Archive for Forex and Currency News – Page 192

Ichimoku Cloud Analysis 20.12.2021 (EURUSD, AUDUSD, BRENT)

Article By RoboForex.com

EURUSD, “Euro vs US Dollar”

EURUSD is trading at 1.1253; the instrument is moving below Ichimoku Cloud, thus indicating a descending tendency. The markets could indicate that the price may test Tenkan-Sen and Kijun-Sen at 1.1265 and then resume moving downwards to reach 1.1145. Another signal in favour of a further downtrend will be a rebound from the downside border of the Triangle pattern. However, the bearish scenario may no longer be valid if the price breaks the cloud’s upside border and fixes above 1.1325. In this case, the pair may continue growing towards 1.1415. To confirm further decline, the asset must break the support level and fix below 1.1205.

EURUSD
Risk Warning: the result of previous trading operations do not guarantee the same results in the future

AUDUSD, “Australian Dollar vs US Dollar”

AUDUSD is trading at 0.7105; the instrument is moving inside Ichimoku Cloud, thus indicating a sideways tendency. The markets could indicate that the price may test the cloud’s upside border at 0.7125 and then resume moving downwards to reach 0.6965. Another signal in favour of a further downtrend will be a rebound from the rising channel’s downside border. However, the bearish scenario may no longer be valid if the price breaks the cloud’s upside border and fixes above 0.7190. In this case, the pair may continue growing towards 0.7280.

AUDUSD
Risk Warning: the result of previous trading operations do not guarantee the same results in the future

BRENT

Brent is trading at 71.00; the instrument is moving below Ichimoku Cloud, thus indicating a descending tendency. The markets could indicate that the price may test Tenkan-Sen and Kijun-Sen at 73.05 and then resume moving downwards to reach 63.45. Another signal in favour of a further downtrend will be a rebound from the descending channel’s upside border. However, the bearish scenario may no longer be valid if the price breaks the cloud’s upside border and fixes above 75.65. In this case, the pair may continue growing towards 77.65.

BRENT

Article By RoboForex.com

Attention!
Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex LP bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews.

Murrey Math Lines 20.12.2021 (EURUSD, GBPUSD)

Article By RoboForex.com

EURUSD, “Euro vs US Dollar”

As we can see in the H4 chart, EURUSD is trading not from the “oversold area”. In this case, the price is expected to rebound from 0/8 and then resume growing to reach the resistance at 2/8. Still, this scenario may no longer be valid if the price breaks 0/8 to the downside. After that, the instrument may fall towards the support at -2/8.

EURUSDH4
Risk Warning: the result of previous trading operations do not guarantee the same results in the future

In the M15 chart, the pair may break the upside line of the VoltyChannel indicator and, as a result, continue its growth.

EURUSD_M15
Risk Warning: the result of previous trading operations do not guarantee the same results in the future

GBPUSD, “Great Britain Pound vs US Dollar”

In the H4 chart, GBPUSD is trading below the 200-day Moving Average, thus indicating a descending tendency. In this case, the price is still expected to test 4/8, break it, and then continue falling towards the support at 3/8. However, this scenario may no longer be valid if the price breaks 5/8 to the upside. After that, the instrument may correct to reach the resistance at 6/8.

GBPUSD_H4
Risk Warning: the result of previous trading operations do not guarantee the same results in the future

As we can see in the M15 chart, the pair has broken the downside line of the VoltyChannel indicator and, as a result, may continue trading downwards.

GBPUSD_M15

Article By RoboForex.com

Attention!
Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex LP bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews.

The Analytical Overview of the Main Currency Pairs on 2021.12.20

by JustForex

The EUR/USD currency pair

Technical indicators of the currency pair:
  • Prev Open: 1.1329
  • Prev Close: 1.1236
  • % chg. over the last day: -0.83%

The German producer price index, which shows the inflation rate between factories and large companies, reached a new absolute record of 19.2% on an annualized basis. High energy prices remain a major factor in the rise in inflation. Energy prices increased by 49.4% this year due to a strong increase in natural gas prices of 83.4%. Spain’s inflation rate reached 5.5%. This is less than forecast, but inflation is at its highest level in 29 years, and it is rising faster than wages. The consumer price index in the Eurozone remained at 4.9% as expected.

Trading recommendations
  • Support levels: 1.1230, 1.1168
  • Resistance levels: 1.1265, 1.1323, 1.1360, 1.1436, 1.1535, 1.1613, 1.1667, 1.1717

From a technical point of view, the EUR/USD on the hour time frame is still bearish. The price is trading in a wide corridor. Against the background of a sharp strengthening of the dollar index on Friday, the EUR/USD quotes fell sharply. The MACD indicator has become negative, sellers’ pressure prevails. Under such market conditions, traders should consider sell positions from the resistance levels around the moving average. Buy trades can be considered on the lower time frames after the price fixes above the level of 1.1265.

Alternative scenario: if the price breaks out through the 1.1360 resistance level and fixes above, the mid-term uptrend will likely resume.

EUR/USD
There is no news feed for today.

The GBP/USD currency pair

Technical indicators of the currency pair:
  • Prev Open: 1.3318
  • Prev Close: 1.3235
  • % chg. over the last day: -0.63%

UK retail sales increased by 1.4% in November; a rise of 0.8% was expected. Omicron strain infections in the UK continue to rise before the Christmas holidays. Official figures show a 52% increase in illnesses over the past week. Across the country, Premier League games, which have always been considered the most popular entertainment for Brits over the Christmas vacations, have begun to be canceled.

Trading recommendations
  • Support levels: 1.3220, 1.3189
  • Resistance levels: 1.3272, 1.3301, 1.3365, 1.3434, 1.3507, 1.3575, 1.3685

On the hourly time frame, the trend on GBP/USD is still bullish. But the rise in the dollar index led to the weakening of the British currency. The MACD indicator has become negative, sellers’ pressure prevails. Under such market conditions, traders should consider buy positions from the nearest support levels but only with additional confirmation in the form of a buyers’ initiative. Sell trades can be considered from the resistance levels near the moving average.

Alternative scenario: if the price breaks down through the 1.3189 support level and consolidates below, the bearish scenario will likely resume.

GBP/USD
There is no news feed for today.

The USD/JPY currency pair

Technical indicators of the currency pair:
  • Prev Open: 113.62
  • Prev Close: 113.70
  • % chg. over the last day: +0.07%

From a fundamental point of view, the monetary policy of the Bank of Japan is aimed at active economic stimulation, while the US Federal Reserve, on the contrary, accelerated the reduction of the quantitative easing program last week. Such a situation is in favor of further growth of USD/JPY quotes.

Trading recommendations
  • Support levels: 113.30, 112.62, 112.30
  • Resistance levels: 113.95, 114.17, 115.15, 115.50

The global trend on the USD/JPY currency pair is bearish. The price failed to break out through the f priority change level and again returned to the wide corridor. Under such market conditions, traders can look for sell positions from the resistance level of 113.95, but with additional confirmation. Buy positions should be considered from the 113.30 support level, but with additional confirmation in the form of a buyers’ initiative or after the price breaks out the priority change level.

Alternative scenario: if the price rises above 114.17, the uptrend will likely resume.

USD/JPY
There is no news feed for today.

The USD/CAD currency pair

Technical indicators of the currency pair:
  • Prev Open: 1.2773
  • Prev Close: 1.2887
  • % chg. over the last day: +0.89%

Federal Reserve officials said Friday that the first interest rate hike may come as soon as March. Investors began to shift their portfolios back to “cash”, which led to an increase in the dollar index. The rise in the dollar led to a decline in major currencies against the US dollar. The Canadian dollar is a commodity currency, so it is highly correlated with both the dollar index and oil prices. Oil prices are declining sharply amid the rapid spread of the Omicron strain. All of these factors are weakening the Canadian currency.

Trading recommendations
  • Support levels: 1.2828, 1.2721, 1.2677, 1.2638
  • Resistance levels: 1.2918, 1.2951

From a technical point of view, the USD/CAD currency pair trend is bullish. The MACD indicator has become positive, the buyers’ pressure has increased, there are no signs of reversal at the moment. Under such market conditions, it is better to look for buy deals from the support levels near the moving average on the lower time frames. Sell deals should be considered from the false breakout area, but with additional confirmation in the form of a sellers’ initiative.

Alternative scenario: if the price breaks down through the 1.2766 support level and fixes below, the downtrend will likely resume.

USD/CAD
There is no news feed for today.

by JustForex

 

This article reflects a personal opinion and should not be interpreted as an investment advice, and/or offer, and/or a persistent request for carrying out financial transactions, and/or a guarantee, and/or a forecast of future events.

The dollar index is rising amid the Fed’s statements about the imminent increase in interest rates

by JustForex

Last week, investors were focused on the decision of the central banks in the United States, Great Britain, Switzerland, Japan, the Eurozone, and closely watched inflation data in European countries, Great Britain, and Canada. Following Wednesday’s FOMC meeting, the US Federal Reserve doubled the pace of reducing the quantitative easing program to $30 billion a month. At the same time, Fed officials forecast 3 rate hikes in 2022 and 3 rate hikes in 2023. On Thursday, the Bank of England unexpectedly raised its key rate to 0.25% from 0.1%. At the same time, the central bank has left the volume of the program of state bond purchase at the level of 875 billion pounds.

The European Central Bank left monetary policy unchanged but raised its inflation forecasts and lowered expectations for economic growth in 2022 because of the Omicron option. The Swiss National Bank (SNB) stayed true to its ultra-soft monetary policy, deviating from its tightening course. As for inflation, the consumer price index and the producer price index broke records in nearly all countries.

It is not surprising that more and more central banks are turning to more aggressive measures to fight inflation, from cutting stimulus programs to raising interest rates. Federal Reserve officials said on Friday that the first interest-rate hike could come as soon as March. Investors began shifting their portfolios back to the “cash,” which led to an increase in the dollar index and a decrease in the stock indices quotes.

The US stock market closed in the red area on Friday. The Financial sector fell by 2% as 10-year yields fell below 1.4% due to concerns about the impact of the Omicron strain. The Dow Jones index (US30) decreased by 1.48% (-1.65% for the week), the S&P 500 index (US500) decreased by 1.03% (-1.90% for the week), and the NASDAQ technology index (US100) lost 0.07% and became the leader of the fall for the week (-2.89%) among US indices.

A Goldman Sachs study found that the US stock market has grown very disproportionately over the past year. The giants TSLA, NVDA, GOOGL, MSFT, and AAPL showed 35% growth in the S&P 500 index. And if you look at April, they gave a total of 50%. FB and AMZN increased slightly, and the remaining 493 companies in the index traded within +-2% over the past year.

At the end of each year, the largest investment companies evaluate the prospects for markets and give forecasts for the main stock indices. JPMorgan Chase Bank predicts growth in the US stock market next year. Analysts expect the rise of the S&P 500 index (US500) to 5050 points. The potential growth from current levels is about 8%. The chief strategist of Goldman Sachs, David Kostin, expects that by the end of 2022, the S&P 500 (US500) index will rise to 5100 points (+9%) due to the continued growth of corporate earnings. Morgan Stanley expects the S&P 500 (US500) index to decline to 4,400 points over the next 12 months.

Pharmaceutical company Pfizer expects sales of the Covid-19 vaccine to be about $31 billion in 2022.

The World Health Organization said a variant of the Omicron coronavirus had been detected in 89 countries. According to the study, the probability of re-infection with Omicron is five times higher than that of the Delta. Scientists predict that Omicron will lead to record hospitalizations and tremendous strain on health care systems in all countries.

European stock indexes were traded without a single dynamic on Friday. British FTSE 100 (UK100) gained 0.13% on Friday (-0.30% for the week), German DAX (DE40) decreased by 0.67% (-0.78% for the week), Spanish IBEX 35 (ES35) decreased by 0.82% (-0.78% for the week) and French CAC 40 (FR40) lost 1.12% and became the leader of the fall among the main European indices.

France’s consumer price index increased to 2.8% in November. According to INSEE, the main reasons for the increase were energy prices, industrial goods, and services. Spain’s inflation rate reached 5.5%. This is lower than forecast, but the overall picture remains the same: inflation is at its highest level in 29 years and is rising faster than wages. Germany’s statistical data showed that producer price inflation reached its highest level since 1951 at 19.2%.

Consumer prices in the Eurozone remained at a 4.9% level. Omicron strain infections continue to rise in the UK. The Netherlands imposed a lockdown until January 16 due to an increase in Omicron cases: stores, bars, restaurants, and other public places of prime necessity will be closed from December 19.

The EU has extended sanctions against Russia for six months.

Asian markets mostly traded in negative territory on Friday. Japan’s Nikkei 225 (JP225) decreased by 1.79% (-0.56% for the week), Hong Kong’s Hang Seng (HK50) decreased by 1.20% (-4.33% for the week), and Australia’s S&P/ASX 200 (AU200) added 0.11% (-0.67% for the week). China’s central bank cut its benchmark interest rate for the first time since the pandemic. The People’s Bank of China cut the one-year lending rate to 3.8% from 3.85%. The five-year lending rate remained unchanged from the previous month at 4.65%. In China, domestic gasoline and diesel prices have been lowered since December 18.

At the commodities market, futures on orange juice (+9.03%), timber (+1.85%), and palladium (+1.5%) showed the biggest gains by the end of the week. Futures on natural gas (-6.52%), Brent oil (-3.03%), sugar (-2.94%), and WTI crude oil (-2.13%) showed the biggest drop.

Oil prices fell again last week, and gold closed above $1,800 a troy ounce for the first time in a month. The decline in oil prices has been attributed to Omicron fears, leading to a drop in fuel demand and last week’s sharp drop in crude inventories. Gold ended the week with 1.1% growth, its highest weekly gain since early November. The rise in gold came after the Federal Reserve announced its heightened concern over inflation in the US and began cutting the QE program more quickly while scheduling several interest rate hikes next year. On the one hand, this should, on the contrary, have led to a decline in gold prices. But because of high inflation and low prices for the “yellow metal,” investors began to buy gold again as a hedge against inflation.

Main market quotes:

S&P 500 (F) (US500) 4,620.64 −48.03 (−11.03%)

Dow Jones (US30) 35,365.44 −532.20 (−11.48%)

DAX (DE40) 15,531.69 −104.71 (−10.67%)

FTSE 100 (UK100) 7,269.92 +9.31 (+0.13%)

USD Index 96.57 +0.63 (+0.66%)

Important events for today:
  • – Australia Mid-Year Economic and Fiscal Outlook at 02:30 (GMT+2);
  • – China PBoC Loan Prime Rate (m/m) at 03:30 (GMT+2).

by JustForex

 

This article reflects a personal opinion and should not be interpreted as an investment advice, and/or offer, and/or a persistent request for carrying out financial transactions, and/or a guarantee, and/or a forecast of future events.

EUR/USD Got Under Pressure

By Dmitriy Gurkovskiy, Chief Analyst at RoboForex

The major currency dropped and is currently trading at 1.1260. The currency market is taking a huge interest in “safe haven” assets and that’s a perfect reason for the “greenback” to rise.

Coronavirus-related fears are once again ruling the world. After Bloomberg reported a possibility of new anti-COVID restrictions in Europe, the Netherlands-style, many investors rushed off to “safe haven” assets to avoid risks.

Is Europe likely to introduce more lockdowns? No one should exclude this possibility and this fact provides the “greenback” with huge support, keeping the demand for the American currency quite high.

Another thing in favour of the USD is the Fed’s intention to quickly taper the QE programme and start discussing the rate hike as early as June 2022.

In the H4 chart, EUR/USD is correcting downwards to reach 1.1200 and may later consolidate there. If the price breaks the range to the upside, the market may start a new growth with the target at 1.1291. From the technical point of view, this scenario is confirmed by MACD Oscillator: its signal line is moving below 0 and may later continue falling towards new lows.

eurusd forex

As we can see in the H1 chart, EUR/USD is forming another descending structure with the short-term at 1.1213 and may later start a new correction towards 1.1280. After that, the instrument may resume falling and finish this descending wave at 1.1200. From the technical point of view, this idea is confirmed by the Stochastic Oscillator: its signal line is moving above 80, which means that the asset may complete the ascending structure soon and the line may continue its movement to reach new lows.

euro us dollar forex

Disclaimer

Any forecasts contained herein are based on the author’s particular opinion. This analysis may not be treated as trading advice. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations and reviews contained herein.

COT Currency Speculators elevate Mexican Peso bets by most since May 2017

By InvestMacro | COT | Data Tables | COT Leaders | Downloads | COT Newsletter

Here are the latest charts and statistics for the Commitment of Traders (COT) data published by the Commodities Futures Trading Commission (CFTC).

The latest COT data is updated through Tuesday December 14th 2021 and shows a quick view of how large traders (for-profit speculators and commercial entities) were positioned in the futures markets. All currency positions are in direct relation to the US dollar where, for example, a bet for the euro is a bet that the euro will rise versus the dollar while a bet against the euro will be a bet that the euro will decline versus the dollar.

Highlighting this week’s COT currency data was a giant surge in bets in favor of the Mexican peso. Speculative positions jumped by over +53,000 contracts this week, marking the largest one-week increase since a gain of +54,788 contracts back on May 9th of 2017, a span of two-hundred and forty weeks. The largest one-week rise in peso contracts was +58,504 contracts on March 27th of 2012. Overall, peso positioning went from a total speculative standing of -64,126 contracts last week to a total of -10,673 contracts this week. Helping the cause of the peso this week was the fifth straight interest rate rise by the Mexican central bank that pushed its interest rate higher by 50 basis points.

Joining the Mexican peso (53,453 contracts) with positive changes this week were the Japanese yen (9,558 contracts), Brazil real (1,007 contracts), Swiss franc (3,717 contracts), Australian dollar (2,889 contracts), Russian ruble (2,725 contracts) and Bitcoin (136 contracts).

The currencies with declining speculator bets were the US Dollar Index (-3,624 contracts), Euro (-3,580 contracts), British pound sterling (-12,471 contracts), New Zealand dollar (-16,569 contracts) and the Canadian dollar (-3,770 contracts).


Data Snapshot of Forex Market Traders | Columns Legend
Dec-14-2021OIOI-IndexSpec-NetSpec-IndexCom-NetCOM-IndexSmalls-NetSmalls-Index
USD Index52,0987231,24180-36,615145,37475
EUR661,71169-11,87931-16,5897128,46822
GBP213,21047-50,7483770,44071-19,69215
JPY176,58439-53,5233471,06071-17,53712
CHF38,46712-8,3365514,80847-6,47244
CAD186,63855-13,12844-2,0595015,18760
AUD197,40581-78,9031098,42392-19,5205
NZD41,22327-5,861618,17443-2,31325
MXN101,0490-10,6732312,42378-1,75036
RUB64,5007816,52453-17,603451,07964
BRL27,70623-4,617624,99240-37562
Bitcoin13,51877-77285257051525

 


US Dollar Index Futures:

US Dollar Index Forex Futures COT ChartThe US Dollar Index large speculator standing this week totaled a net position of 31,241 contracts in the data reported through Tuesday. This was a weekly decrease of -3,624 contracts from the previous week which had a total of 34,865 net contracts.

This week’s current strength score (the trader positioning range over the past three years, measured from 0 to 100) shows the speculators are currently Bullish with a score of 79.7 percent. The commercials are Bearish-Extreme with a score of 13.8 percent and the small traders (not shown in chart) are Bullish with a score of 75.3 percent.

US DOLLAR INDEX StatisticsSPECULATORSCOMMERCIALSSMALL TRADERS
– Percent of Open Interest Longs:81.13.213.6
– Percent of Open Interest Shorts:21.273.53.3
– Net Position:31,241-36,6155,374
– Gross Longs:42,2631,6937,071
– Gross Shorts:11,02238,3081,697
– Long to Short Ratio:3.8 to 10.0 to 14.2 to 1
NET POSITION TREND:
– Strength Index Score (3 Year Range Pct):79.713.875.3
– Strength Index Reading (3 Year Range):BullishBearish-ExtremeBullish
NET POSITION MOVEMENT INDEX:
– 6-Week Change in Strength Index:-6.59.0-18.6

 


Euro Currency Futures:

Euro Currency Futures COT ChartThe Euro Currency large speculator standing this week totaled a net position of -11,879 contracts in the data reported through Tuesday. This was a weekly decline of -3,580 contracts from the previous week which had a total of -8,299 net contracts.

This week’s current strength score (the trader positioning range over the past three years, measured from 0 to 100) shows the speculators are currently Bearish with a score of 31.4 percent. The commercials are Bullish with a score of 71.0 percent and the small traders (not shown in chart) are Bearish with a score of 21.6 percent.

EURO Currency StatisticsSPECULATORSCOMMERCIALSSMALL TRADERS
– Percent of Open Interest Longs:28.657.112.1
– Percent of Open Interest Shorts:30.459.67.8
– Net Position:-11,879-16,58928,468
– Gross Longs:189,530378,07980,169
– Gross Shorts:201,409394,66851,701
– Long to Short Ratio:0.9 to 11.0 to 11.6 to 1
NET POSITION TREND:
– Strength Index Score (3 Year Range Pct):31.471.021.6
– Strength Index Reading (3 Year Range):BearishBullishBearish
NET POSITION MOVEMENT INDEX:
– 6-Week Change in Strength Index:-1.81.7-0.7

 


British Pound Sterling Futures:

British Pound Sterling Futures COT ChartThe British Pound Sterling large speculator standing this week totaled a net position of -50,748 contracts in the data reported through Tuesday. This was a weekly decline of -12,471 contracts from the previous week which had a total of -38,277 net contracts.

This week’s current strength score (the trader positioning range over the past three years, measured from 0 to 100) shows the speculators are currently Bearish with a score of 37.4 percent. The commercials are Bullish with a score of 71.3 percent and the small traders (not shown in chart) are Bearish-Extreme with a score of 14.8 percent.

BRITISH POUND StatisticsSPECULATORSCOMMERCIALSSMALL TRADERS
– Percent of Open Interest Longs:13.876.19.2
– Percent of Open Interest Shorts:37.643.118.4
– Net Position:-50,74870,440-19,692
– Gross Longs:29,497162,35919,535
– Gross Shorts:80,24591,91939,227
– Long to Short Ratio:0.4 to 11.8 to 10.5 to 1
NET POSITION TREND:
– Strength Index Score (3 Year Range Pct):37.471.314.8
– Strength Index Reading (3 Year Range):BearishBullishBearish-Extreme
NET POSITION MOVEMENT INDEX:
– 6-Week Change in Strength Index:-47.448.6-33.9

 


Japanese Yen Futures:

Japanese Yen Forex Futures COT ChartThe Japanese Yen large speculator standing this week totaled a net position of -53,523 contracts in the data reported through Tuesday. This was a weekly boost of 9,558 contracts from the previous week which had a total of -63,081 net contracts.

This week’s current strength score (the trader positioning range over the past three years, measured from 0 to 100) shows the speculators are currently Bearish with a score of 34.2 percent. The commercials are Bullish with a score of 71.5 percent and the small traders (not shown in chart) are Bearish-Extreme with a score of 11.9 percent.

JAPANESE YEN StatisticsSPECULATORSCOMMERCIALSSMALL TRADERS
– Percent of Open Interest Longs:11.577.59.8
– Percent of Open Interest Shorts:41.837.319.7
– Net Position:-53,52371,060-17,537
– Gross Longs:20,231136,93817,308
– Gross Shorts:73,75465,87834,845
– Long to Short Ratio:0.3 to 12.1 to 10.5 to 1
NET POSITION TREND:
– Strength Index Score (3 Year Range Pct):34.271.511.9
– Strength Index Reading (3 Year Range):BearishBullishBearish-Extreme
NET POSITION MOVEMENT INDEX:
– 6-Week Change in Strength Index:34.2-27.21.8

 


Swiss Franc Futures:

Swiss Franc Forex Futures COT ChartThe Swiss Franc large speculator standing this week totaled a net position of -8,336 contracts in the data reported through Tuesday. This was a weekly rise of 3,717 contracts from the previous week which had a total of -12,053 net contracts.

This week’s current strength score (the trader positioning range over the past three years, measured from 0 to 100) shows the speculators are currently Bullish with a score of 55.4 percent. The commercials are Bearish with a score of 47.5 percent and the small traders (not shown in chart) are Bearish with a score of 44.3 percent.

SWISS FRANC StatisticsSPECULATORSCOMMERCIALSSMALL TRADERS
– Percent of Open Interest Longs:3.567.029.4
– Percent of Open Interest Shorts:25.228.546.2
– Net Position:-8,33614,808-6,472
– Gross Longs:1,34425,78611,302
– Gross Shorts:9,68010,97817,774
– Long to Short Ratio:0.1 to 12.3 to 10.6 to 1
NET POSITION TREND:
– Strength Index Score (3 Year Range Pct):55.447.544.3
– Strength Index Reading (3 Year Range):BullishBearishBearish
NET POSITION MOVEMENT INDEX:
– 6-Week Change in Strength Index:21.5-12.1-4.8

 


Canadian Dollar Futures:

Canadian Dollar Forex Futures COT ChartThe Canadian Dollar large speculator standing this week totaled a net position of -13,128 contracts in the data reported through Tuesday. This was a weekly fall of -3,770 contracts from the previous week which had a total of -9,358 net contracts.

This week’s current strength score (the trader positioning range over the past three years, measured from 0 to 100) shows the speculators are currently Bearish with a score of 44.1 percent. The commercials are Bullish with a score of 50.4 percent and the small traders (not shown in chart) are Bullish with a score of 60.0 percent.

CANADIAN DOLLAR StatisticsSPECULATORSCOMMERCIALSSMALL TRADERS
– Percent of Open Interest Longs:20.539.922.7
– Percent of Open Interest Shorts:27.541.014.6
– Net Position:-13,128-2,05915,187
– Gross Longs:38,23074,45142,399
– Gross Shorts:51,35876,51027,212
– Long to Short Ratio:0.7 to 11.0 to 11.6 to 1
NET POSITION TREND:
– Strength Index Score (3 Year Range Pct):44.150.460.0
– Strength Index Reading (3 Year Range):BearishBullishBullish
NET POSITION MOVEMENT INDEX:
– 6-Week Change in Strength Index:-14.415.9-16.1

 


Australian Dollar Futures:

Australian Dollar Forex Futures COT ChartThe Australian Dollar large speculator standing this week totaled a net position of -78,903 contracts in the data reported through Tuesday. This was a weekly advance of 2,889 contracts from the previous week which had a total of -81,792 net contracts.

This week’s current strength score (the trader positioning range over the past three years, measured from 0 to 100) shows the speculators are currently Bearish-Extreme with a score of 10.4 percent. The commercials are Bullish-Extreme with a score of 92.3 percent and the small traders (not shown in chart) are Bearish-Extreme with a score of 4.8 percent.

AUSTRALIAN DOLLAR StatisticsSPECULATORSCOMMERCIALSSMALL TRADERS
– Percent of Open Interest Longs:14.874.88.5
– Percent of Open Interest Shorts:54.824.918.4
– Net Position:-78,90398,423-19,520
– Gross Longs:29,254147,60116,807
– Gross Shorts:108,15749,17836,327
– Long to Short Ratio:0.3 to 13.0 to 10.5 to 1
NET POSITION TREND:
– Strength Index Score (3 Year Range Pct):10.492.34.8
– Strength Index Reading (3 Year Range):Bearish-ExtremeBullish-ExtremeBearish-Extreme
NET POSITION MOVEMENT INDEX:
– 6-Week Change in Strength Index:-3.218.3-51.3

 


New Zealand Dollar Futures:

New Zealand Dollar Forex Futures COT ChartThe New Zealand Dollar large speculator standing this week totaled a net position of -5,861 contracts in the data reported through Tuesday. This was a weekly fall of -16,569 contracts from the previous week which had a total of 10,708 net contracts.

This week’s current strength score (the trader positioning range over the past three years, measured from 0 to 100) shows the speculators are currently Bullish with a score of 61.4 percent. The commercials are Bearish with a score of 43.0 percent and the small traders (not shown in chart) are Bearish with a score of 25.4 percent.

NEW ZEALAND DOLLAR StatisticsSPECULATORSCOMMERCIALSSMALL TRADERS
– Percent of Open Interest Longs:32.858.27.5
– Percent of Open Interest Shorts:47.138.413.1
– Net Position:-5,8618,174-2,313
– Gross Longs:13,53923,9943,081
– Gross Shorts:19,40015,8205,394
– Long to Short Ratio:0.7 to 11.5 to 10.6 to 1
NET POSITION TREND:
– Strength Index Score (3 Year Range Pct):61.443.025.4
– Strength Index Reading (3 Year Range):BullishBearishBearish
NET POSITION MOVEMENT INDEX:
– 6-Week Change in Strength Index:-33.138.2-58.1

 


Mexican Peso Futures:

Mexican Peso Futures COT ChartThe Mexican Peso large speculator standing this week totaled a net position of -10,673 contracts in the data reported through Tuesday. This was a weekly gain of 53,453 contracts from the previous week which had a total of -64,126 net contracts.

This week’s current strength score (the trader positioning range over the past three years, measured from 0 to 100) shows the speculators are currently Bearish with a score of 22.8 percent. The commercials are Bullish with a score of 78.0 percent and the small traders (not shown in chart) are Bearish with a score of 35.6 percent.

MEXICAN PESO StatisticsSPECULATORSCOMMERCIALSSMALL TRADERS
– Percent of Open Interest Longs:34.460.93.8
– Percent of Open Interest Shorts:44.948.65.5
– Net Position:-10,67312,423-1,750
– Gross Longs:34,74861,5803,829
– Gross Shorts:45,42149,1575,579
– Long to Short Ratio:0.8 to 11.3 to 10.7 to 1
NET POSITION TREND:
– Strength Index Score (3 Year Range Pct):22.878.035.6
– Strength Index Reading (3 Year Range):BearishBullishBearish
NET POSITION MOVEMENT INDEX:
– 6-Week Change in Strength Index:17.2-15.2-16.8

 


Brazilian Real Futures:

Brazil Real Futures COT ChartThe Brazilian Real large speculator standing this week totaled a net position of -4,617 contracts in the data reported through Tuesday. This was a weekly boost of 1,007 contracts from the previous week which had a total of -5,624 net contracts.

This week’s current strength score (the trader positioning range over the past three years, measured from 0 to 100) shows the speculators are currently Bullish with a score of 62.4 percent. The commercials are Bearish with a score of 40.1 percent and the small traders (not shown in chart) are Bullish with a score of 62.3 percent.

BRAZIL REAL StatisticsSPECULATORSCOMMERCIALSSMALL TRADERS
– Percent of Open Interest Longs:37.952.59.1
– Percent of Open Interest Shorts:54.534.510.4
– Net Position:-4,6174,992-375
– Gross Longs:10,49114,5372,519
– Gross Shorts:15,1089,5452,894
– Long to Short Ratio:0.7 to 11.5 to 10.9 to 1
NET POSITION TREND:
– Strength Index Score (3 Year Range Pct):62.440.162.3
– Strength Index Reading (3 Year Range):BullishBearishBullish
NET POSITION MOVEMENT INDEX:
– 6-Week Change in Strength Index:12.9-12.5-3.5

 


Russian Ruble Futures:

Russian Ruble Futures COT ChartThe Russian Ruble large speculator standing this week totaled a net position of 16,524 contracts in the data reported through Tuesday. This was a weekly boost of 2,725 contracts from the previous week which had a total of 13,799 net contracts.

This week’s current strength score (the trader positioning range over the past three years, measured from 0 to 100) shows the speculators are currently Bullish with a score of 52.5 percent. The commercials are Bearish with a score of 45.2 percent and the small traders (not shown in chart) are Bullish with a score of 63.9 percent.

RUSSIAN RUBLE StatisticsSPECULATORSCOMMERCIALSSMALL TRADERS
– Percent of Open Interest Longs:33.555.23.5
– Percent of Open Interest Shorts:7.982.51.8
– Net Position:16,524-17,6031,079
– Gross Longs:21,62335,6352,230
– Gross Shorts:5,09953,2381,151
– Long to Short Ratio:4.2 to 10.7 to 11.9 to 1
NET POSITION TREND:
– Strength Index Score (3 Year Range Pct):52.545.263.9
– Strength Index Reading (3 Year Range):BullishBearishBullish
NET POSITION MOVEMENT INDEX:
– 6-Week Change in Strength Index:-8.29.8-22.3

 


Bitcoin Futures:

Bitcoin Crypto Futures COT ChartThe Bitcoin large speculator standing this week totaled a net position of -772 contracts in the data reported through Tuesday. This was a weekly increase of 136 contracts from the previous week which had a total of -908 net contracts.

This week’s current strength score (the trader positioning range over the past three years, measured from 0 to 100) shows the speculators are currently Bullish-Extreme with a score of 85.2 percent. The commercials are Bullish with a score of 55.0 percent and the small traders (not shown in chart) are Bearish with a score of 24.6 percent.

BITCOIN StatisticsSPECULATORSCOMMERCIALSSMALL TRADERS
– Percent of Open Interest Longs:72.53.111.6
– Percent of Open Interest Shorts:78.21.27.8
– Net Position:-772257515
– Gross Longs:9,7954211,565
– Gross Shorts:10,5671641,050
– Long to Short Ratio:0.9 to 12.6 to 11.5 to 1
NET POSITION TREND:
– Strength Index Score (3 Year Range Pct):85.255.024.6
– Strength Index Reading (3 Year Range):Bullish-ExtremeBullishBearish
NET POSITION MOVEMENT INDEX:
– 6-Week Change in Strength Index:19.7-15.6-15.4

 


Article By InvestMacroReceive our weekly COT Reports by Email

*COT Report: The COT data, released weekly to the public each Friday, is updated through the most recent Tuesday (data is 3 days old) and shows a quick view of how large speculators or non-commercials (for-profit traders) were positioned in the futures markets.

The CFTC categorizes trader positions according to commercial hedgers (traders who use futures contracts for hedging as part of the business), non-commercials (large traders who speculate to realize trading profits) and nonreportable traders (usually small traders/speculators) as well as their open interest (contracts open in the market at time of reporting).See CFTC criteria here.

Ichimoku Cloud Analysis 17.12.2021 (GBPUSD, XAUUSD, USDCHF)

Article By RoboForex.com

GBPUSD, “Great Britain Pound vs US Dollar”

GBPUSD is trading at 1.3333; the instrument is moving above Ichimoku Cloud, thus indicating an ascending tendency. The markets could indicate that the price may test Tenkan-Sen and Kijun-Sen at 1.3275 and then resume moving upwards to reach 1.3495. Another signal in favour of a further uptrend will be a rebound from the support level. However, the bullish scenario may no longer be valid if the price breaks the cloud’s downside border and fixes below 1.3180. In this case, the pair may continue falling towards 1.3095.

GBPUSD
Risk Warning: the result of previous trading operations do not guarantee the same results in the future

XAUUSD, “Gold vs US Dollar”

XAUUSD is trading at 1802.00; the instrument is moving above Ichimoku Cloud, thus indicating an ascending tendency. The markets could indicate that the price may test the cloud’s upside border at 1785.00 and then resume moving upwards to reach 1845.00. Another signal in favour of a further uptrend will be a rebound from the descending channel’s upside border. However, the bullish scenario may no longer be valid if the price breaks the cloud’s downside border and fixes below 1770.00. In this case, the pair may continue falling towards 1745.00.

XAUUSD
Risk Warning: the result of previous trading operations do not guarantee the same results in the future

USDCHF, “US Dollar vs Swiss Franc”

USDCHF is trading at 0.9182; the instrument is moving below Ichimoku Cloud, thus indicating a descending tendency. The markets could indicate that the price may test the cloud’s downside border at 0.9210 and then resume moving downwards to reach 0.9105. Another signal in favour of a further downtrend will be a rebound from the rising channel’s downside border. However, the bearish scenario may no longer be valid if the price breaks the cloud’s upside border and fixes above 0.9255. In this case, the pair may continue growing towards 0.9345.

USDCHF

Article By RoboForex.com

Attention!
Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex LP bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews.

Japanese Candlesticks Analysis 17.12.2021 (USDCAD, AUDUSD, USDCHF)

Article By RoboForex.com

USDCAD, “US Dollar vs Canadian Dollar”

As we can see in the H4 chart, after forming several reversal patterns, including Inverted Hammer, close to the support level, USDCAD may reverse in the form of another rising wave. In this case, the upside target may be the resistance area at 1.2900. However, an alternative scenario implies that the asset may correct to reach 1.2740 first and then resume trading upwards.

USDCAD
Risk Warning: the result of previous trading operations do not guarantee the same results in the future

AUDUSD, “Australian Dollar vs US Dollar”

As we can see in the H4 chart, AUDUSD has formed a Hammer reversal pattern near the support area. At the moment, the asset is reversing in the form of another rising impulse. In this case, the upside target may be the resistance level at 0.7290. At the same time, an opposite scenario implies that the price may continue falling to reach 0.7090 before resuming its ascending tendency.

AUDUSD
Risk Warning: the result of previous trading operations do not guarantee the same results in the future

USDCHF, “US Dollar vs Swiss Franc”

As we can see in the H4 chart, after testing the support area, the pair has formed several reversal patterns, for example, Hammer. At the moment, USDCHF may reverse in the form of a new rising wave towards the resistance level. In this case, the upside target may be at 0.9275. Still, there might be an alternative scenario, according to which the asset may continue falling to reach 0.9155 before resuming its growth.

USDCHF

Article By RoboForex.com

Attention!
Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex LP bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews.

The Analytical Overview of the Main Currency Pairs on 2021.12.17

by JustForex

The EUR/USD currency pair

Technical indicators of the currency pair:
  • Prev Open: 1.1287
  • Prev Close: 1.1330
  • % chg. over the last day: +0.38%

The ECB expectedly kept the base interest rate at zero level, while the deposit rate was left at minus 0.5%. The ECB will end its PEPP program in March 2022. The ECB can also extend PEPP reinvestment until at least the end of 2024. With a high probability, investors should not expect the ECB to raise interest rates in 2022. Eurozone inflation data will be released today.

Trading recommendations
  • Support levels: 1.1323, 1.1265, 1.1230, 1.1168
  • Resistance levels: 1.1360, 1.1436, 1.1535, 1.1613, 1.1667, 1.1717

From a technical point of view, the EUR/USD on the hour time frame is still bearish. The price is trading in a wide corridor. Yesterday, there was an attempt to break out through the priority change level, but the sellers were stronger. The MACD indicator became positive, and the buyers’ pressure is still strong. Under such market conditions, traders should consider sell positions from the priority change level, but with additional confirmation. Buy trades can be considered after a true breakout of the priority change level.

Alternative scenario: if the price breaks out through the 1.1360 resistance level and fixes above, the mid-term uptrend will likely resume.

EUR/USD
News feed for 2021.12.17:
  • – Germany IFO Business Climate Index (m/m) at 11:00 (GMT+2);
  • – Eurozone Consumer Price Index (m/m) at 12:00 (GMT+2);
  • – US FOMC Member Wallers’ speech at 20:00 (GMT+2).

The GBP/USD currency pair

Technical indicators of the currency pair:
  • Prev Open: 1.3256
  • Prev Close: 1.3324
  • % chg. over the last day: +0.52%

The Bank of England unexpectedly raised its key interest rate to 0.25% from 0.1%. At the same time, the central bank left the volume of the government bond-buying program at 875 billion pounds. According to the Bank of England forecasts, inflation may reach 6% in the coming months.

Trading recommendations
  • Support levels: 1.3301, 1.3272, 1.3220, 1.3189
  • Resistance levels: 1.3365, 1.3434, 1.3507, 1.3575, 1.3685

On the hourly time frame, the trend on GBP/USD has changed to bullish. An interest rate hike from the central bank played a key role. The price broke through the priority change level and closed higher. The MACD indicator became positive. Under such market conditions, traders should consider buy positions from the support levels near the moving average. Sell trades can be considered from the resistance levels of the higher time frame, but only with additional confirmation; as an option – to sell after a false breakout of the 1.3365 level.

Alternative scenario: if the price breaks down through the 1.3189 support level and consolidates below, the bearish scenario will likely resume.

GBP/USD
News feed for 2021.12.17:
  • – UK Retail Sales (m/m) at 09:00 (GMT+2).

The USD/JPY currency pair

Technical indicators of the currency pair:
  • Prev Open: 113.98
  • Prev Close: 113.69
  • % chg. over the last day: -0.26%

The Bank of Japan has made no changes to its ultra-soft monetary policy as it monitors the impact of the new variant of the Omicron coronavirus. At the same time, the Bank of Japan decided to cut its funding support program from the effects of COVID-19 as financing conditions for large companies improved. The interest rate remained unchanged.

Trading recommendations
  • Support levels: 113.30, 112.62, 112.30
  • Resistance levels: 113.95, 114.17, 115.15, 115.50

The global trend on the USD/JPY currency pair is bearish. Yesterday, the price tried to break out through the priority change level, but the sellers managed to protect the level. Today, on the news from the Bank of Japan, the yen strengthened against the dollar, as the Bank of Japan began to take the first steps to tighten its policy. Under such market conditions, traders can look for sell positions from the 113.95 resistance level but with additional confirmation. Buy positions should be considered from the 113.30 support level, but with additional confirmation in the form of a buyers’ initiative or after the price breakout the priority change level.

Alternative scenario: if the price rises above 114.17, the uptrend will likely resume.

USD/JPY
News feed for 2021.12.17:
  • – Japan BoJ Interest Rate Decision at 04:30 (GMT+2);
  • – Japan BoJ Monetary Policy Statement at 04:30 (GMT+2).

The USD/CAD currency pair

Technical indicators of the currency pair:
  • Prev Open: 1.2831
  • Prev Close: 1.2774
  • % chg. over the last day: -0.44%

The USD/CAD quotes are declining again amid rising oil prices and a decline in the dollar index. The Canadian dollar is a commodity currency, so it is highly correlated with these instruments. The tightening of the monetary policy from the US Federal Reserve will stimulate the dollar index to grow, while oil prices will depend on the demand for fuel.

Trading recommendations
  • Support levels: 1.2721, 1.2677, 1.2638
  • Resistance levels: 1.2828, 1.2891, 1.2951

From a technical point of view, the USD/CAD currency pair trend is bullish. The MACD became negative; the price corrected the dynamic moving average level. Under such market conditions, it is better to look for buy deals from the support levels near the moving average on the lower time frames. It is best to look for sell deals from the false breakout area, but with additional confirmation.

Alternative scenario: if the price breaks down through the 1.2721 support level and fixes below, the downtrend will likely resume.

USD/CAD
There is no news feed for today.

by JustForex

 

This article reflects a personal opinion and should not be interpreted as an investment advice, and/or offer, and/or a persistent request for carrying out financial transactions, and/or a guarantee, and/or a forecast of future events.

RoboMarkets Mobile Platform Was Chosen as the Best In 2021

RoboMarkets, a provider of investment services in Europe, announced the reception of the “Best Mobile Trading Platform” award from the Professional Trader Awards. The winners have been determined by the votes of the professional trader community.

The award-winning companies were announced at the ceremonial reception that took place in London on 9 December 2021. RoboMarkets was honoured as the prize winner in the “Best Mobile Trading Platform” category for the second straight year. The award is presented to the broker that is dedicated to offering the best mobile product on the professional account market.

RoboMarkets was recognised for its mobile workstation, R StocksTrader — a powerful and user-friendly application. R StocksTrader is a universal application for trading from smartphones and tablet PCs. The R StocksTrader platform offers over 12,000 instruments for trading, including more than 3,000 stocks, indices, ETFs, and CFDs.

How are the winners of the Professional Trader Awards 2021 selected?

During the first stage, which lasts for four weeks, the organising committee receives applications from brokers that nominate themselves in the different chosen categories. In the next stage, the committee conducts a survey among the trader community, whereby traders with professional trading accounts are asked to vote for a particular broker from the nominees list. This describes how the trader community has selected the winners of the Professional Trader Awards also in 2021.

In 2021, the organising committee presented awards for 17 nominations. The “Professional Trader Awards” are given in recognition of excellence to the brokers that offer exclusive services for professional trading accounts. Among the winners are the providers of financial services that equally prioritise the quality of their services, their cutting-edge technologies, and their clients’ needs and satisfaction.

Denis Golomedov, Chief Marketing Officer at RoboMarkets, says: “It’s a great honour for us to receive the best mobile platform award for the second time in a row. This means that the professional trader community highly appreciates the products for mobile trading offered by RoboMarkets. Our clients want to be able to exercise control over their accounts, and trade around the clock from any part of the world where there is internet access. We understand these needs, and therefore put a lot of effort and ingenuity into continuously developing our proprietary mobile trading solutions. R StocksTrader enables our clients to trade in 6 markets in over 12,000 trading instruments. The innovative app also offers analytical market data, excellent charts, and a handy corporate actions calendar – all made available free of charge (with no monthly fees). The trading features and the information sharing on the app, along with RoboMarkets support, help our clients invest confidently. All the above make R StocksTrader stand out from its market competitors, as evidenced by the choice of professional traders. We thank everyone who voted for RoboMarkets and helped us win this award!

About RoboMarkets

RoboMarkets is an investment company, operating under CySEC licence No. 191/13. RoboMarkets offers investment services in European countries by providing access to its proprietary trading platforms to traders who work on financial markets. Find out more about the Company’s products and activities on www.robomarkets.com.