Archive for Financial News – Page 20

13 Feb

EUR/USD Consolidates Ahead of US Inflation Data

By RoboForex Analytical Department

EUR/USD ended the week at 1.1868, remaining within a narrow sideways range for the fourth consecutive session. The market has adopted a wait-and-see approach ahead of the release of January’s US consumer price index. The report could influence expectations for Federal Reserve policy.

Forecasts suggest a slowdown in headline inflation to 2.5% year-on-year from 2.7%, while core inflation is expected to ease to 2.5% from 2.6%.

Earlier in the week, strong employment data confirmed the resilience of the labour market, although recent jobless claims came in higher than expected. Investors are now pricing in rates remaining unchanged in March, followed by two 25-basis-point cuts in the second half of the year, in June and September.

The broader backdrop for EUR/USD remains clear: most Fed officials have adopted a wait-and-see stance and are not ready to resume rate cuts imminently. Despite previous easing and the current rate range of 3.50-3.75%, inflation remains below 3%, and the economy continues to demonstrate stability. January’s employment data only strengthens the case for a pause.

While some Fed policymakers support further easing, they remain in the minority. The market is shifting expectations for the first cut closer to July. For EUR/USD, this maintains structural support for the dollar. The pair’s next move will depend on inflation and signs of a real cooling in the US economy.

Technical Analysis

On the H4 chart, EUR/USD remains in a sideways consolidation phase following January’s upward momentum. The price is held within the 1.1785-1.1930 range and is currently trading near 1.1870. Bollinger Bands have narrowed, signalling declining volatility. The MACD is hovering near the zero line, indicating weak momentum, while the Stochastic oscillator remains neutral, without a clear directional signal. The market is trading in the middle of the range.

On the H1 chart, price action reflects a tight consolidation with occasional volatility spikes. Buyers quickly absorbed the latest downward move, but attempts to break above 1.1925 have failed. The price has stabilised near the midline of the Bollinger Bands. The MACD remains close to zero, and the Stochastic oscillator is turning lower in neutral territory. In the near term, range trading remains the preferred strategy.

Conclusion

In summary, EUR/USD remains in a state of consolidation, trapped in its narrowest range in weeks as markets await the crucial US inflation report. The pair is caught between two opposing forces: resilient US economic data and delayed Fed easing expectations (supporting the dollar), versus a relatively hawkish ECB stance and already priced-in policy divergence (supporting the euro).

 

Technically, compressed volatility and neutral indicators signal a breakout may be approaching, but its direction will depend entirely on tonight’s CPI outcome. A hotter-than-expected inflation reading would likely push the pair towards the lower boundary at 1.1785, while softer inflation could trigger a retest of resistance near 1.1930. Until then, the range remains the game.

 

Disclaimer

Any forecasts contained herein are based on the author’s particular opinion. This analysis may not be treated as trading advice. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations and reviews contained herein.

Financial News Forex and Currency News
13 Feb

Silver fell by more than 10%. The Mexican peso reached its highest level since mid-2024

By JustMarkets 

On Thursday, the US stock market closed lower. The Dow Jones Index (US30) fell by 1.34%, the S&P 500 (US500) dropped by 1.57%, and the tech-heavy Nasdaq (US100) closed sharply lower by 2.03%. Early attempts at a rally quickly fizzled out amid ongoing pressure in the technology sector. Investors have become more skeptical regarding the scale and return on investment (ROI) of artificial intelligence infrastructure, triggering a sell-off in shares of major tech companies and software developers. Banks also faced pressure amid discussions regarding interest rates on credit products. The strong employment report released earlier in the week continued to weigh on expectations for an early Fed pivot, supporting bond yields and intensifying pressure on growth stocks. Meanwhile, defensive companies appeared more resilient than the broader market. Investors are now focused on upcoming inflation data, which may set the further direction for index dynamics.

The Mexican peso (MXN) strengthened beyond 17.15 per dollar, reaching its highest level since mid-2024, driven by declining US yields and capital inflows into emerging market assets. Even after recent cuts, the Banxico rate remains near 7%, providing one of the highest real yields and supporting demand for peso-denominated bonds, while the regulator maintains a cautious tone regarding further easing.

Bitcoin (BTC) dropped toward $66,000, surrendering most of its recent gains amid general pressure on the digital assets market. Sentiment soured following warnings from Standard Chartered about potential further declines and weak earnings from Coinbase, which recorded a quarterly loss of $667 million alongside a revenue drop of more than 20%. Since its October peak above $126,000, Bitcoin has lost over 45%, and recovery attempts remain fragile, indicating a slump in speculative demand. Analysts warn that consolidating below the $60,000-$58,000 zone could intensify the sell-off, with a potential move toward levels around $40,000.

European equity markets mostly declined yesterday. The German DAX (DE40) edged down by 0.01%, the French CAC 40 (FR40) closed up 0.33%, the Spanish IBEX 35 (ES35) fell by 0.82%, and the British FTSE 100 (UK100) closed down 0.67%. European stocks ended Thursday lower, tracking the sell-off in North American markets fueled by concerns over AI investment returns and the prospect of the Fed maintaining a restrictive policy.

Silver (XAG) collapsed by nearly 10% to below $76 per ounce, continuing a sharp reversal amid broad liquidation of positions across financial markets. Investors sold off precious metals to free up liquidity; the decline occurred even as US Treasury yields fell, suggesting market stress and position closures rather than a reassessment of rate expectations. The pressure also affected gold and copper, amplifying the general decline in the commodities segment.

Natural gas (XNG) prices in the US rose toward $3.23 per MMBtu, supported by active LNG exports and a significant reduction in inventories. For the week ending February 6, 249 billion cubic feet (bcf) were withdrawn from storage, following a record 360 bcf the previous week – substantially higher than both last year’s level and the five-year average. Deliveries to LNG export terminals remain near record highs. However, a prognosed warming through the end of February could reduce heating demand and limit the potential for further price increases.

Asian markets declined on Thursday. Japan’s Nikkei 225 (JP225) fell by 0.02%, the Chinese FTSE China A50 (CHA50) dropped 0.60%, Hong Kong’s Hang Seng (HK50) lost 0.86%, while the Australian ASX 200 (AU200) posted a positive result of 0.32%.

A quarterly survey by the Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) showed an increase in inflation projections for Q1 2026. Businesses expect inflation at 2.37% over a two-year horizon (up from 2.28% previously), while one-year expectations rose to 2.59% – a seven-quarter high. At the same time, respondents await the Official Cash Rate (OCR) to remain unchanged at 2.25% by the end of March 2026. Previously, the regulator cut the rate by 25 bps to 2.25% in November 2025.
The Malaysian economy grew by 6.3% year-on-year in Q4 2025, exceeding the initial estimate of 5.7% and accelerating from 5.4% in the third quarter. This marks the highest growth rate since Q4 2022, indicating a steady recovery in domestic demand and the external sector toward the end of the year. On a quarterly basis, GDP increased by 0.8% following a stronger 2.7% growth in the previous quarter, suggesting some loss of momentum. For the full year 2025, the country’s economy expanded by 5.2%, maintaining a robust growth pace despite regional and global volatility.

S&P 500 (US500) 6,832.76 −108.71 (−1.57%)

Dow Jones (US30) 49,451.98 −669.42 (−1.34%)

DAX (DE40) 24,852.69 −3.46 (−0.014%)

FTSE 100 (UK100) 10,402.44 −69.67 (−0.67%)

USD Index 96.92 +0.08% (+0.08%)

News feed for: 2026.02.13

  • Switzerland Inflation Rate (m/m) at 09:30 (GMT+2); – CHF (HIGH)
  • Eurozone Employment Change (m/m) at 12:00 (GMT+2); – EUR (MED)
  • Eurozone GDP (m/m) at 12:00 (GMT+2); – EUR (MED)
  • Eurozone Trade Balance (m/m) at 12:00 (GMT+2); – EUR (MED)
  • US Consumer Price Index (m/m) at 15:30 (GMT+2). – USD (HIGH)

By JustMarkets

 

This article reflects a personal opinion and should not be interpreted as an investment advice, and/or offer, and/or a persistent request for carrying out financial transactions, and/or a guarantee, and/or a forecast of future events.

Economics & Fundamentals Financial News
12 Feb

Strong employment data reduced expectations of imminent Fed easing

By JustMarkets

On Wednesday, the US stock market closed with a decline. The Dow Jones Index (US30) lost 0.13%, though it hit a new all-time high at the session opening. The S&P 500 (US500) edged down by 0.01%, and the tech-heavy Nasdaq (US100) closed 0.16% lower. Strong employment data (NFP growth of 130k and a decrease in unemployment) confirmed the resilience of the labor market and lowered expectations for an early easing of Fed policy. Non-Farm Payrolls rose by 130k due to private sector support, more than double the expectations, while the unemployment rate unexpectedly fell.

Stock markets in Europe mostly declined yesterday. The German DAX (DE40) dropped by 0.53%, the French CAC 40 (FR40) closed down 0.18%, and the Spanish IBEX 35 (ES35) fell 0.43%. Conversely, the British FTSE 100 (UK100) closed 1.14% higher. European indices ended Wednesday without a clear trend amid mixed corporate earnings reports. Siemens Energy surged 8.5% due to a nearly threefold increase in profit, and Ferrari rose by more than 4%.
Platinum prices (XPT) are holding just above $2,100 per ounce, remaining under pressure near annual lows. Weak demand for autocatalysts and rising US yields are offsetting the impact of mining restrictions in South Africa, while existing inventories and recycling mitigate deficit risks. Additional pressure comes from strong US labor market statistics and expectations of delayed Fed rate cuts, which support the dollar and reduce investment interest in precious metals.

WTI prices rose more than 1% to above $65 per barrel, approaching highs not seen since September amid intensifying tensions surrounding Iran. The market is reacting to reports of a possible tightening of the US stance, which could jeopardize oil supplies if negotiations fail. However, gains were limited by EIA data showing US crude inventories increased by 8.5 million barrels – the highest jump in a year. Investors are also awaiting reports from OPEC and the IEA, where signals of a possible supply surplus this year are expected.

Asian markets rose confidently on Wednesday. While Japan’s Nikkei 225 (JP225) did not trade, the Chinese FTSE China A50 (CHA50) fell by 0.22%, Hong Kong’s Hang Seng (HK50) gained 0.31%, and the Australian ASX 200 (AU200) posted a positive result of 1.66%.

On Thursday, the offshore yuan (CNH) strengthened beyond 6.89 per dollar, extending its winning streak to a sixth session and hitting its highest level since May 2023. The currency is supported by statements from Xi Jinping regarding the ambition to elevate the yuan’s global status as a reserve currency. Since the beginning of last year, the dollar has weakened against the yuan by approximately 6%. However, growth is limited by the People’s Bank of China’s “moderately dovish” stance and weak inflation data: in January, CPI slowed to 0.2%, and producer price deflation narrowed to 1.4% – a one-and-a-half-year low.

The Australian dollar (AUD) rose above $0.71, reaching a three-year high following hawkish signals from the RBA. Governor Michele Bullock stated a readiness for further rate hikes if inflation remains persistent, emphasizing that figures “starting with a three” are unacceptable. Inflation expectations rose to 5% in February, strengthening hawkish sentiment. The market is now pricing in the probability of a rate hike in May.

S&P 500 (US500) 6,941.47 −0.34 (−0.01%)

Dow Jones (US30) 50,121.40 −66.74 (−0.13%)

DAX (DE40) 24,856.15 −131.70 (−0.53%)

FTSE 100 (UK100) 10,472.11 +118.27 (+1.14%)

USD Index 96.92 +0.12% (+0.13%)

News feed for: 2026.02.12

  • Japan Producer Price Index (m/m) at 01:50 (GMT+2); – JPY (MED)
  • UK GDP (q/q) at 09:00 (GMT+2); – GBP (MED)
  • UK Industrial Production (m/m) at 09:00 (GMT+2); – GBP (MED)
  • UK Trade Balance (m/m) at 09:00 (GMT+2); – GBP (MED)
  • US Initial Jobless Claims (w/w) at 15:30 (GMT+2); – USD (MED)
  • US Existing Home Sales (m/m) at 17:00 (GMT+2); – USD (MED)
  • US Natural Gas Storage (w/w) at 17:30 (GMT+2). – XNG (HIGH)

By JustMarkets

 

This article reflects a personal opinion and should not be interpreted as an investment advice, and/or offer, and/or a persistent request for carrying out financial transactions, and/or a guarantee, and/or a forecast of future events.

Economics & Fundamentals Financial News
12 Feb

GBP/USD Regains Ground After US Data and Finds an Equilibrium

By RoboForex Analytical Department

GBP/USD was trading at 1.3632 on Thursday. Sterling found an equilibrium point after volatility triggered by a stronger dollar following US labour market data.

The number of people employed in January increased by 130 thousand, marking the largest rise in more than a year. The unemployment rate unexpectedly fell to 4.3%. Against this backdrop, investors have revised expectations for the Fed rate path. The market now fully prices in the first rate cut for July rather than June, and the probability of a move in March is estimated at less than 5%.

Partial support for the pound came from a decline in domestic political uncertainty. British Prime Minister Keir Starmer received the backing of key cabinet members and Labour Party representatives after the resignation of Chief of Staff Morgan McSweeney amid the scandal surrounding Lord Peter Mandelson.

At the same time, market participants still expect further easing from the Bank of England. The regulator kept the rate at 3.75% but delivered softer guidance. It indicated that inflation could return to the 2% target from April.

Technical Analysis

The H4 chart for GBP/USD shows that after a brief rise to 1.3850, the pair entered a correction. A downward phase has formed, characterised by lower highs and lower lows. The price is now testing the 1.3580–1.3600 support zone. The Bollinger Bands are pointing downward, and volatility remains elevated. As long as the pair remains below 1.3710–1.3730, downside pressure is likely to persist.

On the lower H1 timeframe, a local recovery from 1.3580 is visible, but the structure remains neutral to bearish. The price is trading within the 1.3580–1.3650 range. The Bollinger Bands’ midline acts as short-term resistance. A sustained move above 1.3660 would open the way towards 1.3700. A move back below 1.3600 would increase the risk of a retest of recent lows.

Conclusion

In summary, GBP/USD has stabilised following a sharp repricing of Fed expectations triggered by robust US jobs data. The pair found technical equilibrium near key support, with political relief at home providing some offsetting support for sterling. However, the broader technical structure remains corrective and neutral-to-bearish, with resistance capping recovery attempts. The near-term direction hinges on two factors: whether the 1.3580–1.3600 support zone holds, and any further divergence in tone between a patient Fed and an increasingly dovish Bank of England. Until GBP/USD reclaims 1.3660–1.3700, downside risks remain elevated.

 

Disclaimer

Any forecasts contained herein are based on the author’s particular opinion. This analysis may not be treated as trading advice. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations and reviews contained herein.

Financial News Forex and Currency News
11 Feb

FXTM’s RUS2000 set for fresh records?

By ForexTime 

  • RUS2000 up roughly 8% YTD, less than 1% away from records
  • Small caps leaving large caps in the dust thus far in 2026
  • US NFP + CPI could trigger market volatility
  • Key levels at 2735, 2700 and 2650

FXTM’s RUS2000 is trading 1% from its all-time high!

AND

One of the best-performing US indices in the FXTM universe….

  • US400: ↑ 8.5% YTD
  • RUS2000: ↑ 8% YTD
  • US30: ↑ 4.4% YTD
  • US500: ↑ 1.5% YTD
  • NA100: ↓ 0.5% YTD

WHY?

  • Small caps have hit the new year sprinting, outpacing their large-cap counterparts thanks to compelling valuations and growth prospects.
  • Unlike the US500/NAS100 which has a greater exposure to China risk, the RUS2000/US400 is heavily focused on the US economy.
  • Small caps are drawing strength from the rollout of significant tax refunds, manufacturing subsidies and high sensitivity to US interest rates.

WHAT COULD MOVE THE RUS2000 THIS WEEK?

·      January NFP report – Wednesday 11th February

Markets expect the US economy to have created 68,000 jobs in January with the unemployment rate to hold at 4.4%.

The RUS2000 is forecasted to move ↑ 0.9% or ↓ 1.3% in a 6-hour window after the January NFP report.

·      US CPI report – Friday 13thh February

This report will be a key test of whether inflation is continuing to cool at a gradual pace.

The RUS2000 is forecasted to move ↑ 1.2% or ↓ 1.3% in a 6-hour window after the CPI report.

Traders are currently pricing at a 23% chance of a Fed cut by March with this jumping to 47% by April.

POTENTIAL SCENARIOS:

BULLISH: A solid breakout and daily close above 2700 may open a path toward the all-time high at 2735 and 2750.

BEARISH: Weakness below 2700 could trigger a selloff toward 2650 and the 50-day SMA at 2595.

 

Forex-Time-LogoArticle by ForexTime

 

ForexTime Ltd (FXTM) is an award winning international online forex broker regulated by CySEC 185/12 www.forextime.com

Financial News Stock Market News
11 Feb

Chinese stocks show growth ahead of the holiday week

By JustMarkets 

On Tuesday, trading on the US stock market closed with mixed performance. The Dow Jones Index (US30) gained 0.10%. The S&P 500 (US500) declined by 0.33%. The tech-heavy Nasdaq (US100) closed lower by 0.59%. The market was pressured by weak US retail sales data for December (0% against projections of +0.4%), which intensified concerns regarding consumer demand and supported expectations of more than two Fed rate cuts this year. Bond yields decreased across the curve. A positive outlier was Spotify, whose shares soared 14.8% due to strong earnings and audience growth.

Stock markets in Europe mostly declined yesterday. The German DAX (DE40) fell by 0.11%, the French CAC 40 (FR40) closed up 0.06%, the Spanish IBEX 35 (ES35) dropped 0.40%, and the British FTSE 100 (UK100) closed down 0.31%. Investors remained cautious ahead of key US employment and inflation data, which may clarify the Fed’s next steps. The focus also remained on the corporate earnings season.

On Wednesday, silver (XAG) rose nearly 2% to $82 per ounce, recovering previous session losses amid weak US data and declining confidence in American assets. Retail sales in December unexpectedly slowed, fueling fears for consumer demand. Attention is now focused on the jobs report; weak data could further support precious metals. Markets are already pricing in about 60 bps of Fed rate cuts by the end of the year. Additional demand for safe-haven assets is linked to outflows from dollar instruments amid political uncertainty in the US. However, market participants remain cautious due to recent high volatility and sharp fluctuations in metal prices.

The US natural gas prices (XNG) rose to $3.17 per MMBtu, snapping a two-day decline amid near-record LNG exports. Deliveries to the eight largest terminals in February reached 18.5 billion cubic feet per day, limiting domestic supply. Previously, Arctic cold led to a record reduction in inventories, which are currently about 1% below normal.

Asian markets grew confidently on Tuesday. The Japanese Nikkei 225 (JP225) jumped 2.28%, the FTSE China A50 (CHA50) rose by 0.02%, the Hong Kong Hang Seng (HK50) gained 0.58%, while the Australian ASX 200 (AU200) showed a negative result of 0.03%.

Chinese stocks ended the session higher amid expectations of high consumer demand during the Lunar New Year period. Additional optimism was sparked by reports of a possible meeting between Donald Trump and Xi Jinping in April. On Wednesday, the offshore yuan held around 6.91 per dollar, near highs since April 2023, amid steady daily fixing by the PBoC. The Central Bank set the midpoint rate at 6.9438, signaling a desire for stable and moderate currency appreciation despite softer policy rhetoric. However, the yuan’s rise is capped by the confirmation of a “moderately easy” monetary policy stance. January inflation slowed to 0.2% YoY from 0.8%, while producer price deflation narrowed to 1.4% thanks to stabilizing commodity prices and measures to limit excessive competition.

The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) stated its readiness for further measures to curb inflation, which, according to RBA Deputy Governor Andrew Hauser, remains “too high.” The regulator intends to “do whatever is necessary” to return inflation to the 2-3% target range. Last week, the RBA raised the rate by 25 bps, reversing a previous cut after inflation again exceeded projections. Both headline and core inflation remain above the target, and a return to the target level is not expected until mid-2027.

S&P 500 (US500) 6,941.81 −23.01 (−0.33%)

Dow Jones (US30) 50,188.14 +52.27 (+0.10%)

DAX (DE40) 24,987.85 −27.02 (−0.11%)

FTSE 100 (UK100) 10,353.84 −32.39 (−0.31%)

USD Index 96.85 +0.04% (+0.04%)

News feed for: 2026.02.11

  • China Inflation Rate (m/m) at 03:30 (GMT+2); – CHA50, HK50 (MED)
  • US Non Farm Payrolls (m/m) at 15:30 (GMT+2); – USD, XAU (HIGH)
  • US Unemployment Rate (m/m) at 15:30 (GMT+2); – USD, XAU (HIGH)
  • US Crude Oil Reserves (w/w) at 17:30 (GMT+2). – WTI (HIGH)

By JustMarkets

 

This article reflects a personal opinion and should not be interpreted as an investment advice, and/or offer, and/or a persistent request for carrying out financial transactions, and/or a guarantee, and/or a forecast of future events.

Economics & Fundamentals Financial News
11 Feb

Gold Climbs to a Two-Week High: Markets Await a Softer Fed Policy

By RoboForex Analytical Department

Gold on Wednesday held above 5045 USD per ounce and traded near a two-week high. The quotes are supported by expectations of a softer Fed policy.

Growth intensified after weak US economic data. Retail sales came in below forecasts in December, pointing to a slowdown in consumer activity and fuelling fears of a cooling economy.

The market is now pricing in a higher probability of three Fed rate cuts this year than two weeks ago.

Investors are now awaiting the publication of US data on employment and inflation, which may provide additional signals about the state of the economy and the regulator’s next steps.

Demand from central banks remains robust. The People’s Bank of China increased gold reserves in January

Technical Analysis

The H4 XAU/USD chart shows that after a sharp collapse in early February from the 5550–5600 area to lows around 4400, gold has entered a recovery phase. The price has stabilised around 5000–5050 and is trading near the middle line of the Bollinger Bands. The bands are gradually narrowing, indicating declining volatility and the formation of consolidation following strong price swings.

On the H1 chart, the structure is more neutral. Quotes are moving within a narrow 5000–5080 range. The upper boundary acts as local resistance, while the lower acts as support. The market looks balanced, with attempts at a steady advance, but no pronounced momentum.

Conclusion

In summary, gold’s rally to a two-week high primarily reflects shifting market expectations towards a more dovish Fed, amplified by recent soft US retail data. While technical indicators show stabilisation and consolidation within a recovery phase, price action remains range-bound and lacks decisive momentum. The near-term trajectory will be critically dependent on incoming US inflation and employment data, which will either validate the current dovish repricing or challenge it. Sustained central bank buying and unresolved geopolitical tensions provide a structural floor, but for a breakout above the current consolidation, gold requires a clear catalyst from upcoming macroeconomic releases.

 

 

Disclaimer

Any forecasts contained herein are based on the author’s particular opinion. This analysis may not be treated as trading advice. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations and reviews contained herein.

Financial News Metals
10 Feb

The Swiss franc is trading near a 15-year high against the dollar. The Chinese yuan strengthened to 6.9 per dollar

By JustMarkets 

On Monday, trading on the US stock market closed higher. The Dow Jones Index (US30) gained 0.04%. The S&P 500 Index (US500) rose by 0.47%. The Nasdaq Technology Index (US100) closed higher by 0.90%. The market was primarily supported by shares of large technology companies and AI-related issuers, which offset investor caution ahead of the publication of key US macroeconomic data. The growth leaders were Nvidia (+2.5%), Broadcom (+3.4%), and Oracle (+9.6%) following analyst upgrades amid steady demand for AI infrastructure. At the same time, software developers lagged, reflecting concerns regarding generative AI’s pressure on margins and the outlook for the cloud business. Market focus is shifting to the delayed employment report and upcoming US inflation data.

The Canadian dollar (CAD) strengthened to 1.356 per USD, approaching a 16-month high, amid strong labor market data and rising commodity prices. In January, unemployment fell to 6.5%, the lowest since September 2024, while growth in full-time employment and wages weakened expectations for an early policy easing by the Bank of Canada and supported foreign capital inflows. The CAD received additional support from the general weakening of the US dollar following weak US labor data and rising oil prices, which improved Canada’s terms of trade.

The Mexican peso (MXN) strengthened to 17.20 per dollar, hitting a new high since mid-2024 amid USD weakening and the market’s reaction to January inflation data. Banxico’s decision to maintain the rate at 7% and its emphasis on inflationary risks reduced expectations of rapid policy easing, supporting the peso’s real yield. Inflation in January accelerated to 3.79% y/y, slightly missing projections, with moderate monthly price growth, allowing the regulator to maintain a cautious approach.

Equity markets in Europe mostly rose yesterday. The German DAX (DE40) rose by 1.19%, the French CAC 40 (FR40) closed up 0.60%, the Spanish IBEX 35 (ES35) gained 1.40%, and the British FTSE 100 (UK100) closed positive 0.16%. European stock indices closed with sharp gains on Monday, supported by banks, industrial giants, and the technology sector amid a series of positive corporate news and a steady view of relatively favorable macroeconomic conditions for equities this year.

The Swiss franc (CHF) strengthened to 0.770 per dollar, approaching its highest levels since 2011 amid demand for safe-haven assets and USD weakness. Investors remain cautious due to risks surrounding AI and recommendations from Chinese regulators to reduce holdings in US Treasuries, which is intensifying capital outflows from the dollar. The market focus this week is on Swiss inflation data for January (February 13), where prices are expected to rise by only 0.1% y/y. SNB Chairman Martin Schlegel noted the challenges of low inflation with a 0% rate, emphasizing the bank’s readiness to intervene in the currency market if necessary, rather than rushing to cut rates, maintaining a course toward price stability.

On Tuesday, WTI oil prices declined toward $64.2 per barrel but retained most of the gains recorded on Monday amid ongoing geopolitical tensions between the US and Iran. Prices were supported by Washington’s warning to US-flagged vessels to avoid Iranian waters when passing through the Strait of Hormuz, despite reports of progress in negotiations held in Oman. At the same time, uncertainty surrounding a possible agreement persists as Iran continues to insist on uranium enrichment. An additional risk factor for the market remains the situation with Indian imports of Russian oil: a possible freeze on purchases as part of a new trade agreement with the US could significantly support oil quotes.

Asian markets rose confidently on Monday. The Japanese Nikkei 225 (JP225) jumped 3.89% after the weekend elections, the Chinese FTSE China A50 (CHA50) rose by 1.24%, the Hong Kong Hang Seng (HK50) gained 1.76%, and the Australian ASX 200 (AU200) showed a positive result of 1.85%. Sentiment in Asia improved after Japan’s ruling party won a convincing election victory, but investors are still grappling with an uncertain economic outlook and concerns over the impact of artificial intelligence on various sectors.
On Tuesday, the offshore yuan (CNH) strengthened to 6.9 per dollar, approaching a 34-month high following reports that Chinese regulators recommended banks reduce excessive exposure to US Treasuries. The measure is aimed at reducing concentration risks amid uncertain US economic policy and has strengthened expectations of a broader global shift away from dollar assets, as well as a gradual structural shift in China’s currency strategy. The yuan received additional support from increased corporate demand ahead of the Lunar New Year, when companies traditionally convert dollars for payroll, supplier settlements, and bonuses.

S&P 500 (US500) 6,964.82 +32.52 (+0.47%)

Dow Jones (US30) 50,135.87 +20.20 (+0.04%)

DAX (DE40) 25,014.87 +293.41 (+1.19%)

FTSE 100 (UK100) 10,386.23 +16.48 (+0.16%)

USD Index 96.86 −0.77% (−0.79%)

News feed for: 2026.02.10

  • Australia NAB Business Confidence (m/m) at 02:30 (GMT+2); – AUD (MED)
  • Norway Inflation Rate (m/m) at 09:00 (GMT+2); – NOK (MED)
  • US Retail Sales (m/m) at 15:30 (GMT+2). – USD (MED)

By JustMarkets

 

This article reflects a personal opinion and should not be interpreted as an investment advice, and/or offer, and/or a persistent request for carrying out financial transactions, and/or a guarantee, and/or a forecast of future events.

Economics & Fundamentals Financial News
10 Feb

EUR/USD Set for Growth: Dollar Fears Demand Slump

By RoboForex Analytical Department

EUR/USD rose to 1.1911 on Tuesday. Pressure on the USD increased amid concerns that external demand for dollar-denominated assets could decline significantly.

The reason behind this shift was reports suggesting that Chinese regulators have advised financial institutions to reduce their holdings of US government bonds. This move could help diversify risks and mitigate the impact of uncertain US economic policies.

Investors are awaiting delayed reports on the US labour market and inflation this week. These figures could adjust expectations regarding the Federal Reserve’s future policy direction.

White House economic adviser Kevin Hassett noted that the pace of US employment growth may slow in the coming months due to weaker labour and productivity growth.

The Fed is expected to leave interest rates unchanged in March, with markets still pricing in two rate cuts for the remainder of the year.

Technical Analysis

On the H4 chart for EUR/USD, after a momentum rally in late January, the pair entered a phase of correction and consolidation. The price has recovered above the 1.1760 support level and is now testing the 1.1920-1.1950 area. The Bollinger Bands are narrowing, indicating stabilisation and preparation for the next move. The medium-term structure remains moderately bullish as long as prices stay above 1.1760.

On the shorter-term H1 time frame, upward momentum remains confined to the short term. The price is moving along the upper Bollinger band after a sharp upward acceleration. It is now consolidating just below resistance at 1.1920-1.1950. Oscillators are in the overbought zone, raising the risk of a pause or shallow pullback, although the overall structure remains intact.

Conclusion

EUR/USD is poised for gains, driven by concerns about USD demand and a cautious outlook for US economic growth. While short-term fluctuations are expected, the medium-term trend remains bullish as long as key support levels hold. Investors will be closely watching upcoming data on inflation and employment, which could influence future Federal Reserve policy decisions.

 

 

Disclaimer

Any forecasts contained herein are based on the author’s particular opinion. This analysis may not be treated as trading advice. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations and reviews contained herein.

Financial News Forex and Currency News
09 Feb

USD/JPY Reacts to Political News: Budget Line Will Be Soft

By RoboForex Analytical Department

USD/JPY is down to 156.73 on Monday. The Japanese yen had earlier dropped to its lowest levels in almost two weeks after a landslide victory for Japan’s ruling Liberal Democratic Party in early elections to the lower house of parliament. The coalition is led by Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi. However, demand for the yen returned shortly after.

Takaichi’s coalition won 352 of 465 seats in the House of Representatives, according to NHK. At the same time, the Liberal Democratic Party of Japan itself secured a majority of 316 seats. The vote’s outcome provided the prime minister with a clear mandate to implement an expansive fiscal policy.

Markets regarded the result as a signal in favour of a softer budget line and possible tax breaks. This increased pressure on the yen and Japanese government bonds amid fears of a rise in the debt burden. At the same time, the results supported expectations of more favourable dynamics for the stock market.

A more conservative domestic agenda is now expected to advance, including stricter immigration policies and land ownership rules. All this adds uncertainty to the assessment of medium-term consequences for the economy and financial markets.

Technical Analysis

On the H4 chart for USD/JPY, following a sharp decline at the end of January, a local bottom formed in the 152.00-152.20 zone, from which the pair began to recover. This impulsive growth was accompanied by movement along the upper border of the Bollinger Bands. The price is now trading below recent highs and consolidating in the 155.80-157.70 range. Volatility has decreased, and the structure remains corrective. However, momentum weakened, and the market has entered a pause phase under resistance.

The H1 chart shows the development of lateral dynamics after growth, with the price hovering around the Bollinger Bands’ midline, and no new momentum forming. Selling pressure quickly cancelled attempts to move higher to 157.40-157.70, while support holds in the 155.50-155.80 region. The near-term trajectory appears neutral, with a balance between correction and attempts to continue the recovery.

Conclusion

In summary, USD/JPY is undergoing a corrective pullback as the market digests the political implications of Japan’s election outcome. While the landslide victory initially weakened the yen on expectations of expansive fiscal policy, a technical pause has followed. The pair is now consolidating, caught between the fundamental pressure from anticipated higher Japanese debt (bearish for JPY) and technical resistance. The near-term trajectory will depend on whether this consolidation leads to a continuation of the recovery or a deeper correction, with clarity on the new government’s fiscal measures serving as the next major catalyst.

 

 

Disclaimer

Any forecasts contained herein are based on the author’s particular opinion. This analysis may not be treated as trading advice. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations and reviews contained herein.

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