Forex: Currency Speculators short the US Dollar last week. Canadian Loonie, Mexican Peso bets surge

By CountingPips.com

The latest Commitments of Traders (COT) report, released on Friday by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC), showed that large currency speculators cut their overall US dollar positions back to a total short position last week from a total long position the previous week.

Non-commercial large futures traders, including hedge funds and large speculators, decreased their total US dollar positions to being short by $6.176 billion on September 11th from a total long position of $1.5 billion on September 4th, according to the CFTC COT data and calculations by Reuters which calculates the dollar positions against the euro, British pound, Japanese yen, Australian dollar, Canadian dollar and the Swiss franc.

 

 

Individual Currencies:

CAD: Canadian dollar positions rose higher for a seventh consecutive week and surged to the best level since at least before 2010. Canadian dollar positions jumped to a total of 101,860 net long contracts as of September 11th following a total of 66,555 net short contracts that were reported for September 4th. The Canadian currency positions easily passed the highest level of 2012 that was recorded on May 1st when long positions equaled 70,223 contracts.

 

The COT report is published every Friday by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) and shows futures positions as of the previous Tuesday. It can be a useful tool for traders to gauge investor sentiment and to look for potential changes in the direction of a currency or commodity. Each currency contract is a quote for that currency directly against the U.S. dollar, a net short amount of contracts means that more speculators are betting that currency to fall against the dollar and a net long position expect that currency to rise versus the dollar.

(The graphs overlay the forex spot closing price of each Tuesday when COT trader positions are reported for each corresponding spot currency pair.)

 

AUD: The Australian dollar positions rose last week after declining for two consecutive weeks. Aussie speculative futures positions increased to a total net amount of 68,259 long contracts on September 11th after totaling 62,439 net long contracts as of September 4th. Australian dollar contracts most recent high level was on August 21st when long positions equaled 86,882.

 

NZD: New Zealand dollar speculator positions decreased for a third consecutive week following a streak of eleven straight weeks of rises. NZD contracts declined to a total of 10,032 net long contracts as of September 11th following a total of 11,401 net long contracts on September 4th.

 

MXN: Mexican peso speculative contracts surged higher last week after falling for two straight weeks. Peso positions increased to a total of 122,243 net long speculative positions as of September 11th following a total of 90,881 long contracts that were reported for September 4th.

 

 

EuroFX: Currency speculator sentiment for the euro increased last week and brought euro positions to their best level since April 2nd. Euro net short positions or bets against the currency fell to 93,658 contracts on September 11th from the previous week’s total of 102,306 net short contracts on August 28th. This is the first week that short contracts have been under 100,000 since April 2nd when positions totaled 79,480 short contracts.

 

 

GBP: British pound sterling positions edged up last week after declining the two previous weeks. British pound sterling speculative positions totaled 4,366 net short contracts on September 11th following a total of 6,868 net long contracts on September 4th.

 

JPY: Japanese yen speculative contracts increased for a third consecutive week to bring yen positions to the highest level since February. Japanese yen positions rose to a total of 32,773 net long contracts reported on September 11th following a total of 24,007 net long contracts on September 4th. Yen contracts are now at the best level since February 6th when positions equaled 55,171 long contracts.

 

CHF: Swiss franc speculator positions rose after declining the previous week. Speculator positions for the Swiss currency futures registered a total of 8,967 net short contracts on September 11th following a total of 13,112 net short contracts as of September 4th. Franc contracts are now at their best level since June 19th when positions reached 7,007 short contracts.

 

COT Currency Data Summary as of September 11, 2012
Large Speculators Net Positions vs. the US Dollar

EUR -93658
GBP -4366
JPY +32773
CHF -8967
CAD +101860
AUD +68259
NZD +10032
MXN +122243

 

 

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