VIDEO: Daily digit: Capital hike at Italy bank

Italy’s Monte dei Paschi di Siena will seek 2.5 billion euros ($3.3 billion) in fresh capital from investors to shore up its finances, an amount that is more than double its original plan and makes nationalisation more likely should the cash call fail. Sonia Legg reports

Weekly Fundamental Outlook: NZD interest rate decision, US retail sales

US Dollar up vs Euro, Yen, Franc last week, down vs Pound, Aussie, Kiwi & Loonie – Week Ahead features NZD rate decision, US retail sales

The US dollar was mixed last week against the other major currencies in forex trading as the American currency was higher for the week against the euro, Swiss franc and the Japanese yen while losing ground against Canadian dollar, Australian dollar, British pound sterling and the New Zealand dollar.

This week’s economic calendar is much lighter than last week with only a few major economic releases due out. Early in the week, there is important data out of China on new yuan loans and consumer prices for August. In the middle of the week, there is an interest rate decision from the Reserve Bank of New Zealand with market expectations looking for the bank to hold its interest rate at 2.50 percent. Later in the week, we have employment data out of Australia for August, the European Central Bank publishes its monthly report and finally, on Friday, retail sales data for the United States as well as the University of Michigan confidence survey are released.




Please See the week’s highlighted economic events below:

This Week’s Economic Highlights:

Sunday, September 8

China — trade balance
Japan — GDP report
Japan — trade balance
Japan — bank lending




Monday, September 9

China — loan data
China — consumer price index

China — producer price index
Australia — home loans
Switzerland — employment data
Japan — consumer confidence
Switzerland — retail sales
Canada — building permits
euro zone — investor confidence
United States — consumer credit




Tuesday, September 10

Australia — NAB business confidence
China — industrial production
China — retail sales
euro zone — Italy GBP report
Canada — housing starts




Wednesday, September 11

Australia — Westpac consumer confidence
euro zone — Germany CPI
United Kingdom — jobless claims
New Zealand — interest rate decision
Japan — foreign bonds/stocks buying
Japan — machine orders




Thursday, September 12

Australia — employment data
euro zone — European central bank monthly report
euro zone — industrial production
Canada — new housing Price Index
United States — weekly jobless claims
United States — monthly budget
New Zealand — manufacturing performance




Friday, September 13

Japan — industrial production
New Zealand — ANZ consumer confidence
United States — producer price index
United States — retail sales
United States — U. Michigan consumer confidence

United States — business inventories




Article by CountingPips.com




US 10-Year Treasury Speculators slightly trimmed bearish positions last week

By CountingPips.com

Weekly CFTC Net Speculator Report

10 Year Treasuries: Large trader and futures market speculators slightly pulled back on their overall bearish positions last week for 10-year treasury notes. The 10-year treasury non-commercial contracts totaled a net position of -103,094 contracts in the data reported for September 3rd. This is an increase of +7,731 contracts from the previous week’s total of -110,825 net contracts on August 27th.

In the same time-frame, the yield on the 10 Year treasury note rose from 2.72 on Tuesday August 27th to 2.86 on Tuesday September 3rd, according to US Treasury data.


10Yr


Last 6 Weeks of Large Trader Positions

DateNet Large SpecsWeekly Change10 Year Yield
07/30/201311903442152.63
08/06/2013-20096-319992.67
08/13/2013-66432-463362.71
08/20/2013-24840415922.82
08/27/2013-110825-859852.72
09/03/2013-10309477312.86



*COT explanation: The weekly cot report summarizes the total trader positions for open contracts in the futures trading markets. The CFTC categorizes trader positions according to commercial hedgers (traders who use futures contracts for hedging as part of the business), non-commercials (large traders who speculate to realize trading profits) and nonreportable traders (usually small traders/speculators).




Article by CountingPips.comForex News & Market Analysis

 

Forex Speculators raise US Dollar bullish bets for 2nd straight week

By CountingPips.com


Cots



The weekly Commitments of Traders (COT) report, released on Friday by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC), showed that large futures traders and currency speculators raised their bullish bets of the US dollar last week for the second consecutive week.

Non-commercial large futures traders, including hedge funds and large International Monetary Market speculators, increased their overall US dollar long positions to a total of $20.08 billion as of Tuesday September 3rd. This was an increase of $4.26 billion from the total long position of $15.28 billion that was registered on August 27th, according to calculations by Reuters that calculates this amount by the total of US dollar contracts against the combined contracts of the euro, British pound, Japanese yen, Australian dollar, Canadian dollar and the Swiss franc.

US dollar overall long positions are now at their highest level since August 6th when long bets registered a total of $21.62 billion.

COT explanation: The weekly cot report summarizes the total trader positions for open contracts in the futures trading markets. The CFTC categorizes trader positions according to commercial hedgers (traders who use futures contracts for hedging as part of the business), non-commercials (large traders who speculate to realize trading profits) and non-reportable traders (usually small traders/speculators).

Individual Currencies Large Speculators Positions in Futures:

The large non-commercial net positions for each of the individual major currencies directly against the US dollar last week saw a weekly increase for just the Swiss franc while the euro, British pound sterling, Japanese yen, New Zealand dollar, Canadian dollar, Australian dollar and the Mexican peso all had declining numbers of large speculator positions for the week.

 

Individual Currency Charts:


EuroFX:

eur

Last Six Weeks of Large Trader Positions: EuroFX

DateLarge Trader Net PositionsWeekly Change
07/30/2013-850419396
08/06/2013606114565
08/13/2013160579996
08/20/20133674620689
08/27/2013400813335
09/03/201322738-17343



British Pound Sterling:

gbp

Last Six Weeks of Large Trader Positions: Pound Sterling

DateLg Trader NetWeekly Change
07/30/2013-49463190
08/06/2013-460333430
08/13/2013-46521-488
08/20/2013-395226999
08/27/2013-382261296
09/03/2013-43046-4820



Japanese Yen:

jpy

Last Six Weeks of Large Trader Positions: Yen

DateLg Trader NetWeekly Change
07/30/2013-821355361
08/06/2013-802131922
08/13/2013-744625751
08/20/2013-717212741
08/27/2013-78353-6632
09/03/2013-79761-1408



Swiss Franc:

chf

Last Six Weeks of Large Trader Positions: Franc

DateLg Trader NetWeekly Change
07/30/2013-12614172
08/06/2013-325936
08/13/201321362461
08/20/2013291-1845
08/27/2013402111
09/03/20131059657



Canadian Dollar:

cad

Last Six Weeks of Large Trader Positions: CAD

DateLg Trader NetWeekly Change
07/30/2013-114345324
08/06/2013-10436998
08/13/2013-90811355
08/20/2013-9544-463
08/27/2013-24959-15415
09/03/2013-34639-9680



Australian Dollar:

aud

Last Six Weeks of Large Trader Positions: AUD

DateLg Trader NetWeekly Change
07/30/2013-72573-8591
08/06/2013-76779-4206
08/13/2013-6272114058
08/20/2013-63183-462
08/27/2013-71117-7934
09/03/2013-71506-389



New Zealand Dollar:

nzd

Last Six Weeks of Large Trader Positions: NZD

DateLg Trader NetWeekly Change
07/30/2013-5201326
08/06/2013-1539-1019
08/13/20131971736
08/20/201323902193
08/27/2013252-2138
09/03/2013-797-1049



Mexican Peso:

mxn

Last Six Weeks of Large Trader Positions: MXN

DateLg Trader NetWeekly Change
07/30/2013248885089
08/06/2013321257237
08/13/2013363204195
08/20/201336131-189
08/27/20137198-28933
09/03/2013688-6510

The Commitment of Traders report is published every Friday by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) and shows futures positions data that was reported as of the previous Tuesday (3 days behind).

Each currency contract is a quote for that currency directly against the U.S. dollar, a net short amount of contracts means that more speculators are betting that currency to fall against the dollar and a net long position expect that currency to rise versus the dollar.

(The graphs overlay the forex spot closing price of each Tuesday when COT trader positions are reported for each corresponding spot currency pair.)

See more information and explanation on the weekly COT report from the CFTC website.

 

Article by CountingPips.com

 

VIDEO: Merger Roundup: September 4, 2013

Newcastle Investment (NCT) announced that it has acquired Dow Jones Local Media Group from News Corp (NWSA) for $87 million. The Company made a total equity investment of $54 million, including transaction expenses, and financed the remainder of the purchase price with $33 million of debt.