Archive for Forex and Currency News – Page 245

Red end to the week

By Han Tan Chief Market Analyst at Exinity Group, ForexTime

With uncertainty on the China regulatory overhaul still not shifting to the background, markets are struggling this morning, even though they were more constructive overnight.

US indices had all finished in the green as expectations for continued Fed stimulus helped boost risk sentiment.

Disappointing Amazon

Amazon posted its third $100 billion quarter in a row, but the giant still came in below analyst estimates for revenue in its second quarter results, which was its first revenue miss in three years. The tech titan also gave a weaker-than-expected outlook for the third quarter, although CFO Olsavsky blamed this on tough year-over-year comparisons to its business during Covid-19 lockdowns.

Amazon’s guidance echoes similar warnings by Facebook and Apple who said in quarterly earnings earlier this week that revenue growth rates would slow down from pandemic highs.

The stock fell more than 7% in extended trading on Thursday and the broader market Nasdaq futures are firmly in the red.

On a technical basis, Amazon could be forming a classic double top reversal pattern with initial support just above $3500. If this plays out, then $3400 and below would be the target for the sellers.

 

Top tier Eurozone data out today

European stock markets have all opened firmly in the red following on from Asia’s weak showing. European bourses had been helped by upbeat earnings on Thursday with results from Swiss chipmaker STMicroelectronics and French Societe Bic propelling the region-wide Stoxx 600 benchmark to another new record high.

We get Q2 GDP data for eurozone countries this morning. France’s numbers have already been released and were modestly better than expected, while Spain’s handsomely beat estimates. The region is expected to grow by 1.5% q/q but the rebound from a technical recession should not shift the ECB’s current dovish stance.

The flash estimate of the bloc’s CPI data is also released with the important core reading still forecast to remain subdued at 0.7%. The headline print is expected to rise a tenth to 2% year-on-year from 1.9% in June.

Fresh signs of turbulence in Asia suggest EUR/USD may struggle to get above 1.19 today if the dollar catches a bid.

Sour risk sentiment favours the greenback and the short term fate of the pair still remains tied to global dynamics.

 

Disclaimer: The content in this article comprises personal opinions and should not be construed as containing personal and/or other investment advice and/or an offer of and/or solicitation for any transactions in financial instruments and/or a guarantee and/or prediction of future performance. ForexTime (FXTM), its affiliates, agents, directors, officers or employees do not guarantee the accuracy, validity, timeliness or completeness, of any information or data made available and assume no liability as to any loss arising from any investment based on the same.


Forex-Time-LogoArticle by ForexTime

ForexTime Ltd (FXTM) is an award winning international online forex broker regulated by CySEC 185/12 www.forextime.com

Markets Cheer Dovish Fed, US Q2 GDP expands 6.5%

By Lukman Otunuga Senior Research Analyst, ForexTime

A sense of positivity is certainly in the air today thanks to dovish comments by the Federal Reserve overnight, the US Senate voting to move ahead on the $1.2 trillion infrastructure plan and robust earnings in Europe.

Stocks on the continent were painted green this afternoon, having hit record highs earlier in the day amid the risk-on sentiment. US equity markets are also positive hitting fresh record highs as bulls take heart from Jerome Powell’s dovish remarks and the prospects of a breakthrough on the infrastructure bill.

Dollar Humbled By Dovish Fed

“One man’s meat is another man’s poison” is a proverb that comes to mind when looking at the dollar’s recent selloff. While equity bulls were doing backflips and cartwheels after Jerome Powell said that rate increases were “a ways away”, this dealt a heavy blow to king dollar. In fact, the greenback has depreciated against every single G10 currency today with the Dollar Index (DXY) wobbling above 92.00 as of writing. With Powell highlighting that the job market still had “some ground to cover” before the Fed begins tapering, investors are likely to keep a very close eye on economic data. Given how this will drive taper discussions and rate hike expectations, we could be in for some bumpy months and increased dollar volatility.

US economy grows at 6.5% in Q2

Speaking of data, the US economy grew at a 6.5% annualised in the second quarter of 2021. This was higher than the revised 6.3% pace seen in the first quarter but well below market expectations of 8.5%. Despite the report falling short of forecasts, this was still the biggest jump in growth since the third quarter of 2020 when the economy sprung back to life. Details also showed that personal consumer spending rose at an annualised rate of 11.8% so the US consumer appears to be very much alive and kicking.

In other data releases, US initial jobless claims dropped by 24,000 to 400,000 last week as the economy continues to recover from the pandemic. With Powell’s recent comments around the job market and tapering, further signs of improving jobless claims add to the list of factors influencing taper expectations.

Currency spotlight – EURUSD eyes 1.19

Some economic data from Europe offered a breath of fresh air today.

Eurozone economic sentiment hit an all-time high in July while the unemployment rate in Germany remained at 5.7% in June, a tick lower than expected. This was the lowest jobless rate witnessed since April 2020. Interestingly, it has been a mixed day for the euro. Although the currency stood tall against the dollar, yen, and swiss franc, it has weakened against other more cyclical G10 majors. Looking at the technical picture, the weaker dollar looks to be propelling EURUSD towards 1.1900. A solid breakout above this level could open the door towards 1.1960 and 1.2000. Alternatively, a decline towards 1.1800 could signal a move back towards 1.1750.

Disclaimer: The content in this article comprises personal opinions and should not be construed as containing personal and/or other investment advice and/or an offer of and/or solicitation for any transactions in financial instruments and/or a guarantee and/or prediction of future performance. ForexTime (FXTM), its affiliates, agents, directors, officers or employees do not guarantee the accuracy, validity, timeliness or completeness, of any information or data made available and assume no liability as to any loss arising from any investment based on the same.


Forex-Time-LogoArticle by ForexTime

ForexTime Ltd (FXTM) is an award winning international online forex broker regulated by CySEC 185/12 www.forextime.com

Japanese Candlesticks Analysis 29.07.2021 (USDCAD, AUDUSD, USDCHF)

Article By RoboForex.com

USDCAD, “US Dollar vs Canadian Dollar”

As we can see in the H4 chart, the asset continues falling. After forming several reversal patterns, such as Harami, close to the resistance area, USDCAD may reverse and correct towards the support level at 1.2425. However, an alternative scenario implies that the asset may continue growing to reach 1.2660 without testing the support level.

USDCAD
Risk Warning: the result of previous trading operations do not guarantee the same results in the future

AUDUSD, “Australian Dollar vs US Dollar”

As we can see in the H4 chart, AUDUSD has formed several reversal patterns, such as Hammer, not far from the support level. At the moment, the asset may reverse in the form of a new growth towards the resistance area. In this case, the upside target may be at 0.7410. At the same time, an opposite scenario implies that the price may fall to reach the support level at 0.7260 and continue the descending tendency without testing the resistance area.

AUDUSD
Risk Warning: the result of previous trading operations do not guarantee the same results in the future

USDCHF, “US Dollar vs Swiss Franc”

As we can see in the H4 chart, the correction continues. By now, the pair has formed several reversal patterns, for example, Shooting Star, close to the resistance area. At the moment, USDCHF is reversing. In this case, the next downside target may be the support level at 0.9060. Still, there might be an alternative scenario, according to which the asset may grow towards 0.9160 without testing the support level.

USDCHF

Article By RoboForex.com

Attention!
Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex LP bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews.

Chris Vermeulen Joins Elijah K Johnson From Liberty And Finance To Talk About The Dollar and Precious Metals

By TheTechnicalTraders 

Chris Joins Elijah K Johnson from Liberty And Finance to talk about Precious Metals. Since last August, silver has been trading in this noisy sideway range. This can be seen as a pause or consolidation before the next major trend breakout. If the US dollar starts to roll over, precious metals could jump higher. Should this happen, the stock market would most likely top out and start a downward trend. Silver has a lot of long-term upside potential. However, we foresee further pressure downward in the short term.

CLICK ON THE IMAGE BELOW TO LISTEN TO THE INTERVIEW

GET YOUR DAILY DOSE OF CHRIS’ PRECIOUS METALS ANALYSIS ALONG WITH THE HOTTEST ETFS TO TRADE WITH BAN TRADER PRO!

 

Forex Technical Analysis & Forecast 29.07.2021

Article By RoboForex.com

EURUSD, “Euro vs US Dollar”

EURUSD has completed the ascending wave at 1.1850; right now, it is consolidating around this level. If later the price breaks this range to the upside, the market may continue the correction towards 1.1924 and then start a new decline to test 1.1850 from above.

EURUSD
Risk Warning: the result of previous trading operations do not guarantee the same results in the future

GBPUSD, “Great Britain Pound vs US Dollar”

GBPUSD has formed the consolidation range around 1.3876. Possibly, the pair may continue the correction towards 1.3975 and then form a new descending structure to test 1.3876 from above. Later, the market may start another growth with the target at 1.4000.

GBPUSD
Risk Warning: the result of previous trading operations do not guarantee the same results in the future

USDRUB, “US Dollar vs Russian Ruble”

USDRUB has finished the descending wave at 73.45. Today, the pair may start another growth towards 73.88 and then resume trading downwards to break 73.00. After that, the instrument may continue falling with the short-term target at 72.66.

USDRUB
Risk Warning: the result of previous trading operations do not guarantee the same results in the future

USDJPY, “US Dollar vs Japanese Yen”

After rebounding from 110.25, USDJPY is forming a new descending structure towards 109.40. Later, the market may start a new correction with the target at 110.20.

USDJPY
Risk Warning: the result of previous trading operations do not guarantee the same results in the future

USDCHF, “US Dollar vs Swiss Franc”

After completing the descending wave at 0.9105 and forming a new consolidation range around this level, USDCHF has broken it to the downside. Today, the pair may extend the correction down to 0.9044.

USDCHF
Risk Warning: the result of previous trading operations do not guarantee the same results in the future

AUDUSD, “Australian Dollar vs US Dollar”

AUDUSD is still consolidating below 0.7388. Possibly, the pair may break the range to the upside and grow towards 0.7510. Later, the market may return to 0.7380 to test it from above and then resume trading upwards with the target at 0.7542.

AUDUSD
Risk Warning: the result of previous trading operations do not guarantee the same results in the future

BRENT

Brent is trading to break the upside border of the range. Possibly, the asset may continue growing to reach 77.00 and then start a new correction towards 73.00. After that, the instrument may form one more ascending structure with the target at 81.00.

BRENT
Risk Warning: the result of previous trading operations do not guarantee the same results in the future

XAUUSD, “Gold vs US Dollar”

After breaking 1810.00, Gold is expected to continue the correction up to 1825.95. Later, the market may fall to test 1810.00 from above and then start another growth with the target at 1828.88.

GOLD
Risk Warning: the result of previous trading operations do not guarantee the same results in the future

S&P 500

The S&P index is still consolidating above 4377.0 without any particular direction. If later the price breaks this range to the downside, the market may form a new descending structure towards 4331.4; if to the upside – resume growing to complete the ascending wave at 4430.0 and then start a new decline with the first target at 4232.2.

S&P 500

Article By RoboForex.com

Attention!
Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex LP bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews.

XAGUSD Has Actionary Wave Y Ended?

By Orbex

The current XAGUSD formation hints at a large triple zigzag structure. This is where the bearish actionary wave y is in formation.

The wave y has the internal structure of a triple Ⓦ-Ⓧ-Ⓨ-Ⓧ-Ⓩ zigzag which has ended.

In the near future, the market could rise, then the intervening wave x of a cycle degree will begin. The price in this wave can update the previous maximum at the level of 28.80.

XAGUSD

However, there is a possibility that the market will continue to move in a downward direction. In this case, the formation of wave y will continue.

With the final intermediate wave (Z), only the bearish minor impulse A has been completed. In the near future, the price could rise slightly in correction wave B and then go down again in the final impulse C, as shown on the chart.

The target of 23.38, where the market will go, is determined using the Fibonacci extension. At that level, wave (Z) will be at 123.6% of wave (Y).

By Orbex

Intraday Market Analysis – USD Struggles To Find Bids

By Orbex

EURUSD attempts reversal

EURUSD

The US dollar tumbled after Fed Chairman Jerome Powell said it is nowhere near a rate hike.

The RSI divergence was a giveaway that the sellers may have taken their feet off the pedals. The break above 1.1820 suggests that buyers were trying to get back into the game.

As the pair grinds its way up, a close above 1.1850 may foreshadow a U-turn in the coming days, prompting sellers to cover.

1.1880 could be the last hurdle and its clearance may trigger a runaway rally. 1.1770 is a fresh support in case of a pullback.

CADJPY tests psychological level

CADJPY

The Canadian dollar inched higher after a better-than-expected CPI in June.

The bulls are looking to extend the rebound from 85.50, a major support on the daily chart, in order to resume the fifteen-month long uptrend.

The break above the support-turned-resistance of 87.60 has put the bears under pressure. The psychological level of 88.00 has so far capped the loonie’s advance.

However, an oversold RSI may help gather more buying interest. 86.60 is the immediate support if the consolidation drags on.

NAS 100 recoups losses

NAS100

The Nasdaq 100 recovers from profit-takings as investors continue to digest Q2 earnings.

The technical pullback has found bids on the 20-day moving average (14800). Buyers were quick to see the oversold RSI as a bargain indicator.

The bullish mood remains intact as long as the price is above the previous demand zone near 14550 from the daily chart.

Consolidation may run its course for a few more hours as short-term bulls rebuild their stakes. Those armed with patience may wait for a clean break above the peak at 15140.

By Orbex

The Analytical Overview of the Main Currency Pairs on 2021.07.29

by JustForex

The EUR/USD currency pair

Technical indicators of the currency pair:
  • Prev Open: 1.1816
  • Prev Close: 1.1842
  • % chg. over the last day: +0.22%

Against the background of the news from the Fed, the dollar index fell sharply, which caused strong movements on currency pairs with the US dollar. The European currency, which moves inversely to the dollar index, sharply strengthened and increased by 0.22%, but, during the news release, there was a false movement down.

Trading recommendations
  • Support levels: 1.1834, 1.1783, 1.1761, 1.1746, 1.1609
  • Resistance levels: 1.1879, 1.1934, 1.1969

From the technical point of view, the general trend is still bearish, but the local trend is bullish, and the price is moving to the priority change level. Now the price is trading above the moving average, the MACD indicator is in the positive zone with no signs of divergence. Under such market conditions, it is better for traders to consider intraday trading. Buy positions should be considered only from the support levels. Traders should look for sell deals at the resistance levels.

Alternative scenario: if the price breaks through the 1.1879 resistance level and fixes above, the general uptrend is likely to be resumed.

EUR/USD
News feed for 2021.07.29:
  • – Germany Unemployment Rate (m/m) at 10:55 (GMT+3);
  • – Germany Consumer Price Index (m/m) at 15:00 (GMT+3);
  • – US Initial Jobless Claims at 15:30 (GMT+3);
  • – US GDP (q/q) at 15:30 (GMT+3);
  • – US Pending Home Sales (m/m) at 17:00 (GMT+3).

The GBP/USD currency pair

Technical indicators of the currency pair:
  • Prev Open: 1.3879
  • Prev Close: 1.3899
  • % chg. over the last day: +0.14%

Against the background of the fall of the dollar index, the British pound increased by another 0.14%. The food supply situation in Britain is getting better. Starting next week, England is opening its borders to vaccinated tourists from the EU and US without quarantine, which is a long-awaited stimulus for travel companies and airlines.

Trading recommendations
  • Support levels: 1.3900, 1.3825, 1.3772, 1.3714, 1.3676 ,1.3641, 1.3614, 1.3525
  • Resistance levels: 1.3947, 1.4002, 1.4075, 1.4101

The trend on the GBP/USD currency pair is bullish on the H1 timeframe. The MACD indicator is in the positive zone but with signs of divergence. Under such market conditions, traders are better to look for buy positions after the price pulls back to the support level. There are no optimal points for sell positions right now. Traders can search for intraday sales from the resistance level with short targets, but they should understand that it will be trading against the main trend.

Alternative scenario: if the price breaks through the 1.3714 support level and consolidates below, the bearish scenario is likely to resume.

GBP/USD
There is no news feed for today.

The USD/JPY currency pair

Technical indicators of the currency pair:
  • Prev Open: 109.74
  • Prev Close: 109.91
  • % chg. over the last day: +0.15%

After a significant strengthening of the Japanese yen (fall in the USD/JPY quotes) on Tuesday, the USD/JPY currency pair increased by 0.15% yesterday. The price failed to break through the priority change level, where the buyers managed to defend their positions. But against the background of the dollar index decline, the probability of the breakdown of the 109.62 support level is quite high.

Trading recommendations
  • Support levels: 109.62, 109.19, 108.65
  • Resistance levels: 110.16, 110.41, 110.73, 111.06, 111.48, 110.73, 112.18

The main trend on the USD/JPY currency pair is upward, but the local trend is bearish, so traders should look for sell positions from the resistance levels. Buy positions should be searched only on intraday timeframes and with short targets because the pressure of buyers is clearly stronger now.

Alternative scenario: if the price falls below 109.70, the downtrend is likely to be resumed.

USD/JPY
There is no news feed for today.

The USD/CAD currency pair

Technical indicators of the currency pair:
  • Prev Open: 1.2601
  • Prev Close: 1.2521
  • % chg. over the last day: -0.64%

The inflation rate in Canada slowed down, reaching 3.1% (the previous value was 3.6%) in June in annual terms. Excluding gasoline prices, the annual inflation rate is 2.2%. Considering this news and a slight increase in oil prices, the Canadian dollar has strengthened significantly against the US dollar.

Trading recommendations
  • Support levels: 1.2495, 1.2448, 1.2404, 1.2347, 1.2312
  • Resistance levels: 1.2531, 1.2602, 1.2671, 1.2787, 1,2951

The price has broken through the priority change level. The medium-term trend has changed to a downtrend. The MACD indicator has gone into the negative zone with no signs of reversal. Under such market conditions, it is best for the trader to look for sell positions from the resistance levels. There is no optimal entry point for buy positions now.

Alternative scenario: if the price breaks through the 1.2671 resistance level and fixes above, the uptrend is likely to be resumed.

USD/CAD
There is no news feed for today.

by JustForex

 

This article reflects a personal opinion and should not be interpreted as an investment advice, and/or offer, and/or a persistent request for carrying out financial transactions, and/or a guarantee, and/or a forecast of future events.

Cautious Fed hurting the buck

By Lukman Otunuga Senior Research Analyst, ForexTime

The Fed meeting overnight has seen more selling in the greenback this morning as their statement signalled that a slightly more hawkish message was largely priced in. The reaction of markets the morning after a major risk event is often telling. So, the fact that the greenback is still offered perhaps points to a more restrained Fed going forward.

FOMC wait-and-see mode remains

Chair Powell and his fellow policymakers acknowledged that economic activity indicators have continued to strengthen and the economy has made progress towards its goals of price stability and maximum employment. But especially on employment, there is still some way to go for the recovery to be substantial enough to start tapering asset purchases. Inflation is still seen as transitory but is not broadly based and Chair Powell specified that one-off price rises, even if they are not reversed, are no sustained inflation.

Many in the markets are touting the Jackson Hole symposium at the end of next month as the big date for more taper detail. But, with only one NFP jobs report next week to be released before then, is that enough information for the Fed to shift their bias? There are then three FOMC meetings left in the year in September, November and December.

China sooths equity jitters

Equities finished mixed in the US with tech outperforming. Facebook beat earnings expectations but warned of a significant growth slowdown and the stock fell as much as 5% in extended trading. European bourses have started the morning in the green after China took steps to calm recent investor fears which helped the Hong Kong market gain over 3%.

Gold enjoying dollar woes

With the hawks disappointed after the FOMC meeting, dollar selling is helping to push gold out of its recent range. The bullish break is now within touching distance of the widely watched 200-day moving average at $1,822. A strong close above here should see the July highs at $1,829/34 come into view fairly quickly. Solid support sits at $1,789.

Disclaimer: The content in this article comprises personal opinions and should not be construed as containing personal and/or other investment advice and/or an offer of and/or solicitation for any transactions in financial instruments and/or a guarantee and/or prediction of future performance. ForexTime (FXTM), its affiliates, agents, directors, officers or employees do not guarantee the accuracy, validity, timeliness or completeness, of any information or data made available and assume no liability as to any loss arising from any investment based on the same.


Forex-Time-LogoArticle by ForexTime

ForexTime Ltd (FXTM) is an award winning international online forex broker regulated by CySEC 185/12 www.forextime.com

Fibonacci Retracements Analysis 28.07.2021 (GBPUSD, EURJPY)

Article By RoboForex.com

GBPUSD, “Great Britain Pound vs US Dollar”

As we can see in the H4 chart, the ascending correction continues. After breaking 38.2% fibo, GBPUSD is heading towards 50.0% fibo. However, it’s too early to expect the asset to reach the high at 1.4250. most likely, this correction will soon be replaced by a new descending wave with the short-term target at the low at 1.3572, a breakout of which may lead to a further downtrend towards the mid-term 50.0% fibo at 1.3463.

GBPUSD_H4
Risk Warning: the result of previous trading operations do not guarantee the same results in the future

The H1 chart shows a more detailed structure of the current correctional uptrend, which is approaching 50.0% at 1.3911 and break it to reach 61.8% fibo at 1.3990. At the same time, there is divergence on MACD, which may indicate that the price is about to complete its short-term correction and resume falling towards the low.

GBPUSD_H1
Risk Warning: the result of previous trading operations do not guarantee the same results in the future

EURJPY, “Euro vs. Japanese Yen”

In the H4 chart, EURJPY has stopped its correctional uptrend and is currently trying to form a new descending structure to reach 50.0% and 61.8% fibo at 127.87 and 126.87 respectively. However, one shouldn’t expect the asset to extend the correction until it breaks the low. The key resistance is the high at 134.12.

EURJPY_H4
Risk Warning: the result of previous trading operations do not guarantee the same results in the future

As we can see in the H1 chart, divergence on MACD made the asset finish the correctional uptrend at 38.2% fibo. In this case, the pair may start a new descending wave to reach the low at 128.60. If later the instrument rebounds from the low, it may resume trading upwards to reach 50.0% and 61.8% fibo at 130.65 and 131.13 respectively.

EURJPY_H1

Article By RoboForex.com

Attention!
Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex LP bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews.