U.S. Biofuel Camelina Production Set to Soar

The U.S. biofuel industry has long been stymied by the lack of USDA federal crop insurance, leaving only the most adventurous farmers willing to plant renewable energy crops.

Biofuel sources currently under development include algae, jatropha and camelina. Of the three, camelina is increasingly emerging as the frontrunner in attracting initial investment worldwide, as global demand for aviation fuel for passenger flights is now more than 40 billion gallons annually.

Camelina has a number of advantages over its competitors, including using far less water, thus allowing it to be grown on marginal land, thereby not taking food acreage out of production.

Furthermore camelina has a relatively short growing season of 80 to 100 days, requires no special equipment to harvest, and the silage remaining after processing can be fed to livestock and poultry, with the added side benefit of increasing their omega-3 production.

Now the U.S. Department of Agriculture has given camelina production a major shot in the arm by selecting 40 counties in Montana for a pilot program of federally backed camelina crop insurance. The counties covered are Big Horn, Blaine, Broadwater, Carbon, Carter, Cascade, Chouteau, Custer, Daniels, Dawson, Fallon, Fergus, Garfield, Glacier, Golden Valley, Hill, Judith Basin, Lewis and Clark, Liberty, McCone, Meagher, Musselshell, Park, Petroleum, Phillips, Pondera, Powder River, Prairie, Richland, Roosevelt, Rosebud, Sheridan, Stillwater, Sweet Grass, Teton, Toole, Treasure, Valley, Wheatland, Wibaux and Yellowstone.

Montana Governor Brian Schweitzer has long championed camelina as an ideal Montana green energy crop, commenting: “It’s been my goal to help make Montana a leader in renewable energy. Through camelina our state has the potential to create jobs, reduce our dependency on fossil fuels and decrease carbon emissions.”

Camelina is currently being grown in nine U.S. states plus four Canadian provinces. Montana’s production now tops 80,000 acres, while trials are going on in 12 additional states and 37 more are considering production. The USDA program, to be overseen by the department’s Risk Management Agency, will undoubtedly lead to a surge in Montana-based camelina production, as its politicians have long been in the forefront of promoting the plant.

Montana Democrat Senator Jon Tester got camelina insurance included in the 2007 farm bill with his Biofuel Crop Insurance Pilot Program initiative, which he inserted into the most recent Farm Bill, because he knew the crop wouldn’t blossom in Montana unless it had the federal safety net of crop insurance. According the USDA’s announcement the insurance will be available for the 2012 crop year. Following the USDA statement Tester said, “There’s got to be a safety net.

You don’t go into new crops unless you’re independently wealthy or you have a safety net. Most farmers aren’t independently wealthy. This initiative will provide jobs and opportunities for Montana farmers–while bringing our entire nation closer to energy independence through home-grown, renewable resources. I’m pleased the USDA is finally putting some muscle behind my camelina law and providing Montana farmers the chance to expand this promising resource and create jobs in the process. If I had a bit more time, I’d be growing oilseeds on my farm and investing in biofuels myself. This bill will open the door to a whole lot of opportunities for my neighbors-and for farmers all across Montana. Expanding biofuels in Montana is a win-win-win situation. It provides options and more job opportunities for farmers. It’s responsible and sustainable development of a renewable resource. And it cuts back on our thirst for foreign oil, which will ultimately make our country more secure.” Tester is one of only two farmers in the Senate.

The deadline for purchasing the insurance is 1 February 2012. Only spring-planted camelina grown under contract with a processor will be eligible for coverage against damage from adverse weather, fire, wildlife, earthquake, volcanic eruption and insect and plant disease. The insurance will not provide compensation for any losses attributed to insufficient or improper application of pest or disease control measures.

Great Plains Oil and Exploration-The Camelina Co. President Sam Huttenbauer said, “This is a critical step toward camelina becoming a major U.S. biofuel crop and a huge help for the farmers of Montana and North Dakota. We greatly appreciate the assistance of the senators in Montana, in particular Jon Tester who paved the way for this crop with his work to get this program into the farm bill.”

National Farmers Union President Tom Buis added, “Renewable energy production is one of the most exciting opportunities in our rural communities. I commend Senator Tester’s foresight in introducing this legislation. Public policy can and should encourage innovation and diversification of both our food and fuel supplies.”

Among the customers lining up for camelina JP-8 aviation fuel will be the U.S. armed forces, which have spent the last two years extensively testing camelina’s suitability, with the U.S. Air Force earlier this certifying camelina biofuel for use in its fleet of Globemaster transport aircraft. Given that the new federal crop insurance will undoubtedly boost camelina feedstocks for biofuel refineries, the Pentagon can look to Montana as a major supporter in its efforts to go “green.”

Source: http://oilprice.com/Alternative-Energy/Biofuels/U.S.-Biofuel-Camelina-Production-Set-to-Soar.html

By. John C.K. Daly of Oilprice.com

Weekly Technical FX Preview – GBP Under Pressure

Source: ForexYard

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EUR/USD

Momentum has now turned lower as falling stochastics appear on the monthly, weekly, and daily charts. Initial support comes in at the June low of 1.4075 and the May low of 1.3970. A break here and technical traders will target the 200-day moving average at 1.3860. While the 8 cent decline from the May high is a sharp drop, traders should keep in mind that the correction the pair is currently undergoing is just that, a correction. Buyers may be lurking at the rising trend line from the June 2010 low. Resistance comes in at the recent high of 1.4440 where the 50-day and 20-day moving averages are floating.

EURUSD_Daily

GBP/USD

The GBP/USD has broken a significant technical barrier at the neckline from a head and shoulders pattern which measures a target at 1.5370. Monthly and weekly stochastics are turning lower so traders may expect further declines. Support is located at the March low at 1.5935 followed by the late January low at 1.5750. To the upside the neckline from the head and shoulders pattern at 1.6120 could offer traders a level to enter short as many times in a head and shoulders chart pattern the pair will revert back to the neckline only to head lower from there.

GBPUSD_Daily

USD/JPY

Yen bears are making a stand at the 80 level. A previously broken trend line from the April high comes in at this level and will also support the bears. However, once this last bastion of support is broken the fallout could be similar the price action in March. Should the move higher continue, resistance is found at 81 and 81.75.

USDJPY_Daily

USD/CHF

The previous resistance at 0.8550 held and the all-time low at 0.8325 is continually being pressured so a break here may be in the works. An absence of supports or trend lines below this level makes it difficult to predict how low the pair could go.

USDCHF_Daily

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FX Technical Analysis – AUD/NZD – More Downward Pressure

Source: ForexYard

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Following today’s sharp appreciation ofthe New Zealand dollar the AUD/NZD made a breach below a key support level.

Expanding on this morning’s Wild Card selection from the FOREXYARD Daily Analysis, the AUD/NZD has hastily fallen from its early May high and this morning the pair has moved below the significant 1.3190 support level from the mid-April low. The AUD/NZD briefly fell below the psychological support level of 1.3100 but was unable to hold this mark after the European open.

Downward pressure is building on the pair after the breach and the selling may continue. Initial support is found at the trend line off of the November and January lows which comes in today at 1.3015. A breach here and the AUD/NZD would target a range between the January pivot at 1.2775 and 1.2470, the latter being the 61.8% retracement level from the 2010 low to the May 2011 high. The November low at 1.2640 would be a last stand for the Aussie dollar.

To the upside, the mid-April low will now switch from support to the first resistance level followed by the mid-May low at 1.3350. The pivots from May and March also deserve a mention at 1.3700 and 1.3790 respectively.

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AUDNZD_Daily

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FX Technical Analysis – GBP/USD – Two Merging Trend Lines

Source: ForexYard

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The decline in the GBP/USD is approaching a level where two trend lines merge and could provide a technical level for a bounce higher.

Currently cable trades at 1.6200 but following the decline over the past two weeks momentum has shifted to the downside as shown by the falling weekly stochastics.

One area on the chart stands out as the GBP/USD has two merging trend lines near the 1.6050 level. The first trend line rises off of the May and December 2010 lows while the second trend line falls off of the November 2007 and July 2008 highs. The cable bounced higher from later trend line which turned into a support level as previous trend lines often do. Below this apex further support rests at the March low at 1.5935 followed by the late December low at 1.5340.

To the upside, should the bullish trend continue the GBP/USD would look to rise to this year’s high at 1.6750. A breach here and traders could expect the pair to rise to the August 2009 high at 1.7040.

GBPUSD_Weekly

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Bank of Korea Keeps Interest Rate at 3.25%

The Bank of Korea maintained its 7-day repurchase rate unchanged at 3.25%.  The Bank said: “In Korea, exports have shown a steady increase, but consumption has remained at a level similar to that in the previous month and facilities investment has decreased sharply. The trend of improvement in employment conditions has been sustained, led by the private sector. The Committee anticipates that the domestic economy will not deviate significantly from its long-term trend of growth going forward, but recognizes the situation to be one in which downside risks to growth remain high due to the impact of external risk factors.”

At its November meeting this year the Bank of Korea also held the interest rate unchanged at 3.25%, after increasing the 7-day repurchase rate by 25 basis points to 3.25% at its June meeting.  South Korea reported a steady consumer price inflation of 4.2% in November, compared to 3.9% in October, 4.3% in September, 5.3% in August, 4.7% in July 4.4% in June, 4.1% in May, and 4.2% in April. 

The inflation rate is currently just above the Bank’s inflation target of 2%-4% through 2012.  The South Korean economy grew 0.7% in Q3 (0.9% in Q2), placing annual GDP growth at 3.4% (3.4% in Q2).  
The South Korean Won (KRW) has weakened by about 1% so far this year against the US dollar, while the USDKRW exchange rate last traded around 1,140.

Peruvian Central Bank Holds Rate at 4.25%

The Central Reserve Bank of Peru held its monetary policy reference rate unchanged at 4.25%.  The Bank said: “This decision takes into account the lower growth being recorded by some components of expenditure, the current international financial risks, and the rise of inflation associated mainly with temporary supply factors. Future adjustments in the reference interest rate will depend on the evolution of inflation and its determinants.”


Peru’s central bank also held the interest rate at 4.25% at its November meeting, while the bank last raised the monetary policy reference rate by 25 basis points to 4.25% in May this year.  Peru reported annual inflation of 4.6% in November, 4.2% in October, up from 3.73% in September, 3.35% in August and July, and compared to 2.9% in June, 3.07% in May, 3.34% in April, and above the Bank’s 1-3% inflation target.  

The Peruvian economy expanded 1.6% in the June quarter, placing annual GDP growth over 6%.  The Peruvian Nuevo Sol (PEN) last traded around 2.70 against the US dollar, with the PEN gaining approx. 3.5% year to date.

Botswana Central Bank Keeps Interest Rate at 9.50%

The Bank of Botswana‘s Monetary Policy Committee kept its benchmark interest rate steady at 9.50%.  The Bank said: “Low growth in domestic demand and the forecast modest external inflationary pressures contribute to the positive inflation outlook in the medium term.” also noting “However, in the short-term, inflation is expected to remain above the bank’s objective range of 3 – 6 percent due to the impact of transient factors. These include the increase in fuel prices and public transport fares.”

Previously the Bank also kept the 
bank rate unchanged at 9.50% during its October meeting, while the Bank last dropped the rate 50 basis points to 9.50% in December last year.  Botswana recorded annual price inflation of 8.8% in October, 8.6% in September, 7.8% in July, 7.9% in June, 8.3% in May, and 8.2% in April, and above the central bank’s target range of 3-6%, according to the central bank.

The Bank said domestic output grew an estimated annual rate of 12.4% in the second quarter, driven largely by the 23.7% growth reported in the mining sector; with the non-mining sector growing just 7.4%.  Botswana’s currency, the Botswana Pula (BWP), has weakened by over 10% against the US dollar so far this year, while the USDBWP exchange rate last traded around 7.45

De Grauwe Says Fiscal Union in Europe Is `Misnomer’

Dec. 9 (Bloomberg) – Paul de Grauwe, professor at Catholic University of Leuven in Belgium, discusses the fiscal imbalances within Europe and the potential role of Germany in providing more stimulus. He speaks with Maryam Nemazee on Bloomberg Television’s “The Pulse.” (Source: Bloomberg)

Elliott Says China Threat May Be Europe’s `Big Problem’

Dec. 9 (Bloomberg) — Tom Elliott, a global strategist at JPMorgan Asset Management, and Bill Blain, co-head of the Special Situations Group at Newedge Group Ltd., discuss the European sovereign-debt crisis and the impact of China’s rise on the region’s economy. They talks with Francine Lacqua on Bloomberg Television’s “On the Move.”