By Orbex

The current XAUUSD structure suggests the development of a correction, which takes the form of a cycle triple w-x-y-x-z zigzag.
At the moment, the actionary wave y is under development, which takes the form of a bearish triple zigzag of the intermediate degree. The chart shows the final part of the specified pattern. We see an intermediate wave (Z) consisting of minor sub-waves A-B-C.
It is possible that in the near future the price will move in a minute impulse, as shown on the chart, and will complete the minor wave C near 20.34. At that level, intermediate wave (Z) will be at the 76.4% Fibonacci extension of wave (Y).
Free Reports:
Download Our Metatrader 4 Indicators – Put Our Free MetaTrader 4 Custom Indicators on your charts when you join our Weekly Newsletter
Get our Weekly Commitment of Traders Reports - See where the biggest traders (Hedge Funds and Commercial Hedgers) are positioned in the futures markets on a weekly basis.
According to an alternative, the cycle wave y ended at the end of September, then the price began to rise within the bullish intervening wave x.
Judging by the internal structure, wave x takes the form of a primary double zigzag Ⓦ-Ⓧ-Ⓨ. It seems that the sub-waves Ⓦ-Ⓧ have already ended, taking the form of double zigzags.
Thus, it is currently possible for the price to rise in the primary wave Ⓨ towards the 26.76 area. At that level, wave x will be at 61.8% of wave y.
After reaching this price point, gold prices could fall below the level of 21.42.
Article by Orbex
Orbex is a fully licensed broker that was established in 2011. Founded with a mission to serve its traders responsibly and provides traders with access to the world’s largest and most liquid financial markets. www.orbex.com

- The Bank of Canada kept its interest rate unchanged. Platinum prices reached a three‑week high Jul 16, 2026
- Stock indices rose after the release of US inflation data. China’s GDP slowed sharply Jul 15, 2026
- GBP/USD Awaits Political News: What Will Happen Next Jul 15, 2026
- USD/JPY Holds at Highs: Pressure Lingers on Yen Jul 14, 2026
- Oil prices jumped 4% amid a new wave of escalation between the US and Iran Jul 13, 2026
- EUR/USD: US Inflation Will Determine Everything Jul 13, 2026
- COT Metals Charts: Weekly Speculator Bets see small gains for Silver & Gold Jul 12, 2026
- COT Bonds Charts: Speculator Bets led by SOFR 3-Months & 2-Year Bonds Jul 12, 2026
- COT Energy Charts: Weekly Speculator Changes led by Brent Oil Jul 12, 2026
- COT Soft Commodities Charts: Weekly Speculator Changes led by Sugar, Corn & Soybeans Jul 12, 2026
