By ForexTime
Prices of US crude have pulled back since reaching the year-to-date high at $93.59 on September 19th, but this may be short-lived.
The decline from this swing high was likely due to a couple of factors:
Notably, Crude is now testing the psychologically-important $90/bbl level for immediate support.
The 23.6 Fibonacci retracement level also sits close by, at $89.92, to potentially lend stronger support.
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Crude oil prices are currently still above, albeit declining, towards it’s 21-day EMA.
A continued decline could see bears take advantage of this reversion to its mean to potentially test the following key support levels:
The Fibonacci retracement tool is applied to the daily time frame from 24th August’ low at $78.04 to the year- to- dates high.
Taking Elliot wave count into consideration, crude oil has yet to complete the 3rd impulse move from wave 2’s termination at the $78.04 lows.
This suggests that Crude prices must reach at least $95.81, or potentially even break above the psychologically-important $100/bbl line, before the 3rd impulse move is deemed “complete.
In short, adhering to the Elliot Wave theory, this suggests there should be more near-term gains ahead for Crude oil.
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