By ForexTime
It’s all about the Biden vs. Trump faceoff and US PCE deflators which may translate to heightened dollar volatility this week.
After securing a weekly close above the 105.60 resistance, prices are turning increasingly bullish. However, the next major level for bulls to crack can be found at 106.50.
Note: FXTM’s USDInd tracks the US Dollar Index. This measures how the dollar performs against a basket of six different G10 currencies, including the Euro, British Pound, Japanese Yen, and Canadian dollar.
Dollar bulls have made a return this month thanks to stronger-than-expected US data including the solid US May jobs report. Last Friday, reports revealed that both U.S manufacturing and services sectors expanded in June – further trimming rate cut bets.
Free Reports:
The USDInd could end H1 with a bang, here are 3 reasons why:
The spotlight shines on the first US presidential debate on Thursday, June 27th.
Investors will most likely focus on every little detail, starting from mental states, messaging, overall accuracy of information, and policies among other things. There are just over four months till the US presidential election with national polls suggesting that Biden and Trump are neck-and-neck! This could add more flavour to the upcoming debate which may shape the overall election result.
On the data front, the Fed’s preferred inflation gauge – the Core PCE could influence expectations about when the central bank will cut rates in 2024.
Markets are forecasting PCE deflators to cool in May with the core figure falling to 2.6% year-on-year compared with the 2.8% seen in the previous month. Ultimately, more signs of cooling price pressures could boost bets around lower US interest rates.
Traders are currently pricing in a 73% probability of a 25-basis point cut in September with a move fully priced in by November.
It will be wise to keep an eye on speeches by numerous Fed officials and other US data that could also move the USDInd.
Prices are trending higher on the daily charts with support levels at 105.60 and 105.20.
There have been consistently higher highs and lows, while the candlesticks are trading above the 50, 100 and 200-day SMA.
ForexTime Ltd (FXTM) is an award winning international online forex broker regulated by CySEC 185/12 www.forextime.com
By InvestMacro Here are the latest charts and statistics for the Commitment of Traders (COT)…
By InvestMacro The latest update for the weekly Commitment of Traders (COT) report was released…
By InvestMacro Here are the latest charts and statistics for the Commitment of Traders (COT)…
By InvestMacro Here are the latest charts and statistics for the Commitment of Traders (COT)…
By InvestMacro Here are the latest charts and statistics for the Commitment of Traders (COT)…
By InvestMacro Here are the latest charts and statistics for the Commitment of Traders (COT)…
This website uses cookies.