By InvestMacro | COT | Data Tables | COT Leaders | Downloads | COT Newsletter
Here are the latest charts and statistics for the Commitment of Traders (COT) data published by the Commodities Futures Trading Commission (CFTC).
The latest COT data is updated through Tuesday June 14th and shows a quick view of how large traders (for-profit speculators and commercial entities) were positioned in the futures markets.
The soft commodities market speculator bets were mostly lower this week as just three out of the eleven soft commodities markets we cover had higher positioning this week while eight markets had lower speculator bets.
Leading the gains for soft commodities markets was Corn (8,511 contracts) and Live Cattle (7,316 contracts) with Soybeans (6,023 contracts) also showing a positive week.
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Meanwhile, leading the declines in speculator bets this week were Sugar (-24,920 contracts) and Cocoa (-17,863 contracts) with Soybean Oil (-5,247 contracts), Cotton (-4,427 contracts), Wheat (-3,446 contracts), Lean Hogs (-3,105 contracts), Coffee (-1,882 contracts) and Soybean Meal (-845 contracts) also registering lower bets on the week.
Strength scores (3-Year range of Speculator positions, from 0 to 100 where above 80 is extreme bullish and below 20 is extreme bearish) show that Corn (81.1 percent and bullish-extreme) is at the highest level of the softs currently followed by Coffee and Soybean Meal. On the downside, Lean Hogs (14.8 percent) and Cocoa (14.3 percent) are in bearish-extreme levels and have the weakest speculator strength scores at the moment.
Strength score trends (or move index, that calculate 6-week changes in strength scores) shows that Coffee and Wheat have the only rising scores over the past six weeks. Cocoa leads the trends on the downside with a -39.1 percent trend change followed by Live Cattle (-17.9 percent) and Lean Hogs (-16 percent).
| Jun-14-2022 | OI | OI-Index | Spec-Net | Spec-Index | Com-Net | COM-Index | Smalls-Net | Smalls-Index |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WTI Crude | 1,715,674 | 0 | 302,946 | 0 | -341,654 | 100 | 38,708 | 70 |
| Gold | 497,456 | 13 | 154,598 | 0 | -178,569 | 100 | 23,971 | 15 |
| Silver | 151,978 | 18 | 14,005 | 0 | -22,047 | 100 | 8,042 | 0 |
| Copper | 187,247 | 17 | -13,797 | 32 | 10,287 | 67 | 3,510 | 46 |
| Palladium | 7,740 | 6 | -4,057 | 0 | 4,354 | 100 | -297 | 27 |
| Platinum | 66,613 | 33 | 2,214 | 7 | -6,793 | 96 | 4,579 | 26 |
| Natural Gas | 1,053,265 | 0 | -123,485 | 42 | 74,310 | 54 | 49,175 | 96 |
| Brent | 171,026 | 17 | -36,389 | 50 | 34,601 | 51 | 1,788 | 33 |
| Heating Oil | 268,199 | 23 | 8,475 | 55 | -28,686 | 41 | 20,211 | 68 |
| Soybeans | 754,428 | 34 | 182,667 | 70 | -155,663 | 37 | -27,004 | 25 |
| Corn | 1,521,565 | 25 | 399,775 | 81 | -344,196 | 23 | -55,579 | 11 |
| Coffee | 202,656 | 0 | 46,885 | 79 | -48,399 | 25 | 1,514 | 5 |
| Sugar | 800,806 | 1 | 170,483 | 72 | -198,006 | 31 | 27,523 | 42 |
| Wheat | 336,890 | 13 | 20,435 | 46 | -18,089 | 34 | -2,346 | 98 |
This week’s current strength score (the trader positioning range over the past three years, measured from 0 to 100) shows the speculators are currently Bullish-Extreme with a score of 81.1 percent. The commercials are Bearish with a score of 22.9 percent and the small traders (not shown in chart) are Bearish-Extreme with a score of 11.1 percent.
| CORN Futures Statistics | SPECULATORS | COMMERCIALS | SMALL TRADERS |
| – Percent of Open Interest Longs: | 34.2 | 44.6 | 9.2 |
| – Percent of Open Interest Shorts: | 7.9 | 67.2 | 12.8 |
| – Net Position: | 399,775 | -344,196 | -55,579 |
| – Gross Longs: | 519,685 | 678,186 | 139,407 |
| – Gross Shorts: | 119,910 | 1,022,382 | 194,986 |
| – Long to Short Ratio: | 4.3 to 1 | 0.7 to 1 | 0.7 to 1 |
| NET POSITION TREND: | |||
| – Strength Index Score (3 Year Range Pct): | 81.1 | 22.9 | 11.1 |
| – Strength Index Reading (3 Year Range): | Bullish-Extreme | Bearish | Bearish-Extreme |
| NET POSITION MOVEMENT INDEX: | |||
| – 6-Week Change in Strength Index: | -13.0 | 15.2 | -2.8 |
This week’s current strength score (the trader positioning range over the past three years, measured from 0 to 100) shows the speculators are currently Bullish with a score of 71.7 percent. The commercials are Bearish with a score of 30.6 percent and the small traders (not shown in chart) are Bearish with a score of 41.9 percent.
| SUGAR Futures Statistics | SPECULATORS | COMMERCIALS | SMALL TRADERS |
| – Percent of Open Interest Longs: | 29.1 | 47.6 | 10.1 |
| – Percent of Open Interest Shorts: | 7.8 | 72.3 | 6.7 |
| – Net Position: | 170,483 | -198,006 | 27,523 |
| – Gross Longs: | 233,102 | 380,876 | 80,955 |
| – Gross Shorts: | 62,619 | 578,882 | 53,432 |
| – Long to Short Ratio: | 3.7 to 1 | 0.7 to 1 | 1.5 to 1 |
| NET POSITION TREND: | |||
| – Strength Index Score (3 Year Range Pct): | 71.7 | 30.6 | 41.9 |
| – Strength Index Reading (3 Year Range): | Bullish | Bearish | Bearish |
| NET POSITION MOVEMENT INDEX: | |||
| – 6-Week Change in Strength Index: | -6.4 | 7.3 | -9.0 |
This week’s current strength score (the trader positioning range over the past three years, measured from 0 to 100) shows the speculators are currently Bullish with a score of 79.3 percent. The commercials are Bearish with a score of 25.3 percent and the small traders (not shown in chart) are Bearish-Extreme with a score of 5.1 percent.
| COFFEE Futures Statistics | SPECULATORS | COMMERCIALS | SMALL TRADERS |
| – Percent of Open Interest Longs: | 27.3 | 49.4 | 4.4 |
| – Percent of Open Interest Shorts: | 4.2 | 73.3 | 3.6 |
| – Net Position: | 46,885 | -48,399 | 1,514 |
| – Gross Longs: | 55,397 | 100,060 | 8,883 |
| – Gross Shorts: | 8,512 | 148,459 | 7,369 |
| – Long to Short Ratio: | 6.5 to 1 | 0.7 to 1 | 1.2 to 1 |
| NET POSITION TREND: | |||
| – Strength Index Score (3 Year Range Pct): | 79.3 | 25.3 | 5.1 |
| – Strength Index Reading (3 Year Range): | Bullish | Bearish | Bearish-Extreme |
| NET POSITION MOVEMENT INDEX: | |||
| – 6-Week Change in Strength Index: | 5.3 | -4.9 | -8.0 |
This week’s current strength score (the trader positioning range over the past three years, measured from 0 to 100) shows the speculators are currently Bullish with a score of 69.8 percent. The commercials are Bearish with a score of 37.1 percent and the small traders (not shown in chart) are Bearish with a score of 25.4 percent.
| SOYBEANS Futures Statistics | SPECULATORS | COMMERCIALS | SMALL TRADERS |
| – Percent of Open Interest Longs: | 30.5 | 49.3 | 6.6 |
| – Percent of Open Interest Shorts: | 6.3 | 69.9 | 10.2 |
| – Net Position: | 182,667 | -155,663 | -27,004 |
| – Gross Longs: | 229,930 | 371,675 | 50,027 |
| – Gross Shorts: | 47,263 | 527,338 | 77,031 |
| – Long to Short Ratio: | 4.9 to 1 | 0.7 to 1 | 0.6 to 1 |
| NET POSITION TREND: | |||
| – Strength Index Score (3 Year Range Pct): | 69.8 | 37.1 | 25.4 |
| – Strength Index Reading (3 Year Range): | Bullish | Bearish | Bearish |
| NET POSITION MOVEMENT INDEX: | |||
| – 6-Week Change in Strength Index: | -2.4 | 2.9 | -3.3 |
This week’s current strength score (the trader positioning range over the past three years, measured from 0 to 100) shows the speculators are currently Bullish with a score of 54.8 percent. The commercials are Bearish with a score of 43.4 percent and the small traders (not shown in chart) are Bullish with a score of 64.6 percent.
| SOYBEAN OIL Futures Statistics | SPECULATORS | COMMERCIALS | SMALL TRADERS |
| – Percent of Open Interest Longs: | 26.3 | 50.9 | 9.1 |
| – Percent of Open Interest Shorts: | 7.4 | 73.4 | 5.5 |
| – Net Position: | 73,398 | -87,101 | 13,703 |
| – Gross Longs: | 102,073 | 198,015 | 35,202 |
| – Gross Shorts: | 28,675 | 285,116 | 21,499 |
| – Long to Short Ratio: | 3.6 to 1 | 0.7 to 1 | 1.6 to 1 |
| NET POSITION TREND: | |||
| – Strength Index Score (3 Year Range Pct): | 54.8 | 43.4 | 64.6 |
| – Strength Index Reading (3 Year Range): | Bullish | Bearish | Bullish |
| NET POSITION MOVEMENT INDEX: | |||
| – 6-Week Change in Strength Index: | -15.9 | 14.5 | -1.0 |
This week’s current strength score (the trader positioning range over the past three years, measured from 0 to 100) shows the speculators are currently Bullish with a score of 76.9 percent. The commercials are Bearish with a score of 23.3 percent and the small traders (not shown in chart) are Bullish with a score of 67.5 percent.
| SOYBEAN MEAL Futures Statistics | SPECULATORS | COMMERCIALS | SMALL TRADERS |
| – Percent of Open Interest Longs: | 27.6 | 43.8 | 12.7 |
| – Percent of Open Interest Shorts: | 4.5 | 73.6 | 5.9 |
| – Net Position: | 88,831 | -114,735 | 25,904 |
| – Gross Longs: | 106,273 | 168,517 | 48,694 |
| – Gross Shorts: | 17,442 | 283,252 | 22,790 |
| – Long to Short Ratio: | 6.1 to 1 | 0.6 to 1 | 2.1 to 1 |
| NET POSITION TREND: | |||
| – Strength Index Score (3 Year Range Pct): | 76.9 | 23.3 | 67.5 |
| – Strength Index Reading (3 Year Range): | Bullish | Bearish | Bullish |
| NET POSITION MOVEMENT INDEX: | |||
| – 6-Week Change in Strength Index: | -6.0 | 2.6 | 29.3 |
This week’s current strength score (the trader positioning range over the past three years, measured from 0 to 100) shows the speculators are currently Bearish with a score of 20.4 percent. The commercials are Bullish with a score of 72.1 percent and the small traders (not shown in chart) are Bullish with a score of 72.7 percent.
| LIVE CATTLE Futures Statistics | SPECULATORS | COMMERCIALS | SMALL TRADERS |
| – Percent of Open Interest Longs: | 36.9 | 40.6 | 11.3 |
| – Percent of Open Interest Shorts: | 24.9 | 51.6 | 12.3 |
| – Net Position: | 32,744 | -30,120 | -2,624 |
| – Gross Longs: | 100,918 | 110,947 | 30,976 |
| – Gross Shorts: | 68,174 | 141,067 | 33,600 |
| – Long to Short Ratio: | 1.5 to 1 | 0.8 to 1 | 0.9 to 1 |
| NET POSITION TREND: | |||
| – Strength Index Score (3 Year Range Pct): | 20.4 | 72.1 | 72.7 |
| – Strength Index Reading (3 Year Range): | Bearish | Bullish | Bullish |
| NET POSITION MOVEMENT INDEX: | |||
| – 6-Week Change in Strength Index: | -17.9 | 15.4 | 10.5 |
This week’s current strength score (the trader positioning range over the past three years, measured from 0 to 100) shows the speculators are currently Bearish-Extreme with a score of 14.8 percent. The commercials are Bullish-Extreme with a score of 93.7 percent and the small traders (not shown in chart) are Bullish with a score of 57.2 percent.
| LEAN HOGS Futures Statistics | SPECULATORS | COMMERCIALS | SMALL TRADERS |
| – Percent of Open Interest Longs: | 29.7 | 43.9 | 9.9 |
| – Percent of Open Interest Shorts: | 25.8 | 43.8 | 13.8 |
| – Net Position: | 7,386 | 202 | -7,588 |
| – Gross Longs: | 57,305 | 84,837 | 19,098 |
| – Gross Shorts: | 49,919 | 84,635 | 26,686 |
| – Long to Short Ratio: | 1.1 to 1 | 1.0 to 1 | 0.7 to 1 |
| NET POSITION TREND: | |||
| – Strength Index Score (3 Year Range Pct): | 14.8 | 93.7 | 57.2 |
| – Strength Index Reading (3 Year Range): | Bearish-Extreme | Bullish-Extreme | Bullish |
| NET POSITION MOVEMENT INDEX: | |||
| – 6-Week Change in Strength Index: | -16.0 | 20.7 | -15.1 |
This week’s current strength score (the trader positioning range over the past three years, measured from 0 to 100) shows the speculators are currently Bullish with a score of 64.9 percent. The commercials are Bearish with a score of 33.8 percent and the small traders (not shown in chart) are Bullish with a score of 71.8 percent.
| COTTON Futures Statistics | SPECULATORS | COMMERCIALS | SMALL TRADERS |
| – Percent of Open Interest Longs: | 41.1 | 41.6 | 9.2 |
| – Percent of Open Interest Shorts: | 7.9 | 79.5 | 4.5 |
| – Net Position: | 66,255 | -75,657 | 9,402 |
| – Gross Longs: | 81,941 | 82,992 | 18,322 |
| – Gross Shorts: | 15,686 | 158,649 | 8,920 |
| – Long to Short Ratio: | 5.2 to 1 | 0.5 to 1 | 2.1 to 1 |
| NET POSITION TREND: | |||
| – Strength Index Score (3 Year Range Pct): | 64.9 | 33.8 | 71.8 |
| – Strength Index Reading (3 Year Range): | Bullish | Bearish | Bullish |
| NET POSITION MOVEMENT INDEX: | |||
| – 6-Week Change in Strength Index: | -11.0 | 11.9 | -19.5 |
This week’s current strength score (the trader positioning range over the past three years, measured from 0 to 100) shows the speculators are currently Bearish-Extreme with a score of 14.3 percent. The commercials are Bullish-Extreme with a score of 85.8 percent and the small traders (not shown in chart) are Bearish with a score of 31.5 percent.
| COCOA Futures Statistics | SPECULATORS | COMMERCIALS | SMALL TRADERS |
| – Percent of Open Interest Longs: | 29.0 | 45.5 | 5.9 |
| – Percent of Open Interest Shorts: | 30.1 | 45.5 | 4.8 |
| – Net Position: | -3,369 | -126 | 3,495 |
| – Gross Longs: | 90,712 | 142,236 | 18,389 |
| – Gross Shorts: | 94,081 | 142,362 | 14,894 |
| – Long to Short Ratio: | 1.0 to 1 | 1.0 to 1 | 1.2 to 1 |
| NET POSITION TREND: | |||
| – Strength Index Score (3 Year Range Pct): | 14.3 | 85.8 | 31.5 |
| – Strength Index Reading (3 Year Range): | Bearish-Extreme | Bullish-Extreme | Bearish |
| NET POSITION MOVEMENT INDEX: | |||
| – 6-Week Change in Strength Index: | -39.1 | 42.0 | -32.3 |
This week’s current strength score (the trader positioning range over the past three years, measured from 0 to 100) shows the speculators are currently Bearish with a score of 45.6 percent. The commercials are Bearish with a score of 33.9 percent and the small traders (not shown in chart) are Bullish-Extreme with a score of 98.2 percent.
| WHEAT Futures Statistics | SPECULATORS | COMMERCIALS | SMALL TRADERS |
| – Percent of Open Interest Longs: | 31.3 | 38.0 | 10.7 |
| – Percent of Open Interest Shorts: | 25.3 | 43.4 | 11.4 |
| – Net Position: | 20,435 | -18,089 | -2,346 |
| – Gross Longs: | 105,566 | 128,087 | 36,114 |
| – Gross Shorts: | 85,131 | 146,176 | 38,460 |
| – Long to Short Ratio: | 1.2 to 1 | 0.9 to 1 | 0.9 to 1 |
| NET POSITION TREND: | |||
| – Strength Index Score (3 Year Range Pct): | 45.6 | 33.9 | 98.2 |
| – Strength Index Reading (3 Year Range): | Bearish | Bearish | Bullish-Extreme |
| NET POSITION MOVEMENT INDEX: | |||
| – 6-Week Change in Strength Index: | 0.6 | -5.5 | 17.9 |
Article By InvestMacro – Receive our weekly COT Reports by Email
*COT Report: The COT data, released weekly to the public each Friday, is updated through the most recent Tuesday (data is 3 days old) and shows a quick view of how large speculators or non-commercials (for-profit traders) were positioned in the futures markets.
The CFTC categorizes trader positions according to commercial hedgers (traders who use futures contracts for hedging as part of the business), non-commercials (large traders who speculate to realize trading profits) and nonreportable traders (usually small traders/speculators) as well as their open interest (contracts open in the market at time of reporting).See CFTC criteria here.
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