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Here are the latest links to our coverage of the Commitment of Traders data changes. Data updated through May 18th.
Australian Dollar Speculators continue to raise Bullish Bets for 4th straight week
The COT currency market speculator bets were overall lower this week as just three out of the eleven currency markets we cover had higher positioning.
Leading the gains for the currency markets was the Brazilian Real (2,459 contracts) with Bitcoin (853 contracts) and the Australian Dollar (654 contracts) also showing positive weeks.
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The currencies seeing declines in speculator bets on the week were the British Pound (-21,248 contracts), the Japanese Yen (-18,803 contracts), the Canadian Dollar (-14,989 contracts), the EuroFX (-6,687 contracts), the US Dollar Index (-3,666 contracts), the New Zealand Dollar (-1,463 contracts), the Mexican Peso (-1,841 contracts) and with the Swiss Franc (-740 contracts) also registering lower bets on the week.
Weekly Market Price Changes
Russell 2000 Mini, Copper & Coffee lead weekly price gains
Brent Oil, Live Cattle & WTI Crude Oil lead the price declines
See Weekly Price Changes for major markets and their performance.
COT Speculator Extremes
Speculator Extremes: AUD, Soybean Meal & Copper lead Bullish Positions
This weekly Extreme Positions report highlights the Most Bullish and Most Bearish Positions for the speculator category.
To signify an extreme position, we use the Strength Index (also known as the COT Index) of each instrument, a common method of measuring COT data. The Strength Index is simply a comparison of current trader positions against the range of positions over the previous 3 years. We use over 80 percent as extremely bullish and under 20 percent as extremely bearish. See the charts…
COT Bonds
COT Bonds Charts: Speculators up 2-Year and 5-Year Bonds bets this week
The COT bond market speculator bets were overall lower this week as just three out of the nine bond markets we cover had higher positioning.
Leading the gains for the bond markets was the 2-Year Bonds (41,775 contracts) with the 5-Year Bonds (11,629 contracts) and the SOFR 1-Month (11,594 contracts) also showing positive weeks.
The bond markets with declines in speculator bets for the week were the SOFR 3-Months (-330,187 contracts), the 10-Year Bonds (-66,885 contracts), the Fed Funds (-54,824 contracts), the Ultra 10-Year Bonds (-25,053 contracts), the Ultra Treasury Bonds (-15,470 contracts) and with the US Treasury Bonds (-5,820 contracts) also registering lower bets on the week.
COT Metals
COT Metals Charts: Weekly Metals Speculator Bets lower across the board
The COT metals markets speculator bets were overall lower this week overall lower this week as all of the six metals markets we cover had lower positioning.
Leading the declines in speculator bets for the week was Gold (-11,789 contracts) with Platinum (-2,804 contracts) and Silver (-1,440 contracts), Palladium (-582 contracts), Copper (-423 contracts) and Steel (-350 contracts) also having lower bets on the week.
The metals markets speculator positions continue to cool off after a roaring start to the year that had seen record high price levels almost across the board for the metals. Copper and Steel continue to have strong speculative positions as well as strong price trends. These two markets remain in extreme bullish strength levels (above 80%) currently (which shows their current levels across a range of the past three years) while the other precious metals (gold, silver, platinum, palladium) have seen their speculator bets come down as well as their price levels have come back down to earth in the second quarter.
COT Energy
COT Energy Charts: Weekly Speculator Bets led by WTI Crude & Heating Oil
COT energy market speculator bets were were mixed this week as three out of the six energy markets we cover had higher positioning.
Leading the gains for the energy markets with a modest weekly rise was WTI Crude (2,703 contracts) with Heating Oil (2,635 contracts) and the Bloomberg Index (315 contracts) also having positive weeks.
The markets with declines in speculator bets for the week were Natural Gas (-15,890 contracts), Brent Oil (-6,932 contracts) and with Gasoline (-3,596 contracts) also seeing lower bets on the week.
COT Soft Commodities
COT Soft Commodities Charts: Speculator Bets led by Sugar & Wheat
The COT soft commodities speculator bets were overall lower this week as just four out of the eleven softs markets we cover had higher speculator contracts.
Leading the gains for the softs markets was Sugar (18,509 contracts) with Wheat (14,684 contracts), Soybean Meal (11,088 contracts) and Soybean Oil (5 contracts) also showing positive weeks.
The markets with the declines in speculator bets this week were Corn (-25,435 contracts) with Soybeans (-11,764 contracts), Cotton (-9,919 contracts), Coffee (-5,099 contracts), Lean Hogs (-4,863 contracts), Cocoa (-2,507 contracts) and with Live Cattle (-3,616 contracts) also seeing lower bets on the week.
Have a Wonderful Trading Week
By InvestMacro.com
*COT Report: The COT data, released weekly to the public each Friday, is updated through the most recent Tuesday (data is 3 days old) and shows a quick view of how large speculators, non-commercials (for-profit traders), commercial traders and small traders were positioned in the futures markets.
The CFTC categorizes trader positions according to commercial hedgers (traders who use futures contracts for hedging as part of the business), non-commercials (large traders who speculate to realize trading profits) and nonreportable traders (usually small traders/speculators).
Find CFTC criteria here: (http://www.cftc.gov/MarketReports/CommitmentsofTraders/ExplanatoryNotes/index.htm).
