Archive for Financial News – Page 260

Murrey Math Lines 21.11.2022 (EURUSD, GBPUSD)

By RoboForex.com

EURUSD, “Euro vs US Dollar”

On H4, the quotes are above the 200-day Moving Average, which means the uptrend is prevailing. The RSI is nearing the support line. A test of 4/8 (1.0253) should be expected, followed by a bounce off it and growth to the resistance level of 6/8 (1.0498). The scenario can be cancelled by a breakaway of the support level at 4/8 (1.0253) downwards. In this case, the pair will go on declining, probably to 2/8 (1.0009).

EURUSDH4
Risk Warning: the result of previous trading operations do not guarantee the same results in the future

On M15, The upper line of VoltyChannel is too far away from the current price, which means growth can be signaled only by a bounce off 4/8 on H4.

EURUSD_M15
Risk Warning: the result of previous trading operations do not guarantee the same results in the future

GBPUSD, “Great Britain Pound vs US Dollar”

On H4, the quotes are in the overbought area. The RSI has bounced off the descending trendline. A downward breakaway of the support level of 8/8 (1.1718) is expected, followed by falling to 7/8 (1.1474). The scenario can be cancelled by rising over the resistance level of +1/8 (1.1962). In this case, the pair may rise to +2/8 (1.2207).

GBPUSD_H4
Risk Warning: the result of previous trading operations do not guarantee the same results in the future

On M15, the lower line of VoltyChannel is broken away. This increases the probability of further price falling.

GBPUSD_M15

Article By RoboForex.com

Attention!
Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex LP bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews.

Japanese Candlesticks Analysis 21.11.2022 (EURUSD, USDJPY, EURGBP)

By RoboForex.com

EURUSD, “Euro vs US Dollar”

On H4, at the resistance level, the currency pair has formed a Shooting Star reversal pattern. Currently, the pair is going by the signal, continuing a correction wave. The goal of the decline might be 1.0210. However, the price may grow to 1.0440, break through it, and continue the uptrend without correction to the support level.

EURUSD
Risk Warning: the result of previous trading operations do not guarantee the same results in the future

USDJPY, “US Dollar vs Japanese Yen”

On H4, at the support level, the pair has formed a Hammer reversal pattern. Currently, the pair may go by the signal in an ascending wave. The goal of the correction will be 141.75. However, the price may fall to 137.50 and continue the downtrend without correcting to the resistance level.

USDJPY
Risk Warning: the result of previous trading operations do not guarantee the same results in the future

EURGBP, “Euro vs Great Britain Pound”

On H4, the pair has formed a Harami reversal pattern. Currently, the pair may go by the signal in an ascending wave. The goal of growth is still the resistance level of 0.8800. Upon testing and breaking through it, the pair has a chance for continuing the uptrend. However, the quotes may drop to 0.8660 without growing to the resistance level.

EURGBP

Article By RoboForex.com

Attention!
Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex LP bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews.

The Analytical Overview of the Main Currency Pairs on 2022.11.21

By JustMarkets

The EUR/USD currency pair

Technical indicators of the currency pair:
  • Prev Open: 1.0361
  • Prev Close: 1.0323
  • % chg. over the last day: -0.37 %

The current situation in the Eurozone has not changed much. Geopolitical tensions remain in the region, which creates new energy threats. For their part, ECB officials seem to be divided over their future plans, with some advocating a sustained aggressive rate hike stance, while others are considering quantitative tightening (QT) earlier than expected to avoid such a hawkish interest rate hike.

Trading recommendations
  • Support levels: 1.0193, 1.0092, 1.0043, 0.9812
  • Resistance levels: 1.0384, 1.0504

From the technical point of view, the trend on the EUR/USD currency pair on the hourly time frame is bullish. The price is trading below the moving averages, the MACD indicator has become negative, and there is slight sellers’ pressure. For buy deals, it is best to wait for the completion of the corrective movement to the support levels of 1.0193, but with additional confirmation. Sell deals can be considered from the resistance level of 1.0384 intraday, but it is also better with confirmation since the level has already been tested.

Alternative scenario: if the price breaks down through the support level of 0.9993 and fixes below it, the downtrend will likely resume.

EUR/USD
News feed for 2022.11.21:
  • – German Producer Price Index (m/m) at 09:00 (GMT+3).

The GBP/USD currency pair

Technical indicators of the currency pair:
  • Prev Open: 1.1861
  • Prev Close: 1.1893
  • % chg. over the last day: +0.27 %

According to analysts, this week will be quite weak for the British pound as business activity data is forecast to be weak. Friday’s UK retail sales data was slightly positive, although a negative annual figure is not a reason to be very positive. On the other hand, according to the Institute for Fiscal Studies, the UK’s budget report may start the process of repairing Britain’s battered reputation.

Trading recommendations
  • Support levels: 1.1684, 1.1476, 1.1418, 1.1172, 1.1093, 1.0915, 1.0817
  • Resistance levels: 1.1921

From the technical point of view, the trend on the GBP/USD currency pair on the hourly time frame is bullish. But the price is trading below the levels of the moving averages. The MACD indicator has become negative, indicating a corrective movement. Under such market conditions, it is better to look for buy deals from the support level of 1.1684 or even 1.1476. Sell trades are best sought on intraday time frames from the resistance level of 1.1921, but also better with confirmation since the level has already been tested.

Alternative scenario: if the price breaks down of the 1.1418 support level and fixes below it, the downtrend will likely resume.

GBP/USD
There is no news feed for today.

The USD/JPY currency pair

Technical indicators of the currency pair:
  • Prev Open: 140.19
  • Prev Close: 140.34
  • % chg. over the last day: +0.11 %

Even though inflation in Japan has reached a 40-year-high, the BoJ has no intention of abandoning its soft stimulus policy. At the moment, the BoJ is ignoring the global trend of central banks raising interest rates to fight inflation. Considering the fact that the Fed keeps raising interest rates, a bullish trend in the USD/JPY currency pair is the most likely scenario.

Trading recommendations
  • Support levels: 139.44, 137.65, 136.80
  • Resistance levels: 141.05, 143.17, 145.16, 146.06, 147.34, 148.82, 150.00

From the technical point of view, the medium-term trend on the currency pair USD/JPY is bearish. The price forms a trading range (balance) and is trading at the level of moving averages. The MACD indicator has become inactive again, indicating market participants’ uncertainty. Under such market conditions, buy trades can be sought on intraday time frames from the support level of 139.44, but only with confirmation. Sell deals can be searched from the resistance level of 141.05 on the condition of a reverse reaction or a false breakout.

Alternative scenario: If the price fixes above 146.06, the uptrend will likely resume.

USD/JPY
There is no news feed for today.

The USD/CAD currency pair

Technical indicators of the currency pair:
  • Prev Open: 1.3325
  • Prev Close: 1.3384
  • % chg. over the last day: +0.44 %

The Canadian dollar continues to show resilience against the US dollar despite hawkish comments from US Federal Reserve policymakers. The increase in USD/CAD quotes is more caused by falling oil prices than by the strengthening of the dollar. The strength of the Canadian dollar may be due to rising expectations of a peak rate after last week’s release of Canadian inflation data. The peak rate is expected to reach about 4.25%. Markets are still factoring in the 50% chance of a 50 bps rate hike at the Bank of Canada meeting on December 7.

Trading recommendations
  • Support levels: 1.3351, 1.3281, 1.3212
  • Resistance levels: 1.3508, 1.3608, 1.3682, 1.3776, 1.3855, 1.3968

From the point of view of technical analysis, the trend on the USD/CAD currency pair is bearish. But inside the day, there is a predominance of buying. The MACD indicator is positive again, and the price is trading above the levels of moving averages. The best way to sell is to consider the resistance level of 1.3508, but with confirmation. Buy trades should be considered on the lower time frames from the support level 1.3351 or 1.3281, but with additional confirmation in the form of a reverse initiative.

Alternative scenario: if the price breaks out and consolidates above the resistance level of 1.3508, the uptrend will likely resume.

USD/CAD
There is no news feed for today.

By JustMarkets

 

This article reflects a personal opinion and should not be interpreted as an investment advice, and/or offer, and/or a persistent request for carrying out financial transactions, and/or a guarantee, and/or a forecast of future events.

China has a new record of Covid cases. Investors are returning to the dollar and gold

By JustMarkets

The Federal Reserve’s hawkish signals have heightened fears of a potential US recession. Central Bank officials say they will not keep raising rates until inflation approaches its annual target range. This is a deterrent to further gains in stock indices. At the close of the stock market on Friday, the Dow Jones Index (US30) increased by 0.59% (+0.25% for the week) and the S&P 500 Index (US500) added 0.48% (-0.32% for the week). Technology Index NASDAQ (US100) gained 0.01% (-0.78% for the week).

The Fed is set to release the minutes of its November meeting on Wednesday, and investors eagerly await any indication that policymakers will consider slowing the tightening process.

Equity markets in Europe mostly rallied last week. German DAX (DE30) gained 1.16% (+0.95% for the week), French CAC 40 (FR40) added 1.04% (+0.33% for the week), Spanish IBEX 35 (ES35) increased by 1.08% (+0.04% for the week), British FTSE 100 (UK100) closed on Friday up by 0.53% (+0.92% for the week).

ECB officials seem to be divided over their future plans, with some advocating a sustained aggressive rate hike stance, while others are considering quantitative tightening (QT) earlier than expected to avoid such a hawkish interest rate hike. ECB President Christine Lagarde seems to support raising interest rates as the best tool for containing inflation.

Italy’s new right-wing government plans to announce Monday new spending of about 30 billion euros in next year’s budget, mostly focused on containing the impact of high energy prices. In an effort to help families cope with incredible inflation, which has reached an annualized rate of 12.6%, according to an EU-agreed index, the cabinet is considering eliminating a sales tax on necessities.

Oil prices fell on Monday, extending last week’s losses, as worries over rising COVID-19 infections in China and a potential global recession worsened demand prospects. On the other hand, if European politicians decide this week to put a ceiling on Russian oil prices, it could lead to supply cuts in the coming months, especially if inventories deplete faster. Therefore, the prospect of higher oil prices remains high. OPEC countries will meet on December 4 to decide on production, and any further supply cuts are likely to push oil prices higher.

The outlook for gold remains upward, despite some uncertainty. On the one hand, gold is rising on inflation expectations. On the other hand, gold does not protect against inflation and suffers greatly from rising interest rates. But analysts believe that given the fact that the market is now close to a maximum in interest rates, and in 2023 is expected to pause and then lower rates (according to the futures curve for the federal funds), such an asset as gold should take a weighty share in portfolios of active investors.

Asian markets were mostly down last week. Japan’s Nikkei 225 (JP225) declined by 1.31% over the week, Hong Kong’s Hang Seng (HK50) ended down by 0.04%, and Australia’s S&P/ASX 200 (AU200) decreased by 0.09%.

The People’s Bank of China (PBOC) on Monday left key lending rates unchanged for the third straight month as the central bank tries to strike a balance between boosting economic growth and curbing further yuan depreciation. The rise in COVID-19 cases in China has led to new lockdown measures in some of the country’s biggest cities, adding to fears of a slowdown in demand for crude oil from the world’s biggest oil importer. The country is currently battling its worst COVID outbreak since April, when several cities were blockaded.

In the commodities market, futures on natural gas (+8.37%), sugar (+2.09%), and corn (+1.71%) showed the biggest gains by the end of the week. Futures on coffee (-13.66%), WTI oil (-9.78%), Brent oil (-8.59%), gasoline (-7.32%), copper (-7.04%), platinum (-4.98%), palladium (-4.49%), silver (-3.19%), cotton (-3.14%) and cocoa (-2.22%) showed the biggest drop.

S&P 500 (F) (US500) 3,965.34 +18.78 (+0.48%)

Dow Jones (US30) 33,745.69 +199.37 (+0.59%)

DAX (DE40) 14,431.86 +165.48 (+1.16%)

FTSE 100 (UK100) 7,385.52 +38.98 (+0.53%)

USD Index 106.97 +0.28 (+0.26%)

Important events for today:
  • – German Producer Price Index (m/m) at 09:00 (GMT+3).

By JustMarkets

 

This article reflects a personal opinion and should not be interpreted as an investment advice, and/or offer, and/or a persistent request for carrying out financial transactions, and/or a guarantee, and/or a forecast of future events.

Trade of the Week: Kiwi to reach 200-day SMA on record RBNZ hike?

By ForexTime

The New Zealand dollar has been flying high in this tail-end of 2022.

And it could be further boosted by a hawkish Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) this week.

 

NZD in Q4: by the numbers

NZD has a quarter-to-date gain against all of its G10 and Asian peers.

Here’s a sample:

  • NZD up 3.1% against GBP
  • NZD up 4.4% against EUR
  • NZD up 5.3% against AUD
  • NZD up 6.5% against JPY
  • NZD up 8.5% against USD

(% performance since September 30th till time of writing)

 

Even going slightly further back, for the second half of this year so far, the kiwi only has declines against FX safe havens such as the US dollar, Swiss Franc, Singapore dollar, and the Hong Kong dollar (HKD is pegged to USD).

 

What’s driving NZD’s outperformance of late?

Markets are forecasting a 64% chance that the RBNZ will trigger a 75-basis point hike this week.

If so, that which would be the RBNZ’s largest ever hike since its official cash rate was rolled out in 1999!

And a record hike would only add to cumulative hikes by this central bank, having already raised its official cash rate by 325 basis points (bps) since October 2021, including 50-basis points at each of its past five meetings.

Generally speaking, the higher interest rates go in an economy relative to its peers, the stronger its currency.

READ MORE: Why FX markets react to central banks? (September 22, 2022)

 

Why would the RBNZ need to trigger a record hike?

A larger 75bps hike may be needed to keep consumer prices from rising uncontrollably.

Note that a central bank’s main weapon against runaway consumer prices is by raising interest rates to “destroy” demand in the economy.

Keep in mind:

  • New Zealand’s consumer price index (CPI) for the third quarter rose by 7.2% compared to 3Q 2021.
  • That 7.2% figure was above the median forecast of 6.5%, with the former number being near its highest levels since 1990!

And that’s even with all of the RBNZ’s hikes that have been incurred over the past year which apparently are having little impact on the inflation scourge so far.

READ MORE: Inflation everywhere! What does it mean for markets? (February 2022)

 

Hence, NZD has been lifted on the wings of expectations that the RBNZ may well send its benchmark rates higher than previously anticipated.

Markets are now forecasting that New Zealand’s interest rates will keep rising from the 3.5% level at present before peaking around 5.15% by mid-2023.

And this has been an opportune time for NZD bulls to take advantage of the US dollar’s pullback, with markets expecting that the Fed is getting closer to being down with its own US rate hikes.

But if the RBNZ actually opts for a 50-bps hike this week instead, that may disappoint NZD bulls who had been hoping for that larger 75bps hike, potentially prompting them to unwind some of NZD’s recent gains.

 

Can NZDUSD reach 200-day SMA?

At present, markets are forecasting only a 16% chance of NZDUSD the 0.63 mark, around where the kiwi’s (nickname for NZDUSD) 200-day simple moving average currently lies.

After all, Kiwi bulls (those hoping NZDUSD can climb higher) are already encountering resistance around the 0.62 psychological area, which has been a key battle region between bulls and bears since May.

Looking at a key technical indicator, NZDUSD’s 14-day relative strength index (RSI) is also pulling back from the 70 threshold which typically denotes overbought conditions, suggesting that the NZD’s ascent has gone too far.

To the downside lies its 100-day SMA, just above the 0.60 mark, which may offer underlying support should the RBNZ disappoint this week or if the US dollar’s catches fresh safe haven bids.

Markets are currently forecasting a 41% chance of 0.60 being attained by Kiwi bears for the next one-week period.

 

To recap, NZDUSD’s performance this week may all come down to the following key events:

  • the size of the RBNZ’s actual cash rate hike
  • RBNZ’s outlook for the cash rate going into 2023
  • Fed meeting minutes released on Wednesday/scheduled speeches by Fed officials this week

And on that final point above, let’s take a brief look at the USD half of NZDUSD.

Noting that this week is absent of tier-1 US economic data, the US dollar could react to fresh policy clues out of the FOMC meeting minutes and the Fed speakers due before the Thanksgiving break.

Should the US dollar relinquish its gains at the onset of this week, on renewed hopes that the Fed is closer to being down with its own rate hikes, that could make NZDUSD’s path towards its 200-day SMA a lot easier.


Forex-Time-LogoArticle by ForexTime

ForexTime Ltd (FXTM) is an award winning international online forex broker regulated by CySEC 185/12 www.forextime.com

Ichimoku Cloud Analysis 18.11.2022 (EURUSD, AUDUSD, GBPUSD)

By RoboForex.com

EURUSD

The pair is pushing off the signal lines of the indicator, going below the Ichimoku Cloud, which suggests the prevalence of an uptrend. A test of the upper border of the Cloud is expected at 1.0285, followed by growth to 1.0715. An additional signal confirming the growth will be a bounce off the lower border of the bullish channel. The scenario can be cancelled by a breakaway of the lower border of the Cloud and securing under 1.0015, which will entail further falling to 0.9925. The growth can be confirmed by a breakaway of the upper border of the descending channel and securing above 1.0425.

EURUSD
Risk Warning: the result of previous trading operations do not guarantee the same results in the future

AUDUSD

The pair is testing the resistance level, going above the Ichimoku Cloud, which means an uptrend. A test of the upper border of the Cloud is expected at 0.6655, followed by growth to 0.6955. An additional signal confirming the growth will be a bounce off the lower border of the bullish channel. The scenario can be cancelled by a breakaway of the lower border of the Cloud and securing under 0.6445, which will entail further falling to 0.6345. The growth can be secured by a breakaway of the upper border of the correctional channel and securing above 0.6745.

AUDUSD
Risk Warning: the result of previous trading operations do not guarantee the same results in the future

GBPUSD

The pair has secured above the upper border of the bullish channel, going above the Ichimoku Cloud, which suggests the prevalence of an uptrend. A test of the Tenkan-Sen line at 1.1825 is expected, followed by growth to 1.2305. An additional signal confirming the growth of the pair will be a bounce off the lower border of the ascending channel. The scenario can be cancelled by a breakaway of the lower border of the Cloud and securing under 1.1455, which will mean further falling to 1.1365.

GBPUSD

Article By RoboForex.com

Attention!
Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex LP bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews.

Murrey Math Lines 18.11.2022 (Brent, S&P 500)

By RoboForex.com

BRENT

On H4, the quotes are under the 200-day Moving Average, which indicates prevalence of the downtrend. The RSI is nearing the oversold area. Currently, we should expect a test of 1/8 (89.06), a breakaway of it, and falling to the support level of 0/8 (87.50). The scenario can be cancelled by rising over the resistance level of 2/8 (90.62). In this case, the quotes might rise to 3/8 (92.19).

BRENTH4
Risk Warning: the result of previous trading operations do not guarantee the same results in the future

On M15, the lower line of VoltyChannel is broken away, which confirms the downtrend and a high probability of further price falling.

BRENT_M15
Risk Warning: the result of previous trading operations do not guarantee the same results in the future

S&P 500

On H4, the quotes have bounced off the 200-day Moving Average and are now beneath it, which indicates the prevalence of a downtrend. The RSI is testing the resistance line. Currently, we expect the price to break through the support level of 1/8 (3906.2) downwards and fall to 0/8 (3750.0). The scenario can be cancelled by rising over the resistance level of 2/8 (4062.5). This might lead to a trend reversal and growth of the index quotes to 3/8 (4218.8).

S&P 500_H4
Risk Warning: the result of previous trading operations do not guarantee the same results in the future

On M15, the lower line of VoltyChannel is broken away, which increases the probability of further falling.

S&P 500_M15

Article By RoboForex.com

Attention!
Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex LP bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews.

Week Ahead: More Pain Ahead For USD?

By ForexTime

Nobody, it seems loves the dollar which has weakened against every single G10 currency this month.

It was already suffering from markets scaling back bets for further aggressive Fed rate increases, but the most recent soft US inflation report dealt the knockout blow. With signs of cooling inflation significantly reducing the pressure for the Fed to keep raising rates aggressively, the dollar could be yanked from its throne sooner than expected.

Before we discuss the technical and fundamental forces that may influence the not so mighty dollar, here are the scheduled economic data releases/events in the coming week:

Monday, 21 November

  • CNH: China loan prime rates
  • EUR: Germany producer prices
  • USD: US Chicago Fed national activity index

Tuesday, 22 November

  • CNH: China Bloomberg economic survey
  • EUR: Euro area consumer confidence
  • USD: US Richmond Fed manufacturing index, Cleveland Fed President Loretta and St. Louis Fed President James Bullard speech

Wednesday, 23 November

  • NZD: Reserve Bank of New Zealand rate decision
  • EUR: S&P Global PMIs Euro area
  • USD: FOMC minutes of November meeting, University of Michigan sentiment

Thursday, 24 November

  • EUR: Germany IFO business climate, ECB minutes of October meeting
  • NGN: Nigeria GDP
  • US markets closed for the Thanksgiving holiday

Friday, 25 November

  • EUR: Germany GDP
  • NZD: New Zealand consumer confidence index
  • US markets close early

On paper, the week ahead looks relatively quiet with US stock and bond markets closed on Thursday for Thanksgiving. But looks can be deceiving with economic reports, central bank meetings in Israel and New Zealand among others in addition to speeches from financial heavyweights potentially injecting some more life into markets.

In regards to the USD, attention will be directed towards the US Chicago Fed national activity index and US Fed manufacturing index earlier in the week. However, the main risk event and potential shaker will be the FOMC minutes for the November meeting which could provide clues on the pace of US rate hikes. Although the central bank raised interest by 75 basis points during the meeting, it signalled that the next hike could be smaller. Any fresh information regarding this could reinforce expectations around the Fed dialling back on aggressive rates, especially after the soft US inflation figures. Such an outcome is likely to weaken the dollar further, dragging the equally weighted dollar index below 1.1900.

Looking beyond the FOMC minutes, EU energy ministers are scheduled to hold an emergency meeting in Brussels on Thursday which could influence market sentiment, possibly having a knock-on effect on the USD. On Friday, US markets close early as Black Friday marks the start of the festive shopping season.

Talking technicals, the equally weighted dollar Index remains under intense pressure on the daily charts. With the dollar stripped of its glory and fundamental forces supporting bears, the path of least resistance for the Index points south. A strong breakdown below 1.1900 could open a path towards 1.1700 and 1.1600, respectively. A move back above 1.2184 could signal an incline towards 1.2400.


Forex-Time-LogoArticle by ForexTime

ForexTime Ltd (FXTM) is an award winning international online forex broker regulated by CySEC 185/12 www.forextime.com

The Analytical Overview of the Main Currency Pairs on 2022.11.18

By JustMarkets

The EUR/USD currency pair

Technical indicators of the currency pair:
  • Prev Open: 1.0392
  • Prev Close: 1.0364
  • % chg. over the last day: -0.27 %

The Eurozone’s annual inflation rate decreased from 10.7% to 10.6%. Core Inflation (excluding food and fuel prices) remained at 5% y/y. The data points to a possible peak in inflation. This increases the likelihood that the ECB will raise interest rates by 0.5% at its next meeting rather than by 0.75%, as previously discussed. ECB spokesman Lane said yesterday that the ECB expects inflation to fall next year but also noted the importance of further interest rate hikes.

Trading recommendations
  • Support levels: 1.0193, 1.0092, 1.0043, 0.9812
  • Resistance levels: 1.0384, 1.0504

From the technical point of view, the trend on the EUR/USD currency pair on the hourly time frame is bullish. The price is trading at the level of moving averages, the MACD indicator has become inactive, and the price is trading in a narrow price range. For buy deals, it is best to wait for a corrective movement to the support levels of 1.0193 or 1.0092, but with additional confirmation. Sell deals can be considered from the resistance level of 1.0384 inside the day, but it is also better with confirmation in the initiative on the lower time frames.

Alternative scenario: if the price breaks down through the support level of 0.9993 and fixes below it, the downtrend will likely resume.

EUR/USD
News feed for 2022.11.18:
  • – Eurozone ECB President Lagarde Speaks at 10:30 (GMT+2);
  • – US Existing Home Sales (m/m) at 17:00 (GMT+2).

The GBP/USD currency pair

Technical indicators of the currency pair:
  • Prev Open: 1.1913
  • Prev Close: 1.1863
  • % chg. over the last day: -0.42 %

On Thursday, the UK government unveiled a £55 billion ($66 billion) budget plan aimed at closing the hole in public finances and restoring confidence in the British economy. These measures will increase financial hardship for millions of Britons, who are facing the country’s worst cost-of-living crisis in decades and its longest recession. Jeremy Hunt pointed out that these measures are necessary to curb inflation, which has reached a 41-year high and restore Britain’s reputation.

Trading recommendations
  • Support levels: 1.1684, 1.1476, 1.1418, 1.1172, 1.1093, 1.0915, 1.0817
  • Resistance levels: 1.1921

From the technical point of view, the GBP/USD currency pair trend on the hourly time frame is bullish. The price is trading at the level of the moving averages. The MACD indicator has become inactive, and the divergence indicates weakness and a possible correction. Under such market conditions, it is better to look for buy deals after a slight correction to the support levels of 1.1684 or even 1.1476. Sell trades are best sought on intraday time frames from the resistance level of 1.1921.

Alternative scenario: if the price breaks down of the 1.1418 support level and fixes below it, the downtrend will likely resume.

GBP/USD
News feed for 2022.11.18:
  • – UK Retail Sales (m/m) at 09:00 (GMT+2).

The USD/JPY currency pair

Technical indicators of the currency pair:
  • Prev Open: 139.46
  • Prev Close: 140.21
  • % chg. over the last day: +0.53 %

Japan’s nationwide core consumer price index rose to a 40-year high from 3% to 3.6%, with an expectation of 3.5%. But despite the fact that the inflation rate has already exceeded the BoJ’s inflation target of 2% for the seventh time, the BoJ governor was quick to release a statement that an interest rate hike is undesirable at the moment. Thus, due to the divergent monetary policies of the Japanese banks and the US Federal Reserve, USD/JPY quotes are still inclined to rise.

Trading recommendations
  • Support levels: 139.44, 137.65, 136.80
  • Resistance levels: 141.05, 143.17, 145.16, 146.06, 147.34, 148.82, 150.00

From the technical point of view, the medium-term trend on the currency pair USD/JPY is bearish. The price is trading at the level of the moving averages. The MACD indicator has become inactive again, indicating the uncertainty of the market participants. The price is flying in a narrow corridor, which makes it difficult to find good entry points. Under such market conditions, buy trades can be searched for on intraday time frames from the support level of 139.44, but only with confirmation. Sell deals can be searched from the resistance level of 141.05, provided there is a reversal or a false breakout.

Alternative scenario: If the price fixes above 146.06, the uptrend will likely resume.

USD/JPY
News feed for 2022.11.18:
  • – Japan National Consumer Price Index (m/m) at 01:30 (GMT+2).

The USD/CAD currency pair

Technical indicators of the currency pair:
  • Prev Open: 1.3324
  • Prev Close: 1.3326
  • % chg. over the last day: +0.02 %

Higher interest rates have driven up the cost of credit in Canada, with mortgage rates up 11.4% for the year, the largest increase since February 1991. This, combined with higher rents, helped raise housing rates. The Bank of Canada raised its prime rate by 350 basis points from March to 3.75%, one of the fastest tightening cycles on record. Money markets are betting mainly on a 25 bps hike at the Bank of Canada’s next meeting on Dec. 7.

Trading recommendations
  • Support levels: 1.3281, 1.3212
  • Resistance levels: 1.3508, 1.3608, 1.3682, 1.3776, 1.3855, 1.3968

From the point of view of technical analysis, the trend on the USD/CAD currency pair is bearish. But inside the day, there is a slight dominance of buying. The MACD indicator has become inactive again, and the price is trading at the level of moving averages. The best way to sell is to consider the resistance level of 1.3508, but with confirmation. Buy trades should be considered on the lower time frames from the support level of 1.3281, but with additional confirmation in the form of a reverse initiative.

Alternative scenario: if the price breaks out and consolidates above the resistance level of 1.3508, the uptrend will likely resume.

USD/CAD
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By JustMarkets

 

This article reflects a personal opinion and should not be interpreted as an investment advice, and/or offer, and/or a persistent request for carrying out financial transactions, and/or a guarantee, and/or a forecast of future events.

COP27 deadlock shows why private money is needed for climate crisis

By George Prior

The deadlock at COP27 underscores why political leaders cannot be trusted to tackle the climate crisis and why private money must be urgently mobilized.

This is the stark warning from Nigel Green, the CEO and founder of deVere Group, one of the world’s largest independent financial advisory, asset management and fintech organizations.

It comes as the EU offered a plan late on Thursday to find a solution to deadlocked climate talks at COP27 in Egypt, suggesting a loss and damage finance facility for the most vulnerable countries in return for a vow to phase down oil, gas and coal.

The deVere CEO says: “The official draft of the decision text put forward by the Egyptian presidency on Friday morning goes nowhere near hard enough on the phasing out of fossil fuels – a major condition for the European Union.

“This is unlikely to break the deadlock.

“As such, talks are now likely to go on into the weekend.”

He continues: “This deadlock shows how politicians, especially those in developed countries, are often all talk, less action.

“But what is required is major action – and now – if we are to reverse the worst impact of human-created climate change.

“To date, there have been decades of inaction from political leaders. Governments around the world are either unwilling or unable to funnel the resources necessary to try and tackle the problem head-on.

“Therefore, it is critical that the private money is mobilized and harnessed to usher in an era of real action before it’s too late.”

Nigel Green has long been issuing a ‘call to arms’ in this regard.  Ahead of COP27, he noted: “Trillions of dollars are needed. This is why it is now critical that private money is unlocked and mobilized in the battle to mitigate the worst effects of human-created climate change.

“For this to happen, all sectors within the financial industry need to step-up, including financial advisories, insurance firms, banks, wealth and asset managers, investment companies, fintech groups, banks and auditors.

“If we fail on this, the level of finance will not be available, nor at the pace necessary, to halt the catastrophic effects of global warming.”

The deVere Group CEO’s calls come after he has publicly criticized some within the financial advisory industry who fail to urge clients to invest in Environmental, Social and Governance (ESG) orientated investments.

“I would say to those in our industry who are looking to weaponize or politicize ESG investing by branding it as ‘woke virtue-signalling’, amongst other things, that they are placing themselves and their companies on the wrong side of history.”

He went on to add that clients’ investment strategies would also benefit.

“Funds investing in entities with robust ESG credentials have outperformed their benchmarks over recent years. From a risk management point of view, including these companies in your portfolio is, clearly, a sensible decision to take.”

Last year ahead of COP26, deVere Group became one of 18 founding signatories of the UN-backed Net Zero initiative, the international alliance of powerhouse global finance companies that will help accelerate the transition to a net zero financial system.

The deVere CEO concludes: “The leaders at COP27 need to urgently step up or the summit becomes little more than a ‘talking shop.’ I hope they do.

“But there is no doubt that huge amounts of private money will also be needed.”

About:

deVere Group is one of the world’s largest independent advisors of specialist global financial solutions to international, local mass affluent, and high-net-worth clients.  It has a network of more than 70 offices across the world, over 80,000 clients and $12bn under advisement.