Large Currency Speculators cut back on US Dollar bullish bets for 5th Week

By CountingPips.com

cot-values

Large Speculator bullish bets fall to $10.56 billion on March 11th

The latest data for the weekly Commitments of Traders (COT) report, released by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) on Friday, showed that large traders and futures speculators decreased their bullish positions of the US dollar for a fifth straight week through March 11th.

Non-commercial large futures traders, including hedge funds and large International Monetary Market speculators, had an overall US dollar long position totaling $10.56 billion as of Tuesday March 11th, according to the latest data from the CFTC and Reuters. This was a weekly change of -$1.04 billion from the $11.60 billion total bullish position that was registered on March 4th, according to the calculations by Reuters that totals the US dollar contracts against the combined contracts of the euro, British pound, Japanese yen, Australian dollar, Canadian dollar and the Swiss franc.

The five weeks of decline has pushed the US dollar aggregate position to a new low level since November 5th 2013 when the overall bullish position totaled just $7.02 billion.

 

Net Contract Standings for the week:




cot-standings




Individual Currencies – Large Speculator Weekly changes:

The non-commercial net positions for each of the individual currencies directly against the US dollar showed weekly gains for the euro, Swiss franc, Canadian dollar, Australian dollar, New Zealand dollar and the Mexican peso while there were weekly declines for the British pound sterling and the Japanese yen. See charts & data below.




Individual Currency Charts: Large & Small Speculator Positions vs Spot Price

EuroFX:

eurfx

Last Six Weeks data for EuroFX futures

DateOpen InterestLong SpecsShort SpecsLarge Specs NetWeekly Change
02/04/20142741466761481224-13610-27957
02/11/20142810377504881977-69296681
02/18/20142913608863480035859915528
02/25/20142969249300379103139005301
03/04/201430430810386880416234529552
03/11/2014322020110103737183638512933



British Pound Sterling:

gbp

Last Six Weeks data for Pound Sterling futures

DateOpen InterestLong SpecsShort SpecsLarge Specs NetLg Specs Weekly Change
02/04/2014202690520984114710951-11221
02/11/2014204982531994252710672-279
02/18/201424147176271539482232311651
02/25/20142570377455845756288026479
03/04/2014254013710214141629605803
03/11/2014250867645534255421999-7606



Japanese Yen:

jpy

Last Six Weeks data for Yen Futures

DateOpen InterestLong SpecsShort SpecsLarge Specs NetWeekly Change
02/04/20141993611589692725-768299363
02/11/20141964351368692472-78786-1957
02/18/20142000571673696520-79784-998
02/25/20142037431472799817-85090-5306
03/04/201420588620407100116-797095381
03/11/201424217015726115082-99356-19647



Swiss Franc:

chf

Last Six Weeks data for Franc futures

DateOpen InterestLong SpecsShort SpecsLarge Specs NetWeekly Change
02/04/201441918132361101622202661
02/11/2014424331216611611555-1665
02/18/2014510031418817016-2828-3383
02/25/20145515719396190383583186
03/04/201460532218181965021681810
03/11/201466889230971414089576789



Canadian Dollar:

cad

Last Six Weeks data for Canadian dollar futures

DateOpen InterestLong SpecsShort SpecsLarge Specs NetWeekly Change
02/04/20141606252943989739-603002489
02/11/20141574952774586673-589281372
02/18/20141548622775692756-65000-6072
02/25/20141415192486583456-585916409
03/04/20141470332330684402-61096-2505
03/11/20141536392518077371-521918905



Australian Dollar:

aud

Last Six Weeks data for Australian dollar futures

DateOpen InterestLong SpecsShort SpecsLarge Specs NetWeekly Change
02/04/20141253941169667219-5552310200
02/11/20141105231020257605-474038120
02/18/2014103049943953837-443983005
02/25/2014986431029949290-389915407
03/04/20141057921226253370-41108-2117
03/11/2014122241862749477-40850258



New Zealand Dollar:

nzd

Last Six Weeks data for New Zealand dollar futures

DateOpen InterestLong SpecsShort SpecsLarge Specs NetWeekly Change
02/04/2014200981458865568032-1653
02/11/2014190851317655357641-391
02/18/20142151615331642589061265
02/25/201422142165295547109822076
03/04/201425616193465914134322450
03/11/201431905211556706144491017



Mexican Peso:

mxn

Last Six Weeks data for Mexican Peso futures

DateOpen InterestLong SpecsShort SpecsLarge Specs NetWeekly Change
02/04/20141318321369448209-34515801
02/11/2014127225968243622-33940575
02/18/2014131097809431406-2331210628
02/25/2014128542997131540-215691743
03/04/2014126885823028980-20750819
03/11/20141669491273920986-824712503



*COT Report: The weekly commitment of traders report summarizes the total trader positions for open contracts in the futures trading markets. The CFTC categorizes trader positions according to commercial hedgers (traders who use futures contracts for hedging as part of the business), non-commercials (large traders who speculate to realize trading profits) and nonreportable traders (usually small traders/speculators).

The Commitment of Traders report is published every Friday by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) and shows futures positions data that was reported as of the previous Tuesday (3 days behind).

Each currency contract is a quote for that currency directly against the U.S. dollar, a net short amount of contracts means that more speculators are betting that currency to fall against the dollar and a net long position expect that currency to rise versus the dollar.

(The graphs overlay the forex spot closing price of each Tuesday when COT trader positions are reported for each corresponding spot currency pair.)

See more information and explanation on the weekly COT report from the CFTC website.




Article by CountingPips.comForex Apps & News

US 10-Year Treasury Note Speculators increase bearish positions for a 2nd week

By CountingPips.com

Weekly CFTC Net Speculator Report




10yr

Large Speculators bearish positions rose for a second straight week

10 Year Treasuries: Large futures market traders raised their overall bearish bets in the 10-year treasury note futures last week for a second week in a row, according to the latest Commitment of Traders (COT) data released by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) on Friday.

The non-commercial futures contracts of the 10-year treasury notes, traded by large speculators and hedge funds, totaled a net position of -118,210 contracts in the data reported for March 11th. This was a change of -16,840 contracts from the previous week’s total of -101,370 net contracts that was registered on March 4th.

Bearish positions of the 10-year note are now at the highest level since February 11th when contracts were at -142,533 positions.

Over the same reporting time-frame, from Tuesday March 4th to Tuesday March 11th, the yield on the 10-Year treasury note rose from 2.70 to a yield of 2.77, according to data from the United States Treasury Department.


Last 6 Weeks of Large Trader Non-Commercial Positions

DateOpen InterestLong SpecsShort SpecsNet Large SpecsWeekly Change10 Year Yield
02/04/20142382511308867444168-135301-175422.64
02/11/20142410966322845465378-142533-72322.75
02/18/20142430028380817437961-57144853892.71
02/25/20142513746333437346404-12967441772.7
03/04/20142407282312136413506-101370-884032.7
03/11/20142412737301102419312-118210-168402.77



*COT Report: The weekly commitment of traders report summarizes the total trader positions for open contracts in the futures trading markets. The CFTC categorizes trader positions according to commercial hedgers (traders who use futures contracts for hedging as part of the business), non-commercials (large traders who speculate to realize trading profits) and nonreportable traders (usually small traders/speculators). Find CFTC criteria here: (http://www.cftc.gov/MarketReports/CommitmentsofTraders/ExplanatoryNotes/index.htm).




Article by CountingPips.comForex Trading Apps

 

 

 

VIX Futures Market COT Speculators decreased bearish positions through March 11th

By CountingPips.com

Weekly CFTC Net Speculator Report




vix


VIX Futures Contracts: Large traders and speculators reduced their bearish bets in the VIX futures market last week to the lowest bearish position this year, according to the latest data from the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) released on Friday.

The VIX non-commercial futures contracts, usually comprising of large speculator and hedge fund positions, totaled a net bearish position of -6,854 contracts in the data reported for March 11th. This was a change of +13,592 contracts from the previous week’s total of -20,446 net contracts that was registered on March 4th.

The VIX index, meanwhile, edged up slightly higher from a 14.10 reading on Tuesday March 4th to a 14.80 reading on Tuesday March 11th, according to the Chicago Board Options Exchange (CBOE) Volatility Index.



Last 6 Weeks of Large Trader Positions

DateOpen InterestLong SpecsShort SpecsNet Non-CommercialsWeekly ChangeVIX Score
02/04/2014384117101502152732-512301427419.11
02/11/201437885185350126458-411081012214.51
02/18/2014409111107597122520-149232618513.87
02/25/2014367042108739124777-16038-111513.67
03/04/2014362996104145124591-20446-440814.1
03/11/2014355040114455121309-68541359214.8



*COT Report: The weekly commitment of traders report summarizes the total trader positions for open contracts in the futures trading markets. The CFTC categorizes trader positions according to commercial hedgers (traders who use futures contracts for hedging as part of the business), non-commercials (large traders who speculate to realize trading profits) and nonreportable traders (usually small traders/speculators). Find CFTC criteria here: (http://www.cftc.gov/MarketReports/CommitmentsofTraders/ExplanatoryNotes/index.htm).




Article by CountingPips.comForex Apps & Analysis

 

 

 

GBPUSD Forex Trading Pivot Point Levels for 2014.03.14

2014.03.14 13:30 7:30AM ET | GBPUSD Currency Pair

SC GBPUSD 2014.03.14

Here are the Pivot Points Levels with Support (S) and Resistance (R) for the GBPUSD currency pair today. Price action is currently trading at the 1.66019 price level and under the daily pivot point, according to data at 7:30 AM ET. The GBPUSD high for the day has been 1.66277 while the low of day has reached to 1.65908. The pair earlier today opened the Asian trading session below the daily pivot and has trended lower over the course of the day.

Daily Pivot Point: 1.66487
— S1 – 1.65792
— S2 – 1.65361
— S3 – 1.64666
— R1 – 1.66918
— R2 – 1.67613
— R3 – 1.68044


Weekly Pivot Points: GBPUSD

SC GBPUSD 2014.03.14

Prices are currently trading under the weekly pivot point and below the S1 support level at time of writing. The GBPUSD has been on an overall bearish trend this week after opening the trading week above the weekly pivot.

Weekly Pivot Point: 1.67114
— S1 – 1.66381
— S2 – 1.65658
— S3 – 1.64925
— R1 – 1.67837
— R2 – 1.68570
— R3 – 1.69293

 


By CountingPips.comForex Trading Apps & Currency Trade Tools

Disclaimer: Foreign Currency trading and trading on margin carries a high level of risk and volatility and can result in loss of part or all of your investment. All information and opinions contained do not constitute investment advice and accuracy of prices, charts, calculations cannot be guaranteed.

 

 

 

EURUSD Forex Trading Pivot Point Levels for 2014.03.14

2014.03.14 13:30 7:30AM ET | EURUSD Currency Pair

SC EURUSD 2014.03.14

Here are the Pivot Points Levels with Support (S) and Resistance (R) for the EURUSD currency pair today. Price action is currently trading at the 1.38873 price level and just under the daily pivot point, according to data at 7:30 AM ET. The EURUSD high for the day has been 1.38944 while the low of day has reached to 1.38470. The pair earlier today opened the Asian trading session below the daily pivot and has trended higher towards the daily pivot this morning.

Daily Pivot Point: 1.38941
— S1 – 1.38221
— S2 – 1.37729
— S3 – 1.37009
— R1 – 1.39433
— R2 – 1.40153
— R3 – 1.40645


Weekly Pivot Points: EURUSD

SC EURUSD 2014.03.14

Prices are currently trading over the weekly pivot point at time of writing after ascending to the R1 level where resistance was found earlier this week. The EURUSD has been on an overall bullish to sideways trend on the week after opening the trading week above the weekly pivot.

Weekly Pivot Point: 1.38317
— S1 – 1.37490
— S2 – 1.36238
— S3 – 1.35411
— R1 – 1.39569
— R2 – 1.40396
— R3 – 1.41648


By CountingPips.comForex Trading Apps & Currency Trade Tools

Disclaimer: Foreign Currency trading and trading on margin carries a high level of risk and volatility and can result in loss of part or all of your investment. All information and opinions contained do not constitute investment advice and accuracy of prices, charts, calculations cannot be guaranteed.

 

 

 

USDJPY Forex Trading Pivot Point Levels for 2014.03.14

2014.03.14 13:30 7:30AM ET | USDJPY Currency Pair

SC USDJPY 2014.03.14

Here are the Pivot Points Levels with Support (S) and Resistance (R) for the USDJPY currency pair today. Price action is currently trading at the 101.415 price level and under the daily pivot point, according to data at 7:30 AM ET. The USDJPY high for the day has been 101.871 while the low of day has reached to 101.413. The pair earlier today opened the Asian trading session below the daily pivot and has continued to trend lower over the course of the day.

Daily Pivot Point: 102.082
— S1 – 101.311
— S2 – 100.761
— S3 – 99.990
— R1 – 102.632
— R2 – 103.403
— R3 – 103.953


Weekly Pivot Points: USDJPY

SC USDJPY 2014.03.14

Prices are currently trading under the weekly pivot point and below the S1 support level at time of writing. The USDJPY has been on an overall bearish trend this week after opening the trading week above the weekly pivot.

Weekly Pivot Point: 102.726
— S1 – 101.704
— S2 – 100.171
— S3 – 99.149
— R1 – 104.259
— R2 – 105.281
— R3 – 106.814


By CountingPips.com – Forex Trading Apps & Currency Trade Tools

Disclaimer: Foreign Currency trading and trading on margin carries a high level of risk and volatility and can result in loss of part or all of your investment. All information and opinions contained do not constitute investment advice and accuracy of prices, charts, calculations cannot be guaranteed.

 

 

 

VIDEO: Surging Kiwi Economy Fuels RBNZ

Today’s slam-dunk of monetary events will occur later today when the Reserve Bank of New Zealand, RBNZ, is expected to tighten its interest rate policy. It is the key event in a relatively quiet week for the Group of 10 economies. However, the biggest event risk may be that Governor Graeme Wheeler and his team does nothing at all. The RBNZ has held the Overnight Cash Rate at +2.5% for three years, and in that time, Kiwi monetary policy has become very expansionary. Business confidence is running at a two-decade high, while consumer confidence is humming along just under a decade high, construction is booming, and property prices are still rising.

VIDEO: Value Of European Listings Hits 10-year Average

In another sign that Europe’s economy is turning the corner, a leading ratings agency found Tuesday that the value of new stock market listings in 2013 recovered to match the 10-year average. Standard & Poor’s said 13 billion euros worth of new equity was floated last year and that the revival is set to continue this year, barring any economic or market shocks. The agency credited the advance on buoyant equity markets, pent-up demand from private equity owners and optimism over the European economy’s prospects. A risk-averse approach dominated sentiment across corporate boardrooms.