Archive for Financial News – Page 282

Elon Musk argues Twitter is better off without a board of directors – is he right?

By Michael Withers, Texas A&M University and Steven Boivie, Texas A&M University 

After a wild ride, it looks like Elon Musk’s bid to buy Twitter may be back on.

Twitter’s board of directors had sued the Tesla billionaire in July 2022 when Musk tried to terminate the US$44 billion deal. The board has yet to drop its lawsuit, with a trial still scheduled to begin Oct. 17, 2022, which was intended to force Musk to complete the buyout.

The board has in fact been at the center of this saga since the beginning, when Musk launched his hostile takeover bid while criticizing board members for owning almost no shares of the company they oversee. Twitter founder Jack Dorsey called the board the “dysfunction of the company.”

As experts on corporate governance, we believe this feud raised two important corporate governance questions: What purpose does a board of directors serve? And does it matter if a member owns company stock or not?

‘A bad board will kill’

“Good boards don’t create good companies, but a bad board will kill a company every time.”

Venture capitalist Fred Destin wrote that in 2018, citing what he called an “old Silicon Valley proverb.” The quote has been making the rounds on Twitter recently in light of Musk’s hostile bid. It even seemed to get a nod from Dorsey himself when he replied to a tweet containing the quote with “big facts.”

This tweet and the general conversation that has emerged have important implications for understanding boards and their role in shepherding a company.

Broadly speaking, a board’s most important roles include hiring, paying and monitoring the chief executive officer.

Academic research suggests that board members at large companies – who typically receive generous compensation packages – may be limited in their ability to perform these tasks effectively. In our work, we found that boards often find it impossible to conduct adequate monitoring and rein in wayward CEOs because there’s just so much information for modern boards to process with their limited time. And the social dynamics involved in the board also make it difficult for directors to speak up and oppose other directors.

In a separate study involving face-to-face interviews with directors, we were consistently told that directors take their board service seriously and operate with their companies’ best interests in mind. But they do so with an eye toward collaborating with the CEO and the rest of the executive team rather than serving as impartial observers, as their “independent” status suggests they should.

While our work didn’t focus on this, if the board and the CEO fundamentally disagree about the direction of company – which was often the case between Dorsey and the Twitter board – it would certainly be problematic and could lead to less than optimal decisions being made.

In other words, a board that isn’t functioning effectively can definitely destroy a company’s value. And some reporting suggests that’s what happened to Twitter, whose shares were trading at less than half their 2021 peak before Musk disclosed he had amassed a 9% ownership stake.

A raider’s lament

That brings us to the next question: Does not owning a significant stake in a company you oversee make it more likely that you’ll run it into the ground, as Musk seemed to suggest?

A few days after making his takeover offer on April 14, the billionaire, responding to a tweet showing how few shares Twitter board members own, posted that its directors’ “economic interests are simply not aligned with shareholders.”

Musk’s arguments harked back to takeover bids from the 1980s in which activist investors – or “corporate raiders” – would argue that executives’ interests did not align with those of shareholders. As Gordon Gekko from the film “Wall Street” famously railed against executives of a business he wanted to take over, “Today, management has no stake in the company!”

Musk’s words echo Gekko’s “greed is good” speech, except in regard to independent directors, who comprise the vast majority of corporate boards. By definition, an independent or outside director is one who doesn’t hold an executive role in running the company, such as chief executive officer or chief financial officer.

‘Greed is good’

In reality, Twitter’s board share ownership is very similar to that of other companies.

Independent Twitter directors held a median ownership stake of 0.003% as of May 2022. For comparison, we looked at equity ownership of independent directors of companies listed in the S&P 500 stock index in 2021. We found the median stake was less than 0.01%, and all but a handful of directors held less than 1% of the company’s stock. Median ownership at Musk’s company Tesla is similarly minuscule, at 0.23%.

Whether this makes a difference to a company’s success is hard to assess because research on the topic is rather sparse, in large part because board members have so little equity.

Mixed research

Academic researchers on effective corporate governance in the 1970s argued that outside directors should avoid owning many shares in the companies they oversee to maintain objectivity. More recently, management scholars have suggested that higher stakes could provide a way to motivate directors to monitor management and make decisions more in line with shareholder interests.

Some researchers have found that boards with larger ownership stakes can improve a company’s operational performance and better align outside directors with the interests of shareholders.

But other work that examined multiple studies shows the impact of director stock ownership is mixed at best, with some studies suggesting higher stakes potentially lead to negative outcomes, such as excessive executive and director compensation.

Since the passage of the Sarbanes–Oxley Act of 2002 after massive accounting scandals at Enron, WorldCom and elsewhere, corporate governance issues such as board oversight have become increasingly important. This led to a number of changes intended to align the interests of managers and those of shareholders, including a focus on board independence and adjusting executive compensation.

Although our research shows boards are limited in their ability to monitor management, they’re still better than nothing.

In his original letter to shareholders announcing his bid, Musk vowed to “unlock” Twitter’s potential as a private company, without a public board. We may finally learn if he’s right.

This is article has been updated to reflect the changing status of the Twitter deal.The Conversation

About the Author:

Michael Withers, Associate Professor of Business, Texas A&M University and Steven Boivie, Professor of Management, Texas A&M University

This article is republished from The Conversation under a Creative Commons license. Read the original article.

The Analytical Overview of the Main Currency Pairs on 2022.10.07

By JustForex

The EUR/USD currency pair

Technical indicators of the currency pair:
  • Prev Open: 0.9871
  • Prev Close: 0.9790
  • % chg. over the last day: -0.82 %

The report on the ECB’s September 7, 8 monetary policy meeting released yesterday showed that many Governing Council representatives approved a 75 basis point rate hike. The report also indicated that in the medium term, a 50 basis point hike would be part of a sustainable path towards more neutral rate levels, and such a dynamic would be enough to alleviate inflationary pressures and not “drop” the economy deep into recession. But all inflation forecasts for 2023 and 2024 have been revised upward.

Trading recommendations
  • Support levels: 0.9782, 0.9748, 0.9666
  • Resistance levels: 0.9856, 0.9962, 1.0058, 1.0111, 1.0162, 1.0230

From the technical point of view, the trend on the EUR/USD currency pair on the hourly time frame is bullish. But the MACD indicator became negative, the price is trading below the moving averages, and the sellers’ pressure is increasing again. Buy trades should be considered from the support level of 0.9782. Sell deals may be considered from the resistance level of 0.9856, but only with confirmation.

Alternative scenario: if the price breaks down through the support level of 0.9666 and fixes below it, the downtrend will likely resume.

EUR/USD
News feed for 2022.10.07:
  • – US FOMC Member Waller Speaks (m/m) at 00:00 (GMT+3);
  • – US FOMC Member Mester Speaks (m/m) at 01:30 (GMT+3);
  • – German Industrial Production (m/m) at 09:00 (GMT+3);
  • – US Nonfarm Payrolls (m/m) at 15:30 (GMT+3);
  • – US Unemployment Rate (m/m) at 15:30 (GMT+3);
  • – US FOMC Member Williams Speaks (m/m) at 17:00 (GMT+3).

The GBP/USD currency pair

Technical indicators of the currency pair:
  • Prev Open: 1.1324
  • Prev Close: 1.1158
  • % chg. over the last day: -1.49 %

The UK construction companies reported a moderate increase in business activity in September, marking a return to growth after two months of declining output. Nevertheless, subdued demand persists, as evidenced by the weakest new orders since the economic recovery began in June 2020. Confidence in business prospects fell to its lowest level in two years in September, reflecting fears of higher interest rates and a downturn in the UK economy as a whole. On a more positive note, the supply deficit narrowed in September, and delivery delays were the least common since February 2020.

Trading recommendations
  • Support levels: 1.1121, 1.0915, 1.0816, 1.0711, 1.03
  • Resistance levels: 1.1248, 1.1478, 1.1693, 1.1816, 1.1901

From the technical point of view, the GBP/USD currency pair trend on the hourly time frame is bullish. But the MACD indicator became negative, the price is trading below the moving averages, and the sellers’ pressure is increasing again. Under such market conditions, buy trades can be considered from the support level of 1.1121, but only with confirmation. Sell trades are best to look for on intraday time frames. The nearest resistance level is 1.1248, but also better with confirmation.

Alternative scenario: if the price breaks down from the 1.0915 support level and fixes below it, the downtrend will likely resume.

GBP/USD
There is no news feed for today.

The USD/JPY currency pair

Technical indicators of the currency pair:
  • Prev Open: 144.58
  • Prev Close: 145.13
  • % chg. over the last day: +0.38 %

The USD/JPY quotes are slowly increasing again. Analysts are confident that it is not worth expecting another currency intervention from the Japanese government, as it is costly and has a temporary effect. Secondly, the Bank of Japan does not have enough funds to stop the yen’s fall. Japan has $1.3 trillion in reserves, but only about $135.5 billion is in the form of deposits. The rest is held in US Treasury bills. To stop the yen from falling, the Bank of Japan needs to shift the narrative from a soft monetary policy to a neutral one. However, since the Bank of Japan has no plans to change anything in its policy until the end of the year, and the US Federal Reserve continues to aggressively raise rates, USD/JPY quotes will be inclined to rise.

Trading recommendations
  • Support levels: 144.16, 143.00, 140.60, 139.61, 138.78, 137.65, 136.80, 135.20
  • Resistance levels: 145.35

From the technical point of view, the medium-term trend on the currency pair USD/JPY is bullish. The MACD indicator has become positive, and the price trades above the moving levels again. Under such market conditions, buy trades can be searched for on the intraday time frames from the support level of 144.16, but with confirmation. Sell deals can be searched from the resistance level of 145.35, but only with an additional confirmation in the form of a false breakout, since the level has already been tested.

Alternative scenario: If the price fixes below 140.60, the downtrend will likely resume.

USD/JPY
There is no news feed for today.

The USD/CAD currency pair

Technical indicators of the currency pair:
  • Prev Open: 1.3615
  • Prev Close: 1.3746
  • % chg. over the last day: +0.96 %

Despite falling consumer prices in Canada, Bank of Canada Governor Tiff Macklem said he is firmly on a path to raise interest rates because policymakers are concerned about heightened domestic price pressures and rising inflationary expectations. Canada’s two-year bond yield reached its highest level since 2007, rising more than five basis points to 3.98%. Traders increased the odds of a 50 basis point rate hike at the next policy decision on October 26. Analysts are predicting that the Bank of Canada will stop at 4% in its rate hike cycle. The rate is currently at 3.25%.

Trading recommendations
  • Support levels: 1.3675, 1.3619, 1.3583, 1.3535, 1.3454
  • Resistance levels: 1.3755, 1.3858, 1.3968

From the point of view of technical analysis, the trend on the USD/CAD currency pair is bearish. But the price is trading above the moving lines again. The MACD indicator has become positive, and the buyer’s pressure is increasing. Under such market conditions, buy trades should be considered on the lower time frames from the support level of 1.3675 or 1.3619, but with confirmation. For sell deals, it is better to consider the resistance level of 1.3756, but only after the additional confirmation.

Alternative scenario: if the price breaks out through and consolidates above the resistance level of 1.3756, the uptrend will likely resume.

USD/CAD
News feed for 2022.10.07:
  • – Canada Unemployment Rate (m/m) at 15:30 (GMT+3).

By JustForex

 

This article reflects a personal opinion and should not be interpreted as an investment advice, and/or offer, and/or a persistent request for carrying out financial transactions, and/or a guarantee, and/or a forecast of future events.

The panic narrative is returning to the stock markets. The focus today is on a non-farm report

By JustForex

The US 10-year bond yields rose nearly 10 basis points to 3.85% after Minneapolis Fed President Neel Kashkari said yesterday that the central bank is “very far” from suspending its tightening campaign. Kashkari’s comments followed a series of hawkish remarks from other officials. Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago President Charles Evans said Thursday that the US Central Bank’s discount rate is likely to reach 4.5-4.75% by the spring of 2023 as the Fed increases the cost of borrowing to reduce too much inflation. A day earlier, San Francisco Federal Reserve President Mary Daly said that investors are wrong to anticipate monetary policy easing in 2023. Such hawkish rhetoric brought negativity back to the financial markets, which triggered some sell-off in stocks.

At the close of the stock market yesterday, the Dow Jones Index (US30) decreased by 1.15%, and the S&P 500 Index (US500) fell by 1.30%. Tech Index NASDAQ (US100) closed the day down by 0.35%. At the Fed meeting in November, money markets are pricing in a more than 85% chance of a fourth straight 75 basis point rate hike.

Today, the main focus for investors will be on the US labor market data. If the report turns negative, it could trigger a drop in the dollar index and a rise in stock indices on expectations that the US Federal Reserve will be less aggressive in tightening monetary policy further. But if the non-farm payrolls report is positive and shows the strength of the labor market, the opposite reaction could follow a sell-off in the stock market plus an increase in the dollar index and treasury yields. Weekly labor market data showed that the number of Americans filing new jobless claims rose more than expected last week, but the labor market remains strong even as demand declines amid higher interest rates.

Stock markets in Europe were mostly down yesterday. German DAX (DE30) decreased by 0.37%, French CAC 40 (FR40) fell by 0.82%, Spanish IBEX 35 (ES35) lost 0.92%, British FTSE 100 (UK100) closed down by 0.78%.

The report on the ECB’s September 7-8 monetary policy meeting released yesterday showed that an absolute majority approved a 75 basis point rate hike of the Governing Council. The report also indicated that in the medium term, a 50 basis point hike would be part of a sustainable path toward more neutral rate levels, and such a dynamic would be sufficient to alleviate inflationary pressures and not “drop” the economy deep into recession. But all inflation forecasts for 2023 and 2024 have been revised upward.

In August 2022, seasonally adjusted retail sales were down by 0.3% in the Eurozone. Retail sales also declined by 0.4% in July. This is negative data, which indirectly points to high inflationary pressures.

Oil prices rose about 1% on Thursday, holding at a three-week high after OPEC+ agreed to cut global supply by 2 million BPD, the biggest cut since 2020. Saudi Arabia’s energy minister said the real supply cut would be 1 million to 1.1 million BPD. Experts believe that such a move by OPEC+ will not only boost oil prices but also cause a new round of unwinding inflation, which central banks around the world are actively fighting.

Asian markets traded flat yesterday. Japan’s Nikkei 225 (JP225) gained 0.70%, Hong Kong’s Hang Seng (HK50) decreased by 0.42%, and Australia’s S&P/ASX 200 (AU200) ended the day up by 0.03%.

A report released Thursday by the Bank of Japan (BOJ) indicates that most regional economies in Japan are seeing a moderate rebound, with some firms considering wage increases, stressing the hope that household incomes will rise enough to offset rising costs of living.

OPEC+ will no longer meet monthly. Meetings will now be held every two months.

S&P 500 (F) (US500) 3,744.40 −38.88 (−0.20%)

Dow Jones (US30) 29,926.47 −347.40 (−1.15%)

DAX (DE40) 12,470.78  −46.40 (−1.21%)

FTSE 100 (UK100) 6,997.27 −55.35 (−0.78)

USD Index 112.22 +1.14 (+1.02%)

Important events for today:
  • – US FOMC Member Waller Speaks (m/m) at 00:00 (GMT+3);
  • – US FOMC Member Mester Speaks (m/m) at 01:30 (GMT+3);
  • – German Industrial Production (m/m) at 09:00 (GMT+3);
  • – US Nonfarm Payrolls (m/m) at 15:30 (GMT+3);
  • – US Unemployment Rate (m/m) at 15:30 (GMT+3);
  • – Canada Unemployment Rate (m/m) at 15:30 (GMT+3);
  • – US FOMC Member Williams Speaks (m/m) at 17:00 (GMT+3).

By JustForex

 

This article reflects a personal opinion and should not be interpreted as an investment advice, and/or offer, and/or a persistent request for carrying out financial transactions, and/or a guarantee, and/or a forecast of future events.

Week Ahead: Gold’s presence above $1700 may depend on US inflation data

By ForexTime

Markets have of late dared to revive bets over a “dovish pivot” by the Fed, which has helped gold prices recover back above $1700 this week.

However, whether such a recovery can be sustained over the immediate term may all boil down to the upcoming US inflation data release (and also the US jobs report due later today – Friday, October 7th).

For the week ahead, here are the key scheduled economic data releases and events that could move markets:

Monday, October 10

  • USD: Speeches by Fed Vice Chair Lael Brainard and Chicago Fed President Charles Evans
  • EUR: Speeches by ECB Chief Economist Philip Lane and Banco de Portugal Governor Mario Centeno

Tuesday, October 11

  • JPY: Japan August trade balance and current account
  • AUD: Australia September household spending and business confidence, October consumer confidence
  • IMF publishes World Economic Outlook
  • EUR: ECB Chief Economist Philip Lane speech
  • GBP: BOE Governor Andrew Bailey speech, UK August 3-month unemployment rate, September jobless claims
  • USD: Cleveland Fed President Loretta Mester speech
  • Meta Platform’s virtual conference

Wednesday, October 12

  • EUR: ECB President Christine Lagarde speech, Eurozone August industrial production
  • GBP: UK August monthly GDP, industrial production, trade balance
  • GBP: Speeches by BOE’s Jonathan Haskel, Catherine Mann, and Huw Pill
  • Brent: OPEC publishes Monthly Oil Market Report
  • USD: US September PPI, FOMC minutes, speeches by Fed Governor Michelle Bowman, Minneapolis Fed President Neel Kashkari

Thursday, October 13

  • JPY: Japan September PPI
  • AUD: Australia October consumer inflation expectations
  • EUR: Germany September CPI (final)
  • Brent: IEA publishes Oil Market Report
  • US crude: EIA weekly oil inventory report
  • USD: US September CPI, US weekly initial jobless claims

Friday, October 14

  • NZD: New Zealand September manufacturing PMI
  • CNH: China September CPI, PPI, external trade
  • GBP: BOE due to end its emergency bond buying
  • USD: US September retail sales, October consumer sentiment
  • CAD: Canada August manufacturing sales, September existing home sales
  • S&P 500: US earnings season begins with Wall Street banks (JPMorgan, Wells Fargo, Citigroup, Morgan Stanley)

 

At the time of writing, although gold has managed to clamber back above the psychologically-important $1700 mark, prices have been resisted at the 50-day simple moving average (SMA) and have since eased slightly.

 

And the next US inflation data, as measured by the consumer price index (CPI), could dictate gold’s next big move.

Markets are currently expecting the September headline US CPI to have risen by 8.1% compared to the same month last year (September 2021).

If so, that would mark a third consecutive month whereby the headline CPI figure has eased lower since June’s 9.1% – the highest CPI year-on-year print in over 40 years!

A lower-than-expected headline CPI print this coming Thursday may embolden the “dovish pivot” narrative (which is to say that markets expect the Fed to have less impetus to keep US interest rates higher for longer on signs that US inflation has peaked).

 

If so, that lower-than-8.1% CPI figure may help push gold even higher:

  • If the 50-day SMA isn’t already breached in the immediate aftermath of today’s US jobs report, then that would be another key area of interest for bullion bulls.
  • Markets are rather pessimistic about spot gold’s chances of hitting the psychological $1800 mark, allocating a mere 5.6% chance of such an event happening over the next one week.
  • However, a shockingly-low CPI print may just do the trick for gold bulls (those hoping gold prices can keep marching higher).

 

A higher-than-8.1% CPI print on Thursday however may dash gold’s recent recovery:

  • Gold may well falter back below $1700 (if it hasn’t already done so following today’s NFP print). However, markets are relatively cautious about such prospects (gold falling below $1700 over the next week), with such odds now standing at just 38%, given that the US jobs report remains a massive unknown.
  • Immediate support may arrive around the $1680 mark (July low, also where spot gold’s 21-day SMA currently resides).
  • Stronger support may arrive around the mid-$1600 region, as was the case around mid-September.

Forex-Time-LogoArticle by ForexTime

ForexTime Ltd (FXTM) is an award winning international online forex broker regulated by CySEC 185/12 www.forextime.com

XLU Utilities ETF decreased by -2.85 percent – October 06 2022

By InvestMacro.com | #stocks #XLU #utilities

Utilities Select Sector SPDR Fund End of Day Update: October 06 2022

The Utilities Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLU) ETF finished the day with a fall of -2.85 percent and closed the day not too far off the lows of the day near the 65.41 price level, according to unofficial data at the New York close.

The XLU, an ETF that tracks the SP500 Utilities Select Sector Index, opened the day trading at 67.04 with the high of the day being 67.15 and the low of the day at 65.32.

XLU has recently fallen below the 200-day moving average and has seen a deep descend after hitting a recent high over $78.00 in the middle of September.

XLU Utilities ETF decreased by -2.85 percent

The XLU RSI level is Bearish

The Relative Strength Index, an indicator that can indicate overbought (above 70) and oversold levels (below 30), shows that the current RSI score is at 31.0 for a Bearish reading on the daily time-frame.

XLU has fallen by -9.90 percent over the past 10 days while seeing a decrease by -14.41 over the past 30 days

XLU Price Trends

The XLU has fallen by -9.90 percent over the past 10 days while seeing a decrease by -14.41 over the past 30 days. The 90-day change is -12.52 while the 180-day return and the 365-day return are -3.64 and 3.40, respectively.

By investmacro.com

AGNC Stock today fell by -2.18 percent, RSI Oversold – October 06 2022

By InvestMacro.com | #stocks #AGNC #REIT #mortgage

AGNC Investment Corp. End of Day Update: October 06 2022

The AGNC Investment Corp. (AGNC) stock finished the day with a slide of -2.18 percent, closing the day around the 8.315 price level, according to unofficial data at the New York close.

AGNC, a Real Estate Investment Trust (REIT) that specializes in mortgage-backed securities, opened the day trading at 8.49 with the high of the day being 8.555 and the low of the day at 8.1.

AGNC, like most REITs, has been on a downtrend due to higher interest rates and trades well below its 20-day and 200-day moving averages. Today’s drop marked the lowest trading level since the pandemic low in March of 2020.

The AGNC RSI level is Bearish-Oversold

The Relative Strength Index, an indicator that can indicate overbought (above 70) and oversold levels (below 30), shows that the current RSI score is at 23.2 for a Bearish-Oversold reading on the daily time-frame.

AGNC Price Trends

The AGNC is now down by -22.79 percent over the past 10 days while seeing a fall by -32.28 over the past 30 days. The 90-day change is -29.82 while the 180-day return and the 365-day return are -40.35 and -46.38, respectively.


By investmacro.com

NIO Stock fell today by -7.00 percent – October 06 2022

By InvestMacro.com | #stocks #NIO #technologystocks

NIO Inc. End of Day Update: October 06 2022

The NIO Inc. (NIO) stock finished the day with a fall of -7.00 percent and closed the day around the 14.918 price level, according to unofficial data at the New York close.

NIO, a Chinese electric car company based out of Shanghai, opened the day trading at 16.0 with the high of the day being 16.24 and the low of the day at 14.78. The stock is trading below both its 200-day moving average and its 20-day moving average currently.

NIO Stock fell today by -7.00 percent - October 06 2022

The NIO RSI level is Bearish

The Relative Strength Index, an indicator that can indicate overbought (above 70) and oversold levels (below 30), shows that the current RSI score is at 33.6 for a Bearish reading on the daily time-frame.

The NIO RSI level is Bearish

NIO Price Trends

NIO is now down by -18.70 percent over the past 10 days while seeing a decline of -20.94 over the past 30 days. The 90-day change is -9.97 while the 180-day return and the 365-day return are -47.89 and -63.80, respectively.

By InvestMacro.com

THIS is Why the Real Estate Tide is Turning

Here’s your next step to get a handle on the global property market.

By Elliott Wave International

Treat houses as a consumption item — or simply as a place to live, and history shows that real prices will fluctuate only modestly over the decades.

Treat houses as an investment, and the value of houses takes on the characteristics of the stock market.

This is from the January 2012 Elliott Wave Theorist, a monthly publication which covers financial markets and major cultural trends — in the wake of the prior housing bust:

Real home prices [in a U.S. index] stayed within a range of 66-123 [from 1890] until 1997. Then they went straight up for 9 years. Inflation doesn’t account for the rise in real prices, because inflation has been factored out. And loans were available for decades without causing real prices to soar. Why did it finally happen? … Real estate began to take on the aura of being an investment.

As we know, after going up for 9 straight years, the housing market then crashed — just like the stock market is apt to do at times.

That same psychology of “a house as an investment” sent prices soaring again in the most recent housing bubble.

However, trouble has already started to brew. Here’s a Sept. 2 CNBC headline:

1 in 5 home sellers are now dropping their asking price as the housing market cools

This brings us to Elliott Wave International’s latest analysis — which is provided in the just-published special report “Home Prices: How Much Trouble Are YOU In?”

Here’s just one of the several charts you’ll find in the special report, along with the commentary:

Many of the cities that led the real estate market on the way up are now doing so on the way down. Home sellers in former boomtowns have been quickest to lower asking prices. …

Nationally, Redfin reports that the percentage of sellers lowering their prices is the largest since it started tracking the data in 2012. … The tide is turning.

Likewise, builders themselves have been reducing prices. A Sept. 24 Yahoo Finance article noted:

Almost 1 in 4 home builders reported reducing their price this month, up from 19% in August … Home builder confidence fell three points to its lowest level since May 2014.

You’ll find more evidence in the special report that the “tide is turning” for the U.S. housing market, including examinations of housing starts and what’s going on with a firm that’s been a big player in the housing flipping business.

And getting back to asking prices, you may be interested in knowing that on August 15, Bloomberg reported that asking prices in the United Kingdom fell at their fastest pace in two-and-a-half years.

Speaking of which, the coverage in the special report extends beyond the U.S. as Elliott Wave International looks at European, Asian-Pacific and Australian property markets.

Here’s the good news: You can access the special report “Home Prices: How Much Trouble Are YOU In?” for free for a limited time.

Just follow this link: “Home Prices: How Much Trouble Are YOU In?”

This article was syndicated by Elliott Wave International and was originally published under the headline THIS is Why the Real Estate Tide is Turning. EWI is the world’s largest market forecasting firm. Its staff of full-time analysts led by Chartered Market Technician Robert Prechter provides 24-hour-a-day market analysis to institutional and private investors around the world.

Forex Technical Analysis & Forecast 06.10.2022

Article By RoboForex.com

EURUSD, “Euro vs US Dollar”

After completing the descending wave at 0.9834 along with the correction up to 0.9922, EURUSD is expected to fall to break 0.9800 and then continue trading downwards with the short-term target at 0.9744.

EURUSD
Risk Warning: the result of previous trading operations do not guarantee the same results in the future

GBPUSD, “Great Britain Pound vs US Dollar”

GBPUSD has finished the descending structure at 1.1226 along with the correction up to 1.1355. Today, the pair may resume trading downwards to break 1.1220 and then continue falling with the short-term 1.1000.

GBPUSD
Risk Warning: the result of previous trading operations do not guarantee the same results in the future

USDJPY, “US Dollar vs Japanese Yen”

Having completed the ascending wave at 144.80, USDJPY is expected to resume falling to break 144.06 and then continue trading downwards with the target at 143.50.

USDJPY
Risk Warning: the result of previous trading operations do not guarantee the same results in the future

USDCHF, “US Dollar vs Swiss Franc”

USDCHF is consolidating above 0.9797. Possibly, the pair may form one more ascending wave to reach 0.9999 and then start a new decline with the target at 0.9700.

USDCHF
Risk Warning: the result of previous trading operations do not guarantee the same results in the future

AUDUSD, “Australian Dollar vs US Dollar”

AUDUSD is still consolidating around 0.6500. Possibly, today the pair may grow to reach 0.6600 and then resume trading downwards with the target at 0.6400.

AUDUSD
Risk Warning: the result of previous trading operations do not guarantee the same results in the future

BRENT

After finishing the ascending wave at 94.76, Brent is forming a new consolidation there. Possibly, the asset may break the range to the upside and resume growing towards 95.00, or even extend this structure to reach the short-term target at 97.30.

BRENT
Risk Warning: the result of previous trading operations do not guarantee the same results in the future

XAUUSD, “Gold vs US Dollar”

After completing the descending wave at 1700.44 along with the correction up to 1722.22, Gold is expected to form a new descending structure to break 1694.22 and then continue trading downwards with the target at 1660.00.

GOLD
Risk Warning: the result of previous trading operations do not guarantee the same results in the future

S&P 500

Having finished the ascending wave at 3800.0, the S&P index is expected to start a new decline to break 3666.6 and then continue falling with the short-term target at 3500.0.

S&P 500

Article By RoboForex.com

Attention!
Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex LP bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews.

The Australian Dollar moved “into the black”. Overview for 06.10.2022

Article By RoboForex.com

The Australian Dollar reached stability against the USD on Thursday. The current quote for the instrument is 0.6534.

The Aussie had difficult times handling the RBA’s decision to raise the benchmark interest rate below market expectations. The next thing that put pressure on the Australian currency was a local recovery of the “greenback”. However, these reasons are no longer actual.

The statistics published today showed that the Australian Trade Balance dropped to AUD$8.32 billion in June against the expected reading of AUD$10.0 billion. The components of the report show that the Export gained 2.6% after losing 9.9% the month before, while the Import went from 5.2% to 4.5%.

Globally, Australia could have enhanced its standing on the world economic stage by increasing the production of coal and other energy resources. Australia already did this in the past, but about ten years ago the country started to restructure and diversify its economy. As a result, coal mining was no longer the key income source for the budget.

Nowadays, demand for alternative sources of energy is increasing. Possibly, Australia might expand its share in this market. However, if it happens, the AUD might get more volatile due to the fluctuations in energy prices.

Article By RoboForex.com

Attention!
Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex LP bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews.