By Lukman Otunuga Research Analyst, ForexTime
Despite a disappointing non-manufacturing Chinese PMI reading, Asian bourses are holding up today with eyes on US jobs data and the latest Eurozone inflation print. The Chinese composite PMI unexpectedly fell from 54.2 to 52.9 earlier this morning with details showing a stabilisation of the manufacturing gauge but a setback in the non-manufacturing reading. New restrictive measures in Gaundong to contain a regional Covid outbreak are mainly responsible for this with waning external demand contrasting with rising domestic orders.
Risk mood improved
Markets took comfort in Moderna saying that its vaccine is effective against the Delta variant of the virus with the S&P500 marginally higher and closing at all-time highs. The tech-laden Nasdaq also notched another record peak rising for a sixth day in seven with Facebook pulling back after hitting the magical $1 trillion market cap level. Also adding to more positive sentiment was the US Consumer confidence which jumped with a bounce both in expectations and the current situation.
The dollar went bid breaking out of its recent range and is heading towards the post-Fed highs.
Free Reports:
Get our Weekly Commitment of Traders Reports - See where the biggest traders (Hedge Funds and Commercial Hedgers) are positioned in the futures markets on a weekly basis.
Download Our Metatrader 4 Indicators – Put Our Free MetaTrader 4 Custom Indicators on your charts when you join our Weekly Newsletter
In EUR/USD, this means we are trading below 1.19 again with eyes on the recent cycle lows at 1.1847.
With the monthly US labour market report out on Friday, focus will be on US ADP data today which will be monitored for any signs that private sector hiring has quickened. Although not a great predictor of the NFP headline number, a big beat or miss today can cause near-term volatility. Expectations are for a punchy 600k reading with many analysts hopeful that jobs data comes in strong going forward.
Eurozone inflation subdued
Consensus expects headline and core Eurozone inflation prints to remain relatively subdued at 1.9% y/y and 0.9% y/y respectively when the data is released this morning. Country figures already pointed to a slowdown and these are fairly tame readings compared to those elsewhere. With the outlook remaining muted, the ECB will continue to be one of the last remaining dovish central banks on the block.
Disclaimer: The content in this article comprises personal opinions and should not be construed as containing personal and/or other investment advice and/or an offer of and/or solicitation for any transactions in financial instruments and/or a guarantee and/or prediction of future performance. ForexTime (FXTM), its affiliates, agents, directors, officers or employees do not guarantee the accuracy, validity, timeliness or completeness, of any information or data made available and assume no liability as to any loss arising from any investment based on the same.
Article by ForexTime
ForexTime Ltd (FXTM) is an award winning international online forex broker regulated by CySEC 185/12 www.forextime.com
- WTI oil declines on rising inventories and negotiations between Israel and Hamas. Rising unemployment in New Zealand may force RBNZ to start cutting rates earlier May 1, 2024
- Bitcoin stumbles below $60k ahead of Fed May 1, 2024
- Expert Says Now Looks Like a Good Time To Buy This Renewable Energy Stock Apr 30, 2024
- Optimism over corporate earnings is fueling stock indices. The Hong Kong index reached a 5-month high Apr 30, 2024
- FXTM’s Copper: Hits fresh two-year high! Apr 30, 2024
- European indices grow on the ECB’s “dovish” position. Quarterly reports of mega-companies support the broad market Apr 29, 2024
- Japanese yen shows volatility amid speculation of intervention Apr 29, 2024
- COT Bonds Charts: Speculator Weekly Changes led by 5-Year & 10-Year Bonds Apr 28, 2024
- COT Stock Market Charts: Speculator Bets led by VIX & Russell-Mini Apr 28, 2024
- COT Soft Commodities Charts: Speculator Bets led by Corn & Soybean Meal Apr 28, 2024