JPY: enveloped in interventions. Overview for 21.12.2022

By RoboForex.com

The Japanese yen against the US dollar remains at its four-month peaks. The current quote is 132.00.

The BoJ decided to gain more control over the bond yield, and this decision will be affecting the market for quite long. It corrected long-term interest rates, giving them more space to grow than previously. This mechanism is meant to smooth out the negative consequences of the ultra-soft credit and monetary policy of the regulator and lengthy monetary stimulation.

At the Japanese government level, it has already been announced that this decision of the BoJ means neither cancelling nor giving up the soft credit and monetary policy.

Today the BoJ has announced an extraordinary purchase of bonds for 200 billion yen. 100 billion yen will be spent on 3 to 5 year bonds and 100 billion yen more – on 5 to 10 year bonds.

For the JPY, all these events are positive.

Article By RoboForex.com

Attention!
Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex LP bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews.

EURUSD got Zen. Overview for 21.12.2022

By RoboForex.com

The market major has been consolidating in a narrow range for several days. The current quote is 1.0620.

As was said earlier, EURUSD investors have already got all the facts they might need. Theoretically, situation there must be stable until Christmas.

The statistics from yesterday was quite curious. For example, new house foundations in the US in November did not change, remaining at 1.43 million while 1.40 million had been expected. This is unusual but positive: Americans keep on building houses even when prices are growing. At the same time, the number of construction permits dropped to 1.34 million from 1.51 million. This is normal due to seasonal changes.

All in all, the US real estate sector looks absolutely confident. Demand has never crashed here, though supply is somewhat decreasing. Consumers show no agitation that could appear if they expected real worsening of the economic conditions.

The CCI in the euro zone in December grew to -22 points from -24 points, as expected.

Article By RoboForex.com

Attention!
Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex LP bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews.

The Analytical Overview of the Main Currency Pairs on 2022.12.21

By JustMarkets

The EUR/USD currency pair

Technical indicators of the currency pair:
  • Prev Open: 1.0607
  • Prev Close: 1.0622
  • % chg. over the last day: +0.14 %

ECB officials earlier this week indicated that a 50 bps rate hike at the next meeting is the best-case scenario and is seen as the main scenario within the monetary policy tightening. It is also should ту noted that the ECB decided at its last meeting to start gradually reducing its balance sheet next year. The tightening of monetary policy is usually accompanied by currency appreciation. But investors should also consider the difference between central banks’ interest rates. As long as the US Fed has a higher rate than the ECB, traders should not expect the Euro to strengthen in the medium term.

Trading recommendations
  • Support levels: 1.0549, 1.0483, 1.0361, 1.0332, 1.0284, 1.0193
  • Resistance levels: 1.0648, 1.0695

The trend on the EUR/USD currency pair on the hourly time frame is bullish. The MACD indicator has become inactive, volatility is reduced, and the price forms a price corridor. Under such market conditions, it is best to consider buy trades from the support level of 1.0549 but with additional confirmation. Sell deals can be considered from the resistance level of 1.0648, but it is better with a confirmation in the form of a reverse initiative or a false breakout, as the level has already been tested.

Alternative scenario: if the price breaks down through the support level of 1.0446 and fixes below it, the downtrend will likely resume.

EUR/USD
News feed for 2022.12.21:
  • – US CB Consumer Confidence (m/m) at 17:00 (GMT+2);
  • – US Existing Home Sales (m/m) at 17:00 (GMT+2).

The GBP/USD currency pair

Technical indicators of the currency pair:
  • Prev Open: 1.2145
  • Prev Close: 1.2183
  • % chg. over the last day: +0.31 %

The British pound remains under pressure due to the interest rate differential between the US Federal Reserve and the Bank of England (BoE). The US Fed is holding the rate at 4.5%, while the Bank of England is at 3.5%. The ECB has become more hawkish, and the Bank of England is expected to end monetary policy tightening ahead of the rest. As early as tomorrow, the UK will release its final GDP data for the quarter, and experts believe the economy will contract by 0.2%, indicating a second consecutive quarter of contraction, which is technically considered the beginning of a recession.

Trading recommendations
  • Support levels: 1.2092, 1.2177, 1.2024, 1.1964, 1.1684, 1.1476, 1.1418
  • Resistance levels: 1.2218, 1.2308, 1.2431, 1.2519

From the technical point of view, the trend on the GBP/USD currency pair on the hourly time frame is bullish. The price is trading at the level of the moving averages and is approaching the priority change level. The MACD indicator has become inactive, and volatility on the eve of the holidays is reduced. Under such market conditions, it is better to look for buy trades from the support level of 1.2092 but with confirmation on the intraday time frames. Sell trades are best looked for from the resistance level of 1.2218, but also better with confirmation.

Alternative scenario: if the price breaks down from the 1.2092 support level and fixes below it, the downtrend will likely resume.

GBP/USD
There is no news feed for today.

The USD/JPY currency pair

Technical indicators of the currency pair:
  • Prev Open: 136.88
  • Prev Close: 131.70
  • % chg. over the last day: -3.93 %

The Bank of Japan changed its yield curve control policy yesterday, raising the ten-year government bond rate target by 25 bps to 0.5%. Raising the bar is a forced measure of tightening monetary policy due to a lack of demand and liquidity in the country’s debt market and capital outflows from Japan to countries. Analysts think that the JPY has all the signs of continuing its strengthening trend as the Bank of Japan is no longer going to tolerate any devaluation of its currency. At the same time, it needs to shift towards policy normalization in order to maintain liquidity.

Trading recommendations
  • Support levels: 131.22
  • Resistance levels: 133.53, 134.73, 135.88, 137.03, 138.00, 139.09

From the technical point of view, the medium-term trend on the currency pair USD/JPY is bearish. The MACD indicator is deeply negative, without any signs of reversal, but with a sign of oversold. It is best to look for buy trades on intraday time frames from the support of 131.22, but only with confirmation. Sell deals can be sought from the resistance level of 133.53, provided that there is a reverse reaction.

Alternative scenario: If the price fixes above 137.00, the uptrend will likely resume.

USD/JPY
There is no news feed for today.

The USD/CAD currency pair

Technical indicators of the currency pair:
  • Prev Open: 1.3644
  • Prev Close: 1.3611
  • % chg. over the last day: -0.24 %

The Bank of Canada announced an increase in dealer limits for overnight repo transactions. The maximum aggregate cash value limit will increase to $5 billion from the previous limit of $1.5 billion per offering. The Bank is increasing these limits to improve the efficiency of its monetary policy implementation operations. OR operations support the effective implementation of monetary policy through intervention and intraday liquidity injections into the overnight general collateral market to reinforce the Bank’s overnight rate target.

Trading recommendations
  • Support levels: 1.3601, 1.3521, 1.3438, 1.3386, 1.3360, 1.3281, 1.3212
  • Resistance levels: 1.3700, 1.3776, 1.3855

From the point of view of technical analysis, the trend on the USD/CAD currency pair has changed to bullish. But the price is trading below the moving averages, and the MACD indicator is negative, indicating selling pressure inside the day. Buy trades should be considered from the support level of 1.3601, but with confirmation. Sells are best to look for on intraday time frames from the resistance level of 1.3700, but with confirmation in the form of a reverse initiative or after a false breakout, since the level has already been tested.

Alternative scenario: if the price breaks down and consolidates below the support level of 1.3386, the downtrend will likely resume.

USD/CAD
News feed for 2022.12.21:
  • – Canada Consumer Price Index (m/m) at 15:30 (GMT+2);
  • – US Crude Oil Reserves (w/w) at 17:30 (GMT+2).

By JustMarkets

 

This article reflects a personal opinion and should not be interpreted as an investment advice, and/or offer, and/or a persistent request for carrying out financial transactions, and/or a guarantee, and/or a forecast of future events.

What Will Happen to PM Stocks During a Market Crash?

Source: Clive Maund  (12/20/22) 

Expert Clive Maund reviews three charts to explain to you what he believes will happen to precious metals if the stock market crashes.

The U.S. stock market is in a position to crash and has been for some time, but so far, it has held up, and a reason for this is that risk has moderated somewhat. An important signal that a crash may be imminent will be if we suddenly see the 10-year yield starting to trend higher again, which could be due to a “black swan” event.

The current story is that the Fed’s trend of rising rates is slowing, but that could change abruptly if inflation gathers pace again. There are plenty of black swans not least of which is the growing risk of Russia launching a nuke or nukes. Russia is under attack from cruise missiles launched from Ukraine deep into its territory, which is obviously the handiwork of the U.S. and faces an existential crisis that may result in it playing its big card.

While we can expect the PM sector to drop hard if the market crashes, it can also be expected to come back strongly way ahead of the broad market hitting bottom.

If this happens, markets could crater.

On the 6-month chart for the 10-year Treasury Yield, we can see that the debt market is still relatively tranquil, with the yield down at 3.48%, having peaked above 4.2% in mid-late October.

However, this chart also suggests that yields could start higher again rather than they did early in August, as the drop from October looks like a reaction back towards a rising 200-day moving average within a larger uptrend, with it now being considerably oversold on its MACD indicator.

If they do start rising again, and especially if they should rise sharply, it would probably rip the rug out from under the stock market which remains very vulnerable to such a development.

The chief purpose of this update is to consider what will happen to the PM sector in the event that the stock market does crash soon. Market crashes generally involve “pan selloffs” because the financial stresses created cause investors to “dump everything over the side” in many instances because they are forced to due to margin calls.

This is why during the initial crash phase we can expect the PM sector to drop too. To illustrate this point and see what is likely to happen to the PM sector, we are now going to go back and see what happened during the 2008 crash.

The chart below, which is for a 15-month timeframe, shows what happened to GDX during the 2008 market crash. One of the most important points to note is that the PM sector suffered a severe decline from July through September 2008 before the stock market had even begun to crash. and this decline may correspond to the heavy drop we saw in the sector from April through September this year.

That drop in 2008 was followed by a sharp relief rally in September before the stock market crashed and took the PM sector down with it, so it is interesting to observe that we have just seen a sharp relief rally in November back into an area of heavy resistance where the sector appears to be rolling over again.

Clearly, if we see a repeat of what happened in 2008 — and so far, the broad market has had an uncanny resemblance to what happened then — then the stock market will crash soon and take the PM sector with it down to a final low.

Now compare the chart above to the 15-month chart, for now, keeping in mind that there is no crash on this chart because it hasn’t started yet, but might be about to.

A very important point to note that is a big reason why we are looking at the chart for 2008 is that during the 2008 crash, the PM sector bottomed way ahead of the broad market and a powerful rally ensued that recouped almost all of the losses occasioned by the crash.

What this means is that while we can expect the PM sector to drop hard if the market crashes, it can also be expected to come back strongly way ahead of the broad market hitting bottom.

We will shortly consider the most effective ways to position for a severe sector selloff provoked by a market crash.

CliveMaund.com Disclosures

The above represents the opinion and analysis of Mr. Maund, based on data available to him, at the time of writing. Mr. Maund’s opinions are his own, and are not a recommendation or an offer to buy or sell securities. Mr. Maund is an independent analyst who receives no compensation of any kind from any groups, individuals or corporations mentioned in his reports. As trading and investing in any financial markets may involve serious risk of loss, Mr. Maund recommends that you consult with a qualified investment advisor, one licensed by appropriate regulatory agencies in your legal jurisdiction and do your own due diligence and research when making any kind of a transaction with financial ramifications. Although a qualified and experienced stock market analyst, Clive Maund is not a Registered Securities Advisor. Therefore Mr. Maund’s opinions on the market and stocks can only be construed as a solicitation to buy and sell securities when they are subject to the prior approval and endorsement of a Registered Securities Advisor operating in accordance with the appropriate regulations in your area of jurisdiction.

Disclosures:
1) Statements and opinions expressed are the opinions of Clive Maund and not of Streetwise Reports or its officers. The author is wholly responsible for the validity of the statements. Streetwise Reports was not involved in any aspect of the article preparation. The author was not paid by Streetwise Reports LLC for this article. Streetwise Reports was not paid by the author to publish or syndicate this article.

2) This article does not constitute investment advice. Each reader is encouraged to consult with his or her individual financial professional and any action a reader takes as a result of information presented here is his or her own responsibility. By opening this page, each reader accepts and agrees to Streetwise Reports’ terms of use and full legal disclaimer. This article is not a solicitation for investment. Streetwise Reports does not render general or specific investment advice and the information on Streetwise Reports should not be considered a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Streetwise Reports does not endorse or recommend the business, products, services or securities of any company mentioned on Streetwise Reports.

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The US Real Estate Market is showing weakness. Bank of Japan aims to normalize monetary policy

By JustMarkets

The Bank of Japan alarmed investors yesterday after it announced it would allow Japan’s 10-year government bond yields to rise 50 basis points or 0.5%. That’s above the previous limit of 25 basis points and signals the Bank of Japan’s first move to tighten monetary policy by expanding its target range for bond yields. This is a forced measure of policy tightening due to a lack of demand and liquidity in the country’s debt market, as well as capital outflows from Japan. Japan’s rising government bond yields led to rising global bond yields, including Treasuries, which in turn led to falling indices. Nevertheless, the growth of energy companies’ shares due to a jump in oil prices helped stabilize the stock market as a whole. At the close of the stock exchange, the Dow Jones Index (US30) gained 0.28%, and the S&P 500 Index (US500) added 0.10%. The Technology Index NASDAQ (US100) closed at its opening level.

In the US, housing construction exceeded expectations in November. Still, the number of permits, an indicator of future project activity, fell to an 18-month low, adding to fears of further activity decline.

European stock markets traded flat yesterday. Germany’s DAX (DE30) decreased by 0.42%, France’s CAC 40 (FR40) lost 0.35%, Spain’s IBEX 35 (ES35) added 0.59%, and the British FTSE 100 (UK100) closed Tuesday at plus 0.13%.

European stocks fell on Tuesday due to rate-sensitive tech and industrial stocks after the Bank of Japan (BOJ) shocked global markets with a surprise policy change. While this was a minor policy adjustment, it was the first adjustment by the BOJ in a very long time. That’s why the market reaction has been substantial.

Gold and silver continue to rise amid a decline in US government bonds. Gold has an inverse correlation to the dollar index and government bonds, and that’s why the “yellow metal” was falling against a background of tighter monetary policy from the Fed. But now the Fed is getting closer to the end of the cycle, so more and more investors are moving into gold amid the approaching recession.

Oil prices ended higher Tuesday as a worsening forecast for a major storm in the US raised fears that millions of Americans could limit their travel plans during the New Year holiday. Oil prices were supported by a weaker dollar and a US oil restocking plan, but gains were limited by uncertainty over the rising number of COVID-19 cases in China.

TC Energy Corp. submitted its plan to US regulators to restart the Keystone pipeline nearly two weeks after the pipeline rupture that led to the largest oil spill in the United States in nine years.

Asian markets were mostly down yesterday. Japan’s Nikkei 225м(JP225) decreased by 2.46%, China’s FTSE China A50 (CHA50) lost 2.41%, Hong Kong’s Hang Seng (HK50) ended the day down by 1.33%, India’s NIFTY 50 (IND50) fell by 0.19%, and Australia’s S&P/ASX 200 (AU200) ended Tuesday down by 1.54%.

Tighter Bank of Japan policy will remove one of the last global anchors that helped keep borrowing costs low more broadly. Many economists now expect the Bank of Japan to raise interest rates next year, joining the Fed, ECB, and others after a decade of extraordinary stimulus.

S&P 500 (F) (US500) 3,821.62 +3.96 (+0.10%)

Dow Jones (US30) 32,849.74 +92.20 (+0.28%)

DAX (DE40) 13,884.66 −58.21 (−0.42%)

FTSE 100 (UK100) 7,370.62 +9.31 (+0.13%)

USD Index 104.00 -0.72 (-0.68%)

Important events for today:
  • – Canada Consumer Price Index (m/m) at 15:30 (GMT+2);
  • – US CB Consumer Confidence (m/m) at 17:00 (GMT+2);
  • – US Existing Home Sales (m/m) at 17:00 (GMT+2);
  • – US Crude Oil Reserves (w/w) at 17:30 (GMT+2).

By JustMarkets

 

This article reflects a personal opinion and should not be interpreted as an investment advice, and/or offer, and/or a persistent request for carrying out financial transactions, and/or a guarantee, and/or a forecast of future events.

Data on New Cell Therapy for LBCL Encouraging, Analyst Says

The biopharma behind the investigational treatment plans to advance it into a potentially pivotal clinical program next year, noted a BTIG report.

Adicet Bio Inc. (ACET:NASDAQ) presented “encouraging” data from its ongoing Phase 1 trial evaluating the company’s lead therapeutic ADI-001, its chimeric antigen receptor (CAR) T-cell therapy, in large B-cell lymphoma, reported BTIG analyst Justin Zelin in a Dec. 12 research note. The data update took place at the American Society of Hematology’s annual meeting on Dec. 10 to 13.

The study showed Adicet’s anti-CD20, allogeneic, gamma delta CAR T-cell therapy to have a six-month complete response rate that is comparable to that of autologous CAR-T therapy as well as key safety advantages, Zelin highlighted.

“An off-the-shelf, allogeneic therapy with [a] differentiated and well-tolerated safety profile carries a strong value proposition in this setting,” Zelin commented.

Next Steps and Possible Catalysts

Massachusetts-based Adicet will continue enrolling patients in the study to gain further insights into durability and the recommended Phase 2 dose selection, noted Zelin. The likely choices are two infusions of DL3 (300 million cells) with one lymphodepletion or one dose of DL4 (1 billion cells).

“We look forward to clinical and regulatory updates from the company next year,” wrote Zelin.

Also, in about Q2/23, Adicet plans to move ADI-001 into a potentially pivotal clinical program, Zelin noted.

This would include two studies, one in post-CAR-T large B cell lymphoma patients and the other in earlier-line large B cell lymphoma patients. Discussions are planned with the U.S. Food and Drug Administration and the European Medicines Agency about the regulatory path forward for this program.

“We look forward to clinical and regulatory updates from the company next year,” wrote Zelin.

Positive Efficacy and Safety

The updated Phase 1 data indicated a potential efficacy signal for ADI-001 in post-CAR-T large B cell lymphoma patients, Zelin wrote. At all ADI-001 dose levels, patients showed a 75% overall response rate and a 69% complete response rate. Five patients, who previously relapsed on anti-CD19 autologous CAR-T therapy, had 100% overall response and complete response rates.

Zelin relayed that Dr. Sattva Neelapu, in the Department of Lymphoma-Myeloma at the MD Anderson Cancer Center, “expressed his excitement of the complete response rate in heavily pretreated patients with few alternative treatment options (estimated median progression-free survival is about two months), especially in post-CAR-T large B cell lymphoma patients. Dr. Neelapu notes a roughly 30% duration of response at six months would be viewed favorably.”

BTIG has a Buy rating and a US$34 per share price target on Adicet, which is currently trading at about US$19.88 per share.

In terms of safety, at the DL3+ dose (DL3: 300 million CAR+ cells; DL4: 1 billion CAR+ cells), at which the complete response rate was 86%, there were no grade 3 or higher side effects, including cytokine release syndrome, immune effector cell associated neurotoxicity, graft versus host disease or dose-limiting toxicities. Infections were minimal despite enhanced lymphodepletion being employed.

The “ability to safely redose with a single lymphodepletion regimen supports outpatient-community dosing as key advantages for Adicet’s allogeneic cell therapy,” Zelin added.

BTIG has a Buy rating and a US$34 per share price target on Adicet, which is currently trading at about US$19.88 per share.

Disclosures:

1) Doresa Banning compiled this article for Streetwise Reports LLC and provides services to Streetwise Reports as an independent contractor. She or members of her household own securities of the following companies mentioned in the article: None. She or members of her household are paid by the following companies mentioned in this article: None.

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BTIG Research, Adicet Bio Inc., December 12, 2022

Analyst Certification: I, Justin Zelin, hereby certify that the views about the companies and securities discussed in this report are accurately expressed and that I have not received and will not receive direct or indirect compensation in exchange for expressing specific recommendations or views in this report.

I, Vishal Sethi, hereby certify that the views about the companies and securities discussed in this report are accurately expressed and that I have not received and will not receive direct or indirect compensation in exchange for expressing specific recommendations or views in this report.

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Franco’s Largest Asset Is at Risk

Source: Adrian Day  (12/19/22)

Today, expert Adrian Day gives updates on developments affecting several of his favorite companies, mostly positive but with one potentially damaging piece of news.

Franco-Nevada Corp. (FNV:TSX; FNV:NYSE) shares were down sharply after the government of Panama effectively seized First Quantum’s Cobre Panama mine, on which Franco has its largest stream, representing about 15% of both Net Asset Value and revenues.

The government announced it had ordered the mine shut down and that it was taking over care and maintenance until another “partner” could be found. There has been a long-simmering dispute over payments due from the company to the government. The mine represents the country’s largest investment and a large tax contributor.

The move stunned the local business community as well as Canada’s mining industry. It may be a negotiating tactic by the government, but given the drastic action, it would seem that there is something else behind this. Perhaps the government simply wants to show that it is serious, though that would be a pretty high-stakes move.

We suspect, however, that there will be a resolution. The mine means too much to First Quantum and to the government, whose reputation would be severely damaged were the seizure to hold. In fact, the mine is continuing to operate since halting operations would require resolutions to rescind the contracts, thus allowing time for talks to continue.

Franco Will Survive in Any Event

Franco has a gold stream on the copper mine that has only just achieved a full run rate. With over US$1 billion in cash, Franco can withstand the financial risk. It may yet reach its annual guidance, even with the shortfall from Cobre Panama. More important is whether First Quantum resumes ownership since streams are usually with the operator.

The shares fell from Wednesday’s close of US$144, where they were arguably ahead of themselves anyway. Franco has a rock-solid balance sheet, top management, and a well-diversified portfolio. It is still too early to jump back in — the shares are still well above where they were early last month — and the Panama issue may drag on for a while, but we shall certainly be looking for opportunities to buy shares in this blue chip.

Orogen Cash-flow Positive With Jump in Revenues

Orogen Royalties Inc. (OGN:TSX.V) reported a strong quarter, with royalty revenue from Ermitaño in Mexico up nearly 40% from previous quarters. The company also generated net income from its prospect generation business, involving gains on project sales and active option agreements. It has also been busy with transactions; so far this year, nine deals have been completed adding eight royalties. Overall, the company achieved positive cash flow from operations and ended the quarter with about CA$8.5 in cash and short-term investments.

The year ahead promises to be a very strong one. First Majestic Silver Corp. (FR:TSX; AG:NYSE; FMV:FSE) has indicated that all the ore feed for its mill in 2023 will come from Ermitaño (rather than a blend with the original lower-grade Santa Elena deposit), which should boost Orogen’s revenue.

This Could Be Huge and May Spur M&A

In addition, in February, AngloGold Ashanti Ltd. (AU:NYSE; ANG:JSE; AGG:ASX; AGD:LSE) is expected to publish a pre-feasibility study on its central Silicon deposit as well as a conceptual study of the Merlin deposit, in southern Nevada. Orogen holds a 1% royalty on an area covering both deposits. Altius has a 1.5% royalty over the same area and also claims a royalty of a “larger area of interest,” but Anglo is disputing that, and the claim is currently in arbitration.

We have been looking for some transaction of some type involving Orogen and Altius’ Silicon royalties, but the arbitration may delay this. Anglo has been publicly excited about the Silicon district, indicating it expects a multidecade operation. Silicon itself, known to be mineralized to 625 meters, remains open at depth. The district is clearly large and Anglo is planning to take its time in methodically studying the entire area.

Orogen is one of our top holdings. After meandering around the CA$0,40 mark for the past six months, the stock suddenly jumped last week amid higher-than-normal volume. The company has been doing some investor meetings, and there is no other reason for stock strength that we can discern.

Although we like Orogen and believe it represents strong value even at the higher price, we will hold off on additional buying to see if there is an easing over the normally quiet holiday period. But we want to be building positions.

More Activity and Success at Midland Means Shares Should Be Owned

Midland Exploration Inc. (MD:TSX.V) continues to achieve exploration success at various properties; it is in as good a position as any exploration company for discovery success, while its shares continue to languish, providing an excellent opportunity for investors to continue to accumulate.

First, Midland announced the discovery of a large copper-gold-silver-molybdenum mineralized system on its La Peltrie property in the Detour region of northern Quebec. The property is under the option to Probe Metals. The discovery was made from a single drill hole in the first drilling but suggests a larger system. The companies plan to follow up early next year.

Earlier, Midland had reported the discovery of at least two new gold-bearing structures during a recent prospecting program on the Laflamme joint-venture project in Abitibi, Quebec. This is an early stage, but the area is highly prospective for new discoveries.

Separately, the company announced it was beginning a 10,000-metre drilling program on its gold and nickel-copper projects in the Abitibi region, designed to test more than 40 of its targets developed over the past few years. The targets are on five separate projects, and drilling will continue until March.

Midland has a solid balance sheet and strong management. It has numerous projects, including 10 active joint ventures, across Quebec and is very active. With a market cap of only CA$28 million, it is very undervalued and trading around its all-time lows. It is a strong Buy at this level.

Altius Ups Interest in Renewal Unit

Altius Minerals Corp. (ALS:TSX.V) invested a further US$21 million in Altius Renewal Royalties (ARR.NY), which in turn holds 50% of Great Bear Renewables. This brings Altius’ interest in ARR to 59%. Great Bear, which is already cash flow positive, also announced a US$46 million royalty investment in a California solar project. See also comments above regarding Altius’ Silicon royalty.

Altius is a core holding for us, with innovative management which has the discipline to act counter-cyclically — essential in a highly cyclical sector — and a diversified group of royalties. There are several potential growth opportunities in the next year or two.

We recommend buying back in July when the shares were around US$16. Given the volatility of the stock, we will wait for new buying opportunities.

Nestle Reaffirms Focus and Continues To Grow

Nestle SA (NESN:VX; NSRGY:OTC) confirmed an 8% organic sales growth target and upper single-digit earnings-per-share annual growth. At its investor seminar in Europe, it also confirmed that it would continue to focus on food and beverages, including Nestlé Health Science and nutritional health products, as an additional growth platform.

The company also said it aims to continue increasing its annual dividend each year. Analyst forecasts are for an April dividend of Sfr 3, up from 2.80 earlier this year. Next year’s dividend has not yet been announced. Nestlé also confirmed its ongoing program to repurchase CHF 20 billion of its shares over the period 2022 to 2024.

The company has already bought around CHF 9.7 billion of shares in 2022. Nestlé is a core global holding, and for those who do not already own it, it can be bought at this level.

TOP BUYS, in addition to above, include Ares Capital Corp. (ARCC:NASDAQ).

Adrian Day Disclosures:

Adrian Day’s Global Analyst is distributed for $990 per year by Investment Consultants International, Ltd., P.O. Box 6644, Annapolis, MD 21401. (410) 224-8885. www.AdrianDayGlobalAnalyst.com. Publisher: Adrian Day. Owner: Investment Consultants International, Ltd. Staff may have positions in securities discussed herein. Adrian Day is also President of Global Strategic Management (GSM), a registered investment advisor, and a separate company from this service. In his capacity as GSM president, Adrian Day may be buying or selling for clients securities recommended herein concurrently, before or after recommendations herein, and may be acting for clients in a manner contrary to recommendations herein. This is not a solicitation for GSM. Views herein are the editor’s opinion and not fact. All information is believed to be correct, but its accuracy cannot be guaranteed. The owner and editor are not responsible for errors and omissions. © 2022. Adrian Day’s Global Analyst. Information and advice herein are intended purely for the subscriber’s own account. Under no circumstances may any part of a Global Analyst e-mail be copied or distributed without prior written permission of the editor. Given the nature of this service, we will pursue any violations aggressively.

Disclosures:

1) Adrian Day: I, or members of my immediate household or family, own securities of the following companies mentioned in this article: All. I personally am, or members of my immediate household or family are, paid by the following companies mentioned in this article: None. My company has a financial relationship with the following companies mentioned in this article: None. Funds controlled by Adrian Day Asset Management, which is unaffiliated with Adrian Day’s newsletter, hold shares of the following companies mentioned in this article: All. I determined which companies would be included in this article based on my research and understanding of the sector.

2) The following companies mentioned in this article are billboard sponsors of Streetwise Reports: None. Click here for important disclosures about sponsor fees. The information provided above is for informational purposes only and is not a recommendation to buy or sell any security.

3) Statements and opinions expressed are the opinions of the author and not of Streetwise Reports or its officers. The author is wholly responsible for the validity of the statements. The author was not paid by Streetwise Reports for this article. Streetwise Reports was not paid by the author to publish or syndicate this article. Streetwise Reports requires contributing authors to disclose any shareholdings in, or economic relationships with, companies that they write about. Streetwise Reports relies upon the authors to accurately provide this information and Streetwise Reports has no means of verifying its accuracy.

4) This article does not constitute investment advice. Each reader is encouraged to consult with his or her individual financial professional and any action a reader takes as a result of information presented here is his or her own responsibility. By opening this page, each reader accepts and agrees to Streetwise Reports’ terms of use and full legal disclaimer. This article is not a solicitation for investment. Streetwise Reports does not render general or specific investment advice and the information on Streetwise Reports should not be considered a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Streetwise Reports does not endorse or recommend the business, products, services, or securities of any company mentioned on Streetwise Reports.

5) From time to time, Streetwise Reports LLC and its directors, officers, employees, or members of their families, as well as persons interviewed for articles and interviews on the site, may have a long or short position in the securities mentioned. Directors, officers, employees, or members of their immediate families are prohibited from making purchases and/or sales of those securities in the open market or otherwise from the time of the decision to publish an article until three business days after the publication of the article. The foregoing prohibition does not apply to articles that in substance only restate previously published company release. As of the date of this article, officers and/or employees of Streetwise Reports LLC (including members of their household) own securities of First Majestic Silver Corp., a company mentioned in this article.

What’s program-related investment? A management scholar explains one way that foundations support charities without giving money away for good

By Jessica Jones, University of Tennessee 

Most U.S. foundations seek to preserve the money that funds their grants and operations for the long term. They accomplish this by not giving away more money than they earn as returns on the assets held in their endowments.

By law, foundations must give away or spend on their operations a total of at least 5% of what they hold in endowments every year. In practice, foundations spend more than that on their total grants and expenses – around 8% of their assets in 2018, for example.

One way that foundations can stretch their charitable dollars is by making program-related investments – a philanthropic form of lending. Instead of giving money away, those funds are typically repaid several years later. With this model, foundations can recycle some of their charitable funds by dispatching them again.

The investments may count toward that 5% payout minimum and must, in the IRS’ words, “significantly further the foundation’s exempt activities.”

That means a foundation’s program-related investments, like the money it gives away as grants, must support work that’s in keeping with its charitable goals. Foundations can accomplish this by supporting, for instance, affordable housing, backing cancer research efforts or supporting efforts that are a part of their IRS-authorized mission.

Foundations may also use program-related investments to financially back either nonprofits or for-profit social organizations, also known as social enterprises.

Below-market rates

By injecting funds into organizations that would perhaps otherwise be deemed too risky to attract investment, foundations may use some of their assets as a catalyst that can speed up innovation tied to a cause they support through their grants.

The foundations are free to charge any interest rate they see fit, but must be below-market on a risk-adjusted basis. This keeps the program-related investments focused on the charitable mission rather than the opportunity for gaining a high return on their investment.

Program-related investments are most appropriate for organizations that private investors are unlikely to back due to high risks or expectations of limited financial returns, such as small businesses in low-income neighborhoods.

While program-related investments are intended to be repaid and provide heightened accountability for allocating charitable dollars for both the foundation and its recipient, there are no formal penalties if the money is not repaid. This is because the alternative would have been in the form of a grant, where the money was given with no expectation of repayment in the first place.

Why program-related investments matter

Foundations and other large philanthropic institutions have long faced pressure to do more with their money to advance the causes they support.

As of late 2022, U.S. foundations held a total of more than US$1.1 trillion in their endowments and had relegated some of those assets to program-related investments.

Although this practice was established following passage of a comprehensive tax reform package in 1969, relatively few of the nation’s nearly 130,000 foundations have embraced it.

But many of the largest ones, such as the Rockefeller, MacArthur and Bill and Melinda Gates foundations, do regularly make program-related investments to advance their missions.The Conversation

About the Author:

Jessica Jones, Assistant Professor of Management & Entrepreneurship, University of Tennessee

This article is republished from The Conversation under a Creative Commons license. Read the original article.

 

JPY is growing. Overview for 20.12.2022

By RoboForex.com

The Japanese yen has grown quite a bit against the US dollar. The current quote is 132.60.

At today’s meeting, the BoJ decided to keep the interest rate without a change at -0.10% a year.

What came as a surprise was the announcement of an unlimited purchase of one to five-year bonds. The sum meant to spent on it from now on is 600 billion yen. On one to three-year bonds, three to five-year bonds, and ten to twenty-five year bonds, 100 billion Japanese yen will be spent, respectively. 300 billion yen more will be spent on five to ten-year bonds. Extra bond purchases are scheduled for 22 December.

The Bank plans to react to each bond issuing, to increase purchases, and expand volumes of operations with fixed-rate securities, when necessary. Moreover, the Bank of Japan will set a fixed rate for auctions with ten-year bonds.

For the yen, everything happening is interventions, either open or hidden.

A peculiar situation has formed: the BoJ decided against changing its ultra-soft policy but brought the debt sector out of balance totally, thus supporting the JPY.

Article By RoboForex.com

Attention!
Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex LP bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews.

The Analytical Overview of the Main Currency Pairs on 2022.12.20

By JustMarkets

The EUR/USD currency pair

Technical indicators of the currency pair:
  • Prev Open: 1.0585
  • Prev Close: 1.0606
  • % chg. over the last day: +0.19

European Central Bank Vice President Luis de Guindos said on Monday that the ECB would continue to raise rates in the Eurozone to curb inflation and is not considering revising its own medium-term inflation target of 2%. Germany’s leading Ifo index rose to 88.6 in December from 86.4 in November. The index is now back to levels last seen in the summer. The outlook for Europe’s largest economy is improving despite the energy crisis.

Trading recommendations
  • Support levels: 1.0549, 1.0483, 1.0361, 1.0332, 1.0284, 1.0193
  • Resistance levels: 1.0641, 1.0695

The trend on the EUR/USD currency pair on the hourly time frame is bullish. The price is adjusting to the nearest support levels. The MACD indicator has become inactive, and the price is forming a narrow flat. Under such market conditions, buy trades are best considered from the support level of 1.0549 but with additional confirmation. Sell deals can be considered from the resistance level of 1.0641, but it is better with a confirmation in the form of a reverse initiative or false breakout because the level has already been tested.

Alternative scenario: if the price breaks down through the support level of 1.0446 and fixes below it, the downtrend will likely resume.

EUR/USD
News feed for 2022.12.20:
  • – US Building Permits (m/m) at 15:30 (GMT+2).

The GBP/USD currency pair

Technical indicators of the currency pair:
  • Prev Open: 1.2143
  • Prev Close: 1.2144
  • % chg. over the last day: +0.01 %

UK Chancellor Jeremy Hunt instructed the Office for Budget Responsibility (OBR) to “prepare an economic and fiscal outlook to be presented with the Spring Budget on March 15, 2023. There are no significant events on the economic calendar at the start of the week, so GBP/USD is likely to be dependent on the US dollar index until the UK GDP is released on Thursday. A hawkish Fed forecast is supposed to keep the bulls on the dollar index in play, increasing downward pressure on GBP/USD quotes.

Trading recommendations
  • Support levels: 1.2092, 1.2177, 1.2024, 1.1964, 1.1684, 1.1476, 1.1418
  • Resistance levels: 1.2218, 1.2308, 1.2431, 1.2519

From the technical point of view, the GBP/USD currency pair trend on the hourly time frame is bullish. But the price is trading below the moving averages and is approaching the priority change level. The MACD indicator is in the negative zone, but there are signs of divergence, which indicates some weakness of the sellers. Under such market conditions, it is better to look for buy trades from the support level of 1.2092 but with confirmation on the intraday time frames. Sell trades are best sought from the resistance level of 1.2218 but also better with confirmation.

Alternative scenario: if the price breaks down of the 1.2092 support level and fixes below it, the downtrend will likely resume.

GBP/USD
There is no news feed for today.

The USD/JPY currency pair

Technical indicators of the currency pair:
  • Prev Open: 135.85
  • Prev Close: 136.90
  • % chg. over the last day: +0.77 %

The Bank of Japan shocked the markets by doubling the 10-year bond yield cap, causing the yen to jump and government bonds to fall, which helped pave the way for a possible policy normalization. The Japanese yen strengthened sharply on the back of this news. Kyodo News reported that Japanese Prime Minister Fumio Kishida is considering a more flexible approach to the 2% inflation target. The Central Bank will likely abandon its soft monetary policy when a new governor of the Bank of Japan is appointed in April 2023. A stronger yen could bring some relief to the Japanese economy, which is struggling with high import costs caused by this year’s yen depreciation.

Trading recommendations
  • Support levels: 133.12, 131.54
  • Resistance levels: 134.73, 135.88, 137.03, 138.00, 139.09

From the technical point of view, the medium-term trend on the currency pair USD/JPY is bearish. The price has fallen sharply on the BoJ meeting. The MACD indicator is deeply negative, with no sign of reversal but with a sign of oversold. Buy trades are best considered on intraday time frames from the support level of 133.12, but only with confirmation. Sell deals can be looked for from the resistance level of 134.73, provided there is a reversal.

Alternative scenario: If the price fixes above 139.00, the uptrend will likely resume.

USD/JPY
News feed for 2022.12.20:
  • – Japan BoJ Interest Rate Decision at 05:00 (GMT+2);
  • – Japan BoJ Monetary Policy Statement at 05:00 (GMT+2);
  • – Japan BoJ Press Conference at 05:00 (GMT+2).

The USD/CAD currency pair

Technical indicators of the currency pair:
  • Prev Open: 1.3677
  • Prev Close: 1.3650
  • % chg. over the last day: -0.19 %

Oil prices rose on Monday as optimism over China’s easing COVID-19 restrictions outweighed fears of a global recession affecting energy demand. Oil also received support from the US Department of Energy, which said Friday it would begin buying crude oil for the Strategic Petroleum Reserve. A rise in oil prices is always accompanied by a fall in USD/CAD since the Canadian dollar is a commodity currency.

Trading recommendations
  • Support levels: 1.3601, 1.3521, 1.3438, 1.3386, 1.3360, 1.3281, 1.3212
  • Resistance levels: 1.3700, 1.3776, 1.3855

From the point of view of technical analysis, the trend on the USD/CAD currency pair has changed to bullish. The price is trading above the average lines, but the price has hit a strong resistance level at 1.3700. The MACD indicator has become inactive, but the divergence indicates that the buyers are limited in their potential. Buy trades should be considered only after a breakout and a fixation above 1.3700. Sell deals is better to look for on the intraday time frames from 1.3601, but with a confirmation in the form of a reverse initiative or after a false breakdown.

Alternative scenario: if the price breaks down and consolidates below the support level of 1.3386, the downtrend will likely resume.

USD/CAD
News feed for 2022.12.20:
  • – Canada Retail Sales (m/m) at 15:30 (GMT+2).

By JustMarkets

 

This article reflects a personal opinion and should not be interpreted as an investment advice, and/or offer, and/or a persistent request for carrying out financial transactions, and/or a guarantee, and/or a forecast of future events.