COT Currencies: US Dollar Speculators boost bullish bets higher for 14th time in 15 weeks

By InvestMacro.com COT Home | Data Tables | Data Downloads | Newsletter

Here are the latest charts and statistics for the Commitment of Traders (COT) data published by the Commodities Futures Trading Commission (CFTC).

The latest COT data is updated through Tuesday September 28th 2021 and shows a quick view of how large traders (for-profit speculators and commercial entities) were positioned in the futures markets. All currency positions are in direct relation to the US dollar where, for example, a bet for the euro is a bet that the euro will rise versus the dollar while a bet against the euro will be a bet that the euro will decline versus the dollar.

Speculative positions in the US Dollar Index have now risen to a 98-week high at over +26,000 net contracts this week. The dollar speculative bets have increased for six consecutive weeks and for fourteen out of the past fifteen week. The last time bullish bets were this high was November 12th of 2019 when positions totaled of +27,784 contracts.

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US Dollar Index Futures:

The US Dollar Index large speculator standing this week equaled a net position of 26,461 contracts in the data reported through Tuesday. This was a weekly gain of 1,361 contracts from the previous week which had a total of 25,100 net contracts.

This week’s current strength score (the trader positioning range over the past three years, measured from 0 to 100) shows the speculators are currently Bullish with a score of 71.4 percent. The commercials are Bearish with a score of 21.8 percent and the small traders (not shown in chart) are Bullish-Extreme with a score of 94.4 percent.

US DOLLAR INDEX Statistics	SPECULATORS	COMMERCIALS	SMALL TRADERS
– Percent of Open Interest Longs:	81.4	2.8	12.9
– Percent of Open Interest Shorts:	33.6	60.3	3.3
– Net Position:	26,461	-31,772	5,311
– Gross Longs:	45,054	1,565	7,110
– Gross Shorts:	18,593	33,337	1,799
– Long to Short Ratio:	2.4 to 1	0.0 to 1	4.0 to 1
NET POSITION TREND:
– COT Index Score (3 Year Range Pct):	71.4	21.8	94.4
– COT Index Reading (3 Year Range):	Bullish	Bearish	Bullish-Extreme
NET POSITION MOVEMENT INDEX:
– 6-Week Change in Strength Index:	12.5	-12.8	6.0

 

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Euro Currency Futures:

The Euro Currency large speculator standing this week equaled a net position of 872 contracts in the data reported through Tuesday. This was a weekly decrease of -11,223 contracts from the previous week which had a total of 12,095 net contracts.

This week’s current strength score (the trader positioning range over the past three years, measured from 0 to 100) shows the speculators are currently Bearish with a score of 35.3 percent. The commercials are Bullish with a score of 67.1 percent and the small traders (not shown in chart) are Bearish with a score of 26.8 percent.

EURO Currency Statistics	SPECULATORS	COMMERCIALS	SMALL TRADERS
– Percent of Open Interest Longs:	29.2	56.7	13.0
– Percent of Open Interest Shorts:	29.1	61.2	8.6
– Net Position:	872	-30,424	29,552
– Gross Longs:	195,043	378,476	87,150
– Gross Shorts:	194,171	408,900	57,598
– Long to Short Ratio:	1.0 to 1	0.9 to 1	1.5 to 1
NET POSITION TREND:
– COT Index Score (3 Year Range Pct):	35.3	67.1	26.8
– COT Index Reading (3 Year Range):	Bearish	Bullish	Bearish
NET POSITION MOVEMENT INDEX:
– 6-Week Change in Strength Index:	-17.4	12.1	22.3

 

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British Pound Sterling Futures:

The British Pound Sterling large speculator standing this week equaled a net position of 1,964 contracts in the data reported through Tuesday. This was a weekly lift of 2,182 contracts from the previous week which had a total of -218 net contracts.

This week’s current strength score (the trader positioning range over the past three years, measured from 0 to 100) shows the speculators are currently Bullish with a score of 75.4 percent. The commercials are Bearish with a score of 31.7 percent and the small traders (not shown in chart) are Bearish with a score of 44.5 percent.

BRITISH POUND Statistics	SPECULATORS	COMMERCIALS	SMALL TRADERS
– Percent of Open Interest Longs:	33.7	48.6	15.7
– Percent of Open Interest Shorts:	32.6	46.6	18.8
– Net Position:	1,964	3,411	-5,375
– Gross Longs:	57,923	83,471	26,971
– Gross Shorts:	55,959	80,060	32,346
– Long to Short Ratio:	1.0 to 1	1.0 to 1	0.8 to 1
NET POSITION TREND:
– COT Index Score (3 Year Range Pct):	75.4	31.7	44.5
– COT Index Reading (3 Year Range):	Bullish	Bearish	Bearish
NET POSITION MOVEMENT INDEX:
– 6-Week Change in Strength Index:	-1.9	4.4	-9.9

 

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Japanese Yen Futures:

The Japanese Yen large speculator standing this week equaled a net position of -64,760 contracts in the data reported through Tuesday. This was a weekly fall of -8,689 contracts from the previous week which had a total of -56,071 net contracts.

This week’s current strength score (the trader positioning range over the past three years, measured from 0 to 100) shows the speculators are currently Bearish with a score of 30.4 percent. The commercials are Bullish with a score of 74.0 percent and the small traders (not shown in chart) are Bearish-Extreme with a score of 12.3 percent.

JAPANESE YEN Statistics	SPECULATORS	COMMERCIALS	SMALL TRADERS
– Percent of Open Interest Longs:	16.1	75.2	8.1
– Percent of Open Interest Shorts:	45.6	37.3	16.5
– Net Position:	-64,760	83,279	-18,519
– Gross Longs:	35,328	165,246	17,806
– Gross Shorts:	100,088	81,967	36,325
– Long to Short Ratio:	0.4 to 1	2.0 to 1	0.5 to 1
NET POSITION TREND:
– COT Index Score (3 Year Range Pct):	30.4	74.0	12.3
– COT Index Reading (3 Year Range):	Bearish	Bullish	Bearish-Extreme
NET POSITION MOVEMENT INDEX:
– 6-Week Change in Strength Index:	-0.9	2.5	-7.7

 

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Swiss Franc Futures:

The Swiss Franc large speculator standing this week equaled a net position of -11,587 contracts in the data reported through Tuesday. This was a weekly reduction of -2,370 contracts from the previous week which had a total of -9,217 net contracts.

This week’s current strength score (the trader positioning range over the past three years, measured from 0 to 100) shows the speculators are currently Bearish with a score of 49.7 percent. The commercials are Bullish with a score of 62.4 percent and the small traders (not shown in chart) are Bearish-Extreme with a score of 15.0 percent.

SWISS FRANC Statistics	SPECULATORS	COMMERCIALS	SMALL TRADERS
– Percent of Open Interest Longs:	11.5	72.9	15.5
– Percent of Open Interest Shorts:	31.3	25.0	43.6
– Net Position:	-11,587	28,058	-16,471
– Gross Longs:	6,734	42,675	9,060
– Gross Shorts:	18,321	14,617	25,531
– Long to Short Ratio:	0.4 to 1	2.9 to 1	0.4 to 1
NET POSITION TREND:
– COT Index Score (3 Year Range Pct):	49.7	62.4	15.0
– COT Index Reading (3 Year Range):	Bearish	Bullish	Bearish-Extreme
NET POSITION MOVEMENT INDEX:
– 6-Week Change in Strength Index:	-30.0	28.0	-22.4

 

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Canadian Dollar Futures:

The Canadian Dollar large speculator standing this week equaled a net position of -20,235 contracts in the data reported through Tuesday. This was a weekly rise of 7,642 contracts from the previous week which had a total of -27,877 net contracts.

This week’s current strength score (the trader positioning range over the past three years, measured from 0 to 100) shows the speculators are currently Bearish with a score of 38.1 percent. The commercials are Bullish with a score of 60.9 percent and the small traders (not shown in chart) are Bullish with a score of 54.9 percent.

CANADIAN DOLLAR Statistics	SPECULATORS	COMMERCIALS	SMALL TRADERS
– Percent of Open Interest Longs:	18.5	53.0	26.9
– Percent of Open Interest Shorts:	35.7	40.4	22.3
– Net Position:	-20,235	14,833	5,402
– Gross Longs:	21,873	62,549	31,747
– Gross Shorts:	42,108	47,716	26,345
– Long to Short Ratio:	0.5 to 1	1.3 to 1	1.2 to 1
NET POSITION TREND:
– COT Index Score (3 Year Range Pct):	38.1	60.9	54.9
– COT Index Reading (3 Year Range):	Bearish	Bullish	Bullish
NET POSITION MOVEMENT INDEX:
– 6-Week Change in Strength Index:	-19.1	18.5	-9.9

 

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Australian Dollar Futures:

The Australian Dollar large speculator standing this week equaled a net position of -86,383 contracts in the data reported through Tuesday. This was a weekly lowering of -799 contracts from the previous week which had a total of -85,584 net contracts.

This week’s current strength score (the trader positioning range over the past three years, measured from 0 to 100) shows the speculators are currently Bearish-Extreme with a score of 0.0 percent. The commercials are Bullish-Extreme with a score of 100.0 percent and the small traders (not shown in chart) are Bearish-Extreme with a score of 11.0 percent.

AUSTRALIAN DOLLAR Statistics	SPECULATORS	COMMERCIALS	SMALL TRADERS
– Percent of Open Interest Longs:	10.2	79.5	8.0
– Percent of Open Interest Shorts:	57.9	21.7	18.1
– Net Position:	-86,383	104,698	-18,315
– Gross Longs:	18,407	143,863	14,460
– Gross Shorts:	104,790	39,165	32,775
– Long to Short Ratio:	0.2 to 1	3.7 to 1	0.4 to 1
NET POSITION TREND:
– COT Index Score (3 Year Range Pct):	0.0	100.0	11.0
– COT Index Reading (3 Year Range):	Bearish-Extreme	Bullish-Extreme	Bearish-Extreme
NET POSITION MOVEMENT INDEX:
– 6-Week Change in Strength Index:	-35.1	26.9	2.4

 

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New Zealand Dollar Futures:

The New Zealand Dollar large speculator standing this week equaled a net position of 10,246 contracts in the data reported through Tuesday. This was a weekly boost of 2,144 contracts from the previous week which had a total of 8,102 net contracts.

This week’s current strength score (the trader positioning range over the past three years, measured from 0 to 100) shows the speculators are currently Bullish-Extreme with a score of 88.5 percent. The commercials are Bearish-Extreme with a score of 14.1 percent and the small traders (not shown in chart) are Bullish with a score of 57.2 percent.

NEW ZEALAND DOLLAR Statistics	SPECULATORS	COMMERCIALS	SMALL TRADERS
– Percent of Open Interest Longs:	54.4	31.1	12.2
– Percent of Open Interest Shorts:	24.0	62.6	11.1
– Net Position:	10,246	-10,598	352
– Gross Longs:	18,324	10,472	4,106
– Gross Shorts:	8,078	21,070	3,754
– Long to Short Ratio:	2.3 to 1	0.5 to 1	1.1 to 1
NET POSITION TREND:
– COT Index Score (3 Year Range Pct):	88.5	14.1	57.2
– COT Index Reading (3 Year Range):	Bullish-Extreme	Bearish-Extreme	Bullish
NET POSITION MOVEMENT INDEX:
– 6-Week Change in Strength Index:	17.6	-16.9	5.1

 

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Mexican Peso Futures:

The Mexican Peso large speculator standing this week equaled a net position of -19,595 contracts in the data reported through Tuesday. This was a weekly reduction of -580 contracts from the previous week which had a total of -19,015 net contracts.

This week’s current strength score (the trader positioning range over the past three years, measured from 0 to 100) shows the speculators are currently Bearish-Extreme with a score of 4.9 percent. The commercials are Bullish-Extreme with a score of 94.8 percent and the small traders (not shown in chart) are Bullish with a score of 52.0 percent.

MEXICAN PESO Statistics	SPECULATORS	COMMERCIALS	SMALL TRADERS
– Percent of Open Interest Longs:	53.5	42.3	3.2
– Percent of Open Interest Shorts:	64.9	32.2	2.0
– Net Position:	-19,595	17,487	2,108
– Gross Longs:	92,423	73,086	5,510
– Gross Shorts:	112,018	55,599	3,402
– Long to Short Ratio:	0.8 to 1	1.3 to 1	1.6 to 1
NET POSITION TREND:
– COT Index Score (3 Year Range Pct):	4.9	94.8	52.0
– COT Index Reading (3 Year Range):	Bearish-Extreme	Bullish-Extreme	Bullish
NET POSITION MOVEMENT INDEX:
– 6-Week Change in Strength Index:	-0.2	0.8	-4.5

 

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Brazilian Real Futures:

The Brazilian Real large speculator standing this week equaled a net position of 5,086 contracts in the data reported through Tuesday. This was a weekly fall of -686 contracts from the previous week which had a total of 5,772 net contracts.

This week’s current strength score (the trader positioning range over the past three years, measured from 0 to 100) shows the speculators are currently Bullish with a score of 75.4 percent. The commercials are Bearish with a score of 25.5 percent and the small traders (not shown in chart) are Bullish with a score of 77.3 percent.

BRAZIL REAL Statistics	SPECULATORS	COMMERCIALS	SMALL TRADERS
– Percent of Open Interest Longs:	45.5	42.2	10.7
– Percent of Open Interest Shorts:	27.3	63.5	7.6
– Net Position:	5,086	-5,956	870
– Gross Longs:	12,737	11,796	3,007
– Gross Shorts:	7,651	17,752	2,137
– Long to Short Ratio:	1.7 to 1	0.7 to 1	1.4 to 1
NET POSITION TREND:
– COT Index Score (3 Year Range Pct):	75.4	25.5	77.3
– COT Index Reading (3 Year Range):	Bullish	Bearish	Bullish
NET POSITION MOVEMENT INDEX:
– 6-Week Change in Strength Index:	-18.6	19.4	-7.6

 

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Russian Ruble Futures:

The Russian Ruble large speculator standing this week equaled a net position of 20,828 contracts in the data reported through Tuesday. This was a weekly rise of 2,595 contracts from the previous week which had a total of 18,233 net contracts.

This week’s current strength score (the trader positioning range over the past three years, measured from 0 to 100) shows the speculators are currently Bullish with a score of 62.7 percent. The commercials are Bearish with a score of 34.3 percent and the small traders (not shown in chart) are Bullish-Extreme with a score of 85.6 percent.

RUSSIAN RUBLE Statistics	SPECULATORS	COMMERCIALS	SMALL TRADERS
– Percent of Open Interest Longs:	55.0	40.0	4.8
– Percent of Open Interest Shorts:	14.7	83.2	1.9
– Net Position:	20,828	-22,334	1,506
– Gross Longs:	28,397	20,617	2,485
– Gross Shorts:	7,569	42,951	979
– Long to Short Ratio:	3.8 to 1	0.5 to 1	2.5 to 1
NET POSITION TREND:
– COT Index Score (3 Year Range Pct):	62.7	34.3	85.6
– COT Index Reading (3 Year Range):	Bullish	Bearish	Bullish-Extreme
NET POSITION MOVEMENT INDEX:
– 6-Week Change in Strength Index:	21.6	-20.4	-7.4

 

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Bitcoin Futures:

The Bitcoin large speculator standing this week equaled a net position of -883 contracts in the data reported through Tuesday. This was a weekly gain of 142 contracts from the previous week which had a total of -1,025 net contracts.

This week’s current strength score (the trader positioning range over the past three years, measured from 0 to 100) shows the speculators are currently Bullish with a score of 79.1 percent. The commercials are Bullish with a score of 52.6 percent and the small traders (not shown in chart) are Bearish-Extreme with a score of 12.9 percent.

BITCOIN Statistics	SPECULATORS	COMMERCIALS	SMALL TRADERS
– Percent of Open Interest Longs:	64.5	6.8	21.0
– Percent of Open Interest Shorts:	77.0	4.3	11.0
– Net Position:	-883	178	705
– Gross Longs:	4,539	479	1,480
– Gross Shorts:	5,422	301	775
– Long to Short Ratio:	0.8 to 1	1.6 to 1	1.9 to 1
NET POSITION TREND:
– COT Index Score (3 Year Range Pct):	79.1	52.6	12.9
– COT Index Reading (3 Year Range):	Bullish	Bullish	Bearish-Extreme
NET POSITION MOVEMENT INDEX:
– 6-Week Change in Strength Index:	-4.4	52.6	-11.3

 

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Article By InvestMacro.com – Receive our weekly COT Reports by Email

*COT Report: The COT data, released weekly to the public each Friday, is updated through the most recent Tuesday (data is 3 days old) and shows a quick view of how large speculators or non-commercials (for-profit traders) were positioned in the futures markets.

The CFTC categorizes trader positions according to commercial hedgers (traders who use futures contracts for hedging as part of the business), non-commercials (large traders who speculate to realize trading profits) and nonreportable traders (usually small traders/speculators).

Find CFTC criteria here: (http://www.cftc.gov/MarketReports/CommitmentsofTraders/ExplanatoryNotes/index.htm).