Archive for Forex and Currency News – Page 207

Forex Technical Analysis & Forecast 02.11.2021

Article By RoboForex.com

EURUSD, “Euro vs US Dollar”

After forming a new consolidation range and breaking 1.1577 to the upside, EURUSD is still correcting towards 1.1612. Later, the market may fall to break 1.1533 and then continue trading downwards with the short-term target at 1.1490.

EURUSD
Risk Warning: the result of previous trading operations do not guarantee the same results in the future

GBPUSD, “Great Britain Pound vs US Dollar”

After forming a new consolidation rang around 1.3666 and breaking it to the downside, GBPUSD is expected to continue falling within the downtrend towards 1.3608. Later, the market may correct to test 1.3666 from below and then resume falling with the target at 1.3490.

GBPUSD
Risk Warning: the result of previous trading operations do not guarantee the same results in the future

USDRUB, “US Dollar vs Russian Ruble”

After expanding the consolidation range up to 71.25, USDRUB is expected to resume falling towards 70.60 and may later form one more ascending structure with the target at 72.00 to complete the correction. Later, the market may start another decline to reach 69.20.

USDRUB
Risk Warning: the result of previous trading operations do not guarantee the same results in the future

USDJPY, “US Dollar vs Japanese Yen”

After returning to 113.86, USDJPY is expected to consolidate around this level. If later the price breaks this range to the downside, the market may resume falling towards 113.28 and then start a new growth with the target at 113.86.

USDJPY
Risk Warning: the result of previous trading operations do not guarantee the same results in the future

USDCHF, “US Dollar vs Swiss Franc”

After breaking 0.9128 and then reaching the short-term downside target at 0.9090, USDCHF is forming a new consolidation range above the latter level. If later the price breaks this range to the upside, the market may grow to reach 0.9128; if to the downside – resume falling to complete the descending wave at 0.9080 and then start another growth with the target at 0.9150.

USDCHF
Risk Warning: the result of previous trading operations do not guarantee the same results in the future

AUDUSD, “Australian Dollar vs US Dollar”

AUDUSD continues forming the descending wave towards 0.7466. After that, the instrument may correct to reach 0.7511 and resume trading downwards with the target at 0.7400.

AUDUSD
Risk Warning: the result of previous trading operations do not guarantee the same results in the future

BRENT

After breaking 85.05 to the upside, Brent is expected to continue growing and reach 86.50. After that, the instrument may correct to return to 85.05 and then resume trading upwards with the target at 88.00.

BRENT
Risk Warning: the result of previous trading operations do not guarantee the same results in the future

XAUUSD, “Gold vs US Dollar”

Gold has broken 1784.60; right now, it is still growing towards 1798.00. After that, the instrument may correct to return to 1785.00 and then resume trading upwards with the target at 1825.80.

GOLD
Risk Warning: the result of previous trading operations do not guarantee the same results in the future

S&P 500

After completing the ascending structure at 4627.8 along with the correction towards 4596.0, the S&P index is consolidating above the latter level. Later, the market may break the range to the upside and start another growth towards with the target at 4639.0.

S&P 500

Article By RoboForex.com

Attention!
Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex LP bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews.

Ichimoku Cloud Analysis 02.11.2021 (NZDUSD, AUDUSD, EURJPY)

Article By RoboForex.com

NZDUSD, “New Zealand Dollar vs US Dollar”

NZDUSD is trading at 0.7161; the instrument is moving inside Ichimoku Cloud, thus indicating a sideways tendency. The markets could indicate that the price may test the cloud’s upside border at 0.7165 and then resume moving downwards to reach 0.7025. Another signal in favour of a further downtrend will be a rebound from the rising channel’s downside border. However, the bearish scenario may no longer be valid if the price breaks the cloud’s upside border and fixes above 0.7205. In this case, the pair may continue growing towards 0.7305. To confirm further decline, the asset must break the “neckline” of a Head & Shoulders pattern and fix below 0.7120.

NZDUSD
Risk Warning: the result of previous trading operations do not guarantee the same results in the future

AUDUSD, “Australian Dollar vs US Dollar”

AUDUSD is trading at 0.7471; the instrument is moving inside Ichimoku Cloud, thus indicating a sideways tendency. The markets could indicate that the price may test the cloud’s upside border at 0.7505 and then resume moving downwards to reach 0.7345. Another signal in favour of a further downtrend will be a rebound from the rising channel’s downside border. However, the bearish scenario may no longer be valid if the price breaks the cloud’s upside border and fixes above 0.7545. In this case, the pair may continue growing towards 0.7635. To confirm further decline, the asset must break the cloud’s downside border and fix below 0.7455.

AUDUSD
Risk Warning: the result of previous trading operations do not guarantee the same results in the future

EURJPY, “Euro vs Japanese Yen”

EURJPY is trading at 131.87; the instrument is moving below Ichimoku Cloud, thus indicating a descending tendency. The markets could indicate that the price may test the cloud’s downside border at 132.15 and then resume moving downwards to reach 129.95. Another signal in favour of a further downtrend will be a rebound from the descending channel’s upside border. However, the bearish scenario may no longer be valid if the price breaks the cloud’s upside border and fixes above 132.95. In this case, the pair may continue growing towards 133.95. To confirm further decline, the asset must break the downside border of a Triangle pattern and fix below 131.45.

EURJPY

Article By RoboForex.com

Attention!
Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex LP bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews.

Markets Cautious As Investors Eye Central Banks

Lukman Otunuga

By Lukman Otunuga Senior Research Analyst, ForexTime

Asian shares were mixed on Tuesday as investors braced for a pivotal week, jampacked with key central bank meetings and economic reports from major economies. Currency markets are holding in tight ranges while gold prices rose slightly due to a softer dollar. European markets have opened this morning in mixed fashion, despite US stocks climbing to a record high in the previous session. Risk appetite may sour as market players look ahead to the Fed decision and US monthly non-farm payrolls report from a safe distance.

Earlier this morning, the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) was in the spotlight after scrapping its ultra-low target for bond yields. This was seen as a step towards winding back the emergency measures introduced to support the economy during the coronavirus pandemic. The RBA also announced that the latest data and forecasts do not warrant an interest rate rise in 2022. However, it did scrap a reference saying that the bank doesn’t expect that to happen “before 2024”.

Countdown to the Fed decision

The Federal Reserve is widely expected to keep interest rates unchanged at the end of its two-day FOMC meeting on Wednesday. However, investors will be more concerned with the possible tapering announcement and any details on the pace, timings, and composition. After talking about talking about tapering for many months, this meeting should mark a crucial turning point for the Fed as it steps away from its emergency policy.

Markets widely expect the central bank to announce it will reduce its bond purchases by $15 billion every month, with the taper to be completed by June 2022. It’s worth keeping a close eye on the central bank’s language on inflation and any hints on the timing for a first rate hike since December 2018. Traders are currently pricing in a 69% chance of at least one rate hike by mid-June 2022 .

A hawkish sounding meeting that strikes all the right notes could boost expectations over the Fed raising interest rates sooner than expected. Such an outcome could inject dollar bulls with renewed confidence ahead of the highly anticipated US jobs report on Friday.

Currency spotlight – GBPUSD

The pound has stumbled into November, depreciating against every single G-10 currency, ahead of the Bank of England policy meeting on Thursday. A sense of uncertainty over the BoE’s policy stance and escalating post-Brexit row with France over fish continues to weigh heavily on the currency.

GBPUSD is currently trading below its 50-day, 100-day, and 200-day simple moving average with prices currently trading below 1.3670. Sustained weakness under this level could encourage a decline towards 1.3570. Alternatively, a strong move above 1.3670 would signal a move towards 1.3750.

Commodity spotlight – Gold

The week ahead could be volatile for gold prices amid the string of central bank meetings and economic data. The yellow metal is likely to be influenced by the dollar’s movements, Treasury yields, inflation expectations, and global risk sentiment.

Although prices seem to be pushing higher this morning, bulls remain trapped in a sticky region with the 200-day simple moving average and $1800 acting as the first level of resistance. Beyond this point, prices may test the October high at $1813.67, ahead of $1833.84, the highest level hit in September. Ultimately, how gold ends the week will be impacted by the Federal Reserve meeting and US jobs report on Friday.

Disclaimer: The content in this article comprises personal opinions and should not be construed as containing personal and/or other investment advice and/or an offer of and/or solicitation for any transactions in financial instruments and/or a guarantee and/or prediction of future performance. ForexTime (FXTM), its affiliates, agents, directors, officers or employees do not guarantee the accuracy, validity, timeliness or completeness, of any information or data made available and assume no liability as to any loss arising from any investment based on the same.


Forex-Time-LogoArticle by ForexTime

ForexTime Ltd (FXTM) is an award winning international online forex broker regulated by CySEC 185/12 www.forextime.com

Intraday Market Analysis – USD Hits Resistance

By Orbex

USDCAD consolidates at 4-month low

USDCAD

The US dollar retreats ahead of this week’s FOMC as traders await further catalysts. Price action has stabilized above 1.2300, a major demand zone from last summer.

1.2430 from the latest sell-off is a key resistance as it coincides with the 20-day moving average. The current consolidation suggests the market’s indecision, though overall sentiment remains bearish.

A deeper correction would send the greenback to 1.2150. A bullish breakout on the other hand may challenge the supply area around 1.2550.

EURJPY tests key support

EURJPY

The euro struggles to bounce higher after Germany’s lackluster retail sales in September.

The pair has come under pressure at 133.45 near June’s peak. The subsequent retracement has met some bids at 131.60 when the RSI dipped into the oversold territory.

The triple test of the support level indicates solid buying interest. However, the bulls will need to push above 132.80 before the uptrend could resume.

On the downside, a bearish breakout would extend the sideways action towards 130.80 which sits on the 30-day moving average.

US 100 falls back for support

US 100

The Nasdaq 100 surges to a new all-time high as investors expect the strong growth trend to continue. The break above the previous peak at 15700 has put the index back on an upward trajectory.

A bullish MA cross on the daily chart is a confirmation of the market’s optimism. However, a brief pullback is necessary to let the bulls catch their breath.

15620 is the immediate support. Further down, 15280 is key daily support on the 20-day moving average. The psychological level of 16000 would be the next target rebound.


Orbex-LogoArticle by Orbex

Orbex is a fully licensed broker that was established in 2011. Founded with a mission to serve its traders responsibly and provides traders with access to the world’s largest and most liquid financial markets. www.orbex.com

Trade Of The Week: Dollar Braces For Pivotal Fed Meeting and NFP

Lukman Otunuga

By Lukman Otunuga Senior Research Analyst, ForexTime

If you are looking for some market action, then keep a close eye on the dollar.

The currency could turn volatile over the next few days thanks to the Federal Reserve meeting and highly anticipated US jobs report. Before we discuss what to expect from these two key risk events and potential market shakers, it is worth keeping in mind that the dollar entered November on a shaky note.

Bulls we missing in action on Monday despite the Dollar Index (DXY) posting its biggest daily rise in more than four months last Friday following the strong inflation numbers.

So far, the final quarter of 2021 has not been kind to the dollar due to the improving risk appetite and mixed US economic data. However, it is still early days with events of this week heavily influencing the dollars outlook.

Why November’s Fed meeting is a big deal

The Fed is expected to keep interest rates unchanged at the end of its two-day FOMC meeting. However, investors will be more concerned with the magic “T” word and the official announcement to get the ball rolling by either mid-November or mid-December. After talking about, talking about tapering for many months, this meeting will mark a crucial turning point for the Fed as it steps away from easy policy.

Investors will be paying very close attention to any key details on the pace and composition of the taper. Markets widely expect the central bank to announce it will reduce its bond purchases by $15 billion every month with the taper to be completed by June 2022.

Other key things to watch out for will be the central bank’s thoughts on rising inflation. Last Friday, the core PCE price index, which is the Fed’s preferred inflation measure held steady at 3.6% while US consumer prices remain at a 13 year high. Should Powell express concerns about price rises becoming sustained, this could fuel speculation over the Fed acting aggressively to tame inflation. Another thing to keep in mind is that the Fed has repeatedly emphasized that tapering does not indicate interest rates would rise immediately. Interestingly, markets currently see a 74.4% probability of at least one rate hike by mid-June 2022 as of writing.

A hawkish sounding Federal Reserve could inject dollar bulls with renewed confidence ahead of the US jobs report on Friday.

What to expect from Friday’s NFP 

All eyes will be on the US nonfarm payrolls report for October which could show some improvement in hiring thanks to falling new cases of Covid-19.

According to Bloomberg estimates, 450k jobs are expected to have been created in October compared to the 194k witnessed in the previous month. The unemployment rate is expected to tick lower to 4.7% from 4.8% while average hourly earnings is seen jumping 4.9% year-over-year compared to 4.6% in September. A report that meets or exceeds expectations is likely to support the dollar and fuel rate hike expectations. Alternatively, a disappointing report could see the dollar weaken.

USD Index breakout on the horizon?

The equally-weighted USD Index remains under pressure on the daily charts as there have been consistently lower lows and lower highs.

But prices seem to be trapped within a range with support at 1.0730 and resistance at 1.0810. A solid breakdown below 1.0730 could open the doors towards 1.0670 and 1.0600, respectively. Alternatively, a strong breakout above 1.0810 may open the doors towards 1.0880 and 1.0930.

Disclaimer: The content in this article comprises personal opinions and should not be construed as containing personal and/or other investment advice and/or an offer of and/or solicitation for any transactions in financial instruments and/or a guarantee and/or prediction of future performance. ForexTime (FXTM), its affiliates, agents, directors, officers or employees do not guarantee the accuracy, validity, timeliness or completeness, of any information or data made available and assume no liability as to any loss arising from any investment based on the same.


Forex-Time-LogoArticle by ForexTime

ForexTime Ltd (FXTM) is an award winning international online forex broker regulated by CySEC 185/12 www.forextime.com

AUDUSD Intervening Wave Ⓧ To Complete Near 0.770

By Orbex

For the AUDUSD currency pair, we can assume that a bearish intervening wave x of a cycle degree is forming. It hints at a triple Ⓦ-Ⓧ-Ⓨ-Ⓧ-Ⓩ zigzag.

The bullish intervening wave Ⓧ is currently under construction, which takes the form of an intermediate double (W)-(X)-(Y) zigzag. Wave (W) is a double zigzag with wave (X) being a triple zigzag. Wave (Y) is only half-built, and it will most likely also have the form of a double combination.

In the near future, there is an expectation for a slight decline in the minor intervening wave X. This may be followed by the final actionary wave Y to the level of 0.770.

At that level, wave Ⓧ will be at 76.4% of wave Ⓨ. After the full completion of the wave Ⓧ, market participants can expect a fall in the direction of the 0.710 level, or even lower.

AUDUSD

An alternative scenario suggests that the formation of the primary intervening wave Ⓧ has already completely come to an end. In fact, it took the form of an intermediate double zigzag.

A drop in price and the development of the primary wave Ⓩ are likely due to a reversal.

Bears could now be eyeing the 0.707 level.


Orbex-LogoArticle by Orbex

Orbex is a fully licensed broker that was established in 2011. Founded with a mission to serve its traders responsibly and provides traders with access to the world’s largest and most liquid financial markets. www.orbex.com

Japanese Candlesticks Analysis 01.11.2021 (XAUUSD, NZDUSD, GBPUSD)

Article By RoboForex.com

XAUUSD, “Gold vs US Dollar”

As we can see in the H4 chart, the asset is trading upwards. After forming several reversal patterns, such as Hammer, not far from the support level, XAUUSD may reverse and form a new rising impulse. In this case, the upside target may be the resistance area at 1815.00. At the same time, an opposite scenario implies that the price may correct towards 1775.00 first and then resume trading upwards.

XAUUSD
Risk Warning: the result of previous trading operations do not guarantee the same results in the future

NZDUSD, “New Zealand vs US Dollar”

As we can see in the H4 chart, after rebounding from the resistance level, NZDUSD has formed several reversal patterns, such as Hammer, close to the support area. At the moment, the asset is reversing in the form of new growth. In this case, the upside target may be at 0.7255. After that, the asset may break the resistance level and continue moving upwards. However, an alternative scenario implies that the price may correct to reach 0.7120 before resuming its ascending tendency.

NZDUSD
Risk Warning: the result of previous trading operations do not guarantee the same results in the future

GBPUSD, “Great Britain Pound vs US Dollar”

As we can see in the H4 chart, GBPUSD has formed several reversal patterns, such as Harami and Doji, not far from the support area. At the moment, the pair may reverse and resume growing. In this case, the upside target may be at 1.3830. After testing the resistance level, the market may break it and continue trading upwards. Still, there might be an alternative scenario, according to which the asset may correct towards 1.3625 before resuming the ascending tendency.

GBPUSD

Article By RoboForex.com

Attention!
Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex LP bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews.

Ichimoku Cloud Analysis 01.11.2021 (EURUSD, GBPUSD, USDCAD)

Article By RoboForex.com

EURUSD, “Euro vs US Dollar”

EURUSD is trading at 1.1560; the instrument is moving below Ichimoku Cloud, thus indicating a descending tendency. The markets could indicate that the price may test Tenkan-Sen and Kijun-Sen at 1.1585 and then resume moving downwards to reach 1.1465. Another signal in favour of a further downtrend will be a rebound from the rising channel’s downside border. However, the bearish scenario may no longer be valid if the price breaks the cloud’s upside border and fixes above 1.1665. In this case, the pair may continue growing towards 1.1755.

EURUSD
Risk Warning: the result of previous trading operations do not guarantee the same results in the future

GBPUSD, “Great Britain Pound vs US Dollar”

GBPUSD is trading at 1.3673; the instrument is moving below Ichimoku Cloud, thus indicating a descending tendency. The markets could indicate that the price may test the cloud’s downside border at 1.3705 and then resume moving downwards to reach 1.3475. Another signal in favour of a further downtrend will be a rebound from the descending channel’s downside border. However, the bearish scenario may no longer be valid if the price breaks the cloud’s upside border and fixes above 1.3825. In this case, the pair may continue growing towards 1.3905.

GBPUSD
Risk Warning: the result of previous trading operations do not guarantee the same results in the future

USDCAD, “US Dollar vs Canadian Dollar”

USDCAD is trading at 1.2391; the instrument is moving above Ichimoku Cloud, thus indicating an ascending tendency. The markets could indicate that the price may test the cloud’s upside border at 1.2370 and then resume moving upwards to reach 1.2610. Another signal in favour of a further uptrend will be a rebound from the descending channel’s upside border. However, the bullish scenario may no longer be valid if the price breaks the cloud’s downside border and fixes below 1.2325. In this case, the pair may continue falling towards 1.2235. To confirm further growth, the asset must break the upside border of the Triangle pattern and fix above 1.2435.

USDCAD

Article By RoboForex.com

Attention!
Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex LP bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews.

Intraday Market Analysis – USD Grinds Key Resistance

By Orbex

USDCHF bounces off demand zone

USDCHF

The US dollar inched higher after a solid core PCE reading in September. The pair is testing the major demand area from last August’s lows (0.9100).

A bearish MA cross on the daily chart has dented buyers’ optimism. An oversold RSI may attract a ‘buying-the-dips’ crowd while short-term sellers take some chips off the table.

However, 0.9190 could be a challenging hurdle to lift as the bears would be eager to fade the rebound. A new round of sell-off would send the greenback to the daily support at 0.9020.

EURGBP attempts to rebound

EURGBP

The euro found support from better-than-expected growth and inflation data. A bullish RSI divergence suggests that the downtrend may have lost its momentum.

A break above 0.8470 has prompted sellers to cover some of their bets. But the RSI’s overbought situation has so far tempered the optimism.

The bulls will need to lift offers around 0.8485 which sits on the 30-day moving average before they could turn the tables. Failing that, a drop below the demand zone between 0.8400 and 0.8420 would deepen the correction.

GER 40 finds support

DE40

The Dax 40 bounces back thanks to upbeat European stock earnings.

A bullish MA cross on the daily chart is a sign of recovery. Though the index has hit a speed bump at 15775 which is a major resistance from last September’s sell-off.

The drop below 15630 has led intraday buyers to bail out, driving short-term price action downward. As the RSI ventured into the oversold zone, the pullback attracted dip-buying interest at the lower range of the previous consolidation (15400). This is a congestion area along the MA cross.


Orbex-LogoArticle by Orbex

Orbex is a fully licensed broker that was established in 2011. Founded with a mission to serve its traders responsibly and provides traders with access to the world’s largest and most liquid financial markets. www.orbex.com

USDCNH Triple Zigzag To Complete Cycle Wave X

By Orbex

The formation of the USDCNH currency pair suggests the development of a large intervening wave x of a cycle degree. It assumes a primary double zigzag Ⓦ-Ⓧ-Ⓨ. And the final primary wave Ⓨ is currently under construction.

In the short term, we can expect the completion of intermediate intervening wave (X) that takes the form of double zigzag W-X-Y near 6.428. At that level, it will be at 50% of wave (Y).

After reaching the specified price level, the market can turn around and start moving within the final actionary wave (Z) towards the 6.307 area. At that area, intermediate sub-waves (Z) and (Y) will be equal.

USDCNH

An alternative scenario hints at the completed cycle intervening wave x. Here it has the form of a primary double zigzag Ⓦ-Ⓧ-Ⓨ. Its final wave Ⓨ is a double zigzag (W)-(X)-(Y) of the intermediate degree.

Thus, in the next coming trading days, market participants can expect the market to rise and the formation of a cycle wave Z.

Most likely, prices, along with the wave Z going up, will update the previous high of 6.528.


Orbex-LogoArticle by Orbex

Orbex is a fully licensed broker that was established in 2011. Founded with a mission to serve its traders responsibly and provides traders with access to the world’s largest and most liquid financial markets. www.orbex.com