Japanese Candlesticks Analysis 30.03.2021 (EURUSD, USDJPY, EURGBP)

Article By RoboForex.com

EURUSD, “Euro vs. US Dollar”

As we can see in the H4 chart, the asset continues moving downwards. While testing the support area, the pair has formed several reversal patterns, including Doji and Hammer. At the moment, EURUSD may reverse and form a pullback towards the resistance area. In this case, the correctional target may be at 1.1825. However, an alternative scenario implies that the price may continue falling to reach 1.1717 without reversing and correcting.

EURUSD
Risk Warning: the result of previous trading operations do not guarantee the same results in the future

USDJPY, “US Dollar vs. Japanese Yen”

As we can see in the H4 chart, USDJPY has formed several reversal patterns, such as Harami, while testing the support level. Judging by the previous movements, one may assume that the asset may reverse and resume moving upwards. In this case, the upside target is the resistance area at 110.60. At the same time, an opposite scenario implies that the price may fall to return to 109.25 before resuming the ascending tendency.

USDJPY
Risk Warning: the result of previous trading operations do not guarantee the same results in the future

EURGBP, “Euro vs. Great Britain Pound”

As we can see in the H4 chart, the asset continues trading close to the support level. After forming several reversal patterns there, such as Hammer, EURGBP may rebound from the support level and form a slight pullback. In this case, the correctional target may be the resistance area at 0.8600. Still, there might be an alternative scenario, according to which the asset may return to 0.8500 without reversing and correcting.

EURGBP

Article By RoboForex.com

Attention!
Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex LP bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews.

Forex Technical Analysis & Forecast 30.03.2021

Article By RoboForex.com

EURUSD, “Euro vs US Dollar”

EURUSD continues consolidating above 1.1761 without any particular direction. Possibly, today the pair may expand the range down to 1.1751 and then start another correction towards 1.1846. Later, the market may form a new descending structure with the target at 1.1707.

EURUSD
Risk Warning: the result of previous trading operations do not guarantee the same results in the future

GBPUSD, “Great Britain Pound vs US Dollar”

After completing the descending structure at 1.3754, GBPUSD is expected to resume growing and reach 1.3800. After that, the instrument may start another decline with the target at 1.3708 or even 1.3664.

GBPUSD
Risk Warning: the result of previous trading operations do not guarantee the same results in the future

USDRUB, “US Dollar vs Russian Ruble”

After rebounding from 76.12, USDRUB is still falling towards 75.00 and may later grow to reach 75.70, thus forming a new consolidation range around the latter level. According to the main scenario, the price may break the range to the downside and resume falling with the target at 74.50.

USDRUB
Risk Warning: the result of previous trading operations do not guarantee the same results in the future

USDJPY, “US Dollar vs Japanese Yen”

After breaking the consolidation range to the upside, USDJPY is still moving upwards. Possibly, the pair may extend this wave up to 110.08 and then resume trading downwards to break 109.40. After that, the instrument may continue falling with the first target at 108.70.

USDJPY
Risk Warning: the result of previous trading operations do not guarantee the same results in the future

USDCHF, “US Dollar vs Swiss Franc”

After completing the correction at 0.9370, USDCHF is is expected to form one more ascending structure to reach 0.9436 and then start a new decline with the target at 0.9340.

USDCHF
Risk Warning: the result of previous trading operations do not guarantee the same results in the future

AUDUSD, “Australian Dollar vs US Dollar”

AUDUSD has completed the correction to test 0.7644 from below. Possibly, today the pair may grow to reach 0.7700 and then fall towards 0.7515. After that, the instrument may start a new correction to return to 0.7644 and then resume trading downwards with the target at 0.7450.

AUDUSD
Risk Warning: the result of previous trading operations do not guarantee the same results in the future

BRENT

Brent is still consolidating around 64.00. Possibly, the asset may expand the range up to 65.50 to test this level from below or even extend this correction towards 67.40. Later, the market may form a new descending wave with the target at 60.00.

BRENT
Risk Warning: the result of previous trading operations do not guarantee the same results in the future

XAUUSD, “Gold vs US Dollar”

After breaking 1721.44, Gold is still falling. Possibly, today the metal may reach 1697.65 and then form one more ascending structure to return to 1721.44. Later, the market may start a new correction towards 1687.90 and then resume growing with the short-term target at 1776.08.

GOLD
Risk Warning: the result of previous trading operations do not guarantee the same results in the future

S&P 500

The S&P index is still moving upwards. Possibly, the asset may reach 4000.0 and then extend this structure up to 4040.0. After that, the instrument may resume falling to break 3946.1 and then continue the correction with the target at 3861.0.

S&P 500

Article By RoboForex.com

Attention!
Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex LP bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews.

The Analytical Overview of the Main Currency Pairs on 2021.03.30

by JustForex

The EUR/USD currency pair

Technical indicators of the currency pair:
  • Prev Open: 1.1792
  • Prev Close: 1.1764
  • % chg. over the last day: -0.24%

On Monday, the euro completely leveled the entire Friday growth. The price closed at last week’s lows, which indicated the likelihood of further decline. Positive expectations for the US labor market and negative sentiment in Europe due to new quarantine measures put pressure on the pair.

Trading recommendations
  • Support levels: 1.1746, 1.1688
  • Resistance levels: 1.1889, 1.1990

The main scenario for trading EUR/USD is selling. There are few important events on the economic calendar today, so low volatility is expected. Technical indicators still show the likelihood of the continuation of the smooth downtrend. The ADX continues to show a subtle reaction at the minimum price decline.

Alternative scenario: if the price gains a foothold above the level of 1.1795, the pair may start a corrective rise to 1.1889 or higher.

EUR/USD
News feed for 2021.03.30:
  • – The German Consumer Price Index (CPI) (m/m) (Mar) at 15:00 (GMT+3);
  • – The US CB Consumer Confidence Index (Mar) at 17:00 (GMT+3).

The GBP/USD currency pair

Technical indicators of the currency pair:
  • Prev Open: 1.3782
  • Prev Close: 1.3758
  • % chg. over the last day: -0.17%

The sterling showed higher volatility than the euro on Monday. The growth that took place during the European session completely vanished later in the American session. The price bounced off the moving average on the daily chart, and a bearish engulfing candlestick formed, indicating strong bearish pressure.

Trading recommendations
  • Support levels: 1.3680, 1.3610
  • Resistance levels: 1.3812, 1.3846

The main scenario for trading GBP/USD is selling. The technical indicators have changed completely. The ADX has shown a strong reaction to the decline. But the price stays between the moving averages, which may indicate the development of a sideways trend. Based on a combination of factors, there is a moderate southern signal.

Alternative scenario: if the pair consolidates above 1.3812, the pound may resume its growth.

GBP/USD
News feed for 2021.03.30:
  • – The US CB Consumer Confidence Index (Mar) at 17:00 (GMT+3).

The USD/JPY currency pair

Technical indicators of the currency pair:
  • Prev Open: 109.74
  • Prev Close: 109.80
  • % chg. over the last day: +0.05%

In the dollar-yen pair, volatility has eased slightly, but the bullish sentiment remains strong. The fundamentals of the stock market’s growth are still solid, and the dollar is supported by rising bond yields and the expectation of faster economic growth.

Trading recommendations
  • Support levels: 109.38, 108.35
  • Resistance levels: 110.32, 110.71

The main scenario is buying. The ADX on the H1, the H4, and the D1 timeframes shows the growth of bullish pressure, but the upside potential is slightly reduced. A divergence has formed on the MACD, and this is the first signal for an impending correction. But as long as the price is above the moving averages, buying is safe.

An alternative scenario implies price fixing below 109.38. In this case, the pair could drop to 108.35.

USD/JPY
News feed for 2021.03.30:
  • – The US CB Consumer Confidence Index (Mar) at 17:00 (GMT+3).

The USD/CAD currency pair

Technical indicators of the currency pair:
  • Prev Open: 1.2571
  • Prev Close: 1.2587
  • % chg. over the last day: +0.13%

The Canadian dollar lost the least among the G10 currencies against the US dollar. Continued growth in oil prices ahead of the OPEC + meeting puts pressure on the pair. The daily chart shows that strong resistance has formed, which could trigger a southern pullback or a renewed decline.

Trading recommendations
  • Support levels: 1.2574, 1.2446
  • Resistance levels: 1.2629, 1.2745

The main scenario is trading in a sideways range between 1.2546 and 1.2629. The ADX fell to its minimum values, and the MACD is at the zero level, which indicates the development of a sideways movement. Since the price bounced twice from the resistance of 1.2629, the likelihood of a correction increased.

Alternative scenario: if the price consolidates below 1.2546, the pair may resume its southern movement to 1.2466.

USD/CAD
There is no news feed for today.

by JustForex

 

This article reflects a personal opinion and should not be interpreted as an investment advice, and/or offer, and/or a persistent request for carrying out financial transactions, and/or a guarantee, and/or a forecast of future events.

The stock market and the US dollar continue to rise amid positive expectations of global economic growth

by JustForex

Investors have focused on the speed of the global economic recovery and inflation as governments increase spending to spur growth. Later this week, the US President will unveil a new stimulus program with a focus on infrastructure.

The acceleration of vaccination rates is effective in preventing coronavirus infection, which is positive news for the stock market, according to the latest US government research. Asian, European, and American indices continue to rise. The Japanese indices are an exception, as the hedge fund Archegos liquidated its assets, which affected the Japanese banking sector. Nomura Holdings Inc. announced that it’s too early to assess the impact of losses, and economists point to the resilience of the stock market in broad terms, despite the fall of a large fund.

The 10-year Treasuries yield rose to 1.74% and the 5-year bonds yield hit annual records. The ongoing rally is based on positive expectations from the labor market. Economists are expecting a new record on job creation in the US at the level of 643,000.

Despite the continuing rise in government bonds yield, many central banks continue to believe that ultra-soft policies will be needed for quite some time. The European Central Bank said that cautiousness should be prioritized when discussing the rejection of emergency stimulus, even if the economy recovers from the pandemic.

The Asian regions are also recovering. Japanese retail sales indices beat economists’ forecasts and the economic growth of Australia returned to its pre-pandemic levels.

Main market quotes:

S&P 500 (F) 3,962.75 +3.75 (+0.09%)

Dow Jones 33,171.37 +98.49 (+0.30%)

DAX 14,917.30 +99.58 (+0.67%)

FTSE 100 6,783.65 +47.48 (+0.70%)

USD Index 93.052 +0.096 (+0.10%)

by JustForex

 

This article reflects a personal opinion and should not be interpreted as an investment advice, and/or offer, and/or a persistent request for carrying out financial transactions, and/or a guarantee, and/or a forecast of future events.

Technical Outlook: G10 Currencies Under The Spotlight

By Lukman Otunuga Research Analyst, ForexTime 

– The next few days promise to be eventful as investors juggle with key economic data from major economies, Joe Biden’s speech on infrastructure spending, and US jobs report on Friday. Given how these events could spark volatility and result in potential opportunities across markets, it may be wise to fasten your seatbelts.

Our focus today will revolve around the G10 space with the weapon of choice none other than technical analysis.

Dollar solid as a rock?

Dollar bulls seem to be on a roll this morning. Prices are advancing towards the 93.20 resistance level while the MACD is well above the 0 mark. However, the Relative Strength Index is blinking overbought! A solid breakout above 93.20 may inspire an incline towards 93.70.

Pound depressed below 1.3800 

After punching above the 1.3800 level yesterday, bears immediately returned to the scene. Prices are trading around 1.3750 as of writing with the next key level of interest at 1.3669. Should 1.3800 prove to be unreliable resistance, prices could charge towards 1.4000.

EURUSD sulks under 1.1800 

The EURUSD remains in a downtrend on the daily charts. There have been consistently lower lows and lower highs while the MACD trades below 0. Sustained weakness below 1.1800 could encourage a decline towards 1.1740. If prices end up breaking above 1.1800, this may trigger a technical rebound towards 1.1900.

USDJPY higher highs and higher lows 

The chart says it all. Prices are heavily bullish on the daily timeframe. The solid breakout above the 109.30 resistance may open the doors towards 110.60.

GBPJPY: the trend is your friend 

It is safe to say that the GBPJPY is heavily bullish on the daily charts. Prices are trading above the 20 SMA while the MACD trades above 0. A solid daily close above 152.50 may inspire an incline towards 154.00 which is 150 pips away! Should 152.50 prove to be reliable resistance, the currency pair may slip back towards 150.00 and 148.50, respectively.

AUDUSD waits for catalyst 

It looks like the AUDUSD remains trapped in a wide range. Although the candlesticks are trading below the 50-day simple moving average, the RSI is near oversold territory. If 0.7580 proves to be reliable support, a rebound back towards 0.7700 and 0.7820 could be on the table.

What’s going on with Gold?

The precious metal extended losses this morning thanks to an appreciating Dollar and jump in real yields. Given how prices are trading below the $1700 psychological level, further downside could be on the cards with the next key point of interest around $1680.

Disclaimer: The content in this article comprises personal opinions and should not be construed as containing personal and/or other investment advice and/or an offer of and/or solicitation for any transactions in financial instruments and/or a guarantee and/or prediction of future performance. ForexTime (FXTM), its affiliates, agents, directors, officers or employees do not guarantee the accuracy, validity, timeliness or completeness, of any information or data made available and assume no liability as to any loss arising from any investment based on the same.


Forex-Time-LogoArticle by ForexTime

ForexTime Ltd (FXTM) is an award winning international online forex broker regulated by CySEC 185/12 www.forextime.com

Hedge fund blow-up and cargo ship removal…it’s a funny old world!

By Lukman Otunuga Research Analyst, ForexTime

As traders, we have to deal with many varied and obscure headlines whilst sitting at our screens. And today is no exception with the Suez Canal potentially getting back to normal while some huge investment banks count the cost of lending to an opaque family office. US stocks have opened lower on the day as markets continue to trade in quiet risk-off fashion.

The dollar is generally mixed to slightly better bid against its major peers with GBP leading the charts and rebounding from rather “cheap” levels in the upper 1.36s in cable.

Whodunnit selling

The liquidation of a large hedge fund managed by a family office is souring the mood with the chance of more forced selling after the investment fund failed a margin call – essentially a demand to put up more collateral against its trades or face a forced liquidation. There are several questions being asked about how a fund manager with a chequered past could wrack up such large leverage to fund speculative stock purchases, with the unwinding of assets causing major pain to some household banking names. Nomura and Credit Suisse have been hit especially hard although the wider fallout from the Friday’s deleveraging is expected to be a one-off and contained.

The S&P closed on record highs last week and is now clawing back earlier losses seen in the futures. A double top had been developing on Thursday but the 50-day moving average acted as decent support and traders are now looking to push through resistance just below the magic 4,000 level.

Global trade blockage ends

Its 15 minutes of fame is over! Never has a big ship (skyscraper-sized in fact) caused such endless fascination, but it seems “Ever Given”, the cargo ship which had been stuck in the Suez Canal for almost a week has been set free to sail off into the sunset. The blockage had created a build-up of around 370 vessels on either side of the canal, which carries roughly 12% of global trade. Around $10 billion of trade passes through the canal each day.

Oil has barely moved, with prices marginally weaker and WTI desperately trying to remain above $60. The market has one eye on the OPEC+ meeting scheduled for this Thursday. Analysts expect the major oil producers to hold off again from raising their output quotas. The demand picture has been damaged by the extended lockdowns in Europe, so this is expected to provide some support to prices.

On the daily chart, $57.28 is now established as strong support after holding prices around there last week. Bulls will look to push prices higher above last week’s high at $62 before taking aim at recent cycle highs.

Disclaimer: The content in this article comprises personal opinions and should not be construed as containing personal and/or other investment advice and/or an offer of and/or solicitation for any transactions in financial instruments and/or a guarantee and/or prediction of future performance. ForexTime (FXTM), its affiliates, agents, directors, officers or employees do not guarantee the accuracy, validity, timeliness or completeness, of any information or data made available and assume no liability as to any loss arising from any investment based on the same.


Forex-Time-LogoArticle by ForexTime

ForexTime Ltd (FXTM) is an award winning international online forex broker regulated by CySEC 185/12 www.forextime.com

German CPI Tomorrow: Why The Euro Might Need Inflation

By Orbex

Tomorrow’s big event for euro traders is likely to be the release of German Consumer Price Index data for March.

While the data itself is important enough to move the markets, there are some underlying trends that could affect European markets. Specifically, there is a chance for European assets to disconnect from the world trend, opening a few trade opportunities.

What we are looking for

Let’s start with the expectations for tomorrow. Of all the different inflation data coming out, the one we want to focus on is the Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices (HICP).

This is basically Germany’s inflation, adjusted to track with the rest of Europe. Projections are for it to slip to an annualized rate of 1.6% compared to 2.0% in the prior measurement.

However, expectations are for the underlying monthly CPI to rise to 0.7% in comparison to 0.5% prior. Inflation in Germany was negative through the latter half of last year. It only jumped back to above pre-covid levels in January and February.

That said, even in the worst of the first covid wave, inflation was still relatively high. It was only when Germany reopened in the summer that inflation turned to deflation.

What’s going on?

Around the world, there is concern about potential inflation.

Governments have put massive amounts of cash into the economy. Meanwhile, central banks have dramatically expanded the monetary base, and economic activity is anticipated to grow as the economy reopens.

If we consider those three elements for Europe, and Germany in particular, they are in a unique situation different from the rest of the world.

For starters, the EU has spent the least in covid relief as a percentage of GDP of all the major economies. This is understandable, because it’s not, in itself officially, a country.

But the constituent countries were already above debt targets. They had limited capacity to spend. More importantly, the spending isn’t directed primarily at consumers, but into infrastructure.

But bond yields have increased in Europe?

One of the signs the market expects inflation to go up is that bond yields rise. And that happened at the start of the year, with the roll-out of the vaccines.

There was a pretty strong consensus that Europe had a better chance of outperforming its peers, as it had more recovery to do. But by February, it became pretty clear that Europe was lagging far behind in the vaccine rollout, and new lockdowns would be necessary.

Even before the latest announcements on confinements, bond yields had been moving lower, with the euro following suit.

With Europe not expected to vaccinate enough people until after the summer, the region could remain under economic stress. Low inflation could be a sign for bond yields to stay negative.

As other countries see their yields rise, the euro could remain under pressure for some time. It’s a good reason to keep an eye on CPI figures for now.

By Orbex

GE Reports Earnings Miss, Revenues Beat

By Orbex

GE Mixed Earnings

General Electric shares are trading slightly lower than they closed on Friday after weaker-than-expected fourth-quarter earnings. GE reported Q4 earnings per share of $0.08, versus $0.09 expected.

Despite the headline earnings miss, revenues were actually better than expected at $21.93 billion versus the $21.83 billion forecast. However, these were down 16% from a year prior.

GE Strong Into 2021

Commenting on the results, GE CEO Larry Culp said that the company ended the fourth quarter with $4.37 billion in industrial free cash flow, beating his initial expectations of a $2.5 billion result.

Culp went on to say:

“As 2020 progressed, we significantly improved GE’s profitability and cash performance despite a still-difficult macro environment. The fourth quarter marked a strong free cash flow finish to a challenging year, reflecting the results of better operations as well as strong and improving orders in Power and Renewable Energy.”

During the call, Culp noted that the pandemic had hit the company hard. He did say that due to the way the company managed the crisis it was able to strengthen its financial position which should allow it to “play more offense in 2021.”

Power Business Growth

Looking at the breakdown of the results, the company’s performance over Q4 was driven largely by an increase in orders for its power and renewable energy businesses. Strength in this area helped offset the decline seen in other areas such as aviation and healthcare.

The company’s power business saw a 26% rally in year-on-year orders, at $5.62 billion for the quarter. This increase was fuelled by a large rise in sales of gas power equipment. It was further helped by the company being able to reduce its fixed costs for gas and power by 12%. This helped it deliver a positive 202 cash flow.

GE Shares Correct Within Bull Channel

ge sharesThe rally in GE shares over 2021 has seen price breaking out above the bearish trend line from 2020 highs and above the 13.24 level highs with price moving higher within a narrow bullish channel. However, the rally has run into selling pressure recently with price correcting lower back beneath the 1324 level. For now, the retest of the broken bear trend line and the 11.82 level are holding as support, keeping the near-term bias bullish. Should price break below this area, 10.73 is the next level to watch as support.

By Orbex

Intraday Market Analysis – Bullish Case

By Orbex

USDJPY accelerates rally

usdjpy

The US dollar climbs as the US economy is gaining steam while other parts of the world face new Covid restrictions.

The pair has shot up to last June’s high at 109.85 after it broke out of the consolidation range under 109. The bias remains strongly bullish, though an overbought RSI would suggest a temporary pullback as traders take profit.

In that case, the rising trendline and 20 and 30-hour moving averages would become the demand zone. A deeper retracement may find support from the former resistance at 109.20.

XAUUSD awaits breakout catalyst

xauusd

A firm US dollar is weighing on gold as Treasury yields hold ground. The recovery stalled after the price broke below the rising trendline, denting the optimism for a swift rebound.

The precious metal is likely to stay range-bound until a catalyst, be it fundamental or technical, triggers a breakout.

1718 is a key support and a bearish breakout could deepen the correction towards 1700.

To the upside, bulls will need to remove 1745 to bring back confidence. After that, an extended rally may carry the price to 1780.

GER 30 surges to new high

ger30

Equity markets recovered swiftly after lower-than-expected US personal consumption expenditure quelled the fear of reflation.

The DAX has bounced off the key short-term support at 14430 to challenge the all-time high at 14800.

Solid momentum above a bullish MA cross confirms that buyers are still in control of the price action. A close above 14800 may convince more trend followers to join in and push the index higher.

To the downside, 14590 would be the immediate support for the RSI to cool off.

By Orbex

Bitcoin price will be “permanently hiked” by institutional investors: deVere CEO

By George Prior 

– A Bitcoin price drop will trigger a surge in institutional investment, driving up the price permanently, says the CEO of one of the world’s largest independent financial advisory and fintech organizations.

The observation from Nigel Green, chief executive and founder of deVere Group, comes after the world’s largest cryptocurrency, which is up nearly 500% since the rally started in October, has pulled back after hitting all-time price highs earlier this month of more than $61,000.

Mr Green says: “Bitcoin has been on an epic rally since last October. Almost week-on-week, the price has been smashing through barrier after barrier, reaching new highs.

“This momentum came as investors are looking for alternatives to traditional currencies as central banks and governments continue to helicopter new cash into economies, as Wall Street giants increasingly pursue crypto activities, and as billionaire entrepreneurs such as Tesla’s Elon Musk and Twitter’s Jack Dorsey pile into the cryptocurrency, amongst other factors.

“This has all spiked the hype in the media and massive interest amongst retail investors, who are keener than ever to invest in digital currencies, dubbed ‘the future of money’.”

He continues: “However, this momentum currently appears to be slowing down, with Bitcoin’s recent consolidation sitting around $55,000.

“The current slow-down, together with greater ongoing regulatory scrutiny, can be expected to prompt the herd-like mentality of many inexperienced investors who will now cash-out their Bitcoin, forcing the price temporarily lower.

“And this is when institutional investors, many of whom are just beginning to dip their toe in the crypto water, will likely dive in.  They will employ the ‘buy the dip’ mantra.

“With them, they will bring their enormous capital, clout and expertise to the market, and this will then prove to be another considerable confidence shot for even more retail investors.”

Mr Green goes on to add: “As such, I believe this temporary Bitcoin price slowdown could trigger a surge in institutional investment, leading to prices going up permanently.”

Last month a deVere Group global poll found that 70% of those Baby Boomers and Gen X respondents are already invested in digital currencies or are planning to do so this year.

At the time, Nigel Green said: “Baby boomers and Gen X, who own most of the world’s wealth, are embracing the cryptocurrency revolution.  This will serve to further bolster prices in the market in the longer-term.”

The deVere CEO – who predicted the figure and the timing of Bitcoin hitting its all-time high this month – concludes: “It’s likely that institutional investors are waiting for prices to dip a little further and are poised to significantly increase their exposure to crypto when they do.

“Should this happen, as we expect it will, we know that this will drive prices upwards.”

About:

deVere Group is one of the world’s largest independent advisors of specialist global financial solutions to international, local mass affluent, and high-net-worth clients.  It has a network of more than 70 offices across the world, over 80,000 clients and $12bn under advisement.