making any kind of a transaction with financial ramifications. Although a qualified and experienced stock market analyst, Clive Maund is not a Registered Securities Advisor. Therefore Mr. Maund’s opinions on the market and stocks can only be construed as a solicitation to buy and sell securities when they are subject to the prior approval and endorsement of a Registered Securities Advisor operating in accordance with the appropriate regulations in your area of jurisdiction.

Disclosures:
1) Clive Maund: I, or members of my immediate household or family, own securities of the following companies mentioned in this article: None. I personally am, or members of my immediate household or family are, paid by the following companies mentioned in this article: None.

2) The following companies mentioned in this article are billboard sponsors of Streetwise Reports: Argentina Lithium & Energy Corp. Click here for important disclosures about sponsor fees. As of the date of this article, an affiliate of Streetwise Reports has a consulting relationship with: None. Please click here for more information.

3) Statements and opinions expressed are the opinions of the author and not of Streetwise Reports or its officers. The author is wholly responsible for the validity of the statements. The author was not paid by Streetwise Reports for this article. Streetwise Reports was not paid by the author to publish or syndicate this article. Streetwise Reports requires contributing authors to disclose any shareholdings in, or economic relationships with, companies that they write about. Streetwise Reports relies upon the authors to accurately provide this information and Streetwise Reports has no means of verifying its accuracy.

4) This article does not constitute investment advice. Each reader is encouraged to consult with his or her individual financial professional and any action a reader takes as a result of information presented here is his or her own responsibility. By opening this page, each reader accepts and agrees to Streetwise Reports’ terms of use and full legal disclaimer. This article is not a solicitation for investment. Streetwise Reports does not render general or specific investment advice and the information on Streetwise Reports should not be considered a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Streetwise Reports does not endorse or recommend the business, products, services or securities of any company mentioned on Streetwise Reports.

5) From time to time, Streetwise Reports LLC and its directors, officers, employees or members of their families, as well as persons interviewed for articles and interviews on the site, may have a long or short position in securities mentioned. Directors, officers, employees or members of their immediate families are prohibited from making purchases and/or sales of those securities in the open market or otherwise from the time of the decision to publish an article until three business days after the publication of the article. The foregoing prohibition does not apply to articles that in substance only restate previously published company releases. As of the date of this article, officers and/or employees of Streetwise Reports LLC (including members of their household) own securities of Argentina Lithium & Energy Corp., a company mentioned in this article.

Silver ETF dropped by -1.91 percent – October 5th 2022

By InvestMacro.com | #metals #silver #xagusd #slv

Silver End of Day Update: October 05 2022

The Silver SLV ETF finished the day with a decline by -1.91 percent, closing the day around the 18.99 price level, according to unofficial data at the New York close. SLV opened the at 18.69 with the high reaching approximately 19.1085 and the low of the day bottoming at 18.3684.

The Silver RSI level is Bullish:

The Relative Strength Index, an indicator that can indicate overbought (above 80) and oversold levels (below 20), shows that the current RSI score is at 61.9. This is a Bullish reading on the daily time-frame.

Silver Trends:

The Silver SLV ETF has risen by 5.15 percent over the past 10 days while seeing a gain by 7.78 over the past 30 days. The 90-day change is -6.50 while the 180-day return and the 365-day return are -12.45 and -22.24, respectively.

By investmacro.com

Copper JJC ETF rose by 1.43 percent today – October 05 2022

By InvestMacro.com | #metals #copper #xcuusd #jjc

Copper End of Day Update: October 05 2022

The Copper JJC ETF finished the day with an increase of 1.43 percent and closed the day around the 17.72 price level, according to unofficial data at the New York close. JJC opened the day at 17.41 with the high of the day being 17.78 and the low of the day at 17.26.

The current price is trading slightly above its 50-day simple moving average after a long recent drawdown. The ETF price, meanwhile, is trading quite a ways under the 200-day moving average.

Copper got a lift by 1.43 percent - October 05 2022

The Copper JJC ETF RSI level is Bullish:

The Relative Strength Index, an indicator that can indicate overbought (above 80) and oversold levels (below 20), shows that the current RSI score is at 56.0. This is a Bullish reading on the daily time-frame.

Copper Trends:

The Copper ETF is higher by 2.61 percent over the past 10 days while seeing a decline of -3.28 over the past 30 days. The 90-day change is -16.85 while the 180-day return and the 365-day return are -19.69 and -15.22, respectively.

Copper ETF is higher by 2.61 percent over the past 10 days

By investmacro.com

Metals Speculators continued to trim Gold bets to 179-week low

By InvestMacro

Here are the latest charts and statistics for the Commitment of Traders (COT) data published by the Commodities Futures Trading Commission (CFTC).

The latest COT data is updated through Tuesday September 27th and shows a quick view of how large traders (for-profit speculators and commercial entities) were positioned in the futures markets.

Weekly Speculator Changes led by Silver & Palladium

The COT precious metals speculator bets were slightly lower this week as two out of the five metals markets we cover had higher positioning this week while three markets had lower contracts.

Leading the gains for the precious metals markets was Silver (2,398 contracts) with Palladium (250 contracts) showing a small positive week.

The metals markets leading the declines in speculator bets this week were Gold (-13,641 contracts) and Copper (-7,470 contracts) with Platinum (-2,229 contracts) also registering lower bets on the week.

Highlighting the COT Metals data continues to be the downtrend of the Gold speculator positioning. Speculators dropped their Gold bets for the seventh consecutive week this week and that has now diminished the bullish Gold speculator position by a total of -90,770 contracts over the past 7-week period. This sentiment decline has pushed the overall Gold speculator standing (currently at +52,081 contracts) down to the lowest level of the past 179 weeks, dating back to April 23rd of 2019.

The Gold spot price has been in a downtrend in the second half of this year and has fallen by approximately 20 percent since reaching a high of approximately $2070.60 in March. This week saw the Gold price bounce off the $1615 support level to finish the week over 1 percent higher.


Data Snapshot of Commodity Market Traders | Columns Legend
Sep-27-2022OIOI-IndexSpec-NetSpec-IndexCom-NetCOM-IndexSmalls-NetSmalls-Index
WTI Crude1,504,9913226,0804-246,8729820,79235
Gold457,061152,0810-62,13810010,0571
Silver129,000075815-6,860896,1020
Copper173,66113-27,7561628,88486-1,12819
Palladium6,0801-831181,23682-40520
Platinum58,994201619-2,525932,3640
Natural Gas943,2410-152,12433121,1356930,98954
Brent167,44414-41,2574240,4906176720
Heating Oil290,2653111,41459-21,6254810,21134
Soybeans699,3112780,05138-50,20671-29,84521
Corn1,347,27811296,62268-229,43639-67,1864
Coffee185,149144,68077-46,664271,98418
Sugar710,887248,60147-56,409577,80818
Wheat290,77122,735234,67566-7,41072

 


Strength Scores

Strength scores (a measure of the 3-Year range of Speculator positions, from 0 to 100 where above 80 is extreme bullish and below 20 is extreme bearish) showed that Palladium (18.2 percent) took the lead with the highest current score in the metals category (Copper had led the past bunch of months).

The metals category continues to have a very rough time in this investing environment and the speculators sentiment continues to be lacking as all five of the metals markets are in bearish extreme levels with scores below 20 percent.

The lowest scores are led by Gold at 0.0 percent (at the bottom of its 3-year range) and is followed by Platinum (9.3 percent), Silver (14.9 percent) and Copper (15.9 percent).

Strength Statistics:
Gold (0.0 percent) vs Gold previous week (4.5 percent)
Silver (14.9 percent) vs Silver previous week (12.3 percent)
Copper (15.9 percent) vs Copper previous week (21.7 percent)
Platinum (9.3 percent) vs Platinum previous week (12.3 percent)
Palladium (18.2 percent) vs Palladium previous week (16.8 percent)

Strength Trends

Strength Score Trends (or move index, calculates the 6-week changes in strength scores) showed that Palladium (4.3 percent) leads the past six weeks trends for metals this week. Copper (0.4 percent) fills out the only other positive mover in the latest trends data.

Gold (-29.5 percent) leads the downside trend scores currently while the next market with lower trend scores were the Platinum (-3.7 percent) followed by Silver (-3.0 percent).

 


Move Statistics:
Gold (-29.5 percent) vs Gold previous week (-25.6 percent)
Silver (-3.0 percent) vs Silver previous week (-5.0 percent)
Copper (0.4 percent) vs Copper previous week (6.4 percent)
Platinum (-3.7 percent) vs Platinum previous week (2.1 percent)
Palladium (4.3 percent) vs Palladium previous week (5.0 percent)


Individual Markets:

Gold Comex Futures:

Gold Futures COT ChartThe Gold Comex Futures large speculator standing this week resulted in a net position of 52,081 contracts in the data reported through Tuesday. This was a weekly decrease of -13,641 contracts from the previous week which had a total of 65,722 net contracts.

This week’s current strength score (the trader positioning range over the past three years, measured from 0 to 100) shows the speculators are currently Bearish-Extreme with a score of 0.0 percent. The commercials are Bullish-Extreme with a score of 100.0 percent and the small traders (not shown in chart) are Bearish-Extreme with a score of 0.9 percent.

Gold Futures StatisticsSPECULATORSCOMMERCIALSSMALL TRADERS
– Percent of Open Interest Longs:45.330.58.8
– Percent of Open Interest Shorts:33.944.16.6
– Net Position:52,081-62,13810,057
– Gross Longs:207,154139,36140,325
– Gross Shorts:155,073201,49930,268
– Long to Short Ratio:1.3 to 10.7 to 11.3 to 1
NET POSITION TREND:
– Strength Index Score (3 Year Range Pct):0.0100.00.9
– Strength Index Reading (3 Year Range):Bearish-ExtremeBullish-ExtremeBearish-Extreme
NET POSITION MOVEMENT INDEX:
– 6-Week Change in Strength Index:-29.528.3-6.5

 


Silver Comex Futures:

Silver Futures COT ChartThe Silver Comex Futures large speculator standing this week resulted in a net position of 758 contracts in the data reported through Tuesday. This was a weekly boost of 2,398 contracts from the previous week which had a total of -1,640 net contracts.

This week’s current strength score (the trader positioning range over the past three years, measured from 0 to 100) shows the speculators are currently Bearish-Extreme with a score of 14.9 percent. The commercials are Bullish-Extreme with a score of 88.7 percent and the small traders (not shown in chart) are Bearish-Extreme with a score of 0.0 percent.

Silver Futures StatisticsSPECULATORSCOMMERCIALSSMALL TRADERS
– Percent of Open Interest Longs:38.738.016.0
– Percent of Open Interest Shorts:38.243.311.3
– Net Position:758-6,8606,102
– Gross Longs:49,98448,99320,681
– Gross Shorts:49,22655,85314,579
– Long to Short Ratio:1.0 to 10.9 to 11.4 to 1
NET POSITION TREND:
– Strength Index Score (3 Year Range Pct):14.988.70.0
– Strength Index Reading (3 Year Range):Bearish-ExtremeBullish-ExtremeBearish-Extreme
NET POSITION MOVEMENT INDEX:
– 6-Week Change in Strength Index:-3.05.3-13.6

 


Copper Grade #1 Futures:

Copper Futures COT ChartThe Copper Grade #1 Futures large speculator standing this week resulted in a net position of -27,756 contracts in the data reported through Tuesday. This was a weekly lowering of -7,470 contracts from the previous week which had a total of -20,286 net contracts.

This week’s current strength score (the trader positioning range over the past three years, measured from 0 to 100) shows the speculators are currently Bearish-Extreme with a score of 15.9 percent. The commercials are Bullish-Extreme with a score of 85.8 percent and the small traders (not shown in chart) are Bearish-Extreme with a score of 18.8 percent.

Copper Futures StatisticsSPECULATORSCOMMERCIALSSMALL TRADERS
– Percent of Open Interest Longs:29.250.28.4
– Percent of Open Interest Shorts:45.233.69.1
– Net Position:-27,75628,884-1,128
– Gross Longs:50,72687,18814,608
– Gross Shorts:78,48258,30415,736
– Long to Short Ratio:0.6 to 11.5 to 10.9 to 1
NET POSITION TREND:
– Strength Index Score (3 Year Range Pct):15.985.818.8
– Strength Index Reading (3 Year Range):Bearish-ExtremeBullish-ExtremeBearish-Extreme
NET POSITION MOVEMENT INDEX:
– 6-Week Change in Strength Index:0.4-0.0-2.4

 


Platinum Futures:

Platinum Futures COT ChartThe Platinum Futures large speculator standing this week resulted in a net position of 161 contracts in the data reported through Tuesday. This was a weekly fall of -2,229 contracts from the previous week which had a total of 2,390 net contracts.

This week’s current strength score (the trader positioning range over the past three years, measured from 0 to 100) shows the speculators are currently Bearish-Extreme with a score of 9.3 percent. The commercials are Bullish-Extreme with a score of 92.8 percent and the small traders (not shown in chart) are Bearish-Extreme with a score of 0.0 percent.

Platinum Futures StatisticsSPECULATORSCOMMERCIALSSMALL TRADERS
– Percent of Open Interest Longs:40.642.311.3
– Percent of Open Interest Shorts:40.346.67.3
– Net Position:161-2,5252,364
– Gross Longs:23,94424,9426,675
– Gross Shorts:23,78327,4674,311
– Long to Short Ratio:1.0 to 10.9 to 11.5 to 1
NET POSITION TREND:
– Strength Index Score (3 Year Range Pct):9.392.80.0
– Strength Index Reading (3 Year Range):Bearish-ExtremeBullish-ExtremeBearish-Extreme
NET POSITION MOVEMENT INDEX:
– 6-Week Change in Strength Index:-3.74.8-14.1

 


Palladium Futures:

Palladium Futures COT ChartThe Palladium Futures large speculator standing this week resulted in a net position of -831 contracts in the data reported through Tuesday. This was a weekly advance of 250 contracts from the previous week which had a total of -1,081 net contracts.

This week’s current strength score (the trader positioning range over the past three years, measured from 0 to 100) shows the speculators are currently Bearish-Extreme with a score of 18.2 percent. The commercials are Bullish-Extreme with a score of 81.7 percent and the small traders (not shown in chart) are Bearish with a score of 20.4 percent.

Palladium Futures StatisticsSPECULATORSCOMMERCIALSSMALL TRADERS
– Percent of Open Interest Longs:25.057.915.2
– Percent of Open Interest Shorts:38.737.621.8
– Net Position:-8311,236-405
– Gross Longs:1,5193,523922
– Gross Shorts:2,3502,2871,327
– Long to Short Ratio:0.6 to 11.5 to 10.7 to 1
NET POSITION TREND:
– Strength Index Score (3 Year Range Pct):18.281.720.4
– Strength Index Reading (3 Year Range):Bearish-ExtremeBullish-ExtremeBearish
NET POSITION MOVEMENT INDEX:
– 6-Week Change in Strength Index:4.3-1.7-27.1

 


Article By InvestMacroReceive our weekly COT Newsletter

*COT Report: The COT data, released weekly to the public each Friday, is updated through the most recent Tuesday (data is 3 days old) and shows a quick view of how large speculators or non-commercials (for-profit traders) were positioned in the futures markets.

The CFTC categorizes trader positions according to commercial hedgers (traders who use futures contracts for hedging as part of the business), non-commercials (large traders who speculate to realize trading profits) and nonreportable traders (usually small traders/speculators) as well as their open interest (contracts open in the market at time of reporting). See CFTC criteria here.

Large drop in Gold Speculator bets leads COT Metals Changes

By InvestMacro

Metals Open Interest Comparison

Here are the latest charts and statistics for the Commitment of Traders (COT) data published by the Commodities Futures Trading Commission (CFTC).

The latest COT data is updated through Tuesday September 20th and shows a quick view of how large traders (for-profit speculators and commercial entities) were positioned in the futures markets.

Large drop in Gold bets leads Weekly Speculator Changes

Metals Futures Large Speculator Net Position Changes

The COT precious metals speculator bets were higher overall this week as three out of the five metals markets we cover had higher positioning this week while the other two markets had lower contracts.

Leading the gains for the precious metals markets was Platinum (4,269 contracts) with Silver (3,000 contracts) and Palladium (192 contracts) also showing positive weeks.

The metals markets leading the declines in speculator bets this week were Gold (-31,622 contracts) with Copper (-1,300 contracts) also registering lower bets on the week.

Highlighting the COT Metals data this week was the sharp and continued decline in the Gold futures bets. Speculators dropped their Gold net positions this week by largest one-week amount in the past thirty-three weeks. The Gold position has now fallen for six straight weeks and by a total of -77,129 contracts over that 6-week time period. This bearishness has pushed the overall net positioning to a total of just +65,722 contracts, marking the lowest overall standing for Gold since April 23rd of 2019, a span of 178 weeks. The current investing environment has been a challenging one for Gold and the futures price this week touched the lowest level since April of 2020. Gold closed the week down over 1.6% and right around the $1,655.60 level.


Data Snapshot of Commodity Market Traders | Columns Legend
Sep-20-2022OIOI-IndexSpec-NetSpec-IndexCom-NetCOM-IndexSmalls-NetSmalls-Index
WTI Crude1,481,5451239,8788-261,5689421,69036
Gold469,395565,7220-75,4281009,7060
Silver132,1070-1,64012-5,629907,2694
Copper163,0584-20,2862223,21582-2,9298
Palladium5,9931-1,081171,26182-18033
Platinum62,900272,39012-5,496893,1065
Natural Gas960,2361-155,71132121,3086934,40362
Brent164,02511-37,9034836,732541,17125
Heating Oil292,6343214,09763-25,9414411,84439
Soybeans656,3101884,77339-55,48570-29,28822
Corn1,330,8419305,67769-241,23838-64,4396
Coffee191,433541,07274-42,998301,92617
Sugar744,972837,34544-35,86061-1,4856
Wheat285,5670-4,029149,98274-5,95380

 


Strength Scores

Strength scores (a measure of the 3-Year range of Speculator positions, from 0 to 100 where above 80 is extreme bullish and below 20 is extreme bearish) showed that Copper (21.7 percent) leads the metals markets with a score that is just outside an extreme bearish position of under 20 percent.

All of the other metals markets we cover continue to have scores under 20 percent with Gold at the lowest with 0.0 percent or the lowest level in three years. Silver (12.3 percent) is up over three percent from last week followed by Platinum (12.3 percent) and Palladium (16.8 percent). Platinum and Palladium are also higher than last week’s scores.


Strength Statistics:
Gold (0.0 percent) vs Gold previous week (11.0 percent)
Silver (12.3 percent) vs Silver previous week (9.0 percent)
Copper (21.7 percent) vs Copper previous week (22.7 percent)
Platinum (12.3 percent) vs Platinum previous week (6.6 percent)
Palladium (16.8 percent) vs Palladium previous week (15.7 percent)

Strength Trends

Strength Score Trends (or move index, calculates the 6-week changes in strength scores) showed that Copper (6.4 percent) leads the past six weeks trends for metals this week. Palladium (5.0 percent) and Platinum (2.1 percent) fill out the other positive movers in the latest trends data.

Gold (-26.8 percent) leads the downside trend scores with a big negative jump from last week’s -9.4 percent trend score and is followed by Silver at a trend score of -5.0 percent.

Metals Speculator Strength Trend (6-Weeks)
Move Statistics:
Gold (-26.8 percent) vs Gold previous week (-9.4 percent)
Silver (-5.0 percent) vs Silver previous week (-6.2 percent)
Copper (6.4 percent) vs Copper previous week (6.6 percent)
Platinum (2.1 percent) vs Platinum previous week (0.9 percent)
Palladium (5.0 percent) vs Palladium previous week (7.2 percent)


Individual COT Metals Market Charts:

Gold Comex Futures:

Gold Futures COT ChartThe Gold Comex Futures large speculator standing this week came in at a net position of 65,722 contracts in the data reported through Tuesday. This was a weekly fall of -31,622 contracts from the previous week which had a total of 97,344 net contracts.

This week’s current strength score (the trader positioning range over the past three years, measured from 0 to 100) shows the speculators are currently Bearish-Extreme with a score of 0.0 percent. The commercials are Bullish-Extreme with a score of 100.0 percent and the small traders (not shown in chart) are Bearish-Extreme with a score of 0.0 percent.

Gold Futures StatisticsSPECULATORSCOMMERCIALSSMALL TRADERS
– Percent of Open Interest Longs:45.730.28.6
– Percent of Open Interest Shorts:31.746.36.6
– Net Position:65,722-75,4289,706
– Gross Longs:214,557141,86240,500
– Gross Shorts:148,835217,29030,794
– Long to Short Ratio:1.4 to 10.7 to 11.3 to 1
NET POSITION TREND:
– Strength Index Score (3 Year Range Pct):0.0100.00.0
– Strength Index Reading (3 Year Range):Bearish-ExtremeBullish-ExtremeBearish-Extreme
NET POSITION MOVEMENT INDEX:
– 6-Week Change in Strength Index:-26.825.5-5.2

 


Silver Comex Futures:

Silver Futures COT ChartThe Silver Comex Futures large speculator standing this week came in at a net position of -1,640 contracts in the data reported through Tuesday. This was a weekly lift of 3,000 contracts from the previous week which had a total of -4,640 net contracts.

This week’s current strength score (the trader positioning range over the past three years, measured from 0 to 100) shows the speculators are currently Bearish-Extreme with a score of 12.3 percent. The commercials are Bullish-Extreme with a score of 89.9 percent and the small traders (not shown in chart) are Bearish-Extreme with a score of 4.2 percent.

Silver Futures StatisticsSPECULATORSCOMMERCIALSSMALL TRADERS
– Percent of Open Interest Longs:39.638.316.2
– Percent of Open Interest Shorts:40.842.610.7
– Net Position:-1,640-5,6297,269
– Gross Longs:52,32350,66121,383
– Gross Shorts:53,96356,29014,114
– Long to Short Ratio:1.0 to 10.9 to 11.5 to 1
NET POSITION TREND:
– Strength Index Score (3 Year Range Pct):12.389.94.2
– Strength Index Reading (3 Year Range):Bearish-ExtremeBullish-ExtremeBearish-Extreme
NET POSITION MOVEMENT INDEX:
– 6-Week Change in Strength Index:-5.07.5-16.6

 


Copper Grade #1 Futures:

Copper Futures COT ChartThe Copper Grade #1 Futures large speculator standing this week came in at a net position of -20,286 contracts in the data reported through Tuesday. This was a weekly decrease of -1,300 contracts from the previous week which had a total of -18,986 net contracts.

This week’s current strength score (the trader positioning range over the past three years, measured from 0 to 100) shows the speculators are currently Bearish with a score of 21.7 percent. The commercials are Bullish-Extreme with a score of 81.6 percent and the small traders (not shown in chart) are Bearish-Extreme with a score of 8.4 percent.

Copper Futures StatisticsSPECULATORSCOMMERCIALSSMALL TRADERS
– Percent of Open Interest Longs:28.750.78.1
– Percent of Open Interest Shorts:41.136.59.9
– Net Position:-20,28623,215-2,929
– Gross Longs:46,77382,69313,179
– Gross Shorts:67,05959,47816,108
– Long to Short Ratio:0.7 to 11.4 to 10.8 to 1
NET POSITION TREND:
– Strength Index Score (3 Year Range Pct):21.781.68.4
– Strength Index Reading (3 Year Range):BearishBullish-ExtremeBearish-Extreme
NET POSITION MOVEMENT INDEX:
– 6-Week Change in Strength Index:6.4-3.3-21.4

 


Platinum Futures:

Platinum Futures COT ChartThe Platinum Futures large speculator standing this week came in at a net position of 2,390 contracts in the data reported through Tuesday. This was a weekly gain of 4,269 contracts from the previous week which had a total of -1,879 net contracts.

This week’s current strength score (the trader positioning range over the past three years, measured from 0 to 100) shows the speculators are currently Bearish-Extreme with a score of 12.3 percent. The commercials are Bullish-Extreme with a score of 89.1 percent and the small traders (not shown in chart) are Bearish-Extreme with a score of 5.2 percent.

Platinum Futures StatisticsSPECULATORSCOMMERCIALSSMALL TRADERS
– Percent of Open Interest Longs:44.138.611.8
– Percent of Open Interest Shorts:40.347.36.9
– Net Position:2,390-5,4963,106
– Gross Longs:27,75624,2817,432
– Gross Shorts:25,36629,7774,326
– Long to Short Ratio:1.1 to 10.8 to 11.7 to 1
NET POSITION TREND:
– Strength Index Score (3 Year Range Pct):12.389.15.2
– Strength Index Reading (3 Year Range):Bearish-ExtremeBullish-ExtremeBearish-Extreme
NET POSITION MOVEMENT INDEX:
– 6-Week Change in Strength Index:2.1-1.8-1.4

 


Palladium Futures:

Palladium Futures COT ChartThe Palladium Futures large speculator standing this week came in at a net position of -1,081 contracts in the data reported through Tuesday. This was a weekly advance of 192 contracts from the previous week which had a total of -1,273 net contracts.

This week’s current strength score (the trader positioning range over the past three years, measured from 0 to 100) shows the speculators are currently Bearish-Extreme with a score of 16.8 percent. The commercials are Bullish-Extreme with a score of 81.8 percent and the small traders (not shown in chart) are Bearish with a score of 33.4 percent.

Palladium Futures StatisticsSPECULATORSCOMMERCIALSSMALL TRADERS
– Percent of Open Interest Longs:22.959.915.5
– Percent of Open Interest Shorts:40.938.918.5
– Net Position:-1,0811,261-180
– Gross Longs:1,3713,592930
– Gross Shorts:2,4522,3311,110
– Long to Short Ratio:0.6 to 11.5 to 10.8 to 1
NET POSITION TREND:
– Strength Index Score (3 Year Range Pct):16.881.833.4
– Strength Index Reading (3 Year Range):Bearish-ExtremeBullish-ExtremeBearish
NET POSITION MOVEMENT INDEX:
– 6-Week Change in Strength Index:5.0-4.4-6.1

 


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Investors Don’t Believe in Gold

By RoboForex Analytical Department

Gold continues falling – by Monday 19 September, it has reached $1,664. Earlier, it rebounded from the resistance level at $1,680 to indicate how strong the bearish pressure still is. This week, investors are expecting another aggressive rate hike from the US FOMC to continue its fight against growing inflation. Market players believe that it will be a 75-point hike, but if the regulator raises the rate by 1%, it might force Gold to continue plummeting.

Despite the fact that Gold usually acts as a “safe haven” asset” when inflation rises, high interest rates increase expenditures to store physical Gold. At the same time, increasing economic risks do not inspire market players to buy such “safe haven” assets, making the USD a more preferable investment.

Since mid-2020, Gold has been stuck inside a sideways channel between $2,065 and $1,680. If bears succeed to keep the metal at the current levels (and there are no fundamental reasons that might hint at a possible reversal so far), Gold might plummet to $1,300 in the long-term.

As we can see in the H4 chart, after rebounding from 1730.00, XAU/USD is forming another descending wave towards 1646.00. Later, the market may start a new growth with the target at 1727.00. From the technical point of view, this scenario is confirmed by MACD Oscillator: its signal line is moving below 0 outside the histogram area. In the future, the line may reverse and grow towards 0.

In the H1 chart, Gold continues trading downwards with the short-term target at 1650.00. Later, the market may grow towards 1690.00 and then resume falling to reach 1646.00. From the technical point of view, this scenario is confirmed by the Stochastic Oscillator: its signal is moving below 20 and may soon grow towards 50. After that, the line may resume falling to return to 20.

Disclaimer

Any predictions contained herein are based on the author’s particular opinion. This analysis shall not be treated as trading advice. RoboForex shall not be held liable for the results of the trades arising from relying upon trading recommendations and reviews contained herein.