By RoboForex Analytical Department
EUR/USD dropped to 1.1110 on Tuesday, with the US dollar surging by over 1% in the previous trading session. The rally was driven by market reactions to news of a provisional agreement between China and the US to reduce tariffs, which helped alleviate global recession fears.
Key factors driving EUR/USD movement
Washington and Beijing have agreed to cut tariffs to 30% and 10%, respectively, for 90 days.
Meanwhile, US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent confirmed plans to meet with Chinese representatives again in the coming weeks to begin negotiations on a broader trade deal.
The tariff reductions boosted market sentiment towards the dollar, which had previously faced pressure over concerns that President Donald Trump’s trade policies were diminishing the appeal of US assets. However, market nervousness is likely to persist until the White House establishes stable trade terms with all key partners.
Free Reports:
Get our Weekly Commitment of Traders Reports - See where the biggest traders (Hedge Funds and Commercial Hedgers) are positioned in the futures markets on a weekly basis.
Sign Up for Our Stock Market Newsletter – Get updated on News, Charts & Rankings of Public Companies when you join our Stocks Newsletter
Attention now turns to the latest US inflation report, which may show how the new tariff policy affects prices.
Technical analysis: EUR/USD
On the H4 chart, EUR/USD broke below 1.1190, completing the third wave of decline towards 1.1065. Today, we anticipate a corrective wave retesting 1.1190 (from below). Once this correction concludes, a new downward wave towards 1.1040 is expected. This scenario is technically confirmed by the MACD indicator, with its signal line below zero and pointing decisively downward.
On the H1 chart, the market has achieved the local downside target at 1.1065. Today, a potential rebound to 1.1126 is in focus. If this level is breached upwards, a further correction towards 1.1190 may follow. Subsequently, the downward trend could resume, targeting 1.1040. This outlook is supported by the Stochastic oscillator, whose signal line is above 80 but poised to decline towards 20.
Conclusion
The US dollar’s resurgence reflects improved risk sentiment following the US-China tariff truce, though uncertainty lingers over long-term trade relations. Technically, EUR/USD remains under pressure, with further downside likely after a brief correction.
Disclaimer
Any forecasts contained herein are based on the author’s particular opinion. This analysis may not be treated as trading advice. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations and reviews contained herein.
- Natural gas prices are rising amid increasing electricity consumption Jul 1, 2026
- USD/JPY at 40-Year High: Multiple Factors Weigh on the Yen Jul 1, 2026
- Gold Declines: Fed Policy and Geopolitics Weigh Jun 30, 2026
- Oil prices have once again risen above 70 dollars per barrel. The Australian dollar has updated a three‑month low Jun 30, 2026
- EUR/USD: The Advantage Remains with the Dollar Jun 29, 2026
- Escalation of the US–Iran conflict is once again supporting the rise in oil prices Jun 29, 2026
- Oil prices fall back to pre‑war levels. Silver drops to a 7‑month low Jun 25, 2026
- Gold Falls to an Eight-Month Low: This May Not Be the Bottom Jun 25, 2026
- Stock indices came under heavy selling pressure amid growing skepticism about AI investments Jun 24, 2026
- The Pound Is Pressured Not by Politics, but by a Strong US Dollar Jun 24, 2026
