The GBPUSD on the D1 time frame was in a prolonged uptrend until 14 December when a last higher top was recorded at 1.24454.

A closer look at the Momentum Oscillator reveals a negative divergence between points “a” and “b” when comparing the tops at 1.23435 and 1.24454. This could have warned technical traders that the bullish trend was losing momentum.

After the higher top at 1.24454, the price dropped through the 15 and 34 Simple Moving Averages and the Momentum Oscillator followed suit by moving into bearish terrain. This confirmed that the bears are making their presence felt.

A possible critical support level formed when a lower bottom was recorded on 3 January at 1.18998. The bulls are currently trying to press the price higher but a resistance level that formed on 28 December at 1.21254 might exert its influence on the market.

If the price of GBPUSD breaks through the critical support level at 1.18998, then three possible price targets may be projected from there. Attaching the Fibonacci tool to the lower bottom at 1.18998, and dragging it to the resistance level at 1.21254, the following targets may be anticipated. The first target can be estimated at 1.17604 (161.8%). The second price target may be calculated at 1.15348 (261.8%) and the third and final target can be expected at 1.11698 (423.6%).

If the resistance level at 1.21254 is broken, the above scenario is no longer valid and must be reassessed.

As long as sellers maintain their negative sentiment and supply continues overcoming demand, the outlook for the GBPUSD currency pair will remain bearish.