By Orbex

The formation of the USDCHF pair suggests the development of a cycle wave y, which hints at a double zigzag Ⓦ-Ⓧ-Ⓨ of the primary degree. Let’s pay attention to the last primary wave Ⓨ, which is under development.
Wave Ⓨ has a complex internal structure and will most likely take the form of a triple combination (W)-(X)-(Y)-(X)-(Z). Actionary waves (W) and (Y) and the intervening wave (X) could have already ended. Therefore, the development of intermediate waves (X) and (Z) is possible in the future.
The end of wave y will be near 0.944. At that level, the primary wave Ⓨ will be at 123.6% of wave Ⓦ.
Free Reports:
Get our Weekly Commitment of Traders Reports - See where the biggest traders (Hedge Funds and Commercial Hedgers) are positioned in the futures markets on a weekly basis.
Sign Up for Our Stock Market Newsletter – Get updated on News, Charts & Rankings of Public Companies when you join our Stocks Newsletter
According to an alternative scenario, the formation of the cycle wave y has come to an end. It took the form of a primary double zigzag.
If this assumption is correct, then at the moment we are in the initial part of a new bearish wave.
We can expect that in the upcoming trading weeks the market will move in a downward direction within the intermediate impulse, as shown on the chart below the low of 0.901. This was marked by the primary intervening wave Ⓧ.
With the strengthening of the bears, the market could decline faster than usual.
Article by Orbex
Orbex is a fully licensed broker that was established in 2011. Founded with a mission to serve its traders responsibly and provides traders with access to the world’s largest and most liquid financial markets. www.orbex.com

- Optimism surrounding the US-China summit in Beijing supported the markets May 15, 2026
- Gold Falls on US Inflation Concerns as Week Ends in Losses May 15, 2026
- The oil market may remain in a state of severe supply shortage until autumn May 14, 2026
- GBP/USD Under Policy Pressure: What Lies Ahead for the Prime Minister? May 14, 2026
- European stock markets declined amid rising concerns about an energy crisis May 13, 2026
- USD/JPY Continues to Climb Amid External and Domestic Pressures May 13, 2026
- You can change your emotions – but it’s a 2‑step process that takes some effort May 12, 2026
- The United States rejected Iran’s proposal for resolving the conflict. Oil prices surged again May 12, 2026
- EUR/USD on Edge: Middle East and China in Focus May 12, 2026
- The US stock indices continue to set new records. China’s exports showed a sharp increase May 11, 2026
