COT Soft Commodities Charts: Speculators keep Cotton, Coffee & Sugar bets strongly bullish

November 15, 2021

By InvestMacro | COT | Data Tables | COT Leaders | Downloads | COT Newsletter

Here are the latest charts and statistics for the Commitment of Traders (COT) data published by the Commodities Futures Trading Commission (CFTC).

The latest COT data is updated through Tuesday November 9th 2021 and shows a quick view of how large traders (for-profit speculators and commercial entities) were positioned in the futures markets. This week’s reports are delayed due to last week’s Veteran’s Day holiday.

Highlighting this week’s COT data for Soft Commodities is the continued strength of Coffee, Cotton and Sugar. All three of these markets remain in very bullish territory for speculators and are over the extreme strength index reading of 80+ percent each. Coffee and Cotton have been having great runs in price as their ETF prices have risen by 41 and 36 percent, respectively over the past 90 days. Sugar has been not quite as hot with a 90-day gain of 16.53 percent.


Data Snapshot of Commodity Market Traders | Columns Legend
Nov-09-2021OIOI-IndexSpec-NetSpec-IndexCom-NetCOM-IndexSmalls-NetSmalls-Index
WTI Crude2,081,38522421,31246-461,9644440,65272
Gold571,02543250,18171-275,4893025,30842
Silver144,3701136,91559-53,6694616,75438
Copper213,3653622,78959-33,1943710,40585
Palladium11,81924-2,95423,00397-4942
Platinum57,8661817,63028-24,263746,63355
Natural Gas1,305,68745-142,1913698,4186243,77390
Brent192,39833-11,8511007,56704,28482
Heating Oil421,2996120,02272-42,9212622,89978
Soybeans644,317927,584379,08568-36,66911
Corn1,540,73128375,29878-320,87726-54,42112
Coffee312,1436760,82093-65,36594,54520
Sugar897,73922212,03180-260,7611948,73068
Wheat405,4383719,20363-13,40928-5,79474

 


CORN Futures:

Federal Funds 30-Day Bonds Futures COT ChartThe CORN large speculator standing this week totaled a net position of 375,298 contracts in the data reported through Tuesday. This was a weekly decline of -7,811 contracts from the previous week which had a total of 383,109 net contracts.


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This week’s current strength score (the trader positioning range over the past three years, measured from 0 to 100) shows the speculators are currently Bullish with a score of 78.0 percent. The commercials are Bearish with a score of 26.2 percent and the small traders (not shown in chart) are Bearish-Extreme with a score of 11.7 percent.

CORN Futures StatisticsSPECULATORSCOMMERCIALSSMALL TRADERS
– Percent of Open Interest Longs:30.945.89.0
– Percent of Open Interest Shorts:6.666.712.5
– Net Position:375,298-320,877-54,421
– Gross Longs:476,313706,074138,767
– Gross Shorts:101,0151,026,951193,188
– Long to Short Ratio:4.7 to 10.7 to 10.7 to 1
NET POSITION TREND:
– COT Index Score (3 Year Range Pct):78.026.211.7
– COT Index Reading (3 Year Range):BullishBearishBearish-Extreme
NET POSITION MOVEMENT INDEX:
– 6-Week Change in Strength Index:12.4-15.15.2

 


SUGAR Futures:

2-Year Treasury Bonds Futures COT ChartThe SUGAR large speculator standing this week totaled a net position of 212,031 contracts in the data reported through Tuesday. This was a weekly increase of 2,970 contracts from the previous week which had a total of 209,061 net contracts.

This week’s current strength score (the trader positioning range over the past three years, measured from 0 to 100) shows the speculators are currently Bullish-Extreme with a score of 80.2 percent. The commercials are Bearish-Extreme with a score of 18.7 percent and the small traders (not shown in chart) are Bullish with a score of 68.1 percent.

SUGAR Futures StatisticsSPECULATORSCOMMERCIALSSMALL TRADERS
– Percent of Open Interest Longs:29.943.711.0
– Percent of Open Interest Shorts:6.372.85.6
– Net Position:212,031-260,76148,730
– Gross Longs:268,559392,37098,602
– Gross Shorts:56,528653,13149,872
– Long to Short Ratio:4.8 to 10.6 to 12.0 to 1
NET POSITION TREND:
– COT Index Score (3 Year Range Pct):80.218.768.1
– COT Index Reading (3 Year Range):Bullish-ExtremeBearish-ExtremeBullish
NET POSITION MOVEMENT INDEX:
– 6-Week Change in Strength Index:-7.65.97.3

 


COFFEE Futures:

5-Year Treasury Bonds Futures COT ChartThe COFFEE large speculator standing this week totaled a net position of 60,820 contracts in the data reported through Tuesday. This was a weekly lowering of -3,533 contracts from the previous week which had a total of 64,353 net contracts.

This week’s current strength score (the trader positioning range over the past three years, measured from 0 to 100) shows the speculators are currently Bullish-Extreme with a score of 92.8 percent. The commercials are Bearish-Extreme with a score of 8.6 percent and the small traders (not shown in chart) are Bearish-Extreme with a score of 19.8 percent.

COFFEE Futures StatisticsSPECULATORSCOMMERCIALSSMALL TRADERS
– Percent of Open Interest Longs:25.144.14.0
– Percent of Open Interest Shorts:5.665.12.6
– Net Position:60,820-65,3654,545
– Gross Longs:78,364137,70112,604
– Gross Shorts:17,544203,0668,059
– Long to Short Ratio:4.5 to 10.7 to 11.6 to 1
NET POSITION TREND:
– COT Index Score (3 Year Range Pct):92.88.619.8
– COT Index Reading (3 Year Range):Bullish-ExtremeBearish-ExtremeBearish-Extreme
NET POSITION MOVEMENT INDEX:
– 6-Week Change in Strength Index:-3.54.2-3.8

 


SOYBEANS Futures:

10-Year Treasury Notes Bonds Futures COT ChartThe SOYBEANS large speculator standing this week totaled a net position of 27,584 contracts in the data reported through Tuesday. This was a weekly decline of -31,172 contracts from the previous week which had a total of 58,756 net contracts.

This week’s current strength score (the trader positioning range over the past three years, measured from 0 to 100) shows the speculators are currently Bearish with a score of 37.2 percent. The commercials are Bullish with a score of 68.0 percent and the small traders (not shown in chart) are Bearish-Extreme with a score of 10.8 percent.

SOYBEANS Futures StatisticsSPECULATORSCOMMERCIALSSMALL TRADERS
– Percent of Open Interest Longs:19.259.07.2
– Percent of Open Interest Shorts:14.957.612.9
– Net Position:27,5849,085-36,669
– Gross Longs:123,904379,91846,176
– Gross Shorts:96,320370,83382,845
– Long to Short Ratio:1.3 to 11.0 to 10.6 to 1
NET POSITION TREND:
– COT Index Score (3 Year Range Pct):37.268.010.8
– COT Index Reading (3 Year Range):BearishBullishBearish-Extreme
NET POSITION MOVEMENT INDEX:
– 6-Week Change in Strength Index:-9.212.2-24.1

 


SOYBEAN OIL Futures:

Ultra 10-Year Treasury Notes Bonds Futures COT ChartThe SOYBEAN OIL large speculator standing this week totaled a net position of 78,712 contracts in the data reported through Tuesday. This was a weekly decrease of -12,419 contracts from the previous week which had a total of 91,131 net contracts.

This week’s current strength score (the trader positioning range over the past three years, measured from 0 to 100) shows the speculators are currently Bullish with a score of 66.3 percent. The commercials are Bearish with a score of 37.6 percent and the small traders (not shown in chart) are Bearish with a score of 34.3 percent.

SOYBEAN OIL Futures StatisticsSPECULATORSCOMMERCIALSSMALL TRADERS
– Percent of Open Interest Longs:27.148.76.6
– Percent of Open Interest Shorts:8.668.65.3
– Net Position:78,712-84,3105,598
– Gross Longs:115,011206,28928,073
– Gross Shorts:36,299290,59922,475
– Long to Short Ratio:3.2 to 10.7 to 11.2 to 1
NET POSITION TREND:
– COT Index Score (3 Year Range Pct):66.337.634.3
– COT Index Reading (3 Year Range):BullishBearishBearish
NET POSITION MOVEMENT INDEX:
– 6-Week Change in Strength Index:14.9-14.01.8

 


SOYBEAN MEAL Futures:

US Year Treasury Notes Long Bonds Futures COT ChartThe SOYBEAN MEAL large speculator standing this week totaled a net position of 45,635 contracts in the data reported through Tuesday. This was a weekly rise of 14,864 contracts from the previous week which had a total of 30,771 net contracts.

This week’s current strength score (the trader positioning range over the past three years, measured from 0 to 100) shows the speculators are currently Bullish with a score of 55.5 percent. The commercials are Bearish with a score of 41.9 percent and the small traders (not shown in chart) are Bullish with a score of 70.9 percent.

SOYBEAN MEAL Futures StatisticsSPECULATORSCOMMERCIALSSMALL TRADERS
– Percent of Open Interest Longs:22.245.212.1
– Percent of Open Interest Shorts:12.160.96.6
– Net Position:45,635-70,64725,012
– Gross Longs:100,078203,93154,716
– Gross Shorts:54,443274,57829,704
– Long to Short Ratio:1.8 to 10.7 to 11.8 to 1
NET POSITION TREND:
– COT Index Score (3 Year Range Pct):55.541.970.9
– COT Index Reading (3 Year Range):BullishBearishBullish
NET POSITION MOVEMENT INDEX:
– 6-Week Change in Strength Index:18.6-22.734.2

 


LIVE CATTLE Futures:

Ultra US Year Treasury Notes Long Bonds Futures COT ChartThe LIVE CATTLE large speculator standing this week totaled a net position of 49,203 contracts in the data reported through Tuesday. This was a weekly lift of 7,309 contracts from the previous week which had a total of 41,894 net contracts.

This week’s current strength score (the trader positioning range over the past three years, measured from 0 to 100) shows the speculators are currently Bearish with a score of 22.0 percent. The commercials are Bullish with a score of 74.0 percent and the small traders (not shown in chart) are Bullish with a score of 67.8 percent.

LIVE CATTLE Futures StatisticsSPECULATORSCOMMERCIALSSMALL TRADERS
– Percent of Open Interest Longs:33.040.610.3
– Percent of Open Interest Shorts:16.254.713.0
– Net Position:49,203-41,274-7,929
– Gross Longs:96,637118,85630,161
– Gross Shorts:47,434160,13038,090
– Long to Short Ratio:2.0 to 10.7 to 10.8 to 1
NET POSITION TREND:
– COT Index Score (3 Year Range Pct):22.074.067.8
– COT Index Reading (3 Year Range):BearishBullishBullish
NET POSITION MOVEMENT INDEX:
– 6-Week Change in Strength Index:6.1-6.2-3.7

 


LEAN HOGS Futures:

Eurodollar Bonds Futures COT ChartThe LEAN HOGS large speculator standing this week totaled a net position of 44,937 contracts in the data reported through Tuesday. This was a weekly decrease of -1,028 contracts from the previous week which had a total of 45,965 net contracts.

This week’s current strength score (the trader positioning range over the past three years, measured from 0 to 100) shows the speculators are currently Bullish with a score of 57.4 percent. The commercials are Bullish with a score of 53.2 percent and the small traders (not shown in chart) are Bearish-Extreme with a score of 5.6 percent.

LEAN HOGS Futures StatisticsSPECULATORSCOMMERCIALSSMALL TRADERS
– Percent of Open Interest Longs:37.734.07.3
– Percent of Open Interest Shorts:17.946.714.4
– Net Position:44,937-28,767-16,170
– Gross Longs:85,58877,19916,461
– Gross Shorts:40,651105,96632,631
– Long to Short Ratio:2.1 to 10.7 to 10.5 to 1
NET POSITION TREND:
– COT Index Score (3 Year Range Pct):57.453.25.6
– COT Index Reading (3 Year Range):BullishBullishBearish-Extreme
NET POSITION MOVEMENT INDEX:
– 6-Week Change in Strength Index:-20.023.0-12.2

 


COTTON Futures:

Ultra 10-Year Treasury Notes Bonds Futures COT ChartThe COTTON large speculator standing this week totaled a net position of 103,513 contracts in the data reported through Tuesday. This was a weekly decline of -40 contracts from the previous week which had a total of 103,553 net contracts.

This week’s current strength score (the trader positioning range over the past three years, measured from 0 to 100) shows the speculators are currently Bullish-Extreme with a score of 88.7 percent. The commercials are Bearish-Extreme with a score of 9.4 percent and the small traders (not shown in chart) are Bullish-Extreme with a score of 99.8 percent.

COTTON Futures StatisticsSPECULATORSCOMMERCIALSSMALL TRADERS
– Percent of Open Interest Longs:40.738.28.0
– Percent of Open Interest Shorts:4.479.33.1
– Net Position:103,513-117,33313,820
– Gross Longs:116,142108,83822,797
– Gross Shorts:12,629226,1718,977
– Long to Short Ratio:9.2 to 10.5 to 12.5 to 1
NET POSITION TREND:
– COT Index Score (3 Year Range Pct):88.79.499.8
– COT Index Reading (3 Year Range):Bullish-ExtremeBearish-ExtremeBullish-Extreme
NET POSITION MOVEMENT INDEX:
– 6-Week Change in Strength Index:-8.15.718.0

 


COCOA Futures:

US Year Treasury Notes Long Bonds Futures COT ChartThe COCOA large speculator standing this week totaled a net position of -4,621 contracts in the data reported through Tuesday. This was a weekly decrease of -20,695 contracts from the previous week which had a total of 16,074 net contracts.

This week’s current strength score (the trader positioning range over the past three years, measured from 0 to 100) shows the speculators are currently Bearish-Extreme with a score of 19.1 percent. The commercials are Bullish-Extreme with a score of 80.2 percent and the small traders (not shown in chart) are Bearish with a score of 44.7 percent.

COCOA Futures StatisticsSPECULATORSCOMMERCIALSSMALL TRADERS
– Percent of Open Interest Longs:24.057.84.9
– Percent of Open Interest Shorts:26.057.23.6
– Net Position:-4,6211,4343,187
– Gross Longs:57,241137,75811,777
– Gross Shorts:61,862136,3248,590
– Long to Short Ratio:0.9 to 11.0 to 11.4 to 1
NET POSITION TREND:
– COT Index Score (3 Year Range Pct):19.180.244.7
– COT Index Reading (3 Year Range):Bearish-ExtremeBullish-ExtremeBearish
NET POSITION MOVEMENT INDEX:
– 6-Week Change in Strength Index:-26.424.714.4

 


WHEAT Futures:

Ultra US Year Treasury Notes Long Bonds Futures COT ChartThe WHEAT large speculator standing this week totaled a net position of 19,203 contracts in the data reported through Tuesday. This was a weekly lift of 1,307 contracts from the previous week which had a total of 17,896 net contracts.

This week’s current strength score (the trader positioning range over the past three years, measured from 0 to 100) shows the speculators are currently Bullish with a score of 63.4 percent. The commercials are Bearish with a score of 27.8 percent and the small traders (not shown in chart) are Bullish with a score of 73.9 percent.

WHEAT Futures StatisticsSPECULATORSCOMMERCIALSSMALL TRADERS
– Percent of Open Interest Longs:29.034.48.7
– Percent of Open Interest Shorts:24.237.710.2
– Net Position:19,203-13,409-5,794
– Gross Longs:117,465139,28935,456
– Gross Shorts:98,262152,69841,250
– Long to Short Ratio:1.2 to 10.9 to 10.9 to 1
NET POSITION TREND:
– COT Index Score (3 Year Range Pct):63.427.873.9
– COT Index Reading (3 Year Range):BullishBearishBullish
NET POSITION MOVEMENT INDEX:
– 6-Week Change in Strength Index:19.5-24.29.8

 


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*COT Report: The COT data, released weekly to the public each Friday, is updated through the most recent Tuesday (data is 3 days old) and shows a quick view of how large speculators or non-commercials (for-profit traders) were positioned in the futures markets.

The CFTC categorizes trader positions according to commercial hedgers (traders who use futures contracts for hedging as part of the business), non-commercials (large traders who speculate to realize trading profits) and nonreportable traders (usually small traders/speculators) as well as their open interest (contracts open in the market at time of reporting).See CFTC criteria here.