Archive for investing – Page 28

10-Year Note Speculators added to their bearish net positions last week

December 10th – By CountingPips.comReceive our weekly COT Reports by Email

10-Year Note Non-Commercial Speculator Positions:

Large bond speculators increased their bearish net positions in the 10-Year Note futures markets last week, according to the latest Commitment of Traders (COT) data released by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) on Monday which was a delay due to former President George H.W. Bush’s funeral last week.

The non-commercial futures contracts of 10-Year Note futures, traded by large speculators and hedge funds, totaled a net position of -293,186 contracts in the data reported through Tuesday December 4th. This was a weekly change of -8,963 net contracts from the previous week which had a total of -284,223 net contracts.

The week’s net position was the result of the gross bullish position ascending by 76,069 contracts to a weekly total of 657,199 contracts compared to the gross bearish position which saw a rise by 85,032 contracts for the week to a total of 950,385 contracts.

The speculative net position saw a slight boost in the bearish level after specs had severely contracted their bearish bets by a total of 254,963 contracts in the previous three weeks. The current standing remains under the -300,000 net contract level for a second straight week after numbering over -700,000 contracts just ten weeks ago.

10-Year Note Commercial Positions:

The commercial traders position, hedgers or traders engaged in buying and selling for business purposes, totaled a net position of 377,307 contracts on the week. This was a weekly fall of -43,615 contracts from the total net of 420,922 contracts reported the previous week.

10-Year Note Futures:

Over the same weekly reporting time-frame, from Tuesday to Tuesday, the 10-Year Note Futures (Front Month) closed at approximately $120.01 which was an uptick of $0.90 from the previous close of $119.10, according to unofficial market data.

*COT Report: The COT data, released weekly to the public each Friday, is updated through the most recent Tuesday (data is 3 days old) and shows a quick view of how large speculators or non-commercials (for-profit traders) as well as the commercial traders (hedgers & traders for business purposes) were positioned in the futures markets. The CFTC categorizes trader positions according to commercial hedgers (traders who use futures contracts for hedging as part of the business), non-commercials (large traders who speculate to realize trading profits) and nonreportable traders (usually small traders/speculators). Find CFTC criteria here: (http://www.cftc.gov/MarketReports/CommitmentsofTraders/ExplanatoryNotes/index.htm).

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Gold Speculators strongly boosted their bullish bets to best level in 20 weeks

December 10th – By CountingPips.comReceive our weekly COT Reports by Email

Gold Non-Commercial Speculator Positions:

Large precious metals speculators sharply increased their bullish net positions in the Gold futures markets last week, according to the latest Commitment of Traders (COT) data released by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) on Monday which was a delay due to former President George H.W. Bush’s funeral last week.

The non-commercial futures contracts of Gold futures, traded by large speculators and hedge funds, totaled a net position of 49,001 contracts in the data reported through Tuesday December 4th. This was a weekly boost of 47,130 net contracts from the previous week which had a total of 1,871 net contracts.

The week’s net position was the result of the gross bullish position going up by 16,240 contracts to a weekly total of 173,019 contracts compared to the gross bearish position which saw a lowering by -30,890 contracts for the week to a total of 124,018 contracts.

The speculative net position has increased for two out of the past three weeks and last week hit the largest gain in seven weeks. The current standing is now at the most bullish level since July 17th when the net position totaled 57,841 contracts.

Gold Commercial Positions:

The commercial traders position, hedgers or traders engaged in buying and selling for business purposes, totaled a net position of -58,249 contracts on the week. This was a weekly decline of -42,149 contracts from the total net of -16,100 contracts reported the previous week.

Gold Futures:

Over the same weekly reporting time-frame, from Tuesday to Tuesday, the Gold Futures (Front Month) closed at approximately $1246.60 which was a rise of $26.70 from the previous close of $1219.90, according to unofficial market data.

*COT Report: The COT data, released weekly to the public each Friday, is updated through the most recent Tuesday (data is 3 days old) and shows a quick view of how large speculators or non-commercials (for-profit traders) as well as the commercial traders (hedgers & traders for business purposes) were positioned in the futures markets. The CFTC categorizes trader positions according to commercial hedgers (traders who use futures contracts for hedging as part of the business), non-commercials (large traders who speculate to realize trading profits) and nonreportable traders (usually small traders/speculators). Find CFTC criteria here: (http://www.cftc.gov/MarketReports/CommitmentsofTraders/ExplanatoryNotes/index.htm).

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S&P500 Mini Speculators sharply dropped their bullish bets to lowest since March

December 10th – By CountingPips.comReceive our weekly COT Reports by Email

S&P500 Mini Non-Commercial Speculator Positions:

Large stock market speculators sharply decreased their bullish net positions in the S&P500 Mini futures markets last week, according to the latest Commitment of Traders (COT) data released by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) on Monday which was a delay due to former President George H.W. Bush’s funeral last week.

The non-commercial futures contracts of S&P500 Mini futures, traded by large speculators and hedge funds, totaled a net position of 104,076 contracts in the data reported through Tuesday December 4th. This was a weekly decline of -111,281 net contracts from the previous week which had a total of 215,357 net contracts.

The week’s net position was the result of the gross bullish position sinking by -69,529 contracts to a weekly total of 416,487 contracts compared to the gross bearish position which saw a gain by 41,752 contracts for the week to a total of 312,411 contracts.

The speculative net position saw the largest weekly decline since February of 2014 and has now fallen for two straight weeks. The current standing is at the lowest bullish position since March 20th when the net position totaled 83,293 contracts.

S&P500 Mini Commercial Positions:

The commercial traders position, hedgers or traders engaged in buying and selling for business purposes, totaled a net position of -182,392 contracts on the week. This was a weekly increase of 93,635 contracts from the total net of -276,027 contracts reported the previous week.

S&P500 Mini Futures:

Over the same weekly reporting time-frame, from Tuesday to Tuesday, the S&P500 Mini Futures (Front Month) closed at approximately $2701.75 which was a gain of $18.25 from the previous close of $2683.50, according to unofficial market data.

*COT Report: The COT data, released weekly to the public each Friday, is updated through the most recent Tuesday (data is 3 days old) and shows a quick view of how large speculators or non-commercials (for-profit traders) as well as the commercial traders (hedgers & traders for business purposes) were positioned in the futures markets. The CFTC categorizes trader positions according to commercial hedgers (traders who use futures contracts for hedging as part of the business), non-commercials (large traders who speculate to realize trading profits) and nonreportable traders (usually small traders/speculators). Find CFTC criteria here: (http://www.cftc.gov/MarketReports/CommitmentsofTraders/ExplanatoryNotes/index.htm).

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VIX Speculators sharply reduced their bullish net positions for 2nd week

December 10th – By CountingPips.comReceive our weekly COT Reports by Email

VIX Non-Commercial Speculator Positions:

Large volatility speculators cut back on their bullish net positions in the VIX futures markets last week, according to the latest Commitment of Traders (COT) data released by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) on Monday which was a delay due to former President George H.W. Bush’s funeral last week.

The non-commercial futures contracts of VIX futures, traded by large speculators and hedge funds, totaled a net position of 11,017 contracts in the data reported through Tuesday December 4th. This was a weekly decline of -16,596 net contracts from the previous week which had a total of 27,613 net contracts.

The week’s net position was the result of the gross bullish position lowering by -4,533 contracts to a weekly total of 126,824 contracts compared to the gross bearish position which saw a rise by 12,063 contracts for the week to a total of 115,807 contracts.

The speculative net position dropped for a second straight week and has declined by a total of -24,511 contracts over the past two weeks. The current standing remains in bullish territory for a sixth straight week.

VIX Commercial Positions:

The commercial traders position, hedgers or traders engaged in buying and selling for business purposes, totaled a net position of -5,221 contracts on the week. This was a weekly increase of 14,368 contracts from the total net of -19,589 contracts reported the previous week.

VIX Futures:

Over the same weekly reporting time-frame, from Tuesday to Tuesday, the VIX Futures (Front Month) closed at approximately $19.27 which was a rise of $0.15 from the previous close of $19.12, according to unofficial market data.

*COT Report: The COT data, released weekly to the public each Friday, is updated through the most recent Tuesday (data is 3 days old) and shows a quick view of how large speculators or non-commercials (for-profit traders) as well as the commercial traders (hedgers & traders for business purposes) were positioned in the futures markets. The CFTC categorizes trader positions according to commercial hedgers (traders who use futures contracts for hedging as part of the business), non-commercials (large traders who speculate to realize trading profits) and nonreportable traders (usually small traders/speculators). Find CFTC criteria here: (http://www.cftc.gov/MarketReports/CommitmentsofTraders/ExplanatoryNotes/index.htm).

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Silver Speculators cut their bearish bets to lowest level in 17 weeks

December 10th – By CountingPips.comReceive our weekly COT Reports by Email

Silver Non-Commercial Speculator Positions:

Large precious metals speculators reduced their bearish net positions in the Silver futures markets last week, according to the latest Commitment of Traders (COT) data released by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) on Monday which was a delay due to former President George H.W. Bush’s funeral last week.

The non-commercial futures contracts of Silver futures, traded by large speculators and hedge funds, totaled a net position of -635 contracts in the data reported through Tuesday December 4th. This was a weekly change of 10,331 net contracts from the previous week which had a total of -10,966 net contracts.

This week’s net position was the result of the gross bullish position advancing by 1,501 contracts to a weekly total of 69,314 contracts compared to the gross bearish position which saw a decrease by -8,830 contracts for the week to a total of 69,949 contracts.

The weekly gain of over +10,000 net contracts marked the best week since June and brought the overall net position to the best level since August 7th when the position was last in bullish territory (+4,341 contracts).

Silver Commercial Positions:

The commercial traders position, hedgers or traders engaged in buying and selling for business purposes, totaled a net position of -15,418 contracts on the week. This was a weekly decline of -6,577 contracts from the total net of -8,841 contracts reported the previous week.

Silver Futures:

Over the same weekly reporting time-frame, from Tuesday to Tuesday, the Silver Futures (Front Month) closed at approximately $1464.00 which was a gain of $41.90 from the previous close of $1422.10, according to unofficial market data.

*COT Report: The COT data, released weekly to the public each Friday, is updated through the most recent Tuesday (data is 3 days old) and shows a quick view of how large speculators or non-commercials (for-profit traders) as well as the commercial traders (hedgers & traders for business purposes) were positioned in the futures markets. The CFTC categorizes trader positions according to commercial hedgers (traders who use futures contracts for hedging as part of the business), non-commercials (large traders who speculate to realize trading profits) and nonreportable traders (usually small traders/speculators). Find CFTC criteria here: (http://www.cftc.gov/MarketReports/CommitmentsofTraders/ExplanatoryNotes/index.htm).

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Copper Speculator bullish bets were virtually unchanged this week

December 10th – By CountingPips.comReceive our weekly COT Reports by Email

Copper Non-Commercial Speculator Positions:

Large precious metals speculators very slightly decreased their bullish net positions in the Copper futures markets last week, according to the latest Commitment of Traders (COT) data released by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) on Monday which was a delay due to former President George H.W. Bush’s funeral last week.

The non-commercial futures contracts of Copper futures, traded by large speculators and hedge funds, totaled a net position of 10,683 contracts in the data reported through Tuesday December 4th. This was a weekly fall of -9 net contracts from the previous week which had a total of 10,692 net contracts.

The week’s net position was the result of the gross bullish position declining by -1,394 contracts to a weekly total of 75,348 contracts compared to the gross bearish position total of 64,665 contracts which saw a decline by -1,385 contracts for the week.

The speculative position has seen a slight pull back over the past two weeks. The current spec standing remains right around the +10,000 net contract level for a third straight week and has now been in bullish territory for eleven straight weeks.

Copper Commercial Positions:

The commercial traders position, hedgers or traders engaged in buying and selling for business purposes, totaled a net position of -11,853 contracts on the week. This was a weekly fall of -1,617 contracts from the total net of -10,236 contracts reported the previous week.

Copper Futures:

Over the same weekly reporting time-frame, from Tuesday to Tuesday, the Copper Futures (Front Month) closed at approximately $275.90 which was a boost of $3.30 from the previous close of $272.60, according to unofficial market data.

*COT Report: The COT data, released weekly to the public each Friday, is updated through the most recent Tuesday (data is 3 days old) and shows a quick view of how large speculators or non-commercials (for-profit traders) as well as the commercial traders (hedgers & traders for business purposes) were positioned in the futures markets. The CFTC categorizes trader positions according to commercial hedgers (traders who use futures contracts for hedging as part of the business), non-commercials (large traders who speculate to realize trading profits) and nonreportable traders (usually small traders/speculators). Find CFTC criteria here: (http://www.cftc.gov/MarketReports/CommitmentsofTraders/ExplanatoryNotes/index.htm).

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Forex: US Dollar Index Speculators edged bets lower. Euro bets slide more bearish

December 1st 2018 – By CountingPips.comReceive our weekly COT Reports by Email

US Dollar Index Speculator Positions

Large currency speculators cut back on their bullish bets in the US Dollar Index futures markets this week while specs also upped their bearish bets in the euro currency, according to the latest Commitment of Traders (COT) data released by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) on Friday.

The non-commercial futures contracts of US Dollar Index futures, traded by large speculators and hedge funds, totaled a net position of 39,307 contracts in the data reported through Tuesday November 27th. This was a weekly fall of -33 contracts from the previous week which had a total of 39,340 net contracts.

This week’s net position was the result of the gross bullish position increasing by 611 contracts to a weekly total of 46,349 contracts which was more than offset by the  gross bearish position that saw a rise by 644 contracts for the week to a total of 7,042 contracts.

The USD Index net position fell for a second straight week following gains in the previous seven weeks that brought the USD Index standing to the highest level since April of 2017.


Individual Currencies Data this week:

In the other major currency contracts data, improvements for the week were seen in the British pound sterling (4,328 weekly change in contracts), Australian dollar (5,277 contracts) and the Mexican peso (1,244 contracts).

Meanwhile, the currencies whose speculative bets declined this week were the US dollar index (-33 weekly change in contracts), euro (-7,842 contracts),  Japanese yen (-4,259 contracts), Swiss franc (-1,443 contracts), Canadian dollar (-2,341 contracts) and the New Zealand dollar (-1,193 contracts).

Notable for the week:

Euro contracts continued to go more bearish with a rise of over -7,000 contracts this week following a -10,210 contract change last week. The current standing for euro spec positions is now at the most bearish level since March 7th of 2017 when the net position totaled -59,501 contracts.

See the table and individual currency charts below.


Table of Large Speculator Levels & Weekly Changes:

CurrencyNet Speculator PositionSpecs Weekly Change
USD Index39,307-33
EuroFx-55,071-7,842
GBP-39,1504,328
JPY-104,324-4,259
CHF-21,068-1,443
CAD-8,630-2,341
AUD-53,9035,277
NZD-20,540-1,193
MXN15,3271,244

 

This latest COT data is through Tuesday and shows a quick view of how large speculators or non-commercials (for-profit traders) were positioned in the futures markets. All currency positions are in direct relation to the US dollar where, for example, a bet for the euro is a bet that the euro will rise versus the dollar while a bet against the euro will be a bet that the dollar will gain versus the euro.

 


Weekly Charts: Large Trader Weekly Positions vs Price

EuroFX:

The Euro large speculator standing this week resulted in a net position of -55,071 contracts in the data reported through Tuesday. This was a weekly change of -7,842 contracts from the previous week which had a total of -47,229 net contracts.


British Pound Sterling:

The large British pound sterling speculator level reached a net position of -39,150 contracts in the data reported this week. This was a weekly increase of 4,328 contracts from the previous week which had a total of -43,478 net contracts.


Japanese Yen:

Large Japanese yen speculators equaled a net position of -104,324 contracts in this week’s data. This was a weekly change of -4,259 contracts from the previous week which had a total of -100,065 net contracts.


Swiss Franc:

The Swiss franc speculator standing this week equaled a net position of -21,068 contracts in the data through Tuesday. This was a weekly change of -1,443 contracts from the previous week which had a total of -19,625 net contracts.


Canadian Dollar:

Canadian dollar speculators recorded a net position of -8,630 contracts this week. This was a change of -2,341 contracts from the previous week which had a total of -6,289 net contracts.


Australian Dollar:

The large speculator positions in Australian dollar futures reached a net position of -53,903 contracts this week in the data ending Tuesday. This was a weekly lift of 5,277 contracts from the previous week which had a total of -59,180 net contracts.


New Zealand Dollar:

The New Zealand dollar speculative standing resulted in a net position of -20,540 contracts this week in the latest COT data. This was a weekly decline of -1,193 contracts from the previous week which had a total of -19,347 net contracts.


Mexican Peso:

Mexican peso speculators resulted in a net position of 15,327 contracts this week. This was a weekly increase of 1,244 contracts from the previous week which had a total of 14,083 net contracts.


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*COT Report: The COT data, released weekly to the public each Friday, is updated through the most recent Tuesday (data is 3 days old) and shows a quick view of how large speculators or non-commercials (for-profit traders) were positioned in the futures markets.

The CFTC categorizes trader positions according to commercial hedgers (traders who use futures contracts for hedging as part of the business), non-commercials (large traders who speculate to realize trading profits) and nonreportable traders (usually small traders/speculators).

Find CFTC criteria here: (http://www.cftc.gov/MarketReports/CommitmentsofTraders/ExplanatoryNotes/index.htm).

WTI Crude Oil Speculators reduced their bullish bets for 9th week

December 1st 2018 – By CountingPips.comReceive our weekly COT Reports by Email

WTI Crude Oil Non-Commercial Speculator Positions:

Large energy speculators continued to decrease their bullish net positions in the WTI Crude Oil futures markets this week, according to the latest Commitment of Traders (COT) data released by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) on Friday.

The non-commercial futures contracts of WTI Crude Oil futures, traded by large speculators and hedge funds, totaled a net position of 348,121 contracts in the data reported through Tuesday November 27th. This was a weekly reduction of -19,066 net contracts from the previous week which had a total of 367,187 net contracts.

This week’s net position was the result of the gross bullish position sliding by -17,170 contracts to a weekly total of 511,679 contracts compared to the gross bearish position which saw a gain by 1,896 contracts for the week to a total of 163,558 contracts.

The speculative position has now fallen for nine straight weeks and by a total of -211,964 contracts over that time-frame. The current standing is at the lowest level since July 3rd of 2017 when the net position totaled 341,047 contracts.

WTI Crude Oil Commercial Positions:

The commercial traders position, hedgers or traders engaged in buying and selling for business purposes, totaled a net position of -373,215 contracts on the week. This was a weekly gain of 23,175 contracts from the total net of -396,390 contracts reported the previous week.

WTI Crude Oil Futures:

Over the same weekly reporting time-frame, from Tuesday to Tuesday, the WTI Crude Oil Futures (Front Month) closed at approximately $51.56 which was a drop of $-1.87 from the previous close of $53.43, according to unofficial market data.

*COT Report: The COT data, released weekly to the public each Friday, is updated through the most recent Tuesday (data is 3 days old) and shows a quick view of how large speculators or non-commercials (for-profit traders) as well as the commercial traders (hedgers & traders for business purposes) were positioned in the futures markets. The CFTC categorizes trader positions according to commercial hedgers (traders who use futures contracts for hedging as part of the business), non-commercials (large traders who speculate to realize trading profits) and nonreportable traders (usually small traders/speculators). Find CFTC criteria here: (http://www.cftc.gov/MarketReports/CommitmentsofTraders/ExplanatoryNotes/index.htm).

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10-Year Note Speculators continued to drop their bearish bets this week

December 1st 2018 – By CountingPips.comReceive our weekly COT Reports by Email

10-Year Note Non-Commercial Speculator Positions:

Large bond speculators continued to cut back on their bearish net positions in the 10-Year Note futures markets this week, according to the latest Commitment of Traders (COT) data released by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) on Friday.

The non-commercial futures contracts of 10-Year Note futures, traded by large speculators and hedge funds, totaled a net position of -284,223 contracts in the data reported through Tuesday November 27th. This was a weekly change of 83,042 net contracts from the previous week which had a total of -367,265 net contracts.

This week’s net position was the result of the gross bullish position tumbling by -33,711 contracts to a weekly total of 581,130 contracts compared to the gross bearish position which saw a decrease by -116,753 contracts for the week to a total of 865,353 contracts.

The speculative position has been strongly shedding bearish positions since reaching an all-time record high bearish position on September 25th with -756,316 contracts. The current standing is now below the -300,000 net contract level for the first time since March 13th.

10-Year Note Commercial Positions:

The commercial traders position, hedgers or traders engaged in buying and selling for business purposes, totaled a net position of 420,922 contracts on the week. This was a weekly decline of -39,693 contracts from the total net of 460,615 contracts reported the previous week.

10-Year Note Futures:

Over the same weekly reporting time-frame, from Tuesday to Tuesday, the 10-Year Note Futures (Front Month) closed at approximately $119.10 which was a fall of $-0.06 from the previous close of $119.17, according to unofficial market data.

*COT Report: The COT data, released weekly to the public each Friday, is updated through the most recent Tuesday (data is 3 days old) and shows a quick view of how large speculators or non-commercials (for-profit traders) as well as the commercial traders (hedgers & traders for business purposes) were positioned in the futures markets. The CFTC categorizes trader positions according to commercial hedgers (traders who use futures contracts for hedging as part of the business), non-commercials (large traders who speculate to realize trading profits) and nonreportable traders (usually small traders/speculators). Find CFTC criteria here: (http://www.cftc.gov/MarketReports/CommitmentsofTraders/ExplanatoryNotes/index.htm).

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Gold Speculators cut their bullish net positions back down this week

December 1st 2018 – By CountingPips.comReceive our weekly COT Reports by Email

Gold Non-Commercial Speculator Positions:

Large precious metals speculators reduced their bullish net positions in the Gold futures markets this week, according to the latest Commitment of Traders (COT) data released by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) on Friday.

The non-commercial futures contracts of Gold futures, traded by large speculators and hedge funds, totaled a net position of 1,871 contracts in the data reported through Tuesday November 27th. This was a weekly fall of -7,025 net contracts from the previous week which had a total of 8,896 net contracts.

This week’s net position was the result of the gross bullish position tumbling by -8,727 contracts to a weekly total of 156,779 contracts compared to the gross bearish position which fell by just -1,702 contracts for the week to a total of 154,908 contracts .

The net speculative position has now declined for two out of the past three weeks and into a very small bullish position. The current standing is at its lowest level since it was in bearish territory two weeks ago.

Gold Commercial Positions:

The commercial traders position, hedgers or traders engaged in buying and selling for business purposes, totaled a net position of -16,100 contracts on the week. This was a weekly gain of 7,040 contracts from the total net of -23,140 contracts reported the previous week.

Gold Futures:

Over the same weekly reporting time-frame, from Tuesday to Tuesday, the Gold Futures (Front Month) closed at approximately $1219.90 which was a drop of $-1.30 from the previous close of $1221.20, according to unofficial market data.

*COT Report: The COT data, released weekly to the public each Friday, is updated through the most recent Tuesday (data is 3 days old) and shows a quick view of how large speculators or non-commercials (for-profit traders) as well as the commercial traders (hedgers & traders for business purposes) were positioned in the futures markets. The CFTC categorizes trader positions according to commercial hedgers (traders who use futures contracts for hedging as part of the business), non-commercials (large traders who speculate to realize trading profits) and nonreportable traders (usually small traders/speculators). Find CFTC criteria here: (http://www.cftc.gov/MarketReports/CommitmentsofTraders/ExplanatoryNotes/index.htm).

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