Archive for Financial News – Page 280

RoboMarkets Is Once Again Chosen as the Best Global MT5 Broker

The Global Forex Awards – Retail 2022 has named RoboMarkets the “Best MT5 Broker – Global”.

The Global Forex Awards – Retail 2022 commends the achievements of the world’s leading brokers on a global and regional scale. The awards are presented to companies that are worthy of worldwide excellence recognition, having demonstrated outstanding results in carrying out their projects in such areas as hi-tech solutions, comprehensive market analysis, effective educational programmes, and the provision of quality services in the financial markets.

Denis Golomedov, Chief Marketing Officer at RoboMarkets says: “We’re very delighted to receive yet another award from Global Forex Awards. The “Best MT5 Broker – Global” accolade was confirmed for RoboMarkets this year, and we are indeed very happy to have achieved it. This award is the result of our team’s thorough and hard work, aimed at providing RoboMarkets clients with investment services of the highest standards, thereby allowing them to enjoy a top-class trading experience”.

About RoboMarkets

RoboMarkets is an investment company with the CySEC license No. 191/13. RoboMarkets offers investment services in many European countries by providing traders, who work on financial market, with access to its proprietary trading platforms. More detailed information about the Company’s products and activities can be found on the official website at www.robomarkets.com.

RoboForex Receives Two Industry Awards from Global Forex Awards 2022

RoboForex, the company that provides brokerage services for trading in global financial markets, was recognised as the “Best Affiliate Programme – Global” and the “Most Reliable Broker – LatAm» at the annual industrial event “Global Forex Awards – Retail 2022”.

It’s been the fifth straight Global Forex Awards ceremony. Every year, the event organisers choose the best companies that demonstrate outstanding results in trading and investments in global financial markets. Open voting decided the winners in 59 categories, both global and regional, including Africa, Asia, Europe, and the Middle East.

“These are some of the most comprehensive awards for this sector, that offer both a transparent and trustworthy judgement of the global forex retail industry,” explains Mike Boydell, Director of Holiston Media. “The public voting process took place throughout July 2022, and as has been the trend in previous years, there were very high engagement levels. We received tens of thousands of votes from right across the global forex trading communities and each of the winners has been voted for by their peers and customers and chosen for their world-class service. Winning an award is a sign of trust and success in this highly competitive industry.”

Robert Stephenson, Chief Business Officer at RoboForex: “We’d like to thank everyone who voted for us. This year, we received two accolades, the “Best Affiliate Programme – Global” and the “Most Reliable Broker – LatAm”, and we’re very happy to get both global and regional awards. It’s another proof that RoboForex truly is an international company and provides quality services in all regions of presence”.

About RoboForex

RoboForex is a company which delivers brokerage services. The company provides traders who work on financial markets with access to its proprietary trading platforms. RoboForex Ltd has the brokerage licence FSC 000138/333. More detailed information about the Company’s products and activities can be found on the official website at roboforex.com.

Nobel-winning quantum weirdness undergirds an emerging high-tech industry, promising better ways of encrypting communications and imaging your body

By Nicholas Peters, University of Tennessee 

Unhackable communications devices, high-precision GPS and high-resolution medical imaging all have something in common. These technologies – some under development and some already on the market all rely on the non-intuitive quantum phenomenon of entanglement.

Two quantum particles, like pairs of atoms or photons, can become entangled. That means a property of one particle is linked to a property of the other, and a change to one particle instantly affects the other particle, regardless of how far apart they are. This correlation is a key resource in quantum information technologies.

For the most part, quantum entanglement is still a subject of physics research, but it’s also a component of commercially available technologies, and it plays a starring role in the emerging quantum information processing industry.

Devices like this experimental apparatus can produce pairs of photons that are linked, or ‘entangled’.
Carlos Jones/ORNL, U.S. Dept. of Energy

Pioneers

The 2022 Nobel Prize in Physics recognized the profound legacy of Alain Aspect of France, John F. Clauser of the U.S. and Austrian Anton Zeilinger’s experimental work with quantum entanglement, which has personally touched me since the start of my graduate school career as a physicist. Anton Zeilinger was a mentor of my Ph.D. mentor, Paul Kwiat, which heavily influenced my dissertation on experimentally understanding decoherence in photonic entanglement.

Decoherence occurs when the environment interacts with a quantum object – in this case a photon – to knock it out of the quantum state of superposition. In superposition, a quantum object is isolated from the environment and exists in a strange blend of two opposite states at the same time, like a coin toss landing as both heads and tails. Superposition is necessary for two or more quantum objects to become entangled.

Entanglement goes the distance

Quantum entanglement is a critical element of quantum information processing, and photonic entanglement of the type pioneered by the Nobel laureates is crucial for transmitting quantum information. Quantum entanglement can be used to build large-scale quantum communications networks.

On a path toward long-distance quantum networks, Jian-Wei Pan, one of Zeilinger’s former students, and colleagues demonstrated entanglement distribution to two locations separated by 764 miles (1,203 km) on Earth via satellite transmission. However, direct transmission rates of quantum information are limited due to loss, meaning too many photons get absorbed by matter in transit so not enough reach the destination.

Entanglement is critical for solving this roadblock, through the nascent technology of quantum repeaters. An important milestone for early quantum repeaters, called entanglement swapping, was demonstrated by Zeilinger and colleagues in 1998. Entanglement swapping links one each of two pairs of entangled photons, thereby entangling the two initially independent photons, which can be far apart from each other.

Quantum protection

Perhaps the most well known quantum communications application is Quantum Key Distribution (QKD), which allows someone to securely distribute encryption keys. If those keys are stored properly, they will be secure, even from future powerful, code-breaking quantum computers.

How quantum encryption keeps secrets safe.

While the first proposal for QKD did not explicitly require entanglement, an entanglement-based version was subsequently proposed. Shortly after this proposal came the first demonstration of the technique, through the air over a short distance on a table-top. The first demonstrations of entangement-based QKD were published by research groups led by Zeilinger, Kwiat and Nicolas Gisin were published in the same issue of Physical Review Letters in May 2000.

These entanglement-based distributed keys can be used to dramatically improve the security of communications. A first important demonstration along these lines was from the Zeilinger group, which conducted a bank wire transfer in Vienna, Austria, in 2004. In this case, the two halves of the QKD system were located at the headquarters of a large bank and the Vienna City Hall. The optical fibers that carried the photons were installed in the Vienna sewer system and spanned nine-tenths of a mile (1.45 km).

Entanglement for sale

Today, there are a handful of companies that have commercialized quantum key distribution technology, including my group’s collaborator Qubitekk, which focuses on an entanglement-based approach to QKD. With a more recent commercial Qubitekk system, my colleagues and I demonstrated secure smart grid communications in Chattanooga, Tennessee.

Quantum communications, computing and sensing technologies are of great interest to the military and intelligence communities. Quantum entanglement also promises to boost medical imaging through optical sensing and high-resolution radio frequency detection, which could also improve GPS positioning. There’s even a company gearing up to offer entanglement-as-a-service by providing customers with network access to entangled qubits for secure communications.

There are many other quantum applications that have been proposed and have yet to be invented that will be enabled by future entangled quantum networks. Quantum computers will perhaps have the most direct impact on society by enabling direct simulation of problems that do not scale well on conventional digital computers. In general, quantum computers produce complex entangled networks when they are operating. These computers could have huge impacts on society, ranging from reducing energy consumption to developing personally tailored medicine.

Finally, entangled quantum sensor networks promise the capability to measure theorized phenomena, such as dark matter, that cannot be seen with today’s conventional technology. The strangeness of quantum mechanics, elucidated through decades of fundamental experimental and theoretical work, has given rise to a new burgeoning global quantum industry.The Conversation

About the Author:

Nicholas Peters, Joint Faculty, University of Tennessee

This article is republished from The Conversation under a Creative Commons license. Read the original article.

How to steer money for drinking water and sewer upgrades to the communities that need it most

By Andrian Lee, University of Wisconsin-Milwaukee and Melissa Scanlan, University of Wisconsin-Milwaukee 

When storms like Hurricane Ian strike, many people have to cope afterward with losing water service. Power outages mean that pumps can’t process and treat drinking water or sewage, and heavy stormwater flows can damage water mains.

Ian’s effects echoed a similar disaster in Jackson, Mississippi, where rising river water overwhelmed pumps at the main water treatment plant on Aug. 29, 2022, following record-setting rain. The city had little to no running water for a week, and more than 180,000 residents were forced to find bottled water for drinking and cooking. Even after water pressure returned, many Jackson residents continued to boil their water, questioning whether it was really safe to drink.

Jackson had already been under a boil-water notice for more than a month before the crisis, which arrived like a slow-motion bullet to the city’s long-decaying infrastructure. Now, Jackson and its contractors face lawsuits and a federal investigation.

This 2021 episode of ‘60 Minutes’ explores Jackson, Mississippi, residents’ frustration with their city’s long-running water problems.

We study water policy with a focus on providing equitable access to clean water. Our research shows that disadvantaged communities have suffered disproportionately from underinvestment in clean and affordable water.

However, a historic increase in federal water infrastructure funding is coming over the next five years, thanks to the Infrastructure Investment and Jobs Act that was enacted in 2021.

If this funding is managed smartly, we believe it can start to right these wrongs.

A complex funding mix

Water infrastructure has two parts. Drinking water systems bring people clean water that has been purified for drinking and other uses. Wastewater systems carry away sewage and treat it before returning it to rivers, lakes or the ocean.

Money to build and maintain these systems comes from a mix of federal, state and local sources. Over the past 50 years, policymakers have debated how much each level of government should contribute, and what fraction should come from the most prized source: federal money that does not need to be repaid.

The 1972 Clean Water Act created a federal grant program, managed by the Environmental Protection Agency, to help states and municipalities build wastewater treatment plants. Under the program, federal subsidies initially covered 75% of project costs.

Aerial view of water treatment tanks and gas digesters on a peninsula surrounded by ocean
The Deer Island water treatment plant in Boston began operation in 1995. It treats wastewater from towns across greater Boston and discharges cleaned effluent into the Atlantic Ocean.
Doc Searls/Wikipedia, CC BY

In the 1980s, the Reagan Administration challenged this arrangement. Conservatives argued that the grant program’s main purpose – addressing the need for more municipal wastewater treatment – had been fulfilled.

In 1987, Congress replaced wastewater grants with a loan program called the Clean Water State Revolving Fund, which still operates today. The EPA uses the fund to provide seed money to states, which offer low-interest loans to local governments to build and maintain wastewater treatment plants. Congress created a corresponding program, the Drinking Water State Revolving Fund, in 1996 to fund drinking water infrastructure.

As a result, U.S. water infrastructure now is funded by a mix of loans that must be repaid, principal forgiveness awards and grants that do not require repayment, and fees paid by local users. The larger the share that can be shifted into grants and principal forgiveness, the less pressure on local ratepayers to foot the bill for long-term infrastructure investments.

What’s in the infrastructure law

The Infrastructure Investment and Jobs Act authorizes more than US$50 billion for water infrastructure over the next five years. This won’t close the gap in funding needs, which the EPA has estimated at $472.6 billion from 2015 through 2034 just for drinking water systems. But it could support tangible improvements.

When water systems that serve low-income communities borrow money from state programs, even at low interest rates, they have to pay the loans off by raising rates on customers who already struggle to pay their bills. To reduce this burden, federal law allows state programs to provide “disadvantaged communities” additional subsidies in the form of principal forgiveness and grants. However, states have broad discretion in determining who qualifies.

The infrastructure law requires that 49% of federal funding for both drinking water and wastewater infrastructure must be awarded as additional subsidies to disadvantaged communities. In other words, almost half the money that states receive in federal funds must be awarded as principal forgiveness or outright grants to disadvantaged communities.

Who counts as ‘disadvantaged’?

In March 2022, the EPA released a memorandum that calls the infrastructure law a “unique opportunity” to “invest in communities that have too often been left behind – from rural towns to struggling cities.” The agency pledged to work with states, tribes and territories to ensure the promised 49% of supplemental funding reaches communities where the need is greatest.

This is an issue where the devil truly is in the details.

For example, under Mississippi’s definition of “disadvantaged community,” Jackson’s 2021 award for principal forgiveness was capped at 25% of the original principal. In its March 2022 memorandum, the EPA identified such caps as obstacles for under-resourced communities.

Mississippi appears to have responded by using a new standard for funds coming from the infrastructure law. Beginning this year, communities whose median household income is lower than the state median household income – including Jackson – will be awarded 100% principal forgiveness, which makes the funding effectively a grant.

Additionally, the EPA discourages using population as a factor to define “disadvantaged communities.” Communities with smaller populations struggle to cover water systems’ operating costs, so that challenge is important to consider. But using population as a determining factor penalizes larger cities that may otherwise be disadvantaged.

For example, in 2021, when determining principal forgiveness, Wisconsin awarded a higher financial need score to communities with populations below 10,000. This penalized Milwaukee, the state’s largest city, with almost a quarter of its people experiencing poverty.

In September 2022, Wisconsin updated its definition to consider additional factors, such as county unemployment rate and family poverty percentage. With these changes, Milwaukee now qualifies for the maximum principal forgiveness.

Mississippi and Wisconsin previously relied on factors too narrow to reach many disadvantaged communities. We hope the steps they have taken to update their programs will inspire similar actions from other states.

Getting the word out

In our view, the Infrastructure Investment and Jobs Act is a once-in-a-generation opportunity to correct decades of underinvestment in disadvantaged communities, especially with the EPA pushing the states to do so.

Historically under-resourced communities may not be aware of these state program funds, or know how to apply for them, or carry out infrastructure improvements. We believe the EPA should direct states that receive federal funds to help under-resourced communities apply for and use the money.

Recent events in Jackson and Florida show how natural disasters can overwhelm water systems, especially older networks that have been declining for years. As climate change amplifies storms and flooding, we see investing in water systems as a priority for public health and environmental justice across the U.S.The Conversation

About the Author:

Andrian Lee, Water Policy Specialist, University of Wisconsin-Milwaukee and Melissa Scanlan, Professor and Lynde B. Uihlein Endowed Chair in Water Policy, UW-Milwaukee School of Freshwater Sciences; Director of the Center for Water Policy; Affiliate Faculty, University of Wisconsin Law School, University of Wisconsin-Milwaukee

This article is republished from The Conversation under a Creative Commons license. Read the original article.

Japanese Candlesticks Analysis 10.10.2022 (USDCAD, AUDUSD, USDCHF)

Article By RoboForex.com

USDCAD, “US Dollar vs Canadian Dollar”

As we can see in the H4 chart, after forming a Shooting Star reversal pattern close to the resistance level, USDCAD may reverse in the form of a new descending wave. In this case, the downside correctional target may be at 1.3665. Later, the market may rebound from the support area and resume trading upwards. However, an alternative scenario implies that the asset may continue growing to reach 1.3850 without any pullbacks.

USDCAD
Risk Warning: the result of previous trading operations do not guarantee the same results in the future

AUDUSD, “Australian Dollar vs US Dollar”

As we can see in the H4 chart, AUDUSD has formed an Engulfing reversal pattern near the resistance area. At the moment, the asset is reversing in the form of a new descending structure. In this case, the downside target may be the support level at 0.6255. After testing the level, the price may break it and continue the descending wave. At the same time, the opposite scenario implies that the price may correct to reach 0.6380 first and then resume the downtrend.

AUDUSD
Risk Warning: the result of previous trading operations do not guarantee the same results in the future

USDCHF, “US Dollar vs Swiss Franc”

As we can see in the H4 chart, the pair has formed a Hanging Man reversal pattern not far from the resistance area. At the moment, USDCHF may reverse in the form of a new descending wave. In this case, the downside correctional target may be the support level at 0.9890. After testing this level, the price may rebound from it and resume trading upwards. Still, there might be an alternative scenario, in which the asset may continue growing to reach 1.0025 without any pullbacks.

USDCHF

Article By RoboForex.com

Attention!
Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex LP bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews.

The cryptocurrency market digest (BTC). Overview for 10.10.2022

Article By RoboForex.com

The BTC is declining smoothly. On Monday, it is balancing near 19,427 USD.

On Monday, the leading crypto is very restrained. It is a day off in the US today, so a part of investors will be away from the market. This can cause a decline in the volatility.

There are still very few chances for the BTC to grow. To rise higher, it needs to step over the key resistance level of 21,500 USD. For now, the crypto is most likely to stay inside a sideways channel between 19,000 and 20,000 USD.

Capitalisation of the crypto market has dropped to 904.12 billion USD. The BTC takes up 41.2% of it, the ETH — 17.91%, and the USDT — 7.55%. Curiously enough, the part taken by the XRP has grown noticeably over a week, now reaching 2.92%.

Over last week, the one token that has grown the most is the CSPR (+25.26%). Number two is the ENS (+24.06%). Both coins has entered the Top 100 list of the crypto market.

BTC hashrate has grown noticeably

The BTC hashrate has reached 10.8%, which is the new all-time high. This is good for both the safety and efficacy of the network. The complexity of the hashrate is though to be based on the computing power of the network. When the hashrate grows, it must be some powerful equipment joining the network that lets miners get coins and reward with fewer expenses.

Salvador criticizes those who doubt

President of Salvador confirmed that his decision to include the BTC in the country’s financial system was correct. Simultaneously, he criticized those who was against crypto as payment units. The leader of Salvador thinks that if the experiment succeeds, other countries may join in.

DeFi startup attracts financing

The Arch decentralised startup attracted 5 million USD during the first round of financing. The idea of the startup includes buying a smart contract that users can store on their own.

Article By RoboForex.com

Attention!
Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex LP bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews.

The Analytical Overview of the Main Currency Pairs on 2022.10.07

By JustForex

The EUR/USD currency pair

Technical indicators of the currency pair:
  • Prev Open: 0.9871
  • Prev Close: 0.9790
  • % chg. over the last day: -0.82 %

The report on the ECB’s September 7, 8 monetary policy meeting released yesterday showed that many Governing Council representatives approved a 75 basis point rate hike. The report also indicated that in the medium term, a 50 basis point hike would be part of a sustainable path towards more neutral rate levels, and such a dynamic would be enough to alleviate inflationary pressures and not “drop” the economy deep into recession. But all inflation forecasts for 2023 and 2024 have been revised upward.

Trading recommendations
  • Support levels: 0.9782, 0.9748, 0.9666
  • Resistance levels: 0.9856, 0.9962, 1.0058, 1.0111, 1.0162, 1.0230

From the technical point of view, the trend on the EUR/USD currency pair on the hourly time frame is bullish. But the MACD indicator became negative, the price is trading below the moving averages, and the sellers’ pressure is increasing again. Buy trades should be considered from the support level of 0.9782. Sell deals may be considered from the resistance level of 0.9856, but only with confirmation.

Alternative scenario: if the price breaks down through the support level of 0.9666 and fixes below it, the downtrend will likely resume.

EUR/USD
News feed for 2022.10.07:
  • – US FOMC Member Waller Speaks (m/m) at 00:00 (GMT+3);
  • – US FOMC Member Mester Speaks (m/m) at 01:30 (GMT+3);
  • – German Industrial Production (m/m) at 09:00 (GMT+3);
  • – US Nonfarm Payrolls (m/m) at 15:30 (GMT+3);
  • – US Unemployment Rate (m/m) at 15:30 (GMT+3);
  • – US FOMC Member Williams Speaks (m/m) at 17:00 (GMT+3).

The GBP/USD currency pair

Technical indicators of the currency pair:
  • Prev Open: 1.1324
  • Prev Close: 1.1158
  • % chg. over the last day: -1.49 %

The UK construction companies reported a moderate increase in business activity in September, marking a return to growth after two months of declining output. Nevertheless, subdued demand persists, as evidenced by the weakest new orders since the economic recovery began in June 2020. Confidence in business prospects fell to its lowest level in two years in September, reflecting fears of higher interest rates and a downturn in the UK economy as a whole. On a more positive note, the supply deficit narrowed in September, and delivery delays were the least common since February 2020.

Trading recommendations
  • Support levels: 1.1121, 1.0915, 1.0816, 1.0711, 1.03
  • Resistance levels: 1.1248, 1.1478, 1.1693, 1.1816, 1.1901

From the technical point of view, the GBP/USD currency pair trend on the hourly time frame is bullish. But the MACD indicator became negative, the price is trading below the moving averages, and the sellers’ pressure is increasing again. Under such market conditions, buy trades can be considered from the support level of 1.1121, but only with confirmation. Sell trades are best to look for on intraday time frames. The nearest resistance level is 1.1248, but also better with confirmation.

Alternative scenario: if the price breaks down from the 1.0915 support level and fixes below it, the downtrend will likely resume.

GBP/USD
There is no news feed for today.

The USD/JPY currency pair

Technical indicators of the currency pair:
  • Prev Open: 144.58
  • Prev Close: 145.13
  • % chg. over the last day: +0.38 %

The USD/JPY quotes are slowly increasing again. Analysts are confident that it is not worth expecting another currency intervention from the Japanese government, as it is costly and has a temporary effect. Secondly, the Bank of Japan does not have enough funds to stop the yen’s fall. Japan has $1.3 trillion in reserves, but only about $135.5 billion is in the form of deposits. The rest is held in US Treasury bills. To stop the yen from falling, the Bank of Japan needs to shift the narrative from a soft monetary policy to a neutral one. However, since the Bank of Japan has no plans to change anything in its policy until the end of the year, and the US Federal Reserve continues to aggressively raise rates, USD/JPY quotes will be inclined to rise.

Trading recommendations
  • Support levels: 144.16, 143.00, 140.60, 139.61, 138.78, 137.65, 136.80, 135.20
  • Resistance levels: 145.35

From the technical point of view, the medium-term trend on the currency pair USD/JPY is bullish. The MACD indicator has become positive, and the price trades above the moving levels again. Under such market conditions, buy trades can be searched for on the intraday time frames from the support level of 144.16, but with confirmation. Sell deals can be searched from the resistance level of 145.35, but only with an additional confirmation in the form of a false breakout, since the level has already been tested.

Alternative scenario: If the price fixes below 140.60, the downtrend will likely resume.

USD/JPY
There is no news feed for today.

The USD/CAD currency pair

Technical indicators of the currency pair:
  • Prev Open: 1.3615
  • Prev Close: 1.3746
  • % chg. over the last day: +0.96 %

Despite falling consumer prices in Canada, Bank of Canada Governor Tiff Macklem said he is firmly on a path to raise interest rates because policymakers are concerned about heightened domestic price pressures and rising inflationary expectations. Canada’s two-year bond yield reached its highest level since 2007, rising more than five basis points to 3.98%. Traders increased the odds of a 50 basis point rate hike at the next policy decision on October 26. Analysts are predicting that the Bank of Canada will stop at 4% in its rate hike cycle. The rate is currently at 3.25%.

Trading recommendations
  • Support levels: 1.3675, 1.3619, 1.3583, 1.3535, 1.3454
  • Resistance levels: 1.3755, 1.3858, 1.3968

From the point of view of technical analysis, the trend on the USD/CAD currency pair is bearish. But the price is trading above the moving lines again. The MACD indicator has become positive, and the buyer’s pressure is increasing. Under such market conditions, buy trades should be considered on the lower time frames from the support level of 1.3675 or 1.3619, but with confirmation. For sell deals, it is better to consider the resistance level of 1.3756, but only after the additional confirmation.

Alternative scenario: if the price breaks out through and consolidates above the resistance level of 1.3756, the uptrend will likely resume.

USD/CAD
News feed for 2022.10.07:
  • – Canada Unemployment Rate (m/m) at 15:30 (GMT+3).

By JustForex

 

This article reflects a personal opinion and should not be interpreted as an investment advice, and/or offer, and/or a persistent request for carrying out financial transactions, and/or a guarantee, and/or a forecast of future events.

The panic narrative is returning to the stock markets. The focus today is on a non-farm report

By JustForex

The US 10-year bond yields rose nearly 10 basis points to 3.85% after Minneapolis Fed President Neel Kashkari said yesterday that the central bank is “very far” from suspending its tightening campaign. Kashkari’s comments followed a series of hawkish remarks from other officials. Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago President Charles Evans said Thursday that the US Central Bank’s discount rate is likely to reach 4.5-4.75% by the spring of 2023 as the Fed increases the cost of borrowing to reduce too much inflation. A day earlier, San Francisco Federal Reserve President Mary Daly said that investors are wrong to anticipate monetary policy easing in 2023. Such hawkish rhetoric brought negativity back to the financial markets, which triggered some sell-off in stocks.

At the close of the stock market yesterday, the Dow Jones Index (US30) decreased by 1.15%, and the S&P 500 Index (US500) fell by 1.30%. Tech Index NASDAQ (US100) closed the day down by 0.35%. At the Fed meeting in November, money markets are pricing in a more than 85% chance of a fourth straight 75 basis point rate hike.

Today, the main focus for investors will be on the US labor market data. If the report turns negative, it could trigger a drop in the dollar index and a rise in stock indices on expectations that the US Federal Reserve will be less aggressive in tightening monetary policy further. But if the non-farm payrolls report is positive and shows the strength of the labor market, the opposite reaction could follow a sell-off in the stock market plus an increase in the dollar index and treasury yields. Weekly labor market data showed that the number of Americans filing new jobless claims rose more than expected last week, but the labor market remains strong even as demand declines amid higher interest rates.

Stock markets in Europe were mostly down yesterday. German DAX (DE30) decreased by 0.37%, French CAC 40 (FR40) fell by 0.82%, Spanish IBEX 35 (ES35) lost 0.92%, British FTSE 100 (UK100) closed down by 0.78%.

The report on the ECB’s September 7-8 monetary policy meeting released yesterday showed that an absolute majority approved a 75 basis point rate hike of the Governing Council. The report also indicated that in the medium term, a 50 basis point hike would be part of a sustainable path toward more neutral rate levels, and such a dynamic would be sufficient to alleviate inflationary pressures and not “drop” the economy deep into recession. But all inflation forecasts for 2023 and 2024 have been revised upward.

In August 2022, seasonally adjusted retail sales were down by 0.3% in the Eurozone. Retail sales also declined by 0.4% in July. This is negative data, which indirectly points to high inflationary pressures.

Oil prices rose about 1% on Thursday, holding at a three-week high after OPEC+ agreed to cut global supply by 2 million BPD, the biggest cut since 2020. Saudi Arabia’s energy minister said the real supply cut would be 1 million to 1.1 million BPD. Experts believe that such a move by OPEC+ will not only boost oil prices but also cause a new round of unwinding inflation, which central banks around the world are actively fighting.

Asian markets traded flat yesterday. Japan’s Nikkei 225 (JP225) gained 0.70%, Hong Kong’s Hang Seng (HK50) decreased by 0.42%, and Australia’s S&P/ASX 200 (AU200) ended the day up by 0.03%.

A report released Thursday by the Bank of Japan (BOJ) indicates that most regional economies in Japan are seeing a moderate rebound, with some firms considering wage increases, stressing the hope that household incomes will rise enough to offset rising costs of living.

OPEC+ will no longer meet monthly. Meetings will now be held every two months.

S&P 500 (F) (US500) 3,744.40 −38.88 (−0.20%)

Dow Jones (US30) 29,926.47 −347.40 (−1.15%)

DAX (DE40) 12,470.78  −46.40 (−1.21%)

FTSE 100 (UK100) 6,997.27 −55.35 (−0.78)

USD Index 112.22 +1.14 (+1.02%)

Important events for today:
  • – US FOMC Member Waller Speaks (m/m) at 00:00 (GMT+3);
  • – US FOMC Member Mester Speaks (m/m) at 01:30 (GMT+3);
  • – German Industrial Production (m/m) at 09:00 (GMT+3);
  • – US Nonfarm Payrolls (m/m) at 15:30 (GMT+3);
  • – US Unemployment Rate (m/m) at 15:30 (GMT+3);
  • – Canada Unemployment Rate (m/m) at 15:30 (GMT+3);
  • – US FOMC Member Williams Speaks (m/m) at 17:00 (GMT+3).

By JustForex

 

This article reflects a personal opinion and should not be interpreted as an investment advice, and/or offer, and/or a persistent request for carrying out financial transactions, and/or a guarantee, and/or a forecast of future events.

EUR Under Pressure Again

By RoboForex Analytical Department

Early in another week of October, the major currency pair is falling. At the moment, EUR/USD is balancing around 0.9720.

Global capital markets are trying to escape risks amid recession concerns and this fact makes the “greenback” attractive again. On the other hand, the Euro is getting a huge hit from external economic stress – the upcoming heating season in Europe and many problems around it.

Last Friday’s statistics on the US labour market in September turned out to be better than expected. As a result, the US FOMC has a good reason to continue tightening its monetary policy – the employment sector is stable.

The Unemployment Rate dropped from 3.7% in August to 3.5% in September, while the Non-Farm Payrolls shoed 263K against the expected reading of 248K.

In the H4 chart, after rebounding from 0.9990, EUR/USD is forming a new descending wave towards 0.9360; right now, it is forming the first structure of this wave with the predicted target at 0.9680 and may later consolidate there. In the future, the asset may break the range to the downside and resume falling to reach 0.9360. From the technical point of view, this scenario is confirmed by MACD Oscillator: having broken 0 downwards, its signal line continues falling to update the lows.

As we can see in the H1 chart, having finished the descending structure at 0.9815 and forming a new consolidation range there, EUR/USD has broken it downwards; right now, it is still falling and forming another descending structure towards 0.9700. After that, the instrument may start a new correction to test 0.9815 from below and then resume falling with the target at 0.9630. From the technical point of view, this idea is confirmed by the Stochastic Oscillator: its signal line is falling towards 20.

Disclaimer

Any forecasts contained herein are based on the author’s particular opinion. This analysis may not be treated as trading advice. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations and reviews contained herein.

Expert Shares Three Stocks He Believes Are of ‘Great Value’

Source: Ron Struthers  (10/7/22)

Expert Ron Struthers believes TC Energy is a well-run pipeline company as it is yielding about 6.5% and has increased its dividend every year since the turn of the century. He also discusses how oil tanker rates are soaring as the market tightens more with the Ukraine war, but DHT Holdings is a laggard worth a look.

Has gold bottomed? It is possible, but it appears today it is retreating from its resistance area. We need a solid break above $1740 for more proof the bottom is in, which would also break the downtrend.

A good thing we got stopped out of most of our gold stocks in June. Near term, I believe there is more potential in the energy sector, where I have been making most of my new picks this year and two more below.

There is renewed interest in GICs and term deposits at the banks now that interest rates have gone up. A person can get 4% to 5% by locking into three to five year terms. Rates vary by type and bank, but that is a good ballpark number.

While this is a safe investment, the downfall is your money is tied up, and there is no chance of getting a higher rate or making a capital gain.

A better alternative is TC Energy Corp. (TRP:NYSE).

TC Energy Corp.

TC Energy offers more potential than GICs, with comparatively small risks. At CA$55.75 and an annual payout of $3.60, TC Energy yields 6.5%.

TC Energy owns and operates 93,300 kilometers of natural gas pipelines and 653 billion cubic feet of storage space in Canada, the United States, and Mexico. It also has a 4,900km network of oil pipelines, which supply Alberta crude to the U.S. market.

It also invests in several power-generation facilities, including wind, solar and nuclear. The current quarterly dividend is $0.90 per share. The company has raised its payout every year since the turn of the century.

The company is projecting 5% annual growth, and I see no reason why dividends will not keep increasing. Second-quarter results came in slightly ahead of analysts’ expectations.

Net income attributable to shareholders was $889 million ($0.90 per share), compared with $975 million ($1 per share) in the same period of 2021.

For the first six months of the fiscal year, net income was $1.24 billion ($1.27 a share). In the same period of the prior year, the company reported a loss of $82 million.

TC Energy announced a major expansion into Mexico on August 4, 2022. TC Energy and Mexico’s state-owned electricity producer Comision Federal de Electricidad (CFE) announced the launch of a $4.5 billion pipeline that will deliver natural gas from the southwestern U.S. to southern Mexico.

TC Energy said the CFE’s decision to take a 15% share in the project — the 715-kilometer offshore Southeast Gateway pipeline — is a landmark transaction for the Mexican utility as its first public-private partnership.

The Southeast Gateway pipeline is expected to be operational by 2025, and TC Energy said the project enjoys broad-based support from all levels of government, environmentalists, and regulators.

The project will allow the CFE to replace power plants currently fuelled by high-sulfur oil with natural gas-fired facilities that produce half the greenhouse-gas emissions. Over the course of this decade, Mexico’s appetite for natural gas is expected to increase by 50%.

TC Energy is also expanding into what I see as a high-growth market with strong future growth, exporting Liquid Natural Gas (LNG). Their $40-billion LNG Canada project will have an export terminal in Kitimat, B.C., at the end of TC Energy’s Coastal GasLink pipeline and aims to be up and running by 2025.

This next graphic is from TC Energy’s presentation

In March this year, TC Energy announced the signing of option agreements to sell a 10% equity interest in the Coastal GasLink Pipeline Limited Partnership to Indigenous communities across the project corridor.

The opportunity to become business partners through equity ownership was made available to all 20 Nations holding existing agreements with Coastal GasLink.

The formal establishment of these agreements comes from an interest expressed by Indigenous groups across the project corridor to become owners in Coastal GasLink alongside Alberta Investment Management Corporation, KKR, and TC Energy.

The next graphic from their presentation illustrates that TC Energy is already benefiting from the LNG boom and will continue to do so and especially with its own Kitimat terminal in 2025.

The stock has dropped to the lowest level in almost two years, simply correcting too far in sympathy with oil stocks.

It does not matter the price of oil and gas; TC Energy is paid to move it at whatever price. The stock is of great value here.

Atlas Corp.

With Atlas Corp. (ATCO:NYSE), we are sitting on a big gain from our $7.33 Buy price, and there currently is a cash offer of $15.50 per share to take Atlas private.

Assuming that happens in six months, an investor who buys the stock now would see a $1.40 return plus $0.25 in dividends for a total of $1.65 or 11.7%, not bad for six months in today’s markets.

I am surprised arbitrage traders have not bid the stock higher, but it may be a function of this terrible market.

To recap, in April 2022, Fairfax Financial Holdings Limited (“Fairfax”) exercised warrants to purchase 25.0 million common shares of Atlas. The warrants, which were originally issued on July 16, 2018, had an exercise price of $8.05 per common share for an aggregate exercise price of $201.3 million.

Immediately following this exercise, Fairfax and its affiliates held in aggregate 124,805,753 common shares, representing approximately 45.1% of the then-issued and outstanding common shares of Atlas.

Fairfax continues to hold 6.0 million warrants.

On August 4, 2022, Atlas’ Board of Directors received a non-binding proposal letter, dated August 4, 2022, from Poseidon Acquisition Corp., an entity formed by certain affiliates of Fairfax, certain affiliates of the Washington Family (“Washington”), David Sokol, Chairman of the Board of Atlas, and Ocean Network Express Pte. Ltd., and certain of their respective affiliates, to acquire all of the outstanding common shares of Atlas, other than common shares owned by Fairfax, Washington, Mr. Sokol and certain executive officers of the Company, for $14.45 cash per common share.

On Sept 28, 2022, Poseidon Acquisition Corp. revised its price upwards to $15.50 cash per common share.

On or about November 1, 2022, Atlas will pay another $0.125 dividend, and on Feb 1, 2023, another $0.125 dividend.

Atlas is our only shipping stock at this time, so I am suggesting replacing it with DHT Holdings.

DHT Holdings

DHT Holdings Inc. (DHT:NYSE) is an independent crude oil tanker company with a fleet trading internationally and consists of crude oil tankers in the VLCC segment.

On June 30, 2022, DHT had a fleet of 24 VLCCs, with a total dwt of 7,453,519. I have followed this company for many years and see now as a good time to buy.

A recovery in the VLCC market was expected in 2022 after two years of Covid restrictions affecting oil demand. Tankers International reported that the data shows a definite boost.

Globally they count an additional 27 monthly liftings in the VLCC spot market in the first half of this year compared to the 2021 annual average, and we are very close to reaching pre-Covid fixing volumes.

27 additional cargoes per month would employ more than 30 VLCCs full-time if they were all traded between the AG and Singapore. Of course, some travel shorter distances, and some travel further.

Then add in the Ukraine war, and we see more tankers heading to Europe to make up for Russia’s supply. All things combined have caused tanker rates to soar.

On September 12, 2022, Tradewinds reported spot tanker rates at $43,600 per day, and now they are at $49,000 per day. This is about double from a year ago. This will give a big boost to DHT’s cash flow and earnings late this year and in 2023.

September 8, 2022, DHT Holdings announced a new dividend policy with 100% of net income being returned to shareholders in the form of quarterly cash dividends. The new policy will be implemented in the third quarter of 2022.

Svein Moxnes Harfjeld, President & CEO, stated, “The key considerations behind the new policy are the strength of our balance sheet and liquidity position in combination with no current plans for significant capital expenditures. The timing of the decision and its implementation reflects our constructive market outlook.”

I expect this will result in a minimum dividend of $0.50 per year and could easily go well over $1.00 if tanker rates stay high. At a $7.40 share price and a $0.50 dividend is a 6.8% yield.

DHT had a good second quarter

Quarterly Highlights:

  • In the second quarter of 2022, the Company’s VLCCs achieved an average rate of $24,300 per day.
  • Adjusted EBITDA for the second quarter of 2022 was $32.5 million. Net profit for the quarter was $10.0 million, which equates to $0.06 per basic share.
  • In May 2022, the Company entered into agreements to sell DHT Hawk, built in 2007, and DHT Falcon, built in 2006, for $40 million and $38 million, respectively. The vessels were both delivered during the second quarter of 2022, and the sales generated a combined gain of $12.7 million. The Company repaid the outstanding debt of $13.3 million combined on the two vessels.
  • In June 2022, the Company prepaid $23.1 million under the Nordea Credit Facility. The voluntary prepayment was made under the revolving credit facility tranche and may be re-borrowed.
  • In the second quarter of 2022, the Company purchased 2,826,771 of its own shares in the open market for an aggregate consideration of $15.9 million at an average price of $5.6256. All shares were retired upon receipt.
  • For the second quarter of 2022, the Company declared a cash dividend of $0.04 per share of outstanding common stock, payable on August 30, 2022, to shareholders of record as of August 23, 2022. This marks the 50th consecutive quarterly cash dividend. The shares will trade ex-dividend from August 22, 2022.

So far, in the third quarter of 2022, 68% of the available VLCC days have been booked at an average rate of $23,600 per day on a discharge-to-discharge basis (not including any potential profit splits on time charters).

This is not much different than Q2, but as time goes on, the cheaper rates will drop off and be replaced with the higher rates that are currently in the market.

For example, in July 2022, the Company entered into a five-year time charter for DHT Osprey at $37,000 per day, with the charterer’s option to extend two additional years at $40,000 per day and $45,000 per day respectively. The vessel is expected to deliver into the contract in August.

DHT has a relatively new fleet of ships compared to most tanker companies, with only three of their 24 VLCCs pre-2011. Those three were built in 2007. Newer builds are more efficient, have less maintenance, and are not subject to discount rates that can be applied to older tankers.

At the end of 2020, Statista reports that 46% of oil tankers are 15 years old and older.

I like DHT because they are well-run and very efficient. The stock has pulled back and is not reflecting its new dividend policy, which few, if any, other tanker companies can afford to do.

Most important is the low valuation of peers. Tanker stocks started to rally in April and May and have all pulled back in the past month. When I compared DHT to several other tanker stocks, it is at the bottom of the pack, with only a +15% gain in the past year. I see no good reason for this and believe the stock can play catch up and pay a good dividend too.

 

Struthers Stock Report Disclaimers: 

All forecasts and recommendations are based on opinion. Markets change direction with consensus beliefs, which may change at any time and without notice. The author/publisher of this publication has taken every precaution to provide the most accurate information possible. The information & data were obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but because the information & data source are beyond the author’s control, no representation or guarantee is made that it is complete or accurate.

The reader accepts information on the condition that errors or omissions shall not be made the basis for any claim, demand or cause for action. Because of the ever-changing nature of information & statistics the author/publisher strongly encourages the reader to communicate directly with the company and/or with their personal investment adviser to obtain up to date information.

Past results are not necessarily indicative of future results. Any statements non-factual in nature constitute only current opinions, which are subject to change. The author/publisher may or may not have a position in the securities and/or options relating thereto, & may make purchases and/or sales of these securities relating thereto from time to time in the open market or otherwise. Neither the information, nor opinions expressed, shall be construed as a solicitation to buy or sell any stock, futures or options contract mentioned herein. The author/publisher of this letter is not a qualified financial adviser & is not acting as such in this publication.

Disclosures: 

1) Ron Struthers: I, or members of my immediate household or family, own shares of the following companies mentioned in this article: TC Energy Corp. I personally am, or members of my immediate household or family are, paid by the following companies mentioned in this article: None. My company currently has a financial relationship with the following companies mentioned in this article: None. I determined which companies would be included in this article based on my research and understanding of the sector.

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