COT Soft Commodities Speculators drop Corn bullish bets for 3rd week to 10-week low

January 22, 2022

By InvestMacro | COT | Data Tables | COT Leaders | Downloads | COT Newsletter

Here are the latest charts and statistics for the Commitment of Traders (COT) data published by the Commodities Futures Trading Commission (CFTC).

The latest COT data is updated through Tuesday January 18th 2022 and shows a quick view of how large traders (for-profit speculators and commercial entities) were positioned in the futures markets.

Highlighting the COT soft commodities data is the recent declines in Corn futures bets. The speculative net position in the Corn futures has fallen for three straight weeks with a total drop by -70,038 contracts over that time-frame. This has brought the current net standing to the lowest level of the past ten weeks and under the +400,000 net contract level for the first time since November 30th. The Corn strength score (current speculator standing compared to past three years where above 80 is bullish extreme & below 20 is bearish extreme) also dipped and fell below the extreme bullish line of 80 percent this week (also first time in 10 weeks) to sit currently at 79.6 percent.

The soft commodities that saw higher speculator bets this week were Coffee (3,616 contracts), Soybean Oil (1,586 contracts), Live Cattle (1,742 contracts), Cotton (1,304 contracts), Cocoa (13,281 contracts), and Wheat (6,306 contracts).

Markets with lower speculator bets this week were Corn (-19,354 contracts), Sugar (-9,757 contracts), Lean Hogs (-2,349 contracts), Soybean Meal (-16,281 contracts) and Soybeans (-10,257 contracts).


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Data Snapshot of Commodity Market Traders | Columns Legend
Jan-18-2022OIOI-IndexSpec-NetSpec-IndexCom-NetCOM-IndexSmalls-NetSmalls-Index
WTI Crude2,059,56429385,78132-427,0525941,27173
Gold539,20430194,20750-221,0685026,86140
Silver148,7371529,70052-41,5405811,84012
Copper203,1982922,31058-30,538388,22873
Palladium9,37213-3,30933,40996-10039
Platinum57,321177,22913-12,911915,68241
Natural Gas1,169,18814-118,0474386,1745831,87360
Brent227,41361-20,2068417,211182,99550
Heating Oil367,6864214,82764-39,9352925,10885
Soybeans692,02220128,01562-92,19844-35,81712
Corn1,487,85819388,13880-342,68723-45,45117
Coffee264,3943263,78495-66,93773,15310
Sugar882,59813113,16860-127,0534413,88525
Wheat378,456234,840515,16046-10,00054

 


CORN Futures:

CORN Futures COT ChartThe CORN large speculator standing this week equaled a net position of 388,138 contracts in the data reported through Tuesday. This was a weekly decline of -19,354 contracts from the previous week which had a total of 407,492 net contracts.

This week’s current strength score (the trader positioning range over the past three years, measured from 0 to 100) shows the speculators are currently Bullish with a score of 79.6 percent. The commercials are Bearish with a score of 23.1 percent and the small traders (not shown in chart) are Bearish-Extreme with a score of 16.9 percent.

CORN Futures StatisticsSPECULATORSCOMMERCIALSSMALL TRADERS
– Percent of Open Interest Longs:32.046.39.3
– Percent of Open Interest Shorts:5.969.312.4
– Net Position:388,138-342,687-45,451
– Gross Longs:476,449688,600138,491
– Gross Shorts:88,3111,031,287183,942
– Long to Short Ratio:5.4 to 10.7 to 10.8 to 1
NET POSITION TREND:
– Strength Index Score (3 Year Range Pct):79.623.116.9
– Strength Index Reading (3 Year Range):BullishBearishBearish-Extreme
NET POSITION MOVEMENT INDEX:
– 6-Week Change in Strength Index:-2.93.6-1.4

 


SUGAR Futures:

SUGAR Futures COT ChartThe SUGAR large speculator standing this week equaled a net position of 113,168 contracts in the data reported through Tuesday. This was a weekly decrease of -9,757 contracts from the previous week which had a total of 122,925 net contracts.

This week’s current strength score (the trader positioning range over the past three years, measured from 0 to 100) shows the speculators are currently Bullish with a score of 59.9 percent. The commercials are Bearish with a score of 44.1 percent and the small traders (not shown in chart) are Bearish with a score of 25.0 percent.

SUGAR Futures StatisticsSPECULATORSCOMMERCIALSSMALL TRADERS
– Percent of Open Interest Longs:21.854.48.5
– Percent of Open Interest Shorts:9.068.86.9
– Net Position:113,168-127,05313,885
– Gross Longs:192,577480,30274,979
– Gross Shorts:79,409607,35561,094
– Long to Short Ratio:2.4 to 10.8 to 11.2 to 1
NET POSITION TREND:
– Strength Index Score (3 Year Range Pct):59.944.125.0
– Strength Index Reading (3 Year Range):BullishBearishBearish
NET POSITION MOVEMENT INDEX:
– 6-Week Change in Strength Index:-16.017.9-20.0

 


COFFEE Futures:

COFFEE Futures COT ChartThe COFFEE large speculator standing this week equaled a net position of 63,784 contracts in the data reported through Tuesday. This was a weekly increase of 3,616 contracts from the previous week which had a total of 60,168 net contracts.

This week’s current strength score (the trader positioning range over the past three years, measured from 0 to 100) shows the speculators are currently Bullish-Extreme with a score of 94.9 percent. The commercials are Bearish-Extreme with a score of 7.4 percent and the small traders (not shown in chart) are Bearish-Extreme with a score of 10.1 percent.

COFFEE Futures StatisticsSPECULATORSCOMMERCIALSSMALL TRADERS
– Percent of Open Interest Longs:28.742.63.9
– Percent of Open Interest Shorts:4.668.02.8
– Net Position:63,784-66,9373,153
– Gross Longs:75,931112,76110,428
– Gross Shorts:12,147179,6987,275
– Long to Short Ratio:6.3 to 10.6 to 11.4 to 1
NET POSITION TREND:
– Strength Index Score (3 Year Range Pct):94.97.410.1
– Strength Index Reading (3 Year Range):Bullish-ExtremeBearish-ExtremeBearish-Extreme
NET POSITION MOVEMENT INDEX:
– 6-Week Change in Strength Index:1.0-1.1-0.7

 


SOYBEANS Futures:

SOYBEANS Futures COT ChartThe SOYBEANS large speculator standing this week equaled a net position of 128,015 contracts in the data reported through Tuesday. This was a weekly decline of -10,257 contracts from the previous week which had a total of 138,272 net contracts.

This week’s current strength score (the trader positioning range over the past three years, measured from 0 to 100) shows the speculators are currently Bullish with a score of 62.0 percent. The commercials are Bearish with a score of 44.1 percent and the small traders (not shown in chart) are Bearish-Extreme with a score of 12.2 percent.

SOYBEANS Futures StatisticsSPECULATORSCOMMERCIALSSMALL TRADERS
– Percent of Open Interest Longs:26.052.56.8
– Percent of Open Interest Shorts:7.565.911.9
– Net Position:128,015-92,198-35,817
– Gross Longs:179,661363,53646,718
– Gross Shorts:51,646455,73482,535
– Long to Short Ratio:3.5 to 10.8 to 10.6 to 1
NET POSITION TREND:
– Strength Index Score (3 Year Range Pct):62.044.112.2
– Strength Index Reading (3 Year Range):BullishBearishBearish-Extreme
NET POSITION MOVEMENT INDEX:
– 6-Week Change in Strength Index:16.9-16.31.8

 


SOYBEAN OIL Futures:

SOYBEAN OIL Futures COT ChartThe SOYBEAN OIL large speculator standing this week equaled a net position of 51,503 contracts in the data reported through Tuesday. This was a weekly gain of 1,586 contracts from the previous week which had a total of 49,917 net contracts.

This week’s current strength score (the trader positioning range over the past three years, measured from 0 to 100) shows the speculators are currently Bullish with a score of 51.6 percent. The commercials are Bearish with a score of 49.7 percent and the small traders (not shown in chart) are Bearish with a score of 45.5 percent.

SOYBEAN OIL Futures StatisticsSPECULATORSCOMMERCIALSSMALL TRADERS
– Percent of Open Interest Longs:24.550.78.3
– Percent of Open Interest Shorts:11.466.06.1
– Net Position:51,503-60,1008,597
– Gross Longs:96,428199,01932,509
– Gross Shorts:44,925259,11923,912
– Long to Short Ratio:2.1 to 10.8 to 11.4 to 1
NET POSITION TREND:
– Strength Index Score (3 Year Range Pct):51.649.745.5
– Strength Index Reading (3 Year Range):BullishBearishBearish
NET POSITION MOVEMENT INDEX:
– 6-Week Change in Strength Index:-5.92.720.7

 


SOYBEAN MEAL Futures:

SOYBEAN MEAL Futures COT ChartThe SOYBEAN MEAL large speculator standing this week equaled a net position of 80,893 contracts in the data reported through Tuesday. This was a weekly lowering of -16,281 contracts from the previous week which had a total of 97,174 net contracts.

This week’s current strength score (the trader positioning range over the past three years, measured from 0 to 100) shows the speculators are currently Bullish with a score of 76.2 percent. The commercials are Bearish with a score of 20.9 percent and the small traders (not shown in chart) are Bullish with a score of 79.2 percent.

SOYBEAN MEAL Futures StatisticsSPECULATORSCOMMERCIALSSMALL TRADERS
– Percent of Open Interest Longs:26.646.712.5
– Percent of Open Interest Shorts:6.972.96.0
– Net Position:80,893-107,97327,080
– Gross Longs:109,188191,87851,582
– Gross Shorts:28,295299,85124,502
– Long to Short Ratio:3.9 to 10.6 to 12.1 to 1
NET POSITION TREND:
– Strength Index Score (3 Year Range Pct):76.220.979.2
– Strength Index Reading (3 Year Range):BullishBearishBullish
NET POSITION MOVEMENT INDEX:
– 6-Week Change in Strength Index:16.5-18.921.6

 


LIVE CATTLE Futures:

LIVE CATTLE Futures COT ChartThe LIVE CATTLE large speculator standing this week equaled a net position of 63,562 contracts in the data reported through Tuesday. This was a weekly rise of 1,742 contracts from the previous week which had a total of 61,820 net contracts.

This week’s current strength score (the trader positioning range over the past three years, measured from 0 to 100) shows the speculators are currently Bearish with a score of 31.7 percent. The commercials are Bullish with a score of 60.1 percent and the small traders (not shown in chart) are Bullish with a score of 73.8 percent.

LIVE CATTLE Futures StatisticsSPECULATORSCOMMERCIALSSMALL TRADERS
– Percent of Open Interest Longs:33.938.510.8
– Percent of Open Interest Shorts:14.656.212.4
– Net Position:63,562-58,078-5,484
– Gross Longs:111,509126,60835,421
– Gross Shorts:47,947184,68640,905
– Long to Short Ratio:2.3 to 10.7 to 10.9 to 1
NET POSITION TREND:
– Strength Index Score (3 Year Range Pct):31.760.173.8
– Strength Index Reading (3 Year Range):BearishBullishBullish
NET POSITION MOVEMENT INDEX:
– 6-Week Change in Strength Index:-9.44.919.6

 


LEAN HOGS Futures:

LEAN HOGS Futures COT ChartThe LEAN HOGS large speculator standing this week equaled a net position of 48,305 contracts in the data reported through Tuesday. This was a weekly lowering of -2,349 contracts from the previous week which had a total of 50,654 net contracts.

This week’s current strength score (the trader positioning range over the past three years, measured from 0 to 100) shows the speculators are currently Bullish with a score of 60.9 percent. The commercials are Bearish with a score of 48.9 percent and the small traders (not shown in chart) are Bearish-Extreme with a score of 13.6 percent.

LEAN HOGS Futures StatisticsSPECULATORSCOMMERCIALSSMALL TRADERS
– Percent of Open Interest Longs:36.337.67.6
– Percent of Open Interest Shorts:14.752.314.5
– Net Position:48,305-32,883-15,422
– Gross Longs:81,05483,99316,970
– Gross Shorts:32,749116,87632,392
– Long to Short Ratio:2.5 to 10.7 to 10.5 to 1
NET POSITION TREND:
– Strength Index Score (3 Year Range Pct):60.948.913.6
– Strength Index Reading (3 Year Range):BullishBearishBearish-Extreme
NET POSITION MOVEMENT INDEX:
– 6-Week Change in Strength Index:-4.22.37.6

 


COTTON Futures:

COTTON Futures COT ChartThe COTTON large speculator standing this week equaled a net position of 95,126 contracts in the data reported through Tuesday. This was a weekly advance of 1,304 contracts from the previous week which had a total of 93,822 net contracts.

This week’s current strength score (the trader positioning range over the past three years, measured from 0 to 100) shows the speculators are currently Bullish-Extreme with a score of 83.3 percent. The commercials are Bearish-Extreme with a score of 14.7 percent and the small traders (not shown in chart) are Bullish-Extreme with a score of 95.5 percent.

COTTON Futures StatisticsSPECULATORSCOMMERCIALSSMALL TRADERS
– Percent of Open Interest Longs:43.734.08.5
– Percent of Open Interest Shorts:5.477.63.2
– Net Position:95,126-108,26013,134
– Gross Longs:108,44684,47021,002
– Gross Shorts:13,320192,7307,868
– Long to Short Ratio:8.1 to 10.4 to 12.7 to 1
NET POSITION TREND:
– Strength Index Score (3 Year Range Pct):83.314.795.5
– Strength Index Reading (3 Year Range):Bullish-ExtremeBearish-ExtremeBullish-Extreme
NET POSITION MOVEMENT INDEX:
– 6-Week Change in Strength Index:3.3-5.324.0

 


COCOA Futures:

COCOA Futures COT ChartThe COCOA large speculator standing this week equaled a net position of 28,214 contracts in the data reported through Tuesday. This was a weekly rise of 13,281 contracts from the previous week which had a total of 14,933 net contracts.

This week’s current strength score (the trader positioning range over the past three years, measured from 0 to 100) shows the speculators are currently Bearish with a score of 49.1 percent. The commercials are Bullish with a score of 51.4 percent and the small traders (not shown in chart) are Bearish with a score of 38.1 percent.

COCOA Futures StatisticsSPECULATORSCOMMERCIALSSMALL TRADERS
– Percent of Open Interest Longs:26.348.15.0
– Percent of Open Interest Shorts:14.660.93.9
– Net Position:28,214-30,8212,607
– Gross Longs:63,470116,40212,024
– Gross Shorts:35,256147,2239,417
– Long to Short Ratio:1.8 to 10.8 to 11.3 to 1
NET POSITION TREND:
– Strength Index Score (3 Year Range Pct):49.151.438.1
– Strength Index Reading (3 Year Range):BearishBullishBearish
NET POSITION MOVEMENT INDEX:
– 6-Week Change in Strength Index:34.0-34.514.9

 


WHEAT Futures:

WHEAT Futures COT ChartThe WHEAT large speculator standing this week equaled a net position of 4,840 contracts in the data reported through Tuesday. This was a weekly advance of 6,306 contracts from the previous week which had a total of -1,466 net contracts.

This week’s current strength score (the trader positioning range over the past three years, measured from 0 to 100) shows the speculators are currently Bullish with a score of 51.1 percent. The commercials are Bearish with a score of 45.9 percent and the small traders (not shown in chart) are Bullish with a score of 53.8 percent.

WHEAT Futures StatisticsSPECULATORSCOMMERCIALSSMALL TRADERS
– Percent of Open Interest Longs:28.241.08.0
– Percent of Open Interest Shorts:26.939.610.7
– Net Position:4,8405,160-10,000
– Gross Longs:106,763155,14430,339
– Gross Shorts:101,923149,98440,339
– Long to Short Ratio:1.0 to 11.0 to 10.8 to 1
NET POSITION TREND:
– Strength Index Score (3 Year Range Pct):51.145.953.8
– Strength Index Reading (3 Year Range):BullishBearishBullish
NET POSITION MOVEMENT INDEX:
– 6-Week Change in Strength Index:-9.213.2-13.0

 


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*COT Report: The COT data, released weekly to the public each Friday, is updated through the most recent Tuesday (data is 3 days old) and shows a quick view of how large speculators or non-commercials (for-profit traders) were positioned in the futures markets.

The CFTC categorizes trader positions according to commercial hedgers (traders who use futures contracts for hedging as part of the business), non-commercials (large traders who speculate to realize trading profits) and nonreportable traders (usually small traders/speculators) as well as their open interest (contracts open in the market at time of reporting).See CFTC criteria here.