Archive for Financial News – Page 36

19 Nov

Gold Dips in Healthy Correction

By RoboForex Analytical Department

Gold prices eased to 4,060 USD per ounce on Wednesday, marking a technical correction following the previous session’s gains. Investor caution prevails ahead of a series of high-impact macroeconomic releases, with particular focus on today’s FOMC meeting minutes and Thursday’s US employment report. These publications are expected to provide crucial insights into the Federal Reserve’s future interest rate path.

US agencies have resumed data publication following the government shutdown. Recent figures showed initial jobless claims climbed to a two-month high in mid-October, while continuing claims rose to 1.9 million. This softness in the labour market has modestly bolstered expectations for a December rate cut. However, markets remain wary that stronger subsequent reports could constrain the Fed’s ability to ease policy, particularly amid persistent hawkish rhetoric from officials.

A further factor supporting gold is the growing unease over stretched valuations in the technology sector. This is fuelling a mild risk-off sentiment and supporting demand for gold as a safe-haven asset, offsetting some of the metal’s recent weakness.

Technical Analysis: XAU/USD

H4 Chart:

On the H4 chart, XAU/USD is forming a consolidation range around 4,060 USD. An upward breakout is anticipated, targeting 4,140 USD as part of a fifth wave within a larger growth structure aiming for 4,284 USD. The MACD indicator supports this constructive view. Its signal line is below zero but has diverged from the histogram and is turning upward, suggesting building bullish momentum.

H1 Chart:

On the H1 chart, the market has established a consolidation range around 4,060 USD. With the upper boundary at 4,082 USD now breached, the path is open for the next leg higher. The initial target is 4,122 USD, potentially followed by a corrective pullback to retest 4,060 USD from above. A successful retest could catalyse a further advance towards 4,188 USD and ultimately 4,284 USD. The Stochastic oscillator confirms this near-term bullish bias, with its signal line positioned above 50 and pointing firmly upward.

Conclusion

Gold’s current pullback appears corrective within a broader uptrend, driven by cautious positioning ahead of key US data. The technical structure suggests underlying strength, with a clear setup for a potential rally towards 4,284 USD upon a sustained break above 4,082 USD. While the immediate direction hinges on the FOMC minutes and jobs data, the metal’s role as a portfolio hedge continues to provide underlying support amidst equity market jitters.

 

Disclaimer:

Any forecasts contained herein are based on the author’s particular opinion. This analysis may not be treated as trading advice. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations and reviews contained herein.

Financial News Metals
18 Nov

Oil prices remain under pressure. Canada’s inflation fell to the Bank of Canada’s target level

By JustMarkets 

By Monday’s close, the Dow Jones Index (US30) fell by 1.18%. The S&P 500 Index (US500) dropped 0.92%. The Nasdaq (US100) closed lower at 0.84%. The US stock market started the week with a sharp decline amid expectations of key economic data and tech company earnings. Leading the sell-off were major technology firms: Nvidia shares fell by 1.9% ahead of quarterly results, due after Wednesday’s market close, which will be an important indicator of the sustainability of AI-related valuations. At the same time, expectations for a rate cut increased. Federal funds futures now price in about a 40-45% chance of a 25 basis point cut in December, raising trader interest in employment data and other key economic releases this week.

The Canadian dollar stabilized around 1.40 per US dollar after the inflation data. The weighted core inflation measure, the Bank of Canada’s (BoC) main benchmark, fell to 3% in October but remained close to peak levels last seen in February 2024. These figures reinforced expectations that the Bank of Canada likely ended its rate-cutting cycle at the last meeting, provided the baseline scenario holds and the economy proves resilient to US tariffs, while core inflation stays above target.

Bitcoin (BTC/USD) fell nearly 2% to around $90,000, deepening a month-long sell-off that erased its yearly gains and pushed prices to their lowest in six months. The total digital assets market capitalization has shrunk by at least 30% since peaking on October 6, intensifying the decline that began earlier in the month and was accompanied by liquidations exceeding $19 billion. Reduced institutional activity and overall macroeconomic pressure, including fading expectations of a December Fed rate cut, added to the strain on Bitcoin and other high-beta assets.

European stock markets fell yesterday. Germany’s DAX (DE40) dropped 1.20%, France’s CAC 40 (FR40) closed down 0.63%, Spain’s IBEX 35 (ES35) fell by 1.06%, and the UK’s FTSE 100 (UK100) closed negative 0.24%.

In Q3, Switzerland’s GDP contracted by 0.5% after growing 0.1% in Q2. Lower tariffs partially reduced risks for the economy, while SNB officials maintained expectations of gradual inflation growth in the coming quarters. The central bank is in no hurry to cut rates below zero, fearing potential destabilization of the financial system. The Swiss franc weakened slightly to around 0.795 per US dollar but remained close to 2011 highs.

WTI crude oil prices fell to $59.4 per barrel on Tuesday, extending the previous session’s decline as oversupply concerns outweighed expectations of potential sanctions against Russian oil. The market outlook remains weak. A significant supply surplus is expected at the end of this year and into 2026, as producers inside and outside OPEC ramp up output amid slowing global demand growth.

Asian markets traded under pressure yesterday. Japan’s Nikkei 225 (JP225) fell by 0.10%, China’s FTSE China A50 (CHA50) dropped 0.83%, Hong Kong’s Hang Seng (HK50) declined 0.71%, while Australia’s ASX 200 (AU200) posted a slight gain of 0.02%.

On Tuesday, the Australian dollar moderately strengthened to $0.649, recovering part of the previous session’s losses after the Reserve Bank of Australia’s minutes emphasized caution and data dependency in future policy decisions. Earlier this month, the RBA kept rates at 3.60%. Concerns about labor market cooling proved exaggerated: October saw a sharp rise in employment and a drop in unemployment. This led to a significant reassessment of easing expectations – the probability of a rate cut in May next year is now estimated at just 40%.

S&P 500 (US500) 6,672.41 −61.70 (−0.92%)

Dow Jones (US30) 46,590.24 −557.24 (−1.18%)

DAX (DE40) 23,590.52 −286.03 (−1.20%)

FTSE 100 (UK100) 9,675.43 −22.94 (−0.24%)

USD Index 99.53 +0.23% (+0.24%)

News feed for: 2025.11.18

  • Australia RBA Meeting Minutes at 02:30 (GMT+2); AUD – (MED)
  • Hong Kong Unemployment Rate (m/m) at 10:30 (GMT+2); HKD – (LOW)
  • New Zealand Producer Price Index (q/q) at 23:45 (GMT+2). NZD – (LOW)

By JustMarkets

 

This article reflects a personal opinion and should not be interpreted as an investment advice, and/or offer, and/or a persistent request for carrying out financial transactions, and/or a guarantee, and/or a forecast of future events.

Economics & Fundamentals Financial News
18 Nov

September NFP, Nvidia & Bitcoin in focus

By ForexTime

  • Risk-off sentiment hits global equities
  • Nvidia earnings & delayed September NFP = volatility
  • Traders see less than 45% chance of Fed cut in December
  • Bitcoin falls below $90,000 for the first time since April
  • Gold hit by cooling Fed cut bets and stabilizing USD

 

We could be in for a wild week as federal data flows back into markets after the end of the longest US government shutdown in history.

This may add more volatility to a week already packed with high-risk events, Fed speeches, and earnings from Nvidia – the most valuable company in the world.

In the equity space, a risk-off mood swept across the board amid unease about interest rates and tech earnings ahead of Nvidia’s report on Wednesday. Asian equities closed in the red; European shares are flashing red, while US futures point to a negative open.

(Source Bloomberg)

Nvidia earnings – Wednesday, 19th November.

For a company that remains at the heart of the A.I. hype, investors will be looking for another round of solid earnings that would justify its nearly 120% rebound from 2025 lows.

Any fresh updates on Blackwell deliveries, exposure to China, and guidance for Q4 will be in sharp focus. Given the growing chatter around an AI bubble amid circular business deals, Nvidia’s earnings may set the tone in the AI space for the rest of 2025.

September NFP report – Thursday, 20th November

On Thursday, the delayed September NFP report is set to be published. This data, originally scheduled for early October, could trigger sharp movements as it provides critical insights into U.S. labor market strength.

Additionally, a bunch of Fed officials are scheduled to speak this week, which may influence monetary policy expectations. Traders are currently pricing in a 43% chance of a Fed cut by December as of writing. Any major shifts to these expectations may rock equities, FX, commodities and cryptocurrency.

Bitcoin bears back in town?

Speaking of cryptos, Bitcoin has tumbled below $90,000 for the first time in seven months – extending a month-long slide that has erased 2025 gains.

The “OG” crypto is down roughly 17% this month – dragging 2025 gains into negative territory. Renewed concerns about interest rates, ETF outflows, and overall risk aversion have haunted the attraction toward Bitcoin. With prices securing a solid daily close below $95,000, this could signal further downside with the next key level of interest around the 100-week SMA at $83,000.

Gold prices to extend losses?

In the commodity space, gold is also taking a hit despite the risk-off mood. The precious metal remains pressured by a stabilizing dollar and cooling expectations around a Fed cut in December. Should incoming US data and Fed officials prompt traders to further slash bets around lower rates, this could spell more pain for gold.

  • A solid breakdown below $4000 may open a path toward the 50-day SMA at $3955.
  • Should $4030 prove reliable support, prices may rebound toward $4100.

 

 

Forex-Time-LogoArticle by ForexTime

 

ForexTime Ltd (FXTM) is an award winning international online forex broker regulated by CySEC 185/12 www.forextime.com

Economics & Fundamentals Financial News
18 Nov

EUR/USD Declines as Market Awaits Key US Employment Data

By RoboForex Analytical Department

The EUR/USD pair extended its losses for a third consecutive session, falling to 1.1591 on Tuesday. The downward pressure persists as investors await a backlog of delayed US economic data, expected to provide crucial signals on the Federal Reserve’s interest rate path. The market’s primary focus is the delayed September employment report, which traders will scrutinise for signs of a softening labour market.

The rhetoric from Federal Reserve officials remains mixed, contributing to the market’s indecision. Several officials have recently expressed scepticism about the need for a December rate cut, citing persistent inflationary pressures. However, this was counterbalanced by Governor Chris Waller, who confirmed his support for a cut, and Vice Chair Philip Jefferson, who advocated for a gradual approach due to rising labour market risks.

This conflicting guidance has led to a repricing of rate expectations. Futures markets now imply only a 43% probability of a 25-basis-point cut in December, a significant decline from the odds priced at the start of the month. The US dollar has found broad support, strengthening against commodity-linked currencies like the Australian and New Zealand dollars.

Technical Analysis: EUR/USD

H4 Chart:

On the H4 chart, EUR/USD has breached its growth wave channel at 1.1605, opening the path for a downward move. We anticipate an initial decline to 1.1564, followed by a technical pullback to retest the 1.1605 level from below. This retest is likely to present a fresh selling opportunity before the downtrend resumes towards the primary target of 1.1560. The MACD indicator confirms this bearish outlook. Its signal line, while above zero, is pointing decisively downward, indicating that selling momentum is overpowering any residual strength.

H1 Chart:

On the H1 chart, the pair has broken downwards from a consolidation range around 1.1600, confirming the second leg of a bearish impulse. The immediate target for this move is 1.1560. Upon reaching this level, a corrective bounce back towards 1.1600 is a distinct possibility. The Stochastic oscillator supports this corrective view. Its signal line is rising from the 20 level towards the 50 level, suggesting that short-term downward pressure may be exhausted, paving the way for a temporary rebound.

Conclusion

The EUR/USD remains under pressure amid a strengthening US dollar and uncertain Fed policy. While conflicting comments from officials have created volatility, the overall technical structure is bearish. The breach below 1.1605 suggests further losses are likely, with an initial target at 1.1560. Any near-term rebounds towards the 1.1600/05 resistance zone are expected to be temporary, offering potential opportunities to re-enter the prevailing downtrend.

 

Disclaimer:

Any forecasts contained herein are based on the author’s particular opinion. This analysis may not be treated as trading advice. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations and reviews contained herein.

Financial News Forex and Currency News
17 Nov

The Swiss franc is at its highest level since 2011. Bitcoin lost 5% on Friday

By JustMarkets 

By Friday’s close, the Dow Jones Index (US30) fell by 0.65% (weekly +0.11%). The S&P 500 Index (US500) slipped 0.05% (weekly -0.76%). The Nasdaq (US100) closed slightly higher at 0.06% (weekly -1.61%). The market managed to recover after a sharp drop at the start of trading, but the final move remained muted. Investors actively bought shares of major tech companies, partially offsetting the heavy sector losses from the previous day. The end of the longest government shutdown in US history removed one source of uncertainty but created another: delays in publishing microdata deprived investors of key guidance ahead of the next Fed decision, increasing volatility and forcing traders to reassess positions heading into year-end.

On Friday, Bitcoin (BTC/USD) fell nearly 5% to around $95,000, extending its decline for the fourth consecutive session amid worsening global risk sentiment. Bitcoin has now dropped more than 20% from the record high of $114,000 reached last month. The digital assets market continues to struggle to recover from October’s crash, which triggered record liquidations and widespread reduction of leveraged positions, highlighting growing risk aversion among investors. Additional pressure came from reports that Japan may introduce new rules targeting companies engaged in digital asset custody.

European stock markets declined on Friday. Germany’s DAX (DE40) fell by 0.69% (weekly -0.20%), France’s CAC 40 (FR40) closed down 0.76% (weekly +1.57%), Spain’s IBEX 35 (ES35) dropped 1.40% (weekly +1.69%), and the UK’s FTSE 100 (UK100) closed negative 1.11% (weekly +0.16%). Bayer shares were the day’s worst performer, losing 5.1%. Significant pressure was also seen in the banking and technology sectors.

The Swiss government confirmed reaching an agreement with Donald Trump’s administration on tariffs at 15%. This deal finally resolved the dispute that had dragged on since August, sparked by the unexpected US decision to raise tariffs on Swiss exports to 39%. Against this backdrop, the Swiss franc strengthened to 0.79 per dollar, its highest level since 2011. Additional support came from expectations of rising inflation in Switzerland. Representatives of the Swiss National Bank (SNB) expressed confidence that inflation will “accelerate somewhat” in the coming quarters.

The US natural gas prices fell more than 4% on Friday to $4.45 per MMBtu, retreating from highs last seen in December 2022 after the Energy Information Administration (EIA) reported larger-than-expected inventory builds. At the same time, gas production in the 48 US states reached a new record in November – 109 billion cubic feet per day, keeping inventories about 4% above seasonal norms and adding pressure on prices.

Asian markets traded under pressure last week. Japan’s Nikkei 225 (JP225) fell by 0.53%, China’s FTSE China A50 (CHA50) dropped 0.66%, Hong Kong’s Hang Seng (HK50) declined 1.85%, while Australia’s ASX 200 (AU200) posted a five-day loss of 1.79%.

In Q3 2025, Hong Kong’s economy grew 3.8% year-on-year, exceeding the previous quarter’s 3.1%. This was the strongest growth since Q4 2023, driven by robust export performance and stable domestic demand.

The New Zealand dollar fell to 0.565 USD, giving back part of last week’s gains. The main pressure came from heightened expectations of an imminent rate cut by the Reserve Bank of New Zealand. At the same time, President Donald Trump canceled tariffs on more than 200 categories of food products from New Zealand. While the tariff removal supports New Zealand’s export sector and improves fundamentals, the currency market remains fully focused on RBNZ policy.

S&P 500 (US500) 6,734.11 −3.38 (−0.06%)

Dow Jones (US30) 47,147.48 −309.74 (−0.65%)

DAX (DE40) 23,876.55 −165.07 (−0.69%)

FTSE 100 (UK100) 9,698.37 −109.31 (−1.11%)

USD Index 99.27 +0.12% (+0.12%)

News feed for: 2025.11.17

  • Japan GDP (q/q) at 01:50 (GMT+2);
  • Switzerland GDP (q/q) at 10:00 (GMT+2);
  • Canada Consumer Price Index (m/m) at 15:30 (GMT+2).

By JustMarkets

 

This article reflects a personal opinion and should not be interpreted as an investment advice, and/or offer, and/or a persistent request for carrying out financial transactions, and/or a guarantee, and/or a forecast of future events.

Economics & Fundamentals Financial News
17 Nov

USD/JPY Extends Gains as Japanese Government Advocates for Dovish Policy

By RoboForex Analytical Department

The USD/JPY pair advanced to 154.72 on Monday, trading near its highest levels since February, despite the release of Japanese economic data that surpassed forecasts.

Japan’s GDP contracted by 0.4% quarter-on-quarter in Q3 2025, a reversal from the 0.6% growth recorded in Q2. However, this outcome was better than the 0.6% decline anticipated by economists.

The yen’s weakness persists primarily due to Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi’s public call for the Bank of Japan (BoJ) to maintain its ultra-low interest rate policy. The government believes this accommodative stance is essential to underpin economic growth and support a gradual rise in inflation.

This puts the government at odds with the central bank. BoJ Governor Kazuo Ueda struck a more balanced tone, noting that consumption remains stable amid rising household incomes and a tight labour market. He observed that core inflation is steadily approaching the 2% target, a development that would justify an early policy tightening.

This creates a visible and rare public imbalance between the dovish government’s fiscal priorities and the central bank’s potential inclination towards monetary normalisation.

Technical Analysis: USD/JPY

H4 Chart:

On the H4 chart, USD/JPY completed a growth wave to 155.00 and a subsequent correction to 153.63. The pair is now forming a tight consolidation range around this support level. An upward breakout from this range is expected to initiate the next leg of the rally, targeting 155.15 as an initial objective. This bullish scenario is confirmed by the MACD indicator, whose signal line is positioned above zero and pointing firmly upwards, indicating sustained positive momentum.

H1 Chart:

On the H1 chart, the pair reached a local high at 155.00 and completed a corrective structure to 153.63. A fresh growth impulse to 154.66 has since been completed, forming a new compact consolidation range. An upward breakout from this range is anticipated, opening the path for a move towards a minimum target of 155.75. The Stochastic oscillator supports this outlook. Its signal line is above 50 and rising sharply towards 80, reflecting strong short-term bullish momentum.

Conclusion

USD/JPY continues to climb, driven by a fundamental divergence between a dovish Japanese government and the BoJ, which is cautiously laying the groundwork for a future rate hike. Technically, the structure remains firmly bullish. The completion of the recent correction suggests the pair is poised for further gains, with immediate targets at 155.15 and 155.75.

 

Disclaimer:

Any forecasts contained herein are based on the author’s particular opinion. This analysis may not be treated as trading advice. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations and reviews contained herein.

Financial News Forex and Currency News
14 Nov

Investors moved to profit-taking, assessing the consequences of the official end of the US shutdown

By JustMarkets 

By Thursday’s close, the Dow Jones Index (US30) fell by 1.65%. The S&P 500 Index (US500) dropped 1.66%. The Nasdaq (US100) closed lower at 2.29%. The US stocks plunged as Fed rate expectations were reassessed and AI-sector stocks sold off. The probability of a Fed rate cut in December by 25 basis points, which just a month ago was estimated at around 95%, has now fallen to about 50%. Market participants reacted to a series of cautious comments from Fed officials, who highlighted persistent inflation risks and the limited availability of macro data due to the recent government shutdown. The reassessment of rate expectations reduced demand for growth stocks with high valuations, turning local profit-taking into a broad market decline affecting most sectors.

The Mexican peso (MXN) strengthened above 18.3 per dollar, trading near July 2024 highs. Support for the currency came from slowing inflation, gradual policy easing by the Bank of Mexico, and reduced demand for the dollar amid improved US news flow. Inflation in Mexico continued to decline: headline CPI in October was 3.57%, while core inflation fell just above 4%. Since the rate cut in Mexico was fully priced in, its direct impact on yields was limited. The main drivers were the repricing of risk premiums and renewed carry-trade flows.

European stock markets fell yesterday. Germany’s DAX (DE40) dropped 1.39%, France’s CAC 40 (FR40) closed down 0.11%, Spain’s IBEX 35 (ES35) fell by 0.23%, and the UK’s FTSE 100 (UK100) closed negative 1.05%. After a two-day rally, investors shifted to profit-taking while assessing the consequences of the official end of the US shutdown, which extended government funding only until the end of January. This supported a cautious overall mood, given upcoming releases of key macroeconomic data. Corporate reports also contributed to the decline. Siemens led losses, falling more than 9% after reporting lower Q4 profits despite raising its medium-term sales growth expectations.

WTI crude oil prices rose more than 2% on Friday, climbing to around $60 per barrel and breaking a two-week losing streak. Prices were supported by growing supply risks linked to upcoming US sanctions against Russia’s oil industry. Lukoil began large-scale staff cuts across its global oil trading divisions just days before sanctions took effect – one of the first visible consequences of measures set to begin November 21. Analysts note that nearly one-third of Russia’s seaborne oil exports could be stuck in tankers due to logistical restructuring and slower unloading. The situation is further complicated by India and China temporarily reducing purchases of Russian oil, increasing risks for supply chains.

The US natural gas prices (XNG/USD) rose more than 1%, reaching about $4.6 per MMBtu – the highest since December 2022. The increase was driven by strong export demand and prognosis of colder weather in early December. European buyers continue active imports of US gas in efforts to replace Russian supplies.

Asian markets mostly rose yesterday. Japan’s Nikkei 225 (JP225) gained 0.43%, China’s FTSE China A50 (CHA50) rose 1.04%, Hong Kong’s Hang Seng (HK50) climbed 0.56%, while Australia’s ASX 200 (AU200) closed down 0.52%.

Chinese data point to a slowing industry and weak investment despite stable overall activity. Industrial production slowed to a 14-month low, explained by extended holiday effects and pressure from trade disputes with the US. Retail sales grew 2.9% year-on-year – also a 14-month low, but above expectations of 2.7% thanks to consumption stimulus measures and holiday spending. The unemployment rate fell to a four-month low of 5.1%.
On Friday, the New Zealand dollar rose to $0.569, posting weekly gains on encouraging manufacturing data. In October, manufacturing expanded for the fourth consecutive month, supported by rising new orders and stronger domestic demand. However, further upside potential for the NZD remains limited. Markets expect the Reserve Bank of New Zealand to ease monetary policy at its end-of-month meeting, given weak employment data and moderate inflation prospects. A 25 bps rate cut is already priced in.

S&P 500 (US500) 6,737.49 −113.43 (−1.66%)

Dow Jones (US30) 47,457.22 −797.60 (−1.65%)

DAX (DE40) 24,041.62 −339.84 (−1.39%)

FTSE 100 (UK100) 9,807.68 −103.74 (−1.05%)

USD Index 99.16 −0.33% (−0.34%)

News feed for: 2025.11.14

  • China Industrial Production (m/m) at 04:00 (GMT+2);
  • China Retail Sales (m/m) at 04:00 (GMT+2);
  • China Unemployment Rate (m/m) at 04:00 (GMT+2);
  • Eurozone GDP (q/q) at 12:00 (GMT+2);
  • Eurozone Trade Balance (m/m) at 12:00 (GMT+2);
  • US Natural Gas Storage (w/w) at 17:30 (GMT+2).

By JustMarkets

 

This article reflects a personal opinion and should not be interpreted as an investment advice, and/or offer, and/or a persistent request for carrying out financial transactions, and/or a guarantee, and/or a forecast of future events.

Economics & Fundamentals Financial News
14 Nov

GBP/USD Mired at Seven-Month Lows Amid Political and Fiscal Concerns

By RoboForex Analytical Department

The GBP/USD pair declined to 1.3149 on Friday, hovering near a seven-month low. The sell-off was triggered by the government’s abrupt abandonment of plans to raise income tax rates ahead of the Autumn Statement on 26 November.

According to the Financial Times, Prime Minister Keir Starmer and Chancellor Rachel Reeves have scrapped the previously debated increases to basic and higher tax rates. Instead, they will seek more indirect measures to address a budget deficit estimated at £30 billion.

This policy reversal has sparked significant market anxiety over the new cabinet’s fiscal discipline and long-term strategy, leading to a broad sell-off in sterling-denominated assets and exerting upward pressure on government bond yields.

Moreover, recent macroeconomic data have been weak, further compounding the political unease. Third-quarter economic growth was muted, with monthly GDP contracting in September. This follows earlier reports showing unemployment rising to a four-year high and wage growth slowing to its weakest pace since early 2022. Consequently, market expectations for a Bank of England rate cut in December have intensified.

Technical Analysis: GBP/USD

H4 Chart:

On the H4 chart, GBP/USD has completed a corrective wave at 1.3215. A decline towards 1.3062 is anticipated, likely to be followed by a minor rebound to 1.3131. This level is expected to form resistance within a new consolidation range. A subsequent downward breakout from this range would signal a resumption of the primary downtrend, opening the path towards 1.2985, with a further potential decline to at least 1.2915. This bearish scenario is supported by the MACD indicator. Its signal line, while above zero, has diverged bearishly from its histogram, suggesting the recent corrective bounce has ended and a new downward impulse is forming.

H1 Chart:

On the H1 chart, the pair has formed a consolidation range around 1.3153. We expect an initial decline to 1.3090, followed by a technical retracement to retest the 1.3153 level from below. This retest is likely to present a selling opportunity before the downtrend extends towards 1.3013. The Stochastic oscillator aligns with this view. Its signal line is deep in oversold territory at the 20 level, which, rather than suggesting a rebound, typically indicates sustained downward momentum in a strong trend.

Conclusion

The pound remains under heavy pressure, caught between political missteps that undermine fiscal credibility and a deteriorating economic backdrop that points to monetary easing. Technically, the pair maintains a clear bearish structure. Any near-term stability is likely to prove temporary, with the path of least resistance pointing towards a test of support at 1.2985 and potentially 1.2915.

Disclaimer:

Any forecasts contained herein are based on the author’s particular opinion. This analysis may not be treated as trading advice. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations and reviews contained herein.

Financial News Forex and Currency News
13 Nov

EUR/USD Holds Steady as US Government Shutdown Ends

By RoboForex Analytical Department

The EUR/USD pair is trading flat on Thursday, hovering around 1.1587, following the House of Representatives’ approval of a short-term budget bill that ends the longest US government shutdown in history.

The bill now awaits President Donald Trump’s signature – a formality that will allow shuttered government agencies to resume operations within days.

While the resolution clears the way for the publication of a backlog of delayed macroeconomic data, the White House has cautioned that key October reports on employment and inflation may still be withheld from the public.

Market expectations for a December interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve have moderated but persist. The probability of a 25-basis-point cut has eased to 60%, down from 67% the day before.

This cautious sentiment was fuelled earlier in the week by ADP data, which showed that the US private sector shed an average of 11,250 jobs per week throughout October, amplifying concerns over a cooling labour market.

Technical Analysis: EUR/USD

H4 Chart:

On the H4 chart, EUR/USD has completed a corrective wave to 1.1605 and has formed a tight consolidation range below this resistance level. We anticipate a downward breakout from this range, triggering a decline towards an initial target of 1.1505. A breach of this level would open the path for a further extension of the downtrend to 1.1405. This bearish outlook is technically supported by the MACD indicator. Its signal line is above zero but has diverged from its histogram and is pointing decisively downward, suggesting the recent upward correction has run its course and bearish momentum is reasserting itself.

H1 Chart:

On the H1 chart, the pair completed a downward impulse to 1.1563, followed by a corrective bounce to 1.1597. These two levels define the upper and lower boundaries of a new consolidation range. A downward breakout is expected, leading to a resumption of the sell-off towards initial targets at 1.1538 and 1.1530. The Stochastic oscillator corroborates this view. Its signal line has turned down from below the 80 level and is falling steadily towards 20, indicating that short-term downward momentum is building.

Conclusion

While the end of the US government shutdown removes a key market overhang, the EUR/USD pair remains capped by underlying concerns about the US economy and a still-dovish Fed outlook. Technically, the structure points to a bearish resolution. The completion of the correction near 1.1605 suggests the pair is poised for a fresh leg lower, with key downside targets at 1.1505 and 1.1405.

 

Disclaimer:

Any forecasts contained herein are based on the author’s particular opinion. This analysis may not be treated as trading advice. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations and reviews contained herein.

Financial News Forex and Currency News
13 Nov

Oil prices fell sharply following OPEC’s revised expectations. The US government shutdown has ended

By JustMarkets 

By Wednesday’s close, the Dow Jones Index (US30) rose 0.68% and reached a historic high. The S&P 500 Index (US500) gained 0.03%. The Nasdaq (US100) closed lower at 0.26%. Market optimism strengthened thanks to expectations of a swift end to the prolonged government shutdown. Late yesterday, President Donald Trump signed the funding bill, officially ending the longest federal government shutdown in US history and allowing agencies to resume operations.
In the tech sector, AMD was the growth driver, with prognoses exceeding analysts’ expectations. The company’s shares jumped 9%, supporting other industry players – Broadcom (+0.9%) and Qualcomm (+1.6%). However, overall growth was limited by weakness among large-cap companies, where investors continued to take profits, restraining Nasdaq’s performance.

European stock markets rose yesterday. Germany’s DAX (DE40) gained 1.22%, France’s CAC 40 (FR40) closed up 1.04%, Spain’s IBEX 35 (ES35) rose by 1.39%, and the UK’s FTSE 100 (UK100) closed positive 0.12%. The FTSE 100 ended trading with a slight gain, hitting a record high, but its performance lagged most other European markets due to declines in oil and gas stocks. Political uncertainty also weighed on sentiment after reports that Health Secretary Wes Streeting allegedly seeks to oust Prime Minister Keir Starmer.

On Wednesday, WTI crude oil prices fell more than 4%, hitting a three-week low of $58 per barrel. Pressure came from OPEC’s revised projections, which now see a supply surplus of about 500,000 barrels per day in Q3, compared with the previously expected deficit. Investors now await the US Energy Information Administration’s monthly report and the updated expectations from the International Energy Agency, due today.

On Thursday, silver rose above $54 per ounce, approaching the record high reached last month. The price increase was driven by stronger expectations that the Federal Reserve will continue its rate-cutting cycle this year. Additional support came from optimism around the imminent end of the US government shutdown, which will allow the release of delayed economic data and clarify monetary policy prospects.

Asian markets mostly rose yesterday. Japan’s Nikkei 225 (JP225) gained 0.43%, China’s FTSE China A50 (CHA50) rose by 0.60%, Hong Kong’s Hang Seng (HK50) climbed 0.85%, while Australia’s ASX 200 (AU200) closed down 0.22%.

On Thursday, the offshore yuan rose above 7.10 per dollar, reaching a two-week high amid expectations of key macroeconomic data due Friday. Investors remain cautious, assessing China’s economic outlook amid signs of slowing domestic demand and uneven recovery.

On Thursday, the Australian dollar strengthened to around $0.655, reaching a two-week high after strong employment data reduced the likelihood of imminent monetary easing. According to the Australian Bureau of Statistics, employment rose by 42,200 in October, more than double analysts’ prognoses. The unemployment rate fell to 4.3%, below expectations of 4.5%. These figures reinforced the view that the labor market remains resilient and that the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) has no immediate reason for further rate cuts after three reductions earlier this year. Expectations of a rate cut in May 2026 fell to 32%, compared with about 70% before the data release.

S&P 500 (US500) 6,848.38 +1.77 (+0.03%)

Dow Jones (US30) 48,255.00 +327.04 (+0.68%)

DAX (DE40) 24,381.46 +293.40 (+1.22%)

FTSE 100 (UK100) 9,911.42 +11.82 (+0.12%)

USD Index 99.50 +0.06% (+0.06%)

News feed for: 2025.11.13

  • Japan Producer Price Index (m/m) at 01:50 (GMT+2);
  • Australia Unemployment Rate (m/m) at 02:30 (GMT+2);
  • UK GDP (m/m) at 09:00 (GMT+2);
  • UK Industrial Production (m/m) at 09:00 (GMT+2);
  • Eurozone Industrial Production (m/m) at 12:00 (GMT+2);
  • US Crude Oil Reserves (w/w) at 19:00 (GMT+2).

By JustMarkets

 

This article reflects a personal opinion and should not be interpreted as an investment advice, and/or offer, and/or a persistent request for carrying out financial transactions, and/or a guarantee, and/or a forecast of future events.

Economics & Fundamentals Financial News
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