By RoboForex Analytical Department
The AUD/USD pair tested the 0.6860 mark on Tuesday, reaching its highest point in 2024, bolstered by supportive economic news from China. The People’s Bank of China (PBoC) announced stimulus measures to boost the Chinese economy. These measures positively influence the Australian dollar due to the close economic ties between Australia and China.
The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) is expected to maintain its interest rate, reflecting mixed sentiment among market participants regarding the future rate trajectory. According to a recent Reuters poll of 44 economists, only four anticipate a rate cut by year-end. However, investors assign a 60% probability of a rate reduction in December.
So far, the RBA has maintained a conservative stance regarding inflation and economic activity, believing that the economy can self-adjust without intervention. Nonetheless, the global trend towards rate cuts initiated by central banks, such as the Fed and the ECB, may influence the RBA’s perspective in the future.
AUD/USD technical analysis
Free Reports:
Download Our Metatrader 4 Indicators – Put Our Free MetaTrader 4 Custom Indicators on your charts when you join our Weekly Newsletter
Get our Weekly Commitment of Traders Reports - See where the biggest traders (Hedge Funds and Commercial Hedgers) are positioned in the futures markets on a weekly basis.
The AUD/USD has completed the fifth wave of growth, reaching a target of 0.6864. Currently, a potential initial wave of decline to 0.6740 is being considered. After reaching this level, a corrective move to 0.6803 could occur, marking the upper limits of a new consolidation range. A downward exit from this range might lead to further declines towards 0.6740, with a potential continuation down to 0.6677 and possibly extending to 0.6616. The MACD indicator, currently at its peak, suggests an impending decline, supporting this bearish outlook.
On the H1 chart, the AUD/USD is forming a downward structure targeting 0.6805. Subsequently, a narrow consolidation range may develop, with a potential downward breakout leading to further declines towards 0.6744. This scenario is corroborated by the Stochastic oscillator. Its signal line currently above 80 but poised to move downward sharply.
Disclaimer
Any forecasts contained herein are based on the author’s particular opinion. This analysis may not be treated as trading advice. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations and reviews contained herein.
- Strong corporate earnings boosted the indices. The ECB and the Bank of England left rates unchanged May 1, 2026
- WTI oil prices exceeded 107 dollars per barrel. Inflation expectations continue to rise. Apr 30, 2026
- RoboForex Expands CFD Offering with Cryptocurrency Instruments Apr 29, 2026
- WTI oil prices have consolidated at 100 dollars per barrel. Australia is experiencing a sharp inflation spike Apr 29, 2026
- EUR/USD Holds Steady Ahead of Fed Meeting, Focus on Middle East Outlook Apr 29, 2026
- European stock markets continue a prolonged decline. Oil prices continue to rise slowly Apr 28, 2026
- Yen Gains Support Following Bank of Japan Decision Apr 28, 2026
- Brent and WTI remain at extremely high levels, fueling global inflation Apr 27, 2026
- Gold Declines Amid Geopolitics, with Optimism Limited Apr 27, 2026
- COT Metals Charts: Copper leads Metals Speculator Bets Higher Apr 26, 2026
