By Orbex

USOIL hints at a global cycle impulse that consists of sub-waves I-II-III-IV-V.
Impulsive wave III completed its pattern. It was formed by the primary sub-waves ①-②-③-④-⑤.
Currently, cycle wave IV which is under development may have the form of a standard Ⓐ-Ⓑ-Ⓒ zigzag.
In the short term, intermediate sub-waves (4) and (5) could complete the primary impulse Ⓐ. This could be followed by a slight rise in correction wave Ⓑ, and then a decline in the impulse wave Ⓒ.
Free Reports:
Get our Weekly Commitment of Traders Reports - See where the biggest traders (Hedge Funds and Commercial Hedgers) are positioned in the futures markets on a weekly basis.
Download Our Metatrader 4 Indicators – Put Our Free MetaTrader 4 Custom Indicators on your charts when you join our Weekly Newsletter
We may expect the end of the correction near 53.58. At that level, wave IV will be at 38.2% of impulse III. After reaching this level, a bullish rise in wave V above the high of 63.58 is likely.

An alternative scenario shows the initial part of the final intermediate sub-wave (5), which could complete the cycle impulse III.
At that level, intermediate wave (5) will be at the 61.8 % Fibonacci extension of intermediate wave (3).
Finally, prices could turn and begin to form a bearish correction IV.
By Orbex

- COT Metals Charts: Speculator Bets led by Silver, Gold & Platinum Mar 7, 2026
- COT Bonds Charts: Speculator Bets led by 10-Year Bonds & Fed Funds Mar 7, 2026
- COT Energy Charts: Speculator Bets led by Brent Oil & Heating Oil Mar 7, 2026
- COT Soft Commodities Charts: Speculator Bets led by Corn & Soybean Meal Mar 7, 2026
- Investors run to safe-haven assets amid Middle East escalation Mar 6, 2026
- EUR/USD Under Pressure: Middle East Risks Outweigh All Else Mar 6, 2026
- Bitcoin shows resilience to Middle East events. Oil market stabilizes Mar 5, 2026
- GBP/USD: Market Not Expecting BoE Rate Cut in March Mar 5, 2026
- Brent headed for $100? Mar 4, 2026
- Global stock indices continue sell-off due to Middle East conflict Mar 4, 2026