Currency Speculators raised US Dollar bullish bets to highest level since September

By CountingPips.com


Large Speculator bullish bets advanced to $21.11 billion on January 7th

The latest data for the weekly Commitments of Traders (COT) report, released by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) on Friday, showed that large futures traders and speculators added to their overall bullish position of the US dollar and brought bets to the highest level since September.

Non-commercial large futures traders, including hedge funds and large International Monetary Market speculators, had an overall US dollar long position totaling $21.11 billion as of Tuesday January 7th, according to data from Reuters. This was a weekly change of +$3.61 billion from the total $17.5 billion bullish position that was registered on December 31st, according to the calculations by Reuters that totals the US dollar contracts against the combined contracts of the euro, British pound, Japanese yen, Australian dollar, Canadian dollar and the Swiss franc.

The US dollar aggregate positions on January 7th rebounded to best level since September 10th when US dollar bullish bets equaled $22.01 billion.

Net Contract Standings for the week:



Individual Currencies – Large Speculator Weekly changes:

The non-commercial net positions for each of the individual currencies directly against the US dollar showed weekly increases for the Japanese yen, Australian dollar, New Zealand dollar and the Mexican peso while there were weekly declines for the euro, British pound sterling, Swiss franc and the Canadian dollar. See charts & data below.

 

Individual Currency Charts: Large & Small Speculator Positions vs Spot Price


EuroFX:

Last Six Weeks data for EuroFX futures

Date Open Interest Large Specs Net Positions Lg Specs Weekly Change Small Specs Net
12/03/2013 253653 9312 9743 -19881
12/10/2013 302100 15930 6618 -18631
12/17/2013 230955 27923 11993 -13470
12/24/2013 240206 32172 4249 -12463
12/31/2013 242071 30589 -1583 -10160
01/07/2014 238570 14498 -16091 -20777



British Pound Sterling:

Last Six Weeks data for Pound Sterling futures

Date Open Interest Large Specs Net Positions Lg Specs Weekly Change Small Specs Net
12/03/2013 239371 18369 17978 17051
12/10/2013 255604 18429 60 18072
12/17/2013 191648 17825 -604 15723
12/24/2013 198063 14420 -3405 19912
12/31/2013 206886 22781 8361 22800
01/07/2014 194668 18178 -4603 18591



Japanese Yen:

Last Six Weeks data for Yen Futures

Date Open Interest Large Specs Net Positions Lg Specs Weekly Change Small Specs Net
12/03/2013 245167 -133383 -10181 -43306
12/10/2013 262229 -129711 3672 -41266
12/17/2013 232743 -130223 -512 -39860
12/24/2013 239160 -143822 -13599 -41364
12/31/2013 232225 -135228 8594 -40970
01/07/2014 230156 -128868 6360 -40260



Swiss Franc:

Last Six Weeks data for Franc futures

Date Open Interest Large Specs Net Positions Lg Specs Weekly Change Small Specs Net
12/03/2013 45862 6547 1895 6055
12/10/2013 64506 11998 5451 8165
12/17/2013 47367 11955 -43 8316
12/24/2013 51131 11920 -35 7118
12/31/2013 51139 10889 -1031 6818
01/07/2014 42087 4727 -6162 4102



Canadian Dollar:

Last Six Weeks data for Canadian dollar futures

Date Open Interest Large Specs Net Positions Lg Specs Weekly Change Small Specs Net
12/03/2013 145767 -41583 -12803 -14847
12/10/2013 160759 -57514 -15931 -17916
12/17/2013 187136 -65500 -7986 -16020
12/24/2013 149359 -58432 7068 -15677
12/31/2013 149037 -57956 476 -15983
01/07/2014 156950 -60542 -2586 -17128



Australian Dollar:

Last Six Weeks data for Australian dollar futures

Date Open Interest Large Specs Net Positions Lg Specs Weekly Change Small Specs Net
12/03/2013 121078 -44311 -10800 -16225
12/10/2013 126620 -45850 -1539 -17829
12/17/2013 113118 -51653 -5803 -15114
12/24/2013 117884 -54239 -2586 -17882
12/31/2013 120071 -57414 -3175 -16660
01/07/2014 122121 -56852 562 -16350



New Zealand Dollar:

Last Six Weeks data for New Zealand dollar futures

Date Open Interest Large Specs Net Positions Lg Specs Weekly Change Small Specs Net
12/03/2013 18318 7639 -2610 1077
12/10/2013 19953 8553 914 2141
12/17/2013 17939 5673 -2880 1673
12/24/2013 18668 6456 783 1724
12/31/2013 18748 6707 251 1770
01/07/2014 20039 7866 1159 1966



Mexican Peso:

Last Six Weeks data for Mexican Peso futures

Date Open Interest Large Specs Net Positions Lg Specs Weekly Change Small Specs Net
12/03/2013 121461 8933 -3530 1758
12/10/2013 155227 22530 13597 5499
12/17/2013 114614 15650 -6880 5374
12/24/2013 123733 20178 4528 5022
12/31/2013 116803 15605 -4573 5162
01/07/2014 117008 17607 2002 4577



*COT Report: The weekly commitment of traders report summarizes the total trader positions for open contracts in the futures trading markets. The CFTC categorizes trader positions according to commercial hedgers (traders who use futures contracts for hedging as part of the business), non-commercials (large traders who speculate to realize trading profits) and nonreportable traders (usually small traders/speculators).

The Commitment of Traders report is published every Friday by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) and shows futures positions data that was reported as of the previous Tuesday (3 days behind).

Each currency contract is a quote for that currency directly against the U.S. dollar, a net short amount of contracts means that more speculators are betting that currency to fall against the dollar and a net long position expect that currency to rise versus the dollar.

(The graphs overlay the forex spot closing price of each Tuesday when COT trader positions are reported for each corresponding spot currency pair.)

See more information and explanation on the weekly COT report from the CFTC website.




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