COT Soft Commodities Charts: Corn Speculator bets jump by most in a year

November 6, 2021

By InvestMacro | COT | Data Tables | COT Leaders | Downloads | COT Newsletter

Here are the latest charts and statistics for the Commitment of Traders (COT) data published by the Commodities Futures Trading Commission (CFTC).

The latest COT data is updated through Tuesday November 2nd 2021 and shows a quick view of how large traders (for-profit speculators and commercial entities) were positioned in the futures markets.

Highlighting this week’s COT Soft Commodity data is once again the rise in speculator positioning for Corn. The speculator bets for Corn jumped by over +75,000 contracts this week following a gain of over +30,000 contracts last week. This marked the largest one-week increase in net positions in a year (November 3rd 2020). Corn is now at the most bullish net speculator level of the past nineteen weeks, dating back to June 22nd.


Data Snapshot of Commodity Market Traders | Columns Legend
Nov-02-2021OIOI-IndexSpec-NetSpec-IndexCom-NetCOM-IndexSmalls-NetSmalls-Index
WTI Crude2,121,46129419,29346-461,5164442,22375
Gold507,61627215,12962-239,8773824,74840
Silver141,394833,11555-48,8605115,74532
Copper217,2163932,33566-41,294318,95977
Palladium10,92620-3,39103,574100-18334
Platinum56,5081615,36425-21,964786,60054
Natural Gas1,267,22735-137,7133793,5176044,19691
Brent183,76627-12,7141007,68805,02679
Heating Oil426,6366622,38475-45,8442223,46080
Soybeans620,172358,75645-19,88561-38,8717
Corn1,506,60222383,10979-320,38526-62,7247
Coffee310,9316664,35395-69,26464,91122
Sugar884,50721209,06180-250,8492141,78860
Wheat409,1373917,89662-11,14130-6,75569

 


CORN Futures:

Federal Funds 30-Day Bonds Futures COT ChartThe CORN large speculator standing this week resulted in a net position of 383,109 contracts in the data reported through Tuesday. This was a weekly increase of 75,299 contracts from the previous week which had a total of 307,810 net contracts.


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This week’s current strength score (the trader positioning range over the past three years, measured from 0 to 100) shows the speculators are currently Bullish with a score of 79.0 percent. The commercials are Bearish with a score of 26.3 percent and the small traders (not shown in chart) are Bearish-Extreme with a score of 7.0 percent.

CORN Futures StatisticsSPECULATORSCOMMERCIALSSMALL TRADERS
– Percent of Open Interest Longs:32.045.28.7
– Percent of Open Interest Shorts:6.666.512.9
– Net Position:383,109-320,385-62,724
– Gross Longs:482,734681,554131,645
– Gross Shorts:99,6251,001,939194,369
– Long to Short Ratio:4.8 to 10.7 to 10.7 to 1
NET POSITION TREND:
– COT Index Score (3 Year Range Pct):79.026.37.0
– COT Index Reading (3 Year Range):BullishBearishBearish-Extreme
NET POSITION MOVEMENT INDEX:
– 6-Week Change in Strength Index:15.0-17.32.2

 


SUGAR Futures:

2-Year Treasury Bonds Futures COT ChartThe SUGAR large speculator standing this week resulted in a net position of 209,061 contracts in the data reported through Tuesday. This was a weekly gain of 10,454 contracts from the previous week which had a total of 198,607 net contracts.

This week’s current strength score (the trader positioning range over the past three years, measured from 0 to 100) shows the speculators are currently Bullish with a score of 79.6 percent. The commercials are Bearish with a score of 20.6 percent and the small traders (not shown in chart) are Bullish with a score of 59.5 percent.

SUGAR Futures StatisticsSPECULATORSCOMMERCIALSSMALL TRADERS
– Percent of Open Interest Longs:30.344.410.4
– Percent of Open Interest Shorts:6.772.85.7
– Net Position:209,061-250,84941,788
– Gross Longs:268,307392,71792,164
– Gross Shorts:59,246643,56650,376
– Long to Short Ratio:4.5 to 10.6 to 11.8 to 1
NET POSITION TREND:
– COT Index Score (3 Year Range Pct):79.620.659.5
– COT Index Reading (3 Year Range):BullishBearishBullish
NET POSITION MOVEMENT INDEX:
– 6-Week Change in Strength Index:-8.37.51.1

 


COFFEE Futures:

5-Year Treasury Bonds Futures COT ChartThe COFFEE large speculator standing this week resulted in a net position of 64,353 contracts in the data reported through Tuesday. This was a weekly lowering of -3,240 contracts from the previous week which had a total of 67,593 net contracts.

This week’s current strength score (the trader positioning range over the past three years, measured from 0 to 100) shows the speculators are currently Bullish-Extreme with a score of 95.3 percent. The commercials are Bearish-Extreme with a score of 5.5 percent and the small traders (not shown in chart) are Bearish with a score of 22.3 percent.

COFFEE Futures StatisticsSPECULATORSCOMMERCIALSSMALL TRADERS
– Percent of Open Interest Longs:26.841.63.8
– Percent of Open Interest Shorts:6.263.92.2
– Net Position:64,353-69,2644,911
– Gross Longs:83,481129,46811,776
– Gross Shorts:19,128198,7326,865
– Long to Short Ratio:4.4 to 10.7 to 11.7 to 1
NET POSITION TREND:
– COT Index Score (3 Year Range Pct):95.35.522.3
– COT Index Reading (3 Year Range):Bullish-ExtremeBearish-ExtremeBearish
NET POSITION MOVEMENT INDEX:
– 6-Week Change in Strength Index:3.1-4.38.2

 


SOYBEANS Futures:

10-Year Treasury Notes Bonds Futures COT ChartThe SOYBEANS large speculator standing this week resulted in a net position of 58,756 contracts in the data reported through Tuesday. This was a weekly advance of 15,526 contracts from the previous week which had a total of 43,230 net contracts.

This week’s current strength score (the trader positioning range over the past three years, measured from 0 to 100) shows the speculators are currently Bearish with a score of 44.9 percent. The commercials are Bullish with a score of 61.1 percent and the small traders (not shown in chart) are Bearish-Extreme with a score of 7.2 percent.

SOYBEANS Futures StatisticsSPECULATORSCOMMERCIALSSMALL TRADERS
– Percent of Open Interest Longs:21.957.77.0
– Percent of Open Interest Shorts:12.460.913.3
– Net Position:58,756-19,885-38,871
– Gross Longs:135,938357,94843,540
– Gross Shorts:77,182377,83382,411
– Long to Short Ratio:1.8 to 10.9 to 10.5 to 1
NET POSITION TREND:
– COT Index Score (3 Year Range Pct):44.961.17.2
– COT Index Reading (3 Year Range):BearishBullishBearish-Extreme
NET POSITION MOVEMENT INDEX:
– 6-Week Change in Strength Index:-0.64.6-28.6

 


SOYBEAN OIL Futures:

Ultra 10-Year Treasury Notes Bonds Futures COT ChartThe SOYBEAN OIL large speculator standing this week resulted in a net position of 91,131 contracts in the data reported through Tuesday. This was a weekly increase of 405 contracts from the previous week which had a total of 90,726 net contracts.

This week’s current strength score (the trader positioning range over the past three years, measured from 0 to 100) shows the speculators are currently Bullish with a score of 73.0 percent. The commercials are Bearish with a score of 28.0 percent and the small traders (not shown in chart) are Bullish with a score of 59.9 percent.

SOYBEAN OIL Futures StatisticsSPECULATORSCOMMERCIALSSMALL TRADERS
– Percent of Open Interest Longs:28.747.18.0
– Percent of Open Interest Shorts:7.371.45.1
– Net Position:91,131-103,58512,454
– Gross Longs:122,221200,75434,050
– Gross Shorts:31,090304,33921,596
– Long to Short Ratio:3.9 to 10.7 to 11.6 to 1
NET POSITION TREND:
– COT Index Score (3 Year Range Pct):73.028.059.9
– COT Index Reading (3 Year Range):BullishBearishBullish
NET POSITION MOVEMENT INDEX:
– 6-Week Change in Strength Index:27.3-30.538.5

 


SOYBEAN MEAL Futures:

US Year Treasury Notes Long Bonds Futures COT ChartThe SOYBEAN MEAL large speculator standing this week resulted in a net position of 30,771 contracts in the data reported through Tuesday. This was a weekly boost of 7,352 contracts from the previous week which had a total of 23,419 net contracts.

This week’s current strength score (the trader positioning range over the past three years, measured from 0 to 100) shows the speculators are currently Bearish with a score of 46.8 percent. The commercials are Bullish with a score of 50.7 percent and the small traders (not shown in chart) are Bullish with a score of 68.1 percent.

SOYBEAN MEAL Futures StatisticsSPECULATORSCOMMERCIALSSMALL TRADERS
– Percent of Open Interest Longs:21.546.412.3
– Percent of Open Interest Shorts:14.658.76.9
– Net Position:30,771-55,09124,320
– Gross Longs:96,255207,31655,086
– Gross Shorts:65,484262,40730,766
– Long to Short Ratio:1.5 to 10.8 to 11.8 to 1
NET POSITION TREND:
– COT Index Score (3 Year Range Pct):46.850.768.1
– COT Index Reading (3 Year Range):BearishBullishBullish
NET POSITION MOVEMENT INDEX:
– 6-Week Change in Strength Index:9.9-12.823.1

 


LIVE CATTLE Futures:

Ultra US Year Treasury Notes Long Bonds Futures COT ChartThe LIVE CATTLE large speculator standing this week resulted in a net position of 41,894 contracts in the data reported through Tuesday. This was a weekly fall of -3,084 contracts from the previous week which had a total of 44,978 net contracts.

This week’s current strength score (the trader positioning range over the past three years, measured from 0 to 100) shows the speculators are currently Bearish-Extreme with a score of 17.1 percent. The commercials are Bullish with a score of 77.7 percent and the small traders (not shown in chart) are Bullish with a score of 74.5 percent.

LIVE CATTLE Futures StatisticsSPECULATORSCOMMERCIALSSMALL TRADERS
– Percent of Open Interest Longs:31.440.010.1
– Percent of Open Interest Shorts:17.352.311.8
– Net Position:41,894-36,717-5,177
– Gross Longs:93,191118,52629,946
– Gross Shorts:51,297155,24335,123
– Long to Short Ratio:1.8 to 10.8 to 10.9 to 1
NET POSITION TREND:
– COT Index Score (3 Year Range Pct):17.177.774.5
– COT Index Reading (3 Year Range):Bearish-ExtremeBullishBullish
NET POSITION MOVEMENT INDEX:
– 6-Week Change in Strength Index:-1.80.26.0

 


LEAN HOGS Futures:

Eurodollar Bonds Futures COT ChartThe LEAN HOGS large speculator standing this week resulted in a net position of 45,965 contracts in the data reported through Tuesday. This was a weekly fall of -8,092 contracts from the previous week which had a total of 54,057 net contracts.

This week’s current strength score (the trader positioning range over the past three years, measured from 0 to 100) shows the speculators are currently Bullish with a score of 58.4 percent. The commercials are Bullish with a score of 50.0 percent and the small traders (not shown in chart) are Bearish-Extreme with a score of 14.5 percent.

LEAN HOGS Futures StatisticsSPECULATORSCOMMERCIALSSMALL TRADERS
– Percent of Open Interest Longs:37.733.77.9
– Percent of Open Interest Shorts:18.047.314.0
– Net Position:45,965-31,775-14,190
– Gross Longs:87,92978,62718,449
– Gross Shorts:41,964110,40232,639
– Long to Short Ratio:2.1 to 10.7 to 10.6 to 1
NET POSITION TREND:
– COT Index Score (3 Year Range Pct):58.450.014.5
– COT Index Reading (3 Year Range):BullishBullishBearish-Extreme
NET POSITION MOVEMENT INDEX:
– 6-Week Change in Strength Index:-15.115.7-2.2

 


COTTON Futures:

Ultra 10-Year Treasury Notes Bonds Futures COT ChartThe COTTON large speculator standing this week resulted in a net position of 103,553 contracts in the data reported through Tuesday. This was a weekly boost of 1,484 contracts from the previous week which had a total of 102,069 net contracts.

This week’s current strength score (the trader positioning range over the past three years, measured from 0 to 100) shows the speculators are currently Bullish-Extreme with a score of 88.7 percent. The commercials are Bearish-Extreme with a score of 9.7 percent and the small traders (not shown in chart) are Bullish-Extreme with a score of 96.3 percent.

COTTON Futures StatisticsSPECULATORSCOMMERCIALSSMALL TRADERS
– Percent of Open Interest Longs:40.337.17.7
– Percent of Open Interest Shorts:3.978.13.1
– Net Position:103,553-116,80413,251
– Gross Longs:114,770105,72322,064
– Gross Shorts:11,217222,5278,813
– Long to Short Ratio:10.2 to 10.5 to 12.5 to 1
NET POSITION TREND:
– COT Index Score (3 Year Range Pct):88.79.796.3
– COT Index Reading (3 Year Range):Bullish-ExtremeBearish-ExtremeBullish-Extreme
NET POSITION MOVEMENT INDEX:
– 6-Week Change in Strength Index:5.4-9.244.3

 


COCOA Futures:

US Year Treasury Notes Long Bonds Futures COT ChartThe COCOA large speculator standing this week resulted in a net position of 16,074 contracts in the data reported through Tuesday. This was a weekly fall of -3,124 contracts from the previous week which had a total of 19,198 net contracts.

This week’s current strength score (the trader positioning range over the past three years, measured from 0 to 100) shows the speculators are currently Bearish with a score of 38.0 percent. The commercials are Bullish with a score of 60.9 percent and the small traders (not shown in chart) are Bullish with a score of 54.6 percent.

COCOA Futures StatisticsSPECULATORSCOMMERCIALSSMALL TRADERS
– Percent of Open Interest Longs:24.452.84.7
– Percent of Open Interest Shorts:18.060.73.1
– Net Position:16,074-20,1304,056
– Gross Longs:61,609133,48311,792
– Gross Shorts:45,535153,6137,736
– Long to Short Ratio:1.4 to 10.9 to 11.5 to 1
NET POSITION TREND:
– COT Index Score (3 Year Range Pct):38.060.954.6
– COT Index Reading (3 Year Range):BearishBullishBullish
NET POSITION MOVEMENT INDEX:
– 6-Week Change in Strength Index:-8.56.721.3

 


WHEAT Futures:

Ultra US Year Treasury Notes Long Bonds Futures COT ChartThe WHEAT large speculator standing this week resulted in a net position of 17,896 contracts in the data reported through Tuesday. This was a weekly lift of 17,133 contracts from the previous week which had a total of 763 net contracts.

This week’s current strength score (the trader positioning range over the past three years, measured from 0 to 100) shows the speculators are currently Bullish with a score of 62.3 percent. The commercials are Bearish with a score of 30.0 percent and the small traders (not shown in chart) are Bullish with a score of 69.3 percent.

WHEAT Futures StatisticsSPECULATORSCOMMERCIALSSMALL TRADERS
– Percent of Open Interest Longs:26.834.78.9
– Percent of Open Interest Shorts:22.537.410.5
– Net Position:17,896-11,141-6,755
– Gross Longs:109,768141,98436,283
– Gross Shorts:91,872153,12543,038
– Long to Short Ratio:1.2 to 10.9 to 10.8 to 1
NET POSITION TREND:
– COT Index Score (3 Year Range Pct):62.330.069.3
– COT Index Reading (3 Year Range):BullishBearishBullish
NET POSITION MOVEMENT INDEX:
– 6-Week Change in Strength Index:13.7-20.222.6

 


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*COT Report: The COT data, released weekly to the public each Friday, is updated through the most recent Tuesday (data is 3 days old) and shows a quick view of how large speculators or non-commercials (for-profit traders) were positioned in the futures markets.

The CFTC categorizes trader positions according to commercial hedgers (traders who use futures contracts for hedging as part of the business), non-commercials (large traders who speculate to realize trading profits) and nonreportable traders (usually small traders/speculators) as well as their open interest (contracts open in the market at time of reporting).See CFTC criteria here.