Week Ahead: EURUSD set to rally towards key 1.20 level?

By ForexTime 

  • EURUSD ↑ 3% MTD, trading near 4-year highs
  • ECB forum in Sintra + key EU/US data = fresh volatility?  
  • EURUSD forecasted to move ↑ 0.3% or ↓ 0.7% post NFP
  • Bloomberg FX model: EURUSD has 75% of trading within 1.1557 – 1.1880 over 1-week period
  • Technical level: 1.1700

The world’s most-traded FX pair is on a tear, hitting levels not seen since September 2021!

At the time of writing, EURUSD has gained over 3% this month with prices knocking on key resistance at 1.17.

 

Why is the EURUSD rallying?

 

A broadly weaker dollar:

  • The greenback has been hit by growing bets on a more dovish-leaning Fed amid reports that Trump will announce Powell’s replacement sooner than expected.

 

  • Easing geopolitical tensions in the Middle East also reduced appetite for safe-haven assets, enforcing more pressure on the dollar.

We have seen the dollar not only weaken against the euro but against every single G10 currency month-to-date. 

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usdJDD

 

With the dollar under pressure, could this mean more upside for the EURUSD ahead of another event-heavy week?

Monday, 30th June 

  • CN50: China PMI’s
  • GER40: Germany CPI
  • JP225: Japan industrial production
  • UK100: UK GDP
  • US500: Atlanta Fed President Raphael Bostic speech
  • ECB Forum on Central Banking in Sintra

Tuesday, 1st July 

  • CN50: China Caixin manufacturing PMI
  • EUR: Germany Manufacturing PMI, Eurozone CPI, ECB President Lagarde speech
  • JPY: Japan S&P Global Manufacturing PMI, BOJ Governor Ueda speech
  • GBP: UK S&P Global Manufacturing PMI, BOE Governor Bailey speech
  • USDInd: US ISM Manufacturing, S&P Global PMI, Fed Chair Powell speech

Wednesday, 2nd July

  • AUD: Australia retail sales, building approvals
  • CAD: Canada S&P Global Manufacturing PMI
  • EUR: Eurozone unemployment
  • US400: US ADP employment
  • Tesla: Second-quarter vehicle sales figures

Thursday, 3rd July 

  • AUD: Australia trade
  • CN50: China Caixin services PMI
  • EUR: Eurozone HCOB Services PMI, ECB meeting minutes
  • JPY: Japan S&P Global Services PMI
  • USDInd: US June nonfarm payrolls, initial jobless claims

Friday, 4th July 

  • SG20: Singapore retail sales
  • EUR: Eurozone PPI, Germany factory orders
  • Senate vote for signing a Republican-backed tax and spending bill.
  • US markets closed: Independence Day holiday

Here are 4 key events that could rattle the EURUSD:

 

1) ECB’s annual forum in Sintra

European Central Bank President Christine Lagarde will kick off the ECB forum with a keynote speech on Monday, 30th June. 

Lagarde will be under the spotlight again on Tuesday, with Fed Chair Jerome Powell and other central bank heads discussing “macroeconomic shifts and policy responses”. Should Lagarde or Powell offer any fresh clues about future monetary policy, this could result in heightened volatility on the EURUSD.

 

2) Eurozone June CPI + data dump

Inflation data from Europe on Tuesday, 1st July could influence expectations around when the ECB will cut interest rates. 

Markets are forecasting: 

  • CPI year-on-year (June 2024 vs. June 2025) is expected to rise 1.9%
  • Core CPI year-on-year to remain unchanged at 2.3%
  • CPI month-on-month (June 2025 vs May 2025) to rise 0.2% from 0.0%.

EURUSD is forecasted to move as much as 0.4% or decline 0.3% in a 6-hour window post release.

  • A softer inflation may fuel speculation around lower rates in Europe, dragging the EURUSD lower.
  • A hotter-than-expected inflation report could shave ECB cut bets, resulting in a stronger Euro.

Traders are currently pricing a 55% probability of a 25-basis point ECB cut by September. 

Note: Beyond the Eurozone CPI data, it will be wise to keep an eye on the German CPI report, Manufacturing PMI’s, Eurozone unemployment and PPI which may influence the euro.

 

3) US June nonfarm payrolls (NFP)

Here is what markets predict for the key US jobs report on Thursday 3rd July: 

June headline NFP number: 120,000

If so, that would be lower than the 139k new jobs created in May. 

June unemployment rate: 4.3%

This would represent a 0.1% increase from the 4.2% in May. 

  • A weaker-than-expected US jobs report may weaken the dollar, pushing the EURUSD higher as a result.
  • Should the US jobs report print stronger than expected, the EURUSD may sink as the Dollar strengthens. 

EURUSD is forecasted to move 0.30% up or 0.73% down in the 6 hours after this US NFP release

 

4) Technical forces

The EURUSD is firmly bullish on the daily timeframe with prices trading above the 50, 100 and 200-day SMA. However, the Relative Strength Index signals that prices are heavily overbought. 

  • A solid daily close above 1.1700 may signal a move toward 1.1800 and 1.1880 – the upper limit of the Bloomberg FX model.

 

  • Should 1.1700 prove to be a tough resistance, this could trigger a decline back toward 1.1620 and 1.1557 – the lower limit of the Bloomberg FX model.
Imagen
eurusd2

Bloomberg’s FX model forecasts a 75% chance that EURUSD will trade within the 1.1557 – 1.1880 range, using current levels as a base, over the next one-week period.


Forex-Time-LogoArticle by ForexTime

ForexTime Ltd (FXTM) is an award winning international online forex broker regulated by CySEC 185/12 www.forextime.com

Natural gas prices fell to a five-week low. The Mexican peso is trading at a ten-month high

By JustMarkets 

At the end of Thursday, the Dow Jones Index (US30) rose by 0.94%. The S&P 500 Index (US500) rose by 0.01% and reached a new all-time high. The Nasdaq (US100) Technology Index closed higher by 0.97%. The US stocks rose on Thursday thanks to easing geopolitical tensions, strong performance by tech giants, and growing expectations of interest rate cuts. Meanwhile, fresh economic data showed that the US economy contracted more than expected in the first quarter, by 0.5% on an annualized basis, while the trade deficit unexpectedly widened due to a decline in exports.

The Mexican peso strengthened to 18.86 per dollar, reaching a ten-month high, despite the Bank of Mexico cutting its rate by 50 basis points to 8%. Global investors are shifting to high-yielding emerging market assets after the Fed’s signals of patience pushed the Dollar Index to two-year lows, while Mexico’s real interest rate outlook remains one of the most attractive in the G20, given core inflation of 4.5% year-on-year and core CPI of 4.2%.

European stock markets were mostly higher on Thursday. Germany’s DAX (DE40) rose by 0.64%, France’s CAC 40 (FR40) closed down 0.01%, the Spanish IBEX35 (ES35) added 0.03%, and the British FTSE 100 (UK100) closed positive 0.19%. On Thursday, European stocks showed mixed dynamics, holding on to the losses of the previous session, as markets continued to assess the prospects for fiscal and monetary policy in the EU’s largest economies. Defense companies continued yesterday’s growth as investors continued to assess their earnings growth after NATO countries agreed to increase defense spending to 5% of GDP by 2035.

The US natural gas prices (XNG/USD) fell to $3.42/MMBtu, a five-week low, under pressure from rising production and a larger-than-expected increase in storage inventories. According to the EIA, US utilities added 96 billion cubic feet of gas to storage for the week ending June 20, marking the 10th consecutive week of above-average injections.

Asian markets were mostly lower yesterday. Japan’s Nikkei 225 (JP225) rose by 1.65%, China’s FTSE China A50 (CHA50) fell by 0.34%, Hong Kong’s Hang Seng (HK50) lost 0.61%, and Australia’s ASX 200 (AU200) showed a negative result of 0.10%.

Core consumer prices in Tokyo in June 2025 were 3.1% year-on-year, down from May’s 3.6% growth and below market expectations of 3.3%. This is the first slowdown in core inflation since February, although the figure still significantly exceeds the Bank of Japan’s 2% target, supporting expectations of further interest rate hikes. Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda recently signaled that the Central Bank may continue to raise rates if sustained wage growth supports consumer spending.

On Thursday, the New Zealand dollar rose to $0.606, continuing its rally for the fifth consecutive day and reaching its highest level since October 2024, helped by the general weakening of the US dollar and the recovery of global risk appetite. New Zealand’s Consumer Confidence Index rose in June, although some of its components remain weak and the index is still in pessimistic territory.

S&P 500 (US500) 6,141.02 +48.86 (+0.80%)

Dow Jones (US30) 43,386.84 +404.41 (+0.94%)

DAX (DE40) 23,649.30 +150.97 (+0.64%)

FTSE 100 (UK100) 8,735.60 +16.85 (+0.19%)

USD Index 97.33 −0.35 (−0.36%)

News feed for: 2025.06.27

  • Japan Tokyo Core CPI (m/m) at 02:30 (GMT+3);
  • Japan Unemployment Rate (m/m) at 02:30 (GMT+3);
  • Japan Retail Sales (m/m) at 02:50 (GMT+3);
  • UK GDP (m/m) at 09:00 (GMT+3);
  • Canada GDP (m/m) at 15:30 (GMT+3);
  • US PCE Price index (m/m) at 15:30 (GMT+3);
  • US Michigan Inflation Expectations (m/m) at 17:00 (GMT+3).

By JustMarkets

 

This article reflects a personal opinion and should not be interpreted as an investment advice, and/or offer, and/or a persistent request for carrying out financial transactions, and/or a guarantee, and/or a forecast of future events.

Gold Prices Decline as Risk Appetite Grows, Reducing Safe-Haven Demand

By RoboForex Analytical Department 

Gold has fallen to $3,296 per troy ounce, despite a weaker US dollar, as investors remain focused on the potential easing of Federal Reserve (Fed) policy.

Market expectations suggest that Donald Trump could announce his nominee for Fed chair as early as September or October, with the likely candidate favouring a more accommodative monetary stance.

Jerome Powell, the current Fed chair, has indicated that the absence of new trade duties is helping to curb inflation, potentially paving the way for multiple rate cuts, provided no aggressive tariffs are introduced after 9 July.

Recent Statdata revisions showed the US economy contracted by 0.5% in Q1 (final estimate), reinforcing expectations of a rate cut. However, this weak performance was partially offset by a drop in jobless claims, which fell to a five-week low, alongside an 11-year high in durable goods orders.

Investors are now awaiting the release of the PCE index, the Fed’s preferred inflation gauge.

Further pressure on gold stems from easing geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, reducing demand for safe-haven assets. Over the past five trading sessions, gold has remained on track for a second consecutive weekly decline.

Technical Analysis: XAU/USD

H4 Chart:

The market remains within a broad consolidation range around $3,344. Today’s downward extension reached $3,291, with the potential for a corrective rebound to retest $3,344 (from below) before a possible decline towards $3,237. This scenario is supported by the MACD indicator, with its signal line below zero but turning upward.

H1 Chart:

A downward wave structure has formed, reaching $3,290. A corrective upward move towards $3,344 is anticipated today, maintaining the consolidation range. A breakout below this range could open further downside potential, targeting at least $3,237. The Stochastic oscillator corroborates this outlook, with its signal line below 20 and rising sharply towards 80.

Conclusion

Gold remains under pressure amid shifting Fed expectations and reduced geopolitical risks, with technical indicators suggesting further volatility ahead.

 

Disclaimer

Any forecasts contained herein are based on the author’s particular opinion. This analysis may not be treated as trading advice. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations and reviews contained herein.

Pound Hits Multi-Year High as Bank of England Signals Rate Cut Readiness

By RoboForex Analytical Department 

The GBP/USD pair surged to 1.3704, reaching its highest level since January 2022.

This rally was driven by a weakening US dollar, growing expectations of a Federal Reserve rate cut, and easing geopolitical tensions.

Market expectations for an imminent Fed rate reduction strengthened after Chair Jerome Powell suggested that weaker inflation or employment data could prompt faster action from the central bank.

In the UK, Bank of England (BoE) Governor Andrew Bailey and Deputy Governor Dave Ramsden signalled that interest rate cuts are on the horizon. They highlighted signs of a cooling labour market, including slowing wage growth and rising economic inactivity. However, Bailey cautioned about reliability issues in recent employment data.

Ramsden, who voted for a rate cut, cited the labour market slowdown as a key factor. He also warned of the risk of inflation falling below the BoE’s 2% target.

Meanwhile, markets are closely watching the truce between Israel and Iran, which has reduced fears of further escalation and potential inflationary shocks.

Technical Analysis: GBP/USD

H4 Chart:

On the H4 chart, GBP/USD formed a tight consolidation range around 1.3622 before breaking higher. The pair has now breached the upper boundary of a broader consolidation range, suggesting potential for further gains. The next upside target is 1.3880, supported by the MACD indicator, where the signal line remains above zero and trending upwards.

H1 Chart:

On the H1 chart, the pair completed an upward wave to 1.3723. A short-term pullback towards 1.3630 is possible before another potential rally towards 1.3810. This scenario is supported by the Stochastic oscillator, where the signal line is below 80 and descending towards 20.

Conclusion

The pound’s rally reflects dollar weakness and BoE rate cut expectations, while technical indicators suggest further upside potential after a possible brief correction.

 

Disclaimer

Any forecasts contained herein are based on the author’s particular opinion. This analysis may not be treated as trading advice. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations and reviews contained herein.

NATO countries agreed to increase defense spending. Oil prices stabilized at $65

By JustMarkets 

At the end of Wednesday, the Dow Jones (US30) Index fell by 0.25%. The S&P 500 (US500) Index fell by 0.01%. The Nasdaq (US100) Technology Index closed higher by 0.31%. Wall Street closed on a mixed note on Wednesday, as investors weighed steady developments related to the ceasefire in the Middle East and digested the second day of Fed Chairman Jerome Powell’s testimony to Congress. Fed Chairman Jerome Powell struck a cautious tone, signaling that while the Fed may manage potential inflation due to tariffs, it is not yet ready to cut rates despite growing pressure from President Trump and some lawmakers. Meanwhile, housing data showed that new home sales fell to their lowest level since October 2024 amid rising mortgage rates. Technology stocks led the market: Nvidia rose by 4.3%, Alphabet added 2.3%, and AMD increased by 3.6%. Tesla shares fell 3.8% due to weak European sales, and FedEx fell by 3.3% after publishing disappointing earnings expectations.

The Mexican peso strengthened to 18.9 per dollar, approaching the ten-month high of 18.886 reached on June 12, thanks to easing tensions in the Middle East and encouraging domestic inflation dynamics, which support the case for an earlier-than-expected rate cut by the Bank of Mexico.

European stock markets were mostly lower on Wednesday. The German DAX (DE40) fell by 0.61%, the French CAC 40 (FR40) closed down 0.76%, the Spanish IBEX35 (ES35) fell 1.59%, and the British FTSE 100 (UK100) closed down 0.46%. European stocks closed lower on Wednesday as markets continued to assess the impact of geopolitical tensions in the Middle East on energy prices and the outlook for European debt amid promises to increase defense spending. European NATO countries agreed to increase defense spending to 5% of GDP by 2030 during a summit in The Hague.

WTI oil prices rose more than 1% above $65 a barrel on Wednesday after falling nearly 13% in the previous two sessions, the sharpest two-day decline since 2022. Markets remain focused on events in the Middle East, where the US-brokered truce between Iran and Israel appears to be holding. As a step toward strengthening the truce, President Trump also signaled support for China, Iran’s largest oil buyer, to continue importing Iranian oil, which appears to undermine years of US sanctions against Tehran.

The US natural gas prices (XNG/USD) fell more than 1.5% to below $3.50/MMBtu, the lowest in two weeks, under pressure from rising production and significant injections into storage facilities. In June, average production in the lower 48 states was 105.5 billion cubic feet per day, slightly higher than in May but still below March’s record high due to spring maintenance work. Despite hotter-than-usual weather last week, analysts expect gas injections into storage to be above average, with inventories remaining about 6% above the five-year average.

Asian markets rose steadily yesterday. Japan’s Nikkei 225 (JP225) rose by 0.39%, China’s FTSE China A50 (CHA50) rose by 1.26%, Hong Kong’s Hang Seng (HK50) added 1.23%, and Australia’s ASX 200 (AU200) showed a positive result of 0.04%.

In China, Beijing presented new recommendations to stimulate consumption through financial instruments aimed at supporting jobs, increasing incomes, and strengthening the economy as a whole. Premier Li Keqiang also expressed confidence in maintaining relatively rapid growth and transitioning to a consumer-oriented economy. On Thursday, the offshore yuan strengthened to above 7.15 per dollar, reaching its highest level since early November 2024. The People’s Bank of China (PBoC) is establishing a new center in Shanghai to promote the digital yuan and is launching initiatives to encourage its use in global trade and finance.

On Thursday, the New Zealand dollar strengthened to 0.605 US dollars, showing its fourth consecutive day of growth. This was facilitated by improved risk sentiment amid the continuing truce between Israel and Iran. In the domestic market, the latest economic data, in particular better-than-expected GDP figures for the first quarter and an increase in the trade surplus, reinforced the view that the Reserve Bank of New Zealand is nearing the end of its current easing cycle.

S&P 500 (US500) 6,092.16 −0.02 (−0.01%)

Dow Jones (US30) 42,982.43 −106.59 (−0.25%)

DAX (DE40) 23,498.33 −143.25 (−0.61%)

FTSE 100 (UK100) 8,718.75 −40.24 (−0.46%)

USD Index 97.70 −0.16 (−0.16%)

News feed for: 2025.06.26

  • German GfK Consumer Climate (m/m) at 09:00 (GMT+3);
  • UK BOE Gov Bailey Speaks at 14:00 (GMT+3);
  • US GDP (q/q) at 15:30 (GMT+3);
  • US Initial Jobless Claims (w/w) at 15:30 (GMT+3);
  • US Durable Goods Orders (m/m) at 15:30 (GMT+3);
  • US Pending Home Sales (m/m) at 17:00 (GMT+3);
  • US Natural Gas Storage (w/w) at 17:30 (GMT+3).

By JustMarkets

 

This article reflects a personal opinion and should not be interpreted as an investment advice, and/or offer, and/or a persistent request for carrying out financial transactions, and/or a guarantee, and/or a forecast of future events.

Equiom Surpasses USD 3 Billion in Middle East Workplace Savings Plan Assets Under Administration

Equiom is pleased to announce a major milestone for its trustee services (through Equiom Fiduciary Services (Middle East) Limited and Equiom (Isle of Man) Limited) that it provides on Middle East Workplace Savings plans, with Assets Under Administration (AuA) reaching USD 3 billion in June 2025, up from USD 2.3 billion the previous year.

This achievement reflects significant growth in Equiom’s employee retirement and reward services, underpinned by its strong local commitment to delivering high-quality, scalable solutions tailored to the needs of global employers. Over the past 12 months alone, Equiom has overseen USD 627 million in annual contributions, and is currently implementing six new workplace savings plans for major international clients operating in the Middle East region.

Chris Cain, Client Services Director – Middle East, commented:

“This is a proud moment for our team and an important milestone in the development of our business in the Middle East region and globally. It reflects the trust that our clients place in us to deliver robust, compliant, and efficient workplace savings solutions. We remain committed to delivering exceptional service at a local level to both employers and their employees, while continuing to enhance and evolve our offering to meet the needs of an increasingly global and mobile workforce.”

Nina Johnston, Managing Director of Equiom (Isle of Man) also added:

“This marks a significant milestone for our team. Reaching USD 3 billion in AuA is not just a reflection of recent growth, it’s a testament to the reputation we’ve earned through over two decades of dedicated trustee services to our international pension plan clients in the Middle East. Our globally connected teams remain deeply committed to delivering solutions that stand the test of time and we’re proud to be a trusted partner to so many leading global organisations.”

Equiom’s Middle East Workplace Savings and End of Service Benefits Plans Success in Numbers

Equiom supports a diverse international client base, providing services across a range of employee structures including:

  • International Pension Plans
  • End of Service Benefit Plans / Employee Money Purchase schemes
  • Employee Incentives, Equity Plans and Employee Benefit Trusts
  • Carried Interest and Co-Investment Structures

With a growing global team of subject matter experts operating from key jurisdictions including the United Arab Emirates, Isle of Man, Jersey, Guernsey, Hong Kong, and beyond, Equiom combines local insight with international reach to support clients wherever they operate.

This milestone follows the recent senior appointments of Mark Lindsay as Head of Employee Retirement & Reward Services and Natalie McGinness as Director at Equiom in Jersey. These developments highlight Equiom’s strategic commitment to strengthening this service line and the Group’s ambition to lead in the delivery of innovative employee reward and retirement solutions.

Whether you are looking to implement a new international pension or equity plan, or enhance your existing end-of-service benefits, Equiom’s specialist teams provide trusted, tailored scalable solutions that help global organisations attract, retain, and reward key talent.

For more information on Equiom’s Employee Retirement & Reward Services, visit: www.equiomgroup.com/employee-retirement.

 

About Equiom

For more than 45 years Equiom has offered fiduciary services to private wealth, institutional and corporate sectors, providing sophisticated clients with professional expertise in delivering international investment, asset protection solutions and corporate services.

With offices in the leading international finance centres, Equiom operate as a truly global entity and take pride in using their global knowledge and insight to create innovative and tailored solutions that drive corporate and private clients towards their objectives.

 

For media enquiries, please contact:

Dana Al Aawar

Marketing Manager

 

Equiom Fiduciary Services (Middle East) Limited is regulated by the DFSA. Any information contained herein is intended only for Professional Clients or Market Counterparties as defined by the DFSA, and no other Person should act upon it. Equiom Fiduciary Services (Middle East) Limited only deals with Professional and Market Counterparty Clients and does not hold a Retail endorsement. However, all employers and employees participating in the DEWS plan will be treated as Retail Clients under the DFSA requirements. Any underlying investment options made available within an EOS arrangement could potentially carry investment and market risk, whereby the value of the underlying investments can go down as well as up. The underlying assets within some investment options may be illiquid and or subject to restrictions on their resale. Participants in any solution should undertake their own due diligence and where necessary seek independent professional advice on the available investment options.

 

Equiom (Isle of Man) Limited is regulated by the Isle of Man Financial Services Authority. For further information on the regulatory status of our companies, please visit www.equiomgroup.com/regulatory  

 

 

Mid-week review: Mideast Truce, Powell & PCE

By ForexTime

  • Risk-on mood returns on fragile Israel-Iran truce 
  • Oil prices tank almost 15% as supply fears ease, gold dims, dollar sinks 
  • Equities stage sharp rebound, Bitcoin closes above $105,000
  • Fed Chair Powell says Fed in no rush to cut rates during testimony 
  • US PCE report on Friday could spark fresh market volatility 

Global stocks surged on Tuesday after a ceasefire between Iran and Israel appeared to hold despite initially faltering.

President Donald Trump rebuked both sides for early breaches, which appeared to keep everyone back in line. 

Equities across the globe may extend gains after Wall Street ended sharply higher, with the Nasdaq 100 hitting a fresh all-time high.

This extraordinary development comes after two weeks of constant conflict and uncertainty in the region. While the truce is a welcome relief to investors, financial markets will remain highly sensitive to headlines surrounding this development.

 

Oil nosedives on Mideast truce

Oil prices have displayed monstrous levels of volatility over the past two days. After initially jumping almost 6% on Sunday’s open amid fears about supply disruptions, prices have crashed amid reports of the ceasefire.

One of the major drivers initially powering oil prices was potential disruptions through the vital Strait of Hormuz channel. Oil benchmarks have shed almost 15% this week with Brent eyeing support at $65.00. 

Imagen
brent67

In the FX markets, the dollar has tumbled across the board this week amid the risk-on.

A return in risk appetite has sent investors rushing back toward Bitcoin, currently trading above $105,000.

Imagen
bitcoin25

 

Powell says Fed is no rush to act…

Beyond the geopolitical drama, Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell reiterated that the Fed was in no rush to cut interest rates during his testimony. A counter to recent statements from other policymakers signaled that they would be open to lowering interest rates as soon as July.

 

US PCE report could trigger fresh volatility

On the data front, all eyes will be on the US PCE report on Friday.

The Fed’s preferred inflation gauge – the Core PCE could influence expectations about when the central bank will cut rates in the second half of 2025. Ultimately, more signs of rising price pressure may shave bets around lower US interest rates. The same can be said vice versa.

Traders are currently pricing in a 19% probability of a Fed rate cut by July, with a move essentially priced in by September. Any major shifts to these bets may impact the dollar, US equities, and gold. 

 

Commodity spotlight – Gold

Speaking of gold, it shed as much as 2.2% on Tuesday – its biggest intraday loss since mid-May. This brings the precious metal’s weekly losses to over 1%.

  • Further signs of easing geopolitical tensions could spell more pain for gold, opening the doors back toward $3300 and $3280.
  • Should the fragile Israel-Iran ceasefire fall apart, gold could rebound back toward $3360 and $3400.
Imagen
gold355

Forex-Time-LogoArticle by ForexTime

ForexTime Ltd (FXTM) is an award winning international online forex broker regulated by CySEC 185/12 www.forextime.com

EUR/USD Extends Rally as Risk Sentiment Improves

By RoboForex Analytical Department 

On Wednesday, EUR/USD climbed to 1.1621, marking its fifth consecutive session of gains with little interruption. The upward momentum reflects easing geopolitical tensions, which in turn have reduced the demand for traditional safe-haven assets.

The US-brokered ceasefire between Israel and Iran remains largely intact despite isolated incidents, while oil prices have retreated significantly from recent peaks. However, lingering uncertainties persist – reports suggest recent US missile strikes only partially damaged Iran’s critical nuclear facilities, merely delaying rather than halting its nuclear program.

Market attention remains fixed on Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell’s latest remarks. Reaffirming his commitment to curbing inflation, Powell signalled that interest rates are likely to stay on hold until the impact of trade tariffs on prices becomes clearer. Nevertheless, markets still price in a 20% probability of a rate cut as early as July.

Traders now await Powell’s upcoming Senate testimony and the latest US new home sales data for further direction.

Technical Analysis: EUR/USD

H4 Chart:

The EUR/USD breakout above 1.1540 propelled the pair towards 1.1640. Today, we anticipate consolidation below this level. A downside exit could trigger a retracement towards 1.1540, while an upward breakout may extend gains to 1.1670. Beyond this, we expect a potential downward wave targeting 1.1414, supported by the MACD indicator. The signal line, currently above zero and exiting the histogram zone, suggests a likely decline towards the baseline.

H1 Chart:

After finding support at 1.1518, the pair rallied to 1.1640, where a tight consolidation range is forming. A downward breakout appears probable – should 1.1580 give way, a decline towards 1.1518 may follow. This scenario is corroborated by the Stochastic oscillator, with its signal line below 80 and trending sharply downward towards 20.

 

Conclusion

The EUR/USD uptrend persists amid improving risk sentiment, though technical indicators suggest a potential pullback. Traders should monitor Powell’s testimony and US housing data for near-term catalysts.

 

Disclaimer

Any forecasts contained herein are based on the author’s particular opinion. This analysis may not be treated as trading advice. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations and reviews contained herein.

Uranium Tech Breakthroughs Leading to Global Nuclear Renaissance

Source: Streetwise Reports (6/20/25)

U.S. President Donald Trump enacted executive orders designed to accelerate reactor approvals, enhance domestic uranium production and enrichment capabilities, and promote nuclear technologies. See how this has put the nuclear and uranium sectors in focus for investors. 

U.S. President Donald Trump in May enacted four executive orders designed to accelerate reactor approvals, enhance domestic uranium production and enrichment capabilities, and promote the advancement of innovative nuclear technologies.

Trump urged the federal government to expedite the construction of nuclear reactors and to reform the “risk averse” regulatory environment, with the goal of increasing the country’s nuclear energy capacity fourfold by 2050, reported Kamen Kraev for NucNet on May 26.

The directives call for the Department of Energy (DOE) to initiate the construction of 10 large reactors by 2030 and to assist in financing upgrades for existing facilities.

A statement from the White House proclaimed that “America will usher in a nuclear energy renaissance,” after years of “stagnation and shuttered reactors,” Kraev wrote.

“Across the country, American entrepreneurs and engineers are launching a new generation of nuclear companies featuring innovative reactor designs and scalable manufacturing techniques that can make nuclear safe, efficient, and economic,” said White House Science and Technology Policy Director Michael Kratsios in an opinion piece on The White House website. “The Trump Administration will clear their path by dismantling outdated barriers that previous administrations had put up in their way.”

Per the announcement, the orders require the U.S. Nuclear Regulatory Commission (NRC) to simplify licensing processes for new reactors, permit testing of reactor designs at DOE laboratories, and allow new reactor construction on federal lands.

The NRC is expected to shorten approval timelines from multiple years to 18 months, while the DOE will identify federal land that is suitable for new nuclear facilities, and initiatives will be undertaken to bolster U.S. uranium mining and domestic enrichment capacities.

“The NRC has failed to license new reactors even as technological advances promise to make nuclear power safer, cheaper, more adaptable, and more abundant than ever,” a fact sheet from the White House stated, according to Kraev’s report.

Kratsios added in his piece, “America’s great innovators and entrepreneurs have run into brick walls when it comes to nuclear technology.”

The Catalyst: Global Investment Growing

The uranium sector has transitioned into a period of heightened focus as the U.S. seeks to revitalize the domestic atomic energy industry and its related supply infrastructure.

Around the world, the transition to clean energy and decarbonization goals have sparked renewed interest in nuclear power, leading to surging demand.

Several countries, including the U.S., the United Kingdom and South Korea, have announced plans to expand nuclear energy capacity by 2050, reported The Astana Times on June 10. Other countries are exploring new builds and/or extending the life span of existing nuclear power plants.

New and high demand is coming from technology sectors needing reliable, carbon-free, around-the-clock power to run their data centers and artificial intelligence systems. Tech giants, including Meta, Amazon, Microsoft and Google, continue to invest in nuclear energy to meet this need.

Global investment in nuclear energy has grown 50% each year since 2020, and nuclear capacity is expected to increase 130% by 2050, The Astana Times reported.

Recently introduced governmental initiatives regarding the U.S. uranium sector already have increased domestic momentum and renewed optimism, purported HoldCo Markets in a May 28 research report.

“We anticipate uranium stocks, both large and small, to benefit from changing U.S. nuclear policy,” wrote David Talbot, head of equity research at Red Cloud Securities, in a May 23 Uranium Sector Update.

Using Lasers to Separate Isotopes

LIS Technologies Inc. (LIST), a U.S.-based private company, specializes in proprietary development of an advanced technology to utilize infrared lasers for the selective excitation of molecules, allowing for the separation of desired isotopes from others.

Its Laser Isotope Separation Technology (L.I.S.T) boasts a wide array of applications, distinguishing itself as the only U.S.-origin (and patented) laser uranium enrichment firm, while offering numerous advantages over conventional techniques such as gas diffusion, centrifugation, and previous laser enrichment methods. The proprietary laser-driven process developed by LIST is designed to be more energy-efficient and presents the opportunity for deployment with significantly competitive capital and operational expenses.

L.I.S.T focuses on Low Enriched Uranium (LEU) for existing civilian nuclear facilities, High-Assay LEU (HALEU) aimed at the next generation of Small Modular Reactors (SMR) and Microreactors, the production of stable isotopes for medical and scientific applications, as well as contributions to quantum computing production for semiconductor technologies, the company said. LIS boasts a top-tier nuclear technical team collaborating with prominent nuclear entrepreneurs and industry experts, fostering strong connections within both governmental and private nuclear sectors.

In 2024, LIS Technologies Inc. was chosen as one of six domestic firms to engage in the LEU Enrichment Acquisition Program, which has a total budget of up to $3.4 billion, with contracts extending up to 10 years. Each recipient is projected to secure a minimum contract of US$2 million.

The company has been folding in talent recently, appointing former Deputy Administrator of the National Nuclear Security Administration (NNSA) Brent Park as its executive director of nuclear security and safeguards policy, prominent researcher and engineer Lakasz Urbanski as director of its stable isotope laser program, and leading regulatory expert Julie Olivier as its regulatory affairs and licensing director.

“LIST’s technology arrives at a pivotal moment, as the United States accelerates efforts to build a secure, domestic nuclear‑fuel supply chain,” Park said. “This proprietary technology can be a key step toward reducing reliance on foreign sources of enriched uranium and strengthening our national energy independence. I’m honored to join the company and look forward to advising the leadership team as they advance the CRISLA technology from revival to commercialization.”

Technology Undergoes Evaluation

Last month, the company announced that a group of independent evaluators conducted a Technology Readiness Level Assessment (TRA) of its CRISLA-3G technology at the LIST facility in Oak Ridge, Tennessee.

The CRISLA-3G laser isotope separation technology underwent evaluation and was confirmed to satisfy all criteria necessary for a TRL-4 rating, in accordance with the Department of Energy guidelines specified in DOE G 413.3-4A. This indicates that all essential components were successfully validated in a lab setting, backed by experimental outcomes from the integrated system.

“We are very pleased that the independent Technology Readiness Assessment team scored our TRL at 4, meeting 27 out of 27 criteria,” said Chief Executive Officer and co-founder Christo Liebenberg. “Additionally, the critical technical elements (CTEs) necessary for advancing through TRL-5, TRL-6, and TRL-7 in the upcoming years were also identified. We are confident in our capability to achieve all these CTEs as we pursue our path to commercialization.”

“With our engagement with the TRL assessment team, I feel reassured that our technology is progressing in the right direction,” said Co-Chief Technical Officer Viktor Chikan. “In my opinion, the TRL assessment offers essential transparency for both investors and the technical team to implement the project plan effectively and realize the commercial enrichment facility based on CRISLA technology.”

NANO Nuclear Energy Inc.

One public company on the cutting edge of new nuclear designs is NANO Nuclear Energy Inc. (NNE:NASDAQ). Earlier this year, the company set up a dedicated demonstration facility in Westchester County, New York, aimed at testing and validating essential non-nuclear elements of its microreactor designs. This facility will underpin the development of four microreactor models — ZEUS, ODIN, LOKI MMR, and KRONOS MMR — all engineered to deliver portable and scalable solutions for clean energy.

A primary emphasis of the facility will be on the company’s work with the Annular Linear Induction Pump (ALIP) technology, developed as part of a Small Business Innovation Research (SBIR) Phase III initiative. ALIP is an electromagnetic pump geared toward efficient thermal fluid management, which is crucial for nuclear energy applications. “This advanced facility will play a major role in our development efforts, providing our technical teams with access to key physical data,” stated Jay Yu, Founder and Chairman of NANO Nuclear Energy, in the press release.

To aid in the facility’s construction and development, NANO Nuclear has collaborated with aRobotics Company, an innovator in robotic fabrication and engineering. aRobotics will oversee the multimillion-dollar expansion of the facility and manage the production of crucial non-nuclear components for NANO Nuclear’s reactors, including tailored sensors and equipment to enhance ALIP technology. Their extensive background with the U.S. Department of Defense is expected to bolster safety and performance standards as NANO Nuclear progresses with its reactor innovations.

Streetwise Ownership Overview*

NANO Nuclear Energy Inc. (NNE:NASDAQ)

Retail: 52%
Strategic Investors: 24%
Institutions: 22%
Management & Insiders: 2%
52.0%
24.0%
22.0%
*Share Structure as of 6/20/2025

 

This facility is particularly timely, as New York State is investigating advanced nuclear energy options. NANO Nuclear has recently replied to a Request for Information (RFI) from the New York State Energy Research and Development Authority (NYSERDA) concerning the potential for new nuclear technology initiatives within the state. The company anticipates that the facility will be operational by the spring of 2025.

“Once operational, the facility will provide our technical teams with invaluable opportunities to gather physical data and optimize designs to integrate non-nuclear components effectively,” Chief Executive Officer and Head of Reactor Development James Walker said.

Ownership and Share Structure

According to Refinitv, 24% of Nano Nuclear is held by one strategic investor, I Financial Ventures Group LLC. Nearly 2% is with management and insiders, 22% is with institutions, and the rest is retail.

Notably, NNE was added to the VanEck Nuclear ETF, signaling increased institutional confidence and positioning the company within a portfolio of key players in the nuclear energy sector.

NANO Nuclear Energy Inc. has a market capitalization of approximately US$1.57 billion, with 41.39 million shares outstanding.

 

Important Disclosures:

  1. As of the date of this article, officers and/or employees of Streetwise Reports LLC (including members of their household) own securities of LIS Technologies Inc.
  2. Steve Sobek wrote this article for Streetwise Reports LLC and provides services to Streetwise Reports as an employee.
  3. This article does not constitute investment advice and is not a solicitation for any investment. Streetwise Reports does not render general or specific investment advice and the information on Streetwise Reports should not be considered a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Each reader is encouraged to consult with his or her personal financial adviser and perform their own comprehensive investment research. By opening this page, each reader accepts and agrees to Streetwise Reports’ terms of use and full legal disclaimer. Streetwise Reports does not endorse or recommend the business, products, services or securities of any company.

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Oil prices fell sharply after Iran’s attack in the Middle East. Inflation in Malaysia continues to decline

By JustMarkets 

At the end of Monday, the Dow Jones Index (US30) rose by 0.89%. The S&P 500 Index (US500) added 0.96%. The Nasdaq (US100) Tech Index closed up 0.94%. The US stocks closed higher on Monday amid falling oil prices after Iran launched missiles at a US air base in Qatar in response to US strikes on its nuclear facilities. The retaliatory measures were seen as restrained, as Iran refrained from striking key energy infrastructure or disrupting the Strait of Hormuz. President Trump also contributed by writing on social media that oil producers should “keep prices low,” which put additional pressure on oil. On the corporate front, Tesla rose by 8.2% after debuting its first driverless taxis, while AMD rose by 1% after a rating upgrade, helping to lift the broader technology sector.

The Canadian dollar fell to a three-week low against its US counterpart on Monday as investors weighed events in the Middle East and awaited domestic inflation data that could provide clues about the Bank of Canada’s policy outlook. Canada’s Consumer Price Index for May is expected to remain unchanged at 1.7% year-on-year. The focus will be on two key inflation indicators, which exceeded 3% in April. Softer data would reinforce expectations that the Bank of Canada, which refrained from action this month, may resume easing policy later in the summer.

European stock markets were mostly down on Monday. Germany’s DAX (DE40) fell by 0.35%, France’s CAC 40 (FR40) closed down 0.69%, the Spanish IBEX35 (ES35) Index lost 0.08%, and the British FTSE 100 (UK100) closed down 0.19%. On the data front, the flash PMI survey showed that Germany’s private sector returned to positive territory in June, marking the first increase since April.

WTI oil prices fell to $62.2 per barrel after Iran’s missile strike on a US airbase in Qatar did not result in casualties, easing fears of an immediate escalation of tensions in the Middle East. The attack, launched in response to US strikes on Iranian nuclear facilities, was intercepted by Qatari defenses. Although markets are now assessing the potential for de-escalation, significant risks remain — chief among them is the threat that Iran will attempt to close the Strait of Hormuz, through which about 20% of the world’s oil flows. Although Iran’s parliament has reportedly supported this move, the final decision rests with the country’s national security council. US officials, including Secretary of State Marco Rubio, have warned that such a move would be “economic suicide” for Iran and have called on China, its largest oil customer, to intervene.

Asian markets traded without a single trend yesterday. Japan’s Nikkei 225 (JP225) fell by 0.13%, China’s FTSE China A50 (CHA50) rose by 0.32%, Hong Kong’s Hang Seng (HK50) added 0.67%, and Australia’s ASX 200 (AU200) showed a negative result of 0.36%.

The Australian dollar strengthened to $0.648 on Tuesday, continuing its growth compared to the previous session, supported by the declining US dollar amid ambiguous developments related to the ceasefire between Israel and Iran. US President Donald Trump announced a “complete and definitive” ceasefire. However, Iran’s foreign minister denies that there is any agreement on a ceasefire or a halt to military action. In Australia, investors are now focused on the May monthly CPI figure, which is expected to decline slightly after remaining unchanged for three consecutive months. Markets currently estimate the probability of an RBA rate cut of 25 basis points in July at 80%, with a total rate cut of 73 basis points expected by the end of the year.

Malaysia’s annual inflation rate in May 2025 was 1.2%, lower than the previous two months and the market consensus expectations of 1.4%. This was the lowest reading since February 2021. Core consumer prices, excluding volatile fresh food and administrative costs, rose 1.8% year-on-year after rising 2.0% in April, the sharpest pace since November 2023.

S&P 500 (US500) 6,025.17 +57.33 (+0.96%)

Dow Jones (US30) 42,581.78 +374.96 (+0.89%)

DAX (DE40) 23,269.01 −81.54 (−0.35%)

FTSE 100 (UK100) 8,758.04 −16.61 (−0.19%)

USD Index 98.38 −0.33 (−0.33%)

News feed for: 2025.06.24

  • German Ifo Business Climate (m/m) at 11:00 (GMT+3);
  • Mexico Inflation Rate (m/m) at 15:00 (GMT+3);
  • Canada Inflation Rate (m/m) at 15:30 (GMT+3);
  • Eurozone ECB President Lagarde Speaks at 16:00 (GMT+3);
  • Canada BoC Gov Macklem Speaks at 16:35 (GMT+3);
  • US Fed Chair Powell Testifies at 17:00 (GMT+3);
  • US CB Consumer Confidence (m/m) at 17:00 (GMT+3).

By JustMarkets

 

This article reflects a personal opinion and should not be interpreted as an investment advice, and/or offer, and/or a persistent request for carrying out financial transactions, and/or a guarantee, and/or a forecast of future events.