Currency Speculators increased bets against US Dollar last week for 3rd week

By CountingPips.com

Cot-Values

The latest data for the weekly Commitments of Traders (COT) report, released by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) on Friday, showed that large traders and speculators continued to decrease their bets in the US dollar last week as overall US dollar positions fell to their lowest level since October.

Non-commercial large futures traders, including hedge funds and large International Monetary Market speculators, had an overall US dollar short position totaling -$1.58 billion as of Tuesday April 22nd, according to the latest data from the CFTC and calculations by Reuters. This was a weekly change of -$0.41 billion from the -$1.17 billion total short position that was registered on April 15th, according to Reuters that totals the US dollar contracts against the combined contracts of the euro, British pound, Japanese yen, Australian dollar, Canadian dollar and the Swiss franc.

Last week’s data marks the highest short position in the US dollar since October 29th 2013 when bearish positions equaled -$3.14 billion.

For the week, speculators increased their bets in favor of the Japanese yen, Australian dollar and the New Zealand dollar while there was weekly declines for the euro, British pound sterling, Swiss franc, Canadian dollar and the Mexican peso.

Cot-Standing

Notable changes:

  • Euro positions have fallen four out of the last five weeks to the lowest level since March 4th
  • British pound sterling positions fell slightly after five straight weeks of gains
  • Japanese yen positions rose for the third straight week
  • Swiss franc (-43), Canadian dollar (-29), New Zealand dollar (+328) and Mexican Peso (-726) positions saw little change for the week
  • Australian dollar net positions rose the most in the week (+8,273) as the Aussie had its third straight bullish position and highest bullish standing since April 2013

 

* All currency positions are in direct relation to the US dollar where, for example, a bet for the euro is a bet that the euro will rise versus the dollar while a bet against the euro will be a bet that the dollar will gain versus the euro. Please see charts and data below.




Weekly Charts: Large Speculators Weekly Positions vs Currency Spot Price

EuroFX:

EURFX

Last Six Weeks data for EuroFX futures

DateOpen InterestLong SpecsShort SpecsLarge Specs NetWeekly Change
03/18/2014264443117819648285299116606
03/25/20142621791069146728039634-13357
04/01/20142600751018496861133238-6396
04/08/2014261439926356933523300-9938
04/15/201427072210625278564276884388
04/22/20142662591012047543025774-1914



British Pound Sterling:

gbp

Last Six Weeks data for Pound Sterling futures

DateOpen InterestLong SpecsShort SpecsLarge Specs NetWeekly Change
03/18/20142089616414138605255363537
03/25/20142021156675137027297244188
04/01/20142114377596942397335723848
04/08/201422666791642451654647712905
04/15/20142266888747236874505984121
04/22/2014237055896924189247800-2798



Japanese Yen:

JPY

Last Six Weeks data for Yen Futures

DateOpen InterestLong SpecsShort SpecsLarge Specs NetWeekly Change
03/18/20141569222414485243-6109938257
03/25/20141582801760086487-68887-7788
04/01/201418846422162110800-88638-19751
04/08/201418181413340100802-874621176
04/15/20141648431435183067-6871618746
04/22/20141656741656483807-672431473



Swiss Franc:

chf

Last Six Weeks data for Franc futures

DateOpen InterestLong SpecsShort SpecsLarge Specs NetWeekly Change
03/18/2014493912531110195151166159
03/25/201447353250371021814819-297
04/01/201447228248001056914231-588
04/08/20144475219275794011335-2896
04/15/201448976239059839140662731
04/22/20144688821732770914023-43



Canadian Dollar:

cad

Last Six Weeks data for Canadian dollar futures

DateOpen InterestLong SpecsShort SpecsLarge Specs NetWeekly Change
03/18/20141867822775197556-69805-17614
03/25/20141332464044173656-3321536590
04/01/20141179662754964543-36994-3779
04/08/20141203362870463011-343072687
04/15/20141195252828863714-35426-1119
04/22/20141187072752962984-35455-29



Australian Dollar:

aud

Last Six Weeks data for Australian dollar futures

DateOpen InterestLong SpecsShort SpecsLarge Specs NetWeekly Change
03/18/2014817372157746040-2446316387
03/25/2014842322438744914-205273936
04/01/2014939993539840278-488015647
04/08/201496887376303432033108190
04/15/201498933404633236680974787
04/22/20141076964954033170163708273



New Zealand Dollar:

nzd

Last Six Weeks data for New Zealand dollar futures

DateOpen InterestLong SpecsShort SpecsLarge Specs NetWeekly Change
03/18/201431463246458894157511302
03/25/201432748262438030182132462
04/01/20143231325765728518480267
04/08/201432898265216755197661286
04/15/2014331002667168241984781
04/22/20143257926056588120175328



Mexican Peso:

mxn

Last Six Weeks data for Mexican Peso futures

DateOpen InterestLong SpecsShort SpecsLarge Specs NetWeekly Change
03/18/20141110571932020590-12706977
03/25/20141158582276924423-1654-384
04/01/201414527049893281092178423438
04/08/201413033170371138705650134717
04/15/2014131412710381680154237-2264
04/22/2014128932683291481853511-726



*COT Report: The weekly commitment of traders report summarizes the total trader positions for open contracts in the futures trading markets. The CFTC categorizes trader positions according to commercial hedgers (traders who use futures contracts for hedging as part of the business), non-commercials (large traders who speculate to realize trading profits) and nonreportable traders (usually small traders/speculators).

The Commitment of Traders report is published every Friday by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) and shows futures positions data that was reported as of the previous Tuesday (3 days behind).

Each currency contract is a quote for that currency directly against the U.S. dollar, a net short amount of contracts means that more speculators are betting that currency to fall against the dollar and a net long position expect that currency to rise versus the dollar.

(The graphs overlay the forex spot closing price of each Tuesday when COT trader positions are reported for each corresponding spot currency pair.)

See more information and explanation on the weekly COT report from the CFTC website.




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