Archive for Forex and Currency News – Page 226

The Yen dropped pretty much. Overview for 08.09.2021

Article By RoboForex.com

USDJPY has been growing for the second trading session in a row; the “greenback” is sitting pretty.

The Japanese Yen didn’t pay attention to the statistics when trading against the USD and focused on some other impulse. The current quote for the instrument is 110.25.

Today morning, Japan published the final GDP estimate for the second quarter of 2021, which showed 0.5% q/q against the previous estimate of 0.3% q/q. That’s good news. The components of the report showed that the Private Consumption and Fixed Investment were 0.9% and 2.3% q/q against the expected readings of 0.8% and 1.7% q/q respectively.

On YoY, the Japanese economy added 7.6% in the second quarter. However, let’s not forget about the low-base effect in 2020.

It’s quite interesting that the Export added 2.8% q/q, while the Import expanded by 5.0% q/q. the readings are good and show a stable Japanese consumption – calm, consistent, without a fuss.

There are certain risks for the third quarter due to the coronavirus outbreak and spread of the delta strain but the statistics are yet to show them later.

The Japanese economy is recovering not as fast as other advanced countries due to the problems with the vaccination campaign, which is rather slow, breakdowns in the private sector, and continuous lockdowns.

The Yen didn’t pay much attention to the GDP statistics – the key driver for USDJPY right now is the “greenback”, which is getting stronger thanks to a technical impulse.

Article By RoboForex.com

Attention!
Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex LP bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews.

The Euro is actively retreating. Overview for 08.09.2021

Article By RoboForex.com

EURUSD is being sold; investors do not resist.

The major currency pair has been falling for the third consecutive trading session. The current quote for the pair is 1.1819.

Yesterday’s statistics turned out to be rather mixed and while investors were thinking what to base on, there appeared a technical signal and then major currency pair went down.

The ZEW Economic Sentiment in the Euro Area plummeted to 31.1 points in September after being 42.7 points in August and against the expected decline to 35.3 points.

On the other hand, another estimate of the European GDP was pretty good as the indicator added 2.2% q/q in the second quarter against the previous estimate of 2.0% q/q.

Investors’ attention is now slowly switching to the meeting of the European Central Bank scheduled for Thursday. They actually started questioning the regulator’s intentions to keep its soft monetary policy in the region. This was pretty obvious after inflation in the Euro Area jumped again. Among other things, aggressively disposed policymakers continue raising concerns about excessive stimulation, thus putting pressure on global sentiment.

The Euro badly needs to hear that the ECB is considering reducing its stimulus programs. It may prevent the European currency from falling and help it reach stability.

Article By RoboForex.com

Attention!
Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex LP bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews.

The Analytical Overview of the Main Currency Pairs on 2021.09.08

by JustForex

The EUR/USD currency pair

Technical indicators of the currency pair:
  • Prev Open: 1.1867
  • Prev Close: 1.1842
  • % chg. over the last day: -0.21%

The Germany ZEW Economic Sentiment decreased to 26.5 from 40.4. ZEW Economic Sentiment for the Eurozone is also negative – 31.1 (previous – 42.7). All this suggests that the pace of economic recovery in Europe is slowing down. Investors shouldn’t also forget about the high inflation rate, so a lot will depend on the ECB meeting tomorrow.

Trading recommendations
  • Support levels: 1.1816, 1.1799, 1.1759, 1.1704, 1.1620
  • Resistance levels: 1.1854, 1.1894, 1.1934, 1.1969

From a technical point of view, the general trend of the EUR/USD currency pair is bullish, but there is also a corrective downward movement observed on the hourly time frame. The MACD indicator became negative. Under such market conditions, it is better to look for sell trades from the resistance levels, where sellers show initiative. Buy trades can be considered from the support levels near the moving average.

Alternative scenario: if the price breaks through the 1.1704 support level and fixes below, the mid-term uptrend will likely be broken.

EUR/USD
News feed for 2021.09.08:
  • – US JOLTs Job Openings (m/m) at 17:00 (GMT+3);
  • – US FOMC Member Williams’s Speech at 20:10 (GMT+3).

The GBP/USD currency pair

Technical indicators of the currency pair:
  • Prev Open: 1.3827
  • Prev Close: 1.3782
  • % chg. over the last day: -0.32%

The UK government plans to increase the National Insurance Tax to pay for social and health care services. A growing number of business groups and analytical centers oppose this decision since, due to labor shortages, such a move threatens to ruin the possibilities for economic recovery.

Trading recommendations
  • Support levels: 1.3741, 1.3692, 1.3632, 1.3614, 1.3525
  • Resistance levels: 1.3793, 1.3886, 1.3935, 1.4002

On the hourly time frame, the GBP/USD trend is bullish, but the beginning of a corrective downward movement is observed. The MACD indicator became negative. Under such market conditions, it is better to look for buy trades from the support levels. Sell positions can only be considered with short targets from the resistance levels, where sellers show initiative throughout the day.

Alternative scenario: if the price breaks through the 1.3692 support level and consolidates below, the bearish scenario will likely resume.

GBP/USD
News feed for 2021.09.08:
  • – UK Inflation Report Hearings at 18:00 (GMT+3).

The USD/JPY currency pair

Technical indicators of the currency pair:
  • Prev Open: 109.82
  • Prev Close: 110.28
  • % chg. over the last day: +0.42%

The USD/JPY currency pair is highly dependent on the dynamics of the dollar index now. The dollar index strengthened yesterday, which led to an increase in the USD/JPY quotes. Japan’s GDP increased by 1.9% in annual terms thanks to solid capital spending and high production volumes, which compensated for weak activity in the service sector.

Trading recommendations
  • Support levels: 110.26, 110.11, 109.88, 109.43, 109.19, 108.65
  • Resistance levels: 110.66, 110.95, 111.48

The main trend of the USD/JPY currency pair is bullish. The price is now trading in a wide corridor and broke through an important resistance level. The MACD indicator has become positive. Under such market conditions, traders should look for buy trades from the support level, where buyers show initiative. Sell positions should be considered from the positions where sellers show initiative on the lower time frames.

Alternative scenario: if the price falls below 109.43, the uptrend is likely to be broken.

USD/JPY
News feed for 2021.09.08:
  • – Japan GDP (q/q) at 02:50 (GMT+3).

The USD/CAD currency pair

Technical indicators of the currency pair:
  • Prev Open: 1.2529
  • Prev Close: 1.2645
  • % chg. over the last day: +0.92%

The Canadian dollar is a commodity currency, so the USD/CAD currency pair is highly dependent on the dynamics of the dollar index and oil prices. Yesterday, the dollar index strengthened while oil prices remained at the same level. As a result, the USD/CAD currency pair has significantly strengthened. Today, a lot of macro statistical data are expected to be released in Canada, including an interest rate decision and an accompanying monetary policy statement from the Bank of Canada.

Trading recommendations
  • Support levels: 1.2583, 1.2518, 1.2425
  • Resistance levels: 1.2656, 1.2713, 1.2812, 1.2891, 1.2951

In terms of technical analysis, the trend on the USD/CAD currency pair is bearish. But the price is now in a local correctional upward movement. It is better to consider sell positions from the resistance levels, where sellers show initiative. Buy positions can be considered with short targets from the support levels, where buyers show initiative.

Alternative scenario: if the price breaks through the 1.2812 resistance level and fixes above, the uptrend will likely resume.

USD/CAD
News feed for 2021.09.08:
  • – Canada BoC Interest Rate Decision (m/m) at 17:00 (GMT+3);
  • – Canada BOC Press Conference at 17:00 (GMT+3);
  • – Canada Ivey PMI (m/m) at 17:00 (GMT+3).

by JustForex

 

This article reflects a personal opinion and should not be interpreted as an investment advice, and/or offer, and/or a persistent request for carrying out financial transactions, and/or a guarantee, and/or a forecast of future events.

World indices are declining due to worries about a slowdown in economic recovery

by JustForex

The US stock market closed in different directions yesterday. Industrials, utilities, and real estate sectors showed negative dynamics. At the close of the stock market, Dow Jones decreased by 0.76%, S&P 500 lost 0.34%, but NASDAQ added 0.07%. Walt Disney Company (+1.85%) was the biggest gainer among the components of the Dow Jones index. Moderna shares jumped by 4.72%. Apple increased to a historic high (+1.55%). In the US, unemployment payments will end soon, which could have a significant impact on economic growth. Also, it should be noted that President Biden plans to raise corporate taxes, which will mean a drop in corporate profits. Many economists are inclined to believe that the Federal Reserve will begin cutting the QE program in November. All this consists in the “perfect storm”, which will eventually lead to a drop in major stock indices.

European stock indices closed in the red zone yesterday. The Stoxx Europe 600 composite index of the region’s largest companies decreased by 0.5%. The British FTSE 100 lost 0.5%, French CAC 40 decreased by 0.3%, German DAX decreased by 0.6%, Italian FTSE MIB lost 0.7%. The exception was the Spanish IBEX 35, which added 0.1%. Indexes of economic sentiment in European countries are declining, which indicates a slowdown in the economic recovery in the region. The UK government plans to increase the National Insurance Tax to pay for social and health care services. A growing number of business groups and analytical centers oppose this decision since due to labor shortages, such a move threatens to further undermine the prospects for economic recovery.

The situation in the oil market remains uncertain. On the one hand, the sharp decrease of Saudi Arabia’s selling prices for Asia and some European countries caused fears of a demand slowdown. On the other hand, good economic data from China and production disruptions in the US limit the decline. Analysts’ houses are still forecasting a rise in prices to $80 per barrel by the end of the year.

Gold prices dropped sharply yesterday amid a rise in the dollar index (+0.55%) and rising US Treasury yields (+1.39%). Gold prices are inversely correlated with these indicators. Pressure on prices is also triggered by concerns about the soonest reduction of the QE program, which will undoubtedly lead to a decline in precious metals prices.

China plans to open a new Beijing Stock Exchange. It was announced by the country’s leader Xi Jinping. He said that because of the reduction of opportunities for listing on American exchanges, Beijing will refocus on domestic opportunities, which will allow direct investment in promising technological companies. The news boosted shares of Chinese brokerage companies, but shares of companies on competitive exchanges declined. Many investors now fear that competition for the listing companies is inevitable.

Revised Japanese GDP growth data boosted the Nikkei index at the opening of trading on Wednesday. Most other indices opened lower. Australia’s main index ASX 200 decreased by 0.32%, China’s CSI300 blue-chip index decreased by 0.04% and Hong Kong’s Hang Seng index added 0.12%.

Main market quotes:

S&P 500 (F) 4,520.03 −15.40 (−0.34%)

Dow Jones 35,100.00 −269.09 (−0.76%)

DAX 15,843.09 −89.03 (−0.56%)

FTSE 100 7,149.37 −37.81 (−0.53%)

USD Index 92.55 +0.51 (+0.55%)

Important events for today:
  • – Japan GDP (q/q) at 02:50 (GMT+3);
  • – Canada BoC Interest Rate Decision (m/m) at 17:00 (GMT+3);
  • – Canada BOC Press Conference at 17:00 (GMT+3);
  • – Canada Ivey PMI (m/m) at 17:00 (GMT+3);
  • – US JOLTs Job Openings (m/m) at 17:00 (GMT+3);
  • – UK Inflation Report Hearings at 18:00 (GMT+3);
  • – US FOMC Member Williams’s Speech at 20:10 (GMT+3).

by JustForex

 

This article reflects a personal opinion and should not be interpreted as an investment advice, and/or offer, and/or a persistent request for carrying out financial transactions, and/or a guarantee, and/or a forecast of future events.

Intraday Market Analysis – AUD Shows Overextension

By Orbex

AUDUSD seeks support

AUDUSD

The Australian dollar turned south after the RBA signaled an extension of its QE program.

The pair’s rapid rise above the daily resistance (0.7400) has pushed sellers to the exit. However, the RSI’s repeated tops in the overbought zone have taken a toll on the momentum. A steady pullback is necessary to let the bulls consolidate their gains.

The former supply zone around 0.7360 has turned into support. An oversold RSI may attract buying interest. 0.7500 would be the next target in case of a rebound.

USDJPY tests resistance

USDJPY

The Japanese yen inched higher after an upbeat GDP in Q2. The pair is trading in a narrowing range, a sign of the market’s indecision before a major breakout.

From the daily chart’s perspective, the bullish bias still prevails.

Buyers have bid up from 109.10 and 109.55 is the latest support. A rally above the psychological level of 110.00 is pushing to the key resistance at 110.50.

A bullish breakout would cement the optimism. A fall below said support would shake out short-term buyers and send the pair to revisit 109.10.

EURGBP aims at July’s high

EURGBP

The single currency surges as the eurozone’s Q2 growth beats expectations.

After a short-lived consolidation, the break above 0.8610 has put the rally back on track. Strong momentum is an indication that sellers have rushed to cover their positions.

The coast is now clear to July’s high at 0.8660. However, the initial impulse has run into exhaustion as the RSI showed an overbought situation.

A limited retracement would let the bulls catch their breath. A rebound from 0.8575 would attract momentum traders.


Orbex-LogoArticle by Orbex

Orbex is a fully licensed broker that was established in 2011. Founded with a mission to serve its traders responsibly and provides traders with access to the world’s largest and most liquid financial markets. www.orbex.com

The Australian Dollar dropped. Overview for 07.09.2021

Article By RoboForex.com

AUDUSD was quite emotional in its response to the RBA’s comments.

The Aussie dropped pretty much against the USD on Tuesday. The current quote for the instrument is 0.7411.

During its September meeting, the Reserve Bank of Australia decided to keep the benchmark interest rate intact at its all-time low of 0.10%. This decision was expected, so market players were not surprised.

At the same time, in the comments, the RBA confirmed its intentions to reduce the global QE program because it was expecting a quicker economic recovery in the near future. According to the regulator, the main reason for that is the vaccination campaign effect.

As we mentioned above, the RBA is planning to decrease the weekly QE volume from A$5B to A$4B. Another decision implies that the program will continue the stimulus program until mid-February 2022. Market players immediately forgot everything that was said before and perceived the last announcement as “rather soft”.

Investors did have such expectations: they really thought that the RBA might postpone the reduction of the QE program until better days because of lockdowns in Sidney, Melbourne, and other big cities in Australia. However, the regulator said that the outbreak of the delta strain would postpone the economic recovery but not sabotage it.

Article By RoboForex.com

Attention!
Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex LP bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews.

The Euro requires support. Overview for 07.09.2021

Article By RoboForex.com

EURUSD is keeping balance; investors are saving strengths in anticipation of the news.

The major currency pair is stable on Tuesday – there is no important news, so market players are rather bored. The current quote for the instrument is 1.1876.

The statistics published yesterday neither inspired investors nor made them disappointed. The Sentix Investor Confidence in the Euro Area showed 19.6 points in September after being 22.2 points in the previous month and against the expected reading of 18.3 points. Considering that the final estimate turned out to the better than expected, one can say that the report was rather neutral.

In the afternoon, the Euro Area and Germany are scheduled to report on the ZEW Economic Sentiment in September. If the data is close to the August value, the European currency may get short-term support.

In addition to that, the Euro Area will publish one more estimate of its GDP for the second quarter of 2021. The first estimate showed 2.0% q/q but the second one is not expected to offer any surprises.

The USA is not on today’s economic calendar as the country is celebrating Labour day, so no statistics are expected from there. The major currency pair may continue being rather neutral until Thursday when the European Central Bank is going to have another session.

Article By RoboForex.com

Attention!
Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex LP bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews.

GBPUSD Upside Looks Corrective

By Orbex

GBPUSD seems to be forming a triple zigzag consisting of primary sub-waves Ⓦ-Ⓧ-Ⓨ-Ⓧ-Ⓩ.

As we are in the final leg of the combination, that is in the sub-wave Ⓩ, we can expect a double zigzag (W)-(X)-(Y) to complete the pattern.

Following a decline in minor wave X as a double zigzag, analysts anticipate Y to lead prices higher.

In the medium term, the market could continue to move up near 1.4278. At that level, intermediate wave (Y) will be at 123.6% of wave (W).

GBPUSD

An alternative scenario suggests that wave Ⓧ has not completed its course yet.

It could take the form of a double zigzag (W)-(X)-(Y). For its full completion, an actionary sub-wave (Y) will be required, which is likely to be a double zigzag W-X-Y.

In the near future, the W-X-Y sub-waves may develop towards 1.3442. At that level, wave Ⓧ will be at 76.4% of wave Ⓨ.


Orbex-LogoArticle by Orbex

Orbex is a fully licensed broker that was established in 2011. Founded with a mission to serve its traders responsibly and provides traders with access to the world’s largest and most liquid financial markets. www.orbex.com

Intraday Market Analysis – USD Struggles For Momentum

By Orbex

USDCHF awaits breakout

USDCHF

The US dollar recovers thanks to firm US Treasury yields at the start of the week.

The pair is still stuck in a horizontal consolidation between 0.9100 and 0.9190. Sentiment has leaned to the upside after a break above the resistance at 0.9230.

A near oversold RSI around the lower band may trigger some buying interests. A close above 0.9190 may lead to a test of July’s high at 0.9270. A drop below the lower band would send the price to the daily support at 0.9020, putting the rebound at risk in the process.

NZDUSD shows overextension

NZDUSD

The New Zealand dollar consolidates recent gains as the country lifts its lockdown this week.

The rally has accelerated after it cleared another resistance at 0.7150. 0.7210 is the next hurdle and a bullish breakout would push the kiwi to the major resistance at 0.7300 on the daily chart.

But before that, the RSI’s bearish divergence may cast a doubt on the sustainability of the vertical ascent. 0.7100 would be the first support in case of a pullback. Further down, the former resistance at 0.7030 is a key demand zone.

UK 100 tests major hurdle

UK100

The FTSE 100 rises as moderate global growth boosts hopes of continued monetary stimulus.

The index has bounced off the demand area around 7125 which lies on the 30-day moving average. This is an indication that the bulls are still in control.

7210 is the main hurdle from the August sell-off and its breach could put the rally back on track. Then 7300 would be the next target. Though an overbought RSI may temporarily hold the bullish bias back.

On the downside, 7075 would be another support if the sideways action lingers on.


Orbex-LogoArticle by Orbex

Orbex is a fully licensed broker that was established in 2011. Founded with a mission to serve its traders responsibly and provides traders with access to the world’s largest and most liquid financial markets. www.orbex.com

The Analytical Overview of the Main Currency Pairs on 2021.09.07

by JustForex

The EUR/USD currency pair

Technical indicators of the currency pair:
  • Prev Open: 1.1876
  • Prev Close: 1.1869
  • % chg. over the last day: -0.06%

Rail traffic in Germany has been limited for the fifth day because of a protest by train drivers: Deutsche Bahn was able to provide only 30% of its long-distance and 40% of its regional trains on Monday. This is the third protest this year, and the parties can’t find a compromise. Also, today the ZEW Institute will publish an index of economic sentiment in Europe.

Trading recommendations
  • Support levels: 1.1854, 1.1816, 1.1799, 1.1759, 1.1704, 1.1620
  • Resistance levels: 1.1894, 1.1934, 1.1969

From a technical point of view, the general trend of the EUR/USD currency pair is bullish. The price broke through the priority change level and consolidated above. The MACD indicator is still signaling a divergence in the opposite direction. The price has deviated from the moving average; given the divergence, there is an increasing probability of a corrective downward movement. Under such market conditions, it is better to look for sell trades from the resistance levels, where sellers show initiative. Buy trades can be considered only after a pullback to the support levels near the moving average.

Alternative scenario: if the price breaks through the 1.1704 support level and fixes below, the mid-term uptrend will likely be broken.

EUR/USD
News feed for 2021.09.07:
  • – Germany ZEW Economic Sentiment (m/m) at 12:00 (GMT+3);
  • – Eurozone ZEW Economic Sentiment (m/m) at 12:00 (GMT+3).

The GBP/USD currency pair

Technical indicators of the currency pair:
  • Prev Open: 1.3854
  • Prev Close: 1.3834
  • % chg. over the last day: -0.14%

In the UK there is a decline in car sales and a slowdown in construction. Labor shortages and interruptions in the supply chain, especially semiconductor products, are the main cause of the decline. The labor crisis could last up to two years, a leading British business lobby group warned, urging ministers to take action on visas for foreign workers.

Trading recommendations
  • Support levels: 1.3793, 1.3741, 1.3692, 1.3632, 1.3614, 1.3525
  • Resistance levels: 1.3886, 1.3935, 1.4002

On the hourly time frame, the GBP/USD trend is bullish. The price broke through the priority change level on the impulsive movement and consolidated higher. The MACD indicator is in the positive zone, and there are the first signs of divergence on higher time frames. Under such market conditions, it is better to look for buy trades from the support levels. Sell positions can only be considered throughout the day with short targets from the resistance levels, where sellers show initiative.

Alternative scenario: if the price breaks through the 1.3692 support level and consolidates below, the bearish scenario will likely resume.

GBP/USD
There is no news feed for today.

The USD/JPY currency pair

Technical indicators of the currency pair:
  • Prev Open: 109.69
  • Prev Close: 109.82
  • % chg. over the last day: +0.11%

The USD/JPY currency pair is highly dependent on the dynamics of the dollar index now. The dollar index slightly strengthened during the European session yesterday, which led to an increase in USD/JPY. Starting from December, Japan will start to issue digital certificates of vaccination against COVID-19. As of September 3, approximately 58% of the Japanese population had received at least one dose of the COVID-19 vaccine, while approximately 47.1% had already been fully vaccinated. But the Household Spending Report showed that spending decreased by 0.9% (the decrease has been observed for the third month in a row.)

Trading recommendations
  • Support levels: 109.43, 109.19, 108.65
  • Resistance levels: 109.88, 110.11, 110.34, 110.66, 110.95, 111.48

The main trend of the USD/JPY currency pair is bullish. Now the price is trading in a wide corridor, but there are signs of sellers’ pressure. The MACD indicator has become inactive. Under such market conditions, traders should look for buy trades from the support level, where buyers show initiative. Sell positions should be considered only on the lower time frames from the positions where sellers show initiative.

Alternative scenario: if the price falls below 109.43, the uptrend is likely to be broken.

USD/JPY
There is no news feed for today.

The USD/CAD currency pair

Technical indicators of the currency pair:
  • Prev Open: 1.2518
  • Prev Close: 1.2528
  • % chg. over the last day: +0.08%

The Canadian dollar is a commodity currency, so the USD/CAD currency pair is highly dependent on the dynamics of the dollar index and oil prices. Yesterday, the USD index strengthened a bit, while oil prices decreased amid the negative news from Saudi Aramco. As a result, the USD/CAD currency pair strengthened slightly during the European session yesterday.

Trading recommendations
  • Support levels: 1.2518, 1.2425
  • Resistance levels: 1.2583, 1.2656, 1.2713, 1.2812, 1.2891, 1.2951

In terms of technical analysis, the trend on the USD/CAD currency pair has changed to bearish. The price broke through the priority change level on the impulsive movement and consolidated below. It is better to consider sell positions from the resistance levels, where sellers show initiative. Buy positions can be considered from the support levels after additional confirmation in the form of buyers’ initiative.

Alternative scenario: if the price breaks through the 1.2812 resistance level and fixes above, the uptrend will likely resume.

USD/CAD
There is no news feed for today.

by JustForex

 

This article reflects a personal opinion and should not be interpreted as an investment advice, and/or offer, and/or a persistent request for carrying out financial transactions, and/or a guarantee, and/or a forecast of future events.