WTI Crude Oil Losing The 45.00 Handle

By Orbex

wti crude oil

Oil prices are trading weaker on Tuesday. The declines come despite the US dollar taking a strong hit.

The move to the downside comes after oil prices failed to make any big moves to the upside.

As a result, WTI crude oil was consolidating around the 45.00 level for a considerable period of time.

After losing this handle, oil prices are likely to push lower. The next key support is near the 43.50 level.

However, we expect the pullback to see prices retracing the 45.00 handle.

If resistance is firmly established here, then we could expect to see further declines down to the 43.50 level.

By Orbex

U.K. approves Pfizer COVID-19 vaccine

By Lukman Otunuga, Research Analyst, ForexTime

The United Kingdom has become the first country in the world to approve the Pfizer/BioNtech Covid-19 vaccine!

This emergency authorization marks a historic moment and clears the way for the deployment of a vaccine that is expected to play a critical role in halting the coronavirus outbreak. Given how the vaccine will be available in Britain from next week, this opens the way for mass immunisation and raises the prospects of the European Union and the United States making a similar move.

Such encouraging news is poised to elevate global risk sentiment as investors become increasingly optimistic over the vaccine speeding up the pace of economic recovery. Equity bulls may be injected with a renewed sense of confidence amid the good news while safe-havens like the Dollar, Japanese Yen and Gold are positioned to weaken.

Battered Dollar gets no love

The Dollar descended deeper into the abyss on Tuesday evening as cautious optimism that the United States will revive stimulus talks fuelled risk appetite. News that the United Kingdom has approved Pfizer’s Covid-19 vaccine weakened the currency further.

Over the past few weeks, there was no love for the Dollar thanks to positive vaccine news, mixed economic data and surging coronavirus cases in the United States. The latest developments regarding U.S Treasury Secretary Steve Mnuchin and House of Representatives Speaker Nancy Pelosi holding fresh stimulus talks have offered some light at the end of the long tunnel. However, markets remain skeptical whether these talks will open the doors to more stimulus, since investors were already left empty handed before the presidential election. Nevertheless, the idea of the United States unleashing further stimulus in 2021 to support the economy has dragged the Dollar Index (DXY) to levels not seen since late April 2018.

The outlook for the Dollar Index remains bearish as the fundamentals and technical align. After experiencing its worst month in November since July, the Dollar has entered December under intense pressure.  Looking at the technical picture, prices have tumbled roughly 0.7% since the start of December and almost 3% this quarter. The DXY is trading around 91.19 as of writing with bears eyeing the 91.00 support level. A solid breakdown below this point could open a path towards 90.00. Alternatively, prices may experience a technical bounce back towards the 92.00 resistance before bears jump back into the game. This bearish setup becomes invalidated once a weekly close above 92.00 is achieved.

EURUSD blasts above 1.2000

In our FX Week Ahead report on Monday, we discussed the possibility of the EURUSD breaking above the 1.2000 psychological resistance level.

The solid breakout and daily close above this key resistance are likely to signal a move towards levels not seen since April 2018 above 1.2150. Should Dollar weakness remain a key theme in December, this may inject Euro bulls with enough inspiration to challenge prices beyond 1.2150. Although the outlook points north, a move back below 1.2000 could signal a decline back towards 1.1900.

GBPUSD secures daily close above 1.3400

It’s not only the Euro that has welcomed a weaker Dollar. The GBPUSD jumped over 100 pips on Tuesday to close above 1.3400. While prices could push higher in the near term, the medium to longer term outlook remains heavily influenced by Brexit. As the clock ticks closer to the official Brexit transition deadline on the 31st of December, the GBPUSD is likely to turn volatile and sensitive. Focusing on the near-term outlook, the upside momentum may drive prices towards 1.3520

AUDUSD find support above 0.7340

Expect the AUDUSD to push higher if the Dollar continues to weaken. Such a development could open the doors towards 0.7413.

Should 0.7340 prove to be unreliable support, the AUDUSD may decline back towards 0.7250.

Disclaimer: The content in this article comprises personal opinions and should not be construed as containing personal and/or other investment advice and/or an offer of and/or solicitation for any transactions in financial instruments and/or a guarantee and/or prediction of future performance. ForexTime (FXTM), its affiliates, agents, directors, officers or employees do not guarantee the accuracy, validity, timeliness or completeness, of any information or data made available and assume no liability as to any loss arising from any investment based on the same.


Forex-Time-LogoArticle by ForexTime

ForexTime Ltd (FXTM) is an award winning international online forex broker regulated by CySEC 185/12 www.forextime.com

Platinum Begins A New Rally – Gold & Silver Will Follow

By TheTechnicalTraders 

– My researcher team and I have highlighted a number of recent articles about Gold and Silver and how we believed the longer-term price activity and technical analysis supported a broad market advance in Precious Metals over the next 5+ years.  If not, check out Part I and Part II of our recent Gold and Silver research and price predictions.

Today, we are seeing further evidence that metals are on the move – in Platinum. Platinum has been trading below $1000 for quite a while and this is roughly HALF the price level of Gold.  Typically, Platinum rallies before Gold rallies in a traditional trending phase.  Platinum rallies because it is used in industrial and other fields – thus it rallies in an advanced market rally phase.  Gold begins to rally when a certain level of fear enters the markets or the markets enter a depreciation phase.

Currently, we are watching Platinum rally above $1000 for the first time since August 2020 and it appears new all-time highs in Platinum are on the horizon.  This suggests Gold and Silver will follow this upward trend in another rally phase and attempt to set new all-time highs as well.

DAILY PLATINUM BREAKOUT PENDING

This Daily Platinum chart highlights the Rounded Bottom formation that setup between September and November 2020 after the August highs peaked out near $1020.  The recent rally in Platinum has begun to accelerate and we believe an upside breakout move is pending.  This may prompt Platinum to rally above $1250 or more over the next few weeks/months.

THE WEEKLY PLATINUM CHART

This Weekly Platinum Chart highlights the broader market trend in Platinum and the resistance level (RED LINE) that is currently about to be broken.  Once this resistance level is breached, a bigger upside move may begin where Platinum may target $1250 or higher fairly quickly.

As you can see from We believe this move in precious metals aligns with our previous research that a broader market Depreciation phase has set up in the global markets.  We believe precious metals are about 24 months into a 100+ month broad market depreciation cycle.  This means that we may see a rally in metals that lasts for several more years.

As many of you may already know, we love the metals and we love to apply our technical analysis skills and pattern research onto these charts.  Could you imagine the scope of the rally that is setting up in Platinum mirrors the 2003 to 2010 price rally – just waiting for this breakout pattern to complete?

Get ready because this could be one of the biggest upside price moves in precious metals in over a decade.   Sign up now to get a pre-market video every day before the opening bell that walks you through the charts and my proprietary technical analysis of all of the major assets classes. You will also receive my easy-to-follow ETF swing trades that always include an entry price, a stop, two exit targets, as well as a recommended position sizing.

Our signals can help you preserve and even grow your long term capital. If you have any type of long-term or buy-and-hold account and are looking for signals as to when to own equities, bonds, or cash, be sure to become a member of my Long-Term ETF Investing Signals, which includes a weekly market update and trade alerts to catch big market rotations.

Chris Vermeulen
Chief Market Strategist
www.TheTechnicalTraders.com

NOTICE AND DISCLAIMER: Our free research does not constitute a trade recommendation or solicitation for readers to take any action regarding this research.  We are not registered financial advisors and provide our research for educational and informational purposes only. Read our FULL DISCLAIMER here.

 

Ichimoku Cloud Analysis 01.12.2020 (BTCUSD, USDCAD, GOLD)

Article By RoboForex.com

BTCUSD, “Bitcoin vs US Dollar”

BTCUSD is trading at 19,402 above the Ichimoku Cloud, suggesting an uptrend. A test of the signal lines of the indicator at 19,205 is expected, followed by growth to 20,845. An additional signal confirming the growth will be a bounce off the lower border of the Triangle pattern. The growth will be canceled in the case of a breakaway of the lower border of the Cloud and securing under 17,475, which will mean further decline to 16,705. The growth will be confirmed by a breakaway of the upper border of the Triangle and securing above 19,885.

BTCUSD
Risk Warning: the result of previous trading operations do not guarantee the same results in the future

USDCAD, “US Dollar vs Canadian Dollar”

USDCAD is trading at 1.2965 under the Ichimoku Cloud, indicating a downtrend. A test of the upper border of the Cloud near 1.2985 is expected, followed by falling to 1.2875. An additional signal confirming the falling will be a bounce off the upper border of the descending channel. The decline will be canceled in the case of a breakaway of the upper border of the Cloud and securing above 1.3005, which will mean further growth to 1.3095.

USDCAD
Risk Warning: the result of previous trading operations do not guarantee the same results in the future

XAUUSD, “Gold vs US Dollar”

GOLD is trading at 1785 under the Ichimoku Cloud, indicating a downtrend. A test of the upper border of the Cloud near 1790 is expected, followed by falling to 1735. An additional signal confirming the falling will be a bounce off the resistance level. The decline will be canceled in the case of a breakaway of the upper border of the Cloud and securing above 1805, which will mean further growth to 1845.

XAUUSD

Article By RoboForex.com

Attention!
Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex LP bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews.

Second passport demand surges by 50% amid Covid-19 restrictions

By George Prior

– National lockdowns, closed borders and travel restrictions have helped drive up enquiries for second passports, citizenships and overseas residencies by more than 50% year-on-year, reveals one of the world’s largest independent financial advisory firms.

deVere Group, which has more than 100,000 clients globally, reports that this highly unusual year has seen demand for its residency and citizen service “skyrocket.”

The majority of enquiries are from high–net-worth individuals from the U.S., India, South Africa, Russia, the Middle East and East Asia who are seeking alternative options in Europe and the Commonwealth.

Nigel Green, the founder and CEO of deVere Group, says: “Previously, a second passport, citizenship or residency were regarded by many as the ultimate luxury item; a status symbol like yachts, supercars and original artwork.

“While this still remains the case, there’s also been a shift due to the pandemic.

“Now, second citizenship or overseas residency are increasingly becoming not just a ‘nice to have accessory’ but a ‘must have.’

“Whether it be for personal reasons, such as to remain with loved ones overseas or be able to visit them, or for business reasons, a growing number of people are seeking ways to secure their freedom of movement as they have faced travel restrictions which are, typically, based on citizenship.”

He continues: “The pandemic has served as a major catalyst for demand which skyrocketed this year. It has focused minds to secure that second passport or elite residency.

“However, the appeal for is broader than just the global Covid-19 crisis.

“Increasingly people prefer the concept of being a global citizen, rather than being solely tied to the country of their birth.

“They too value the many associated benefits including visa-free travel, world-class education, optimal healthcare, political and economic stability, reduced tax liabilities and wider business and career opportunities.”

Every host country has different criteria for granting citizenship, including time spent in the country, being able to prove the legal source of funds and no criminal records.

For example, Portugal’s residency program requires only two weeks every two years of residency to gain the benefits, including the right to live, work, study and open a business there, as well as travel across the 26 countries of Europe’s Schengen area.

“More and more nations are running citizenship-by-investment programs, in which applicants invest an amount of money in a sponsoring country typically in high-end, new-build real estate developments in exchange for permanent residency, citizenship, or both,” affirms James Minns, deVere’s Head of Residency & Citizenship.

“These programmes, which high-net-worth individuals regard as invaluable insurance, are typically based on property investments that start from 250,000 EUR.”

Nigel Green concludes: “These highly unusual times have fuelled the surge in demand for second passports.

“The pandemic has brought into sharp focus what really matters to people: family, freedom and security.”

About:

deVere Group is one of the world’s largest independent advisors of specialist global financial solutions to international, local mass affluent, and high-net-worth clients.  It has a network of more than 70 offices across the world, over 80,000 clients and $12bn under advisement.

Japanese Candlesticks Analysis 01.12.2020 (USDCAD, AUDUSD, USDCHF)

Article By RoboForex.com

USDCAD, “US Dollar vs Canadian Dollar”

On H4, the pair keeps developing a downtrend. At this stage, the pair has formed several reversal patterns, including a Harami. The signal of the reversal pattern might drive the price down to the support level. Thus the quotations will continue the descending dynamics, aiming at 1.2850.

USDCAD
Risk Warning: the result of previous trading operations do not guarantee the same results in the future

AUDUSD, “Australian Dollar vs US Dollar”

On H4, the pair has kicked off realizing a reversal Engulfing pattern. At this stage, the pair remains inside the ascending channel. Bouncing off the support level, the pair might develop another ascending impulse. The aim of the growth will be on the next resistance level – 0.7475. However, the quotations might still return to 0.7300 before further growth.

AUDUSD
Risk Warning: the result of previous trading operations do not guarantee the same results in the future

USDCHF, “US Dollar vs Swiss Franc”

On H4, the pair keeps declining inside the descending channel. After a correction, the price has formed several reversal patterns, including a Harami, near the resistance level. Currently, the quotations have started realizing the signals of the reversal patterns, which means the downtrend keeps developing. Th aim of the decline is the support level near 0.9015. Then the quotations might head for the lower border of the descending channel. Nonetheless, the quotations might return to 0.9125 before falling.

USDCHF

Article By RoboForex.com

Attention!
Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex LP bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews.

The Analytical Overview of the Main Currency Pairs on 2020.12.01

by JustForex

The EUR/USD currency pair

Technical indicators of the currency pair:
  • Prev Open: 1.1960
  • Prev Close: 1.1925
  • % chg. over the last day: -0.29%

Yesterday, the EUR/USD pair was traded in a downtrend and showed -0.29%. An uptrend is observed on the chart, which indicates the predominance of purchases on this asset. On the hourly timeframe, the price is being traded above the moving average MA 200. On the H4 timeframe, the situation is similar. The MACD indicator is currently in the negative zone on H1 and in the positive one on H4. Based on the above, it is worth considering only buy positions while the price is above MA 200 on H1.

Trading recommendations
  • Support levels: 1.1939, 1.1921, 1.1905, 1.1815
  • Resistance levels: 1.2000

The main scenario for trading EUR/USD is looking for buy entry points. The best thing is to look for buy entry points when the price rolls back to the trend line and to the level of 1.1939. With the opening of long positions, quotes can go to the level of 1.2000.

Alternative scenario: if the price fixes below the level of 1.1939 on the H1 timeframe and below MA 200 on H1, it is likely that the currency pair may decline to 1.1905.

EUR/USD
News feed for 2020.12.01:
  • – German manufacturing PMI at 10:55;
  • – Unemployment Change in Germany at 10:55;
  • – Consumer Price Index in the Eurozone at 12:00;
  • – Speech by the Federal Reserve System Chairman Powell at 17:00;
  • – Manufacturing PMI in the US at 17:00;
  • – Speech by the ECB President Lagarde at 19:00.

The GBP/USD currency pair

Technical indicators of the currency pair:
  • Prev Open: 1.3325
  • Prev Close: 1.3322
  • % chg. over the last day: 0%

Yesterday, the GBP/USD currency pair was traded in the range of 1.3300 – 1.3386 and showed 0%. On the hourly chart, GBP/USD is being traded above the moving average MA 200 H1. The situation is similar on the four-hour chart. The MACD indicator is in the positive zone at H1. There is still an uptrend. Based on the above, it’s probably worth holding to bull trading and as long as the currency pair remains above MA 200 H1, it’s necessary to look for buy entry points.

Trading recommendations
  • Support levels: 1.3315, 1.3263, 1.3195, 1.3105
  • Resistance levels: 1.3398, 1.3482

The main scenario: look for buy entry points. The pair is now in the consolidation, the borders of which are 1.3300 – 1.3400. Buying an asset can be considered when the price rolls back to the trend line and a buy signal is generated on lower timeframes. With the opening of long positions, quotes can go to the level of 1.3398. If the price fixes above the level of 1.3398, the quotes may go to the level of 1.3482. It is also worth noting that divergence is observed on the MACD on the H4 timeframe. This may signal the beginning of a pair correction.

Alternative scenario: if the price fixes below the level of 1.3315, then the asset may fall to 1.3195.

GBP/USD
News feed for 2020.12.01:
  • – UK manufacturing PMI at 11:30;
  • – Speech by the Federal Reserve System Chairman Powell at 17:00;
  • – US manufacturing PMI at 17:00.

The USD/JPY currency pair

Technical indicators of the currency pair:
  • Prev Open: 104.07
  • Prev Close: 104.31
  • % chg. over the last day: +0.23%

Yesterday, the USD/JPY currency pair managed to fix above the level of 104.22 and closed the day with a result of +0.23%. On the hourly chart, the currency pair has fixed above the moving average MA 200. On the four-hour chart, the price is below MA 200. MACD indicator on H1 is in the positive zone. Based on the above, you can try to look for buy entry points on corrections on lower timeframes. It is worth keeping track of how the price will test MA200 on the H4 timeframe.

Trading recommendations
  • Support levels: 104.22, 103.84, 103.65
  • Resistance levels: 104.75, 105.12

The main scenario: consider selling an asset. It is best to look for entry points on price corrections on lower timeframes. The potential move is to the level of 104.75.

An alternative scenario assumes consolidation below 104.22 with a further fall to 103.84.

USD/JPY
News feed for 2020.12.01:
  • – Speech by the Federal Reserve System Chairman Powell at 17:00;
  • – US Manufacturing PMI at 17:00.

The USD/CAD currency pair

Technical indicators of the currency pair:
  • Prev Open: 1.2993
  • Prev Close: 1.3008
  • % chg. over the last day: +0.11%

Yesterday, the USD/CAD currency pair was traded in an uptrend and closed with a result of + 0.11%. On the H1 timeframe, USD/CAD is below the moving average MA 200. On the four-hour chart, the price is below the moving average. Based on the above, it is worth considering selling an asset. It is also worth paying attention to the divergence on H1.

Trading recommendations
  • Support levels: 1.2928
  • Resistance levels: 1.2985, 1.3010,1.3028, 1.3091, 1.3117, 1.3172

The main scenario: we recommend considering the sale of an asset. If the price breaks through and fixes below the level of 1.2928, it is better to look for a sell entry point.

Alternative scenario: if the price can break through the level of 1.3010 and fix above the 200 moving average of the period on H1, you can consider a buy position to the level of 1.3091.

USD/CAD
News feed for 2020.12.01:
  • – GDP of Canada at 15:30;
  • – Speech by the Federal Reserve System Chairman Powell at 17:00;
  • – US Manufacturing PMI at 17:00.

by JustForex

 

This article reflects a personal opinion and should not be interpreted as an investment advice, and/or offer, and/or a persistent request for carrying out financial transactions, and/or a guarantee, and/or a forecast of future events.

Technical Outlook: Yen Crosses in focus

By Lukman Otunuga, Research Analyst, ForexTime

The mood across financial markets brightened on Tuesday morning amid positive factory data from China and more good news on the vaccine front. Asian stocks and U.S futures climbed as investors shrugged off the weak cues from Wallstreet overnight. Given the growing optimism over a potential coronavirus vaccine speeding up the pace of economic recovery, investors are willing to look past the surging cases in the United States to focus on life after the pandemic.

Our currency spotlight this week swings on the Japanese Yen which has been titled a trade’s best friend in times of uncertainty. But it’s no surprise that the Yen has weakened against every single G10 currency today amid the market optimism and improving clarity over the political situation in the U.S. Although mixed comments from Fed Chair Jerome Powell and US Treasury Secretary Steve Mnuchin slightly dampened sentiment, the overall market mood remains upbeat – ultimately impacting safe-havens.

Focusing on the technicals, the final month of 2020 could be rough for the Yen if risk-on remains the name of the game. Although the USDJPY remains in a bearish trend on the daily charts, a broadly weaker Yen could instill bulls with enough inspiration to challenge the 104.80 resistance level. Until then, the technicals remain in favour of bears as there have been consistently lower lows and lower highs while the MACD trades to the downside. Should 104.80 prove to be tough resistance, prices may decline back towards 104.00 and 103.26, respectively.

EURJPY edges towards 125.00

One just can’t help but feel that the EURJPY is waiting for a catalyst. Prices are trading within a wide range with support at 123.00 and resistance around 125.00. A breakout/down could be around the corner with the fundamentals potentially sparking the move. Should the depreciate amid the risk-on mood, this may propel the EURJPY towards 125.50 and 127.00, respectively. Alternatively, sustained weakness below 125.00 may open the doors back towards 123.00.

GBPJPY eyes 140.00 level

The GBPJPY remains in a healthy bullish trend on the daily charts. A weaker Yen may inject GBPJPY bulls with enough confidence to challenge the 140.00 resistance level. Should prices secure a daily close above this point, the next key point of interest will be found around 141.400. Alternatively, if 140.00 proves to be a tough nut to crack, prices are likely to decline back towards the 137.50 support.

AUDJPY presses against 77.00

The AUDJPY is rangebound on the daily charts. However, a solid breakout above the 77.00 level could open the doors towards 78.30. Alternatively, sustained weakness below 77.00 could trigger a decline back towards 75.40 and 74.00, respectively.

Disclaimer: The content in this article comprises personal opinions and should not be construed as containing personal and/or other investment advice and/or an offer of and/or solicitation for any transactions in financial instruments and/or a guarantee and/or prediction of future performance. ForexTime (FXTM), its affiliates, agents, directors, officers or employees do not guarantee the accuracy, validity, timeliness or completeness, of any information or data made available and assume no liability as to any loss arising from any investment based on the same.


Forex-Time-LogoArticle by ForexTime

ForexTime Ltd (FXTM) is an award winning international online forex broker regulated by CySEC 185/12 www.forextime.com

Chinese economy demonstrates its strength

by JustForex

In November, China’s manufacturing sector demonstrated the strongest growth in a decade, signaling an economic recovery after the Covid-19 outbreak. The Caixin Manufacturing PMI rose to 54.9 in November from 53.6 in October. A score above 50 indicates sector expansion.

Manufacturing companies announced that the manufacturing has grown at the fastest pace in a decade as a result of new orders as well as further recovery from the Covid-19-related disruptions that have been observed earlier this year.

New orders also grew the most in a decade, fueled by the rise of domestic demand.

The growth of new export activities was not as noticeable as the growth of the total number of new orders. Strong macrostatistics make China a more attractive country for investment, which in turn creates an inflow of capital into assets.

The politician of the Bank of England Sylvanas Tenreiro said the main economic boost from progress in COVID-19 vaccine development will come only when vaccinations start, and the Bank of England must prevent the market interest rates from rising that threaten the economic recovery.

It was said that progress in vaccine development would mitigate one of the biggest risks of deteriorating of the Bank of England economic forecasts in the medium-term perspective, and households could postpone spending until vaccines actually reduce health risks. Based on her announcement, vaccination will boost the recovery, which will have a good impact on the investment environment in the country.

Crude oil prices are declining amid uncertainty as to whether OPEC + will agree to extend its major production cuts in negotiations. Correction of WTI crude oil is expected to the level of 43.50.

Market indicators

On Friday, the American market closed with a decline in indices. The DOW fell 0.91%, NASDAQ -0.06%, S&P 500 -0.46%.

The dollar index maintains a downward trend and is trading at 91.7.

The 10-year government bonds yield remains stable at 0.84%.

It is worth paying attention to the news feed for today. At this time, we recommend traders to be careful when making transactions due to the increased volatility.

The news feed for 2020.12.01:
  • – German Manufacturing PMI at 10:55 (GMT + 2);
  • – Unemployment Change in Germany at 10:55 (GMT + 2);
  • – UK Manufacturing PMI at 11:30 (GMT + 2);
  • – Eurozone Consumer Price Index at 12:00 (GMT + 2);
  • – GDP in Canada at 15:30 (GMT + 2);
  • – Speech by the Federal Reserve System Chairman Powell at 17:00(GMT + 2);
  • – US Manufacturing PMI at 17:00 (GMT + 2);
  • – Speech by ECB President Lagarde at 19:00 (GMT + 2).

by JustForex

 

This article reflects a personal opinion and should not be interpreted as an investment advice, and/or offer, and/or a persistent request for carrying out financial transactions, and/or a guarantee, and/or a forecast of future events.

Taking stock: Equity bulls wishing for mo’ of November

By Han Tan, Market Analyst, ForexTime

US stocks fell on Monday, with the dip capping the end of an otherwise spectacular November for equities. The S&P 500 posted a 10.75 percent advance in November, its largest monthly gain since April, while the Dow Jones index’s 11.84 percent advance was its biggest jump for a single month since January 1987!

 

Given such lofty heights, it was only natural that the momentum would ease. After all, from the smallest ripples to the largest tsunamis, they all eventually break.

Still, it’s important to take stock of the massive surge in equities for the month. The MSCI ACWI index, which measures the performance of global stocks, posted an unprecedented monthly gain of 12.21 percent; its largest single-month climb on record.

Equity markets clearly took the contentious US election in stride, and risk-on sentiment was sent surging as several Covid-19 vaccine candidates took massive strides towards being ready for rollout. Intriguingly, all of these positive developments surrounding the vaccine came on a Monday; at least for the past four consecutive Mondays.

As investors began pricing in a post-pandemic world, sending them flocking to stocks that had been left devastated by the pandemic, that rotation gave fresh legs to US benchmark indices.

However, the rotation play came at the expense of pandemic-darlings in the tech sector, causing the latter to underperform. Still, that didn’t mean tech counters were going to miss out on any of the fun. The Nasdaq 100 index also can boast of a double-digit monthly advance, though last month’s 11 percent was just 0.05 percentage points shy of the monthly gain registered for August.

And the Nasdaq 100 looks set to climb higher into unprecedented territory before 2020 is over, with futures pointing north at the time of writing.

 

Yet it looks like a new risk-on wave is forming at the onset of December, with S&P 500 futures climbing during the Asian session on Tuesday. Recall that the S&P 500 posted a new record high on November 27th, before Monday’s slip. And the rally doesn’t appear to be quite over.

 

The upside for US stocks is further bolstered by the ultra-accommodative stance by the Federal Reserve, with Fed chair Jerome Powell like to reiterate that the central bank will do all it can to aid the US economic recovery. Powell is set for a hearing before the Senate Banking Committee later on Tuesday.

Although the still-rising Covid-19 cases in the US presents some near-term downside risks, markets are willing to look past that trend and focus on the prospects of life after Covid-19. As long as such hopes are not doused, equities are set to find plenty more suitors to chase prices higher.

 

Disclaimer: The content in this article comprises personal opinions and should not be construed as containing personal and/or other investment advice and/or an offer of and/or solicitation for any transactions in financial instruments and/or a guarantee and/or prediction of future performance. ForexTime (FXTM), its affiliates, agents, directors, officers or employees do not guarantee the accuracy, validity, timeliness or completeness, of any information or data made available and assume no liability as to any loss arising from any investment based on the same.


Forex-Time-LogoArticle by ForexTime

ForexTime Ltd (FXTM) is an award winning international online forex broker regulated by CySEC 185/12 www.forextime.com