Archive for Financial News – Page 243

The cryptocurrency market digest (BTC, USDC). Overview for 11.01.2023

By RoboForex.com

The BTC is trying to grow and for now it is doing a good job. On Wednesday, the crypto is chiefly moving around 17,431 USD. This is very close to a new intermediate resistance level of 17,500 USD that can open a pathway to 18,500 USD.

The market enjoys good dynamics of American stock indices, and correlation between the BTC and the S&P 500 and Nasdaq benchmarks recovered. Jerome Powell, the head of the Federal Reserve System who delivered a speech yesterday, never touched upon financial policy, so the markets remained balanced.

Now we wait for the US December inflation report as it will be the most interesting event of the week.

In the middle of the week, capitalisation of the crypto market is 857.617 billion USD. The BTC takes up 39.2% and the ETH – 19.0%.

USDC transaction volume increased noticeably

After the crash of the FTX exchange, the USDC stablecoin became much more popular than earlier. Daily transaction volume is 4-5 times larger than that of the USDT. The imbalance becomes even more pronounced when we recall that the USDT has a 23 billion USD larger capitalisation.

Shiba Inu and Bugatti launch NFT collection

A crypto project Shiba Inu alongside its affiliate Bugatti announced launch of a collection of Bugatti X Shiboshi NFTs. To present a limited series of physical objects, the affiliates will organize a special event. The digital collection will hold 299 unique tokens at a price of 0.14 ETH minimum.

Article By RoboForex.com

Attention!
Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex LP bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews.

Inflation in Australia has reached a 30-year-high. World Bank cuts growth forecast for most countries

By JustMarkets

The US indices were trading up yesterday. By the close of trading yesterday, the Dow Jones (US30) increased by 0.56%, and the S&P500 (US500) added 0.70%. The NASDAQ Technology Index (US100) jumped by 1.01% on Tuesday.

In his speech at a banking symposium in Sweden, Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell provided no new information on monetary policy but pointed to the Central Bank’s resolve, saying that unpopular decisions may be needed to lower inflation. This is in line with comments from other US Federal Reserve officials: San Francisco Fed President Mary Daley and Atlanta Fed President Rafael Bostic are insisting that the US Fed will hold rates higher for a longer period of time. Investors are trying to predict the next steps of the major central banks. The main factor will be the US inflation data, which will be released on Thursday. The decline in consumer prices will likely force the US Federal Reserve to lower the pace of rate hikes to 0.25%.

The World Bank lowered its growth forecasts for most countries and regions and warned that more adverse shocks could lead to a global recession. Global gross domestic product will likely increase by 1.7% this year. This would be the third-worst result in three decades. The bank also cut its growth estimates for 2024. Among the main reasons are persistent inflation, high-interest rates, Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, and lower investment.

Stock markets in Europe were mostly down yesterday. Germany’s DAX (DE30) decreased by 0.12%, France’s CAC 40 (FR40) lost 0.55%, Spain’s IBEX 35 (ES35) added 0.29%, Britain’s FTSE 100 (UK100) closed down 0.39% on Tuesday.

ECB board spokeswoman Isabelle Schnabel said yesterday at the International Symposium on Central Bank Independence that the ECB will continue its rate hike cycle and that rates should rise significantly. With the Fed’s rate hike cycle coming to an end and the ECB still operating at full power, the rate differential is likely to strengthen the euro.

Crude oil prices rose slightly on Tuesday. Oil traders are waiting for the key data on US oil inventories, which are expected to decline. Against the background of the opening of China (the largest oil importer), it may be a trigger for oil to rise.

Asian markets traded without a single dynamic yesterday. Japan’s Nikkei 225 (JP225) gained 0.78%, China’s FTSE China A50 (CHA50) added 0.11%, Hong Kong’s Hang Sengv(HK50) ended the day down 0.27%, India’s NIFTY 50 (IND50) decreased by 1.03%, and Australia’s S&P/ASX 200 (AU200) ended the day down 0.28%

China is considering allowing local governments to borrow more debt for infrastructure projects. Base metals, especially copper, rose on the prospect that China will resume higher levels of industrial production after the economy opens. A revival in consumer demand is likely to lead China to improve international relations as well. The focus this week will also be on China’s inflation data for December. The country’s slowing economic growth is expected to lead to deflationary trends.

The consumer price level in Australia rose to a 30-year high. On an annualized basis, consumer prices rose from 6.9% to 7.3% (7.2% expected). Rising inflation will likely lead to further tightening of policy by the Central Bank, which will provide additional support to the Australian currency.

S&P 500 (F) (US500) 3,919.25 −2.99 (+0.70%)

Dow Jones (US30) 33,704.10 +186.45 (+0.56%)

DAX (DE40) 14,774.60 −18.23 (−0.12%)

FTSE 100 (UK100) 7,694.49 −30.45 (−0.39%)

USD Index 103.27 +0.27 (+0.26%)

Important events for today:
  • – Australia Consumer Price Index (m/m) at 02:30 (GMT+2);
  • – Australia Retail Sales (m/m) at 02:30 (GMT+2);
  • – US Crude Oil Reserves (w/w) at 17:30 (GMT+2).

By JustMarkets

 

This article reflects a personal opinion and should not be interpreted as an investment advice, and/or offer, and/or a persistent request for carrying out financial transactions, and/or a guarantee, and/or a forecast of future events.

Green Tech Co. Resists Plant’s ‘Mine’ Designation

Source: Streetwise Reports  (1/6/23)

‘We don’t mine anything,’ says tech company that uses bioleaching to recover precious metals from recovered mine waste.

BacTech Environmental Corp. (BAC:CSE;BCCEF:OTCQB;OBT1:FRA) is hoping to start construction soon on its bioleaching plant in Tenguel, Ecuador.

It has received its construction permit and approval from the government for its environmental impact study on the site but is working through the community consultation phase before the government issues the final environmental permit for the mine.

The problem is, it’s not a mine. Using naturally occurring bacteria, bioleaching makes it possible to get precious metals from already recovered lower-grade ore.

President and Chief Executive Officer Ross Orr said BacTech had asked the government to drop the mine designation, which could let construction start even earlier than expected.

“We don’t mine anything,” Orr said. “In fact, we fill in holes as opposed to digging them.”

Longtime investor in the company Chris Temple, editor of The National Investor, said BacTech “should be on your radar.”

Longtime investor in the company Chris Temple, editor of The National Investor, said BacTech “should be on your radar.”

“2023 appears to be a breakout year potentially for BacTech,” Temple wrote in December. “Discussions/negotiations are ongoing with several potential project financing partners. If something comes to fruition sooner rather than later, we could see construction commence within not many months’ time. And then it should be off to the races.”

The Catalyst: Green Mining Sector Growing

BacTech is building the plant to take advantage of the growing green mining space, a sector research company Markets and Markets said is expected to grow from an estimated US$9 billion in 2019 to US$12.9 billion by 2024.

Pressures from government and environmental groups are forcing companies to raise their capital and operating expenditures.

“As the countries tighten the environmental regulations and the public concern about the mining industry grows, this increases the pressure on these mining companies to minimize their environmental impacts and pay a higher amount to the occurring local issues,” Markets and Markets wrote.

As part of the community consultation phase, BacTech is taking part in presentations and town halls and replying to questions from locals.

Temple and Orr both said they believe the project will be popular with residents and the government.

“An Ecuadorian government wanting (a) solid, long-term business that both employs its citizens (and at some of the highest wages in the country in this case) . . .  and cleans up the environment sees this as a no-brainer,” Temple wrote.

Rock-Eating Bugs

Bacteria drive the process by chewing and oxidizing the sulfides in the rock like mortar in a brick wall. Once that mortar is gone, the wall crashes down. “Our bugs eat rocks,” as BacTech’s website says.

Bioleaching was attempted commercially in South Africa in 1986. There have been more than 20 plants built globally since then.

The site’s construction permit was approved in March, and BacTech signed an Investment Protection Agreement (IPA) with the government in May, giving it a 12-year income tax holiday and international arbitration for disputes.

As of the end of October, about 62% of the equipment for the plant had been procured, the company said.

The plant will have a small footprint, as much of the 100 acres of land bought for it will continue to be used by local farmers. BacTech has agreed to let them keep harvesting 80% of the farm’s thousands of cocoa trees.

For the feed going into the plant, there are 90 small mines in the area that produce significant amounts of arsenic with gold in the area. The plant would process about 30,900 ounces gold (Au) per year. There is potential for expansion; the total availability of materials in the area is an estimated 250 tonnes per day.

The plant would have pre-tax earnings of about US$10.9 million and a two-year payback period, according to data from EPCM Consultores.

Ownership and Share Structure

Retail: 51%
Insiders, management, strategic shareholders: 49%
51%
49%
Share Structure as of 1/5/2023

BacTech recently started trading on the OTCQB Venture Market in the United States under the ticker symbol BCCEF. It continues to be traded on the Canadian Stock Exchange under BAC.

Nearly half of the company, 49%, is held by insiders, management, and strategic shareholders, the biggest of which is Option Three Advisory Services Ltd., which owns 8.98%, or 15.57 million shares, according to Reuters. That also includes CEO Orr, who owns 3.78% or 6.54 million shares, and Board Director Timothy Lewin, who owns 0.57% or 0.98 million shares.

Currently, BacTech is covered by newsletter writers Clive Maund of clivemaund.com, Bob Moriarty of 321gold.com, and Chris Temple of The National Investor. Click “See More Live Data” in the data box below to see what they are saying.

The company has 173.4 million shares outstanding, including 149 million free floating. Its market cap is CA$11.32 million, and it trades in a 52-week range of CA$0.16 and CA$0.055.

Disclosures:

1) Steve Sobek wrote this article for Streetwise Reports LLC. He or members of his household own securities of the following companies mentioned in the article: None. He or members of his household are paid by the following companies mentioned in this article: None.

2) The following companies mentioned in this article are billboard sponsors of Streetwise Reports: BacTech Environmental Corp. Click here for important disclosures about sponsor fees. The information provided above is for informational purposes only and is not a recommendation to buy or sell any security. As of the date of this article, an affiliate of Streetwise Reports has a consulting relationship with BacTech Environmental Corp. Please click here for more information.

3) The article does not constitute investment advice. Each reader is encouraged to consult with his or her individual financial professional and any action a reader takes as a result of information presented here is his or her own responsibility. By opening this page, each reader accepts and agrees to Streetwise Reports’ terms of use and full legal disclaimer. This article is not a solicitation for investment. Streetwise Reports does not render general or specific investment advice and the information on Streetwise Reports should not be considered a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Streetwise Reports does not endorse or recommend the business, products, services or securities of any company mentioned on Streetwise Reports.

4) From time to time, Streetwise Reports LLC and its directors, officers, employees or members of their families, as well as persons interviewed for articles and interviews on the site, may have a long or short position in securities mentioned. Directors, officers, employees or members of their immediate families are prohibited from making purchases and/or sales of those securities in the open market or otherwise from the time of the decision to publish an article until three business days after the publication of the article. The foregoing prohibition does not apply to articles that in substance only restate previously published company releases. As of the date of this article, officers and/or employees of Streetwise Reports LLC (including members of their household) own securities of BacTech Environmental Corp., a company mentioned in this article.

Ichimoku Cloud Analysis 10.01.2023 (GBPUSD, GOLD, USDCHF)

By RoboForex.com

GBPUSD, “Great Britain Pound vs US Dollar”

The currency pair has left the borders of the descending channel. The instrument is going above the Ichimoku Cloud, which suggests an uptrend. A test of the upper border of the Cloud at 1.2010 is expected, followed by growth to 1.2425. An additional signal confirming the growth will be a bounce off the upper border of the descending channel. The scenario can be cancelled by a breakaway of the lower border of the Cloud and securing under 1.1905, which will mean further falling to 1.1810.

GBPUSD
Risk Warning: the result of previous trading operations do not guarantee the same results in the future

XAUUSD, “Gold vs US Dollar”

The instrument is pushing off the Tenkan-Sen line. Gold is going above the Ichimoku Cloud, which suggests an uptrend. A test of the upper border of the Cloud at 1840 is expected, followed by growth to 1945. An additional signal confirming the growth will be a bounce off the lower border of the bullish channel. The scenario can be cancelled by a breakaway of the lower border of the Cloud and securing under 1810, which will mean further falling to 1765.

XAUUSD
Risk Warning: the result of previous trading operations do not guarantee the same results in the future

USDCHF, “US Dollar vs Swiss Franc”

The currency pair has secured under the support level. The instrument is going below the Ichimoku Cloud, which suggests a downtrend. A test of the Tenkan-Sen line at 0.9225 is expected, followed by falling to 0.9045. An additional signal confirming the decline will be a bounce off the lower border of the bullish channel. The scenario can be cancelled by a breakaway of the upper border of the Cloud and securing above 0.9350, which will mean further growth to 0.9445.

USDCHF

Article By RoboForex.com

Attention!
Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex LP bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews.

The focus today is on the banking symposium. Inflation in Tokyo set another record

By JustMarkets

The US indices traded yesterday without a single trend. Dips in healthcare and energy stocks offset gains in the high-tech sector. At the close of trading yesterday, the Dow Jones index (US30) decreased by 0.34%, while the S&P500 index (US500) lost 0.08%. The NASDAQ Technology Index (US100) gained 0.63% on Monday.

Goldman Sachs analysts believe the US economy will be more resilient to monetary tightening than other G10 economies, as not only a strong labor market but also a housing finance structure and energy self-sufficiency will help. Unlike Europe, most US households have fixed-rate mortgages that are locked in at historically low levels and are not subject to Fed rate hikes.

Neuberger’s experts believe that now is a great opportunity to buy Tesla (TSLA) stock. According to analysts, the electric carmaker’s business model remains strong, and current price levels are attractive.

The heads of the central banks of the United States, Canada, and Japan will speak at a banking symposium in Sweden today. Markets will be watching for any changes to the Fed chairman’s hawkish rhetoric, especially amid growing signs of declining inflation in the US.

At the end of this week, the US earning season begins. As usual, the season will start with the banking sector. US banking giants are forecast to report lower profits and lower next quarter forecasts.

Equity markets in Europe were mostly up yesterday. German DAX (DE30) gained 1.25%, French CAC 40 (FR40) added 0.68%, Spanish IBEX 35 (ES35) lost 0.07%, and British FTSE 100 (UK100) closed on Monday with a 0.33% gain.

Geopolitics in Europe and energy prices are likely to continue to be the focus of investors’ attention. In early 2023, Europe’s energy outlook seems more hopeful. Gas reserves in Germany are back above 90%, and Europe as a whole is at 83%. The milder weather has led to a drop in demand.

After surging prices for most of 2022 due to weather-related disruptions and supply reductions caused by political and other disruptions in Russian gas production following the invasion of Ukraine, natural gas futures suddenly collapsed in December 2022. The market reversal was caused by unusually high winter temperatures last month. But on Monday, natural gas prices rose more than 5% as the forecast for the coming week points to lower temperatures that will increase consumption. Long-term forecasts from the European (ECMWF) weather forecast model version 2 (CFSv2) hint at another potentially cold period of weather that will occur from late January into February. If this forecast materializes, it could result in the withdrawal of more than 200 BСF or more in the coming weeks.

Oil traders are betting China’s economic recovery from tough COVID policies will boost oil consumption. With current production, increased demand will drive oil prices higher. Oil fell more than 8% last week, the most significant weekly decline in months. Oil rebounded on Monday after China fully reopened its borders to international trade. Oil demand in China usually rises every year after the Lunar New Year, which this year falls at the end of January.

Asian markets rose steadily yesterday. Japan’s Nikkei 225 (JP225) gained 0.59%, China’s FTSE China A50 (CHA50) added 0.97%, Hong Kong’s Hang Seng (HK50) jumped by 1.89%, India’s NIFTY 50 (IND50) increased by 1.35%, and Australia’s S&P/ASX 200 (AU200) ended the day up 0.59%.

According to bank analysts, Japan’s GDP growth will slow in 2023 from 1.2% to 1.0% but remain above its potential level, helped by a favorable macroeconomic environment. A stronger yen and softer border controls will likely improve trade conditions, and a fiscal stimulus program will support the recovery. Nationwide inflation in Japan has not yet peaked and is likely to reach 4.0% in early 2023, but will soon slow to 2% in the second quarter. Inflation in Tokyo has reached 4%, indicating a stronger-than-expected trend in consumer prices. This is the highest value since 1982. The largest contributors to the price increase were food and energy. Inflation in Tokyo is a leading indicator of the national CPI, and its higher rate suggests that national price growth is also likely to accelerate in December. This factor could further fuel rumors that the Bank of Japan will begin to adjust its monetary policy.

S&P 500 (F) (US500) 3,892.09 −2.99 (−0.077%)

Dow Jones (US30) 33,517.65 −112.96 (−0.34%)

DAX (DE40) 14,792.83 +182.81 (+1.25%)

FTSE 100 (UK100) 7,724.94 +25.45 (+0.33%)

USD Index 103.17 -0.71 (-0.68%)

Important events for today:
  • – Japan Tokyo Core CPI (m/m) at 01:30 (GMT+2);
  • – Canada BoC Gov Macklem Speaks at 12:10 (GMT+2);
  • – Japan BOJ Gov Kuroda Speaks at 12:10 (GMT+2);
  • – US Fed Chair Powell Speaks at 16:00 (GMT+2).

By JustMarkets

 

This article reflects a personal opinion and should not be interpreted as an investment advice, and/or offer, and/or a persistent request for carrying out financial transactions, and/or a guarantee, and/or a forecast of future events.

Markets Slip On Hawkish Fed Remarks

By ForexTime 

It’s a new year but the same old story with markets sensitive to Fed rate hike bets and hawkish chatter by policymakers.

Asian shares were knocked lower during early trading as investors evaluated comments from two Federal Reserve officials overnight. A sense of caution ahead of the key US inflation report on Thursday dampened the overall mood, encouraging investors to adopt a guarded approach towards riskier assets.

European futures are pointing to a lower open this morning amid the shaky risk sentiment. In the currency markets, the dollar was little changed but remains pressured by market expectations of a less hawkish Fed, despite the recent comments from Raphael Bostic and Mary Daly. Gold continues to shine, kissing levels not seen since May 2022 above $1880 while oil remains a fierce battleground for bulls and bears.

In other news, the World Bank is expected to unveil its global economic prospects report today. The international financial institution has already expressed concerns about the global economic outlook, warning of recession risk in 2023. Should the forecasts point to a global economic slowdown, another wave of risk aversion could sweep across markets as investors rush to safety.

More pain ahead for the Dollar?

Over the past few weeks, it has been the same old story for the tired dollar.

Expectations around a less hawkish Fed and subdued Treasury yields have clipped the greenback’s wings. Things are looking rough for the buck which has depreciated against almost every single G10 currency since the start of 2023. Bears remain in the vicinity despite the recent hawkish comments from Fed officials overnight with further downside on the cards if Thursday’s US inflation cools again.

According to Bloomberg, annual headline inflation for December is expected to cool to 6.5% from the prior print of 7.1%. Should expectations become reality, this will mark the sixth straight monthly decline and the lowest since October 2021. More signs of falling inflation may fuel talk around the Federal Reserve steering to a smaller rate hike at the start of next month. Alternatively, a hotter-than-expected CPI report could revive aggressive rate hike bets as investors question how slowly inflation will fall. Such a development could see the dollar rebound.

Before the key US inflation data later in the week, all eyes will be on Fed Chair Jerome Powell as he speaks during an international symposium at the Riksbank in Stockholm later today. Should the Fed Chair provide any guidance on rate hikes, this could influence the dollar.

Looking at the technicals, the DXY could be in store for more pain as the death cross technical pattern strikes. With the 50-period simple moving average (SMA) crossing down below the 200-day SMA, this signals a major trend reversal to the downside.  Sustained weakness below 103.00 could encourage a decline towards 101.30.

Currency spotlight – GBPUSD

It has been a choppy affair for GBPUSD recently as prices have traded within a 200-pip range with support at 1.1900 and resistance at 1.2100. However, the recent breakout has shifted the scales of power in favour of the bulls, with further upside on the cards. Bank of England Governor Andrew Bailey will be under the spotlight this morning as he speaks at the event at the Riksbank. This could translate to pound volatility depending on his remarks. Nevertheless, pound bulls remain in some control above 1.2100 with the next key levels of interest found at 1.2230 and 1.2300.

Commodity spotlight – Gold

Gold has kicked off 2023 on a solid note, gaining 2.7% since the start of the New Year.

The precious metal continues to draw strength from a softer dollar, falling Treasury yields, and growing expectations of a less hawkish Federal Reserve. Given how last Friday’s mixed jobs report has fanned speculation around the Fed slowing its rate hikes, further upside could be on the cards. In the meantime, gold’s outlook is likely to be influenced by the upcoming US inflation report. A further cooling in prices in December and lower bond yields would be a welcome development for zero-yielding gold. Looking at the technical picture, bulls remain in a position of power with the next key level of interest found at $1900.


Forex-Time-LogoArticle by ForexTime

ForexTime Ltd (FXTM) is an award winning international online forex broker regulated by CySEC 185/12 www.forextime.com

EUR Is Vigorous Again

By RoboForex Analytical Department

The first week of the year was really volatile for the market major. On Monday, it recovered and secured near 1.0680.

The reason for the nervous reaction was publication of the minutes of the US Fed’s meeting. The document mentioned inadequacy of emotional conclusions based on just the Fed’s decision to fight with inflation. As a result of all this, the USD got stronger.

Next, December reports on the US labour market came out. The unemployment rate dropped to 3.5%, though no changes had been anticipated. The NFP grew to 223 thousand instead of 200 thousand expected. The average wage growth decreased to 0.3% m/m from 0.6%. All this was good, but later the ISM report was released, and it demonstrated a serious decline in December. This sent the USD down – it could not ignore the fact that the economy keeps slowing down.

On H4, EUR/USD completed a wave of decline to 1.0482. Today the market has completed an impulse of growth to 1.0635. At the moment, the market has formed a consolidation range around this level. With an escape upwards, a pathway for a wave of growth to 1.0766 opened. After the pair reaches the level, a correction to 1.0635 should begin, followed by growth to 1.0785. Technically, this scenario is confirmed by the MACD: its signal line is directed strictly upwards, which suggests the continuation of a wave of growth.

On H1, EUR/USD has formed an impulse of growth to 1.0634. The market has formed a consolidation range around it. With an escape upwards, a pathway for the wave of growth to 1.0766 opened. The goal is local. Technically, the scenario is confirmed by the Stochastic oscillator. Its signal line is above 80. After the target level is reached, a link f decline to 50 is expected.

Disclaimer

Any forecasts contained herein are based on the author’s particular opinion. This analysis may not be treated as trading advice. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations and reviews contained herein.

Forex Technical Analysis & Forecast for January 2023

By RoboForex.com

EURUSD, “Euro vs US Dollar”

The currency pair has completed a wave of correction to 1.0510. The market has got support there, and the wave of growth might continue to 1.0804. The goal is local. After it is reached, a link of correction to 1.0222 is not excluded. Then a new structure of growth to 1.0900 should develop.

EURUSD
Risk Warning: the result of previous trading operations do not guarantee the same results in the future

GBPUSD, “Great Britain Pound vs US Dollar”

The currency pair completed a wave of correction to 1.1840. Upon getting support there, the market continues developing a wave of growth to 1.2320. After this level is reached, a new link of correction to 1.2220 is not excluded, followed by growth to 1.2777.

GBPUSD
Risk Warning: the result of previous trading operations do not guarantee the same results in the future

USDJPY, “US Dollar vs Japanese Yen”

The currency pair completed a wave of decline to 129.70. At the moment, the market has formed an impulse of growth to 134.76. Today it has completed a link of decline to 131.71. A consolidation range is expected to form around this level. With an escape downwards, another structure of decline to 128.73 may develop. With an escape upwards, the wave of growth might continue to 138.51.

USDJPY
Risk Warning: the result of previous trading operations do not guarantee the same results in the future

BRENT

Crude oil has completed a wave of correction to 86.40 and a link of growth to 82.60. After this level is reached, a decline to 72.60 might follow. Then a wave of growth to 100.00 might develop, from where the wave might continue to 127.45.

BRENT
Risk Warning: the result of previous trading operations do not guarantee the same results in the future

XAUUSD, “Gold vs US Dollar”

Gold has corrected to 1833.30. Getting support there, the market is developing a wave of growth. The quotes might then reach 1900.00, after which a correction to 1800.00 might follow.

GOLD
Risk Warning: the result of previous trading operations do not guarantee the same results in the future

S&P 500

The stock index has completed an impulse of decline to 3763.0. Today the market is forming a link of correction. Growth to 3953.4 looks possible. After this level is reached, the quotes might fall to 3550.5, then grow to 3752.0, and then decline to 3344.0.

S&P 500

Article By RoboForex.com

Attention!
Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex LP bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews.

Ichimoku Cloud Analysis 09.01.2023 (EURUSD, BRENT, USDCAD)

By RoboForex.com

EURUSD, “Euro vs US Dollar”

The currency pair is pushing off the upper border of the descending channel. The instrument is going above the Ichimoku Cloud, which suggests an uptrend. A test of the lower border of the Cloud at 1.0605 is expected, followed by growth to 1.0810. An additional signal confirming the growth will be a bounce off the upper border of the descending channel. The scenario can be cancelled by a breakaway of the lower border of the Cloud and securing under 1.0555, which will mean further falling to 1.0465.

EURUSD
Risk Warning: the result of previous trading operations do not guarantee the same results in the future

BRENT

Crude oil is testing the signal lines of the indicator. The instrument is going below the Ichimoku Cloud, which suggests a downtrend. A test of the Kijun-Sen line at 81.00 is expected, followed by falling to 72.65. An additional signal confirming the decline will be a bounce off the upper border of the descending channel. The scenario can be cancelled by a breakaway of the upper border of the Cloud and securing above 85.00, which will mean further growth to 90.00.

BRENT
Risk Warning: the result of previous trading operations do not guarantee the same results in the future

USDCAD, “US Dollar vs Canadian Dollar”

The pair has secured under the lower border of the descending channel. The instrument is going below the Ichimoku Cloud, which suggests a downtrend. A test of the broken border of the channel at 1.3430 is expected, followed by falling to 1.3255. An additional signal confirming the decline will be a bounce off the lower border of the bearish channel. The scenario can be cancelled by a breakaway of the upper border of the Cloud and securing above 1.3655, which will mean further growth to 1.3620.

USDCAD

Article By RoboForex.com

Attention!
Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex LP bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews.

The Analytical Overview of the Main Currency Pairs on 2023.01.09

By JustMarkets

The EUR/USD currency pair

Technical indicators of the currency pair:
  • Prev Open: 1.0516
  • Prev Close: 1.0644
  • % chg. over the last day: +1.22 %

Falling energy prices in the Eurozone (especially natural gas prices) helped weaken the overall inflation rate. On an annualized basis, the Eurozone’s overall inflation rate fell from 10.1% to 9.2%. Core inflation (which excludes food and energy prices) also fell from 5.1% to 5.0% year over year. But the detailed report indicates that price pressures in non-energy sectors are rising, especially for food. This indicates that inflation is still strong.

Trading recommendations
  • Support levels: 1.0650, 1.0589, 1.0535, 1.0497, 1.0480, 1.0361, 1.0332, 1.0284
  • Resistance levels: 1.0695

The trend on the EUR/USD currency pair on the hourly time frame is still bullish. The price is trading above the moving averages. The MACD indicator is in the positive zone, but there are signs of overbought, so it is worth waiting for a correction to find good entry points. Under such market conditions, buy trades are best considered from the support level 1.0650 or 1.0589 with confirmation on intraday timeframes. Sell deals can be considered from the resistance level of 1.0695 but better with confirmation in the form of a reverse initiative or a false breakout

Alternative scenario: if the price breaks down through the support level of 1.0497 and fixes below it, the downtrend will likely resume.

EUR/USD
News feed for 2023.01.09:
  • – German Industrial Production (m/m) at 09:00 (GMT+2);
  • – Eurozone Unemployment Rate (m/m) at 12:00 (GMT+2).

The GBP/USD currency pair

Technical indicators of the currency pair:
  • Prev Open: 1.1906
  • Prev Close: 1.2091
  • % chg. over the last day: +1.55 %

The non-farm report showed that the US economy added 223,000 jobs, higher than the expected 200,000. The unemployment rate fell to 3.5% from 3.7%, while average hourly earnings fell to 4.6% from a revised 4.8% decline. As the US labor market remains resilient, the Fed can expect to raise rates longer to keep inflation in check. But the dollar Index unexpectedly fell on a strong US labor market report, and this could be a “false” move, as a strong labor market, along with further rate hikes, is the foundation for a stronger dollar. Analysts still expect January and February to be strong months for the dollar and weak for the GBP.

Trading recommendations
  • Support levels: 1.2100, 1.2000, 1.1928, 1.1875, 1.1684, 1.1476, 1.1418
  • Resistance levels: 1.2193, 1.2308, 1.2431, 1.2519

From the technical point of view, the trend on the GBP/USD currency pair on the hourly time frame has changed to bullish. The price has broken through the priority change level and is trading above the moving averages. The MACD indicator is in the positive zone, and the pressure of buyers remains. Under such market conditions, it is better to look for buy trades on intraday time frames from the support level of 1.2100, but with confirmation. Sell trades are best sought from the resistance level of 1.2193 but also better with a confirmation in the form of a false breakout.

Alternative scenario: if the price breaks down through the 1.1875 support level and fixes above it, the downtrend will likely resume.

GBP/USD
There is no news feed for today.

The USD/JPY currency pair

Technical indicators of the currency pair:
  • Prev Open: 133.40
  • Prev Close: 132.08
  • % chg. over the last day: -0.99 %

Japanese Prime Minister Fumio Kishida said Sunday that his government and the Central Bank should discuss their relationship in guiding economic policy after he picks a new governor for the Bank of Japan (BOJ) in April. This raises the possibility that the government may reconsider its plan to work with the Central Bank and would lay the groundwork for an exit from the BOJ’s ultra-free monetary policy. Japan’s core consumer prices are at 3.7%, and analysts expect inflation to remain above the 2% target in the coming months, making a policy shift after the BOJ governor is re-elected even more likely.

Trading recommendations
  • Support levels: 131.12, 130.58, 129.65
  • Resistance levels: 132.89, 133.29, 134.45, 135.88, 137.03, 138.00, 139.09

From the technical point of view, the medium-term trend on the currency pair USD/JPY is bullish. The price is now trading below the moving averages, while the MACD indicator has become negative, indicating the sellers’ pressure inside the day. The decline now looks like a corrective wave before a new momentum. Buy trades are best considered from 131.12 or 130.58 support levels, but only with intraday confirmation. Sell deals can be searched for from the level of resistance of 132.89 under the condition of a reverse reaction or false breakout.

Alternative scenario: If the price fixes below the support level of 130.58, the downtrend will likely resume.

USD/JPY
There is no news feed for today.

The USD/CAD currency pair

Technical indicators of the currency pair:
  • Prev Open: 1.3565
  • Prev Close: 1.3443
  • % chg. over the last day: -0.91 %

The latest labor market data showed that Canada’s unemployment rate fell from 5.1% to 5.0%, with 627,000 more jobs in Canada now than before the pandemic. Most of the job growth came in the 4th quarter of 2022. But it should be noted that the country’s manufacturing levels are declining. Job growth with rising wages and falling production is an inflationary path for the economy. Therefore, the Bank of Canada will continue raising interest rates to “cool down” the labor market. A 0.25% rate hike is expected at the Bank of Canada’s next meeting.

Trading recommendations
  • Support levels: 1.3386, 1.3362, 1.3212
  • Resistance levels: 1.3492, 1.3513, 1.3561, 1.3594, 1.3632, 1.3700

From the point of view of technical analysis, the trend on the USD/CAD currency pair has changed to bearish. The price has again consolidated below the moving averages and below the key support level. The MACD indicator became negative, but it indicates a divergence when the price reached the support level. Buy trades should be considered from the support level of 1.3386, but only with short targets, as entry is against the main priority. Sell deals are best looked for on intraday time frames from the resistance level of 1.3513 or 1.3561, but with confirmation in the form of a reverse initiative on the lower timeframes or a false breakout.

Alternative scenario: if the price breaks out and consolidates above the resistance level of 1.3632, the uptrend will likely resume.

USD/CAD
News feed for 2023.01.09:
  • – Canada Unemployment Rate (m/m) at 15:30 (GMT+2);
  • – Canada Ivey PMI (m/m) at 17:00 (GMT+2).

By JustMarkets

 

This article reflects a personal opinion and should not be interpreted as an investment advice, and/or offer, and/or a persistent request for carrying out financial transactions, and/or a guarantee, and/or a forecast of future events.