The Analytical Overview of the Main Currency Pairs on 2021.08.12

The EUR/USD currency pair

• Prev Open: 1.1719
• Prev Close: 1.1739
• % chg. over the last day: +0.17%

During the news release about the dollar index decline, the European currency, which has an inverse correlation with the US dollar, increased by 0.17% yesterday. But European inflation data is still weak. Germany annual inflation rate increased from 2.3% to 3.8% in July, which is in line with economists’ forecasts, but inflation is still rising.

• Support levels: 1.1706, 1.1609
• Resistance levels: 1.1754, 1.1799, 1.1817, 1.1854, 1.1894, 1.1934, 1.1969

From a technical point of view, the general trend on the EUR/USD currency pair is bearish. But the price showed a bullish initiative from the daily support level yesterday. Under such market conditions, it is best to look for the sell trades from the resistance levels near the moving average. Buy trades can only be considered throughout the day from the zone where the buyers showed initiative.

Alternative scenario: if the price breaks through the 1.1854 resistance level and fixes above, the mid-term uptrend will likely resume.

• – Eurozone Industrial Production (m/m) at 12:00 (GMT+3);
• – US Producer Price Index (m/m) at 15:30 (GMT+3);
• – US Initial Jobless Claims (w/w) at 15:30 (GMT+3).

The GBP/USD currency pair

• Prev Open: 1.3835
• Prev Close: 1.3864
• % chg. over the last day: +0.21%

Yesterday, the British currency added 0.21% amid the temporary weakness of the dollar index. There will be a lot of important macroeconomic statistics in the UK today. Good data may lead to the growth of the GBP/USD quotes.

• Support levels: 1.3825, 1.3772, 1.3714, 1.3676 ,1.3641, 1.3614, 1.3525
• Resistance levels: 1.3886, 1.3935, 1.4002, 1.4075, 1.4101

The trend of the GBP/USD currency pair is bullish on the hourly time frame. The price rebounded from the support level and broke through the local descending channel. The MACD indicator has become positive. Under such market conditions, traders are better to look for the buy trades from the zone where the buyers showed initiative. Sell positions can be considered from the resistance levels and only on intraday timeframes.

Alternative scenario: if the price breaks through the 1.3714 support level and consolidates below, the bearish scenario is likely to resume.

• – UK Industrial Production (m/m) at 09:00 (GMT+3);
• – UK Manufacturing Production (m/m) at 09:00 (GMT+3).

The USD/JPY currency pair

• Prev Open: 110.54
• Prev Close: 110.43
• % chg. over the last day: -0.10%

The USD/JPY currency pair decreased by 0.1% due to a drop in the dollar index. Japan’s industrial production index increased from 5.0% to 5.6% on a year-on-year basis. It’s better than economists’ forecasts, but the overall Q3 fundamental forecast for Japan remains weak.

• Support levels: 110.34, 109.88, 109.43, 109.19, 108.65
• Resistance levels: 110.66, 110.95, 111.48

The main trend on the USD/JPY currency pair is bullish. The MACD indicator went below zero. Under such market conditions, it is better to look for the buy positions from the support level near the moving average. Sell positions should be considered only on the lower time frames from the zone where the sellers showed initiative.

Alternative scenario: if the price falls below 109.19, the uptrend is likely to be broken.

• – Japan Industrial Production (m/m) at 07:30 (GMT+3).

The USD/CAD currency pair

• Prev Open: 1.2519
• Prev Close: 1.2503
• % chg. over the last day: -0.13%

The Canadian dollar is highly dependent on the performance of the dollar index and oil price performance. Yesterday, the decrease in the dollar index and the rise in oil prices caused a strengthening of the Canadian dollar and a decrease in the USD/CAD quotes.

• Support levels: 1.2471, 1.2425, 1.2370, 1.2312
• Resistance levels: 1.2518, 1.2554, 1.2602, 1.2671, 1.2787, 1.2951

Considering technical analysis, the USD/CAD trend is bearish. The price went below the moving average, and the MACD indicator shows signs of divergence. Under such market conditions, it is better to look for the sell positions from the resistance levels. Traders should consider the buy positions from the support levels and only on intraday time frames.

Alternative scenario: if the price breaks through the 1.2671 resistance level and fixes above, the uptrend is likely to be resumed.