By Orbex

The current XAGUSD formation hints at a large bullish 5-wave impulse consisting of sub-waves ①-②-③-④-⑤ of a cycle degree.
Currently, a bullish cycle impulse V is under construction. It consists of the primary sub-waves ①-②-③-④-⑤. The first three sub-waves ①-②-③ are fully completed and it seems that the primary correction ④ has also completed its construction. This took the form of an intermediate double (W)-(X)-(Y) zigzag.
Thus, we are currently at the beginning of the primary wave ⑤. Perhaps, along with its development, the price will rise to 31.40. At that level, cycle wave V will be at 50% of impulse III.

Free Reports:
Download Our Metatrader 4 Indicators – Put Our Free MetaTrader 4 Custom Indicators on your charts when you join our Weekly Newsletter
Get our Weekly Commitment of Traders Reports - See where the biggest traders (Hedge Funds and Commercial Hedgers) are positioned in the futures markets on a weekly basis.
The alternative scenario suggests the development of a corrective trend, not an impulse one. Possibly, the chart shows the internal structure of the cycle wave y, which is the final part of the bearish double zigzag.
Wave y could be a primary triple zigzag, which can end near 24.31. At that level, primary wave Ⓩ will be equal to wave Ⓨ.
After wave y fully completes its pattern, the development of a new bullish trend above the maximum of 28.80 is likely.
By Orbex

- COT Metals Charts: Weekly Speculator Bets led by Copper & Steel Jul 18, 2026
- COT Bonds Charts: Weekly Speculator Bets led by 2-Year, SOFR 3M & 5-Year Bonds Jul 18, 2026
- COT Energy Charts: Weekly Speculator Bets led by Brent Oil & Heating Oil Jul 18, 2026
- COT Soft Commodities Charts: Weekly Speculator Bets led by Wheat, Corn & Soybean Meal Jul 18, 2026
- The Bank of Canada kept its interest rate unchanged. Platinum prices reached a three‑week high Jul 16, 2026
- Stock indices rose after the release of US inflation data. China’s GDP slowed sharply Jul 15, 2026
- GBP/USD Awaits Political News: What Will Happen Next Jul 15, 2026
- USD/JPY Holds at Highs: Pressure Lingers on Yen Jul 14, 2026
- Oil prices jumped 4% amid a new wave of escalation between the US and Iran Jul 13, 2026
- EUR/USD: US Inflation Will Determine Everything Jul 13, 2026