COT Speculators boost Corn bullish bets to best level of past 22-weeks

November 20, 2021

By InvestMacro | COT | Data Tables | COT Leaders | Downloads | COT Newsletter

Here are the latest charts and statistics for the Commitment of Traders (COT) data published by the Commodities Futures Trading Commission (CFTC).

The latest COT data is updated through Tuesday November 16th 2021 and shows a quick view of how large traders (for-profit speculators and commercial entities) were positioned in the futures markets.

Highlighting the COT Soft Commodities data this week is the gains almost across the board in these markets. This week’s positive data changes in nominal speculator contracts saw soft commodities take five out of the top seven places of all the markets we track. Soybean Meal speculators added 28,354 contracts to their standings this week while Corn specs added 23,888 contracts, Soybeans bets rose by 19,333 contracts, Wheat wagers increased by 17,558 contracts and Sugar tacked on 15,358 contracts to its overall net position.

Corn positions, in particular, are seeing rising bullish sentiment and have jumped by a total of 122,157 contracts over just the past four weeks. The Corn speculative net positions is now at its highest level of the past twenty-two weeks, dating back to June 15th.


Data Snapshot of Commodity Market Traders | Columns Legend
Nov-16-2021OIOI-IndexSpec-NetSpec-IndexCom-NetCOM-IndexSmalls-NetSmalls-Index
WTI Crude2,057,63318415,78544-470,3244154,53992
Gold612,61254259,78073-287,5392727,75948
Silver152,4041845,62568-66,1483420,52361
Copper208,0663220,33757-30,8053810,46886
Palladium11,84024-2,03871,976916248
Platinum62,2842621,01333-28,225697,21263
Natural Gas1,308,70845-144,6203598,4156246,20596
Brent199,93039-12,900987,41205,48894
Heating Oil380,8872617,02967-37,0103219,98168
Soybeans662,9721346,91742-4,92765-41,9902
Corn1,598,92638399,18681-340,67223-58,5149
Coffee286,3434866,08197-70,07553,99416
Sugar906,38521227,38983-276,1851648,79668
Wheat427,7864936,76178-27,99914-8,76260

 


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CORN Futures:

Federal Funds 30-Day Bonds Futures COT ChartThe CORN large speculator standing this week reached a net position of 399,186 contracts in the data reported through Tuesday. This was a weekly increase of 23,888 contracts from the previous week which had a total of 375,298 net contracts.

This week’s current strength score (the trader positioning range over the past three years, measured from 0 to 100) shows the speculators are currently Bullish-Extreme with a score of 81.0 percent. The commercials are Bearish with a score of 23.4 percent and the small traders (not shown in chart) are Bearish-Extreme with a score of 9.4 percent.

CORN Futures StatisticsSPECULATORSCOMMERCIALSSMALL TRADERS
– Percent of Open Interest Longs:31.645.38.5
– Percent of Open Interest Shorts:6.666.612.1
– Net Position:399,186-340,672-58,514
– Gross Longs:504,851724,785135,589
– Gross Shorts:105,6651,065,457194,103
– Long to Short Ratio:4.8 to 10.7 to 10.7 to 1
NET POSITION TREND:
– COT Index Score (3 Year Range Pct):81.023.49.4
– COT Index Reading (3 Year Range):Bullish-ExtremeBearishBearish-Extreme
NET POSITION MOVEMENT INDEX:
– 6-Week Change in Strength Index:13.1-14.70.5

 


SUGAR Futures:

2-Year Treasury Bonds Futures COT ChartThe SUGAR large speculator standing this week reached a net position of 227,389 contracts in the data reported through Tuesday. This was a weekly lift of 15,358 contracts from the previous week which had a total of 212,031 net contracts.

This week’s current strength score (the trader positioning range over the past three years, measured from 0 to 100) shows the speculators are currently Bullish-Extreme with a score of 83.3 percent. The commercials are Bearish-Extreme with a score of 15.8 percent and the small traders (not shown in chart) are Bullish with a score of 68.2 percent.

SUGAR Futures StatisticsSPECULATORSCOMMERCIALSSMALL TRADERS
– Percent of Open Interest Longs:30.842.810.7
– Percent of Open Interest Shorts:5.773.35.3
– Net Position:227,389-276,18548,796
– Gross Longs:278,893388,33496,952
– Gross Shorts:51,504664,51948,156
– Long to Short Ratio:5.4 to 10.6 to 12.0 to 1
NET POSITION TREND:
– COT Index Score (3 Year Range Pct):83.315.868.2
– COT Index Reading (3 Year Range):Bullish-ExtremeBearish-ExtremeBullish
NET POSITION MOVEMENT INDEX:
– 6-Week Change in Strength Index:-4.13.23.8

 


COFFEE Futures:

5-Year Treasury Bonds Futures COT ChartThe COFFEE large speculator standing this week reached a net position of 66,081 contracts in the data reported through Tuesday. This was a weekly increase of 5,261 contracts from the previous week which had a total of 60,820 net contracts.

This week’s current strength score (the trader positioning range over the past three years, measured from 0 to 100) shows the speculators are currently Bullish-Extreme with a score of 96.6 percent. The commercials are Bearish-Extreme with a score of 4.9 percent and the small traders (not shown in chart) are Bearish-Extreme with a score of 16.0 percent.

COFFEE Futures StatisticsSPECULATORSCOMMERCIALSSMALL TRADERS
– Percent of Open Interest Longs:27.842.83.9
– Percent of Open Interest Shorts:4.767.32.6
– Net Position:66,081-70,0753,994
– Gross Longs:79,550122,59411,308
– Gross Shorts:13,469192,6697,314
– Long to Short Ratio:5.9 to 10.6 to 11.5 to 1
NET POSITION TREND:
– COT Index Score (3 Year Range Pct):96.64.916.0
– COT Index Reading (3 Year Range):Bullish-ExtremeBearish-ExtremeBearish-Extreme
NET POSITION MOVEMENT INDEX:
– 6-Week Change in Strength Index:-0.40.7-3.2

 


SOYBEANS Futures:

10-Year Treasury Notes Bonds Futures COT ChartThe SOYBEANS large speculator standing this week reached a net position of 46,917 contracts in the data reported through Tuesday. This was a weekly boost of 19,333 contracts from the previous week which had a total of 27,584 net contracts.

This week’s current strength score (the trader positioning range over the past three years, measured from 0 to 100) shows the speculators are currently Bearish with a score of 42.0 percent. The commercials are Bullish with a score of 64.7 percent and the small traders (not shown in chart) are Bearish-Extreme with a score of 2.0 percent.

SOYBEANS Futures StatisticsSPECULATORSCOMMERCIALSSMALL TRADERS
– Percent of Open Interest Longs:20.059.06.9
– Percent of Open Interest Shorts:12.959.813.3
– Net Position:46,917-4,927-41,990
– Gross Longs:132,364391,21745,975
– Gross Shorts:85,447396,14487,965
– Long to Short Ratio:1.5 to 11.0 to 10.5 to 1
NET POSITION TREND:
– COT Index Score (3 Year Range Pct):42.064.72.0
– COT Index Reading (3 Year Range):BearishBullishBearish-Extreme
NET POSITION MOVEMENT INDEX:
– 6-Week Change in Strength Index:-1.14.2-21.9

 


SOYBEAN MEAL Futures:

US Year Treasury Notes Long Bonds Futures COT ChartThe SOYBEAN MEAL large speculator standing this week reached a net position of 73,989 contracts in the data reported through Tuesday. This was a weekly boost of 28,354 contracts from the previous week which had a total of 45,635 net contracts.

This week’s current strength score (the trader positioning range over the past three years, measured from 0 to 100) shows the speculators are currently Bullish with a score of 72.1 percent. The commercials are Bearish with a score of 25.4 percent and the small traders (not shown in chart) are Bullish with a score of 74.3 percent.

SOYBEAN MEAL Futures StatisticsSPECULATORSCOMMERCIALSSMALL TRADERS
– Percent of Open Interest Longs:22.644.211.9
– Percent of Open Interest Shorts:6.566.06.3
– Net Position:73,989-99,86625,877
– Gross Longs:103,903203,23954,734
– Gross Shorts:29,914303,10528,857
– Long to Short Ratio:3.5 to 10.7 to 11.9 to 1
NET POSITION TREND:
– COT Index Score (3 Year Range Pct):72.125.474.3
– COT Index Reading (3 Year Range):BullishBearishBullish
NET POSITION MOVEMENT INDEX:
– 6-Week Change in Strength Index:41.8-43.824.8

 


LIVE CATTLE Futures:

Ultra US Year Treasury Notes Long Bonds Futures COT ChartThe LIVE CATTLE large speculator standing this week reached a net position of 52,226 contracts in the data reported through Tuesday. This was a weekly lift of 3,023 contracts from the previous week which had a total of 49,203 net contracts.

This week’s current strength score (the trader positioning range over the past three years, measured from 0 to 100) shows the speculators are currently Bearish with a score of 24.1 percent. The commercials are Bullish with a score of 72.5 percent and the small traders (not shown in chart) are Bullish with a score of 64.7 percent.

LIVE CATTLE Futures StatisticsSPECULATORSCOMMERCIALSSMALL TRADERS
– Percent of Open Interest Longs:34.139.49.9
– Percent of Open Interest Shorts:16.753.713.0
– Net Position:52,226-43,034-9,192
– Gross Longs:102,550118,41029,742
– Gross Shorts:50,324161,44438,934
– Long to Short Ratio:2.0 to 10.7 to 10.8 to 1
NET POSITION TREND:
– COT Index Score (3 Year Range Pct):24.172.564.7
– COT Index Reading (3 Year Range):BearishBullishBullish
NET POSITION MOVEMENT INDEX:
– 6-Week Change in Strength Index:12.4-11.8-9.9

 


LEAN HOGS Futures:

Eurodollar Bonds Futures COT ChartThe LEAN HOGS large speculator standing this week reached a net position of 46,764 contracts in the data reported through Tuesday. This was a weekly lift of 1,827 contracts from the previous week which had a total of 44,937 net contracts.

This week’s current strength score (the trader positioning range over the past three years, measured from 0 to 100) shows the speculators are currently Bullish with a score of 59.3 percent. The commercials are Bullish with a score of 50.2 percent and the small traders (not shown in chart) are Bearish-Extreme with a score of 10.2 percent.

LEAN HOGS Futures StatisticsSPECULATORSCOMMERCIALSSMALL TRADERS
– Percent of Open Interest Longs:39.134.97.8
– Percent of Open Interest Shorts:18.448.814.4
– Net Position:46,764-31,629-15,135
– Gross Longs:88,45578,85517,531
– Gross Shorts:41,691110,48432,666
– Long to Short Ratio:2.1 to 10.7 to 10.5 to 1
NET POSITION TREND:
– COT Index Score (3 Year Range Pct):59.350.210.2
– COT Index Reading (3 Year Range):BullishBullishBearish-Extreme
NET POSITION MOVEMENT INDEX:
– 6-Week Change in Strength Index:-28.027.05.2

 


COTTON Futures:

Ultra 10-Year Treasury Notes Bonds Futures COT ChartThe COTTON large speculator standing this week reached a net position of 108,441 contracts in the data reported through Tuesday. This was a weekly boost of 4,928 contracts from the previous week which had a total of 103,513 net contracts.

This week’s current strength score (the trader positioning range over the past three years, measured from 0 to 100) shows the speculators are currently Bullish-Extreme with a score of 91.8 percent. The commercials are Bearish-Extreme with a score of 7.2 percent and the small traders (not shown in chart) are Bullish-Extreme with a score of 91.6 percent.

COTTON Futures StatisticsSPECULATORSCOMMERCIALSSMALL TRADERS
– Percent of Open Interest Longs:44.835.38.1
– Percent of Open Interest Shorts:4.180.63.4
– Net Position:108,441-120,94512,504
– Gross Longs:119,40394,05521,485
– Gross Shorts:10,962215,0008,981
– Long to Short Ratio:10.9 to 10.4 to 12.4 to 1
NET POSITION TREND:
– COT Index Score (3 Year Range Pct):91.87.291.6
– COT Index Reading (3 Year Range):Bullish-ExtremeBearish-ExtremeBullish-Extreme
NET POSITION MOVEMENT INDEX:
– 6-Week Change in Strength Index:-8.27.23.2

 


COCOA Futures:

US Year Treasury Notes Long Bonds Futures COT ChartThe COCOA large speculator standing this week reached a net position of 4,521 contracts in the data reported through Tuesday. This was a weekly rise of 9,142 contracts from the previous week which had a total of -4,621 net contracts.

This week’s current strength score (the trader positioning range over the past three years, measured from 0 to 100) shows the speculators are currently Bearish with a score of 27.4 percent. The commercials are Bullish with a score of 72.6 percent and the small traders (not shown in chart) are Bearish with a score of 37.3 percent.

COCOA Futures StatisticsSPECULATORSCOMMERCIALSSMALL TRADERS
– Percent of Open Interest Longs:26.953.34.7
– Percent of Open Interest Shorts:25.056.33.6
– Net Position:4,521-7,0532,532
– Gross Longs:63,037124,69910,926
– Gross Shorts:58,516131,7528,394
– Long to Short Ratio:1.1 to 10.9 to 11.3 to 1
NET POSITION TREND:
– COT Index Score (3 Year Range Pct):27.472.637.3
– COT Index Reading (3 Year Range):BearishBullishBearish
NET POSITION MOVEMENT INDEX:
– 6-Week Change in Strength Index:-36.036.9-20.2

 


WHEAT Futures:

Ultra US Year Treasury Notes Long Bonds Futures COT ChartThe WHEAT large speculator standing this week reached a net position of 36,761 contracts in the data reported through Tuesday. This was a weekly advance of 17,558 contracts from the previous week which had a total of 19,203 net contracts.

This week’s current strength score (the trader positioning range over the past three years, measured from 0 to 100) shows the speculators are currently Bullish with a score of 78.3 percent. The commercials are Bearish-Extreme with a score of 13.6 percent and the small traders (not shown in chart) are Bullish with a score of 59.7 percent.

WHEAT Futures StatisticsSPECULATORSCOMMERCIALSSMALL TRADERS
– Percent of Open Interest Longs:30.935.18.0
– Percent of Open Interest Shorts:22.341.610.1
– Net Position:36,761-27,999-8,762
– Gross Longs:132,167150,05534,249
– Gross Shorts:95,406178,05443,011
– Long to Short Ratio:1.4 to 10.8 to 10.8 to 1
NET POSITION TREND:
– COT Index Score (3 Year Range Pct):78.313.659.7
– COT Index Reading (3 Year Range):BullishBearish-ExtremeBullish
NET POSITION MOVEMENT INDEX:
– 6-Week Change in Strength Index:25.1-30.910.7

 


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*COT Report: The COT data, released weekly to the public each Friday, is updated through the most recent Tuesday (data is 3 days old) and shows a quick view of how large speculators or non-commercials (for-profit traders) were positioned in the futures markets.

The CFTC categorizes trader positions according to commercial hedgers (traders who use futures contracts for hedging as part of the business), non-commercials (large traders who speculate to realize trading profits) and nonreportable traders (usually small traders/speculators) as well as their open interest (contracts open in the market at time of reporting).See CFTC criteria here.