Archive for Metals – Page 4

What goes up must come down…

By ForexTime 

  • $15 trillion erased from silver/gold prices on Friday
  • Central banks and geopolitics back in focus
  • Bitcoin falls below $75,000 for first time in 10 months
  • NFP report on Friday may rock global markets

More than $15 trillion was erased from the value of gold and silver last Friday.

This monstrous amount was equivalent to half the size of the entire US economy.

  • Silver nosedived almost 40%
  • Gold tumbled nearly 15%

Precious metals have kicked off the new week under renewed pressure already flashing red this morning:

  • XAUUSD: ↓ 5%
  • XAGUSD: ↓7%

The selloff was triggered by Donald Trump’s nomination of Kevin Warsh for Fed Chair.

Opinions remain divided over whether Warsh will align with Trump’s view on how the Fed should be run, given his past status as an “inflation hawk’.

Traders are still pricing a less than 40% chance that the Fed cuts rates by April.

WHAT COULD MOVE SILVER/GOLD THIS WEEK:

  • US Partial government shutdown

Over the weekend, the US government entered a partial shutdown adding another layer of uncertainty to current developments.

This negative development may toss the Fed back into the wilderness as the absence of clear data complicates monetary policy planning.

So, another round of extended delays may force the Fed to adopt a “wait-and-see” approach on rates as it “drives in the fog”.

  • Geopolitical flashpoints

Last week, Trump threatened to attack Iran while saying he would impose tariffs on countries that supply oil to Cuba. Should tensions escalate, this may offer much-needed support to precious metals facing a bout of profit-taking and dollar strength.

  • US January NFP report –

The incoming NFP report could shape the metals outlook for February as discussed in the week ahead report.

Bitcoin slips to fresh 10-month low

Bitcoin tumbled to a fresh 10-month low in Asia trading on Monday, dipping below $75,000.

The “OG” crypto shed fell 11% in January, marking its fourth straight monthly decline — the longest losing streak since 2018…

The overall unrest across global markets and the absence of buyers have contributed to the recent declines.

US-listed spot Bitcoin ETFs have recorded three consecutive months of outflows while technical indicators signal the rise of bearish pressures.

 

POTENTIAL SCENARIOS:

BULLISH: A move back above the 50-day SMA at $87,500 could signal an incline toward $90,000, $95,000 and $100,000.

BEARISH: Sustained weakness below $77,500 could send prices toward $70,000 and lower.


 

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COT Metals Charts: Speculator Changes led lower by Gold & Copper

By InvestMacro

Metals Open Interest COT Chart
Here are the latest charts and statistics for the Commitment of Traders (COT) data published by the Commodities Futures Trading Commission (CFTC).

The latest COT data is updated through Tuesday January 27th and shows a quick view of how large traders (for-profit speculators and commercial entities) were positioned in the futures markets.

Weekly Speculator Changes led lower by Gold & Copper

Metals Net Positions COT Chart
The COT metals markets speculator bets were overall lower this week as just one out of the six metals markets we cover had higher positioning while the other five markets had lower speculator contracts.

Leading the gains for the metals was Steel with a rise by 669 contracts on the week.

The markets with declines in speculator bets for the week were Gold (-39,374 contracts), Copper (-4,185 contracts), Silver (-1,511 contracts), Platinum (-1,202 contracts) and with Palladium (-204 contracts) also registering lower bets on the week.

Steel is only price gainer for Metals Markets that saw a sell-off this week

The metals markets were overall lower on the week as the metals saw a steep and sharp selloff to close out the week. Steel was the only market that saw a weekly gain as Steel rose by over 5.50% and is now up by 9.30% in the past 30 days, and higher by approximately 40% in the past 90 days.

Copper was lower by -0.25% on the past five days, followed by Gold which saw a shortfall by -2.85%. Palladium dropped by -16.5% and Silver saw a strong decline lower by -18.86% on the week. Platinum was the biggest loser on the week with a sharp -22.45% decline.

Over the past 30 days, the metals markets have all been higher, led by Silver which has been up by 30.59%, while in the past 90 days all of these markets have been at least 27% higher, with Silver up by 88.29%, Platinum up by 45.87%, Palladium higher by 40.39%, and Steel, which has risen by 40.22%. Gold has seen a 28.95% gain in the past 90 days while Copper has risen by 27.29% in that timeframe.


Metals Data:

Metals Table COT Chart
Legend: Weekly Speculators Change | Speculators Current Net Position | Speculators Strength Score compared to last 3-Years (0-100 range)


Strength Scores led by Steel & Palladium

Metals Strength Scores COT Chart
COT Strength Scores (a normalized measure of Speculator positions over a 3-Year range, from 0 to 100 where above 80 is Extreme-Bullish and below 20 is Extreme-Bearish) showed that Steel (100 percent) and Palladium (96 percent) lead the metals markets this week. Copper (78 percent) comes in as the next highest in the weekly strength scores.

On the downside, Silver (42 percent) and Platinum (46 percent) come in at the lowest strength level currently.

Strength Statistics:
Gold (54.9 percent) vs Gold previous week (71.1 percent)
Silver (42.0 percent) vs Silver previous week (44.0 percent)
Copper (78.3 percent) vs Copper previous week (82.2 percent)
Platinum (45.8 percent) vs Platinum previous week (48.8 percent)
Palladium (96.4 percent) vs Palladium previous week (97.8 percent)
Steel (100.0 percent) vs Steel previous week (96.5 percent)

 


Steel top the 6-Week Strength Trends

Metals Trends COT Chart
COT Strength Score Trends (or move index, calculates the 6-week changes in strength scores) showed that Steel (18 percent) leads the past six weeks trends for metals.

Platinum (-23 percent), Silver (-17 percent) and Copper (-15 percent) lead the downside trend scores currently.

Move Statistics:
Gold (-11.7 percent) vs Gold previous week (8.6 percent)
Silver (-16.9 percent) vs Silver previous week (-26.0 percent)
Copper (-15.3 percent) vs Copper previous week (-9.2 percent)
Platinum (-23.5 percent) vs Platinum previous week (-11.9 percent)
Palladium (-1.9 percent) vs Palladium previous week (6.0 percent)
Steel (17.8 percent) vs Steel previous week (19.0 percent)


Individual Markets: (Weekly Tuesday Closes)

Gold Comex Futures:

Gold Futures COT ChartThe Gold Comex Futures large speculator standing this week resulted in a net position of 205,396 contracts in the data reported through Tuesday. This was a weekly reduction of -39,374 contracts from the previous week which had a total of 244,770 net contracts.

This week’s current strength score (the trader positioning range over the past three years, measured from 0 to 100) shows the speculators are currently Bullish with a score of 54.9 percent. The commercials are Bearish with a score of 36.7 percent and the small traders (not shown in chart) are Bullish-Extreme with a score of 91.3 percent.

Price Trend-Following Model: Strong Uptrend

Our weekly trend-following model classifies the current market price position as: Strong Uptrend.

Gold Futures StatisticsSPECULATORSCOMMERCIALSSMALL TRADERS
– Percent of Open Interest Longs:51.619.712.8
– Percent of Open Interest Shorts:9.670.54.1
– Net Position:205,396-248,28542,889
– Gross Longs:252,10096,20062,677
– Gross Shorts:46,704344,48519,788
– Long to Short Ratio:5.4 to 10.3 to 13.2 to 1
NET POSITION TREND:
– Strength Index Score (3 Year Range Pct):54.936.791.3
– Strength Index Reading (3 Year Range):BullishBearishBullish-Extreme
NET POSITION MOVEMENT INDEX:
– 6-Week Change in Strength Index:-11.710.57.3

 


Silver Comex Futures:

Silver Futures COT ChartThe Silver Comex Futures large speculator standing this week resulted in a net position of 23,703 contracts in the data reported through Tuesday. This was a weekly lowering of -1,511 contracts from the previous week which had a total of 25,214 net contracts.

This week’s current strength score (the trader positioning range over the past three years, measured from 0 to 100) shows the speculators are currently Bearish with a score of 42.0 percent. The commercials are Bullish with a score of 52.1 percent and the small traders (not shown in chart) are Bullish with a score of 65.1 percent.

Price Trend-Following Model: Uptrend

Our weekly trend-following model classifies the current market price position as: Uptrend.

Silver Futures StatisticsSPECULATORSCOMMERCIALSSMALL TRADERS
– Percent of Open Interest Longs:27.828.622.0
– Percent of Open Interest Shorts:12.656.79.0
– Net Position:23,703-44,05620,353
– Gross Longs:43,47544,78834,444
– Gross Shorts:19,77288,84414,091
– Long to Short Ratio:2.2 to 10.5 to 12.4 to 1
NET POSITION TREND:
– Strength Index Score (3 Year Range Pct):42.052.165.1
– Strength Index Reading (3 Year Range):BearishBullishBullish
NET POSITION MOVEMENT INDEX:
– 6-Week Change in Strength Index:-16.913.98.3

 


Copper Grade #1 Futures:

Copper Futures COT ChartThe Copper Grade #1 Futures large speculator standing this week resulted in a net position of 48,390 contracts in the data reported through Tuesday. This was a weekly lowering of -4,185 contracts from the previous week which had a total of 52,575 net contracts.

This week’s current strength score (the trader positioning range over the past three years, measured from 0 to 100) shows the speculators are currently Bullish with a score of 78.3 percent. The commercials are Bearish-Extreme with a score of 14.6 percent and the small traders (not shown in chart) are Bullish-Extreme with a score of 99.0 percent.

Price Trend-Following Model: Uptrend

Our weekly trend-following model classifies the current market price position as: Uptrend.

Copper Futures StatisticsSPECULATORSCOMMERCIALSSMALL TRADERS
– Percent of Open Interest Longs:36.431.69.2
– Percent of Open Interest Shorts:19.154.93.3
– Net Position:48,390-64,81216,422
– Gross Longs:101,40087,98925,663
– Gross Shorts:53,010152,8019,241
– Long to Short Ratio:1.9 to 10.6 to 12.8 to 1
NET POSITION TREND:
– Strength Index Score (3 Year Range Pct):78.314.699.0
– Strength Index Reading (3 Year Range):BullishBearish-ExtremeBullish-Extreme
NET POSITION MOVEMENT INDEX:
– 6-Week Change in Strength Index:-15.312.112.2

 


Platinum Futures:

Platinum Futures COT ChartThe Platinum Futures large speculator standing this week resulted in a net position of 13,922 contracts in the data reported through Tuesday. This was a weekly decline of -1,202 contracts from the previous week which had a total of 15,124 net contracts.

This week’s current strength score (the trader positioning range over the past three years, measured from 0 to 100) shows the speculators are currently Bearish with a score of 45.8 percent. The commercials are Bearish with a score of 49.7 percent and the small traders (not shown in chart) are Bullish-Extreme with a score of 91.9 percent.

Price Trend-Following Model: Uptrend

Our weekly trend-following model classifies the current market price position as: Uptrend.

Platinum Futures StatisticsSPECULATORSCOMMERCIALSSMALL TRADERS
– Percent of Open Interest Longs:45.826.014.1
– Percent of Open Interest Shorts:28.353.73.9
– Net Position:13,922-22,0268,104
– Gross Longs:36,41920,65411,173
– Gross Shorts:22,49742,6803,069
– Long to Short Ratio:1.6 to 10.5 to 13.6 to 1
NET POSITION TREND:
– Strength Index Score (3 Year Range Pct):45.849.791.9
– Strength Index Reading (3 Year Range):BearishBearishBullish-Extreme
NET POSITION MOVEMENT INDEX:
– 6-Week Change in Strength Index:-23.516.732.6

 


Palladium Futures:

Palladium Futures COT ChartThe Palladium Futures large speculator standing this week resulted in a net position of 684 contracts in the data reported through Tuesday. This was a weekly fall of -204 contracts from the previous week which had a total of 888 net contracts.

This week’s current strength score (the trader positioning range over the past three years, measured from 0 to 100) shows the speculators are currently Bullish-Extreme with a score of 96.4 percent. The commercials are Bearish-Extreme with a score of 0.3 percent and the small traders (not shown in chart) are Bullish-Extreme with a score of 94.4 percent.

Price Trend-Following Model: Uptrend

Our weekly trend-following model classifies the current market price position as: Uptrend.

Palladium Futures StatisticsSPECULATORSCOMMERCIALSSMALL TRADERS
– Percent of Open Interest Longs:49.328.717.8
– Percent of Open Interest Shorts:45.843.56.5
– Net Position:684-2,8402,156
– Gross Longs:9,4365,4873,396
– Gross Shorts:8,7528,3271,240
– Long to Short Ratio:1.1 to 10.7 to 12.7 to 1
NET POSITION TREND:
– Strength Index Score (3 Year Range Pct):96.40.394.4
– Strength Index Reading (3 Year Range):Bullish-ExtremeBearish-ExtremeBullish-Extreme
NET POSITION MOVEMENT INDEX:
– 6-Week Change in Strength Index:-1.9-3.127.3

 


Steel Futures Futures:

Steel Futures COT ChartThe Steel Futures large speculator standing this week resulted in a net position of 12,340 contracts in the data reported through Tuesday. This was a weekly rise of 669 contracts from the previous week which had a total of 11,671 net contracts.

This week’s current strength score (the trader positioning range over the past three years, measured from 0 to 100) shows the speculators are currently Bullish-Extreme with a score of 100.0 percent. The commercials are Bearish-Extreme with a score of 0.0 percent and the small traders (not shown in chart) are Bullish-Extreme with a score of 89.2 percent.

Price Trend-Following Model: Strong Uptrend

Our weekly trend-following model classifies the current market price position as: Strong Uptrend.

Steel Futures StatisticsSPECULATORSCOMMERCIALSSMALL TRADERS
– Percent of Open Interest Longs:38.457.61.6
– Percent of Open Interest Shorts:6.590.70.5
– Net Position:12,340-12,763423
– Gross Longs:14,85622,286635
– Gross Shorts:2,51635,049212
– Long to Short Ratio:5.9 to 10.6 to 13.0 to 1
NET POSITION TREND:
– Strength Index Score (3 Year Range Pct):100.00.089.2
– Strength Index Reading (3 Year Range):Bullish-ExtremeBearish-ExtremeBullish-Extreme
NET POSITION MOVEMENT INDEX:
– 6-Week Change in Strength Index:17.8-18.632.5

 


Article By InvestMacroReceive our weekly COT Newsletter

*COT Report: The COT data, released weekly to the public each Friday, is updated through the most recent Tuesday (data is 3 days old) and shows a quick view of how large speculators or non-commercials (for-profit traders) were positioned in the futures markets.

The CFTC categorizes trader positions according to commercial hedgers (traders who use futures contracts for hedging as part of the business), non-commercials (large traders who speculate to realize trading profits) and nonreportable traders (usually small traders/speculators) as well as their open interest (contracts open in the market at time of reporting). See CFTC criteria here.

20,000 Meters Into a Strategic Metal as Tungsten Drilling Accelerates in Europe

Source: Streetwise Reports (1/28/26)

Allied Critical Metals Inc. (ACM:CSE; ACMIF:OTCQB; 0VJ0:FSE) has launched a fully funded 20,000 meter drill campaign at its Borralha Tungsten Project in northern Portugal. Read how the 2026 program builds on expanded resources and targets multiple breccia zones ahead of planned economic studies.

Allied Critical Metals Inc. (ACM:CSE; ACMIF:OTCQB; 0VJ0:FSE) has commenced a 20,000 meter drill campaign at its 100%-owned Borralha Tungsten Project in northern Portugal. According to the company, this fully funded 2026 exploration program will target multiple zones within the Borralha property, building on the 2025 drill results and a significantly expanded Mineral Resource Estimate (MRE) announced in late 2025.

The 2026 drill program includes core and reverse circulation drilling and is intended to support multiple objectives. These include step-out and infill drilling to upgrade the current resource estimate, further testing of the Santa Helena Breccia, and exploration of other mineralized zones. The program will also provide material for metallurgical test work and generate data to support the company’s anticipated Preliminary Economic Assessment, which is targeted for completion in Q1 2026.

The company stated that drilling will also target the Venise Breccia, located north of Santa Helena, which is historically known for high-grade wolframite and molybdenum mineralization.

“We are excited to launch our most ambitious drill program to date at Borralha,” said Roy Bonnell, CEO and Director of Allied, in a company news release. “With tungsten designated a strategic critical material in the European Union and the United States, this expanded 20,000-meter program will be a cornerstone of our efforts to define Borralha’s resource potential and support advancing the project toward economic evaluation.”

The Borralha project includes bulk mineralization zones as well as high-grade breccia corridors, and has already received regulatory milestones allowing progression through engineering and permitting phases. The company noted that recent work confirmed the system’s scale and resource growth potential.

Tungsten’s Role in Defense Supply Chains, Strategic Metals, and Institutional Allocation

In a January 21 sector analysis published by Tungsten for Stainless: Canada Minerals in 2026 – Driving the Future of Critical Technology & Industry, tungsten was described as a foundational input in advanced sectors such as defense, aerospace, electronics, and stainless steel manufacturing. The report stated that “tungsten accounts for over 90% of stainless steel’s hardness additives in Canada’s high-tech exports as of 2026,” and emphasized the metal’s role in corrosion resistance, extreme heat durability, and wear tolerance. Tungsten was identified as indispensable for applications ranging from cutting tools and turbine components to protective armor and radiation shielding. According to the report, Canada’s tungsten reserves contribute significantly to global aerospace and defense output, with estimated contributions of up to 20% in those categories.

From a January 23 article from InvestorNews, tungsten’s rise to the top of global strategic materials discussions was attributed to decades of stockpile depletion and new geopolitical realities. Christopher Ecclestone of Hallgarten + Company said that “Western governments… fell asleep at the wheel,” allowing critical inventories to run down while attention shifted elsewhere. He described tungsten as “extraordinarily dense, extremely hard, essential for armor-piercing munitions and high-end tooling.” Lewis Black noted that tungsten’s value was “availability-driven,” stating, “the amount of tungsten in an end product is so small that the consumer barely notices the cost; what matters is whether any reliable non-Chinese supply exists at all.” The report also quoted Ecclestone saying that China had effectively told the world, “No more tungsten for you,” in reference to recent export restrictions affecting global access.

Muflih Hidayat, in a January 27 report, reported that institutional investment behavior in the tungsten sector was examined through the lens of capital allocation psychology. The report stated that portfolio managers viewed tungsten exposure as a strategic hedge, noting that “risk premiums that exceed traditional commodity investment frameworks” were being applied due to supply chain concerns. Tungsten’s “dual-use nature” in both military and civilian applications was described as generating “recession-resistant revenue streams,” contributing to strong institutional interest. The article noted that “institutional confidence that long-term value creation would exceed immediate discount impacts” was evident in recent oversubscribed placements, underscoring a shift toward long-term positioning over short-term valuation sensitivity.

Updated Borralha Resource and Preliminary Assessment Plans

According to a December 9 Caesar’s report titled Allied Critical Metals increases Borralha tungsten resource, Allied Critical Metals released an updated mineral resource estimate for its fully owned Borralha tungsten project in Portugal. The report stated that the project contained “13 million tonnes in the measured and indicated resource category at an average grade of 0.21% WO3, with an additional 7.7 million tonnes in the inferred resource category at an average grade of 0.18% WO3.” It further noted that the measured and indicated resources hosted “27,000 tonnes of WO3, which represents approximately 2.7 million mtu,” while the inferred category hosted “approximately 1.4 million mtu.”

The same report commented on the development context, stating that “the resource remains open in multiple directions, so it will be interesting to see how many tonnes can be added further down the road.” It also noted that the updated resource would be used for a Preliminary Economic Assessment, which “will be published in the first quarter of next year.” Regarding the mine design, the report stated that “the mine plan will likely be based on a long-hole stoping approach,” and that this was how “the 0.09% WO3 cutoff grade was established.”

In terms of processing assumptions, the report said that “initial metallurgical results indicate a low-cost gravity flow sheet with a recovery rate of 75-85%.” It also mentioned that “there is a chance to recover copper, tin, and silver as potential by-product credits,” and added that “the impact of these by-products will hopefully already be visible in the Preliminary Economic Assessment.”

Advancing Toward Economic Evaluation with Multiple 2026 Workstreams

Allied’s 2026 drill campaign at Borralha is designed to complete approximately 20,000 meters of drilling across multiple target zones. Program objectives include expanding and upgrading the current Mineral Resource Estimate through step-out and infill drilling, collecting metallurgical material to support prefeasibility analysis, and generating data to support the company’s Preliminary Economic Assessment, which is expected in Q1 2026.

Streetwise Ownership Overview*

Retail: 53%
Management & Insiders: 31%
Institutions: 16%
*Share Structure as of 1/28/2026

 

Drilling will also test extensions of the Santa Helena Breccia and target the Venise Breccia, a historically recognized high-grade tungsten and molybdenum structure located to the north. These efforts follow a 2025 program that yielded significant intercepts, including what the company described as some of the largest tungsten intervals ever recorded.

According to the company, updates, including initial drill results and revised resource modeling, will be released as data becomes available throughout the campaign.

Ownership and Share Structure1

Insiders own approximately 31% of Allied. About 16% is held by institutions and institutional investors, and the rest is held by retail shareholders.

The company has 170 million common shares issued and outstanding and 214 million common shares on a fully diluted basis. Its market cap is ~CA$180 million. Its 52-week range is CA$0.20–CA$1.20 per share.

 

Important Disclosures:

  1. Allied Critical Metals Inc. has a consulting relationship with Street Smart an affiliate of Streetwise Reports. Street Smart Clients pay a monthly consulting fee between US$8,000 and US$20,000.
  2. As of the date of this article, officers, contractors, shareholders, and/or employees of Streetwise Reports LLC (including members of their household) own securities of Allied Critical Metals Inc.
  3. James Guttman wrote this article for Streetwise Reports LLC and provides services to Streetwise Reports as an employee.
  4. This article does not constitute investment advice and is not a solicitation for any investment. Streetwise Reports does not render general or specific investment advice and the information on Streetwise Reports should not be considered a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Each reader is encouraged to consult with his or her personal financial adviser and perform their own comprehensive investment research. By opening this page, each reader accepts and agrees to Streetwise Reports’ terms of use and full legal disclaimer. Streetwise Reports does not endorse or recommend the business, products, services or securities of any company.

For additional disclosures, please click here.

1. Ownership and Share Structure Information

The information listed above was updated on the date this article was published and was compiled from information from the company and various other data providers.

Copper Targets Take Center Stage as New Drill Program Launches in Minnesota

Source: Streetwise Reports (1/26/26)

Green Bridge Metals Corp. (GRBM:CSE; GBMCF:OTC; J48:FWB) has initiated a diamond drilling program at the Titac Project, part of its South Contact District portfolio in northeastern Minnesota. The campaign aims to evaluate copper mineralization within a known titanium-bearing zone using modern geophysics and historic data.

Green Bridge Metals Corp. (GRBM:CSE; GBMCF:OTC; J48:FWB) has commenced a diamond core drilling program at its Titac Project, part of the South Contact District in northeastern Minnesota. The Phase 1 program is the first stage of targeted drilling aimed at evaluating and expanding copper mineralization at the Titac South deposit, which also hosts a titanium dioxide mineral resource outlined in an NI 43-101 Technical Report dated September 18, 2024.

According to the company, the drill program consists of six diamond core holes, each targeting a depth of approximately 300 meters, for a total of roughly 1,800 meters. The drill holes will be arranged in a fence-style section across the Titac South deposit, spaced approximately 50 meters apart.

The program’s objectives include defining the geological and structural controls on copper mineralization, validating historic copper assay results, and testing the spatial relationship between copper mineralization and geophysical anomalies.

The company stated that copper mineralization at Titac occurs primarily as chalcopyrite and is associated with an Oxide Ultramafic Intrusion (OUI) that also hosts the titanium dioxide resource. Drill targets have been prioritized where conductive and magnetic anomalies overlap, based on a 2025 VTEM airborne electromagnetic survey and modern 3D magnetic and conductivity inversions.

David Suda, President and CEO of Green Bridge Metals, said in a company news release, “The commencement of drilling at Titac is an important milestone for Green Bridge as we begin systematically testing the copper potential of a project that already hosts a titanium resource.” He added, “The strong correlation between these anomalies and known mineralization, together with the identification of several new targets, reinforces the exploration potential at Titac.”

US Policy Shifts Reshape Critical Mineral Supply Landscape

According to Catherine Boudreau, on January 7analysis of U.S. interest in Venezuelan critical minerals showed that while the country was believed to hold deposits used in artificial intelligence, defense systems, and renewable energy technologies, significant barriers limited their relevance. Experts cited political instability, lack of reliable data, illegal mining activity, and infrastructure constraints. Tom Moerenhout of Columbia University’s Center on Global Energy Policy was quoted as saying, “In theory, yes, Venezuela has a lot of interesting critical minerals resources. In practice, those resources are only relevant if they are economically recoverable reserves.” The analysis also noted that most Western mining companies remain focused on expanding existing operations rather than entering high-risk jurisdictions. 

In a separate sector assessment, Reed Blakemore and Alexis Harmon wrote on January 13 that Greenland possesses “substantial reserves of rare earth elements, uranium, and other strategically important minerals,” but faces major obstacles to development. The authors stated that Greenland lacks extensive infrastructure and emphasized that Greenland’s mineral potential is largely long-term rather than immediately actionable.

According to Muflih Hidayat on January 26, U.S. policy toward critical minerals entered a new phase with the proposal of a US$2.5 billion Strategic Resilience Reserve. The report stated that the United States maintained “100% import reliance on 12 essential minerals and 50%+ dependency on an additional 29 strategic materials,” highlighting supply chain vulnerability. It also noted China’s “90% processing dominance in rare earth elements” as a concentration risk. The analysis explained that the proposed reserve would allow above-market purchasing, counter-cyclical stockpiling, and profit reinvestment. As quoted in Congressional testimony cited in the report, “The legislation aims to provide targeted investments and stockpiling key inputs to help insulate the U.S. from foreign threats while providing a significant and cost-effective boost to the U.S. economy.”

Also on January 26, Bloomberg noted copper’s sharp price surge, stating it had “surged nearly 50% in eight months.” The report acknowledged copper’s critical role in manufacturing, clean energy, and artificial intelligence infrastructure, adding that “years of chronic underinvestment have left global mine capacity stretched to its limits.” TD Securities’ Daniel Ghali described copper’s tight supply conditions as “an unprecedented level of copper scarcity,” while Global X’s Trevor Yates said miners could remain profitable across normalized business cycles. Bloomberg also reported that unencumbered above-ground copper inventories had reached “unprecedentedly low levels,” and warned that markets could no longer withstand notable disruptions without significant pricing pressure.

Analysts Point to District-Scale Footprint and Strategic Metals Exposure

1On December 26, John Newell of John Newell & Associates published a favorable assessment of Green Bridge Metals Corp., assigning the company a Speculative Buy rating. Newell stated that the company had “quietly assembled a district-scale land position” across northern Minnesota and Ontario, with exposure to copper, nickel, platinum group metals, titanium, and vanadium. He described these commodities as being “at the center of electrification, infrastructure renewal, and defense supply chain priorities.”

Newell identified the Serpentine project as the company’s foundational asset and described it as the primary source of near-term value. He referenced an existing mineral resource estimate consisting of approximately 21.6 million tonnes of Indicated material grading 0.69% copper equivalent and 280 million tonnes of Inferred material grading 0.53% copper equivalent. He noted that platinum group elements were not included in the historical estimate and stated that this represented additional potential. Newell also highlighted the project’s level of advancement, citing access to paved roads, rail, and power, along with permitted drill pads in place for the 2025–2026 program.

From a technical perspective, Newell described the company’s share price as entering an early accumulation phase, pointing to chart patterns, flattening moving averages, and reduced selling pressure. He identified a breakout range between CA$0.14 and CA$0.16 and referenced an initial price objective near CA$0.20. The stock has since surpassed CA$0.20, and Newell noted further upside potential toward CA$0.30 and CA$0.40 under favorable market and company-specific conditions.

Earlier the same day, Michael Ballanger of GGM Advisory Inc. also issued a positive outlook on the company. Ballanger stated that he added Green Bridge Metals to his portfolio following a review of the Serpentine project and a discussion with the company’s chief executive officer. He described the Duluth Complex as “one of the most highly-prospective regions on the planet” and pointed to the geological setting and established infrastructure as key attributes.

Ballanger also drew attention to the company’s titanium exposure, noting that titanium appeared on the U.S. Geological Survey’s 2025 List of Critical Minerals. He stated, “Owning a developer with a focus on a critical metal (titanium) accomplishes” the objective of maintaining portfolio exposure to strategic assets that were not correlated with traditional markets. Ballanger referenced U.S. government funding initiatives that allocated US$37.5 million in 2025 toward titanium development and noted upcoming drill programs at the South Contact Zone and Serpentine as milestones in the company’s progression.

Multiple Exploration Streams Underway

Green Bridge Metals is undertaking several initiatives across its South Contact District portfolio, including both follow-up work at Titac and new exploration at additional project areas.

At Titac, the current Phase 1 drill program is designed to determine whether copper mineralization is confined to the Oxide Ultramafic Intrusion or extends into adjacent layered mafic intrusions. Subject to results, subsequent phases may include additional drilling at Titac South to assess continuity and extent of copper mineralization, initial drill testing at Titac North, and testing of a newly identified deep conductive and magnetic anomaly south of the current target area.

Streetwise Ownership Overview* 

Retail: 73.86%
Institutions: 15%
Strategic Investors: 10%
Management & Insiders: 1.14%
73.9%
15.0%
10.0%
*Share Structure as of 1/20/2026

 

Beyond Titac, the company is also advancing its Serpentine project. The company has outlined a longer-term exploration framework that includes up to 25,500 meters of infill drilling to be completed in multiple phases, along with pilot-scale metallurgical testing and work aimed at increasing the copper-equivalent grade by expanding known high-grade zones. The total multi-year exploration program has been estimated at approximately US$11.8 million. According to the company’s investor presentation, the project is permitted for exploration drilling and is near well-developed infrastructure.  Additional work at the Skibo prospect includes completion of historical core sampling and evaluation of cobalt and platinum group element byproducts. Historical results from Skibo include intervals such as 3.0 meters of 1.6% Cu, 0.4% Ni, and 18.3 g/t PGE, and 153 meters of 0.28% Cu, 0.15% Ni, and 0.37 g/t PGE.exploration activities at Serpentine are permitted for near-term work, and the project is located in a jurisdiction with existing road, rail, and processing infrastructure.

Ownership and Share Structure2

Encampment Minerals, a strategic partner and asset vendor, holds approximately 10% of Green Bridge. Four institutional investors collectively own 15% of the float. Management and insiders own a total of 1.14%, including CEO David Suda, who holds 2 million shares.

Green Bridge Metals has 196,758,632 shares outstanding and a market capitalization of CA$30 million. The company has a 52-week trading range of CA$0.08-CA$0.26.

 

Important Disclosures:

  1. Green Bridge is a billboard sponsor of Streetwise Reports and pays SWR a monthly sponsorship fee between US$3,000 and US$6,000.
  2. As of the date of this article, officers, contractors, shareholders, and/or employees of Streetwise Reports LLC (including members of their household) own securities of Green Bridge.
  3. James Guttman wrote this article for Streetwise Reports LLC and provides services to Streetwise Reports as an employee.
  4. This article does not constitute investment advice and is not a solicitation for any investment. Streetwise Reports does not render general or specific investment advice and the information on Streetwise Reports should not be considered a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Each reader is encouraged to consult with his or her personal financial adviser and perform their own comprehensive investment research. By opening this page, each reader accepts and agrees to Streetwise Reports’ terms of use and full legal disclaimer. Streetwise Reports does not endorse or recommend the business, products, services or securities of any company.

For additional disclosures, please click here.

  1. Disclosure for the quote from the John Newell article published on December 26, 2025
  1. For the quoted article (published on December 26, 2025), the Company has paid Street Smart, an affiliate of Streetwise Reports, between US$3,500.
  2. Author Certification and Compensation: [John Newell of John Newell and Associates] was retained and compensated as an independent contractor by Street Smart for writing this article. Mr. Newell holds a Chartered Investment Management (CIM) designation (2015) and a  U.S. Portfolio Manager designation (2015). The recommendations and opinions expressed in this content reflect the personal, independent, and objective views of the author regarding any and all of the companies discussed. No part of the compensation received by the author was, is, or will be directly or indirectly tied to the specific recommendations or views expressed.

John Newell Disclaimer

As always it is important to note that investing in precious metals like silver carries risks, and market conditions can change violently with shock and awe tactics, that we have seen over the past 20 years. Before making any investment decisions, it’s advisable consult with a financial advisor if needed. Also the practice of conducting thorough research and to consider your investment goals and risk tolerance.

  1. Ownership and Share Structure Information

The information listed above was updated on the date this article was published and was compiled from information from the company and various other data providers.

Gold Surges Above 5,000 USD: Safe-Haven Demand Explodes

By RoboForex Analytical Department

Gold has broken through the historic 5,000 USD per troy ounce mark, rising above 5,075 USD for the first time. The metal continues its record rally as investors aggressively shift into defensive assets amid escalating trade and geopolitical uncertainty.

The main catalyst was renewed rhetoric from US President Donald Trump. Over the weekend, he stated that Washington would seek sovereignty over parts of Greenland where US military bases are located. These comments reignited market anxiety, coming just days after a temporary easing of tariff threats against several European countries.

Further pressure on global markets followed Trump’s warning to Canada. He stated that all Canadian exports to the US could face 100% tariffs if Ottawa finalises a trade agreement with China. The statement came a week after Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney announced a preliminary deal with Beijing, which involves a mutual reduction in tariffs.

Geopolitical risks also remain elevated. Ukraine and Russia held another round of US-mediated talks without reaching an agreement, although both sides signalled readiness to continue negotiations next weekend.

As a result, rising geopolitical tensions and aggressive trade threats have sharply increased capital inflows into gold, further strengthening its role as the primary global safe-haven asset.

Technical Analysis

On the H4 XAUUSD chart, gold has confidently broken above 5,000 and is now developing a strong bullish wave towards the 5,215 level. After reaching this area, a corrective pullback towards 5,000 is possible. The MACD confirms strong upside momentum, with the signal line at highs and pointing firmly upwards.

On the H1 chart, the price has broken and consolidated above the 5,050 level, which is acting as support. The trend is expected to extend towards 5,200. The Stochastic oscillator supports this bullish scenario, with the signal line above 50 and continuing to rise.

Conclusion

Gold has entered a new historical phase above 5,000 USD, driven by escalating geopolitical risks and aggressive US trade rhetoric. As long as uncertainty around global politics and trade persists, gold is likely to remain strongly supported, with further upside potential despite the risk of short-term technical corrections.

 

Disclaimer

Any forecasts contained herein are based on the author’s particular opinion. This analysis may not be treated as trading advice. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations and reviews contained herein.

COT Metals Charts: Weekly Speculator Bets led by Steel

By InvestMacro

Metals Open Interest COT Chart
Here are the latest charts and statistics for the Commitment of Traders (COT) data published by the Commodities Futures Trading Commission (CFTC).

The latest COT data is updated through Tuesday January 20th and shows a quick view of how large traders (for-profit speculators and commercial entities) were positioned in the futures markets.

Weekly Speculator Changes led by Steel

Metals Net Positions COT Chart
The COT metals markets speculator bets were overall lower this week as just one out of the six metals markets we cover had higher positioning while the other five markets had lower speculator contracts.

Leading the gains for the metals markets was Steel with an increase by 649 contracts on the week.

The markets with declines in speculator bets for the week were Silver (-6,846 contracts), Gold (-6,468 contracts), Platinum (-2,470 contracts), Copper (-866 contracts) and with Palladium (-337 contracts) also registering lower bets on the week.

5-Day Metals Market Price Performance led by Platinum

Platinum leads the past five days metals price performance as Platinum shot up by over 20%, followed by Palladium which jumped by 13.10% over that same period. Silver continued its hot streak with 11.51% gains over the past five days, followed by Gold with a rise of 8.19%. Steel was also up by 5.3% in that timeframe. Copper was the only market on the downside this week, with a minor dip by -0.68%.

The metals markets have been raging higher over the past 30 days, with Silver up by over 68%, followed by Platinum, which has seen a 67.39% gain in 30 days. Palladium is up by 37% in the past 30 days, while gold has run 18% higher and Copper is up by approximately 12%. Steel rounds out the past 30 days leaders with an approximately 10% gain.

The leaders over the past 90 days have been Silver, with a 139% gain, followed by Platinum, which is up by over 103%. Palladium has seen a 75% gain in the past 90 days, followed by Gold with a 35% rise, Copper with a 25% rise, and Steel is up over 40% in that same time. Truly an unprecedented time for metals strength.


Metals Data:

Metals Table COT Chart
Legend: Weekly Speculators Change | Speculators Current Net Position | Speculators Strength Score compared to last 3-Years (0-100 range)


Strength Scores led by Steel & Palladium

Metals Strength Scores COT Chart
COT Strength Scores (a normalized measure of Speculator positions over a 3-Year range, from 0 to 100 where above 80 is Extreme-Bullish and below 20 is Extreme-Bearish) showed that Steel (100 percent) and Palladium (98 percent) lead the metals markets this week. Copper (82.2 percent) comes in as the next highest in the weekly strength scores with Gold (71.1 percent) following.

On the lower side, Silver (44 percent) and Platinum (49 percent) come in at the lowest strength levels of the metals currently although both markets are right around the midpoint for the past 3-years (50 percent).

Strength Statistics:
Gold (71.1 percent) vs Gold previous week (73.7 percent)
Silver (44.0 percent) vs Silver previous week (53.2 percent)
Copper (82.2 percent) vs Copper previous week (83.0 percent)
Platinum (48.8 percent) vs Platinum previous week (55.0 percent)
Palladium (97.8 percent) vs Palladium previous week (100.0 percent)
Steel (100.0 percent) vs Steel previous week (96.5 percent)


Steel & Gold top the 6-Week Strength Trends

Metals Trends COT Chart
COT Strength Score Trends (or move index, calculates the 6-week changes in strength scores) showed that Steel (20 percent) and Gold (9 percent) lead the past six weeks trends for metals. Palladium (6 percent) is the next highest positive mover in the latest trends data.

Silver (-26 percent), Platinum (-12 percent) and Copper (-9 percent) lead the downside trend scores currently.

Move Statistics:
Gold (8.6 percent) vs Gold previous week (13.8 percent)
Silver (-26.0 percent) vs Silver previous week (-8.6 percent)
Copper (-9.2 percent) vs Copper previous week (0.0 percent)
Platinum (-11.9 percent) vs Platinum previous week (4.0 percent)
Palladium (6.0 percent) vs Palladium previous week (9.4 percent)
Steel (19.6 percent) vs Steel previous week (27.1 percent)


Individual Markets:

Gold Comex Futures:

Gold Futures COT ChartThe Gold Comex Futures large speculator standing this week was a net position of 244,770 contracts in the data reported through Tuesday. This was a weekly lowering of -6,468 contracts from the previous week which had a total of 251,238 net contracts.

This week’s current strength score (the trader positioning range over the past three years, measured from 0 to 100) shows the speculators are currently Bullish with a score of 71.1 percent. The commercials are Bearish with a score of 20.1 percent and the small traders (not shown in chart) are Bullish-Extreme with a score of 97.2 percent.

Price Trend-Following Model: Strong Uptrend

Our weekly trend-following model classifies the current market price position as: Strong Uptrend.

Gold Futures StatisticsSPECULATORSCOMMERCIALSSMALL TRADERS
– Percent of Open Interest Longs:56.016.311.8
– Percent of Open Interest Shorts:9.771.13.3
– Net Position:244,770-289,68944,919
– Gross Longs:295,77285,86962,136
– Gross Shorts:51,002375,55817,217
– Long to Short Ratio:5.8 to 10.2 to 13.6 to 1
NET POSITION TREND:
– Strength Index Score (3 Year Range Pct):71.120.197.2
– Strength Index Reading (3 Year Range):BullishBearishBullish-Extreme
NET POSITION MOVEMENT INDEX:
– 6-Week Change in Strength Index:8.6-10.918.2

 


Silver Comex Futures:

Silver Futures COT ChartThe Silver Comex Futures large speculator standing this week was a net position of 25,214 contracts in the data reported through Tuesday. This was a weekly decline of -6,846 contracts from the previous week which had a total of 32,060 net contracts.

This week’s current strength score (the trader positioning range over the past three years, measured from 0 to 100) shows the speculators are currently Bearish with a score of 44.0 percent. The commercials are Bearish with a score of 49.2 percent and the small traders (not shown in chart) are Bullish with a score of 69.6 percent.

Price Trend-Following Model: Strong Uptrend

Our weekly trend-following model classifies the current market price position as: Strong Uptrend.

Silver Futures StatisticsSPECULATORSCOMMERCIALSSMALL TRADERS
– Percent of Open Interest Longs:28.328.823.4
– Percent of Open Interest Shorts:11.759.39.5
– Net Position:25,214-46,38921,175
– Gross Longs:42,96543,72335,608
– Gross Shorts:17,75190,11214,433
– Long to Short Ratio:2.4 to 10.5 to 12.5 to 1
NET POSITION TREND:
– Strength Index Score (3 Year Range Pct):44.049.269.6
– Strength Index Reading (3 Year Range):BearishBearishBullish
NET POSITION MOVEMENT INDEX:
– 6-Week Change in Strength Index:-26.018.027.8

 


Copper Grade #1 Futures:

Copper Futures COT ChartThe Copper Grade #1 Futures large speculator standing this week was a net position of 52,575 contracts in the data reported through Tuesday. This was a weekly decline of -866 contracts from the previous week which had a total of 53,441 net contracts.

This week’s current strength score (the trader positioning range over the past three years, measured from 0 to 100) shows the speculators are currently Bullish-Extreme with a score of 82.2 percent. The commercials are Bearish-Extreme with a score of 10.8 percent and the small traders (not shown in chart) are Bullish-Extreme with a score of 100.0 percent.

Price Trend-Following Model: Strong Uptrend

Our weekly trend-following model classifies the current market price position as: Strong Uptrend.

Copper Futures StatisticsSPECULATORSCOMMERCIALSSMALL TRADERS
– Percent of Open Interest Longs:36.530.98.9
– Percent of Open Interest Shorts:17.655.83.0
– Net Position:52,575-69,18616,611
– Gross Longs:101,63186,07724,890
– Gross Shorts:49,056155,2638,279
– Long to Short Ratio:2.1 to 10.6 to 13.0 to 1
NET POSITION TREND:
– Strength Index Score (3 Year Range Pct):82.210.8100.0
– Strength Index Reading (3 Year Range):Bullish-ExtremeBearish-ExtremeBullish-Extreme
NET POSITION MOVEMENT INDEX:
– 6-Week Change in Strength Index:-9.26.015.0

 


Platinum Futures:

Platinum Futures COT ChartThe Platinum Futures large speculator standing this week was a net position of 15,124 contracts in the data reported through Tuesday. This was a weekly fall of -2,470 contracts from the previous week which had a total of 17,594 net contracts.

This week’s current strength score (the trader positioning range over the past three years, measured from 0 to 100) shows the speculators are currently Bearish with a score of 48.8 percent. The commercials are Bullish with a score of 50.3 percent and the small traders (not shown in chart) are Bullish with a score of 75.3 percent.

Price Trend-Following Model: Strong Uptrend

Our weekly trend-following model classifies the current market price position as: Strong Uptrend.

Platinum Futures StatisticsSPECULATORSCOMMERCIALSSMALL TRADERS
– Percent of Open Interest Longs:50.325.113.3
– Percent of Open Interest Shorts:31.152.74.9
– Net Position:15,124-21,7826,658
– Gross Longs:39,70919,86710,541
– Gross Shorts:24,58541,6493,883
– Long to Short Ratio:1.6 to 10.5 to 12.7 to 1
NET POSITION TREND:
– Strength Index Score (3 Year Range Pct):48.850.375.3
– Strength Index Reading (3 Year Range):BearishBullishBullish
NET POSITION MOVEMENT INDEX:
– 6-Week Change in Strength Index:-11.99.014.2

 


Palladium Futures:

Palladium Futures COT ChartThe Palladium Futures large speculator standing this week was a net position of 888 contracts in the data reported through Tuesday. This was a weekly decline of -337 contracts from the previous week which had a total of 1,225 net contracts.

This week’s current strength score (the trader positioning range over the past three years, measured from 0 to 100) shows the speculators are currently Bullish-Extreme with a score of 97.8 percent. The commercials are Bearish-Extreme with a score of 0.8 percent and the small traders (not shown in chart) are Bullish-Extreme with a score of 84.7 percent.

Price Trend-Following Model: Strong Uptrend

Our weekly trend-following model classifies the current market price position as: Strong Uptrend.

Palladium Futures StatisticsSPECULATORSCOMMERCIALSSMALL TRADERS
– Percent of Open Interest Longs:50.328.517.2
– Percent of Open Interest Shorts:45.742.97.4
– Net Position:888-2,7621,874
– Gross Longs:9,6445,4573,301
– Gross Shorts:8,7568,2191,427
– Long to Short Ratio:1.1 to 10.7 to 12.3 to 1
NET POSITION TREND:
– Strength Index Score (3 Year Range Pct):97.80.884.7
– Strength Index Reading (3 Year Range):Bullish-ExtremeBearish-ExtremeBullish-Extreme
NET POSITION MOVEMENT INDEX:
– 6-Week Change in Strength Index:6.0-6.44.7

 


Steel Futures Futures:

Steel Futures COT ChartThe Steel Futures large speculator standing this week was a net position of 11,671 contracts in the data reported through Tuesday. This was a weekly increase of 649 contracts from the previous week which had a total of 11,022 net contracts.

This week’s current strength score (the trader positioning range over the past three years, measured from 0 to 100) shows the speculators are currently Bullish-Extreme with a score of 100.0 percent. The commercials are Bearish-Extreme with a score of 0.0 percent and the small traders (not shown in chart) are Bullish-Extreme with a score of 89.7 percent.

Price Trend-Following Model: Strong Uptrend

Our weekly trend-following model classifies the current market price position as: Strong Uptrend.

Steel Futures StatisticsSPECULATORSCOMMERCIALSSMALL TRADERS
– Percent of Open Interest Longs:37.958.11.6
– Percent of Open Interest Shorts:6.890.40.5
– Net Position:11,671-12,098427
– Gross Longs:14,23521,805611
– Gross Shorts:2,56433,903184
– Long to Short Ratio:5.6 to 10.6 to 13.3 to 1
NET POSITION TREND:
– Strength Index Score (3 Year Range Pct):100.00.089.7
– Strength Index Reading (3 Year Range):Bullish-ExtremeBearish-ExtremeBullish-Extreme
NET POSITION MOVEMENT INDEX:
– 6-Week Change in Strength Index:19.6-20.533.0

 


Article By InvestMacroReceive our weekly COT Newsletter

*COT Report: The COT data, released weekly to the public each Friday, is updated through the most recent Tuesday (data is 3 days old) and shows a quick view of how large speculators or non-commercials (for-profit traders) were positioned in the futures markets.

The CFTC categorizes trader positions according to commercial hedgers (traders who use futures contracts for hedging as part of the business), non-commercials (large traders who speculate to realize trading profits) and nonreportable traders (usually small traders/speculators) as well as their open interest (contracts open in the market at time of reporting). See CFTC criteria here.

Gold Hits Record High: Geopolitical Tensions and Market Instability Fuel Growth

By RoboForex Analytical Department

On Tuesday, gold prices surged to around 4670 USD per ounce, reaching a new record. This price movement comes amid rising demand for safe-haven assets, driven by the escalating trade disputes between the US and the EU.

Recent reports indicate that Denmark is bolstering its military presence in Greenland, following US President Donald Trump’s threats to use force to establish control over the island. Additionally, Trump has threatened to impose a 10% import tariff on goods from eight European countries starting 1 February, with the possibility of increasing the rate to 25% by June if the US is not permitted to purchase Greenland. This has raised concerns within the EU, prompting an emergency summit this Thursday to discuss possible countermeasures.

The delayed release of the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) index this week is also drawing attention, as it could provide further clarity on inflation trends and the future direction of US monetary policy.

Gold’s strong performance this year is further fuelled by inflows into defensive assets amid geopolitical tensions surrounding Venezuela and Iran, as well as ongoing concerns about the US Federal Reserve’s autonomy.

Technical Analysis:

On the H4 XAUUSD chart, gold is pushing through its fifth wave of growth, with the 4,800 level as the next target. After reaching this level, we anticipate a potential pullback towards 4,660. The MACD indicator supports this upward momentum, as its signal line remains at highs, pointing upward.

On the H1 chart, the price has broken through the 4,717 level, forming a consolidation range around it. The trend is likely to continue towards 4,800, with the Stochastic oscillator confirming this bullish outlook, as the signal line remains below 20 and under upward pressure.

Conclusion:

Gold continues to hit new highs, driven by geopolitical tensions and market instability. With ongoing risks in trade relations and concerns about US monetary policy, the demand for defensive assets such as gold remains strong. Technically, gold’s momentum is expected to continue upward, potentially reaching 4,800 before any correction.

 

Disclaimer

Any forecasts contained herein are based on the author’s particular opinion. This analysis may not be treated as trading advice. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations and reviews contained herein.

Gold Hits Record High: Geopolitical Tensions and Market Instability Fuel Growth

By RoboForex Analytical Department

On Tuesday, gold prices surged to around 4670 USD per ounce, reaching a new record. This price movement comes amid rising demand for safe-haven assets, driven by the escalating trade disputes between the US and the EU.

Recent reports indicate that Denmark is bolstering its military presence in Greenland, following US President Donald Trump’s threats to use force to establish control over the island. Additionally, Trump has threatened to impose a 10% import tariff on goods from eight European countries starting 1 February, with the possibility of increasing the rate to 25% by June if the US is not permitted to purchase Greenland. This has raised concerns within the EU, prompting an emergency summit this Thursday to discuss possible countermeasures.

The delayed release of the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) index this week is also drawing attention, as it could provide further clarity on inflation trends and the future direction of US monetary policy.

Gold’s strong performance this year is further fuelled by inflows into defensive assets amid geopolitical tensions surrounding Venezuela and Iran, as well as ongoing concerns about the US Federal Reserve’s autonomy.

Technical Analysis:

On the H4 XAUUSD chart, gold is pushing through its fifth wave of growth, with the 4,800 level as the next target. After reaching this level, we anticipate a potential pullback towards 4,660. The MACD indicator supports this upward momentum, as its signal line remains at highs, pointing upward.

On the H1 chart, the price has broken through the 4,717 level, forming a consolidation range around it. The trend is likely to continue towards 4,800, with the Stochastic oscillator confirming this bullish outlook, as the signal line remains below 20 and under upward pressure.

Conclusion:

Gold continues to hit new highs, driven by geopolitical tensions and market instability. With ongoing risks in trade relations and concerns about US monetary policy, the demand for defensive assets such as gold remains strong. Technically, gold’s momentum is expected to continue upward, potentially reaching 4,800 before any correction.

 

Disclaimer

Any forecasts contained herein are based on the author’s particular opinion. This analysis may not be treated as trading advice. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations and reviews contained herein.

COT Metals Charts: Weekly Speculator Changes led by Gold

By InvestMacro

Metals Open Interest COT Chart
Here are the latest charts and statistics for the Commitment of Traders (COT) data published by the Commodities Futures Trading Commission (CFTC).

The latest COT data is updated through Tuesday January 13th and shows a quick view of how large traders (for-profit speculators and commercial entities) were positioned in the futures markets.

Weekly Speculator Changes led by Gold

Metals Net Positions COT Chart
The COT metals markets speculator bets were overall higher this week as four out of the six metals markets we cover had higher positioning while the other two markets had lower speculator contracts.

Leading the gains for the metals was Gold which had a strong gain by 23,606 contracts with Silver (2,789 contracts), Steel (1,545 contracts) and Palladium (646 contracts) also seeing positive weeks.

The markets with declines in speculator bets for the week were Copper (-4,417 contracts) and with Platinum (-516 contracts) also registering lower bets on the week.

Price Performance led by Silver and Steel

The metals markets saw Silver jump this week by approximately 12% over the past five days. Steel was also up strong by 5.77% over the past five days, while Gold rose by 1.65% and Platinum increased by 1.44%.

On the downside, Copper was lower by -0.64%, and Palladium saw the largest downside this week by -1.78%.

All the metals markets have been higher over the past 30 days and are also higher over the past 90 days. Silver has risen by over 100% in the past 90 days, while Platinum has gained by over 65% in the last 90 days.


Metals Data:

Metals Table COT Chart
Legend: Weekly Speculators Change | Speculators Current Net Position | Speculators Strength Score compared to last 3-Years (0-100 range)


Strength Scores led by Palladium & Steel

Metals Strength Scores COT Chart
COT Strength Scores (a normalized measure of Speculator positions over a 3-Year range, from 0 to 100 where above 80 is Extreme-Bullish and below 20 is Extreme-Bearish) showed that Palladium (100 percent) and Steel (100 percent) lead the metals markets this week. Copper (83 percent) comes in as the next highest in the weekly strength scores.

On the downside, Silver (53 percent) and Platinum (55 percent) come in at the lowest strength levels currently but remain above the 50 percent midpoint of the past 3-years.

Strength Statistics:
Gold (73.7 percent) vs Gold previous week (64.0 percent)
Silver (53.2 percent) vs Silver previous week (49.4 percent)
Copper (83.0 percent) vs Copper previous week (87.1 percent)
Platinum (55.0 percent) vs Platinum previous week (56.3 percent)
Palladium (100.0 percent) vs Palladium previous week (95.7 percent)
Steel (100.0 percent) vs Steel previous week (91.3 percent)

 


Steel & Gold top the 6-Week Strength Trends

Metals Trends COT Chart
COT Strength Score Trends (or move index, calculates the 6-week changes in strength scores) showed that Steel (28 percent) and Gold (14 percent) lead the past six weeks trends for metals. Palladium (9 percent) and Platinum (4 percent) are the next highest positive movers in the latest trends data.

Silver (-9 percent) leads the downside trend scores currently.

Move Statistics:
Gold (13.8 percent) vs Gold previous week (9.4 percent)
Silver (-8.6 percent) vs Silver previous week (-3.9 percent)
Copper (0.0 percent) vs Copper previous week (13.2 percent)
Platinum (4.0 percent) vs Platinum previous week (5.3 percent)
Palladium (9.4 percent) vs Palladium previous week (7.1 percent)
Steel (28.1 percent) vs Steel previous week (19.9 percent)


Individual Markets:

Gold Comex Futures:

Gold Futures COT ChartThe Gold Comex Futures large speculator standing this week reached a net position of 251,238 contracts in the data reported through Tuesday. This was a weekly rise of 23,606 contracts from the previous week which had a total of 227,632 net contracts.

This week’s current strength score (the trader positioning range over the past three years, measured from 0 to 100) shows the speculators are currently Bullish with a score of 73.7 percent. The commercials are Bearish-Extreme with a score of 17.1 percent and the small traders (not shown in chart) are Bullish-Extreme with a score of 100.0 percent.

Price Trend-Following Model: Strong Uptrend

Our weekly trend-following model classifies the current market price position as: Strong Uptrend.

Gold Futures StatisticsSPECULATORSCOMMERCIALSSMALL TRADERS
– Percent of Open Interest Longs:56.215.812.6
– Percent of Open Interest Shorts:8.572.13.9
– Net Position:251,238-297,10645,868
– Gross Longs:296,18383,38266,220
– Gross Shorts:44,945380,48820,352
– Long to Short Ratio:6.6 to 10.2 to 13.3 to 1
NET POSITION TREND:
– Strength Index Score (3 Year Range Pct):73.717.1100.0
– Strength Index Reading (3 Year Range):BullishBearish-ExtremeBullish-Extreme
NET POSITION MOVEMENT INDEX:
– 6-Week Change in Strength Index:13.8-16.823.6

 


Silver Comex Futures:

Silver Futures COT ChartThe Silver Comex Futures large speculator standing this week reached a net position of 32,060 contracts in the data reported through Tuesday. This was a weekly increase of 2,789 contracts from the previous week which had a total of 29,271 net contracts.

This week’s current strength score (the trader positioning range over the past three years, measured from 0 to 100) shows the speculators are currently Bullish with a score of 53.2 percent. The commercials are Bearish with a score of 38.2 percent and the small traders (not shown in chart) are Bullish-Extreme with a score of 80.9 percent.

Price Trend-Following Model: Strong Uptrend

Our weekly trend-following model classifies the current market price position as: Strong Uptrend.

Silver Futures StatisticsSPECULATORSCOMMERCIALSSMALL TRADERS
– Percent of Open Interest Longs:31.228.123.4
– Percent of Open Interest Shorts:10.164.68.1
– Net Position:32,060-55,29223,232
– Gross Longs:47,33742,59535,516
– Gross Shorts:15,27797,88712,284
– Long to Short Ratio:3.1 to 10.4 to 12.9 to 1
NET POSITION TREND:
– Strength Index Score (3 Year Range Pct):53.238.280.9
– Strength Index Reading (3 Year Range):BullishBearishBullish-Extreme
NET POSITION MOVEMENT INDEX:
– 6-Week Change in Strength Index:-8.61.728.1

 


Copper Grade #1 Futures:

Copper Futures COT ChartThe Copper Grade #1 Futures large speculator standing this week reached a net position of 53,441 contracts in the data reported through Tuesday. This was a weekly decrease of -4,417 contracts from the previous week which had a total of 57,858 net contracts.

This week’s current strength score (the trader positioning range over the past three years, measured from 0 to 100) shows the speculators are currently Bullish-Extreme with a score of 83.0 percent. The commercials are Bearish-Extreme with a score of 11.0 percent and the small traders (not shown in chart) are Bullish-Extreme with a score of 100.0 percent.

Price Trend-Following Model: Strong Uptrend

Our weekly trend-following model classifies the current market price position as: Strong Uptrend.

Copper Futures StatisticsSPECULATORSCOMMERCIALSSMALL TRADERS
– Percent of Open Interest Longs:36.130.59.1
– Percent of Open Interest Shorts:16.356.13.3
– Net Position:53,441-68,96215,521
– Gross Longs:97,41582,37824,507
– Gross Shorts:43,974151,3408,986
– Long to Short Ratio:2.2 to 10.5 to 12.7 to 1
NET POSITION TREND:
– Strength Index Score (3 Year Range Pct):83.011.0100.0
– Strength Index Reading (3 Year Range):Bullish-ExtremeBearish-ExtremeBullish-Extreme
NET POSITION MOVEMENT INDEX:
– 6-Week Change in Strength Index:0.0-2.113.2

 


Platinum Futures:

Platinum Futures COT ChartThe Platinum Futures large speculator standing this week reached a net position of 17,594 contracts in the data reported through Tuesday. This was a weekly decline of -516 contracts from the previous week which had a total of 18,110 net contracts.

This week’s current strength score (the trader positioning range over the past three years, measured from 0 to 100) shows the speculators are currently Bullish with a score of 55.0 percent. The commercials are Bearish with a score of 45.1 percent and the small traders (not shown in chart) are Bullish with a score of 70.1 percent.

Price Trend-Following Model: Strong Uptrend

Our weekly trend-following model classifies the current market price position as: Strong Uptrend.

Platinum Futures StatisticsSPECULATORSCOMMERCIALSSMALL TRADERS
– Percent of Open Interest Longs:52.024.313.1
– Percent of Open Interest Shorts:29.554.75.2
– Net Position:17,594-23,8066,212
– Gross Longs:40,74119,04210,264
– Gross Shorts:23,14742,8484,052
– Long to Short Ratio:1.8 to 10.4 to 12.5 to 1
NET POSITION TREND:
– Strength Index Score (3 Year Range Pct):55.045.170.1
– Strength Index Reading (3 Year Range):BullishBearishBullish
NET POSITION MOVEMENT INDEX:
– 6-Week Change in Strength Index:4.0-1.3-12.6

 


Palladium Futures:

Palladium Futures COT ChartThe Palladium Futures large speculator standing this week reached a net position of 1,225 contracts in the data reported through Tuesday. This was a weekly lift of 646 contracts from the previous week which had a total of 579 net contracts.

This week’s current strength score (the trader positioning range over the past three years, measured from 0 to 100) shows the speculators are currently Bullish-Extreme with a score of 100.0 percent. The commercials are Bearish-Extreme with a score of 0.0 percent and the small traders (not shown in chart) are Bullish with a score of 77.5 percent.

Price Trend-Following Model: Strong Uptrend

Our weekly trend-following model classifies the current market price position as: Strong Uptrend.

Palladium Futures StatisticsSPECULATORSCOMMERCIALSSMALL TRADERS
– Percent of Open Interest Longs:51.128.416.5
– Percent of Open Interest Shorts:44.843.27.9
– Net Position:1,225-2,8901,665
– Gross Longs:9,9495,5363,205
– Gross Shorts:8,7248,4261,540
– Long to Short Ratio:1.1 to 10.7 to 12.1 to 1
NET POSITION TREND:
– Strength Index Score (3 Year Range Pct):100.00.077.5
– Strength Index Reading (3 Year Range):Bullish-ExtremeBearish-ExtremeBullish
NET POSITION MOVEMENT INDEX:
– 6-Week Change in Strength Index:9.4-8.6-0.8

 


Steel Futures Futures:

Steel Futures COT ChartThe Steel Futures large speculator standing this week reached a net position of 11,022 contracts in the data reported through Tuesday. This was a weekly increase of 1,545 contracts from the previous week which had a total of 9,477 net contracts.

This week’s current strength score (the trader positioning range over the past three years, measured from 0 to 100) shows the speculators are currently Bullish-Extreme with a score of 100.0 percent. The commercials are Bearish-Extreme with a score of 0.0 percent and the small traders (not shown in chart) are Bullish-Extreme with a score of 82.4 percent.

Price Trend-Following Model: Strong Uptrend

Our weekly trend-following model classifies the current market price position as: Strong Uptrend.

Steel Futures StatisticsSPECULATORSCOMMERCIALSSMALL TRADERS
– Percent of Open Interest Longs:37.857.91.6
– Percent of Open Interest Shorts:6.890.00.6
– Net Position:11,022-11,390368
– Gross Longs:13,43720,592564
– Gross Shorts:2,41531,982196
– Long to Short Ratio:5.6 to 10.6 to 12.9 to 1
NET POSITION TREND:
– Strength Index Score (3 Year Range Pct):100.00.082.4
– Strength Index Reading (3 Year Range):Bullish-ExtremeBearish-ExtremeBullish-Extreme
NET POSITION MOVEMENT INDEX:
– 6-Week Change in Strength Index:28.1-28.424.4

 


Article By InvestMacroReceive our weekly COT Newsletter

*COT Report: The COT data, released weekly to the public each Friday, is updated through the most recent Tuesday (data is 3 days old) and shows a quick view of how large speculators or non-commercials (for-profit traders) were positioned in the futures markets.

The CFTC categorizes trader positions according to commercial hedgers (traders who use futures contracts for hedging as part of the business), non-commercials (large traders who speculate to realize trading profits) and nonreportable traders (usually small traders/speculators) as well as their open interest (contracts open in the market at time of reporting). See CFTC criteria here.

Gold Sets New Highs, With Further Gains Ahead

By RoboForex Analytical Department

Gold prices rose above 4,622 USD per ounce on Wednesday, challenging previous record levels. The rally is underpinned by growing expectations of US interest rate cuts this year and heightened demand for defensive assets.

December data pointed to a moderation in core US inflation, confirming a gradual easing of price pressures and clarifying the economic picture following earlier disruptions.

In this environment, interest rate futures reflect a divergence in expectations: investors are pricing in two to three rate cuts from the Federal Reserve in 2025, exceeding the median forecast from policymakers themselves, which signals only one reduction.

Safe-haven demand has also been reinforced by concerns over the Fed’s independence following the launch of a criminal investigation related to Chair Jerome Powell’s congressional testimony in June.

Geopolitical tensions remain elevated, with markets closely monitoring the risk of US involvement in political instability in Iran amid recurring warnings of potential military action.

Technical Analysis: XAU/USD

H4 Chart:

On the H4 chart, XAU/USD is consolidating around 4,623 USD. An upward expansion of this range towards 4,770 USD is anticipated, likely to be followed by a corrective pullback towards 4,620 USD. A break below this level would open the door to a deeper correction towards 4,520 USD.

The MACD indicator supports the bullish outlook, with its signal line turning upward and pressing towards new highs, indicating sustained upward momentum.

H1 Chart:

On the H1 chart, the market has formed a consolidation range around 4,629 USD and is now building the next leg higher, targeting at least 4,770 USD. This structure reinforces the broader uptrend.

The Stochastic oscillator aligns with this view, as its signal line is positioned at 80 and continues to point upward, signalling strong near-term bullish momentum.

Conclusion

Gold continues to draw strength from shifting rate expectations, political uncertainty, and persistent geopolitical risks. While the near-term technical structure suggests potential for further gains towards 4,770 USD, traders should remain mindful of overextended conditions and the likelihood of a corrective pullback thereafter. A sustained move above current levels would reinforce the longer-term bullish narrative, while a break below 4,620 USD could signal a deeper retracement before the next leg higher.

 

Disclaimer:

Any forecasts contained herein are based on the author’s particular opinion. This analysis may not be treated as trading advice. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations and reviews contained herein.