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COT Bonds Futures Charts: Eurodollars, Fed Funds, 10-Year, 2-Year, 5-Year Treasury Notes, Long Bonds

By CountingPips.com COT Home | Data Tables | Data Downloads | Newsletter

Here are the latest charts and statistics for the Commitment of Traders (COT) data published by the Commodities Futures Trading Commission (CFTC).

The latest COT data is updated through Tuesday June 29 2021 and shows a quick view of how large traders (for-profit speculators and commercial entities) were positioned in the futures markets.

3-Month Eurodollars Futures:

The 3-Month Eurodollars large speculator standing this week reached a net position of -1,080,594 contracts in the data reported through Tuesday. This was a weekly lowering of -52,897 contracts from the previous week which had a total of -1,027,697 net contracts.

This week’s current strength score (the trader positioning range over the past three years, measured from 0 to 100) shows the speculators are currently Bearish with a score of 37.9 percent. The commercials are Bullish with a score of 57.4 percent and the small traders (not shown in chart) are Bullish with a score of 70.8 percent.

3-Month Eurodollars Statistics	SPECULATORS	COMMERCIALS	SMALL TRADERS
– Percent of Open Interest Longs:	13.8	60.2	4.8
– Percent of Open Interest Shorts:	22.6	49.3	6.9
– Net Position:	-1,080,594	1,326,857	-246,263
– Gross Longs:	1,682,162	7,338,321	591,597
– Gross Shorts:	2,762,756	6,011,464	837,860
– Long to Short Ratio:	0.6 to 1	1.2 to 1	0.7 to 1
NET POSITION TREND:
– COT Index Score (3 Year Range Pct):	37.9	57.4	70.8
– COT Index Reading (3 Year Range):	Bearish	Bullish	Bullish
NET POSITION MOVEMENT INDEX:
– 6-Week Change in Strength Index:	-14.3	13.3	-1.4

30-Day Federal Funds Futures:

The 30-Day Federal Funds large speculator standing this week reached a net position of -200,030 contracts in the data reported through Tuesday. This was a weekly gain of 56,278 contracts from the previous week which had a total of -256,308 net contracts.

This week’s current strength score (the trader positioning range over the past three years, measured from 0 to 100) shows the speculators are currently Bearish-Extreme with a score of 14.9 percent. The commercials are Bullish-Extreme with a score of 84.7 percent and the small traders (not shown in chart) are Bullish with a score of 63.7 percent.

30-Day Federal Funds Statistics	SPECULATORS	COMMERCIALS	SMALL TRADERS
– Percent of Open Interest Longs:	3.3	77.8	2.4
– Percent of Open Interest Shorts:	21.8	58.9	2.8
– Net Position:	-200,030	204,108	-4,078
– Gross Longs:	35,137	841,077	25,885
– Gross Shorts:	235,167	636,969	29,963
– Long to Short Ratio:	0.1 to 1	1.3 to 1	0.9 to 1
NET POSITION TREND:
– COT Index Score (3 Year Range Pct):	14.9	84.7	63.7
– COT Index Reading (3 Year Range):	Bearish-Extreme	Bullish-Extreme	Bullish
NET POSITION MOVEMENT INDEX:
– 6-Week Change in Strength Index:	11.7	-11.7	3.1

2-Year Treasury Note Futures:

The 2-Year Treasury Note large speculator standing this week reached a net position of -191,256 contracts in the data reported through Tuesday. This was a weekly decline of -38,349 contracts from the previous week which had a total of -152,907 net contracts.

This week’s current strength score (the trader positioning range over the past three years, measured from 0 to 100) shows the speculators are currently Bullish with a score of 54.2 percent. The commercials are Bullish with a score of 53.3 percent and the small traders (not shown in chart) are Bearish with a score of 37.4 percent.

2-Year Treasury Note Statistics	SPECULATORS	COMMERCIALS	SMALL TRADERS
– Percent of Open Interest Longs:	16.3	73.6	6.8
– Percent of Open Interest Shorts:	25.6	64.6	6.5
– Net Position:	-191,256	186,384	4,872
– Gross Longs:	333,549	1,509,829	139,126
– Gross Shorts:	524,805	1,323,445	134,254
– Long to Short Ratio:	0.6 to 1	1.1 to 1	1.0 to 1
NET POSITION TREND:
– COT Index Score (3 Year Range Pct):	54.2	53.3	37.4
– COT Index Reading (3 Year Range):	Bullish	Bullish	Bearish
NET POSITION MOVEMENT INDEX:
– 6-Week Change in Strength Index:	5.2	2.8	-19.2

5-Year Treasury Note Futures:

The 5-Year Treasury Note large speculator standing this week reached a net position of -214,355 contracts in the data reported through Tuesday. This was a weekly decrease of -4,829 contracts from the previous week which had a total of -209,526 net contracts.

This week’s current strength score (the trader positioning range over the past three years, measured from 0 to 100) shows the speculators are currently Bullish with a score of 67.8 percent. The commercials are Bearish with a score of 42.4 percent and the small traders (not shown in chart) are Bearish-Extreme with a score of 2.1 percent.

5-Year Treasury Note Statistics	SPECULATORS	COMMERCIALS	SMALL TRADERS
– Percent of Open Interest Longs:	10.8	79.9	8.0
– Percent of Open Interest Shorts:	16.8	69.5	12.3
– Net Position:	-214,355	367,839	-153,484
– Gross Longs:	381,895	2,830,899	282,501
– Gross Shorts:	596,250	2,463,060	435,985
– Long to Short Ratio:	0.6 to 1	1.1 to 1	0.6 to 1
NET POSITION TREND:
– COT Index Score (3 Year Range Pct):	67.8	42.4	2.1
– COT Index Reading (3 Year Range):	Bullish	Bearish	Bearish-Extreme
NET POSITION MOVEMENT INDEX:
– 6-Week Change in Strength Index:	-7.2	11.2	-25.0

10-Year Treasury Note Futures:

The 10-Year Treasury Note large speculator standing this week reached a net position of -59,960 contracts in the data reported through Tuesday. This was a weekly fall of -57,648 contracts from the previous week which had a total of -2,312 net contracts.

This week’s current strength score (the trader positioning range over the past three years, measured from 0 to 100) shows the speculators are currently Bullish with a score of 74.9 percent. The commercials are Bearish with a score of 47.1 percent and the small traders (not shown in chart) are Bearish-Extreme with a score of 9.4 percent.

10-Year Treasury Note Statistics	SPECULATORS	COMMERCIALS	SMALL TRADERS
– Percent of Open Interest Longs:	20.8	69.7	7.4
– Percent of Open Interest Shorts:	22.2	62.6	13.1
– Net Position:	-59,960	304,490	-244,530
– Gross Longs:	894,366	2,995,077	317,867
– Gross Shorts:	954,326	2,690,587	562,397
– Long to Short Ratio:	0.9 to 1	1.1 to 1	0.6 to 1
NET POSITION TREND:
– COT Index Score (3 Year Range Pct):	74.9	47.1	9.4
– COT Index Reading (3 Year Range):	Bullish	Bearish	Bearish-Extreme
NET POSITION MOVEMENT INDEX:
– 6-Week Change in Strength Index:	-9.9	8.1	2.1

Ultra 10-Year Notes Futures:

The Ultra 10-Year Notes large speculator standing this week reached a net position of 196,983 contracts in the data reported through Tuesday. This was a weekly reduction of -17,478 contracts from the previous week which had a total of 214,461 net contracts.

This week’s current strength score (the trader positioning range over the past three years, measured from 0 to 100) shows the speculators are currently Bullish with a score of 79.8 percent. The commercials are Bearish with a score of 33.6 percent and the small traders (not shown in chart) are Bearish-Extreme with a score of 0.0 percent.

Ultra 10-Year Notes Statistics	SPECULATORS	COMMERCIALS	SMALL TRADERS
– Percent of Open Interest Longs:	18.6	73.8	7.3
– Percent of Open Interest Shorts:	5.8	76.2	17.6
– Net Position:	196,983	-38,027	-158,956
– Gross Longs:	287,070	1,137,481	112,476
– Gross Shorts:	90,087	1,175,508	271,432
– Long to Short Ratio:	3.2 to 1	1.0 to 1	0.4 to 1
NET POSITION TREND:
– COT Index Score (3 Year Range Pct):	79.8	33.6	0.0
– COT Index Reading (3 Year Range):	Bullish	Bearish	Bearish-Extreme
NET POSITION MOVEMENT INDEX:
– 6-Week Change in Strength Index:	9.4	-5.3	-12.4

US Treasury Bonds Futures:

The US Treasury Bonds large speculator standing this week reached a net position of -95,979 contracts in the data reported through Tuesday. This was a weekly lowering of -35,625 contracts from the previous week which had a total of -60,354 net contracts.

This week’s current strength score (the trader positioning range over the past three years, measured from 0 to 100) shows the speculators are currently Bullish with a score of 58.9 percent. The commercials are Bullish with a score of 56.7 percent and the small traders (not shown in chart) are Bearish with a score of 37.7 percent.

US Treasury Bonds Statistics	SPECULATORS	COMMERCIALS	SMALL TRADERS
– Percent of Open Interest Longs:	8.3	75.3	14.2
– Percent of Open Interest Shorts:	16.5	65.5	15.8
– Net Position:	-95,979	114,721	-18,742
– Gross Longs:	97,575	882,839	166,055
– Gross Shorts:	193,554	768,118	184,797
– Long to Short Ratio:	0.5 to 1	1.1 to 1	0.9 to 1
NET POSITION TREND:
– COT Index Score (3 Year Range Pct):	58.9	56.7	37.7
– COT Index Reading (3 Year Range):	Bullish	Bullish	Bearish
NET POSITION MOVEMENT INDEX:
– 6-Week Change in Strength Index:	-4.7	-10.1	35.4

Ultra US Treasury Bonds Futures:

The Ultra US Treasury Bonds large speculator standing this week reached a net position of -216,389 contracts in the data reported through Tuesday. This was a weekly rise of 12,560 contracts from the previous week which had a total of -228,949 net contracts.

This week’s current strength score (the trader positioning range over the past three years, measured from 0 to 100) shows the speculators are currently Bullish-Extreme with a score of 90.3 percent. The commercials are Bearish with a score of 30.5 percent and the small traders (not shown in chart) are Bearish with a score of 26.1 percent.

Ultra US Treasury Bonds Statistics	SPECULATORS	COMMERCIALS	SMALL TRADERS
– Percent of Open Interest Longs:	9.7	78.1	11.9
– Percent of Open Interest Shorts:	27.8	59.7	12.1
– Net Position:	-216,389	219,440	-3,051
– Gross Longs:	115,318	930,737	141,306
– Gross Shorts:	331,707	711,297	144,357
– Long to Short Ratio:	0.3 to 1	1.3 to 1	1.0 to 1
NET POSITION TREND:
– COT Index Score (3 Year Range Pct):	90.3	30.5	26.1
– COT Index Reading (3 Year Range):	Bullish-Extreme	Bearish	Bearish
NET POSITION MOVEMENT INDEX:
– 6-Week Change in Strength Index:	8.9	-23.4	21.4

Article By CountingPips.com – Receive our weekly COT Reports by Email

*COT Report: The COT data, released weekly to the public each Friday, is updated through the most recent Tuesday (data is 3 days old) and shows a quick view of how large speculators or non-commercials (for-profit traders) were positioned in the futures markets.

The CFTC categorizes trader positions according to commercial hedgers (traders who use futures contracts for hedging as part of the business), non-commercials (large traders who speculate to realize trading profits) and nonreportable traders (usually small traders/speculators).

Find CFTC criteria here: (http://www.cftc.gov/MarketReports/CommitmentsofTraders/ExplanatoryNotes/index.htm).

02 Jul

COT Futures Metals Charts: Comex Silver, Gold, Grade #1 Copper, Platinum & Palladium

By CountingPips.com COT Home | Data Tables | Data Downloads | Newsletter

Here are the latest charts and statistics for the Commitment of Traders (COT) data published by the Commodities Futures Trading Commission (CFTC).

The latest COT data is updated through Tuesday June 29 2021 and shows a quick view of how large traders (for-profit speculators and commercial entities) were positioned in the futures markets.

Gold Comex Futures:

The Gold Comex Futures large speculator standing this week resulted in a net position of 162,226 contracts in the data reported through Tuesday. This was a weekly decline of -3,988 contracts from the previous week which had a total of 166,214 net contracts.

This week’s current strength score (the trader positioning range over the past three years, measured from 0 to 100) shows the speculators are currently Bullish with a score of 51.1 percent. The commercials are Bearish with a score of 46.3 percent and the small traders (not shown in chart) are Bullish with a score of 63.4 percent.

Gold Futures Statistics	SPECULATORS	COMMERCIALS	SMALL TRADERS
– Percent of Open Interest Longs:	56.1	23.7	11.3
– Percent of Open Interest Shorts:	20.3	66.7	4.0
– Net Position:	162,226	-195,120	32,894
– Gross Longs:	254,206	107,398	51,048
– Gross Shorts:	91,980	302,518	18,154
– Long to Short Ratio:	2.8 to 1	0.4 to 1	2.8 to 1
NET POSITION TREND:
– COT Index Score (3 Year Range Pct):	51.1	46.3	63.4
– COT Index Reading (3 Year Range):	Bullish	Bearish	Bullish
NET POSITION MOVEMENT INDEX:
– 6-Week Change in Strength Index:	-9.4	9.2	-2.7

Silver Comex Futures:

The Silver Comex Futures large speculator standing this week resulted in a net position of 41,477 contracts in the data reported through Tuesday. This was a weekly advance of 1,606 contracts from the previous week which had a total of 39,871 net contracts.

This week’s current strength score (the trader positioning range over the past three years, measured from 0 to 100) shows the speculators are currently Bullish with a score of 65.9 percent. The commercials are Bearish with a score of 37.8 percent and the small traders (not shown in chart) are Bearish with a score of 31.4 percent.

Silver Futures Statistics	SPECULATORS	COMMERCIALS	SMALL TRADERS
– Percent of Open Interest Longs:	45.7	30.7	16.6
– Percent of Open Interest Shorts:	19.3	67.1	6.7
– Net Position:	41,477	-57,108	15,631
– Gross Longs:	71,855	48,274	26,084
– Gross Shorts:	30,378	105,382	10,453
– Long to Short Ratio:	2.4 to 1	0.5 to 1	2.5 to 1
NET POSITION TREND:
– COT Index Score (3 Year Range Pct):	65.9	37.8	31.4
– COT Index Reading (3 Year Range):	Bullish	Bearish	Bearish
NET POSITION MOVEMENT INDEX:
– 6-Week Change in Strength Index:	-8.9	15.0	-46.8

Copper Grade #1 Futures:

The Copper Grade #1 Futures large speculator standing this week resulted in a net position of 11,361 contracts in the data reported through Tuesday. This was a weekly rise of 3,675 contracts from the previous week which had a total of 7,686 net contracts.

This week’s current strength score (the trader positioning range over the past three years, measured from 0 to 100) shows the speculators are currently Bullish with a score of 50.5 percent. The commercials are Bearish with a score of 46.5 percent and the small traders (not shown in chart) are Bullish with a score of 68.5 percent.

Copper Futures Statistics	SPECULATORS	COMMERCIALS	SMALL TRADERS
– Percent of Open Interest Longs:	42.2	38.8	9.9
– Percent of Open Interest Shorts:	36.5	48.3	6.2
– Net Position:	11,361	-18,841	7,480
– Gross Longs:	83,473	76,695	19,663
– Gross Shorts:	72,112	95,536	12,183
– Long to Short Ratio:	1.2 to 1	0.8 to 1	1.6 to 1
NET POSITION TREND:
– COT Index Score (3 Year Range Pct):	50.5	46.5	68.5
– COT Index Reading (3 Year Range):	Bullish	Bearish	Bullish
NET POSITION MOVEMENT INDEX:
– 6-Week Change in Strength Index:	-19.9	22.0	-25.3

Platinum Futures:

The Platinum Futures large speculator standing this week resulted in a net position of 14,744 contracts in the data reported through Tuesday. This was a weekly gain of 1,804 contracts from the previous week which had a total of 12,940 net contracts.

This week’s current strength score (the trader positioning range over the past three years, measured from 0 to 100) shows the speculators are currently Bearish with a score of 33.5 percent. The commercials are Bullish with a score of 66.3 percent and the small traders (not shown in chart) are Bullish with a score of 61.7 percent.

Platinum Futures Statistics	SPECULATORS	COMMERCIALS	SMALL TRADERS
– Percent of Open Interest Longs:	51.7	28.0	16.6
– Percent of Open Interest Shorts:	26.4	65.6	4.3
– Net Position:	14,744	-21,889	7,145
– Gross Longs:	30,141	16,318	9,646
– Gross Shorts:	15,397	38,207	2,501
– Long to Short Ratio:	2.0 to 1	0.4 to 1	3.9 to 1
NET POSITION TREND:
– COT Index Score (3 Year Range Pct):	33.5	66.3	61.7
– COT Index Reading (3 Year Range):	Bearish	Bullish	Bullish
NET POSITION MOVEMENT INDEX:
– 6-Week Change in Strength Index:	-13.9	16.9	-38.3

Palladium Futures:

The Palladium Futures large speculator standing this week resulted in a net position of 1,408 contracts in the data reported through Tuesday. This was a weekly increase of 336 contracts from the previous week which had a total of 1,072 net contracts.

This week’s current strength score (the trader positioning range over the past three years, measured from 0 to 100) shows the speculators are currently Bearish-Extreme with a score of 7.6 percent. The commercials are Bullish-Extreme with a score of 88.3 percent and the small traders (not shown in chart) are Bullish with a score of 77.9 percent.

Palladium Futures Statistics	SPECULATORS	COMMERCIALS	SMALL TRADERS
– Percent of Open Interest Longs:	48.7	33.4	15.5
– Percent of Open Interest Shorts:	33.4	54.8	9.4
– Net Position:	1,408	-1,969	561
– Gross Longs:	4,474	3,073	1,422
– Gross Shorts:	3,066	5,042	861
– Long to Short Ratio:	1.5 to 1	0.6 to 1	1.7 to 1
NET POSITION TREND:
– COT Index Score (3 Year Range Pct):	7.6	88.3	77.9
– COT Index Reading (3 Year Range):	Bearish-Extreme	Bullish-Extreme	Bullish
NET POSITION MOVEMENT INDEX:
– 6-Week Change in Strength Index:	-7.7	8.1	-5.1

Article By CountingPips.com – Receive our weekly COT Reports by Email

Find CFTC criteria here: (http://www.cftc.gov/MarketReports/CommitmentsofTraders/ExplanatoryNotes/index.htm).

CountingPips Forex Blog investing Metals Opinions

02 Jul

COT Stock Market Futures Charts: VIX, Dow-Mini, Nasdaq-Mini, SP500-Mini, Russell-2000, Emerging Markets

By CountingPips.com COT Home | Data Tables | Data Downloads | Newsletter

Here are the latest charts and statistics for the Commitment of Traders (COT) data published by the Commodities Futures Trading Commission (CFTC).

The latest COT data is updated through Tuesday June 29 2021 and shows a quick view of how large traders (for-profit speculators and commercial entities) were positioned in the futures markets.

VIX Volatility Futures:

The VIX Volatility Futures large speculator standing this week came in at a net position of -66,691 contracts in the data reported through Tuesday. This was a weekly fall of -4,915 contracts from the previous week which had a total of -61,776 net contracts.

This week’s current strength score (the trader positioning range over the past three years, measured from 0 to 100) shows the speculators are currently Bullish with a score of 57.8 percent. The commercials are Bearish with a score of 42.8 percent and the small traders (not shown in chart) are Bearish with a score of 38.1 percent.

VIX Volatility Futures Statistics	SPECULATORS	COMMERCIALS	SMALL TRADERS
– Percent of Open Interest Longs:	24.1	50.3	6.3
– Percent of Open Interest Shorts:	44.5	28.5	7.8
– Net Position:	-66,691	71,507	-4,816
– Gross Longs:	79,194	164,874	20,801
– Gross Shorts:	145,885	93,367	25,617
– Long to Short Ratio:	0.5 to 1	1.8 to 1	0.8 to 1
NET POSITION TREND:
– COT Index Score (3 Year Range Pct):	57.8	42.8	38.1
– COT Index Reading (3 Year Range):	Bullish	Bearish	Bearish
NET POSITION MOVEMENT INDEX:
– 6-Week Change in Strength Index:	-1.7	-0.0	17.2

S&P500 Mini Futures:

The S&P500 Mini Futures large speculator standing this week came in at a net position of 55,167 contracts in the data reported through Tuesday. This was a weekly reduction of -4,168 contracts from the previous week which had a total of 59,335 net contracts.

This week’s current strength score (the trader positioning range over the past three years, measured from 0 to 100) shows the speculators are currently Bullish with a score of 63.3 percent. The commercials are Bearish with a score of 48.6 percent and the small traders (not shown in chart) are Bearish with a score of 35.1 percent.

S&P500 Mini Futures Statistics	SPECULATORS	COMMERCIALS	SMALL TRADERS
– Percent of Open Interest Longs:	14.7	72.0	10.9
– Percent of Open Interest Shorts:	12.6	75.8	9.3
– Net Position:	55,167	-96,774	41,607
– Gross Longs:	378,762	1,852,086	281,581
– Gross Shorts:	323,595	1,948,860	239,974
– Long to Short Ratio:	1.2 to 1	1.0 to 1	1.2 to 1
NET POSITION TREND:
– COT Index Score (3 Year Range Pct):	63.3	48.6	35.1
– COT Index Reading (3 Year Range):	Bullish	Bearish	Bearish
NET POSITION MOVEMENT INDEX:
– 6-Week Change in Strength Index:	13.8	-0.8	-15.5

Dow Jones Mini Futures:

The Dow Jones Mini Futures large speculator standing this week came in at a net position of -825 contracts in the data reported through Tuesday. This was a weekly boost of 14,322 contracts from the previous week which had a total of -15,147 net contracts.

This week’s current strength score (the trader positioning range over the past three years, measured from 0 to 100) shows the speculators are currently Bearish with a score of 33.4 percent. The commercials are Bullish with a score of 57.2 percent and the small traders (not shown in chart) are Bullish with a score of 79.4 percent.

Dow Jones Mini Futures Statistics	SPECULATORS	COMMERCIALS	SMALL TRADERS
– Percent of Open Interest Longs:	36.6	44.4	17.0
– Percent of Open Interest Shorts:	37.4	50.9	9.7
– Net Position:	-825	-6,833	7,658
– Gross Longs:	38,688	46,906	17,914
– Gross Shorts:	39,513	53,739	10,256
– Long to Short Ratio:	1.0 to 1	0.9 to 1	1.7 to 1
NET POSITION TREND:
– COT Index Score (3 Year Range Pct):	33.4	57.2	79.4
– COT Index Reading (3 Year Range):	Bearish	Bullish	Bullish
NET POSITION MOVEMENT INDEX:
– 6-Week Change in Strength Index:	9.8	-10.8	6.7

Nasdaq Mini Futures:

The Nasdaq Mini Futures large speculator standing this week came in at a net position of -8,099 contracts in the data reported through Tuesday. This was a weekly rise of 2,266 contracts from the previous week which had a total of -10,365 net contracts.

This week’s current strength score (the trader positioning range over the past three years, measured from 0 to 100) shows the speculators are currently Bullish with a score of 70.5 percent. The commercials are Bearish with a score of 39.3 percent and the small traders (not shown in chart) are Bearish-Extreme with a score of 15.7 percent.

Nasdaq Mini Futures Statistics	SPECULATORS	COMMERCIALS	SMALL TRADERS
– Percent of Open Interest Longs:	28.3	55.1	15.2
– Percent of Open Interest Shorts:	32.0	45.9	20.8
– Net Position:	-8,099	20,725	-12,626
– Gross Longs:	63,525	123,568	34,023
– Gross Shorts:	71,624	102,843	46,649
– Long to Short Ratio:	0.9 to 1	1.2 to 1	0.7 to 1
NET POSITION TREND:
– COT Index Score (3 Year Range Pct):	70.5	39.3	15.7
– COT Index Reading (3 Year Range):	Bullish	Bearish	Bearish-Extreme
NET POSITION MOVEMENT INDEX:
– 6-Week Change in Strength Index:	-1.1	4.9	-13.2

Russell 2000 Mini Futures:

The Russell 2000 Mini Futures large speculator standing this week came in at a net position of -35,250 contracts in the data reported through Tuesday. This was a weekly increase of 2,398 contracts from the previous week which had a total of -37,648 net contracts.

This week’s current strength score (the trader positioning range over the past three years, measured from 0 to 100) shows the speculators are currently Bearish with a score of 36.4 percent. The commercials are Bullish with a score of 62.8 percent and the small traders (not shown in chart) are Bullish with a score of 51.7 percent.

Russell 2000 Mini Futures Statistics	SPECULATORS	COMMERCIALS	SMALL TRADERS
– Percent of Open Interest Longs:	12.5	80.0	6.5
– Percent of Open Interest Shorts:	20.9	73.2	5.0
– Net Position:	-35,250	28,639	6,611
– Gross Longs:	52,566	336,644	27,479
– Gross Shorts:	87,816	308,005	20,868
– Long to Short Ratio:	0.6 to 1	1.1 to 1	1.3 to 1
NET POSITION TREND:
– COT Index Score (3 Year Range Pct):	36.4	62.8	51.7
– COT Index Reading (3 Year Range):	Bearish	Bullish	Bullish
NET POSITION MOVEMENT INDEX:
– 6-Week Change in Strength Index:	1.0	-0.0	-4.1

Nikkei Stock Average (USD) Futures:

The Nikkei Stock Average (USD) Futures large speculator standing this week came in at a net position of -4,846 contracts in the data reported through Tuesday. This was a weekly gain of 235 contracts from the previous week which had a total of -5,081 net contracts.

This week’s current strength score (the trader positioning range over the past three years, measured from 0 to 100) shows the speculators are currently Bearish with a score of 37.5 percent. The commercials are Bullish with a score of 74.4 percent and the small traders (not shown in chart) are Bearish-Extreme with a score of 2.1 percent.

Nikkei Stock Average Futures Statistics	SPECULATORS	COMMERCIALS	SMALL TRADERS
– Percent of Open Interest Longs:	15.9	61.0	23.0
– Percent of Open Interest Shorts:	45.3	22.9	31.7
– Net Position:	-4,846	6,283	-1,437
– Gross Longs:	2,630	10,054	3,797
– Gross Shorts:	7,476	3,771	5,234
– Long to Short Ratio:	0.4 to 1	2.7 to 1	0.7 to 1
NET POSITION TREND:
– COT Index Score (3 Year Range Pct):	37.5	74.4	2.1
– COT Index Reading (3 Year Range):	Bearish	Bullish	Bearish-Extreme
NET POSITION MOVEMENT INDEX:
– 6-Week Change in Strength Index:	-6.3	9.5	-11.2

MSCI EAFE Mini Futures:

The MSCI EAFE Mini Futures large speculator standing this week came in at a net position of 24,886 contracts in the data reported through Tuesday. This was a weekly fall of -3,523 contracts from the previous week which had a total of 28,409 net contracts.

This week’s current strength score (the trader positioning range over the past three years, measured from 0 to 100) shows the speculators are currently Bearish with a score of 46.7 percent. The commercials are Bullish with a score of 50.2 percent and the small traders (not shown in chart) are Bearish with a score of 48.9 percent.

MSCI EAFE Mini Futures Statistics	SPECULATORS	COMMERCIALS	SMALL TRADERS
– Percent of Open Interest Longs:	9.2	87.9	2.6
– Percent of Open Interest Shorts:	3.1	94.9	1.7
– Net Position:	24,886	-28,533	3,647
– Gross Longs:	37,667	358,207	10,420
– Gross Shorts:	12,781	386,740	6,773
– Long to Short Ratio:	2.9 to 1	0.9 to 1	1.5 to 1
NET POSITION TREND:
– COT Index Score (3 Year Range Pct):	46.7	50.2	48.9
– COT Index Reading (3 Year Range):	Bearish	Bullish	Bearish
NET POSITION MOVEMENT INDEX:
– 6-Week Change in Strength Index:	0.1	0.9	-5.9

MSCI Emerging Mkts Mini Futures:

The MSCI Emerging Mkts Mini Futures large speculator standing this week came in at a net position of 38,211 contracts in the data reported through Tuesday. This was a weekly decline of -2,219 contracts from the previous week which had a total of 40,430 net contracts.

This week’s current strength score (the trader positioning range over the past three years, measured from 0 to 100) shows the speculators are currently Bearish-Extreme with a score of 0.0 percent. The commercials are Bullish-Extreme with a score of 97.2 percent and the small traders (not shown in chart) are Bearish with a score of 40.4 percent.

MSCI Emerging Mkts Mini Futures Statistics	SPECULATORS	COMMERCIALS	SMALL TRADERS
– Percent of Open Interest Longs:	14.3	82.2	2.4
– Percent of Open Interest Shorts:	11.0	86.5	1.3
– Net Position:	38,211	-49,886	11,675
– Gross Longs:	165,150	950,685	27,250
– Gross Shorts:	126,939	1,000,571	15,575
– Long to Short Ratio:	1.3 to 1	1.0 to 1	1.7 to 1
NET POSITION TREND:
– COT Index Score (3 Year Range Pct):	0.0	97.2	40.4
– COT Index Reading (3 Year Range):	Bearish-Extreme	Bullish-Extreme	Bearish
NET POSITION MOVEMENT INDEX:
– 6-Week Change in Strength Index:	-11.0	6.8	7.3

Article By CountingPips.com – Receive our weekly COT Reports by Email

Find CFTC criteria here: (http://www.cftc.gov/MarketReports/CommitmentsofTraders/ExplanatoryNotes/index.htm).

CountingPips Forex Blog investing Opinions Stock Market News

02 Jul

COT Energy Futures Charts: Gasoline Blendstock, WTI Crude Oil, Heating Oil, Natural Gas, Bloomberg Index,

By CountingPips.com COT Home | Data Tables | Data Downloads | Newsletter

Here are the latest charts and statistics for the Commitment of Traders (COT) data published by the Commodities Futures Trading Commission (CFTC).

The latest COT data is updated through Tuesday June 29 2021 and shows a quick view of how large traders (for-profit speculators and commercial entities) were positioned in the futures markets.

WTI Crude Oil Futures :

The WTI Crude Oil Futures large speculator standing this week recorded a net position of 522,490 contracts in the data reported through Tuesday. This was a weekly decrease of -3,671 contracts from the previous week which had a total of 526,161 net contracts.

This week’s current strength score (the trader positioning range over the past three years, measured from 0 to 100) shows the speculators are currently Bullish with a score of 65.0 percent. The commercials are Bearish with a score of 27.0 percent and the small traders (not shown in chart) are Bullish-Extreme with a score of 90.6 percent.

WTI Crude Oil Futures Statistics	SPECULATORS	COMMERCIALS	SMALL TRADERS
– Percent of Open Interest Longs:	28.1	33.2	4.4
– Percent of Open Interest Shorts:	6.0	57.5	2.2
– Net Position:	522,490	-576,084	53,594
– Gross Longs:	664,867	785,783	105,151
– Gross Shorts:	142,377	1,361,867	51,557
– Long to Short Ratio:	4.7 to 1	0.6 to 1	2.0 to 1
NET POSITION TREND:
– COT Index Score (3 Year Range Pct):	65.0	27.0	90.6
– COT Index Reading (3 Year Range):	Bullish	Bearish	Bullish-Extreme
NET POSITION MOVEMENT INDEX:
– 6-Week Change in Strength Index:	12.3	-10.6	-4.2

Brent Crude Oil Futures :

The Brent Crude Oil Futures large speculator standing this week recorded a net position of -21,745 contracts in the data reported through Tuesday. This was a weekly lowering of -3,578 contracts from the previous week which had a total of -18,167 net contracts.

This week’s current strength score (the trader positioning range over the past three years, measured from 0 to 100) shows the speculators are currently Bullish with a score of 75.6 percent. The commercials are Bearish with a score of 24.7 percent and the small traders (not shown in chart) are Bullish with a score of 57.3 percent.

Brent Crude Oil Futures Statistics	SPECULATORS	COMMERCIALS	SMALL TRADERS
– Percent of Open Interest Longs:	17.4	49.8	4.1
– Percent of Open Interest Shorts:	27.8	40.6	2.9
– Net Position:	-21,745	19,250	2,495
– Gross Longs:	36,173	103,735	8,486
– Gross Shorts:	57,918	84,485	5,991
– Long to Short Ratio:	0.6 to 1	1.2 to 1	1.4 to 1
NET POSITION TREND:
– COT Index Score (3 Year Range Pct):	75.6	24.7	57.3
– COT Index Reading (3 Year Range):	Bullish	Bearish	Bullish
NET POSITION MOVEMENT INDEX:
– 6-Week Change in Strength Index:	-5.0	5.6	-3.8

Natural Gas Futures :

The Natural Gas Futures large speculator standing this week recorded a net position of -100,847 contracts in the data reported through Tuesday. This was a weekly advance of 4,251 contracts from the previous week which had a total of -105,098 net contracts.

This week’s current strength score (the trader positioning range over the past three years, measured from 0 to 100) shows the speculators are currently Bearish with a score of 48.3 percent. The commercials are Bullish with a score of 52.3 percent and the small traders (not shown in chart) are Bullish with a score of 52.4 percent.

Natural Gas Futures Statistics	SPECULATORS	COMMERCIALS	SMALL TRADERS
– Percent of Open Interest Longs:	26.3	40.0	4.4
– Percent of Open Interest Shorts:	33.5	35.1	2.0
– Net Position:	-100,847	67,968	32,879
– Gross Longs:	363,172	553,620	61,068
– Gross Shorts:	464,019	485,652	28,189
– Long to Short Ratio:	0.8 to 1	1.1 to 1	2.2 to 1
NET POSITION TREND:
– COT Index Score (3 Year Range Pct):	48.3	52.3	52.4
– COT Index Reading (3 Year Range):	Bearish	Bullish	Bullish
NET POSITION MOVEMENT INDEX:
– 6-Week Change in Strength Index:	-9.7	8.3	18.7

Gasoline Blendstock Futures :

The Gasoline Blendstock Futures large speculator standing this week recorded a net position of 63,859 contracts in the data reported through Tuesday. This was a weekly boost of 7,301 contracts from the previous week which had a total of 56,558 net contracts.

This week’s current strength score (the trader positioning range over the past three years, measured from 0 to 100) shows the speculators are currently Bearish with a score of 26.2 percent. The commercials are Bullish with a score of 64.3 percent and the small traders (not shown in chart) are Bullish with a score of 73.0 percent.

Nasdaq Mini Futures Statistics	SPECULATORS	COMMERCIALS	SMALL TRADERS
– Percent of Open Interest Longs:	27.0	45.8	5.9
– Percent of Open Interest Shorts:	10.4	65.2	3.2
– Net Position:	63,859	-74,145	10,286
– Gross Longs:	103,556	175,625	22,579
– Gross Shorts:	39,697	249,770	12,293
– Long to Short Ratio:	2.6 to 1	0.7 to 1	1.8 to 1
NET POSITION TREND:
– COT Index Score (3 Year Range Pct):	26.2	64.3	73.0
– COT Index Reading (3 Year Range):	Bearish	Bullish	Bullish
NET POSITION MOVEMENT INDEX:
– 6-Week Change in Strength Index:	7.5	-5.0	-9.2

#2 Heating Oil NY-Harbor Futures :

The #2 Heating Oil NY-Harbor Futures large speculator standing this week recorded a net position of 25,697 contracts in the data reported through Tuesday. This was a weekly boost of 1,478 contracts from the previous week which had a total of 24,219 net contracts.

This week’s current strength score (the trader positioning range over the past three years, measured from 0 to 100) shows the speculators are currently Bullish with a score of 68.0 percent. The commercials are Bearish with a score of 25.0 percent and the small traders (not shown in chart) are Bullish-Extreme with a score of 84.0 percent.

Heating Oil Futures Statistics	SPECULATORS	COMMERCIALS	SMALL TRADERS
– Percent of Open Interest Longs:	16.1	51.3	10.8
– Percent of Open Interest Shorts:	10.0	62.5	5.7
– Net Position:	25,697	-47,067	21,370
– Gross Longs:	67,694	216,470	45,450
– Gross Shorts:	41,997	263,537	24,080
– Long to Short Ratio:	1.6 to 1	0.8 to 1	1.9 to 1
NET POSITION TREND:
– COT Index Score (3 Year Range Pct):	68.0	25.0	84.0
– COT Index Reading (3 Year Range):	Bullish	Bearish	Bullish-Extreme
NET POSITION MOVEMENT INDEX:
– 6-Week Change in Strength Index:	4.1	0.1	-13.6

Bloomberg Commodity Index Futures :

The Bloomberg Commodity Index Futures large speculator standing this week recorded a net position of -21,521 contracts in the data reported through Tuesday. This was a weekly decline of -1,039 contracts from the previous week which had a total of -20,482 net contracts.

This week’s current strength score (the trader positioning range over the past three years, measured from 0 to 100) shows the speculators are currently Bearish-Extreme with a score of 13.8 percent. The commercials are Bullish-Extreme with a score of 86.3 percent and the small traders (not shown in chart) are Bearish with a score of 36.9 percent.

Bloomberg Index Futures Statistics	SPECULATORS	COMMERCIALS	SMALL TRADERS
– Percent of Open Interest Longs:	49.2	49.7	0.8
– Percent of Open Interest Shorts:	92.7	6.9	0.2
– Net Position:	-21,521	21,233	288
– Gross Longs:	24,384	24,633	399
– Gross Shorts:	45,905	3,400	111
– Long to Short Ratio:	0.5 to 1	7.2 to 1	3.6 to 1
NET POSITION TREND:
– COT Index Score (3 Year Range Pct):	13.8	86.3	36.9
– COT Index Reading (3 Year Range):	Bearish-Extreme	Bullish-Extreme	Bearish
NET POSITION MOVEMENT INDEX:
– 6-Week Change in Strength Index:	-18.0	18.3	-3.3

Article By CountingPips.com – Receive our weekly COT Reports by Email

Find CFTC criteria here: (http://www.cftc.gov/MarketReports/CommitmentsofTraders/ExplanatoryNotes/index.htm).

CountingPips Forex Blog Energy investing Opinions

02 Jul

COT Soft Commodities Futures Charts: Corn, Cotton, Soybeans, Wheat, Cattle, Lean Hogs, Sugar

By CountingPips.com COT Home | Data Tables | Data Downloads | Newsletter

Here are the latest charts and statistics for the Commitment of Traders (COT) data published by the Commodities Futures Trading Commission (CFTC).

The latest COT data is updated through Tuesday June 29 2021 and shows a quick view of how large traders (for-profit speculators and commercial entities) were positioned in the futures markets.

CORN Futures:

The CORN large speculator standing this week recorded a net position of 352,967 contracts in the data reported through Tuesday. This was a weekly lowering of -35,444 contracts from the previous week which had a total of 388,411 net contracts.

This week’s current strength score (the trader positioning range over the past three years, measured from 0 to 100) shows the speculators are currently Bullish with a score of 75.1 percent. The commercials are Bearish with a score of 30.5 percent and the small traders (not shown in chart) are Bearish-Extreme with a score of 0.1 percent.

CORN Futures Statistics	SPECULATORS	COMMERCIALS	SMALL TRADERS
– Percent of Open Interest Longs:	29.4	49.3	8.2
– Percent of Open Interest Shorts:	5.6	68.9	12.4
– Net Position:	352,967	-290,475	-62,492
– Gross Longs:	436,054	732,401	121,074
– Gross Shorts:	83,087	1,022,876	183,566
– Long to Short Ratio:	5.2 to 1	0.7 to 1	0.7 to 1
NET POSITION TREND:
– COT Index Score (3 Year Range Pct):	75.1	30.5	0.1
– COT Index Reading (3 Year Range):	Bullish	Bearish	Bearish-Extreme
NET POSITION MOVEMENT INDEX:
– 6-Week Change in Strength Index:	-13.6	18.5	-14.4

SUGAR Futures:

The SUGAR large speculator standing this week recorded a net position of 240,728 contracts in the data reported through Tuesday. This was a weekly lowering of -1,263 contracts from the previous week which had a total of 241,991 net contracts.

This week’s current strength score (the trader positioning range over the past three years, measured from 0 to 100) shows the speculators are currently Bullish-Extreme with a score of 86.1 percent. The commercials are Bearish-Extreme with a score of 14.4 percent and the small traders (not shown in chart) are Bullish with a score of 60.7 percent.

SUGAR Futures Statistics	SPECULATORS	COMMERCIALS	SMALL TRADERS
– Percent of Open Interest Longs:	31.5	45.0	9.4
– Percent of Open Interest Shorts:	4.5	76.7	4.6
– Net Position:	240,728	-283,442	42,714
– Gross Longs:	280,757	401,035	83,427
– Gross Shorts:	40,029	684,477	40,713
– Long to Short Ratio:	7.0 to 1	0.6 to 1	2.0 to 1
NET POSITION TREND:
– COT Index Score (3 Year Range Pct):	86.1	14.4	60.7
– COT Index Reading (3 Year Range):	Bullish-Extreme	Bearish-Extreme	Bullish
NET POSITION MOVEMENT INDEX:
– 6-Week Change in Strength Index:	-5.6	8.0	-18.5

COFFEE Futures:

The COFFEE large speculator standing this week recorded a net position of 60,876 contracts in the data reported through Tuesday. This was a weekly lift of 5,656 contracts from the previous week which had a total of 55,220 net contracts.

This week’s current strength score (the trader positioning range over the past three years, measured from 0 to 100) shows the speculators are currently Bullish-Extreme with a score of 94.2 percent. The commercials are Bearish-Extreme with a score of 6.1 percent and the small traders (not shown in chart) are Bearish with a score of 26.0 percent.

COFFEE Futures Statistics	SPECULATORS	COMMERCIALS	SMALL TRADERS
– Percent of Open Interest Longs:	31.7	46.3	4.2
– Percent of Open Interest Shorts:	9.4	70.6	2.2
– Net Position:	60,876	-66,315	5,439
– Gross Longs:	86,405	126,209	11,480
– Gross Shorts:	25,529	192,524	6,041
– Long to Short Ratio:	3.4 to 1	0.7 to 1	1.9 to 1
NET POSITION TREND:
– COT Index Score (3 Year Range Pct):	94.2	6.1	26.0
– COT Index Reading (3 Year Range):	Bullish-Extreme	Bearish-Extreme	Bearish
NET POSITION MOVEMENT INDEX:
– 6-Week Change in Strength Index:	-1.5	1.3	3.5

SOYBEANS Futures:

The SOYBEANS large speculator standing this week recorded a net position of 134,011 contracts in the data reported through Tuesday. This was a weekly decline of -46,937 contracts from the previous week which had a total of 180,948 net contracts.

This week’s current strength score (the trader positioning range over the past three years, measured from 0 to 100) shows the speculators are currently Bullish with a score of 63.5 percent. The commercials are Bearish with a score of 38.2 percent and the small traders (not shown in chart) are Bearish with a score of 44.2 percent.

SOYBEANS Futures Statistics	SPECULATORS	COMMERCIALS	SMALL TRADERS
– Percent of Open Interest Longs:	28.1	50.7	7.1
– Percent of Open Interest Shorts:	8.3	68.1	9.5
– Net Position:	134,011	-117,406	-16,605
– Gross Longs:	190,144	343,050	47,884
– Gross Shorts:	56,133	460,456	64,489
– Long to Short Ratio:	3.4 to 1	0.7 to 1	0.7 to 1
NET POSITION TREND:
– COT Index Score (3 Year Range Pct):	63.5	38.2	44.2
– COT Index Reading (3 Year Range):	Bullish	Bearish	Bearish
NET POSITION MOVEMENT INDEX:
– 6-Week Change in Strength Index:	-23.3	23.4	-8.8

SOYBEAN OIL Futures:

The SOYBEAN OIL large speculator standing this week recorded a net position of 58,570 contracts in the data reported through Tuesday. This was a weekly lowering of -6,338 contracts from the previous week which had a total of 64,908 net contracts.

This week’s current strength score (the trader positioning range over the past three years, measured from 0 to 100) shows the speculators are currently Bullish with a score of 60.9 percent. The commercials are Bearish with a score of 41.4 percent and the small traders (not shown in chart) are Bearish with a score of 42.8 percent.

SOYBEAN OIL Futures Statistics	SPECULATORS	COMMERCIALS	SMALL TRADERS
– Percent of Open Interest Longs:	18.9	51.7	7.0
– Percent of Open Interest Shorts:	6.9	65.3	5.4
– Net Position:	58,570	-66,438	7,868
– Gross Longs:	92,353	252,314	34,071
– Gross Shorts:	33,783	318,752	26,203
– Long to Short Ratio:	2.7 to 1	0.8 to 1	1.3 to 1
NET POSITION TREND:
– COT Index Score (3 Year Range Pct):	60.9	41.4	42.8
– COT Index Reading (3 Year Range):	Bullish	Bearish	Bearish
NET POSITION MOVEMENT INDEX:
– 6-Week Change in Strength Index:	-11.6	14.6	-31.9

SOYBEAN MEAL Futures:

The SOYBEAN MEAL large speculator standing this week recorded a net position of 48,209 contracts in the data reported through Tuesday. This was a weekly reduction of -7,585 contracts from the previous week which had a total of 55,794 net contracts.

This week’s current strength score (the trader positioning range over the past three years, measured from 0 to 100) shows the speculators are currently Bullish with a score of 57.0 percent. The commercials are Bearish with a score of 43.2 percent and the small traders (not shown in chart) are Bullish with a score of 51.1 percent.

SOYBEAN MEAL Futures Statistics	SPECULATORS	COMMERCIALS	SMALL TRADERS
– Percent of Open Interest Longs:	22.4	52.0	12.1
– Percent of Open Interest Shorts:	9.8	69.8	6.9
– Net Position:	48,209	-68,291	20,082
– Gross Longs:	85,971	199,332	46,445
– Gross Shorts:	37,762	267,623	26,363
– Long to Short Ratio:	2.3 to 1	0.7 to 1	1.8 to 1
NET POSITION TREND:
– COT Index Score (3 Year Range Pct):	57.0	43.2	51.1
– COT Index Reading (3 Year Range):	Bullish	Bearish	Bullish
NET POSITION MOVEMENT INDEX:
– 6-Week Change in Strength Index:	-22.6	27.7	-42.6

LIVE CATTLE Futures:

The LIVE CATTLE large speculator standing this week recorded a net position of 73,073 contracts in the data reported through Tuesday. This was a weekly reduction of -1,841 contracts from the previous week which had a total of 74,914 net contracts.

This week’s current strength score (the trader positioning range over the past three years, measured from 0 to 100) shows the speculators are currently Bearish with a score of 38.1 percent. The commercials are Bullish with a score of 55.2 percent and the small traders (not shown in chart) are Bullish with a score of 65.0 percent.

LIVE CATTLE Futures Statistics	SPECULATORS	COMMERCIALS	SMALL TRADERS
– Percent of Open Interest Longs:	38.2	38.4	8.9
– Percent of Open Interest Shorts:	13.7	59.9	11.9
– Net Position:	73,073	-64,011	-9,062
– Gross Longs:	114,064	114,621	26,481
– Gross Shorts:	40,991	178,632	35,543
– Long to Short Ratio:	2.8 to 1	0.6 to 1	0.7 to 1
NET POSITION TREND:
– COT Index Score (3 Year Range Pct):	38.1	55.2	65.0
– COT Index Reading (3 Year Range):	Bearish	Bullish	Bullish
NET POSITION MOVEMENT INDEX:
– 6-Week Change in Strength Index:	4.1	-2.1	-8.9

LEAN HOGS Futures:

The LEAN HOGS large speculator standing this week recorded a net position of 71,699 contracts in the data reported through Tuesday. This was a weekly decline of -5,277 contracts from the previous week which had a total of 76,976 net contracts.

This week’s current strength score (the trader positioning range over the past three years, measured from 0 to 100) shows the speculators are currently Bullish-Extreme with a score of 88.0 percent. The commercials are Bearish-Extreme with a score of 14.5 percent and the small traders (not shown in chart) are Bearish with a score of 32.7 percent.

LEAN HOGS Futures Statistics	SPECULATORS	COMMERCIALS	SMALL TRADERS
– Percent of Open Interest Longs:	40.4	32.5	8.0
– Percent of Open Interest Shorts:	13.7	55.7	11.5
– Net Position:	71,699	-62,199	-9,500
– Gross Longs:	108,582	87,436	21,492
– Gross Shorts:	36,883	149,635	30,992
– Long to Short Ratio:	2.9 to 1	0.6 to 1	0.7 to 1
NET POSITION TREND:
– COT Index Score (3 Year Range Pct):	88.0	14.5	32.7
– COT Index Reading (3 Year Range):	Bullish-Extreme	Bearish-Extreme	Bearish
NET POSITION MOVEMENT INDEX:
– 6-Week Change in Strength Index:	-4.8	6.7	-11.3

COTTON Futures:

The COTTON large speculator standing this week recorded a net position of 71,952 contracts in the data reported through Tuesday. This was a weekly advance of 6,782 contracts from the previous week which had a total of 65,170 net contracts.

This week’s current strength score (the trader positioning range over the past three years, measured from 0 to 100) shows the speculators are currently Bullish with a score of 73.6 percent. The commercials are Bearish with a score of 24.6 percent and the small traders (not shown in chart) are Bullish with a score of 71.1 percent.

COTTON Futures Statistics	SPECULATORS	COMMERCIALS	SMALL TRADERS
– Percent of Open Interest Longs:	38.0	42.9	7.1
– Percent of Open Interest Shorts:	4.6	80.5	2.9
– Net Position:	71,952	-81,008	9,056
– Gross Longs:	81,826	92,461	15,352
– Gross Shorts:	9,874	173,469	6,296
– Long to Short Ratio:	8.3 to 1	0.5 to 1	2.4 to 1
NET POSITION TREND:
– COT Index Score (3 Year Range Pct):	73.6	24.6	71.1
– COT Index Reading (3 Year Range):	Bullish	Bearish	Bullish
NET POSITION MOVEMENT INDEX:
– 6-Week Change in Strength Index:	-0.5	-0.6	10.4

COCOA Futures:

The COCOA large speculator standing this week recorded a net position of 17,514 contracts in the data reported through Tuesday. This was a weekly fall of -2,090 contracts from the previous week which had a total of 19,604 net contracts.

This week’s current strength score (the trader positioning range over the past three years, measured from 0 to 100) shows the speculators are currently Bearish with a score of 39.3 percent. The commercials are Bullish with a score of 60.4 percent and the small traders (not shown in chart) are Bearish with a score of 44.2 percent.

COCOA Futures Statistics	SPECULATORS	COMMERCIALS	SMALL TRADERS
– Percent of Open Interest Longs:	28.1	46.0	5.2
– Percent of Open Interest Shorts:	20.7	54.8	3.9
– Net Position:	17,514	-20,654	3,140
– Gross Longs:	66,344	108,654	12,385
– Gross Shorts:	48,830	129,308	9,245
– Long to Short Ratio:	1.4 to 1	0.8 to 1	1.3 to 1
NET POSITION TREND:
– COT Index Score (3 Year Range Pct):	39.3	60.4	44.2
– COT Index Reading (3 Year Range):	Bearish	Bullish	Bearish
NET POSITION MOVEMENT INDEX:
– 6-Week Change in Strength Index:	-12.5	13.1	-10.6

WHEAT Futures:

The WHEAT large speculator standing this week recorded a net position of 26,446 contracts in the data reported through Tuesday. This was a weekly gain of 640 contracts from the previous week which had a total of 25,806 net contracts.

This week’s current strength score (the trader positioning range over the past three years, measured from 0 to 100) shows the speculators are currently Bullish with a score of 57.6 percent. The commercials are Bearish with a score of 45.5 percent and the small traders (not shown in chart) are Bearish with a score of 43.8 percent.

WHEAT Futures Statistics	SPECULATORS	COMMERCIALS	SMALL TRADERS
– Percent of Open Interest Longs:	31.2	40.1	7.2
– Percent of Open Interest Shorts:	23.5	44.3	10.7
– Net Position:	26,446	-14,345	-12,101
– Gross Longs:	107,346	137,995	24,768
– Gross Shorts:	80,900	152,340	36,869
– Long to Short Ratio:	1.3 to 1	0.9 to 1	0.7 to 1
NET POSITION TREND:
– COT Index Score (3 Year Range Pct):	57.6	45.5	43.8
– COT Index Reading (3 Year Range):	Bullish	Bearish	Bearish
NET POSITION MOVEMENT INDEX:
– 6-Week Change in Strength Index:	0.5	1.3	-12.0

Article By CountingPips.com – Receive our weekly COT Reports by Email

Find CFTC criteria here: (http://www.cftc.gov/MarketReports/CommitmentsofTraders/ExplanatoryNotes/index.htm).

CountingPips Forex Blog investing Opinions Soft Commodities

02 Jul

When Trading In The Stock Markets A ‘Real’ Analyst Will Help You Stay In The Black

By TheTechnicalTraders

For the first time Chris Vermeulen, founder and chief strategist of TheTechnicalTraders.com, joins Ben Mumme on Living Your Greatness to talk. Get ready for a full show talking about everything from Chris’ early days learning how to trade to the rollout of his newest venture www.URLYstart.com to help kids learn entrepreneurship.

Trading topics covered include inflation, US dollar, commodities, market sentiment, being real, and more.

CLICK ON THE IMAGE BELOW TO LISTEN TO THE INTERVIEW

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TheTechnicalTraders.com

Financial News Stock Market News

02 Jul

The Week Ahead – Growth And Zero Rate Make Markets Go Wild

By Orbex

SPX 500 grinds higher as optimism prevails

Stock markets climb unhindered, as investors embrace the US economy in full swing.

The shock from reflation fear may have faded as the market looks forward to comparing apples to apples, that is data without the reopening effect. As for now, the S&P’s high valuation reflects a growing economy in a low-interest environment, the best of both worlds.

In the meantime, the Delta variant seems to be less of a concern as markets expect governments’ touch-and-go policy (alternating between partial lockdowns and reopenings) to have limited economic impact.

The uptrend is heading towards 4500 with 4140 as support.

USDCAD rises as recovery gains traction

The US dollar rebounds as jobs data show improvement, despite choppiness. While this would increase price pressure, most job additions come from the leisure, retail, and hospitality industries.

This is a catch-up rather than growth, and once the labor market reaches the pre-covid balance, inflation would recede. In fact, experts expect the US Fed to play this card throughout the summer.

Moreover, this week’s FOMC minutes may shed some light on their resolve. The central bank’s dovish tone may cap the greenback’s advance at 1.2650. 1.2280 is the immediate support if the pair starts to turn south.

AUDUSD falls as RBA likely to be passive

The Australian dollar struggles amid new lockdowns across the country due to the Delta variant.

The outbreaks seem to be much milder compared to previous waves and may have a limited impact on the economy. Price action reflects traders’ concerns that the RBA may sit on their hands despite better underlying data.

If buoyant housing market, jobs growth, and record trade surplus cannot make policymakers budge, what else can?

Unless the RBA hints at bringing forward rate hikes, a cautious tone this week may push the Aussie towards 0.7300. 0.7700 remains a major hurdle on the upside.

UKOIL rallies on tight supply

Brent crude inches higher as OPEC+ production talks falter.

The cartel has plans to carefully increase output to meet rising demand but has so far met resistance from the UAE. Moreover, as US inventories keep shrinking, and if producers fail to strike a deal to ease cuts, oil markets could face a serious deficit.

There are already talks of $100 a barrel on the street if the current reduction policy stays put. This wild assumption may not be that far from reality if demand shoots up with the lifting of travel bans.

The bulls are aiming at the psychological level of 80.00. 72.30 along the 30-day moving average is the closest support.

By Orbex

Financial News Stock Market News

02 Jul

What Australia’s New Covid Policy Means For The AUD

By Orbex

Last night, Australia’s Prime Minister announced a change in direction regarding the country’s covid policy. This basically amounted to admitting defeat.

The island nation had received plaudits for its handling of the crisis. Indeed, at the start of the year, it looked to be well-positioned for a recovery.

So what went wrong?

Initially, Australia was able to bank on its isolation to keep infections to a minimum and maintain domestic activity as close to normal. Lockdowns were rare (though severe when called for) and localized.

Moreover, even though Australia’s GDP suffered from the global situation, the domestic market appeared to be relatively solid.

You can’t bet on luck

As a State health official put it, Australia “lucked” itself into a suppression strategy. This is compared to a containment tactic, that most of the rest of the world followed instead.

At first, officials started with the “two weeks to flatten the curve” approach. Then, after Australia’s initial success in keeping the virus at bay, they were able to switch to virtually eliminating all domestic transmissions.

However, with that success came a degree of overconfidence. Australia was late to start a vaccination program (after all, they weren’t having serious numbers of cases). In fact, just 11% of the population received at least one jab at this point.

Meanwhile, Australians returning from overseas and limited foreign travel eventually led to the virus breaking out of containment. As a result, a succession of lockdowns in major Australian cities followed. This has also shaken economic confidence, and most importantly, there is still no end to the disease.

So how is the country moving forward?

The new direction

PM Morrison’s announcement yesterday indicates that the government’s priority will no longer be to suppress domestic transmission of the disease, but rather seek to prevent serious cases.

The practical impact is that lockdowns should be less frequent. However, they could potentially last longer – in line with what has been seen in Europe. Nonetheless, several states have announced that their lockdowns will end in the coming days.

Meanwhile, the government is cutting the number of foreign visitors allowed into the country from around the 3,000/week allowed so far, in half.

The AUD had been trading relatively flat since peaking in February, but took a turn downward in June, as we anticipated. While that coincided with expectations of a drop in commodity prices, the RBA index showed that the prices for Australian commodities exports increased a further 5.6% in June.

It’s about the RBA

However, the lack of improvement in the domestic economy has kept investors assuming the RBA will keep rates low for much longer than initially thought. In an environment where most other major central banks are looking to normalize policy, this puts the AUD at a discount.

Should the new policy in Australia lead to fewer lockdowns (despite increasing case numbers) and the vaccine uptake rate finally start to improve, then the AUD could potentially see some strength in the future.

However, that’s still something of a tall order at this point.

By Orbex

Economics & Fundamentals Financial News

02 Jul

AUDUSD Cycle Wave X Double Or Triple Zigzag?

By Orbex

The current AUDUSD structure hints at the construction of a large corrective trend. This takes the form of a triple combination consisting of cycle sub-waves w-x-y-x-z.

Most likely, the first three parts of this triple zigzag have ended. The bearish intervening wave x, which is similar to a double Ⓦ -Ⓧ -Ⓨ zigzag, is currently under development.

The primary actionary wave Ⓦ is an intermediate double zigzag, whereas the intervening wave Ⓧ is a bullish triple zigzag.

The last intermediate wave Ⓨ is also similar to a triple zigzag, which could soon be completed. Its end is possibly near 0.737. At that level, cycle wave x will be at 61.8% of wave y.

After reaching this level, the pair is expected to rise above the maximum of 0.800.

According to an alternative scenario, the cycle degree wave x will have a more complex structure and will take the form of a primary triple zigzag.

In this case, we can assume that the actionary wave Ⓨ has just come to an end.

It is likely that, in the short term, the price will rise slightly within the second intervening wave Ⓧ. After which the price could move in a downward direction in the final wave Ⓩ to 0.722. At that level, wave x will be at 76.4% of wave y.

By Orbex

Financial News Forex and Currency News

02 Jul

Intraday Market Analysis – USD Rally Catches Breath

By Orbex

USDCHF seeks support

The US dollar goes sideways, following a slight improvement in last week’s initial jobless claims.

The rally has resumed after a breakout above 0.9230, the top range of the previous consolidation. Price action is rising along the moving averages as a sign of acceleration in the bullish momentum. 0.9310 is the next target.

The RSI has made its way back to the neutral area. Trend followers are likely to offer support as the price pulls back. 0.9200, the base of the rally is the first line of defense.

XAUUSD struggles to bounce

Gold treads water ahead of US nonfarm payrolls.

Indeed, the precious metal is striving to hold onto the key support at 1756, from the daily timeframe. Early buyers are getting in the game and challenging the immediate resistance at 1785.

The RSI is still in the neutrality zone. 1795 is a major hurdle and the bulls will need to lift these offers before they could expect a meaningful rebound. Then, 1824 would be the next target.

A fall below 1756 would lead to 1740 on the rising trendline on the daily chart.

NAS 100 holds onto record high

The Nasdaq 100 climbs as investors rotate back into tech stocks.

The rally has gained traction after it broke above April’s peak at 14070. Momentum has pushed the index well above the rising trendline established in late May.

An RSI divergence suggests a deceleration in the impetus. While sentiment remains bullish, short-term bears may play mean reversion and push the price back to the trendline.

14490 is the closest support. Its breach could trigger profit-taking towards 14400. 14610 acts as a temporary resistance.

By Orbex

Financial News Forex and Currency News

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