Archive for Forex and Currency News – Page 274

The Analytical Overview of the Main Currency Pairs on 2021.05.27

by JustForex

The EUR/USD currency pair

Technical indicators of the currency pair:
  • Prev Open: 1.2249
  • Prev Close: 1.2192
  • % chg. over the last day: -0.46%

On Wednesday, the EUR/USD currency pair decreased by 0.46% and went back to a wide flat. A strong deviation from the average line played a key role. But the fundamental picture is not in favor of the US dollar, so investors are likely to redeem this corrective movement.

Trading recommendations
  • Support levels: 1.2168, 1.2138, 1.2115, 1.2074, 1.2026, 1.2002, 1.1957
  • Resistance levels: 1.2243, 1.2311

The trend is still bullish. The price is above the priority change level of 1.2168. The MACD indicator has shifted into the negative zone. Under such market conditions, it is better for traders to focus on long positions from the support levels.

Alternative scenario: if the price breaks down through the 1.2168 support level and fixes below, the general uptrend is likely to be broken.

EUR/USD
News feed for 2021.05.27:
  • – US Prelim GDP (q/q) at 15:30 (GMT+3);
  • – US Unemployment Claims (w/w) at 15:30 (GMT+3);
  • – US Home Sales (m/m) at 17:00 (GMT+3).

The GBP/USD currency pair

Technical indicators of the currency pair:
  • Prev Open: 1.4148
  • Prev Close: 1.4116
  • % chg. over the last day: -0.22%

The British pound is still trading inside a wide flat with a range of 1.4110-1.4207. At the moment, the price decreased to the lower border of the corridor, but there was no significant reaction from the buyers.

Trading recommendations
  • Support levels: 1.4110, 1.4075, 1.3996, 1.3913,1.3835, 1.3801, 1.3756, 1.3690
  • Resistance levels: 1.4207

Despite the fact that the price is below the moving average and the MACD indicator is below zero, the trend remains bullish, because the price is above the priority change level of 1.4075. Traders are advised to look for long trades from the lower border of the range, but only after buyers show strong initiative.

Alternative scenario: if the price breaks down through the 1.4075 support level and consolidates below, the bullish scenario is likely to be canceled.

GBP/USD
There is no news feed for today.

The USD/JPY currency pair

Technical indicators of the currency pair:
  • Prev Open: 108.74
  • Prev Close: 109.14
  • % chg. over the last day: +0.37%

On Wednesday, the USD/JPY currency pair broke through and held above the 109.00 upper level of the range, increasing the probability of changing the priority on the H1 timeframe. However, the fundamental indicators play against the dollar index, and considering the high correlation between the US dollar and the Japanese yen, investors expect a further decline in the price.

Trading recommendations
  • Support levels: 109.00, 108.66, 108.44, 108.19, 107.77, 107.47, 107.04
  • Resistance levels: 109.32, 109.64, 109.95, 110.51

On the H1 timeframe, the trend remains bearish, but the buyers are much more aggressive, so this correction movement may turn into a full trend reversal. Under such market conditions, traders can look for both selling from the resistance levels and buying from the support levels. A test of the 109.00 psychological level is very likely.

Alternative scenario: if the price rises above 109.32, the general uptrend is likely to resume.

USD/JPY
There is no news feed for today.

The USD/CAD currency pair

Technical indicators of the currency pair:
  • Prev Open: 1.2065
  • Prev Close: 1.2124
  • % chg. over the last day: +0.49%

The USD/CAD currency pair rose by 0.49% by the end of Wednesday. The price broke out of the range and tested the priority change level of 1.2137. The movement was impulsive, and the price held above the moving average.

Trading recommendations
  • Support levels: 1.2093, 1.2032, 1.1944
  • Resistance levels: 1.2137, 1.2251, 1.2321, 1.2388, 1.2414, 1.2519

At the moment, the price is trading above the moving average, the MACD indicator is in the positive zone, but the price is still below the priority change level of 1.2137. Under such market conditions, traders can work both sides. As the buyer’s pressure is stronger now, it is better to sell from the resistance level after additional confirmations.

Alternative scenario: if the price breaks out through the 1.2137 resistance level and fixes above, a local corrective uptrend is likely to form.

USD/CAD
There is no news feed for today.

by JustForex

 

This article reflects a personal opinion and should not be interpreted as an investment advice, and/or offer, and/or a persistent request for carrying out financial transactions, and/or a guarantee, and/or a forecast of future events.

Mixed messages, mixed markets

By Lukman Otunuga Research Analyst, ForexTime

The dollar found some love from its multi-week lows yesterday as another Fed speaker was in the news, but this time suggesting that at some stage it will become important for the Fed to discuss plans to tighten its asset purchase programme. Fed vice chair for supervision, Randal Quarles signalled he’s open to start the taper debate if the economy remains strong, though rates hikes are still a long way off.

It seems there is certainly more debate at the Fed than the “not thinking about thinking” about monetary tightening that Chair Powell characterised as the Fed’s stance last year, but then this is only natural as the recovery builds and emergency monetary policies are needed less. With the June FOMC meeting up in a few weeks, hopes will increase for more hints at taper talk, though the Jackson Hole symposium in August is being targeted by some market observers as the potential ideal time for more concrete signals.

US stocks closed modestly higher with consumer discretionary and communication services leading the way, while the Russell 2000 index of small caps climbed 2%, outperfoming the other major US indices. Asian stock markets are choppy with China faring slightly better after Washington and Beijing held their first trade talks since the election of President Biden. European bourses are set to open in the green, as they generally hover at the highs.

There’s a slew of US data today, with the initial jobless claims getting some focus to see if the ongoing improvement continues in the job market. This weekly data is still some way from the pre-pandemic levels and the surprising labour shortage and struggle to find workers in the US may be a story to unfold which would have implications for the economic recovery and outlook .

USD/JPY unusually quiet

With just two exceptions, we have to go back to 1975 to find a quieter month for USD/JPY. US yields have been quiet and rangebound, which have historically been a driver of this pair. The weekly chart shows a symmetrical triangle playing out with prices trading above a Fibonacci level at present. This pattern is a continuation pattern so there should be a breakout in the direction of the underlying trend, which would be bullish in this case and target the May high at 109.78 ahead of this year’s high at 110.96.

Disclaimer: The content in this article comprises personal opinions and should not be construed as containing personal and/or other investment advice and/or an offer of and/or solicitation for any transactions in financial instruments and/or a guarantee and/or prediction of future performance. ForexTime (FXTM), its affiliates, agents, directors, officers or employees do not guarantee the accuracy, validity, timeliness or completeness, of any information or data made available and assume no liability as to any loss arising from any investment based on the same.


Forex-Time-LogoArticle by ForexTime

ForexTime Ltd (FXTM) is an award winning international online forex broker regulated by CySEC 185/12 www.forextime.com

Intraday Market Analysis – USD Under Renewed Pressure

By Orbex

USDCHF sinks towards February’s low

usdchf

The US dollar remains downbeat after Fed officials insisted that interest rates would stay low.

Buyers’ struggle to hold on to 0.8950, the origin of last week’s elusive rebound is an indication of a strong bearish bias. The psychological level of 0.9000 has capped the greenback’s advance after it turned into a resistance from a support previously.

An oversold RSI may prompt a brief bounce only to meet selling pressure ahead. February’s low at 0.8870 would be the next stop if the price falls below 0.8830.

AUDUSD holds above major support

audusd

The Australian dollar climbs as risk sentiment makes a timid return. The price action has so far met bids in the demand area around 0.7700, which is also a key support on the daily chart.

The general direction remains bullish as long as buyers succeed in holding this level. 0.7810 is the hurdle ahead after a failed attempt to break out last week.

Renewed momentum could put 0.7890 within reach. On the downside, a drop below 0.7700 may send the Aussie towards 0.7600.

SPX 500 recovers towards peak

spx500

The US index inches up as Treasury yields make a retreat. The rebound has clawed back most of the previous losses.

The peak at 4245 may see strong selling interest as a combination of profit-taking and fresh selling. A repeatedly overbought RSI could weigh on the intraday price action.

4150 is the immediate support in case of a pullback.

On the upside, a bullish close above 4245 would resume the uptrend after two weeks of consolidation. Interest from momentum buyers could push the index to 4300.

By Orbex

Japanese Candlesticks Analysis 26.05.2021 (USDCAD, AUDUSD, USDCHF)

Article By RoboForex.com

USDCAD, “US Dollar vs Canadian Dollar”

As we can see in the H4 chart, the sideways tendency continues. After forming several reversal patterns, including Hammer, close to the support area, USDCAD may reverse and start a new correction towards 1.2180. After testing this level, the price may rebound and resume its descending tendency. However, an alternative scenario implies that the asset may fall to reach the support area at 1.1990 without any corrections.

USDCAD
Risk Warning: the result of previous trading operations do not guarantee the same results in the future

AUDUSD, “Australian Dollar vs US Dollar”

As we can see in the H4 chart, AUDUSD has formed several reversal patterns, such as Harami and Hammer, not far from the support level. At the moment, the asset is reversing in favor of the ascending tendency. In this case, the upside target may be the resistance area at 0.7850. At the same time, an opposite scenario implies that the price may fall towards the support level at 0.7740, rebound from it, and then resume trading upwards.

AUDUSD
Risk Warning: the result of previous trading operations do not guarantee the same results in the future

USDCHF, “US Dollar vs Swiss Franc”

As we can see in the H4 chart, the asset is still testing the support area, where it has formed an Engulfing reversal pattern. At the moment, USDCHF may reverse and start a new pullback. In this case, the correctional target may be the resistance level at 0.9010. Still, there might be an alternative scenario, according to which the asset may fall to reach 0.8900 without reversing and correcting.

USDCHF

Article By RoboForex.com

Attention!
Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex LP bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews.

Fibonacci Retracements Analysis 26.05.2021 (GBPUSD, EURJPY)

Article By RoboForex.com

GBPUSD, “Great Britain Pound vs US Dollar”

As we can see in the H4 chart, the pair is consolidating between the high (1.4241) and 76.0% fibo after a divergence on MACD. In this case, GBPUSD is expected to break the high and continue growing towards the long-term high at 1.4376. An alternative scenario implies that the price may rebound from the high and extend the correction to 61.8% fibo, which may act as the local support here.

GBPUSD_H4
Risk Warning: the result of previous trading operations do not guarantee the same results in the future

The H1 chart shows a more detailed structure of the current consolidation range after a divergence on MACD. The chart also shows correctional targets, which may be reached after the price breaks the downside border of the above-mentioned range – 23.6% and 38.2% fibo at 1.4101 and 1.4018 respectively. the local resistance is the high at 1.4234.

GBPUSD_H1
Risk Warning: the result of previous trading operations do not guarantee the same results in the future

EURJPY, “Euro vs. Japanese Yen”

In the daily chart, after breaking 76.0% fibo, EURJPY is still trading upwards to reach its key high at 137.50. At the same time, a divergence on MACD may hint at a possible descending correction after the price reaches its target. The short-term target of this correction may be the support at 61.8% fibo (128.66). If the instrument breaks this level, is may form a new descending impulse towards the low at 114.40.

EURJPY_D
Risk Warning: the result of previous trading operations do not guarantee the same results in the future

The H4 chart shows possible correctional targets after a divergence on MACD – 23.6%, 38.2%, 50.0%, and 61.8% fibo at 133.74, 131.45, 129.57, and 127.69 respectively.

EURJPY_H4

Article By RoboForex.com

Attention!
Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex LP bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews.

The Analytical Overview of the Main Currency Pairs on 2021.05.26

by JustForex

The EUR/USD currency pair

Technical indicators of the currency pair:
  • Prev Open: 1.2215
  • Prev Close: 1.2251
  • % chg. over the last day: +0.29%

On Tuesday, the EUR/USD currency pair updated its 4-month high. The price broke out and held above the 1.2243 upper border of the range. The breakout occurred on an impulsive move, and then the price tested this level from the opposite side. This is a good sign of the trend’s continuation. The German business activity statistics released yesterday were positive. The Eurozone economy is gradually recovering after the pandemic.

Trading recommendations
  • Support levels: 1.2243, 1.2168, 1.2138, 1.2115, 1.2074, 1.2026, 1.2002, 1.1957
  • Resistance levels: 1.2311

The trend is still bullish. The price is above the change priority level of 1.2138 and above the moving average. But there is a strong deviation from the average, and the MACD indicator is showing a hidden divergence. Under such market conditions, traders can look for both buying from the support levels and selling with short targets in case of a correction.

Alternative scenario: if the price breaks through the 1.2168 support level and fixes below, the general uptrend is likely to be broken.

EUR/USD
There is no news feed for today.

The GBP/USD currency pair

Technical indicators of the currency pair:
  • Prev Open: 1.4147
  • Prev Close: 1.4184
  • % chg. over the last day: +0.26%

The British pound was unable to break out from its range unlike the euro. The price is still trading in the middle of a wide flat with a range of 1.4110-1.4207. The euro looks stronger.

Trading recommendations
  • Support levels: 1.4110, 1.4075, 1.3996, 1.3913,1.3835, 1.3801, 1.3756, 1.3690
  • Resistance levels: 1.4207

The trend remains bullish. The price is above the moving average. The MACD indicator is still inactive. It is recommended for traders to look for long positions from the lower border of the range or look for sell positions from the resistance level of 1.4207, where sellers hold the defense well.

Alternative scenario: if the price breaks through the 1.4075 support level and consolidates below, the bullish scenario is likely to be canceled.

GBP/USD
There is no news feed for today.

The USD/JPY currency pair

Technical indicators of the currency pair:
  • Prev Open: 108.71
  • Prev Close: 108.77
  • % chg. over the last day: +0.05%

The USD/JPY currency pair has formed a flat with a range of 108.66-109.00. At the moment, the price is in the middle of this corridor, which complicates the search for good entry points.

Trading recommendations
  • Support levels: 108.66, 108.44, 108.19, 107.77, 107.47, 107.04
  • Resistance levels: 109.00, 109.40, 109.64, 109.95, 110.51

On the H1 timeframe, the trend remains bearish, and the price is trading below the moving average. The MACD indicator is still inactive. Under such market conditions, traders are better to look for sell positions from the resistance levels. It is also possible to consider long positions, but only within an uptrend on the lower timeframes.

Alternative scenario: if the price rises above 109.40, the general uptrend is likely to resume.

USD/JPY
There is no news feed for today.

The USD/CAD currency pair

Technical indicators of the currency pair:
  • Prev Open: 1.2043
  • Prev Close: 1.2062
  • % chg. over the last day: +0.15%

The USD/CAD currency pair is still trading in a narrow flat, with sellers slowly moving the price down to the lower border of 1.2032. Considering the background of the dollar index fall, the downtrend may strengthen again.

Trading recommendations
  • Support levels: 1.2032, 1.1944
  • Resistance levels: 1.2093, 1.2137, 1.2251, 1.2321, 1.2388, 1.2414, 1.2519

The price is trading below the moving average, and the trend remains bearish. The MACD indicator has become inactive. At the moment, the best strategy for the USD/CAD currency pair is to wait. It is possible to sell within the trend, if the price consolidates below the support level of 1.2032 again. It is too early to look for long positions, since there is no significant initiative from the buyers.

Alternative scenario: if the price breaks out through the 1.2137 resistance level and fixes above, a local corrective uptrend is likely to form.

USD/CAD
There is no news feed for today.

by JustForex

 

This article reflects a personal opinion and should not be interpreted as an investment advice, and/or offer, and/or a persistent request for carrying out financial transactions, and/or a guarantee, and/or a forecast of future events.

The US central bank will be able to overcome inflation without any changes in monetary policy

by JustForex

Yesterday, the Fed vice chairman, Richard Clarida, said that the US central bank will be able to overcome an inflation sharp rise while maintaining the current course of economic recovery. The dollar index fell by 0.17% on this news and is near its yearly lows. The US stock indices corrected a little bit yesterday: the S&P 500 index decreased by 0.21%, the Dow Jones Industrials lost 0.24% and the Nasdaq decreased by 0.03%.

Macro statistics for Germany were released yesterday. The economy contracted by 1.8% in the first quarter of 2021, but the business activity index rose to its highest level in 2 years. On the back of this news, German DAX jumped by 0.18% to its highest level. Meanwhile, the rest of the European stock indices showed mixed dynamics on Tuesday. British FTSE 100 decreased by -0.31%, French CAC 40 lost 0.28% and Spanish IBEX 35 increased by 0.03%.

Oil prices are down slightly as investors have concerns that a possible resumption of supplies from Iran will oversaturate the market, despite expectations of increased demand for fuel in the US, which an inventory report will be released today.

Thanks to the declining US Treasury yields and stable monetary policy from the Fed, gold prices continue to move up rapidly. On Tuesday, the price of gold added another 1% to its highest level since early January this year.

As the dollar index is falling, Asian markets are rising too. The broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside of Japan, the MSCI, rose by 0.28% to a two-week price high, while Japan’s Nikkei added 0.27%. The Central Bank of New Zealand has reported on monetary policy and said it intends to raise interest rates by September next year. Along with Canada and Norway, this is the 3rd country that is ready to tighten monetary policy.

Main market quotes:

S&P 500 (F) 4,188.13 -8.92 (-0.21%)

Dow Jones 34,312.46 -81.52 (-0.24%)

DAX 15,465.59 +27.58 (+0.18%)

FTSE 100 7,029.79 -21.80 (-0.31%)

USD Index 89.69 -0.15 (-0.17%)

Important events:
  • – New Zealand RBNZ Monetary Policy Statement (q/q) at 05:00 (GMT+3);
  • – New Zealand RBNZ Press Conference at 06:00 (GMT+3);
  • – US Crude Oil Reserves (w/w) at 17:30 (GMT+3).

by JustForex

 

This article reflects a personal opinion and should not be interpreted as an investment advice, and/or offer, and/or a persistent request for carrying out financial transactions, and/or a guarantee, and/or a forecast of future events.

Fed officials singing from the same sheet

By Lukman Otunuga Research Analyst, ForexTime

We’ve had a plethora of Fed members on the wires already this week and although they have been known doves, it is clearly evident that the Fed is very much in “patient” mode. Of course, they are “talking about talking about tapering” as San Francisco Fed President Daly said yesterday, but inflation is still described as “transitory” and it’s not about doing anything now or in the short term. Much will depend on the data flow and the next few job reports with this Friday’s new inflation data no doubt grabbing some headlines, with forecasters expecting personal consumption prices to rise to the highest reading since June 1993.

US stock futures are pointing to a better day after a mixed close overnight. Growth stocks continue to outperform value as we once again edge towards the all-time highs in the S&P500. European stocks are pretty much on that mark now and will look to push higher with the risk mood stays bright amid easing inflation concerns.

Dollar downtrend firmly intact

With this backdrop, the dollar is struggling to find many buyers as low yields and signs of a more synchronised global recovery begin to offer better alternatives to the greenback. The downtrend channel from the April highs in the dollar index is ongoing and bears are now targeting the year-to-date lows. EUR/USD moved above the 1.2250 zone yesterday and this opens up a push to the cycle high at 1.2349 from early January as long as we hold above the breakout level.

RBNZ joins the hawkish central bank club

Although it left its policy settings unchanged, the RBNZ took a step towards normalisation at its meeting overnight when it signalled a rate hike in the second half of next year in its latest projections, amid a notable improvement in the economic situation. This hawkish surprise has propelled NZD/USD higher over 1.1% towards the top of its recent range. The early January high at 0.7315 is close by before the year-to date highs around 0.7460. The kiwi finds itself in a similar situation to the loonie (CAD) with a standout hawkish central bank and this should provide strong support to its currency going forward.

Disclaimer: The content in this article comprises personal opinions and should not be construed as containing personal and/or other investment advice and/or an offer of and/or solicitation for any transactions in financial instruments and/or a guarantee and/or prediction of future performance. ForexTime (FXTM), its affiliates, agents, directors, officers or employees do not guarantee the accuracy, validity, timeliness or completeness, of any information or data made available and assume no liability as to any loss arising from any investment based on the same.


Forex-Time-LogoArticle by ForexTime

ForexTime Ltd (FXTM) is an award winning international online forex broker regulated by CySEC 185/12 www.forextime.com

Japanese Candlesticks Analysis 25.05.2021 (XAUUSD, NZDUSD, GBPUSD)

Article By RoboForex.com

XAUUSD, “Gold vs US Dollar”

As we can see in the H4 chart, the instrument continues growing. After forming several reversal patterns, such as Harami, close to the support level during the pullback, XAUUSD is reversing and may later continue trading upwards to reach the resistance area at 1895.00. At the same time, an opposite scenario implies that the price may continue the pullback to reach 1855.00 before resuming its growth.

XAUUSD
Risk Warning: the result of previous trading operations do not guarantee the same results in the future

NZDUSD, “New Zealand vs US Dollar”

As we can see in the H4 chart, the ascending impulse continues. By now, NZDUSD has formed several reversal patterns, such as Inverted Hammer, close to the support level. The pattern materialization target may be the resistance area at 0.7270. Later, the price may test the area, break it, and continue moving upwards. However, an alternative scenario implies that the price may return to 0.7170 before resuming its ascending tendency.

NZDUSD
Risk Warning: the result of previous trading operations do not guarantee the same results in the future

GBPUSD, “Great Britain Pound vs US Dollar”

As we can see in the H4 chart, the uptrend continues. By now, GBPUSD has formed several reversal patterns, such as Harami, not far from the support area. At the moment, the pair may reverse in favor of further growth. In this case, the next upside target after the pullback may be at 1.4250. Later, the instrument may break the resistance level and boost its ascending tendency. Still, there might be an alternative scenario, according to which the asset may correct towards 1.4100 before resuming the ascending tendency.

GBPUSD

Article By RoboForex.com

Attention!
Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex LP bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews.

Murrey Math Lines 25.05.2021 (AUDUSD, NZDUSD)

Article By RoboForex.com

AUDUSD, “Australian Dollar vs US Dollar”

In the H4 chart, after breaking the 200-day Moving Average, AUDUSD is trading above it to indicate a possible ascending tendency. In this case, the price is expected to continue moving upwards and reach the resistance at 8/8. However, this scenario may be canceled if the price breaks 7/8 to the downside. After that, the instrument may continue falling towards the support at 6/8.

AUDUSD_H4
Risk Warning: the result of previous trading operations do not guarantee the same results in the future

As we can see in the M15 chart, the pair has broken the upside line of the VoltyChannel indicator and, as a result, may continue trading upwards to reach 8/8 from the H4 chart.

AUDUSD_M15
Risk Warning: the result of previous trading operations do not guarantee the same results in the future

NZDUSD, “New Zealand Dollar vs US Dollar”

In the H4 chart, NZDUSD is trading above the 200-day Moving Average to indicate an ascending tendency. In this case, the price is expected to test 7/8, break it, and then continue growing to reach the resistance at 8/8. However, this scenario may no longer be valid if the price breaks 6/8 to the downside. In this case, the instrument may fall towards the support at 5/8.

NZDUSD_H4
Risk Warning: the result of previous trading operations do not guarantee the same results in the future

As we can see in the M15 chart, the pair has broken the upside line of the VoltyChannel indicator and, as a result, may continue its growth.

NZDUSD_M15

Article By RoboForex.com

Attention!
Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex LP bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews.