By George Prior
The time-honoured 60/40 investment portfolio is not fit for purpose in today’s sky-high inflation environment, warns the CEO and founder of one of the world’s largest financial advisory, asset management and fintech organisations.
The stark warning from Nigel Green of deVere Group comes as UK inflation hits a 30-year high of 7%, U.S. inflation accelerates to 8.5% hitting a four-decade high, and Eurozone inflation soars to a record 7.5%, more than triple the ECB target.
He comments: “Around the world, inflation is sky high and it’s getting worse. It appears to be anything but ‘transitory,’ as many had been hoping even a couple of months ago.
“As it erodes the purchasing power of money, outstripping inflation is most investors’ primary goal.
“For about half a century, investors have been able to create, grow and protect their wealth using the 60/40 portfolio model. 60% stocks and 40% bonds were enough to hit both goals of capital appreciation and capital preservation.
Free Reports:
Get our Weekly Commitment of Traders Reports - See where the biggest traders (Hedge Funds and Commercial Hedgers) are positioned in the futures markets on a weekly basis.
Sign Up for Our Stock Market Newsletter – Get updated on News, Charts & Rankings of Public Companies when you join our Stocks Newsletter
“This is no longer the case.”
He continues: “Stock market valuations remain near historical, all-time highs, which is particularly of concern as the cost of capital is no longer free.
“Meanwhile, bonds, a major part of most portfolios for decades, offer neither yield nor an inflation hedge. Nowadays they don’t rally as they used to when stocks sell-off due to the low yields.
“Therefore, in this environment, the 60/40 investment portfolio model is dead; it is no longer fit for purpose.”
In order to achieve long-term portfolio growth, says Nigel Green, investors should keep some of their wealth in cash for everyday spending requirements, and a rainy day or emergency fund, and also consider increasing their exposure to significantly more diverse, and perhaps more volatile, investment opportunities.
A good fund manager will help investors seek out the opportunities and mitigate potential risks as and when they are presented to generate and build their wealth.
He concludes: “With valuations near all-time highs and yields at all-time lows, the time-honoured 60/40 portfolio is unlikely to outpace inflation nor offer considerable downside protection.
“Investors should review their portfolios sooner rather than later to ensure they remain on track to reach their long-term financial goals.”
About:
deVere Group is one of the world’s largest independent advisors of specialist global financial solutions to international, local mass affluent, and high-net-worth clients. It has a network of more than 70 offices across the world, over 80,000 clients and $12bn under advisement.
- Oil and gas prices are rising on the back of another decline in inventories. Dec 30, 2024
- The RBA may go for a rate cut in February. New Zealand dollar is falling amid recession in the economy and RBNZ’s dovish stance Dec 27, 2024
- Flashpoint Friday: Bitcoin and Yen traders brace for Dec. 27 volatility Dec 26, 2024
- Canadian dollar declines after weak GDP data. Qatar threatens EU to halt natural gas exports Dec 24, 2024
- Goldman Sachs has updated its economic projections for 2025. EU countries are looking for alternative sources of natural gas Dec 23, 2024
- COT Bonds Charts: Speculator Bets led by SOFR 3-Months & 10-Year Bonds Dec 21, 2024
- COT Metals Charts: Speculator Bets led lower by Gold, Copper & Palladium Dec 21, 2024
- COT Soft Commodities Charts: Speculator Bets led by Live Cattle, Lean Hogs & Coffee Dec 21, 2024
- COT Stock Market Charts: Speculator Bets led by S&P500 & Russell-2000 Dec 21, 2024
- Riksbank and Banxico cut interest rates by 0.25%. BoE, Norges Bank, and PBoC left rates unchanged Dec 20, 2024