Kenya needs to grasp the cryptocurrency nettle: how a digital currency could help

By Dorothy Muthoka-Kagwaini, Daystar University 

Kenya’s central bank has been mulling the official use of a digital currency. More than 60 central banks have already entered the digital currency race since 2014.

No details have been released in Kenya, but the central bank governor, Patrick Njoroge, commented that the bank was working with other global regulators and financial institutions to explore the use of digital currencies.

The shift towards digital currencies has been used by some central banks to formulate and implement regulations to manage the use of cryptocurrencies. For example, Nigeria has launched its official digital currency, the eNaira.

The World Economic Forum estimates that a third of Nigerians use or own cryptocurrencies. Kenya is one of the top three markets for Bitcoin, one of the more popular cryptocurrencies.

Cryptocurrencies currently operate as unregulated digital money even though they are accepted and used by the virtual community.

The cryptocurrency market has grown significantly over the past 10 years. This has raised alarm bells because they are distributed directly from one network to the other. This enables participants to interact and confirm payments without involving intermediaries such as banks.

The reason that central banks see the launch of official digital currencies as useful as a first step in regulating crytopcurrencies relates to the fact that both use blockchain technology. A blockchain is a public ledger that allows instant copying, sharing and synchronisation of data across different computers, sites, countries and organisations.

Over 88% of the digital currencies that have been launched use blockchain technology. It also underpins cryptocurrencies.

The launch of a central bank digital currency would mark Kenya’s official entry into blockchain-based digital assets and currencies. But Kenya, alongside many other countries, does not have a framework for managing cryptocurrencies.

Nevertheless, there’s a growing body of evidence that the Kenyan central bank can draw on to design a comprehensive regulatory environment for cryptocurrencies.

We explored the parameters of what a regulatory environment in Kenya would look like in a paper published in 2020. My colleagues and I sought to explain, in depth, the benefits and challenges of cryptocurrencies and blockchain technologies.

Our analysis was based on the discussion from other parts of the world. Our insights could be used to guide the central bank’s research and adoption of digital currencies.

What’s being done

Though popular, cryptocurrencies are not fully accepted across the world. Some people regard them as scams. In some instances, hackers have managed to steal the currencies and exchange them for legal tender. This is because comprehensive, global governance structures on cryptocurrencies are not yet in place.

The World Economic Forum has recently created a Global Future Council on Cryptocurrencies. The team is expected to evaluate challenges and opportunities of Central Bank Digital Currencies (CBDCs) and blockchain technologies. The group will also assess what it will take to achieve the key aims of digital currencies.

The World Economic Forum is rooting for the rollout of central bank digital currencies through distributed ledger technology, itself a blockchain technology. The ledger technology gives central banks a toehold into gaining sight of transactions.

The distributed ledger technology, coupled with a regulatory oversight, has the effect of cushioning the central banking community from risks linked to receipts, payments, hardware and software systems.

Recommendations

At the moment, the structures for digital currencies have not yet been developed in Kenya. Yet the rest of the world has already ventured into these currencies, and have structures in place in support of the innovation.

The World Economic Forum is developing a central bank digital currency policy toolkit. This is a document that guides central banks on how they can develop digital currencies that suit their monetary policies.

Kenya can make use of the guidelines to create its own official digital currency that doesn’t compromise its monetary policy and financial stability. In addition, a central bank digital currency would need to coexist with, and complement, the existing notes and coins.

The Central Bank of Kenya is a reputable organisation that demonstrated objectivity and care to its entire citizen by warning them about cryptocurrencies. However, with the trend of stable coins and piloting of central bank digital currencies around the world, the government should actively engage in research on these digital currencies and provide a framework around these technologies.

Novel transactions

With the use of blockchain technology, a central bank digital currency can be developed that would open the door to transformational innovations. Businesses and individuals can use them to add novel transactions to the existing chain of activities. And, because blockchain encourages direct sharing of a network in which an individual can interact and confirm payments without contacting any intermediary, it could boost financial inclusion in Kenya.

The adoption of digital currencies will change the financial market and improve the money transfer landscape in the eastern African region. It’s no surprise therefore that the Governor of Tanzania’s Central Bank Florens Luoga has also just announced that the country plans to launch its own digital currency soon.The Conversation

About the Author:

Dorothy Muthoka-Kagwaini, Deputy Registrar & Senior Lecturer, School of Economics, Daystar University

This article is republished from The Conversation under a Creative Commons license. Read the original article.

RoboMarkets Was Chosen As the Best Investment Products Provider in 2021

RoboMarkets, a provider of investment services to European clients, was awarded “Best Investment Products Global 2021” provider by the Global Business Reviews Magazine Awards.

RoboMarkets provides professional services for institutional and retail clients in Europe. RoboMarkets is a multi-asset broker offering 7 asset types and more than 12,000 instruments for trading and investments. All RoboMarkets clients receive access to professional trading platforms and cutting-edge proprietary technologies. R StocksTrader is a proprietary platform that performs as a powerful stocks trading software with unique features:

  • Access to global markets from one single terminal.
  • Minimum deposit: 100 USD.
  • Stocks Leverage: up to 1:20.
  • 3,000 stocks and 8 000 CFDs.
  • Free no-code automated Strategy Builder.

Konstantin Rashap, CBO at RoboMarkets, says: “At RoboMarkets, we pay special attention to continuously developing investment products. The award our Company received proves that our efforts are recognised. RoboMarkets aims at offering its clients a wide range of investment services to meet the needs of all types of investors. The award received is proof that the RoboMarkets team is always striving for excellence, working vigilantly to develop its services for its clients, and this award motivates it to continue in this direction.”

About Global Business Reviews Magazine Awards

Global Business Reviews Magazine Awards is a platform that marks and rewards the outstanding achievements of companies from various sectors, such as banking, finance, insurance, real estate, and technology. The awards aim at emphasising the importance of high-class services, and selecting the companies that are worthy of worldwide excellence recognition.

About RoboMarkets

RoboMarkets is an investment company, operating under CySEC license No. 191/13. RoboMarkets offers investment services in European countries by providing access to its proprietary trading platforms to traders who work on financial markets. Find out more about the Company’s products and activities on www.robomarkets.com.

7 out of 10 workers not saving enough for retirement

By George Prior 

– Around 70% of working age individuals who began seeking financial advice from deVere Group to date this year were not adequately saving for their retirement, it has been revealed.

Nigel Green, the chief executive and founder of deVere Group, one of the world’s largest independent financial advisory organizations, with more than 80,000 clients and $12bn under advisement, says: “This is an alarmingly high percentage.

“Seven out of 10 of all the new clients we took on as a firm last year were not saving enough in order to be able to have a comparable lifestyle in retirement.

“When we initially meet with new clients, we do detailed studies of their current financial situation. Then we discuss what age they would like to retire and how much money they would need to have saved over their working lives in order to achieve this.

“This year, only about 30% were saving enough to be able to make their own long-term financial objectives a reality and having enough money to last throughout their retirement.”

He continues: “The high number of individuals not having accumulated enough for their retirement is concerning for many reasons including because we’re living longer, meaning the money we save throughout our working lives has to last longer.

“In addition, in the future, it’s unlikely that governments will be in a position to support older people like they have done for previous generations; plus many company pension schemes have ballooning deficits.

“Also, it should be remembered that it might not be possible to work longer if necessary due to ill health, lack of career opportunities, or because you need to look after sick or elderly relatives.  The decision might not be up to you in the end.”

Bearing this in mind, how much income should we be putting aside for our retirement?

That will depend on your age and when you started saving, amongst other factors.

However, in general terms, deVere Group, which has helped tens of thousands of savers get on track with their retirement planning, suggests that people aged between 25 and 34 should be saving between 15 and 20% of their income, for those between 35 and 44 this should increase to 20 to 30%, for the 45 to 54 bracket it goes to 30-40%, and those 55 and over would need to save a considerable amount more.  Of course, this all depends on the individual and their personal and professional circumstances.

Mr Green concludes: “Whatever stage you are at in your working lives, the time to start saving is now. The earlier you begin, the easier it will be to reach your long-term goals.  And it’s never too late to start saving for your retirement.”

About:

deVere Group is one of the world’s largest independent advisors of specialist global financial solutions to international, local mass affluent, and high-net-worth clients.  It has a network of more than 70 offices across the world, over 80,000 clients and $12bn under advisement.

China’s Inflation And The Impact On Global Currencies

By Orbex

– The general turnaround in risk sentiment this week has largely been attributed to the latest studies pointing to the omicron variant being less virulent than prior variants.

But what also gave the market a push early on Monday was the PBOC cutting their Reserve Requirement Ratio, or triple-R. That saw the start of the rally in markets in Asia. And it has some interesting effects on commodity currencies in particular.

Unlike other central banks which regulate policy through interest rates, the PBOC uses their RRR facility to maintain the monetary policy. Cutting reserve requirements is equivalent to monetary policy easing.

Usually, these moves come as a surprise to the market, since the PBOC doesn’t make these decisions as part of regular meetings. Nonetheless, the situation in China was such that most of the market was already expecting it.

Things aren’t getting better yet

The RRR cut was equivalent to injecting CNY1.2T into the Chinese financial system. The central bank followed up with a further cut directed specifically towards SMEs.

However, they stressed that this isn’t more “easing”. Analysts expected that response, given the constraints on lending due to the housing crisis.

Throughout Monday and Tuesday, we also got reports from major Chinese construction firms on their contracted sales data. They all reported a dramatic drop in housing sales.

Evergrande, for example, saw sales dropping almost by 60%, compared to the same period last year. Sunshine 100 saw the most dramatic results, with their November sales dropping well over 90% compared to last year.

More money, but at what price?

More and more Chinese builders warn they won’t be able to make payments (the latest being Aoyuan Property Group, with monthly sales in excess of CNY7.0B). So the credit situation in China remains tight. This means that the PBOC will likely need to continue to provide liquidity injections.

On another note, China reports inflation data tomorrow. Analysts project the annual November China CPI change to come in at 2.5%. That is a dramatic increase from the 1.5% recorded in October and it would be the highest rate since July of last year.

Therefore, the PBOC is forced to increase liquidity while inflation is already on the rise, suggesting that there isn’t a stopgap for inflation moving higher.

Back to normal might not be such a good thing

Inflation in China was on the rise before the pandemic, breaking above the annual 5.0% in January of last year. Then the subsequent recession naturally cut inflation back. But it has been creeping higher all this year, as the world economy moves back to normal.

During the pandemic, the Chinese government provided ample stimulus to the economy which contributed to the run-up in raw material prices. It would be surprising if China didn’t have a run-up in inflation just like the rest of the world.

Nonetheless, given the housing situation, the PBOC could be in a very uncomfortable position to do something about it, unlike other central banks.

Higher inflation might imply a weaker yuan over the coming months. With less purchasing power, Chinese firms might lose their appetite for commodities. Also, the AUD and NZD might finally run out of steam and could react negatively to increased inflation in China.


Orbex-LogoArticle by Orbex

Orbex is a fully licensed broker that was established in 2011. Founded with a mission to serve its traders responsibly and provides traders with access to the world’s largest and most liquid financial markets. www.orbex.com

XAUUSD Another Test At $1900?

By Orbex

XAUUSD

The current XAUUSD formation suggests that the market has completed the construction of a cycle intervening wave x. It took the form of a primary double zigzag.

After the completion of wave x, the development of the cycle wave z followed. Most likely, wave z will be a primary double zigzag Ⓦ-Ⓧ-Ⓨ, as indicated on the chart.

At the moment, sub-wave Ⓦ of the primary pattern is under construction. This could take the form of an intermediate (A)-(B)-(C) zigzag, where the impulse (A) and correction (B) have ended.

In the near future, a decrease in the impulse wave (C) is likely at the level of 1704.80. This will be at 76.4% of impulse (A).

XAUUSD

An alternative shows the formation of the intervening wave x of the cycle degree is still ongoing. Most likely, its last leg, which is the actionary wave Ⓨ of the primary degree, is still in the process of construction.

The impulse A and the horizontal correction B in the form of a minute triple zigzag have ended. In the short term, the upward movement is likely to continue in the minor sub-wave C. This could take the form of an impulse or an ending diagonal.

There is a chance that prices could rise to 1953.70. At that level, wave C will be at 123.6% of wave A.


Orbex-LogoArticle by Orbex

Orbex is a fully licensed broker that was established in 2011. Founded with a mission to serve its traders responsibly and provides traders with access to the world’s largest and most liquid financial markets. www.orbex.com

Intraday Market Analysis – USD Edges Lower

By Orbex

EURUSD seeks support

EURUSD

The euro bounced higher after the bloc’s Q3 GDP beat expectations. A previous rebound was capped by the 20-day moving average, suggesting that the bearish sentiment still prevails.

The RSI’s double top in the overbought area has prompted short-term buyers to take profit. The pair has met support above 1.1240. The bulls will need to lift offers around 1.1330 before they could attract momentum buyers.

A bearish breakout would send the price to the floor at 1.1190. Its breach would trigger a new round of sell-off.

AUDUSD breaks higher

AUDUSD

The Australian dollar soared after the RBA remained optimistic about the economic recovery. The pair saw strong buying interest at the psychological level of 0.7000, which also sits near November 2020’s lows.

An oversold RSI on the daily chart compounds the ‘buying-the-dips’ behavior. An initial pop above 0.7070 forced bearish trend followers to cover their latest bets.

0.7170 would be the next target though the RSI’s overbought situation may limit the surge. 0.7040 is the first support for buyers to regroup and accumulate.

USDJPY attempts to rebound

USDJPY

The yen stalled after Japan’s GDP showed an unexpected contraction in Q3.

A break below the daily support at 112.70 has put the bulls on the defensive. The latest consolidation is a sign of indecision as to whether the correction would continue.

The greenback found support over 112.50 and a close above 113.95 could help the bulls regain the upper hand. Then the psychological level of 115.00 would be the next step before the uptrend could resume.

On the downside, a fall below 113.10 would retest the key support at 112.50.


Orbex-LogoArticle by Orbex

Orbex is a fully licensed broker that was established in 2011. Founded with a mission to serve its traders responsibly and provides traders with access to the world’s largest and most liquid financial markets. www.orbex.com

RoboForex was Chosen as the Best Stocks Broker in 2021

RoboForex, an international broker that provides trading services in global financial markets, was chosen as the “Best Stocks Broker Global 2021” by Global Business Review Magazine Awards.

RoboForex provides trading services with 8 types of assets and 12,000 trading instruments. Stocks leverage is up to 1:20, spreads – from 0.01 USD; also the company provides 24/7 technical support and the best trading instruments in the industry.

Robert Stephenson, Chief Business Officer at RoboForex is commenting: “The award signifies our systematic work on provision of top-tier services at the stock market. The company provides a large pool of investment instruments, competitive trading conditions, and high-quality support. The team is grateful for the award and will struggle to win the prize next year again”.

About Global Business Reviews Magazine Awards

Global Business Reviews Magazine Awards is a platform that marks and rewards outstanding achievements of companies from various sectors: banking, finance, insurance, real estate, technology. Awards aim at highlighting the importance of high-class services and pick out companies that are worthy of worldwide recognition.

About RoboForex

RoboForex is a company, which delivers brokerage services. The company provides traders, who work on financial markets, with access to its proprietary trading platforms. RoboForex Ltd has the brokerage license IFSC 000138/210. More detailed information about the Company’s products and activities can be found on the official website at Roboforex.com.

Fibonacci Retracements Analysis 08.12.2021 (GBPUSD, EURJPY)

Article By RoboForex.com

GBPUSD, “Great Britain Pound vs US Dollar”

As we can see in the H4 chart, the situation hasn’t changed much over the past week. After attempting to test the long-term 38.2% fibo at 1.3166, the asset was moving upwards to reach 23.6% fibo 1.3345. At the moment, the price is falling again to test the low at 1.3194 and break it. However, one shouldn’t exclude a possibility of a rebound from the low and a new ascending wave. The key resistance remains at 1.3834.

GBPUSD_H4
Risk Warning: the result of previous trading operations do not guarantee the same results in the future

The H1 chart shows a more detailed structure of the current consolidation range. If the asset fails to break the low, the rising correction may continue towards 38.2% and 50.0% fibo at 1.3438 and 1.3514 respectively.

GBPUSD_H1
Risk Warning: the result of previous trading operations do not guarantee the same results in the future

EURJPY, “Euro vs. Japanese Yen”

As we can see in the H4 chart, after reaching 50.0% fibo, EURJPY is consolidating. Convergence on MACD may hint at a possible short-term pullback soon. After the pullback is over, the asset may resume falling towards 61.8% fibo at 126.40.

EURJPY_H4
Risk Warning: the result of previous trading operations do not guarantee the same results in the future

The H1 chart shows the upside correctional targets are 23.6%, 38.2%, and 50.0% fibo at 128.83, 129.71, and 130.44 respectively. The support is the low at 127.49.

EURJPY_H1

Article By RoboForex.com

Attention!
Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex LP bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews.

The Japanese Yen is hesitating. Overview for 08.12.2021

Article By RoboForex.com

USDJPY is going around in circles for the second straight trading session; market players are evaluating the situation.

The Japanese Yen is barely moving against the USD for the second day in a row. The current quote for the instrument is 113.39.

According to the data published in the morning, the Eco Watchers Survey Current was 56.3 points in Japan in November, way better than expected (49.0 points). On the other hand, the Eco Watchers Survey Outlook dropped to 53.4 points after being 57.3 points the month before.

One of the BoJ’s members said today that the Japanese economy would recover during 2022. These words came right after the final GDP report for the third quarter of 2021. The indicator dropped 0.9% q/q against the expected decline of 0.8% q/q. On YoY, the indicator lost 3.6%. Household consumption fell noticeably amid a resurgence of COVID-19 cases and couldn’t support the economy.

The regulator’s key scenario implies that the country’s economy will start recovering in the first half of 2022. Also, the BoJ may announce its plans to extend the QE programme in December or January. Policymakers said that their stance remains flexible.

The demand for the Yen as a “safe haven” asset is currently very low – capital markets are recovering after “coronavirus” sales.

Article By RoboForex.com

Attention!
Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex LP bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews.

The Analytical Overview of the Main Currency Pairs on 2021.12.08

by JustForex

The EUR/USD currency pair

Technical indicators of the currency pair:
  • Prev Open: 1.1281
  • Prev Close: 1.1268
  • % chg. over the last day: -0.12%

Eurozone GDP growth estimate for Q3 remained at 2.2% as expected. German industrial production index unexpectedly grew by 2.8%; analysts had predicted an increase by 0.8%. However, there is a negative factor as well: the ZEW index of economic sentiment for Germany has become negative.

Trading recommendations
  • Support levels: 1.1266, 1.1230, 1.1168
  • Resistance levels: 1.1371, 1.1436, 1.1535, 1.1613, 1.1667, 1.1717

From a technical point of view, the EUR/USD on the hour time frame is still bearish. Yesterday, buyers showed initiative from the 1.1230 support level. At the moment, the price is trading near the moving average. The MACD indicator has become positive. Under such market conditions, traders should consider sell positions from the priority change level of 1.1371. Buy trades can be considered on lower time frames, but only with short targets.

Alternative scenario: if the price breaks out through the 1.1371 resistance level and fixes above, the mid-term uptrend will likely resume.

EUR/USD
News feed for 2021.12.08:
  • – ECB President Lagarde’s Speech at 10:15 (GMT+2);
  • – US JOLTs Job Openings (m/m) at 17:00 (GMT+2).

The GBP/USD currency pair

Technical indicators of the currency pair:
  • Prev Open: 1.3259
  • Prev Close: 1.3242
  • % chg. over the last day: -0.13%

The British pound is still under sellers’ pressure as lending rates in pounds have fallen, signaling doubts among bankers about the Bank of England’s future interest rate hike at the December 16 meeting.

Trading recommendations
  • Support levels: 1.3208
  • Resistance levels: 1.3289, 1.3360, 1.3434, 1.3507, 1.3575, 1.3685, 1.3748

On the hourly time frame, the trend on GBP/USD is bearish. The price is trading in the corridor again. The MACD indicator became inactive. Under such market conditions, traders should consider sell positions from the resistance levels around the moving average. Buy trades should be considered from the 1.3208 support level, but only with additional confirmation.

Alternative scenario: if the price breaks out through the 1.3359 resistance level and consolidates above, the bullish scenario will likely resume.

GBP/USD
There is no news feed for today.

The USD/JPY currency pair

Technical indicators of the currency pair:
  • Prev Open: 113.43
  • Prev Close: 113.56
  • % chg. over the last day: +0.11%

The Japanese yen is declining against the US dollar since the risks associated with the Omicron strain are decreasing. Last month, the government announced a record $490 billion spending package to support the economy, contradicting the global trend to cancel crisis mode stimulus measures. Japan’s central bank policy will negatively impact the national currency (growth of USD/JPY quotes) in the medium term.

Trading recommendations
  • Support levels: 113.61, 112.62, 112.30
  • Resistance levels: 114.48, 115.15, 115.50

The global trend on the USD/JPY currency pair is bearish. At the moment, the price is trading in the corridor, but the pressure of buyers is high. Under such market conditions, it is best for traders to look for sell positions from the resistance levels around the moving average or from the upper border of the corridor, but with additional confirmation. Buy positions should be considered from the lower border of the corridor, but with additional confirmation in the form of a buyers’ initiative.

Alternative scenario: if the price rises above 114.17, the uptrend will likely resume.

USD/JPY
News feed for 2021.12.08:
  • – Japan GDP (q/q) at 01:50 (GMT+2).

The USD/CAD currency pair

Technical indicators of the currency pair:
  • Prev Open: 1.2752
  • Prev Close: 1.2637
  • % chg. over the last day: -0.91%

The Canadian dollar is strengthening amid rising oil prices and as the Central Bank of Canada seeks to raise interest rates. Last week, a Reuters forecast with 32 strategists showed that the Canadian dollar would strengthen by 2.4% to 1.25 per US dollar in three months. The Bank of Canada will publish interest rate data and further monetary policy plans today.

Trading recommendations
  • Support levels: 1.2640, 1.2571, 1.2483, 1.2416, 1.2388
  • Resistance levels: 1.2726, 1.2828

From a technical point of view, the USD/CAD currency trend has changed to bearish. The MACD indicator became negative. At the same time, the sellers’ pressure increased. Under such market conditions, it is better to look for buy trades from the 1.2640 support level, but only after additional confirmation in the form of a buyers’ initiative. It is better to consider sell deals from the resistance levels near the moving average.

Alternative scenario: if the price breaks out through the 1.2776 resistance level and fixes above, the downtrend will likely be broken.

USD/CAD
News feed for 2021.12.08:
  • – Canada BoC Interest Rate Decision (m/m) at 17:00 (GMT+2);
  • – Canada BoC Rate Statement (m/m) at 17:00 (GMT+2).

by JustForex

 

This article reflects a personal opinion and should not be interpreted as an investment advice, and/or offer, and/or a persistent request for carrying out financial transactions, and/or a guarantee, and/or a forecast of future events.