Archive for Financial News – Page 225

The RBA raised the interest rate by 0.25%. The ECB is set for a rate hike above the 4% level

By JustMarkets

The US Treasury yields rose yesterday ahead of Powell’s speech to Congress, which could give clues as to the US Federal Reserve’s future monetary policy. Investors and funds are starting to hedge and close their trades after the good rally in the last days of last week. At the close of the stock market on Monday, the Dow Jones (US30) increased by 0.12%, and the S&P 500 (US500) added 0.07%. The NASDAQ Technology Index (US100) decreased by 0.11%.

The US Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell will address Congress today to present the central bank’s semiannual monetary policy report. He will address the Senate on Tuesday and the House of Representatives on Wednesday. His comments will be scrutinized for hints about whether a broader rate hike is being considered this month after recent data pointing to solid inflation. Powell’s hawkish bias could trigger a sell-off in the stock market in favor of the dollar index as a defensive asset. Conversely, any hint from Powell that the US Fed is abandoning its hawkish stance could cause Treasury yields to fall further, pushing the dollar index down and the stock indices up.

Shares of Apple (AAPL) jumped about 2% after Goldman Sachs issued a “buy” recommendation on the stock, citing the tech giant’s strong position in services. Meanwhile, shares of Tesla (TSLA) fell more than 2% after the electric-car maker cut prices in the US for the second time this year to boost demand. Tesla also suffered from Morgan Stanley ruling out the electric carmaker as a “better choice” in favor of Ferrari. Morgan Stanley raised its target Ferrari NV (RACE) price to $310 a share.

Stock markets in Europe were mostly up Monday. Germany’s DAX (DE30) added 0.48%, France’s CAC 40 (FR40) gained 0.34%, Spain’s IBEX 35 (ES35) jumped by 0.49%, Britain’s FTSE 100 (UK100) closed yesterday down by 0.22%.

The European Central Bank should raise interest rates by 50 basis points at each of the next four meetings as inflation remains resilient, said Robert Holzmann, head of the Austrian central bank. Holzmann is considered the ECB’s most hawkish spokesman. The four steps advocated by Holzmann would raise the deposit rate to 4.5%, well above the current projected rate of 4%. Holzmann also urged the ECB to accelerate the reduction of the bank’s balance sheet by stopping full reinvestment in its Pandemic Emergency Purchase Program (PEPP). All debt maturing in the PEPP scheme must now be fully reinvested in the market until 2024.

Asian markets were also mostly up yesterday. Japan’s Nikkei 225 (JP225) jumped by 1.11%, China’s FTSE China A50 (CHA50) fell by 0.80%, Hong Kong’s Hang Seng (HK50) ended the day up 0.17%, India’s NIFTY 50 (IND50) added 0.67%, and Australia’s S&P/ASX 200 (AU200) ended the positive by 0.62%.

China set its GDP growth target for this year at about 5%, lower than last year’s target of about 5.5%. Last week’s stronger-than-expected data on activity in China’s manufacturing and service sectors point to an economic recovery. Given that China is Australia’s largest export market, any improvement in China’s growth outlook could improve Australia’s growth prospects.

The Reserve Bank of Australia raised its benchmark interest rate by 25 basis points. The rate rose from 3.35% to 3.6%. The monetary policy statement indicates that the RBA is leaving the door open for further increases. The move was expected as inflation rose to its highest level in three decades last quarter, and there are still no signs of inflationary pressures easing.

The Bank of Japan has set the discount rate at 0.10% and remains in control of the yield curve (YCC), targeting a range of 0.50% near zero for Japanese government bonds (JGBs) for up to 10 years. The 10-year JGB trades steadily near the upper bound of 0.50%, forcing the BoJ to intervene frequently. Incoming Bank of Japan (BoJ) Governor Kazuo Ueda clarified last week that he would take the same stance as outgoing Governor Haruhiko Kuroda. The BoJ will meet this week, where current governor Haruhiko Kuroda will speak for the last time in office.

S&P 500 (F) (US500) 4,048.42 +2.78 (+0.069%)

Dow Jones (US30)33,431.44 +40.47 (+0.12%)

DAX (DE40) 15,653.58 +75.19 (+0.48%)

FTSE 100 (UK100) 7,929.79 −17.32 (−0.22%)

USD Index 104.53 −0.50 (−0.48%)

Important events for today:
  • – Australia Retail Sales (m/m) at 02:30 (GMT+2);
  • – China Trade Balance (m/m) at 05:00 (GMT+2);
  • – Australia RBA Interest Rate Decision (m/m) at 05:30 (GMT+2);
  • – Australia RBA Rate Statement (m/m) at 05:30 (GMT+2);
  • – Switzerland Unemployment Rate (m/m) at 08:45 (GMT+2);
  • – US Fed Chair Jerome Powell Testifies at 17:00 (GMT+2);
  • – Switzerland SNB Chairman Jordan speaks at 20:30 (GMT+2);
  • – Australia RBA Gov Lowe speaks at 23:55 (GMT+2).

By JustMarkets

 

This article reflects a personal opinion and should not be interpreted as an investment advice, and/or offer, and/or a persistent request for carrying out financial transactions, and/or a guarantee, and/or a forecast of future events.

Volatile Week Ahead As Risk Events Eyed

By ForexTime 

The next few days could be wild and incredibly volatile for financial markets thanks to key central banks meetings, a semi-annual Congress appearance from Jerome Powell, and the latest US jobs data.

Asian shares edged higher on Tuesday morning following the mixed cues from Wall Street overnight as investors geared up for this week’s key risk events and economic releases. US and European futures seem to be pointing to a mixed open, with all attention directed towards commentary from Fed Chair Jerome Powell later today. In the FX space, the dollar remained subdued offering more space for G10 currencies to retaliate. Gold remains shaky this morning, and could be exposed to more pain if Powell strikes a hawkish tone later today.

In other news, the Reserve Bank of Australia hiked interest rates to the highest level in over 10 years. As expected, the central bank announced a 25-basis point hike, taking the cash rate to 3.6%. However, the RBA signaled a pause in its tightening cycle which triggered a selloff in the aussie. Taking a quick look at the technical picture, the AUDUSD remains under pressure on the daily charts with prices pressing against the 0.6700 support level. A solid bearish breakout beyond this level may open a path toward 0.6600.

Big week for USD as Powell and NFP eyed

It has been a choppy affair for the dollar over the past few days due to the absence of a fresh fundamental spark. But upcoming events could inject fresh life into the currency and set the tone for March.

Later today, Fed Chair Powell provides his semi-annual report to the Senate Banking Committee. Any hints around the Fed veering away from 25bp hikes in future meetings have the potential to move markets. The central bank head will address the House Financial Services Committee on Wednesday and is expected to reiterate a similar message. If Powell sounds hawkish, this could essentially revive dollar strength and rate hike bets. Alternatively, a dovish-sounding Powell may temper expectations around rates staying higher for longer, resulting in dollar weakness.

Before the main course and potential market shaker on Friday in the form of the NFP jobs data, investors will be served appetisers in the form of the ADP’s monthly report and the weekly initial jobless claims. Market sentiment could receive a slight boost if these reports exceed forecasts.

All eyes will be on the US jobs report at the end of the week, which is expected to show that the US added 215,00 jobs in February compared to the blowout 517,000 seen in January. Ultimately, another robust jobs report may reinforce expectations around the Fed holding rates higher for longer, in turn supporting dollar bulls. If the NFP report disappoints, this may raise questions about the dollar’s renewed strength, especially if rate hike bets cool.

Commodity spotlight – Gold

After bagging its best week since mid-January, gold has kicked off the new week on a shaky note.

The next few days promise to be eventful for the precious metal as investors brace for Powell’s Testimony and US economic data including the highly anticipated NFP. Price action suggests that gold bulls could be back in town. However, the risk events over the next few days may determine whether the current momentum results in a more pronounced bullish reversal or simply a dead cat bounce. A hawkish-sounding Powell coupled with another strong jobs report could spell nothing but trouble for gold. Alternatively, a cautious Powell and disappointing jobs report could keep the party going for gold bugs.

Taking a quick look at the technical picture, a strong daily close above the 50-day SMA around $1870 could encourage a move toward $1880 and $1900, respectively. Sustained weakness could open a path back towards $1845, $1825, and $1800.


Forex-Time-LogoArticle by ForexTime

ForexTime Ltd (FXTM) is an award winning international online forex broker regulated by CySEC 185/12 www.forextime.com

Brent Keeps Trying to Grow

By RoboForex Analytical Department

The crude oil sector fights with the news flow, trying to climb higher. A Brent barrel now costs 85.25 USD.

China has changed its forecast for economic growth in the country to 5.0% from 5.5% earlier. This made capital market really unhappy because it had really counted on the demand on energy carriers from China. Last year, the Chinese GDP grew by just 3%. Hence, the decrease in the target for 2023 might be an attempt to place more realistic goals and reach them efficiently. However, at the moment things look bad.

For now, the market has few fundamental reasons for optimism, yet local waves of purchases happen.

On H4, Brent has formed a consolidation range around 83.83. With an escape upwards, a pathway to 87.52 will practically open. After this level is reached, a link of correction to 83.83 might happen, followed by further growth to 87.52. And this is just a half of the wave. After the goal of growth is reached, a decline to 83.83 might follow, and then — growth to 94.80. Technically, this scenario is confirmed by the MACD: its signal line is above zero in the histogram area suggesting growth to new highs.

On H1, the structure of the fifth wave of growth to 85.80 has been completed. Today a consolidation range is forming below it. An escape downwards and a link of correction to 83.83 are not excluded. With an escape upwards, the wave might continue to 87.50. The target is local. After it is reached, a link of decline to 83.83 and growth to 90.00 might follow. Technically, this scenario is confirmed by Stochastic. Its signal line is above 20, aimed strictly upwards.

Disclaimer

Any forecasts contained herein are based on the author’s particular opinion. This analysis may not be treated as trading advice. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations and reviews contained herein.

US race for digital dollar fuels case for Bitcoin

By George Prior

With the US government’s work on a potential digital dollar accelerating, meaning a digital greenback could soon be a reality in the US, the case for Bitcoin becomes “significantly stronger.”

This assessment from Nigel Green, CEO and founder of deVere Group, one of the world’s largest independent financial advisory, asset management and fintech organizations, comes as Nellie Liang, the US Treasury Department’s undersecretary for domestic finance, noted that the federal government will start meetings in the “coming months” on a Central Bank Digital Currency (CBDC).

Speaking last week in a speech for the Atlantic Council, Ms Liang said that US officials are “actively evaluating whether a CBDC is in the national interest,” and highlighted some of the potential benefits of a Federal Reserve-backed digital currency, noting it “could help preserve the dollar’s global role” and possibly reduce frictions in cross-border transactions.

Nigel Green observes: “This is the clearest sign yet that a digital US dollar could soon become a reality, pending Congressional approval.

“With the world’s largest economy now ramping up efforts, the global race to CBDCs is now intensifying.

“It’s estimated that more than 80% of central banks around the world are considering launching a central bank digital currency or have already done so. It appears that the US is now determined not to be left behind and is accelerating the project.

“It seems to have become a critical matter of global leadership, as China is the most economically powerful country to lead CBDC implementation.”

Proponents of CBDCs say digital payments can be processed faster than traditional cash or check payments, reducing transaction times and increasing the speed of commerce.

In addition, transaction costs could be cheaper to process than traditional cash or check payments, potentially reducing costs for businesses and consumers. A digital system could provide greater access to financial services for people who may not have access to traditional banking services.

“Whilst CBDCs might have many advantages, including convenience, efficiency and transparency, what they do not have is privacy,” says Nigel Green.

“In effect, the digital dollar is Big Brother-style surveillance technology.

“These state-backed, programmable digital currencies will provide governments greater oversight of citizens’ transactions in real-time, potentially leading to the collection of sensitive personal information.

“This could include information about individuals’ spending habits, income, and other financial activities. This has raised concerns about the potential for government abuse of this information, such as the use of financial data to monitor and control individuals’ behaviour.
“It’s an extra lever of control that they’ve never had before.”
This, says the deVere Group CEO, is why Bitcoin and cryptocurrencies, will become increasingly attractive.

“Why? Because they still have all the plusses of being digital, – speed, efficiency and convenience – but they are fundamentally different as they run on an open, immutable blockchain.

“They are global, decentralized – with no one authority able to control – borderless, tamper-proof and censorship-resistant.”

Despite the US Treasury appearing to prepare for the launch of a digital dollar, there are a growing number of voices in opposition.

Representative Tom Emmer has introduced legislation in the House of Representatives that could limit the Federal Reserve from issuing a central bank digital currency, or CBDC.

Last month, Emmer affirmed that he had introduced the “CBDC Anti-Surveillance State Act” in order to protect Americans’ right to financial privacy.

According to the lawmaker, the bill would prevent the Fed from issuing a digital dollar “directly to anyone,” bar the central bank from implementing monetary policy based on a CBDC, and require transparency for initiatives related to a digital dollar.

“Any digital version of the dollar must uphold our American values of privacy, individual sovereignty, and free market competitiveness,” he said. “Anything less opens the door to the development of a dangerous surveillance tool.”

Nigel Green concludes: “The US joining the CBDC race more fully underscores that digital is inevitably the future of money .

“It’s increasingly clear that in the not-too-distant future, we will have a multi-faceted system of currencies, including fiat, CBDCs, and crypto.

“Whilst there are pros and cons to all, for many people programmable, trackable CBDCs will be unattractive due to the privacy and government monitoring concerns.

“What’s urgently needed is sensible, informed public conversation.”

About:

deVere Group is one of the world’s largest independent advisors of specialist global financial solutions to international, local mass affluent, and high-net-worth clients.  It has a network of more than 70 offices across the world, over 80,000 clients and $12bn under advisement.

With Inked Deal, Oil & Gas Co. To Own 100% of Subsidiary

Source: Bill Newman  (3/3/23)

With the transaction close, the acquirer will also assume total interest in the now jointly owned oil asset, noted a Research Capital Corp. report.

CanAsia Energy Corp. (CEC:TSX.V) agreed to buy Andora Energy’s common shares owned by minority shareholders for US$1.7 million (US$0.044 per share) in cash, reported Research Capital Corp. analyst Bill Newman in a March 2 research note. This will take CanAsia’s ownership of Andora’s common shares to 100% from 88.2%.

The deal is expected to close by this month’s end, noted Newman, and will likely catalyze CanAsia’s stock.

“We view this transaction as positive,” Newman added.

Research Capital maintained its Speculative Buy recommendation and CA$0.50 per share price target on CanAsia, noted Newman. The stock is currently trading at CA$0.22 per share, which implies a significant, or 127%, potential return on investment from here.

Stake in Resource To Change

Newman pointed out that with the transaction, the portion of the Sawn Lake resource net to CanAsia will increase to 100%, according to the updated resource previously prepared by Sproule Associates and effective Dec. 31, 2022.

The risked best estimate contingent resource net to CanAsia will increase to 248,200,000 barrels (248.2 MMbbl) from 218.9 MMbbl.

Accordingly, the after-tax net present value discounted at 15% of this resource will change to CA$198 million (CA$198M), or CA$3.98 per share, previously CA$175M, or CA$3.51 per share.

Disclosures:
1) Doresa Banning wrote this article for Streetwise Reports LLC. She or members of her household own securities of the following companies mentioned in the article: None. She or members of her household are paid by the following companies mentioned in this article: None.

2) The following companies mentioned in this article are billboard sponsors of Streetwise Reports: CanAsia Energy Corp. Click here for important disclosures about sponsor fees. As of the date of this article, an affiliate of Streetwise Reports has a consulting relationship with: None. Please click here for more information.

3) Statements and opinions expressed are the opinions of the author and not of Streetwise Reports or its officers. The author is wholly responsible for the validity of the statements. The author was not paid by Streetwise Reports for this article. Streetwise Reports was not paid by the author to publish or syndicate this article. Streetwise Reports requires contributing authors to disclose any shareholdings in, or economic relationships with, companies that they write about. Streetwise Reports relies upon the authors to accurately provide this information and Streetwise Reports has no means of verifying its accuracy.

4) This article does not constitute investment advice. Each reader is encouraged to consult with his or her individual financial professional and any action a reader takes as a result of information presented here is his or her own responsibility. By opening this page, each reader accepts and agrees to Streetwise Reports’ terms of use and full legal disclaimer. This article is not a solicitation for investment. Streetwise Reports does not render general or specific investment advice and the information on Streetwise Reports should not be considered a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Streetwise Reports does not endorse or recommend the business, products, services or securities of any company mentioned on Streetwise Reports.

5) From time to time, Streetwise Reports LLC and its directors, officers, employees or members of their families, as well as persons interviewed for articles and interviews on the site, may have a long or short position in securities mentioned. Directors, officers, employees or members of their immediate families are prohibited from making purchases and/or sales of those securities in the open market or otherwise from the time of the decision to publish an article until three business days after the publication of the article. The foregoing prohibition does not apply to articles that in substance only restate previously published company releases. As of the date of this article, officers and/or employees of Streetwise Reports LLC (including members of their household) own securities of

 


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Disclosures:
1) Doresa Banning wrote this article for Streetwise Reports LLC. She or members of her household own securities of the following companies mentioned in the article: None. She or members of her household are paid by the following companies mentioned in this article: None.

2) The following companies mentioned in this article are billboard sponsors of Streetwise Reports: TAG Oil Ltd. Click here for important disclosures about sponsor fees. As of the date of this article, an affiliate of Streetwise Reports has a consulting relationship with: None. Please click here for more information.

3) Statements and opinions expressed are the opinions of the author and not of Streetwise Reports or its officers. The author is wholly responsible for the validity of the statements. The author was not paid by Streetwise Reports for this article. Streetwise Reports was not paid by the author to publish or syndicate this article. Streetwise Reports requires contributing authors to disclose any shareholdings in, or economic relationships with, companies that they write about. Streetwise Reports relies upon the authors to accurately provide this information and Streetwise Reports has no means of verifying its accuracy.

4) This article does not constitute investment advice. Each reader is encouraged to consult with his or her individual financial professional and any action a reader takes as a result of information presented here is his or her own responsibility. By opening this page, each reader accepts and agrees to Streetwise Reports’ terms of use and full legal disclaimer. This article is not a solicitation for investment. Streetwise Reports does not render general or specific investment advice and the information on Streetwise Reports should not be considered a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Streetwise Reports does not endorse or recommend the business, products, services or securities of any company mentioned on Streetwise Reports.

5) From time to time, Streetwise Reports LLC and its directors, officers, employees or members of their families, as well as persons interviewed for articles and interviews on the site, may have a long or short position in securities mentioned. Directors, officers, employees or members of their immediate families are prohibited from making purchases and/or sales of those securities in the open market or otherwise from the time of the decision to publish an article until three business days after the publication of the article. The foregoing prohibition does not apply to articles that in substance only restate previously published company releases. As of the date of this article, officers and/or employees of Streetwise Reports LLC (including members of their household) own securities of CHECK a company mentioned in this article.

Disclosures for Research Capital Corp., CanAsia Energy Corp., March 2, 2023

Analyst Certification: I, Bill Newman, CFA, certify the views expressed in this report were formed by my review of relevant company data and industry investigation, and accurately reflect my opinion about the investment merits of the securities mentioned in the report. I also certify that my compensation is not related to specific recommendations or views expressed in this report. Research Capital Corporation publishes research and investment recommendations for the use of its clients. Information regarding our categories of recommendations, quarterly summaries of the percentage of our recommendations which fall into each category and our policies regarding the release of our research reports is available at www.researchcapital.com or may be requested by contacting the analyst. Each analyst of Research Capital Corporation whose name appears in this report hereby certifies that (i) the recommendations and opinions expressed in this research report accurately reflect the analyst’s personal views and (ii) no part of the research analyst’s compensation was or will be directly or indirectly related to the specific conclusions or recommendations expressed in this research report.

Relevant Disclosures Applicable to Companies Under Coverage: Relevant disclosures required under IIROC Rule 3400 applicable to companies under coverage discussed in this research report are available on our website at www.researchcapital.ca

General Disclosures: The opinions, estimates and projections contained in all Research Reports published by Research Capital Corporation (“RCC”) are those of RCC as of the date of publication and are subject to change without notice. RCC makes every effort to ensure that the contents have been compiled or derived from sources believed to be reliable and that contain information and opinions that are accurate and complete; RCC makes no representation or warranty, express or implied, in respect thereof, takes no responsibility for any errors and omissions which may be contained therein and accepts no liability whatsoever for any loss arising from any use of or reliance on its Research Reports or its contents. Information may be available to RCC that is not contained therein. Research Reports disseminated by RCC are not a solicitation to buy or sell. All securities not available in all jurisdictions.

Company Specific Disclosures: Within the past 12 months, Research Capital has provided investment banking services to the issuer. The Analyst currently owns or is short shares of the issuer, which represents less than 1% of shares outstanding.

Potential Conflicts of Interest: All Research Capital Corporation (“RCC”) Analysts are compensated based in part on the overall revenues of RCC, a portion of which are generated by investment banking activities. RCC may have had, or seek to have, an investment banking relationship with companies mentioned in this report. RCC and/or its officers, directors and employees may from time to time acquire, hold or sell securities mentioned in our Research Reports as principal or agent. RCC makes every effort possible to avoid conflicts of interest, however readers should assume that a conflict might exist, and therefore not rely solely on this report when evaluating whether or not to buy or sell the securities of subject companies.

RC USA INC.: Information about Research Capital Corporation’s Rating System, the distribution of our research to clients and the percentage of recommendations which are in each of our rating categories is available on our website at www.researchcapital.com. The information contained in this report has been drawn from sources believed to be reliable but its accuracy or completeness is not guaranteed, nor in providing it does Research Capital Corporation assume any responsibility or liability. Research Capital Corporation, its directors, officers and other employees may, from time to time, have positions in the securities mentioned herein. Contents of this report cannot be reproduced in whole or in part without the express permission of Research Capital Corporation. US Institutional Clients – Research Capital USA Inc., a wholly owned subsidiary of Research Capital Corporation, accepts responsibility for the contents of this report subject to the terms and limitations set out above. US firms or institutions receiving this report should effect transactions in securities discussed in the report through Research Capital USA Inc., a Broker – Dealer registered with the Financial Industry Regulatory Authority (FINRA).

Eli Lilly is cutting insulin prices and capping copays at $35 – 5 questions answered

By Dana Goldman, University of Southern California and Karen Van Nuys, University of Southern California 

Pharmaceutical giant Eli Lilly is slashing the list prices for some of its most popular insulin products by 70% and capping insulin copays at US$35 for uninsured patients and those with private health insurance. These changes follow efforts by the federal government, the California state government, nonprofits and some companies to make insulin more affordable for the more than 7 million Americans with diabetes who require it.

The Conversation asked Dana Goldman and Karen Van Nuys, two scholars who have researched insulin pricing, to explain why Eli Lilly is dramatically cutting the cost of some of its insulin products and to sum up how it may improve access to this essential medical treatment.

1. Why is Lilly reducing prices now?

High insulin prices have not earned any U.S. manufacturer many friends, with list prices increasing 54% from 2014 to 2019.

Most troublingly, an estimated 1.3 million uninsured people with diabetes and patients with inadequate insurance have resorted to rationing their insulin. Skipping doses because of high insulin prices has sometimes had tragic and even deadly consequences.

But growing competition has shaken up the insulin market in recent years.

For example, Walmart introduced its own private-brand insulin in 2021. Mylan, a large generic drugmaker, developed a version of long-acting insulin called Semglee, priced 65% lower than its branded competitor. But few consumers use those products.

Efforts to produce cheaper insulin by the nonprofit drugmaker CivicaRx and the state of California are several years out and won’t provide immediate relief.

Then there’s the Inflation Reduction Act, a big spending package Congress approved in 2022. It capped insulin out-of-pocket costs at $35 for Americans with Medicare, a government health insurance program that covers people over 65.

And, in fact, Lilly itself has been trying to disrupt insulin prices. In 2019, the drugmaker introduced insulin lispro, a lower-cost version of its blockbuster insulin, Humalog.

2. What does this mean for Americans who need insulin?

Part of the problem with the existing system is that some patients, especially if they’re uninsured or have high deductibles, end up paying the list price – which can mean spending $1,000 or more a month on insulin. This can be a crushing financial burden.

Lilly’s new $35 out-of-pocket cap means that privately insured patients and those without insurance requiring insulin will spend no more than that monthly for copays. Its 70% reduction in the list price of two popular name brand insulins, Humalog and Humulin, will bring some financial relief. And the company has also reduced its generic lispro’s list price to $25 a vial, down from $126.

The evidence is clear that these price reductions will improve patient adherence – which means fewer missed doses of this lifesaving medication.

3. How might Lilly’s actions affect the whole industry?

Lilly has put pressure on its biggest competitors, Novo Nordisk and Sanofi, to follow suit.

These lower prices could also make Lilly’s insulins affordable to cash-paying patients. As a result, these insulins could be added to the list of drugs provided by pharmacies that are disrupting the U.S. prescription drug industry, like Mark Cuban’s Cost Plus Drug Co. and Blueberry Pharmacy. These companies provide low-cost drugs with transparent markups or through membership programs, typically without insurance.

4. Why did insulin get so expensive in the US?

That lispro, Lilly’s own, cheaper authorized generic insulin, hasn’t completely displaced the equivalent name brand Humalog in the market by now may seem surprising. But it is the result of the complex U.S. prescription drug distribution system.

Insulin prices are the result of a complex set of negotiations between manufacturers and pharmacy benefit managers, which act on behalf of insurers. The three largest – CVS Caremark, Express Scripts and Optum Rx – handle about 80% of all prescriptions.

These middlemen negotiate directly with Lilly and other insulin manufacturers, focusing on two key sums: the list price and the rebate. Manufacturers are paid the list price but then must pay a rebate to the pharmacy benefit managers.

How do pharmacy benefit managers get manufacturers to pay rebates? They maintain formularies – lists of drugs that patients in a health plan can access. If an insulin manufacturer wants to supply diabetes patients, it needs to remain on those formularies. And doing so requires the manufacturer to pay bigger rebates. Otherwise, pharmacy benefit managers can exclude the manufacturer.

In 2016, OptumRx, which negotiates insulin prices for about 28 million people, excluded only four types of insulin from its formulary. By 2022, OptumRx was excluding 13 insulins.

Keeping insulin on formularies, in short, has required high rebates, and list prices have increased along with them. Ironically, as insulin list prices have been rising, manufacturers have been making less money off of insulin sales, while middlemen have been making more. The key to true price competition is to ensure access to all versions of insulin and to convince patients and providers that people with diabetes can substitute lower-cost versions without compromising their health.

5. What might happen next?

The Federal Trade Commission, a government agency that probes anti-competitive practices, and Congress are now investigating pharmacy benefit managers’ rebate and formulary practices, among other things. These investigations, along with Lilly’s moves, may lead other insulin manufacturers to lower their list prices.

And once its competitors decide whether they will follow Lilly’s example, pharmacy benefit managers will be under a lot of scrutiny to see whether they give preferred formulary placement to the lowest-cost insulin products, or to those that pay the highest rebates.The Conversation

About the Authors:

Dana Goldman, Dean of the Sol Price School of Public Policy; Professor of Pharmacy, Public Policy, and Economics, University of Southern California and Karen Van Nuys, Executive Director of the Value of Life Sciences Innovation program; Fellow at the USC Schaeffer Center, University of Southern California

This article is republished from The Conversation under a Creative Commons license. Read the original article.

 

The ECB will remain hawkish until the summer. UAE plans to exit OPEC

By JustMarkets

The recent string of strong economic data has caused investors to rethink how much more Fed tightening is needed to slow the economy significantly. Investors have begun to realize that the Fed will stop raising rates probably before early summer, and the current price levels in the stock market are a great opportunity to buy or average portfolios. This caused the indices to rise sharply at the end of last week. At the close of the stock market on Friday, the Dow Jones Index (US30) increased by 1.17% (+1.47% for the week), and the S&P 500 (US500) added 1.61% (+1.33% for the week). The NASDAQ Technology Index (US100) jumped by 1.97% on Friday (+1.49% for the week). The S&P 500 (US500) broke a three-week losing streak, and the Dow Jones Industrial Average (US30) posted its first weekly gain since late January.

The fourth-quarter reporting season is coming to a close, and all but seven companies in the S&P 500 have reported. According to Refinitiv, results for the quarter beat consensus forecasts 68% of the time.

Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond President Thomas Barkin said Friday that he could envision a scenario in which the central bank would raise the US benchmark interest rate to a range of 5.5%-5.75%. Barkin also added that inflation might cool faster than he expects, implying a shallower rate trajectory. But it is more likely that inflation will persist, requiring the Fed to do more. That said, the policymaker does not expect a rate cut before the end of 2023.

(DE30) gained 1.64% (+1.48% for the week), French CAC 40 (FR40) added 0.88% (+1.48% for the week), Spanish IBEX 35 (ES35) jumped by 0.47% (+2.29% for the week), British FTSE 100 (UK100) closed on Friday with 0.04% (+0.87% for the week).

The latest Eurozone inflation report showed that price pressures remain persistently high in the single block, especially for core inflation. The ECB will meet in mid-March to announce its next 50bp interest rate hike. And this scenario is already almost entirely factored into prices. Several ECB policymakers have recently warned that ECB rate hikes should continue until core inflation turns around. With the head of the ECB expecting core inflation to remain high through the summer, there is a high probability that the ECB will undertake another 0.5% rate hike at its May meeting.

On Friday, the Wall Street Journal reported that there is an internal debate in the United Arab Emirates over the prospect of leaving OPEC. The UAE’s decision to leave the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries would reduce the group’s authority to set oil prices, which account for nearly 38% of global production. The Emirates produces more than 3 million barrels a day and is OPEC’s third-largest oil producer. Analysts say oil prices are likely to be in the $75 to $80 a barrel range.

Saudi Arabia raised oil prices for Asia and Europe for April. The reason is rising demand from China, the world’s biggest oil importer. Aramco sells about 60% of its crude supply to Asia, mostly under long-term contracts whose prices are reviewed monthly. China, Japan, South Korea, and India are the biggest buyers. According to some experts, as the heat approaches, demand will only increase, which, given the current supply, could push oil prices back up to $100 a barrel.

Asian markets mostly declined last week. Japan’s Nikkei 225 (JP225) jumped by 2.21% over the week, China’s FTSE China A50 (CHA50) gained 1.90%, Hong Kong’s Hang Seng (HK50) jumped by 3.77%, India’s NIFTY 50 (IND50) added 0.89%, and Australia’s S&P/ASX 200 (AU200) was negative by 0.32%.

China maintained its language on Taiwan in its annual report to the country’s legislature, suggesting that President Xi Jinping maintains his policy on the self-governing island even as global tensions rise. “We must promote the peaceful development of relations on both sides of the Taiwan Strait and advance the process of China’s peaceful reunification,” Premier Li Keqiang said in a work report to the National People’s Congress. On the one hand, this is great news for the de-escalation of relations between China and Taiwan along with the United States. On the other hand, at the same time, China has increased defense spending by 7.2%, which contrasts slightly with plans to resolve things diplomatically. But it should be noted that since Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, the world has begun “military reform” – almost all countries have begun to increase military budgets, especially European countries.

For its part, the Biden administration is close to tightening regulations on some foreign investments by US companies in order to limit China’s ability to acquire technology that could improve its military power. This is another attempt by the White House to hit China’s military and technology sectors at a time of increasingly strained relations between the world’s two largest economies.

In the commodities market, futures on natural gas (+18.37%), platinum (+8.37%), gasoline (+6.76%), sugar (+6.41%), palladium (+5.06%), WTI oil (+4.63%), Brent oil (+3.42%), copper (+3.01%), silver (+2.76%) and gold (+2.51%) showed the biggest gains last week. Futures on orange juice (-8.82%), coffee (-5.06%), and wheat (-1.84%) showed the biggest drop.

S&P 500 (F) (US500) 4,045.64 +64.29 (+1.61%)

Dow Jones (US30)33,390.97 +387.40 (+1.17%)

DAX (DE40) 15,578.39 +250.75 (+1.64%)

FTSE 100 (UK100) 7,947.11 +3.07  (+0.039%)

USD Index 104.53 -0.50 (-0.48%)

Important events for today:
  • – Switzerland Consumer Price Index (m/m) at 09:30 (GMT+2);
  • – UK Construction PMI (m/m) at 11:30 (GMT+2);
  • – Eurozone Retail Sales (m/m) at 12:00 (GMT+2);
  • – Canada Ivey PMI (m/m) at 17:00 (GMT+2).

By JustMarkets

 

This article reflects a personal opinion and should not be interpreted as an investment advice, and/or offer, and/or a persistent request for carrying out financial transactions, and/or a guarantee, and/or a forecast of future events.

Tricky issue of client suitability for ESG investments

By George Prior

As global investors become increasingly focused on environmental, social, and governance (ESG) investments, one of the world’s largest independent financial advisory and asset management organizations is partnering with a pioneering profiling tool to ensure clients’ personal suitability for this kind of investment.

deVere Group says its partnership with EnlightenESG will enable it to better understand clients’ attitudes to ESG investing and to ensure greater transparency around the intersection of suitability and sustainability.

James Green, deVere Group’s Investment Director, says: “Clients are increasingly seeking to align their investments with their values, and support companies that are making a positive impact on society and the environment.

“ESG investing allows clients to invest in entities that are helping the world transition to a fairer, more diverse and sustainable future, while also generating the appropriate financial returns.

He continues: “ESG investing can be a suitable investment strategy for many investors, but it may not be appropriate for all.

“Whether or not ESG-orientated investments are suitable for a particular client will depend not only on their individual investment goals, risk tolerance, and financial situation, but also on their core values.

“And with something so emotive and fundamental to all our lives, it can be easy to get caught up in the debate or drowned in a tidal wave of opinions and, as consequence, lose sight of what sustainability really means to our clients.”

EnlightenESG, a groundbreaking profiling tool, addresses this issue by personalizing the sustainable investment requirements that help investors and their advisors make informed sustainability decisions in the context of suitability.

“EnlightenESG will help us to engage our clients and to truly understand their sustainable preferences and in time ultimately better match their ESG views to their investment goals,” explains James Green.

Thanks to deVere Group’s resources, scale and global presence, it hopes to become a key actor in terms of education around sustainable investing.

Before using the tool with clients, deVere trialled it in-house to engage with the technology themselves to understand the process, the data it provides, and what it could potentially teach the firm on how it could help its global client base.

As part of onboarding EnlightenESG into the firm’s relationships with clients, deVere Western Europe profiled over 75 employees across its European offices and engaged with EnlightenESG to help interpret and understand the results.

The Group analysed individuals’ attitudes toward sustainability and ESG as well as how the Group scored as whole and in the context of the entire EnlightenESG ecosystem.

“We noted our staff are more focused on ESG than the EnlightenESG index average, the data also highlighted our understanding of the long-term nature of ESG investing,” comments the deVere Group Investment Director.

“As is often the case with new and evolving investment opportunities, the market can over-estimate the short term and underestimate the long-term opportunities.  Our EnlightenESG results demonstrate that we have a good understanding and education around these critical points.”

Of the partnership with deVere Group, Simon Lowans Chief Marketing Officer at EnlightenESG says: “We are thrilled with the modern and forward-looking approach that the team at deVere are taking towards sustainability.

“EnlightenESG technology not only documents and allows for a repeatable and consistent process, the technology also loves to learn!  It is the continuous learning within the technology that helps frame and understand the societal norm across the ESG spectrum.

“The continued growth in our EnlightenESG user base is helping the profiler, and as a result our users, to better understand how clients score relative to the universe average or societal norm.   We have always said EnlightenESG can only be built for individuals if the data itself is powered by individuals.”

The EnlightenESG partnership underscores deVere’s ongoing commitment to sustainable investing.

Ahead of COP27, the international climate summit, last November, deVere Group CEO Nigel Green told media:  “Climate change is the greatest risk multiplier to our planet, to our communities, and to our way of life.

“Joined-up planning followed by urgent action is essential.  But this will not only take political and social will. It will take trillions of dollars.

“There needs to be unprecedented levels of cooperation between financial advisories, insurance firms, banks, wealth and asset managers, investment companies, fintech groups, banks, auditors, amongst others, to help unlock and mobilise the trillions of dollars of private finance that is urgently required.”

deVere Group is also one of 18 founding signatories of the UN-backed Net Zero initiative, the international alliance of powerhouse global finance companies that will help accelerate the transition to a net zero financial system.

James Green concludes: “EnlightenESG will become an invaluable tool to determine a client’s sustainability values and helps advisors map clients to a sustainable investment, where appropriate.”

About:

deVere Group is one of the world’s largest independent advisors of specialist global financial solutions to international, local mass affluent, and high-net-worth clients.  It has a network of more than 70 offices across the world, over 80,000 clients and $12bn under advisement.

 

Communications Co. To Acquire ‘Perfect Fit’

Source: Streetwise Reports  (3/2/23)

Printing and marketing services company Data Communications Management Corp. has entered into a share purchase agreement to acquire R.R. Donnelley & Sons’ Canadian operations.

Printing and marketing services company Data Communications Management Corp. (DCM:TSX; DCMDF:OTCQX) has entered into a share purchase agreement to acquire R.R. Donnelley & Sons’ Canadian operations for CA$123 million, the company said.

R.R. Donnelly Canada provides print and related services to thousands of customers across the country, had a revenue of about CA$250 million in 2022, and has 1,000 employees.

The companies are “a perfect fit,” DCM President and Chief Executive Officer Richard Kellam said after the announcement.

The transaction “combines two companies with complementary operating models and best-in-class products, (and) very strong customer relationships,” he said. “It’s also very complementary to some of the digital-first technology capabilities we’ve built here at DCM, and the opportunity to expand those into RRD’s clients.

Analyst Chris Thompson of eResearch maintained a Buy rating on the stock with a target of CA$4.50 even before the announcement based on third-quarter 2022 results that showed revenue up 11.4% YoY from 2021.

There (are) many meaningful benefits for our clients and for our customers, being bigger and better together and obviously, attractive financial benefits and value creation opportunities for DCM.”

Analyst Chris Thompson of eResearch maintained a Buy rating on the stock with a target of CA$4.50 even before the announcement based on third-quarter 2022 results that showed revenue up 11.4% YoY from 2021.

Preliminary results for 2022 show the company’s revenues up 15% to 16.5% over 2021. The company is expected to release the final 2022 results later this month.

“As DCM executes its ‘digital first’ strategy, we expect revenue from technology-enabled hardware solutions and tech-enabled subscription services and fees to increase,” Thompson wrote.

The tech-enabled marketing and digital asset management (DAM) sectors are forecasted to grow annually by 15% and 21%, respectively, Thompson said. DAM services generated only 1.3% of the company’s revenue in 2020.

But “with the proliferation of video and digital content, the total DAM addressable market is forecasted to reach US$6 billion by 2025, thus there is plenty of upside revenue potential,” Thompson wrote.

The Catalyst: More than CA$500 Million in Annual Sales

The new company would have more than CA$500 million in annual sales from day one, an expanded customer base, and an enhanced product portfolio, DCM said.

DCM is only buying the Canadian operations of RRD, which is a provider of marketing, packaging, print, and supply chain solutions with 25,000 clients worldwide across 29 countries.

“They serve key verticals from financial institutions, retail, insurance, transportation, government, and other regulated industries,” Kellam said.

RRD said it serves “thousands of customers across Canada.”

“Combining our business with DCM is a strategic opportunity to broaden our existing offering to customers across a variety of industries,” RRD President Rael Fisher said.

Under the share purchase agreement, DCM will acquire 100% of the shares of Moore Canada Corp. (RRD Canada) in a transaction expected to close in the second quarter of this year, subject to closing conditions and regulatory approvals.

DCM is financing 100% of the purchase in cash through “fully committed credit facilities from a Canadian Chartered Bank and Fiera Private Debt,” the company said in its news release.

Included in the purchase will be three sites owned by RRD with an implied net value of about CA$30 million. DCM said it intends to enter into a sale and lease-back arrangement for each site.

DCM Had a ‘Very Solid Year’

In its preliminary results for the fiscal year ending Dec. 31, 2022, DCM said total revenue increased to between CA$270 million to CA$274 million, or a jump of 15% to 16.5%, over 2021.

Gross profit as a percentage of revenue increased in a range of 30.5% to 31%, with gross profit increasing between 20% and 21% YoY.

The company plans to release the final results for 2022 and the fourth quarter of that year on March 21.

“We had a very solid year on revenue and revenue acceleration,” Kellam said. It was “one of the best growth years that we’ve delivered on record here in DCM. We’re very proud of the revenue acceleration, and the value we’re bringing to clients in the marketplace.”

DCM launched its DAM cloud solution, ASMBL, to manage corporate media files and other content, in 2021. The company has said the technology has the potential to become a key growth opportunity for DCM as it is deployed to the company’s 2,500 corporate clients.

DCM has been in business for 60 years. It helps companies with branding, communications, and logistics and provides customer loyalty programs, data, and content management, location-specific marketing, labels and asset tracking, multimedia campaign management, and workflow management. Its clients are in many industries, including financial services, health care, emerging markets, retail, non-profits, energy, hospitality, and transportation.

Ownership and Share Structure

Streetwise Ownership Overview*

Retail: 55%
Management/Insiders: 45%
55%
45%
*Share Structure as of 3/2/2023

 

Management and insiders own about 45% of DCM, including a share program that gives employees close to 4% ownership.

Top insider shareholders include Director Michael Sifton with 10.2% or 4.5 million shares, Board Vice Chairman Greg Cochrane with 7.43% or 3.28 million shares, Chairman of the Board J.R. Kingsley Ward with 5.54% or 2.44 million shares, and the CEO Kellam with 1.66% or 0.73 million shares, according to Reuters.

According to the company, the rest, 55%, is retail. Reuters lists KST Industries Inc. as the top shareholder in the company overall with 11.69% or 5.15 million shares.

The company is covered by Noel Atkinson of Clarus Securities and Chris Thompson of eResearch. Newsletter writer Clive Maund also covers the stock.

It has a market cap of CA$82.84 million with 44 million shares outstanding, with 27.3 million shares free-floating. It trades in the 52-week range of CA$1.97 and CA$1.01.

 

Disclosures:

1) Steve Sobek wrote this article for Streetwise Reports LLC. He or members of his household own securities of the following companies mentioned in the article: None. He or members of his household are paid by the following companies mentioned in this article: None.

2) The following companies mentioned in this article are billboard sponsors of Streetwise Reports: Data Communications Management Corp. Click here for important disclosures about sponsor fees. The information provided above is for informational purposes only and is not a recommendation to buy or sell any security.

3) Statements and opinions expressed are the opinions of the author and not of Streetwise Reports or its officers. The author is wholly responsible for the validity of the statements. The author was not paid by Streetwise Reports for this article. Streetwise Reports was not paid by the author to publish or syndicate this article. Streetwise Reports requires contributing authors to disclose any shareholdings in or economic relationships with, companies that they write about. Streetwise Reports relies upon the authors to accurately provide this information and Streetwise Reports has no means of verifying its accuracy.

4) This article does not constitute investment advice. Each reader is encouraged to consult with his or her individual financial professional and any action a reader takes as a result of information presented here is his or her own responsibility. By opening this page, each reader accepts and agrees to Streetwise Reports’ terms of use and full legal disclaimer. This article is not a solicitation for investment. Streetwise Reports does not render general or specific investment advice and the information on Streetwise Reports should not be considered a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Streetwise Reports does not endorse or recommend the business, products, services or securities of any company mentioned on Streetwise Reports.

5) From time to time, Streetwise Reports LLC and its directors, officers, employees or members of their families, as well as persons interviewed for articles and interviews on the site, may have a long or short position in securities mentioned. Directors, officers, employees or members of their immediate families are prohibited from making purchases and/or sales of those securities in the open market or otherwise from the time of the decision to publish an article until three business days after the publication of the article. The foregoing prohibition does not apply to articles that in substance only restate previously published company releases.

eResearch Disclosures:

eResearch was established in 2000 as Canada’s first equity issuer-sponsored research organization. As a primary source for professional investment research, our Subscribers benefit by having written research on a variety of under-covered companies. We also provide unsponsored research reports on middle and larger-cap companies, using a combination of fundamental and technical analysis. We complement our corporate research coverage with a diversified selection of informative research publications from a wide variety of investment professionals. We provide our professional investment research and analysis directly to our extensive subscriber network of discerning investors, and electronically through our website: www.eresearch.com

NOTE: eResearch company reports are available FREE on our website: www.eresearch.com

eResearch Intellectual Property: No representations, express or implied, are made by eResearch as to the accuracy, completeness, or correctness of the comments made in this report. This report is not an offer to sell or a solicitation to buy any security of the Company. Neither eResearch nor any person employed by eResearch accepts any liability whatsoever for any direct or indirect loss resulting from any use of this report or the information it contains. This report may not be reproduced, distributed, or published without the express permission of eResearch.

ANALYST ACCREDITATION

eResearch Analyst on this Report: Chris Thompson CFA, MBA, P.Eng.

Analyst Affirmation: I, Chris Thompson, hereby state that, at the time of issuance of this research report, I do not own common shares, share options, or share warrants of DATA Communications Management Corp. (TSX:DCM).

eRESEARCH DISCLOSURE STATEMENT

eResearch is engaged solely in the provision of equity research to the investment community. eResearch provides published research and analysis to its Subscribers on its website (www.eresearch.com), and to the general investing public through its extensive electronic distribution network and newswire agencies. eResearch makes all reasonable efforts to distribute research material simultaneously to all of its Subscribers.

eResearch does not manage money or trade with the general public, provides full disclosure of all fee arrangements, and adheres to the strict application of its Best Practices Guidelines. eResearch accepts fees from the companies it researches (the “Covered Companies”), and from financial institutions or other third parties. The purpose of this policy is to defray the cost of researching small and medium-capitalization stocks which otherwise receive little or no research coverage.

DATA Communications Management Corp. paid eResearch a fee to have it conduct research and publish reports on the Company for one year.

To ensure complete independence and editorial control over its research, eResearch follows certain business practices and compliance procedures. For instance, fees from Covered Companies are due and payable before research starts. Management of the Covered Companies is sent copies, in draft form without a Recommendation or a Target Price, of the Initiating Report and the Update Report before publication to ensure our facts are correct, that we have not misrepresented anything, and have not included any non-public, confidential information. At no time is management entitled to comment on issues of judgment, including Analyst opinions, viewpoints, or recommendations. All research reports must be approved, before publication, by eResearch’s Director of Research, who is a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA).

All Analysts are required to sign a contract with eResearch before engagement and agree to adhere at all times to the CFA Institute Code of Ethics and Standards of Professional Conduct. eResearch Analysts are compensated on a per-report, per-company basis and not based on his/her recommendations. Analysts are not allowed to accept any fees or other considerations from the companies they cover for eResearch.

Officers, analysts, and directors of eResearch are allowed to trade in shares, warrants, convertible securities, or options of any of the Covered Companies only under strict, specified conditions, which restrict trading 30 days before and after a Research Report is published.

Murrey Math Lines 03.03.2023 (Brent, S&P 500)

By RoboForex.com

BRENT

On H4, the quotes have broken through the 200-day Moving Average and are now above it, revealing possible development of an uptrend. The RSI is testing the support level. As a result, we are to expect an upward breakaway of 6/8 (84.38), followed by growth to the resistance level of 8/8 (87.50). The scenario can be cancelled by a downward breakaway of the support level of 5/8 (82.81). In this case, the pair may return to 4/8 (81.25).

BRENTH4
Risk Warning: the result of previous trading operations do not guarantee the same results in the future

On M15, the upper line of VoltyChannel is broken away, which increases the probability of further growth of the price.

BRENT_M15
Risk Warning: the result of previous trading operations do not guarantee the same results in the future

S&P 500

On H4, the quotes are under the 200-day Moving Average, which indicates prevalence of a downtrend. The RSI has pushed off the resistance line. A test of 1/8 (3945.3) is expected, followed by a breakaway and decline to the support level of 0/8 (3906.2). The scenario can be cancelled by rising above the resistance level of 2/8 (3984.4). In this case, the index may rise to 3/8 (4023.4).

S&P 500_H4
Risk Warning: the result of previous trading operations do not guarantee the same results in the future

On M15, the decline can additionally be confirmed by a breakaway of the lower border of VoltyChannel.

S&P 500_M15

Article By RoboForex.com

Attention!
Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex LP bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews.