By Orbex

The SPX500 stock index is forming a large impulse consisting of sub-waves I-II-III-IV-V. At the time of writing, we are in the final cycle wave V.
The primary third wave is under development and shown by intermediate sub-waves (1)-(2)-(3)-(4)-(5).
In the short term, the market could move lower in the minor wave 4, then the bulls can send the market to 4624.51. At that level, intermediate wave (5) will be at 123.6% of wave (3).

Free Reports:
Get our Weekly Commitment of Traders Reports - See where the biggest traders (Hedge Funds and Commercial Hedgers) are positioned in the futures markets on a weekly basis.
Download Our Metatrader 4 Indicators – Put Our Free MetaTrader 4 Custom Indicators on your charts when you join our Weekly Newsletter
However, there is a possibility that the formation of the primary impulse wave ③ has already come to an end. This means that in the near future the market will collapse within the primary fourth correction.
Thus, if our assumption is confirmed, then we could expect the formation of a bearish zigzag of the intermediate degree to 3325.41. At that level, the primary wave ④ will be at 38.2% of impulse wave ③.
By Orbex

- GBP/USD at Month’s Lows: The Outlook Remains Weak Jul 29, 2026
- Crude oil falls below $80 per barrel. Australia sees inflation slowdown Jul 29, 2026
- The US Tech sector hit by sell‑off. Oil prices decline on renewed negotiations Jul 28, 2026
- Gold Declines, Focus on Fed and Falling Oil Prices Jul 28, 2026
- This week will be one of the most crowded for central‑bank meetings Jul 27, 2026
- EUR/USD Ahead of a Key Week: Holding Near Lows Jul 27, 2026
- COT Metals Charts: Weekly Speculator Changes led by Copper Jul 26, 2026
- COT Bonds Charts: Speculator Bets led by SOFR 3-Months & 5-Year Bonds Jul 26, 2026
- COT Energy Charts: Weekly Speculator Bets led by WTI Crude & Natural Gas Jul 26, 2026
- COT Soft Commodities Charts: Weekly Speculator Bets led by Corn & Soybeans Jul 26, 2026